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Experts Predict Blazers' No. 23 Pick In 2015 NBA Draft

Blazer's Edge breaks down 16 different NBA experts' mock drafts to determine who the predicted consensus pick is for the Trail Blazers in tonight's 2015 NBA Draft.

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Later tonight, General Manager Neil Olshey and the rest of the Portland Trail Blazers' front office will make the 23rd pick in the NBA draft, barring trade. To help our readers more easily follow along as the Blazers' pick approaches, Blazer's Edge has sought out 16 first round mock drafts from NBA reporters and aggregated the results. This information gives us a better understanding of who outsiders expect the Blazers and other teams to pick, and can also be useful for tracking when players have made a significant jump or fall on the draft board.

Reporters are split on who they expect Olshey to select for the Blazers. Justin Anderson and RJ Hunter are the two players projected most frequently to go to the Portland with four mentions apiece. Kevon Looney, Kelly Oubre Jr., Sam Dekker, Tyus Jones, and Montrezl Harrell were all predicted for the Blazers once or twice, as well.

If you consider the average prediction of every player, then Justin Anderson is expected to be 23rd overall. Delon Wright, despite not being mentioned by a single reporter as a possible selection for Portland, was the next most likely Blazers pick finishing in 24th overall with a mean position of 23.93 .

Reporters are in agreement that Karl-Anthony Towns and Jahlil Okafor will go first and second overall, respectively. After that D'Angelo Russell, Kristaps Porzingis, Emmanuel Mudiay, and Mario Hezonja are near consensus top 7 picks. Predictions become significantly more muddled for the remaining players. Sam Dekker, Trey Lyles, R.J. Hunter, and Delon Wright, especially, were controversial among mock drafters.

Below you'll find a table with some basic statistics about the predictions of each player (Table 1), a box plot for all players, and a table of the complete predictions from every mock draft we cataloged (Table 2).

Table 1: Breakdown of average projection for each player

Name

Mean

Standard Deviation

Median

Minimum

Maximum

Karl-Anthony Towns

1.07

0.34

1.00

1

2

Jahlil Okafor

1.93

0.44

2.00

1

3

D'Angelo Russell

3.14

0.50

3.00

2

4

Kristaps Porzingis

4.21

0.75

4.00

3

5

Justise Winslow

5.57

1.73

5.00

4

10

Emmanuel Mudiay

6.14

0.77

6.00

4

7

Mario Hezonja

6.71

0.95

7.00

5

8

Stanley Johnson

9.07

1.96

8.50

8

15

Willie Cauley-Stein

9.50

2.19

9.00

5

13

Devin Booker

9.79

2.20

9.00

6

14

Myles Turner

11.64

2.31

12.00

9

18

Frank Kaminsky

12.07

1.46

12.00

9

14

Cameron Payne

13.07

1.72

14.00

11

17

Kelly Oubre Jr.

15.00

3.25

15.00

10

23

Sam Dekker

16.07

4.40

16.00

8

23

Trey Lyles

16.07

4.03

16.00

4

22

Bobby Portis

17.14

3.12

16.50

15

24

Jerian Grant

18.79

2.42

19.00

13

22

Tyus Jones

19.07

1.73

18.00

18

23

Kevon Looney

19.36

3.63

19.50

12

28

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

21.43

3.12

21.00

16

27

R.J. Hunter

21.79

5.10

23.00

12

30

Justin Anderson

23.64

3.22

23.50

16

31

Delon Wright

23.93

4.29

23.00

13

31

Rashad Vaughn

24.50

3.65

25.00

15

31

Montrezl Harrell

24.71

3.05

25.00

18

31

Terry Rozier

27.57

3.30

28.00

21

31

Jarell Martin

27.85

3.62

28.00

20

31

Chris McCullough

29.86

1.22

30.00

28

31

Christian Wood

30.00

1.60

30.50

26

31

Jonathan Holmes

30.07

1.82

31.00

26

31

Cliff Alexander

30.71

0.96

31.00

28

31

Anthony Brown

30.79

1.03

31.00

27

31

Notes: Means were calculated after excluding the minimum and maximum position of each player to reduce the effect of outliers. If a player was not mentioned in a mock draft he was assigned a position of 31 so as to more accurately reflect his expected spot in the draft.

Notes: The red boxes represent the middle half of the projections for each player (i.e. upper and lower quartile, for the math folks), the lines in the red boxes represent the median, the whiskers represent minimum and maximum, and the open circles represent outliers.

