Name | Height Inches no Shoes | Height Inches w/shoes | Weight | Body Fat | Hand Length | Hand Width | Wingspan Inches | Reach in Inches | No Step Vert Reach in Inches | Max Vert Reach in inches | No Step Vert | Max Vert | Bench | Agility | Sprint |
Trey Burke | 71.75 | 73.25 | 187 | 6.9% | 8.25 | 8.75 | 77.5 | 97.5 | 127 | 134 | 29.5 | 36.5 | 3 | 11.2 | 3.16 |
Name | Weight > than standard (in lbs) | Body Fat < than Standard (as a % of BF) | Wingspan > than standard (in inches) | Reach > than standard (in inches) | Vertical > than standard (in inches) | Speed > than standard (in sec) | Agility > than standard (in sec) | # additional bench reps than expected |
Trey Burke | 7 | -1.82% | -1.88 | -4.12 | 4.36 | -0.02 | 0.47 | -1 |
Trey Burke is 6-1 1/4", 187 lbs. His weight relative to height is 7 lbs heavier, with his body fat 1.82% lower than average, all of which is good. Trey Burke is not "Long", as his wingspan is 1.88" less than average, and his reach is 4.12" less than average. Overall athletically he would be described as above average, with a vertical 4.36" greater than average, which is excellent, and he did the agility drill nearly a 1/2 second faster than average. His speed and bench press numbers were right at the average. | ||||||||
Below are the top 20 Comp seasons to Trey Burke at age 20 and 19. The 4th column is only statistical similarity, and does not include any combine measurements. | |||
Trey Burke | Sophomore season age 20 | ||
Player | Age | Conference | Statistical Similarity |
Mike Bibby | 19 | Pacific 12 | 95.4% |
D.J. Augustin | 20 | Big-12 | 95.7% |
Cory Alexander | 19 | Atlantic Coast | 93.9% |
Cory Alexander | 21 | Atlantic Coast | 94.5% |
Jonny Flynn | 19 | Big East | 94.2% |
Sean Singletary | 22 | Atlantic Coast | 93.8% |
Sean Singletary | 20 | Atlantic Coast | 92.9% |
Litterial Green | 19 | Southeastern | 92.9% |
Toney Douglas | 22 | Atlantic Coast | 93.5% |
Litterial Green | 20 | Southeastern | 92.6% |
Eric Murdock | 20 | Big East | 92.4% |
Antonio Burks | 23 | Conference USA | 94.6% |
Jonny Flynn | 18 | Big East | 94.2% |
A.J. Price | 21 | Big East | 94.1% |
Jason Williams | 22 | Southeastern | 92.1% |
Terry Dehere | 20 | Big East | 93.2% |
Delonte West | 20 | Atlantic 10 | 94.4% |
Shawn Respert | 20 | Big Ten | 93.1% |
Toney Douglas | 20 | Atlantic Coast | 90.7% |
Sean Singletary | 21 | Atlantic Coast | 91.5% |
Trey Burke | Freshman season age 19 | ||
Player | Age | Conference | Statistical Similarity |
Litterial Green | 18 | Southeastern | 94.9% |
Cory Alexander | 19 | Atlantic Coast | 94.6% |
Jonny Flynn | 18 | Big East | 96.6% |
Toney Douglas | 20 | Atlantic Coast | 94.8% |
Cory Alexander | 18 | Atlantic Coast | 94.7% |
Litterial Green | 19 | Southeastern | 93.6% |
Brandon Knight | 19 | Southeastern | 95.9% |
A.J. Guyton | 18 | Big Ten | 96.4% |
Earl Watson | 19 | Pacific 12 | 93.9% |
Sean Singletary | 19 | Atlantic Coast | 93.1% |
Toney Douglas | 21 | Atlantic Coast | 94.9% |
Toney Douglas | 18 | Southeastern | 93.5% |
Kiwane Garris | 19 | Big Ten | 94.2% |
Kemba Walker | 19 | Big East | 94.3% |
Russell Westbrook | 19 | Pacific 12 | 94.4% |
Mike Bibby | 18 | Pacific 12 | 93.9% |
Cory Alexander | 21 | Atlantic Coast | 94.8% |
Kiwane Garris | 20 | Big Ten | 95.1% |
Aaron Brooks | 20 | Pacific 12 | 96.3% |
Sean Singletary | 20 | Atlantic Coast | 93.1% |
NBA All Star or Better | Russell Westbrook | 3% | |
