clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Trail Blazers Have 19th Best Shot at NBA Championship

FiveThirtyEight isn’t high on the Blazers giving them a less than 50 percent chance to make the playoffs.

Portland Trail Blazers v Sacramento Kings Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images

The Portland Trail Blazers haven’t instilled a lot of hope in FiveThirtyEight, which has given the Oregon franchise the 19th best chance at the Larry O’Brien Trophy this season.

The pollsters have predicted the Blazers to finish with a 38-44 record — an improvement of 11 games on last season — just below the New York Knicks and above the Utah Jazz.

It predicts Portland to carry -1 percent point differential, giving the squad a 42 percent chance to make the playoffs in a loaded Western Conference.

The Playoffs are an even worse proposition with FiveThirtyEight giving the Blazers a 1 percent chance of making the Finals and 0.3 percent at winning the title.

The Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets have been given the best chance to make the Finals at 33 percent and 26 respectively, followed by the Memphis Grizzlies (17 percent), Dallas Mavericks (14 percent) and Philadelphia 76ers (13 percent).

The Houston Rockets, Detroit Pistons, Orlando Magic, Oklahoma City Thunder, Washington Wizards, San Antonio Spurs, Sacramento Kings, Indiana Pacers, Los Angeles Lakers, Chicago Bulls, and Utah Jazz all have worse chances for the title than the Blazers according to the website, which uses simulations, depth charts, player projections, and injury reports to assign percentages.