What is the most realistic expectation of what our 4 draft picks will produce? Below I have put together a group of 4 players that essentially express the general range we should expect from Jeff Withey. I have included some selected college stat comparisons, and physical comparisons, and then a projection for each player based upon these 4 players.
Jeff Withey
Physical Attributes
Height Inches no Shoes | Height Inches w/shoes | Weight | Body Fat | Hand Length | Hand Width | Wingspan Inches | Reach in Inches | No Step Vert Reach in Inches | Max Vert Reach in inches | No Step Vert | Max Vert | Bench | Agility | Sprint | |
Jeff Withey | 82.75 | 84.5 | 222 | 8.7% | 9 | 9.75 | 86 | 110.5 | 137 | 139.5 | 26.5 | 29 | 10 | 12.49 | 3.47 |
Cole Aldrich | 81 | 83.25 | 236 | 8.5% | 9 | 9.25 | 88.75 | 111.5 | 134.5 | 139.5 | 23 | 28 | 10 | 11.48 | 3.35 |
Marcus Camby | 81.67 | 83 | 220 | ||||||||||||
Taj Gibson | 80.5 | 81.75 | 214 | 6.6% | 88 | 109 | 134.5 | 139 | 25.5 | 30 | 12 | 11.56 | 3.41 | ||
Loren Woods | 84.75 | 85.75 | 246 | 89.5 | 113 | 137.5 | 141 | 24.5 | 28 | 10 | 11.83 | 3.48 |
Weight > than standard (in lbs) | Body Fat < than Standard (as a % of BF) | Wingspan > than standard (in inches) | Reach > than standard (in inches) | Vertical > than standard (in inches) | Speed > than standard (in sec) | Agility > than standard (in sec) | # additional bench reps than expected | |
Jeff Withey | -19 | 1.56% | -1.42 | -0.07 | -0.41 | 0.04 | -0.34 | 2 |
Cole Aldrich | -1 | -0.19% | 2.63 | 2.57 | -4.77 | 0.19 | 0.64 | 3 |
Marcus Camby | -16 | |||||||
Taj Gibson | -18 | 0.36% | 2.66 | 1.58 | -4.21 | 0.03 | 0.46 | 4 |
Loren Woods | -7 | 1.45 | 1.17 | -1.7 | 0.12 | 0.49 | 3 |
College Stats on a per 40 minute basis
Player | School | Age | Pts | FG | FGA | FG% | 2Pt | 2PtA | 2P% | 3Pt | 3PtA | 3P% | FTM | FTA | FT% | |
Jeff Withey | Kansas | 22 | 2012-13 | 17.8 | 6.5 | 11.1 | 58% | 6.4 | 11.1 | 58% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100% | 4.8 | 6.7 | 71% |
Cole Aldrich | Kansas | 21 | 2009-10 | 16.8 | 6.2 | 11.0 | 56% | 6.2 | 11.0 | 56% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0% | 4.5 | 6.6 | 68% |
Marcus Camby | Massachusetts | 20 | 1994-95 | 24.5 | 9.8 | 17.8 | 55% | 9.7 | 17.7 | 55% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 100% | 4.9 | 7.6 | 64% |
Taj Gibson | USC | 23 | 2008-09 | 17.0 | 6.4 | 10.7 | 60% | 6.4 | 10.7 | 60% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0% | 4.1 | 6.2 | 66% |
Loren Woods | Arizona | 22 | 2000-01 | 17.5 | 6.1 | 12.0 | 50% | 6.0 | 11.9 | 51% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0% | 5.3 | 6.4 | 83% |
Average of comps | 18.9 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 55% | 7.1 | 12.8 | 55% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 25% | 4.7 | 6.7 | 70% |
Player | School | Age | Off | Def | TOT | Asts | Stls | Blks | TOs | PFs | |
Jeff Withey | Kansas | 22 | 2012-13 | 2.8 | 8.3 | 11.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
Cole Aldrich | Kansas | 21 | 2009-10 | 4.6 | 10.1 | 14.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 3.8 |
Marcus Camby | Massachusetts | 20 | 1994-95 | 3.4 | 7.5 | 11.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
Taj Gibson | USC | 23 | 2008-09 | 4.2 | 6.5 | 10.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 3.5 |
