| Name | Height Inches no Shoes | Height Inches w/shoes | Weight | Body Fat | Hand Length | Hand Width | Wingspan Inches | Reach in Inches | No Step Vert Reach in Inches | Max Vert Reach in inches | No Step Vert | Max Vert | Bench | Agility | Sprint |
| Dario Saric | 80.85 | 82 | 223 | 82 |
| Name | Weight > than standard (in lbs) | Body Fat < than Standard (as a % of BF) | Reach > than standard (in inches) | Wingspan > than standard (in inches) | Vertical > than standard (in inches) | Speed > than standard (in sec) | Agility > than standard (in sec) | # additional bench reps than expected |
| Dario Saric | -10 | -2.83 | ||||||
| Dario Saric is just barely 19, and there is limited physical data on him. He is 6-10 and 223 in shoes, so he is lighter than average by about 10 lbs. His wingspan is 82" (6-10), so he has shorter than average arms by 2.83" | ||||||||
| Below are the top 20 Comp seasons to Dario Saric at age 17 and 18. The 4th column is only statistical similarity, and does not include any combine measurements. | |||
| Dario Saric | Adriatic and Euro Cup age 18 | ||
| Player | Age | Conference | Statistical Similarity |
| Ansu Sesay | 19 | Southeastern | 93.9% |
| Walter McCarty | 19 | Southeastern | 93.0% |
| Ansu Sesay | 18 | Southeastern | 93.3% |
| Robert Horry | 18 | Southeastern | 93.3% |
| Chandler Parsons | 20 | Southeastern | 92.9% |
| Victor Claver | 21 | Euro Cup | 93.3% |
| Walter McCarty | 20 | Southeastern | 92.3% |
| Walt Williams | 18 | Atlantic Coast | 93.8% |
| Anderson Varejao | 21 | ACB | 93.5% |
| Victor Claver | 21 | ACB | 93.1% |
| Doug Smith | 18 | Southeastern | 90.0% |
| Josh Grant | 21 | Pacific 12 | 92.7% |
| Marcus Morris | 19 | Big-12 | 92.9% |
| Ryan Stack | 19 | Southeastern | 92.8% |
| LeRon Ellis | 20 | Big East | 92.2% |
| Dominic McGuire | 18 | Pacific 12 | 92.2% |
| Donyell Marshall | 18 | Big East | 91.8% |
| Andrew DeClercq | 18 | Southeastern | 91.1% |
| Antoine Walker | 18 | Southeastern | 92.5% |
| Britton Johnsen | 23 | Pacific 12 | 93.4% |
| Dario Saric | Adriatic and Euro age 17 | ||
| Player | Age | Conference | Statistical Similarity |
| Anderson Varejao | 20 | Euro | 94.2% |
| Victor Claver | 19 | Euro Cup | 92.7% |
| Dominic McGuire | 18 | Pacific 12 | 93.7% |
| Matt Barnes | 18 | Pacific 12 | 93.8% |
| Ed O'Bannon | 19 | Pacific 12 | 92.8% |
| Victor Claver | 19 | ACB | 90.4% |
| Ansu Sesay | 18 | Southeastern | 90.2% |
| Ryan Stack | 19 | Southeastern | 91.9% |
| DeMarre Carroll | 18 | Southeastern | 92.4% |
| LeRon Ellis | 18 | Southeastern | 90.7% |
| Walter McCarty | 19 | Southeastern | 91.0% |
| Victor Claver | 21 | ACB | 89.8% |
| Darren Morningstar | 20 | Big East | 90.4% |
| Travis Knight | 18 | Big East | 92.6% |
| LeRon Ellis | 20 | Big East | 90.5% |
| Matt Barnes | 19 | Pacific 12 | 91.1% |
| Desmond Mason | 19 | Big-12 | 92.5% |
| Don Reid | 19 | Big East | 91.3% |
| Victor Claver | 21 | Euro Cup | 89.2% |
| Ryan Stack | 20 | Southeastern | 90.6% |
| Very Best Case Comps | 0% | ||
| Likely Best Case | Robert Horry, Anderson Varejao, Antoine Walker | 10% | |
| Most Likely | Walter McCarty, Walt Williams, Ryan Stack, Desmond Mason, Travis Knight, Matt Barnes, Chandler Parsons | 43% | |
| Likely Worst Case | Victor Claver, Dominic McGuire | 25% | |
| Absolute Worst Case | Ansu Sesay, LeRon Ellis | 23% | |