Table 2: Complete mock drafts

Draft Express: Jonathan Givony (6/22)

NBA.com: Scott Howard-Cooper (6/19)

SB Nation: Kevin O'Connor (6/22)

CBS Sports: Gary Parrish (6/18)

CBS Sports: Zach Harper (6/18)

CBS Sports: Sam Vecenie (6/18)

Bleacher Report: Jonathan Wasserman (6/22)

USA Today: Derek Bodner (6/22)

Basketball Insiders: Steve Kyler (6/23)

Sports Illustrated: Chris Mannix (6/23)

Ford and Bilas (6/22)

ESPN: Chad Ford (6/19)

Sporting News: Sean Deveney (6/23)

CBS: Dough Gottlieb (6/23)

Boston Globe: Local Beat Writers Picks (6/23)

Basketball Insiders: Alex Kennedy (6/24)

Minnesota Timberwolves

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Jahlil Okafor

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Jahlil Okafor

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

Los Angeles Lakers

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Karl-Anthony Towns

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Karl-Anthony Towns

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

D'Angelo Russell

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

Philadelphia 76ers

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

Kristaps Porzingis

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

Jahlil Okafor

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

New York Knicks

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

Justise Winslow

D'Angelo Russell

Kristaps Porzingis

Justise Winslow

Kristaps Porzingis

Justise Winslow

Emmanuel Mudiay

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

Kristaps Porzingis

Trey Lyles

Justise Winslow

Orlando Magic

Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow

Kristaps Porzingis

Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow

Kristaps Porzingis

Justise Winslow

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

Justise Winslow

Emmanuel Mudiay

Mario Hezonja

Mario Hezonja

Willie Cauley-Stein

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

Sacramento Kings

Mario Hezonja

Emmanuel Mudiay

Mario Hezonja

Emmanuel Mudiay

Emmanuel Mudiay

Emmanuel Mudiay

Mario Hezonja

Emmanuel Mudiay

Mario Hezonja

Emmanuel Mudiay

Willie Cauley-Stein

Emmanuel Mudiay

Emmanuel Mudiay

Devin Booker

Emmanuel Mudiay

Emmanuel Mudiay

Denver Nuggets

Emmanuel Mudiay

Mario Hezonja

Emmanuel Mudiay

Willie Cauley-Stein

Mario Hezonja

Mario Hezonja

Emmanuel Mudiay

Mario Hezonja

Justise Winslow

Mario Hezonja

Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow

Justise Winslow

Emmanuel Mudiay

Mario Hezonja

Mario Hezonja

Detroit Pistons

Stanley Johnson

Willie Cauley-Stein

Devin Booker

Mario Hezonja

Stanley Johnson

Stanley Johnson

Stanley Johnson

Stanley Johnson

Stanley Johnson

Devin Booker

Mario Hezonja

Sam Dekker

Stanley Johnson

Mario Hezonja

Justise Winslow

Stanley Johnson

Charlotte Hornets

Devin Booker

Stanley Johnson

Willie Cauley-Stein

Frank Kaminsky

Willie Cauley-Stein

Willie Cauley-Stein

Willie Cauley-Stein

Devin Booker

Devin Booker

Myles Turner

Devin Booker

Devin Booker

Devin Booker

Stanley Johnson

Devin Booker

Willie Cauley-Stein

Miami Heat

Frank Kaminsky

Myles Turner

Stanley Johnson

Devin Booker

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Myles Turner

Sam Dekker

Myles Turner

Frank Kaminsky

Sam Dekker

Myles Turner

Stanley Johnson

Sam Dekker

Justise Winslow

Stanley Johnson

Devin Booker

Indiana Pacers

Willie Cauley-Stein

Cameron Payne

Myles Turner

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

Devin Booker

Myles Turner

Willie Cauley-Stein

Willie Cauley-Stein

Cameron Payne

Stanley Johnson

Willie Cauley-Stein

Frank Kaminsky

Cameron Payne

Willie Cauley-Stein

Frank Kaminsky

Utah Jazz

Myles Turner

Trey Lyles

Frank Kaminsky

Stanley Johnson

Myles Turner

Frank Kaminsky

Frank Kaminsky

Frank Kaminsky

Myles Turner

R.J. Hunter

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Myles Turner

Willie Cauley-Stein

Kevon Looney

Myles Turner

Myles Turner

Phoenix Suns

Trey Lyles

Frank Kaminsky

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Myles Turner

Frank Kaminsky

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Devin Booker

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Jerian Grant

Willie Cauley-Stein

Frank Kaminsky

Frank Kaminsky

Kelly Oubre

Delon Wright

Frank Kaminsky

Cameron Payne

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cameron Payne

Devin Booker

Cameron Payne

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Devin Booker

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

Frank Kaminsky

R.J. Hunter

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

