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Anthony Bennet Comparable Analysis

Name Height Inches no Shoes Height Inches w/shoes Weight Body Fat Hand Length Hand Width Wingspan Inches Reach in Inches No Step Vert Reach in Inches Max Vert Reach in inches No Step Vert Max Vert Bench Agility Sprint
Anthony Bennett 77.85 79 239 85

Name Weight > than standard (in lbs) Body Fat < than Standard (as a % of BF) Wingspan > than standard (in inches) Reach > than standard (in inches) Vertical > than standard (in inches) Speed > than standard (in sec) Agility > than standard (in sec) # additional bench reps than expected
Anthony Bennett 30 2.88
Anthony Bennett was hurt with a shoulder injury that required surgery, and as a result he could not participate in most of the combine measurements. He measured 6-7 in shoes, so on average that would make him 6-5 3/4" without shoes. With a weight of 239, at that height he measures 30 pounds heavier than the average player of that height. He has a wingspan of 85" which is 2.88" longer than average.

Below are the top 40 Comp seasons to Anthony Bennett at age 19. The 4th column is only statistical similarity, and does not include any combine measurements.
Anthony Bennett Freshman season age 19
Player Age Conference Statistical Similarity
Brandon Bass 19 Southeastern 94.6%
Brandon Hunter 20 Mid-American 94.3%
Al Thornton 22 Atlantic Coast 94.5%
Paul Millsap 18 Western Athletic 89.5%
Ryan Gomes 19 Big East 91.4%
Derrick Williams 18 Pacific 12 93.8%
Lazar Hayward 22 Big East 95.1%
Anthony Tolliver 23 Missouri Valley 94.0%
Rodney Rogers 19 Atlantic Coast 93.3%
Al Thornton 23 Atlantic Coast 93.4%
Orlando Johnson 20 Big West 92.8%
Damion James 21 Big-12 95.5%
Ryan Gomes 21 Big East 92.8%
Clarence Weatherspoon 18 Conference USA 93.3%
Draymond Green 21 Big Ten 92.4%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 18 Southeastern 92.2%
Kawhi Leonard 18 Mountain West 92.7%
Jared Sullinger 19 Big Ten 94.6%
Lazar Hayward 21 Big East 93.5%
Kawhi Leonard 19 Mountain West 92.9%
Paul Millsap 19 Western Athletic 87.9%
Jeff Adrien 21 Big East 92.5%
Jeff Adrien 20 Big East 91.4%
Damion James 20 Big-12 94.0%
Ike Diogu 19 Pacific 12 92.1%
Brandon Bass 18 Southeastern 91.5%
Draymond Green 19 Big Ten 89.9%
Terrence Jones 19 Southeastern 94.5%
Danny Granger 20 Mountain West 93.6%
Mike Sweetney 18 Big East 92.2%
Lonny Baxter 22 Atlantic Coast 93.1%
Al Thornton 21 Atlantic Coast 90.3%
Ryan Gomes 20 Big East 90.2%
Lamond Murray 19 Pacific 12 92.5%
Lamond Murray 18 Pacific 12 93.0%
Justin Reed 20 Southeastern 93.0%
Derrick Williams 19 Pacific 12 92.8%
Draymond Green 20 Big Ten 91.1%
Damion James 22 Big-12 94.6%
Marlon Maxey 20 Conference USA 93.4%
NBA All Star or Better 0%
Very good NBA starter Paul Milsapp, Danny Granger, Kawhi Leonard 13%
Above average to below average NBA starter or rotation player Ryan Gomes, Lamond Murray, Mike Sweetney, Brandon Bass, Clarence Weatherspoon, Derrick Williams 45%
Below average, lowish minute NBA player Al Thornton, Lazar Hayward, Jeff Adrien, Draymond Green 30%
NBA washout Damion James, Marlon Maxey, Brandon Hunter 13%
According to the bell curve, Anthony Bennett projects as a 60% probability of being a little below average or better. He also projects a low probability, 13%, that he will washout in less than 3 seasons. He has a 30% probability of being a below average low minute rotation player, but I believe that is a bit too harsh. One player in this group, Al Thornton, came into the league as a 24 year old rookie, and over 4 years he averaged 27 minutes per game. His WS/48 was low, and only played 4 years which is why I dropped to that category. Lonnie Baxter had a decent WS (.075), but his minute totals were low. Draymond Green has played one season, with a low WS, but was very productive in 12 playoff games. Jeff Adrien is a borderline player as well. So the long and short of that is that a fairly good case could be made, that Anthony Bennett has an 80% probability of being no worse than a little below league average or better, starter/high minute player. That is one of the best bell curves so far. He doesn't have superstar potential, a 25-32 minutes a night with a 0.11 to 0.12 WS is certainly probable for his career.

