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Turning Points

Dr. Dave e-mailed a couple days ago with an interesting question.  To wit:

It's obvious we're now on the upswing. Although still early in the arc, is there a defining moment or event you could call a turning point?

I thought about it for a while and decided that the upswing (new though it is) has been dramatic enough that attributing it to a single moment or event would be inaccurate.  It would be easy to point to something like the promotion of Kevin Pritchard but that really puts too much emphasis on him, even though he is obviously a (and maybe the) key figure.  Still, things happened before and beyond his rise to General Manager that affected this team profoundly.  This new era of good feelings can only be attributed to an enormous rush of synergy that nearly boggles the mind.

I decided to make a short list of key events that contributed to the turnaround we're experiencing.  These include:

--The Hiring of Nate McMillan

This was really step one in the rebuilding process.  At the time of his hiring McMillan had just come off his most successful season in Seattle and was considered one of the brightest young head coaches in the league.  There was zero chance Seattle was letting him go...or so people thought.  Apparently there was enough of a crack that Paul Allen, his $5 million a year, and a really nifty sales pitch or two could fit through.  No doubt his treatment at the hands of the perpetually-confused Sonics management staff had something to do with it.  At the time he signed with us the national media was openly scoffing, accusing him of taking the money and going into a miserable situation.  Who could blame them?  It was a hopeless situation and would remain so for over a year.  Nevertheless this marked the first major acquisition--the first time somebody responded to the new vision and the first time Paul Allen showed a willingness to open up the pocketbook again.

--Drafting Lamarcus Aldridge, Brandon Roy, and Sergio Rodriguez

The astonishing multiplicity of trades in the 2006 draft gave everybody a clue that something was up in Blazerland.  It was either mad genius or just madness.  So far it looks like the former.  Roy and Aldridge were significant in that both were talented, both were ready to play right out of the box, and both had the personality to connect with fans and teammates.  Those latter two items were a severe departure from the last decade of Blazer drafts which featured mostly projects with social inadequacies ranging from terminal shyness to terminal stupidity.  These two players would infuse the new "culture" into the team both in the locker room and on the court.  What's more they would do it more quickly than anyone could have envisioned.

The acquisition of Sergio was also significant in that it showed Paul Allen's continuing commitment to spending money to improve the team.

--Re-Signing Joel Przybilla

The second most significant move of 2006 was re-signing Joel Przybilla.  The Vanilla Gorilla was reportedly in demand among such luminous teams as Detroit and San Antonio, both championship contenders.  He was pursued diligently by the Blazers and ended up re-signing in Portland even though the Blazers didn't offer much more money than the big teams could have.  The effect of this signing was more emotional than practical.  Joel had a lousy year on the court following his signing.  However him putting his name on the dotted line showed at least one player believed in and was committed to the team's vision even when there was no demonstrable evidence that we even had a vision yet.  For years players had clamored to get out of Portland.  Finally one wanted to stay.

--The Promotion of Kevin Pritchard

The primary genius behind the 2006 draft assumed the helm in the spring of 2007, bringing with him an occasionally painful hairstyle, a "normal-folks" sensibility, and more culture than the Louvre in a Petri dish.  Not only did his vision shape the on-court personality of the team, it also drastically improved the communication and joie-de-vivre both internally and externally.  The cloud of the Patterson-Sasse administration departed.  The media war ceased.  Pritchard was all over the airwaves preaching a new message and a new era to anyone who would listen.  It was like a rain shower after a drought.  Everybody from the analytical purist to the passionate fan to the media personalities to Blazer employees loved and respected him.  Love and respect had been missing from Blazer conversations for a long time.  Even though there were a lot of other factors feeding into the Blazer renaissance, this has become the symbolic keystone event of the new era.

--Winning the Draft Lottery

You knew things were going well before the lottery drawing in May of 2007, but the revival movement grew beyond the mere struggles of mortals and passed into the realm of the blessing of the universe/fates/basketball gods when Portland's combination came up #1 and Greg Oden fell into our hands.  It was less a turning point than a near-divine confirmation of everything that had been happening.  This was the moment when the whole city exploded and admitted that yes, the Blazers were back.  (And yes, there was a good possibility we were still in love with them.)  This was like your parents telling you that you were getting a new bike for your birthday, then finding out it was a Harley.

