Thomas Robinson -- lotto bust or total steal?

I'm trying to gauge what's up with this guy. Optimistically, I understand how a dysfunctional Sacto team could have jettisoned him prematurely, and that Houston needed that $3.5 mil cap space for their top priority of the summer (Aerosmith tickets) but how does a player go from being the #5 pick in the draft to completely expendable in one year?

Here's part of his bio from

2012 Big 12 Player of the Year and Consensus NCAA All-American First Team (Wooden, NABC, CBS Sports, USBWA, ESPN, Sporting News) after averaging a career-best 17.7 ppg (.505 FG%, .682 FT%), 11.9 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.1 spg, and 31.8 mpg in 39 appearances while leading the Jayhawks in scoring and rebounds ...

Became the first unanimous AP First Team All-American since Blake Griffin in 2009 ...

Recorded 27 double-doubles to lead the nation and surpass Drew Gooden's Kansas single-season record of 25 set in 2002 ...

Ranked second nationally in rebounding in 2011-12 ...

... Was an honor roll member his senior year at Brewster Academy ...

I'm hoping he's not a Thabeet-level lotto bust but really like the relatively low-cost gamble and potential upside if the Blazers cultivate this guy into a really nice asset. I'm all for guys coming up from the bench to become stars (e.g., Jermaine).

So, the first question becomes, can the Blazers figure out what it takes to forge him into the legitimate back up power forward of the future? And beyond that, can he become so good that he simply can't not-start, and thus create a trade opportunity with either Robinson or LaMarcus then being redundant?

Or, did two teams take home a vehicle that looked like a Ferrari only to find out it was a home-assembled kit-car with only the initial appearance of a high-end sports car?

B.Edgers, What do you think? Did the Blazers buy low on a stock that's only going to increase in value or did the Blazers grab a once-shiney stock that's bound to continue losing value and delist?

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