FanPost

Comparisons for Blazers' BAE Point Guard Options *Update in comments*

Stephen Dunn

ed. bumped to front page

Hi folks. Here is a quick comparison of some of our point guard options at the BAE level. I did not include Jameer Nelson because I simply do not believe that he'll come here for the BAE. He will either make more money than that or he will go to a consensus contender. I also did not include Devin Harris or Ramon Sessions as their current teams are looking to resign them. If there is another realistic target you'd like added to the analysis, just let me know.

Disclaimer: These are not the end-all-be-all of basketball metrics. They are what's readily available and come in a format that's easy for me import into Excel. I did not look at Synergy stats for this analysis because they take longer to analyze and because no one's defense can be significantly worse than Mo's (well, unless we were targeting James Harden as our backup PG).

Per-36

Moper-36_png_original_medium

Advanced

Moadvanced_png_original_medium

On-Off

Moon-off_png_original_medium

What this comparison tells me is exactly how replaceable Mo Williams is. He is not the clear favorite in any statistical subset. Steve Blake, Aaron Brooks, and Beno Udrih lead the Per-36 group. Aaron Brooks, D.J. Augustin, and Jordan Crawford are favored by the advanced stats. Steve Blake and Aaron Brooks are clear leaders in the on-off subset.

In my mind this really relieves us of any pressure to offer Mo an unfavorable, long-term contract. In fact, if I could get a verbal commitment from Aaron Brooks, D.J. Augustin, or Steve Blake, the best I'd offer Mo is two years with a team option for the second and I'd maybe include some guaranteed money in the second year like we did for Kaman. But Honestly, if I could secure Aaron Brooks or D.J. Augustin I'd probably thank Mo for his services and part ways.

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