Very good NBA starter | Mike Bibby | 6% | |
Above average to below average NBA starter or rotation player | D.J. Augustin, Toney Douglas, Jason Williams, Terry Dehere, Eric Murdock, Earl Watson, Kemba Walker, Aaron Brooks | 36% | |
Below average, lowish minute NBA player | Cory Alexander, Litterial Green, Johnny Flynn | 34% | |
NBA washout | Sean Singletary, A.J. Guyton, Kiwane Garris | 23% | |
Trey Burke as 2 really nice top end comps, Russell Westbrook and Mike Bibby, but the odds are very low gets to that level. At the bottom end he has a 25% chance of washing out, but that includes 5 seasons from Sean Singletary, and is only 3 players in total. This part of the process is the most simplistic, it is a simple GO/NO GO choice, so that in some circumstances it can create an impression taht is a little distorted. I believe his washout probability is no higher than 10%, not the 23%, because of the fact that Sean Singletary appears so often.. So the question is, will he end up a below average NBA player, or average to above average? His below average comps are again dominated by one in particular, Cory Alexander, but Alexander, Green, and Flynn make up 90% of his below average comp seasons. Contrast that with the sheer number and variety of his average to above average comps. I think that group of 8 players in the middle clearly expresses where we should expect Trey Burke to end up. Depending upon situation he may start or he may be a 3rd guard, but he will play significant minutes, and be an effective, solid player for about a decade. He will not be a star, or even a very good NBA PG. | |||
Average Adjusted Stat Line for Target Player | |||||||||||||||
Season | Shooting Statistics Totals | ||||||||||||||
FG | FGA | FG% | 2P | 2PA | 2P% | 3P | 3PA | 3P% | FT | FTA | FT% | TS% | eFG% | ||
Trey Burke | 1 | 226 | 545 | 41.4% | 172 | 395 | 43.6% | 53 | 150 | 35.5% | 107 | 135 | 79.7% | 50.3% | 46.2% |
Trey Burke | 2 | 302 | 725 | 41.7% | 218 | 481 | 45.4% | 84 | 243 | 34.5% | 127 | 166 | 76.6% | 50.7% | 47.4% |
Trey Burke | 3 | 316 | 740 | 42.8% | 240 | 526 | 45.8% | 76 | 214 | 35.5% | 146 | 184 | 79.5% | 51.8% | 47.9% |
3 Year Average | 287 | 683 | 42.0% | 214 | 475 | 45.1% | 73 | 208 | 35.1% | 129 | 164 | 78.5% | 51.0% | 47.3% | |
Season | Accumulation Stats Totals | ||||||||||||||
ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | A/TO | PF | PTS | ||||||
Trey Burke | 1 | 28 | 103 | 129 | 230 | 52 | 5 | 105 | 2.22 | 108 | 611 | ||||
Trey Burke | 2 | 47 | 155 | 202 | 350 | 84 | 12 | 153 | 2.30 | 155 | 815 | ||||
Trey Burke | 3 | 38 | 155 | 188 | 393 | 73 | 12 | 142 | 2.81 | 138 | 855 | ||||
3 Year Average | 39 | 141 | 178 | 334 | 72 | 10 | 136 | 2.46 | 136 | 776 | |||||
Season | Shooting Statistics per 36 Minutes | ||||||||||||||
FG | FGA | FG% | 2P | 2PA | 2P% | 3P | 3PA | 3P% | FT | FTA | FT% | TS% | eFG% | ||
Trey Burke | 1 | 5.79 | 14.00 | 41.4% | 4.43 | 10.14 | 43.6% | 1.37 | 3.85 | 35.5% | 2.76 | 3.46 | 79.7% | 50.3% | 46.3% |
Trey Burke | 2 | 5.46 | 13.10 | 41.6% | 3.94 | 8.70 | 45.3% | 1.51 | 4.39 | 34.4% | 2.29 | 2.99 | 76.7% | 50.7% | 47.4% |
Trey Burke | 3 | 5.91 | 13.82 | 42.8% | 4.49 | 9.82 | 45.7% | 1.42 | 4.00 | 35.6% | 2.73 | 3.44 | 79.4% | 51.8% | 47.9% |
3 Year Average | 5.7 | 13.6 | 42.0% | 4.3 | 9.5 | 45.0% | 1.4 | 4.1 | 35.1% | 2.6 | 3.3 | 78.5% | 51.0% | 47.3% | |