Frank Kaminsky

Cameron Payne

Jerian Grant

Atlanta Hawks

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Trey Lyles

Kevon Looney

Sam Dekker

Bobby Portis

Trey Lyles

Bobby Portis

Bobby Portis

Stanley Johnson

Trey Lyles

Bobby Portis

Trey Lyles

Rashad Vaughn

Bobby Portis

Bobby Portis

Boston Celtics

Bobby Portis

Sam Dekker

Bobby Portis

Sam Dekker

Trey Lyles

Sam Dekker

R.J. Hunter

Trey Lyles

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Kelly Oubre

Myles Turner

Sam Dekker

Justin Anderson

Kelly Oubre

Milwaukee Bucks

R.J. Hunter

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Kevon Looney

Bobby Portis

Kevon Looney

Trey Lyles

Bobby Portis

Kevon Looney

Trey Lyles

Bobby Portis

Cameron Payne

Trey Lyles

Bobby Portis

R.J. Hunter

Kelly Oubre

Trey Lyles

Houston Rockets

Tyus Jones

Montrezl Harrell

Tyus Jones

Jerian Grant

Jerian Grant

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

Jerian Grant

Jerian Grant

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

Myles Turner

Jerian Grant

Tyus Jones

Washington Wizards

Jerian Grant

Jerian Grant

Jerian Grant

Tyus Jones

Montrezl Harrell

Jerian Grant

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Sam Dekker

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Kevon Looney

Sam Dekker

Kevon Looney

Kevon Looney

Tyus Jones

Sam Dekker

Sam Dekker

Toronto Raptors

Sam Dekker

Kevon Looney

Sam Dekker

Trey Lyles

Bobby Portis

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Jerian Grant

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Jarell Martin

Trey Lyles

Kevon Looney

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Jerian Grant

Kevon Looney

Jarell Martin

Dallas Mavericks

Delon Wright

Tyus Jones

Terry Rozier

Justin Anderson

Tyus Jones

Kevon Looney

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Delon Wright

Rashad Vaughn

Tyus Jones

Justin Anderson

Jerian Grant

R.J. Hunter

Bobby Portis

Delon Wright

Kevon Looney

Chicago Bulls

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Delon Wright

Delon Wright

Rashad Vaughn

Delon Wright

Delon Wright

Rashad Vaughn

Jerian Grant

Terry Rozier

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Rashad Vaughn

Rashad Vaughn

Jerian Grant

Trey Lyles

Tyus Jones

Justin Anderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Kevon Looney

Justin Anderson

Justin Anderson

Montrezl Harrell

R.J. Hunter

R.J. Hunter

Kevon Looney

R.J. Hunter

Sam Dekker

Justin Anderson

Tyus Jones

R.J. Hunter

Justin Anderson

Kelly Oubre

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Cleveland Cavaliers

Montrezl Harrell

Bobby Portis

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Delon Wright

Justin Anderson

Justin Anderson

Terry Rozier

Justin Anderson

Justin Anderson

Rashad Vaughn

Bobby Portis

Delon Wright

Montrezl Harrell

Cedi Osman

Terry Rozier

Montrezl Harrell

Memphis Grizzlies

Jarell Martin

R.J. Hunter

Montrezl Harrell

R.J. Hunter

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Montrezl Harrell

Delon Wright

Rashad Vaughn

Rakeem Christmas

Montrezl Harrell

Terry Rozier

Justin Anderson

Rashad Vaughn

Montrezl Harrell

R.J. Hunter

R.J. Hunter

San Antonio Spurs

Rashad Vaughn

Christian Wood

Jarell Martin

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Rashad Vaughn

Guillermo Hernangomez

Montrezl Harrell

Montrezl Harrell

Nikola Milutinov

Delon Wright

Montrezl Harrell

Montrezl Harrell

Andrew Harrison

Jarell Martin

Guillermo Hernangomez

Jonathan Holmes

Los Angeles Lakers

Justin Anderson

Rashad Vaughn

Rashad Vaughn

Christian Wood

Anthony Brown

Rashad Vaughn

Justin Anderson

Terry Rozier

Jonathan Holmes

Terry Rozier

Delon Wright

Joseph Young

Terry Rozier

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Jonathan Holmes

Rashad Vaughn

Boston Celtics

Jonathan Holmes

Jarell Martin

R.J. Hunter

Jordan Mickey

Chris McCullough

Chris McCullough

Arturas Gudaitis

Christian Wood

Kevon Looney

Cliff Alexander

Jarell Martin

Jarell Martin

Cliff Alexander

Olivier Hanlan

Montrezl Harrell

Chris McCullough

Brooklyn Nets

Chris McCullough

Cliff Alexander

Chris McCullough

Terry Rozier

Cliff Alexander

Christian Wood

Rakeem Christmas

Chris McCullough

Delon Wright

Jarell Martin

Christian Wood

Chris McCullough

Delon Wright

Jonathan Holmes

Jarell Martin

Terry Rozier

Golden State Warriors

Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier

Anthony Brown

Chris McCullough

Christian Wood

Terry Rozier

Christian Wood

Jarell Martin

R.J. Hunter

Chris McCullough

Joseph Young

Anthony Brown

Christian Wood

Richaun Holmes

Anthony Brown