Average Adjusted Stat Line for Target Player
Season Shooting Statistics Totals
FG FGA FG% 2P 2PA 2P% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% TS% eFG%
Anthony Bennett 1 248 558 44.4% 223 476 46.7% 25 81 31.0% 125 172 72.6% 50.5% 46.7%
Anthony Bennett 2 351 763 46.0% 316 657 48.0% 36 106 33.4% 173 236 73.3% 52.1% 48.3%
Anthony Bennett 3 367 797 46.1% 331 691 47.9% 36 107 33.7% 186 246 75.6% 52.4% 48.4%
3 Year Average 329 721 45.6% 297 621 47.6% 33 100 32.9% 165 223 74.0% 51.8% 47.9%
Season Accumulation Stats Totals
ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV A/TO PF PTS
Anthony Bennett 1 96 231 326 71 45 39 82 0.88 143 646
Anthony Bennett 2 119 294 412 94 61 48 104 0.90 178 911
Anthony Bennett 3 128 305 430 119 57 42 111 1.07 192 956
3 Year Average 116 281 396 97 55 43 101 0.96 174 857
Season Shooting Statistics per 36 Minutes
FG FGA FG% 2P 2PA 2P% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% TS% eFG%
Anthony Bennett 1 5.83 13.10 44.5% 5.22 11.17 46.7% 0.59 1.92 31.0% 2.93 4.05 72.5% 50.5% 46.7%
Anthony Bennett 2 6.12 13.33 45.9% 5.51 11.46 48.0% 0.62 1.87 33.3% 3.04 4.14 73.4% 52.1% 48.3%
Anthony Bennett 3 6.21 13.48 46.1% 5.58 11.66 47.9% 0.62 1.83 33.6% 3.15 4.17 75.6% 52.4% 48.4%
3 Year Average 6.1 13.3 45.6% 5.5 11.5 47.6% 0.6 1.9 32.8% 3.1 4.1 74.0% 51.8% 47.9%
Season Accumulation Stats per 36 Minutes
ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV A/TO PF PTS
Anthony Bennett 1 2.26 5.42 7.64 1.67 1.05 0.90 1.91 0.87 3.37 15.16
Anthony Bennett 2 2.09 5.14 7.22 1.64 1.07 0.84 1.83 0.90 3.15 15.92
Anthony Bennett 3 2.17 5.16 7.28 2.00 0.97 0.72 1.87 1.07 3.26 16.18
3 Year Average 2.2 5.2 7.4 1.8 1.0 0.8 1.9 0.96 3.3 15.8
Season Usage Stats
ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG%
Anthony Bennett 1 7.5% 17.5% 12.5% 7.3% 1.5% 1.8% 12.2% 18.5%
Anthony Bennett 2 6.5% 17.2% 11.7% 7.3% 1.4% 1.7% 11.4% 19.1%
Anthony Bennett 3 7.0% 16.7% 11.7% 8.9% 1.4% 1.5% 11.5% 19.1%
3 Year Average 7.0% 17.1% 11.9% 7.9% 1.4% 1.7% 11.7% 18.9%
Season Advanced Measurements
PER ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS WS/48
Anthony Bennett 1 13.08 102.3 103.7 0.71 1.61 2.26 0.075
Anthony Bennett 2 13.90 104.9 105.4 1.79 1.90 3.65 0.085
Anthony Bennett 3 14.27 108.4 107.6 2.43 1.81 4.23 0.096
3 Year Average 13.82 105.5 105.8 4.9 5.3 10.14 0.086
As a rookie, Anthony Bennett projects to be a little below league average, and he will make steady progress until his 3rd year when he essentially becomes a league average player. His 3 year Ortg/Drtg delta projects to be 106/106, so he is about league average both offensively and defensively. He projects to be low risk player without a superstar upside, a solid league average or better player.
Bennett projects to be a below average rebounder for a PF, better than average for a SF. He has SF height and a PF body. His personal foul rate is the lowest of the PF and bigger players in the top 25, and gets a below average # of steals and a little more than average # of blocks. His turnover rate is actually pretty solid, but has a low assist rate, so his A/TO rates are mediocre. He has an average usage rate, and he will get to the foul line just a little more than average, but he does have a nice FT rate of 74%.
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