Season | Accumulation Stats per 36 Minutes | ||||||||||||||
ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | A/TO | PF | PTS | ||||||
Trey Burke | 1 | 0.72 | 2.63 | 3.30 | 5.91 | 1.32 | 0.12 | 2.69 | 2.22 | 2.76 | 15.70 | ||||
Trey Burke | 2 | 0.85 | 2.80 | 3.64 | 6.35 | 1.52 | 0.21 | 2.76 | 2.30 | 2.82 | 14.72 | ||||
Trey Burke | 3 | 0.71 | 2.89 | 3.51 | 7.35 | 1.35 | 0.23 | 2.65 | 2.81 | 2.58 | 15.97 | ||||
3 Year Average | 0.8 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 2.46 | 2.7 | 15.4 | |||||
Season | Usage Stats | ||||||||||||||
ORB% | DRB% | TRB% | AST% | STL% | BLK% | TOV% | USG% | ||||||||
Trey Burke | 1 | 2.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 25.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 14.7% | 22.4% | ||||||
Trey Burke | 2 | 2.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 29.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 14.6% | 21.9% | ||||||
Trey Burke | 3 | 2.1% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 32.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 14.6% | 22.4% | ||||||
3 Year Average | 2.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 29.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 14.6% | 22.2% | |||||||
Season | Advanced Measurements | ||||||||||||||
PER | ORtg | DRtg | OWS | DWS | WS | WS/48 | |||||||||
Trey Burke | 1 | 13.51 | 101.1 | 110.5 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 1.25 | 0.046 | |||||||
Trey Burke | 2 | 14.76 | 103.4 | 112.0 | 1.73 | 1.21 | 3.00 | 0.062 | |||||||
Trey Burke | 3 | 15.88 | 104.2 | 109.2 | 2.60 | 1.32 | 3.97 | 0.082 | |||||||
3 Year Average | 14.84 | 103.1 | 110.6 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 8.22 | 0.065 | ||||||||
For his first 2 years Trey Burke will be a below average player, but he will be a player who steadily improves, and by his third year he will be just a hair below league average. Trey Burke will be the kind of player who looks better using the metric PER, but he will not look as good using WS/48 and ORtg/DRtg. | |||||||||||||||
Offensively Trey Burke looks to be below average, with an Ortg of 103 for his first 3 years. Of all the players in this draft class, Trey Burke grades out as the best assist guy, with a 3 year average of 29.2%, and a 32.1% rate in his 3rd year, which is a very good but not great assist rate. As with any high assist player Burke will get a fair number of turnovers, but only Carter-Willaims projects a better A/TO ratio. The area of Burke's offensive game that makes his PER look good, and WS/48 less so is in his shooting and usage rates. Overall Burke is a below average shooter, but he also has a very high usage rate. PER does not penalize a poor shooter who's usage rate increases like WS/48. It is surprising that Burke is a poor shooter because he has very short arms, so perhaps this is an area he can make real improvement if he gets into the right player development program. | |||||||||||||||
Defensively Burke looks to be a poor overall defender with a DRtg of 110.6. Burke is a poor rebounder, even by PG standards, but he does get a higher than average number of defensive rebounds to offensive rebounds. He does get a good amount of steals, of the top 25 players, only Carter-Williams, Franklin, Oladipo, and Larkin project to get more. | |||||||||||||||
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