## Small Forward Rankings using Comparable Analysis

 I have decided to do my ranking strictly on a position by position basis. My reasoning is two fold; 1.) I have a significant bias towards big-man, 2.) I don't yet know how to grade all positions, on a position independent basis. Big men produce more wins, but grading all players on just that scale is not the best way to view this. Any NBA team must fill 5 positions, and you cannot fill all 5 with only big men. While big men will contribute more to a teams wins, one must view all players through the lens of "opportunity cost". A center may out produce a SG, but if that SG out produces the average SG by 20%, then the choice of selecting the big man must be weighed against opportunity cost of passing on the SG. So until I can develop a fair way to assess all players on a scale that measures that opportunity cost, I think it is best to rate players by position. I have separated all players into positions. Some players will appear in two groups (say C and PF, or SG and SF). I used DraftExpress and NBADraft.net as the arbiter on this, if they identified a player in a position then I included that player in that position group. My Rank for SG Name Draft Express Top 100 NBA Draft.net top 100 1 Otto Porter 7 3 2 Anthony Bennett 6 7 3 Deshaun Thomas 51 29 4 Reggie Bullock 28 39 5 Andre Roberson 69 40 6 Jamaal Franklin 23 34 7 Glen Rice Jr. 31 35 8 James Ennis 56 32 9 Shabazz Muhammad 11 12 10 Rodney Williams 93 55 11 Sergey Karasev 20 27 12 Livio Jean-Charles 41 33 13 Solomon Hill 49 58 14 Joan Sastre 97 #N/A 15 Carrick Felix 71 56 16 C.J. Leslie 42 41 17 Tony Snell 39 16 18 Oleksandr Lypovyy 100 90

 Below is a breakdown of all the centers based upon their physical attributes, their "Length", and their "Athleticism". You will not some players do not have data for some measurements. The final table shows what how well the player measured relative to the average of a player of his height, or other measurements, based upon size specific algorithms. Physical Attributes Name Height Inches no Shoes Height Inches w/shoes Weight Body Fat Hand Length Hand Width Otto Porter 79.5 80.5 198 6.7% 8.75 9.25 Anthony Bennett 77.85 79 239 0.0% 0 0 Deshaun Thomas 77 79 220 9.1% 8 8.75 Reggie Bullock 77.75 79 200 7.0% 8.5 9 Andre Roberson 78.25 79 206 7.1% 8.75 9.5 Jamaal Franklin 76 77.25 191 8.3% 8.5 8.25 Glen Rice Jr. 76.5 77.75 211 8.5% 8.5 9 James Ennis 77.75 79 206 4.5% 8.5 8.75 Shabazz Muhammad 76.75 78.25 222 9.0% 9 10 Rodney Williams 77.5 78.5 217 6.5% 8 9 Sergey Karasev 77.86 79 197 0.0% 0 0 Livio Jean-Charles 79.83 81 217 0.0% 0 0 Solomon Hill 77.5 79 226 7.6% 9 10.5 Joan Sastre 78.35 79.53 191 5.9% 0 0 Carrick Felix 76.75 78.25 203 3.3% 8.5 9.5 C.J. Leslie 79.5 80.75 209 8.0% 8.75 9 Tony Snell 78 79.25 198 4.9% 9 9.5 Oleksandr Lypovyy 78.5 79.75 192 0.0% 0 0 Length Name Wingspan Inches Reach in Inches No Step Vert Reach Max Vert Reach No Step Vert Max Vert Otto Porter 85.5 105.5 132.5 141.5 27 36 Anthony Bennett 85 0 0 0 0 0 Deshaun Thomas 82 104 132.5 136 28.5 32 Reggie Bullock 80.75 102 133 138.5 31 36.5 Andre Roberson 83 104.5 134.5 141 30 36.5 Jamaal Franklin 83.25 103.5 0 0 0 0 Glen Rice Jr. 81.25 101.5 134.5 142 33 40.5 James Ennis 83.5 104.5 134 141 29.5 36.5 Shabazz Muhammad 83 104.5 134 141.5 29.5 37 Rodney Williams 83 104.5 140.5 147 36 42.5 Sergey Karasev 81.25 0 0 0 0 0 Livio Jean-Charles 86.5 0 0 0 0 0 Solomon Hill 81 103 132.5 140.5 29.5 37.5 Joan Sastre 81.1 100.39 122.09 129.49 21.7 29.1 Carrick Felix 81.25 103.5 135.5 142 32 38.5 C.J. Leslie 86.25 104.5 137 145 32.5 40.5 Tony Snell 83.5 105.5 135.5 142 30 36.5 Oleksandr Lypovyy 80 104 132 136 28 32

