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Ed. Note: Out of appreciation to ZiggyTheBeagle for all his hard work on these in-depth statistical comparisons, we're turning over the main page to his posts this weekend. Dig in and enjoy as much as we have!
| Name | Height Inches no Shoes | Height Inches w/shoes | Weight | Body Fat | Hand Length | Hand Width | Wingspan Inches | Reach in Inches | No Step Vert Reach in Inches | Max Vert Reach in inches | No Step Vert | Max Vert | Bench | Agility | Sprint |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 77 | 78.5 | 222 | 9.0% | 9 | 10 | 84 | 105.25 | 134 | 142 | 29.5 | 37 | 10.99 | 3.32 |
| Name | Weight > than standard (in lbs) | Body Fat < than Standard (as a % of BF) | Reach > than standard (in inches) | Wingspan > than standard (in inches) | Vertical > than standard (in inches) | Speed > than standard (in sec) | Agility > than standard (in sec) | # additional bench reps than expected |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 14 | 0.80% | 2.42 | 2.4 | -0.66 | 0.04 | 0.45 | |
| For a player of Shabazz Muhammad's height he is 14 pounds heavy, with small amount of extra body fat. He would be described as long as both his reach and wingspan are about 2.4" longer than average. Athletically he is pretty average, his leaping ability and speed is about average, but his agility is actually pretty good. | ||||||||
| Below are the top 20 Comp seasons to Shabazz Muhammad at age 20. The 4th column is only statistical similarity, and does not include any combine measurements. | |||
| Shabazz Muhammad | Freshman Season - age 20 | ||
| Player | Age | Conference | Statistical Similarity |
| Bill Walker | 20 | Big-12 | 93.3% |
| Quentin Richardson | 18 | Big East | 92.7% |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 23 | French | 95.6% |
| Doug Edwards | 20 | Atlantic Coast | 91.6% |
| Calbert Cheaney | 20 | Big Ten | 94.4% |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 21 | West Coast | 93.6% |
| Dave Johnson | 20 | Big East | 94.0% |
| Jim Jackson | 19 | Big Ten | 91.1% |
| Quentin Richardson | 19 | Big East | 90.8% |
| Casey Jacobsen | 20 | Pacific 12 | 92.2% |
| Ron Mercer | 20 | Southeastern | 93.0% |
| Donny Marshall | 22 | Big East | 93.9% |
| Desmond Mason | 21 | Big-12 | 92.0% |
| Chris Mills | 21 | Pacific 12 | 92.5% |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 22 | West Coast | 93.8% |
| Alonzo Gee | 20 | Southeastern | 93.7% |
| Jumaine Jones | 19 | Southeastern | 93.2% |
| Alonzo Gee | 21 | Southeastern | 94.4% |
| Dion Glover | 19 | Atlantic Coast | 92.5% |
| Tremaine Fowlkes | 18 | Pacific 12 | 92.6% |
| Very Best Case Comps | 0% | ||
| Likely Best Case | Chris Mills | 5% | |
| Most Likely | Jim Jackson, Quentin Richardson, Alonzo Gee, Jumaine Jones | 55% | |
| Likely Worst Case | Yakhouba Diawara, Bill Walker, Tremaine Fowlkes | 30% | |
| Absolute Worst Case | Doug Edwards, Dave Johnson | 10% | |
| The comparables analysis is quite revealing, and Muhammad grades out as a pretty mediocre prospect. His best case is Chris Mills, who had a solid 10 year career. Of all Muhammad's comps only Mills had a career WS/48 of at least 0.100, and that was 0.105. Jim Jackson, Quentin Richardson and Jumaine Jones were all below average NBA starters, with an average WS/48 of .070. The group below that of Diawara, Walker, Fowlkes, were all marginal lowish minute rotation players at best with short careers. Edwards and Johnson were washouts. | |||
| Average Adjusted Stat Line for Target Player | |||||||||||||||
| Season | Shooting Statistics Totals | ||||||||||||||
| FG | FGA | FG% | 2P | 2PA | 2P% | 3P | 3PA | 3P% | FT | FTA | FT% | TS% | eFG% | ||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 1 | 213 | 531 | 40.1% | 184 | 437 | 42.1% | 29 | 94 | 30.9% | 97 | 133 | 72.9% | 46.5% | 42.8% |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 2 | 319 | 779 | 41.0% | 262 | 625 | 41.9% | 57 | 154 | 37.0% | 146 | 182 | 80.2% | 48.6% | 44.6% |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 3 | 322 | 789 | 40.8% | 267 | 627 | 42.6% | 56 | 162 | 34.6% | 150 | 194 | 77.3% | 48.4% | 44.4% |
| 3 Year Average | 293 | 718 | 40.7% | 244 | 577 | 42.2% | 49 | 141 | 34.5% | 135 | 174 | 77.2% | 48.0% | 44.1% | |