Loren Woods | Arizona | 22 | 2000-01 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
Average of comps | 3.7 | 7.5 | 11.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 3.6 |
Player | School | Age | PER | EFF | EFF/40 | WS/40 | Pos /g | % Tm Pos | Pts / Pos | FGA / Pos | FTA / Pos | PTs /g | FGA /g | Pts /Play | TS% | WS/ Poss 40 | St-Bl-Rb / PF 40 min | |
Jeff Withey | Kansas | 22 | 2012-13 | 15.8 | 20.8 | 27.0 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 20.9% | 1.24 | 0.77 | 0.47 | 13.7 | 5.0 | 1.09 | 62.2% | 1.01 | 6.36 |
Cole Aldrich | Kansas | 21 | 2009-10 | 14.5 | 20.0 | 29.8 | 17.4 | 14.3 | 20.4% | 1.18 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 1.06 | 59.8% | 1.22 | 5.50 |
Marcus Camby | Massachusetts | 20 | 1994-95 | 14.1 | 17.7 | 31.2 | 14.1 | 21.7 | 32.5% | 1.13 | 0.82 | 0.35 | 13.9 | 5.5 | 1.02 | 57.4% | 0.65 | 4.23 |
Taj Gibson | USC | 23 | 2008-09 | 16.3 | 21.0 | 24.9 | 13.3 | 13.9 | 21.2% | 1.22 | 0.77 | 0.45 | 14.3 | 5.4 | 1.09 | 62.3% | 0.96 | 4.37 |
Loren Woods | Arizona | 22 | 2000-01 | 13.9 | 18.1 | 23.9 | 10.9 | 14.7 | 22.0% | 1.19 | 0.82 | 0.44 | 13.2 | 4.6 | 1.01 | 58.1% | 0.74 | 4.56 |
Average of comps | 14.7 | 19.2 | 27.5 | 13.9 | 16.1 | 24.0% | 1.18 | 0.80 | 0.43 | 13.2 | 4.9 | 1.05 | 59.4% | 0.89 | 4.67 |
As you can see these 4 players, clearly describe a very tight range of outputs for Jeff Withey. Withey has better comps, and worse comps than these 4, but these 4 comps best describe the median of the 40 comps for Jeff Withey. So we should expect the performance from Jeff Withey to be near the average of these 4 players.
Season | Shooting Statistics Totals | ||||||
FG% | 2P% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% | ||
Jeff Withey | 1 | 49.1% | 48.8% | 0.0% | 68.3% | 54.1% | 49.1% |
Jeff Withey | 2 | 44.9% | 45.3% | 33.3% | 65.5% | 48.9% | 45.0% |
Jeff Withey | 3 | 51.1% | 51.1% | 0.0% | 59.3% | 53.0% | 51.1% |
3 Year Average | 48.5% | 48.6% | 10.4% | 64.0% | 52.1% | 48.6% |
Season | Accumulation Stats per 36 Minutes | |||||||||
ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | PTS | ||
Jeff Withey | 1 | 2.76 | 5.74 | 8.54 | 1.49 | 1.02 | 2.47 | 2.14 | 3.71 | 13.23 |
Jeff Withey | 2 | 3.11 | 5.58 | 8.88 | 1.42 | 1.02 | 2.93 | 1.82 | 3.61 | 10.79 |
Jeff Withey | 3 | 3.24 | 5.89 | 9.10 | 1.30 | 0.88 | 2.55 | 1.96 | 3.93 | 10.85 |
3 Year Average | 3.1 | 5.7 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 11.5 |
Season | Usage Stats | |||||||
ORB% | DRB% | TRB% | AST% | STL% | BLK% | TOV% | ||
Jeff Withey | 1 | 9.0% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 5.1% | 14.1% |
Jeff Withey | 2 | 9.7% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 6.0% | 12.7% |
Jeff Withey | 3 | 10.3% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 5.3% | 14.4% |
3 Year Average | 9.7% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 5.4% | 13.7% |
Season | Advanced Measurements | |||||||
PER | ORtg | DRtg | WS | WS/48 | ||||
Jeff Withey | 1 | 14.98 | 104.6 | 99.4 | 2.70 | 0.093 | ||
Jeff Withey | 2 | 15.07 | 102.8 | 98.9 | 2.50 |
0.086 | ||
Jeff Withey | 3 | 16.55 | 110.7 | 97.3 | 3.51 |
0.121 | ||
3 Year Average | 15.56 | 105.6 | 98.5 | 8.71 |
0.100 |
Jeff Withey projects to produce $13.5 million in wins, and projects to get paid $2,177,719. Portland will net $11,400,000. This was a very good pick.