| Dario Saric is a very young prospect, but he has been on the scene for a while. He is 19 now, and his birthday was April 8, 1994, and he was playing professionally in the Adriatic league in 2010. I don't know the age rules, but I assume that upon turning 16 he turned pro. He has played his entire career with teams in the Adriatic league, which is one of the good to very good Eurpoean professional leagues. His Adriatic teams have also competed in Euroleague and Euro Cup. He has played a total of 41 games, and these 2 seasons were 15 and 16 games, where he averaged 19 minutes. | |||
| Based upon his comps Saric projects OK, but this distribution is clearly skewed to Most Likely and Likely Worst Case. In the better than worst case he has a nice mix of players that were a little below average to a little above average, and most all were solid rotation players, to stars on lottery teams. His likely worst case is Victor Claver, and he comps to the season's immediately before Claver was hurt and the year immediately following when Claver was hurt. | |||
| Average Adjusted Stat Line for Target Player | |||||||||||||||
| Season | Shooting Statistics Totals | ||||||||||||||
| FG | FGA | FG% | 2P | 2PA | 2P% | 3P | 3PA | 3P% | FT | FTA | FT% | TS% | eFG% | ||
| Dario Saric | 1 | 191 | 465 | 41.4% | 166 | 382 | 43.8% | 24 | 83 | 28.2% | 81 | 129 | 63.1% | 46.4% | 43.9% |
| Dario Saric | 2 | 250 | 606 | 41.4% | 208 | 478 | 43.7% | 42 | 128 | 31.9% | 110 | 165 | 67.5% | 47.9% | 44.7% |
| Dario Saric | 3 | 221 | 528 | 42.1% | 187 | 425 | 44.0% | 34 | 103 | 31.3% | 115 | 174 | 66.0% | 48.6% | 45.2% |
| 3 Year Average | 224 | 540 | 41.6% | 189 | 433 | 43.8% | 34 | 107 | 30.7% | 104 | 158 | 65.8% | 47.7% | 44.7% | |
| Season | Accumulation Stats Totals | ||||||||||||||
| ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | A/TO | PF | PTS | ||||||
| Dario Saric | 1 | 109 | 187 | 300 | 100 | 49 | 33 | 92 | 1.06 | 162 | 484 | ||||
| Dario Saric | 2 | 118 | 252 | 337 | 149 | 73 | 43 | 121 | 1.24 | 201 | 651 | ||||
| Dario Saric | 3 | 122 | 239 | 368 | 124 | 68 | 40 | 102 | 1.21 | 202 | 591 | ||||
| 3 Year Average | 117 | 230 | 338 | 127 | 65 | 39 | 106 | 1.18 | 191 | 584 | |||||
| Season | Shooting Statistics per 36 Minutes | ||||||||||||||
| FG | FGA | FG% | 2P | 2PA | 2P% | 3P | 3PA | 3P% | FT | FTA | FT% | TS% | eFG% | ||
| Dario Saric | 1 | 4.92 | 11.94 | 41.4% | 4.29 | 9.83 | 43.9% | 0.60 | 2.10 | 28.3% | 2.09 | 3.32 | 63.1% | 46.4% | 43.9% |
| Dario Saric | 2 | 4.80 | 11.63 | 41.4% | 4.02 | 9.22 | 43.7% | 0.78 | 2.40 | 32.0% | 2.14 | 3.19 | 67.6% | 47.9% | 44.7% |
| Dario Saric | 3 | 4.70 | 11.18 | 42.1% | 4.00 | 9.05 | 44.0% | 0.70 | 2.12 | 31.5% | 2.44 | 3.70 | 66.1% | 48.6% | 45.2% |
| 3 Year Average | 4.8 | 11.6 | 41.6% | 4.1 | 9.3 | 43.9% | 0.7 | 2.2 | 30.8% | 2.2 | 3.4 | 65.8% | 47.7% | 44.7% | |
| Season | Accumulation Stats per 36 Minutes | ||||||||||||||
| ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | A/TO | PF | PTS | ||||||
| Dario Saric | 1 | 2.87 | 4.95 | 7.93 | 2.53 | 1.29 | 0.87 | 2.37 | 1.05 | 4.33 | 12.47 | ||||
| Dario Saric | 2 | 2.31 | 4.89 | 6.47 | 2.87 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 2.32 | 1.24 | 3.93 | 12.54 | ||||
| Dario Saric | 3 | 2.59 | 5.10 | 7.85 | 2.61 | 1.45 | 0.85 | 2.14 | 1.21 | 4.30 | 12.53 | ||||
| 3 Year Average | 2.6 | 5.0 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.18 | 4.2 | 12.5 | |||||
| Season | Usage Stats | ||||||||||||||
| ORB% | DRB% | TRB% | AST% | STL% | BLK% | TOV% | USG% | ||||||||
| Dario Saric | 1 | 8.5% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 15.5% | 17.5% | ||||||
| Dario Saric | 2 | 7.4% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 15.4% | 18.0% | ||||||
| Dario Saric | 3 | 8.2% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 14.9% | 17.7% | ||||||