 Athleticism Name No Step Vert Max Vert Bench Agility Sprint Otto Porter 27 36 9 11.25 3.4 Anthony Bennett 0 0 0 0 0 Jamaal Franklin 0 0 0 0 0 Reggie Bullock 31 36.5 11 11.33 3.31 Andre Roberson 30 36.5 10 11.36 3.34 Deshaun Thomas 28.5 32 5 12.94 3.53 Glen Rice Jr. 33 40.5 10 10.99 3.25 James Ennis 29.5 36.5 7 11.55 3.38 Shabazz Muhammad 29.5 37 10 10.99 3.32 Rodney Williams 36 42.5 0 10.78 3.1 Sergey Karasev 0 0 0 0 0 Livio Jean-Charles 0 0 0 0 0 Solomon Hill 29.5 37.5 14 10.77 3.19 Joan Sastre 21.7 29.1 0 0 3.32 Carrick Felix 32 38.5 15 11.16 3.25 C.J. Leslie 32.5 40.5 0 10.19 3.1 Tony Snell 30 36.5 7 10.36 3.25 Oleksandr Lypovyy 28 32 0 12.14 3.43

 Name Weight > than standard Body Fat % < than Standard Wingspan > than standard Reach > than standard Vertical > than standard Speed > than standard Agility > than standard Greater # bench reps than avg Otto Porter -31 2.0% 1.47 -0.28 -1.87 -0.03 0.49 2 Anthony Bennett 30 0.0% 2.88 0 0 0 0 0 Deshaun Thomas 11 1.2% -0.12 0.51 -0.94 -0.14 -1.37 -7 Reggie Bullock -9 0.8% -1.37 -1.49 2.01 0.05 0.12 1 Andre Roberson -18 1.2% 0.53 0.7 1.97 -0.07 0 0 Jamaal Franklin -13 2.7% 2.95 2.31 0 0 0 0 Glen Rice Jr. 5 1.2% 0.43 -0.35 3.83 0.03 0.17 -2 James Ennis -3 -2.2% 1.38 1.01 -0.48 0 -0.03 -3 Shabazz Muhammad 15 0.8% 1.66 2 -0.3 0.02 0.41 -2 Rodney Williams 9 -1.3% 1.4 1.67 6.2 0.17 0.37 0 Sergey Karasev -12 0.0% -0.87 0 0 0 0 0 Livio Jean-Charles -13 0.0% 1.94 0 0 0 0 0 Solomon Hill 17 -0.9% -1.12 -0.49 0.42 0.19 0.75 1 Joan Sastre -35 1.8% -1.92 -4.11 -5.68 0 0 0 Carrick Felix -4 -3.3% -0.09 1 2.83 0.06 0.13 4 C.J. Leslie -20 2.1% 1.96 -1.6 3.38 0.22 1.33 0 Tony Snell -27 -0.1% 0.77 1.37 1.81 0.03 1.04 -2 Oleksandr Lypovyy -35 0.0% -3.25 -0.79 0.99 -0.11 -0.57 0 Among the notable bits of data The tallest player without shoes is Dario Saric, who has pulled out of the draft. The next tallest is Livio Jean-Charles The heaviest player is Anthony Bennett at 239 lbs. The lightest player is Joan Sastre at 191 lbs The player with the largest hands is Solomon Hill, and Deshaun Thomas, and Jamaal Franklin have the smallest hands. Best leapers is Rodney Williams, the worst is Joan Sastre. The longest wingspan is Livio Jean-Charles, and the shortest is Oleksander Lypovyy. The quickest and most agile is C.J. Leslie, the least quick and agile is Deshaun Thomas.