| Season | Accumulation Stats Totals | ||||||||||||||
| ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | A/TO | PF | PTS | ||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 1 | 76 | 105 | 178 | 73 | 44 | 14 | 66 | 1.11 | 120 | 552 | ||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 2 | 94 | 175 | 258 | 131 | 55 | 17 | 99 | 1.32 | 143 | 841 | ||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 3 | 89 | 174 | 265 | 110 | 55 | 22 | 92 | 1.20 | 151 | 852 | ||||
| 3 Year Average | 87 | 156 | 240 | 108 | 52 | 18 | 88 | 1.22 | 140 | 770 | |||||
| Season | Shooting Statistics per 36 Minutes | ||||||||||||||
| FG | FGA | FG% | 2P | 2PA | 2P% | 3P | 3PA | 3P% | FT | FTA | FT% | TS% | eFG% | ||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 1 | 5.46 | 13.61 | 40.1% | 4.72 | 11.20 | 42.1% | 0.74 | 2.41 | 30.7% | 2.49 | 3.41 | 73.0% | 46.5% | 42.8% |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 2 | 5.95 | 14.52 | 41.0% | 4.88 | 11.65 | 41.9% | 1.06 | 2.87 | 36.9% | 2.72 | 3.39 | 80.2% | 48.6% | 44.6% |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 3 | 5.62 | 13.77 | 40.8% | 4.66 | 10.95 | 42.6% | 0.98 | 2.83 | 34.6% | 2.62 | 3.39 | 77.3% | 48.4% | 44.4% |
| 3 Year Average | 5.7 | 14.0 | 40.7% | 4.8 | 11.3 | 42.2% | 1.0 | 2.7 | 34.4% | 2.6 | 3.4 | 77.2% | 48.0% | 44.1% | |
| Season | Accumulation Stats per 36 Minutes | ||||||||||||||
| ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | A/TO | PF | PTS | ||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 1 | 1.95 | 2.69 | 4.56 | 1.87 | 1.13 | 0.36 | 1.69 | 1.11 | 3.08 | 14.15 | ||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 2 | 1.75 | 3.26 | 4.81 | 2.44 | 1.03 | 0.32 | 1.85 | 1.32 | 2.67 | 15.67 | ||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 3 | 1.55 | 3.04 | 4.63 | 1.92 | 0.96 | 0.38 | 1.61 | 1.19 | 2.64 | 14.87 | ||||
| 3 Year Average | 1.7 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.22 | 2.8 | 15.0 | |||||
| Season | Usage Stats | ||||||||||||||
| ORB% | DRB% | TRB% | AST% | STL% | BLK% | TOV% | USG% | ||||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 1 | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 11.0% | 19.3% | ||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 2 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 11.1% | 20.6% | ||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 3 | 4.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 10.0% | 20.2% | ||||||
| 3 Year Average | 5.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 10.7% | 20.1% | |||||||
| Season | Advanced Measurements | ||||||||||||||
| PER | ORtg | DRtg | OWS | DWS | WS | WS/48 | |||||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 1 | 10.95 | 97.1 | 112.8 | 0.72 | 0.81 | 1.58 | 0.046 | |||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 2 | 12.89 | 101.0 | 114.3 | 1.41 | 1.04 | 2.61 | 0.066 | |||||||
| Shabazz Muhammad | 3 | 12.19 | 99.5 | 115.0 | 1.43 | 1.15 | 2.74 | 0.059 | |||||||
| 3 Year Average | 12.12 | 99.4 | 114.2 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 6.93 | 0.058 | ||||||||
| I will be straight forward, Shabazz Muhammad is not a lottery pick quality player, he is at best a late first round pick. His 3 year average WS/48 is 0.058, and his PER is 12.12. His ORtg is below 100 (99.4), making him a very inefficient offensive player. Muhammad has a long reach and wingspan, and you see the negative effect of that length in his horrible shooting, with a TS% of 48%, and an eFG% of 44%, which hurts his ORtg in a significant way. At the same time his length does not help him defensively, as his DRtg is a horrible 114.2. He doesn't rebound particlaurly well, doesn't get assists, or steals, and to top it off is a fairly high usage player, while maintaining a very low shooting %. | |||||||||||||||
| When you look at his comps you see that there is an extremely limited top end for him (Chris Mills), and his most likely case are inefficient NBA starters, or rotation players. In my opinion it would be a MASSIVE mistake for Portland to take Muhammad at #10, he is no way shape or form comparable to Wesley Matthews. | |||||||||||||||
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