The Blazers have 4 games this year where they haven't scored more than 90 points:
Nov 11: Phoenix 89 @ Portland 90
Jan 26: Golden State 103 vs Portland 88
Jan 28: Memphis 98 @ Portland 81
Feb 3: Washington 100 vs Portland 90
Clearly, the Blazers have to have their offense going; if they can't score more than 90 points, they're 1-3 (and probably should be 0-4 in those games).
Criteria 1: Offense being productive enough to score more than 90 points.
Criteria 2: Holding the opponent to a FG% of less than 48%.
When the Blazers score more than 90 points and hold their opponent to less than 48% from the field, the Blazers are 37-4. That's a winning percentage of 90.25%.
The 4 losses:
* An overtime loss @Indiana (118-113)
* A 1-point loss to the Lakers (107-106)
* A 2-point loss to the 76ers (101-99)
* A 4 point loss to the Kings (123-117)
No one is mourning an overtime loss @Indiana.
Two of those losses are inexcusable, and simply come down to hustle.
There are two teams that shoot better than 48% from the field:
Miami Heat have a FG% of 51.1%
San Antonio Spurs have a FG% of 48.8%
The league average is 45.2% from the field.
Simple formula really:
Hold your opponent' FG% to less than 48%
Score more than 90 points
And the Blazers will either win the game, or have a chance to win it with less than a minute to go.
With the 'clutch' stats the Blazers have generated this year, I feel extremely comfortable with that proposition.