| 3 Year Average | 8.0% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 15.2% | 17.7% | |||||||
| Season | Advanced Measurements | ||||||||||||||
| PER | ORtg | DRtg | OWS | DWS | WS | WS/48 | |||||||||
| Dario Saric | 1 | 10.90 | 94.6 | 107.0 | 0.12 | 1.15 | 1.27 | 0.043 | |||||||
| Dario Saric | 2 | 12.14 | 97.8 | 107.0 | 0.86 | 1.66 | 2.57 | 0.060 | |||||||
| Dario Saric | 3 | 13.01 | 100.0 | 103.3 | 1.32 | 2.16 | 3.46 | 0.089 | |||||||
| 3 Year Average | 12.10 | 97.7 | 105.7 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 7.30 | 0.065 | ||||||||
| Dario Saric projects to be a below average NBA player for his first 3 years, but he projects to have nice steady improvement each and every year. If he maintains this rate of progression he would be a league average or better player by his third year. This rate of progression is not surprising, as Saric is very young. These projections are based upon a total of 41 games over 4 seasons, so there is a somewhat greater risk in really assessing who he is. If you view his bell curve it is clearly tiled to the lower end. with a limited upside, and some clear risk. Contrast that with Andre Roberson who is very low risk, but no great upside. Saric does not project to be a very good shooter, but he has also played his entire career from 16 onward in upper level professional leagues, so I would not expect his shooting to decline like a typical collegiate player. | |||||||||||||||
| Saric projects to be below average offensively, with an Ortg of 94.6 and 97.8 his first 2 seasons. By this third year he projects to be 100, so I would expect at his peak he would be in the 104-106 range. This is driven by his poor shooting, with a 3 year TS% of 47.7%. Let's face it, he truly was a boy amongst men in his 4 professional seasons, but in pretty much all facets of his game he projects to make steady improvement. Defensively he looks to be adequate early on his career, and then improve to above average. If he can push his DRtg to 99-101 range he will be a very nice player. He is clearly not worthy of being taken at #10, which is where NBADraft.net and HoopsHype have him pegged. He is worthy of a pick in the mid to late 20's. A couple of final points. Saric's comps for the 2010-11 season were on average 2 years older than Saric, and his comps for the 2011-12 season were on average 1-1/2 years older than Saric. That is one of the largest deltas of any player in the draft, but because Saric is so young his comps are older than Saric, and they are also young. I believe that is a different perspective on his potential ceiling, and his progression as a player. I believe this indicates he will struggle early on in his NBA career, but will make really nice progression, and even though his bell curve is shaded towards the lower end, I think this supports that the curve is a little overly harsh regarding Saric. My final point is regarding Shabazz Muhammad. Saric and Muhammad are in many ways alike. Both have been on the radar of NBA teams for several years, and have been seen as a potential rising star. Saric was playing professionally in a very good league at 16. In my opinion Saric is definitely a better prospect, and should be drafted higher. Saric and Muhammad grade out similar as a rookie, but Saric is far and away better defensively, and projects to make good improvement every season, while Muhammad projects to make only slight improvements in his game. Saric should be drafted ahead of Muhammad. | |||||||||||||||