 Included below is the projected 3 year average statistical line for each of the players. They are broken down into specific categories, 1.) Shooting, 2.) Accumulation per 36 minutes, 3.) % Rate Stats, and 4.) Advanced Measurements. SHOOTING EFFICIENCY Name FG% 2P% 3P% FT% TS% eFG% Otto Porter 46.1% 49.3% 36.5% 78.5% 54.6% 50.7% Anthony Bennett 45.6% 47.6% 32.8% 74.0% 51.8% 47.9% Deshaun Thomas 43.1% 45.2% 35.8% 80.4% 51.3% 47.3% Reggie Bullock 43.1% 45.9% 39.3% 76.0% 54.3% 51.6% Andre Roberson 44.5% 47.4% 32.1% 70.0% 50.8% 47.7% Jamaal Franklin 43.2% 46.2% 33.7% 80.1% 52.2% 47.3% Glen Rice Jr. 43.0% 45.6% 36.0% 76.1% 51.5% 47.9% James Ennis 45.6% 51.5% 36.0% 77.9% 55.7% 52.6% Shabazz Muhammad 41.7% 43.3% 36.7% 78.5% 50.3% 46.5% Rodney Williams 45.6% 48.6% 35.8% 73.0% 53.1% 49.9% Sergey Karasev 43.3% 44.5% 41.0% 80.8% 53.8% 50.3% Livio Jean-Charles 48.4% 51.3% 36.1% 74.8% 55.7% 52.0% Solomon Hill 44.3% 46.5% 37.3% 75.2% 52.7% 49.2% Joan Sastre 44.5% 47.8% 34.7% 77.9% 53.1% 49.5% Carrick Felix 44.7% 49.4% 35.8% 72.1% 53.6% 51.1% C.J. Leslie 46.2% 47.8% 31.1% 71.1% 51.7% 47.8% Tony Snell 42.3% 45.8% 36.7% 76.7% 52.4% 49.4% Oleksandr Lypovyy 41.6% 44.4% 31.7% 72.9% 48.7% 45.3%

 ACCUMULATION STATS PER 36 MINUTES Name ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS Otto Porter 1.7 4.5 6.1 2.2 1.2 0.6 1.5 2.9 13.2 Anthony Bennett 2.2 5.2 7.4 1.8 1.0 0.8 1.9 3.3 15.8 Deshaun Thomas 1.5 3.4 5.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 1.5 2.7 16.0 Reggie Bullock 1.1 4.0 5.2 2.3 1.1 0.3 1.5 2.6 13.0 Andre Roberson 2.2 5.6 7.8 2.3 1.6 0.7 1.8 3.2 11.3 Jamaal Franklin 1.4 4.1 5.6 3.0 1.6 0.5 2.2 2.8 14.8 Glen Rice Jr. 1.5 4.1 5.6 2.5 1.1 0.5 1.7 2.9 14.0 James Ennis 1.3 4.0 5.3 2.1 1.2 0.8 1.7 3.0 12.6 Shabazz Muhammad 1.5 3.5 5.0 1.9 1.1 0.4 1.5 2.6 15.4 Rodney Williams 1.6 3.6 5.2 2.2 1.2 0.6 1.6 2.9 13.3 Sergey Karasev 0.9 3.1 3.9 2.9 0.9 0.4 1.9 3.2 15.9 Livio Jean-Charles 2.0 4.3 6.2 1.7 0.9 0.8 1.6 3.2 12.4 Solomon Hill 1.7 4.4 6.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 1.8 3.1 12.1 Joan Sastre 1.6 4.0 5.6 2.9 1.2 0.5 1.8 2.9 12.5 Carrick Felix 1.2 4.3 5.4 2.1 1.1 0.6 1.7 2.9 12.3 C.J. Leslie 2.4 4.9 7.1 2.0 1.2 1.1 2.3 3.9 14.1 Tony Snell 0.9 3.5 4.3 2.4 1.0 0.6 1.7 2.8 13.1 Oleksandr Lypovyy 1.6 3.9 5.2 3.8 1.2 0.5 1.9 3.7 10.6