Speaking of, does anybody else think the Blazers should contact those Orange County Chopper guys and have them build a vicious black and red Blazer bike, then give it away at a game?

--Paul Allen Buying Back the Rose Garden

This move accomplished two things.  First it all but put to rest the specter of any possible move away from Portland...a threat which had hung over the team during the bankruptcy years.  While still technically possible, it seemed unlikely that Allen would invest that much money purchasing and renovating the arena simply to abandon it.  Second, it showed once and for all that the team would have the money and resources it needed to get the job done.  While this may be a more fiscally responsible organization than it was in the S.P.A.M. years ("Spending Paul Allen's Money" for the uninitiated) it will remain a first-class organization.  What's more it will be the only arena in the league where the fans chant, "Scoooooore...board" before the game even tips off.

--Trading Z-Bo

Fairly or not (and it probably mostly was), Zach Randolph became a symbol of everything that was wrong with the old era: players who were overpaid, stat-oriented, lacking defensive ability, lackadaisical in their play, practice, and preparation, and who were socially and legally challenged.  It was an ill-kept secret that at least one of the major young players requested that Zach not return after the 2006-07 season.  On draft night 2007 Kevin Pritchard obliged, sending the troubled forward to New York for Channing Frye, James Jones, and a very expensive contract buyout of Steve Francis.  Another way to look at this is they dumped Zach for a lot of potential cap space in a couple years.  While not exactly a talent raid, the team did accomplish its goal of clearing the court and locker room of a dominating and not-necessarily-productive presence, paving the way for the new players to shine unadulterated.  

Amid all these specific moments one general trend also needs to be highlighted, that being the proliferation of internet sites like OregonLive, the OregonLive forum, the Behind the Blazers Beat blog, John Canzano's blog, Truehoop, and yes, even this site.  All of these places, in one way or another, became outlets for the vox populi.   One of the main sins of the old regime (maybe the one that mattered most in the end) was that it became criminally, radically, devastatingly out of touch with the people.  It's not just that the team and its fans were in the same room and not speaking to each other...they weren't even on the same planet.  Sites like these highlighted a lot of things that were going wrong, but that was the lesser part of their function.  Any reasonable basketball mind could have figured that out.  The greatest function of these sites has been providing the cradle into which this infant new culture has been laid and fed.  "Culture" in itself is not an absolute term, the same in all times and all places.  By definition it is relative to the people it encompasses.  Portland/Blazer culture is not the same as New York/Knick culture.  Though sites like this did not create the culture or the need for it they did help teach the organization what it looked like through our eyes and how to communicate it to us.  Kevin Pritchard had the idea of culture long before he came to Portland but he couldn't know exactly what it would look or sound like until he heard it from people like us.  There is no "Portland Trailblazers culture" without Portland.  And there is no bigger, more public voice for Portland in the basketball realm than sites like these.

I am firmly convinced that without the access to the public forum provided by online resources the new era would not be taking off as successfully as it is.  If coverage were still limited to one article with a boxscore in the margin and communication still went one direction (out from the organization and never back in) we'd all be a lot farther behind.  The internet didn't cause the revolution but it did shape it and drastically increase its speed and ease.

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

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For me...
I knew things had changed when I watched Roy play his first professional game up in Seattle.  He was spectacular and I knew we had finally gotten a real player.  I still believe that Roy is the lucky charm behind all the blazers good fortune.  Roy was behind it all, his success helped KP get promoted, it gave Mr allen the confidence to buy back the garden, it was Roy that asked for Zach to be traded, and of course Roy won us Mr. Oden... The second we traded for Roy on draft day, nothing but good things started happening.
RUDY > MJ

by myemic23 on Oct 17, 2007 2:17 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Great post
Roy was even involved (if possibly not the actual instigator) in getting the Blazers to camp a month early.  He's the Blazers' Magic Johnson--in terms of being a natural leader on & off the court.  Hmm--and Magic's Lakers won a championship or two, didn't they?

by hurryup09 on Oct 17, 2007 3:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course...
Dave's keys to the Blazers' turnaround are all valid--and well argued--also.  A remarkable number of positive things have fallen into place for this franchise over the past year.  From the outhouse to the penthouse...

by hurryup09 on Oct 17, 2007 3:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Roy vs. Sonics
I went to the same game in Seattle last year. From the way upper deck, I remember watching Roy break down the Sonics off the dribble at least twice at the end of the game. It was really impressive. Roy's game that night reminded me of a pitcher who could strike people out with power, but then throw a totally unexpected off-speed pitch to close the inning. He just had everybody watching from the wrong foot.

by superyeadon on Oct 17, 2007 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

OCC Bike...
as cool as that would be... its a bike from new york... come on... new york...

