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Vegas Sets Trail Blazers Win Total at 42.5

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The Portland Trail Blazers' over/under win total has them as the 8-seed in the Western Conference.

NBA: Playoffs-Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

The Westgate Las Vegas Super Book released their NBA win total over/unders on Tuesday. They put the Portland Trail Blazers at 42.5 wins according to a tweet by manager Jeff Sherman:

The Blazers finished last season with 41 wins, falling below their pre-season over/under of 46.5. Super Book’s win totals put Portland at 8th in the Western Conference just behind the LA Clippers (43.5) and ahead of the Utah Jazz (40.5).

Here is the complete list of the Super Book win totals sorted in order by conference according to Sherman’s tweets:

Western Conference

  • GS 67.5
  • Hou 55.5
  • SA 54.5
  • OKC 51.5
  • Min 48.5
  • Den 45.5
  • LAC 43.5
  • Por 42.5
  • Utah 40.5
  • NO 39.5
  • Mem 37.5
  • Dal 35.5
  • LAL 33.5
  • Phx 28.5
  • Sac 28.5

Eastern Conference

  • Bos 56.5
  • Cle 53.5
  • Tor 48.5
  • Was 47.5
  • Mil 47.5
  • Mia 43.5
  • Phi 42.5
  • Cha 42.5
  • Det 38.5
  • Orl 33.5
  • Ind 31.5
  • NY 30.5
  • Brk 28.5
  • Atl 25.5
  • Chi 21.5

Perhaps most surprising is the Philadelphia 76ers’ number of 42.5, which would put them as the 7th seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs. However, the Vegas win totals are not necessarily a reflection of how teams are projected to do. Instead, they are designed to get an equal amount of betting on either side. Teams that receive more hype often have inflated win totals.

Earlier this month ESPN’s Kevin Pelton projected Portland to win 43.8 games, although that win total in his prediction has the Blazers falling out of the playoffs as the 10-seed.

What do you think? Is 42.5 a fair line? Would you take the over or the under?