FanPost

Formula for Success

The Blazers have 4 games this year where they haven't scored more than 90 points:

Nov 11: Phoenix 89 @ Portland 90

Jan 26: Golden State 103 vs Portland 88

Jan 28: Memphis 98 @ Portland 81

Feb 3: Washington 100 vs Portland 90

Clearly, the Blazers have to have their offense going; if they can't score more than 90 points, they're 1-3 (and probably should be 0-4 in those games).

So:

Criteria 1: Offense being productive enough to score more than 90 points.

Criteria 2: Holding the opponent to a FG% of less than 48%.

When the Blazers score more than 90 points and hold their opponent to less than 48% from the field, the Blazers are 37-4. That's a winning percentage of 90.25%.

The 4 losses:

* An overtime loss @Indiana (118-113)

* A 1-point loss to the Lakers (107-106)

* A 2-point loss to the 76ers (101-99)

* A 4 point loss to the Kings (123-117)

No one is mourning an overtime loss @Indiana.

Two of those losses are inexcusable, and simply come down to hustle.

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There are two teams that shoot better than 48% from the field:

Miami Heat have a FG% of 51.1%

San Antonio Spurs have a FG% of 48.8%

The league average is 45.2% from the field.

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Simple formula really:

Hold your opponent' FG% to less than 48%

Score more than 90 points

And the Blazers will either win the game, or have a chance to win it with less than a minute to go.

With the 'clutch' stats the Blazers have generated this year, I feel extremely comfortable with that proposition.

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Go Blazers!

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