Besides, there are a few chopper shops in the portland area I am sure would love to get the publicity. Keep Oregon Green should be a motto that means more then just keeping trash of the streets.

For myself, the point I realized that we have a team again was when we traded off Zach. And it really wasnt that we traded Zach, but when "The Buffet" was born. Everything up to that point was us headding in the right direction, but after reading that interview, the repressed fan seriously in me broke out.

I may have sipped a bit too much on the KP Juice... but I am excited to watch this team play.

"OK, it's going to rain tomorrow. And there is going to be a Greenpeace meeting and hippies are going to be protesting" ~ The Buffet of Goodness on Portland

by Blazer on Oct 17, 2007 3:32 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

YES!!!
You said Synergy!
We applied the cortical electrodes but we're unable to get a neural reaction from either patient.

by ratbastird on Oct 17, 2007 5:56 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I let that slide because it was Dave who said it
As long as you don't include "culture," "process," and "matrix" in that same sentence, I can hold my tongue.  :-)

by hurryup09 on Oct 17, 2007 6:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How about...
Paradigm, actionable (or action item) and deliverable?

Ahh...nothing like corporate buzzword bingo.

by DonkeyShins on Oct 17, 2007 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Horrible thought
I just had a horrible thought.  Long ago, after Pat Riley had his success coaching the "Showtime" Lakers, he cashed in as a high-paid speaker at corporate leadership seminars.  (As though it took innovative leadership skills to win championships with THAT team!)

Anyway, here's that awful thought: that, after the Blazers win a couple championships, KP will follow in Riley's footsteps.  I love KP, but he's already fluent in corporate management-speak, isn't he?  

Thankfully, KP is equally adept in the language of basketball.  And that's what makes him such a great GM--he can get Paul Allen, Vulcan, Nate, and the players all on the same page.

by hurryup09 on Oct 17, 2007 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah
I thought about shouting BINGO when dave wrote that.

I think he did it on purpose too.

We applied the cortical electrodes but we're unable to get a neural reaction from either patient.

by ratbastird on Oct 17, 2007 9:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting
that previous posters have zeroed in on a variety of events that caught their attention - and for me it was yet a different one - the hiring of McMillan.  For a number of years I'd only paid minimal attention to the team.  I must have watched some games in recent years because I can remember the comments about Cheeks mismanaging his 4th quarter timeouts again and again.  But once Nate was hired I started reading all the articles and watching the games. He said all the right things for me.  And then finding Blazer Thoughts assured my return to fanaticism.  People who could discuss the team without name calling? Amazing!  Just getting involved with this segment of the fan base got me to buy tickets - I think I'd been to only one game in the Rose Garden before last season.  This season I will go to even more.

So cheers to Nate and to BE for getting this long-time fan back into it again.

This team is going to get scary..! - "Rasta bird" 10/14/07

by jorga on Oct 17, 2007 6:54 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think the hiring of Nate was very important...
but I think it goes a little deeper.  I think the fact that they backed Nate up from day one is also important.

They could have hired Phil Jackson and if they had constantly undermined him the way they did to Cheeks, it wouldn't have made any difference.

Hiring a good, tough coach and standing behind him made an immediate positive impact.

At least that's the way I see it.

by ken on Oct 17, 2007 6:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rock Bottom
For me the turning point was when the players quit on Nate and mailed in the last 30 games of the '05 season. At that point, there was nowhere to go but up.

Like any good investor would say, "buy low, and hold on." It was at that point that my fading Blazermania caught fire again because I knew change was in the air. Something drastic was on the horizon be it good or bad, something was coming.

That something turned out to be one of the most exciting drafts in history. I've sat through a few over the years, but nothing could beat that. Having David Stern anouncing trade after trade involving the Blazers was incredible.

So, although I believe all of Dave's points could be argued, I don't believe you could make a positive move until you've truely hit Rock Bottom.

by Steve The Hedge on Oct 17, 2007 9:55 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think that firing Cheeks was the first move
When KP became the interim coach, that was when I started to think that maybe, just maybe, this team would start turning around.

Great article, Dave--this should be linked at TrueHoop and everywhere else.

"It's low fat and has Culture!" (Krang)

by jamon51 on Oct 17, 2007 10:22 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Another one...
I like that the players lobbied to sign Ime in preseason last year.  They knew that he would help win games. It showed that they knew that they needed to be a team.

by lama on Oct 17, 2007 10:39 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

In all the posts I have read before..
This one was the best.  

Thanks for the perspective..

Was Damon really a bad Blazer, or did he get the short end of the stick?

by rpxxxiv on Oct 17, 2007 10:47 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

That's not all...
You could go back farther, to when Rasheed, Ruben, and Bonzi were traded.  

I think the low point was when a fan was tossed for his "Trade Whitsett" sign.  That incident signified the nadir of the Blazer management/fans relationship.

by MiledAnimal on Oct 17, 2007 11:03 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Actually, I think it was a her (not him)
Yeah, that was pretty much a low point for me as well.  It was hard to be a fan then.

by DonkeyShins on Oct 17, 2007 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ever since KP took the interim job
things have been on the upswing. He had to get to know the mess personally before he could fix it. We should call him the oncologist. My buddy and I had to actually ask sports bars in Portland to put the Blazers on that spring, "just one TV, please?" it was so bad. Between Miles tired 17 foot bricks, Telfair's scintillating drives to...um nowhere, and good ole Ruben ignoring the play and going one on five, we had to laugh to keep from crying.

Obviously, the hiring of Sarge was huge. I remember thinking why in the hell he would ever come here after what he was doing in Seattle- I guess McMillian saw the writing on the wall in Seattle and the opportunity to build something from the ground up here.

Which gets us to Roy- I was so pissed in that brief moment during the draft when I thought we had drafted Foye- what? Another undersized shoot first point guard? I ducked in to the Cheerful Tortoise after class at PSU to catch it, then biked over to my buddy's house. In that 15 minutes, Foye turned to Roy and happy days were here again.

by Atomic Dog 71 on Oct 17, 2007 11:35 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Hrmm
Great stuff.

But one thing... no mention of Mike Barrett's blog? You don't get that type of access from most teams.

by damir on Oct 17, 2007 11:35 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think...
It was the Aldridge/Roy/Sergio draft, and then the sense to promote the guy that orchestrated it.  A really think those two moments go hand and together mark the real point of inflection (sorry for the nerd-speak) on the Blazers' arc.

by jksnake99 on Oct 17, 2007 11:43 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Every time I read one of Dave's posts I feel like
I need to go back to school. He is so articulate! What a great blog.

by jferg on Oct 17, 2007 1:15 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Excellent Analysis
For me the turning point came when Patterson delivered donuts to the police stations. That moment assured us of his leaving. It had to get the attention of Paul Allen and it may have been a point when Mr Allen began polling and listening to some subordinates - especially KP and sealed Patterson's fate. By the 06 draft KP was already the voice in the draft room. But management was still a big problem. So thanks to Steve Patterson, whose absolute ignorance of stereotypes and their negative effect, for showing that a complete management change was needed.

And thanks to you Dave who has authored and supported the catalyst of change in Portland through Blazers Edge. Also thanks to True Hood before it got ESPN'd as Henry and posters there were a pointer to both the potential and the problems.

by lee3022 on Oct 17, 2007 1:24 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

#1 is drafting B Roy and I can't imagine its close
Heel or no heel, Brandon Roy is going to be the engine behind this machine.  

by leeroyjenkins on Oct 17, 2007 2:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Great post...
I know I'm late to jump on the bandwagon here, but I think you have to consider the "Drafting of Roy/Aldridge/Sergio" from a different angle and when you do, it seems like without a doubt the single largest moment in the changing of the guard.

I remember watching the draft and hearing Stephen A. Hayes scream about how "The Blazers have absolutely no idea what they're doing... They're just making trades at this point to make trades..." and on and on and on, but I realized something. The Blazers were making moves. The 2005 team quit. They flat out stopped playing, which is down right unacceptable in the NBA.

Management (this is where we credit KP) refused to keep players of this stature on the roster. Theo Ratliff was one of the first to go along with Telfair, then Ruben followed, Miles went down with an injury otherwise he would've been gone, and eventually Randolph slammed the door on 2005. The Blazers then targeted players who wanted to play and wanted to play in Portland.

We traded for players like Fred Jones. We signed Ime Udoka to a season long contract. Even though they weren't all-stars, the simple fact that they wanted to be here made the season that much more successful.

Then, we were aggressive in the draft, again. Normally, after setting a franchise record number of draft day deals, a team would take it easy in the ensuing season. Not the Blazers. We targeted players with a winning pedigree to surround our foundation. Rudy Fernandez, Taureen Green, and Josh McRoberts all have impressive basketball resumes.

Finally, we can't understate the little things that have changed the demeanor of the team. Gone is the lavish over-spending that riddled the Whitsitt era, but a new sense of fiscal responsibility has arrived. There's the hiring of the Sports Psychologist for Martell Webster (and look at the results!), the hiring of the shooting coach, and the new HD screen at center court. I know these are small details, but they are also tell-tale signs of a team on the rise...

by Champs2009 on Oct 17, 2007 2:15 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The turning point for me
was when we made the playoffs again.  Oh wait,  that hasn't happened yet.

by EnglandDan on Oct 17, 2007 3:35 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The shooting coach
I think that's going to be a watershed moment if the  Blazers actually raise their PPG in the regular season like they have in the preseason.  Just another example of Pritch willing to go out and make the changes and take the chances before everyone else.

by robrun2 on Oct 17, 2007 3:40 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The moment that gave me hope
I suppose, for me, it's when they began shipping out the old players.  It was a sign that enough was enough and we were done.

I love the blazers, and I'm okay if they lose as long as they try hard.  I hated the character of the team, but even more I hated the fact that WE GAVE UP!!!  Out team quit on us and that made me angry beyond belief.

I was a fan of the portland fire.  Why?  they sucked, but they were playing hard right down to the last SECOND!  They didn't stop hustling for a moment.  I loved that.  

That in contrast to the blazers made me check out other teams. I still loved the blazers, but I couldn't stand them.  Instead I got my jolly's from the spurs (har har har), and the suns.  They became the two teams that I started flirting with and showing some love to.

When we began shipping out the garbage, I became interested in more than a casual manner.  Could my team really be changing?  Was it no longer talk but really action?

Draft day happened and something amazing took place.  We took all three players that I wanted in the draft.  We didn't just go after talent, we went after character and culture.

The team was still a jumble though.  They played early but they still weren't a team.  I think Roy, as much as Nate and KP, has really brought this team together.  

This year we were lucky in the draft, but that wasn't the biggest move we made.  The biggest move we made was in shipping off Zach.  He doesn't fit our team now.  Team play, sharing the ball, quick movement.  

Our team is exciting because of character and style of play.   They may not win, but I know I'm going to love watching them.

I'm still at 38-42 wins, but I'm waiting for the last preseason game to make my final projection.

So, the turning point began long ago.  What is the crescendo of this turn?  I think we're going to see that this season.  This is the season people will sit up and take notice and the casual fan will gasp and say "my god, I can be a fan again".  I think many will look at this season as the turning point, even though we began this turn over a year ago.

I can't wait for blazermania to hit portland again.  Maybe it won't be the same as it was in my youth, but it's was amazing thing and I think this team will help bring it's rebirth.

We applied the cortical electrodes but we're unable to get a neural reaction from either patient.

by ratbastird on Oct 17, 2007 8:11 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No Question for Me
February 12, 2004, 7:48 AM ET

 ATLANTA -- The Portland Trail Blazers' problems off the court are well documented, and no one symbolized what was wrong with the franchise more than bad boy Rasheed Wallace.

So the Trail Blazers finally did something about it. - espn.com

This was liberation day.  This showed me that they were serious about changing.  Rasheed was the face of the era, which I will not name, in Blazer history.    

There were missteps with the Patterson era for sure.  He was a lot of bluster at times and didn't handle a wounded fan base and media too well; but he did what needed to be done regarding Sheed.  

I cannot stress enough how big of a day this was for me in my relationship with the Blazers.

by tssbro on Oct 17, 2007 10:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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