 % RATE STATS BASED UPON BASKETBALL REFERENCE FORMULAS Name ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% Otto Porter 5.1% 14.1% 9.5% 9.9% 1.6% 1.2% 10.3% 17.9% Anthony Bennett 7.0% 16.9% 11.9% 7.9% 1.4% 1.7% 11.7% 18.9% Deshaun Thomas 4.8% 11.0% 7.8% 9.8% 1.5% 0.8% 9.1% 21.5% Reggie Bullock 3.4% 12.7% 8.3% 10.0% 1.6% 0.7% 10.8% 15.9% Andre Roberson 7.1% 17.9% 12.7% 9.3% 2.1% 1.4% 13.3% 16.1% Jamaal Franklin 4.1% 13.1% 8.8% 13.0% 2.0% 0.9% 13.7% 19.2% Glen Rice Jr. 4.7% 13.3% 9.1% 11.1% 1.6% 1.1% 11.9% 16.2% James Ennis 4.2% 12.5% 8.2% 9.3% 1.8% 1.6% 12.4% 16.6% Shabazz Muhammad 4.7% 10.5% 7.7% 8.3% 1.5% 0.8% 10.0% 19.9% Rodney Williams 5.0% 11.3% 8.1% 9.5% 1.6% 1.3% 11.0% 18.1% Sergey Karasev 2.8% 9.4% 5.8% 12.4% 1.2% 0.7% 10.7% 18.5% Livio Jean-Charles 6.4% 13.3% 9.7% 7.2% 1.3% 1.5% 11.5% 15.7% Solomon Hill 5.2% 13.4% 9.2% 10.8% 1.7% 0.8% 13.2% 16.5% Joan Sastre 4.9% 12.2% 8.5% 11.1% 1.7% 1.0% 13.1% 15.2% Carrick Felix 3.7% 13.0% 8.3% 8.8% 1.5% 1.3% 12.0% 16.7% C.J. Leslie 7.3% 14.9% 10.9% 8.3% 1.6% 2.0% 14.1% 19.1% Tony Snell 2.6% 10.9% 6.4% 10.7% 1.4% 1.3% 12.0% 17.4% Oleksandr Lypovyy 4.9% 11.4% 8.1% 14.5% 1.7% 1.0% 14.2% 14.8%

 ADVANCED STATS Name PER ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS WS/48 Otto Porter 14.0 112.1 104.4 6.7 5.5 12.1 0.095 Anthony Bennett 13.8 105.6 106.0 4.9 5.3 10.1 0.086 Deshaun Thomas 14.6 106.9 105.1 8.3 4.0 12.6 0.090 Reggie Bullock 12.2 105.4 101.7 5.0 5.2 9.9 0.087 Andre Roberson 12.7 101.0 89.6 4.3 6.6 10.3 0.090 Jamaal Franklin 13.2 105.4 100.2 5.3 5.6 10.4 0.086 Glen Rice Jr. 12.4 107.7 103.3 5.6 5.8 10.9 0.083 James Ennis 13.0 106.5 108.4 4.6 5.3 9.8 0.088 Shabazz Muhammad 13.0 103.4 113.6 5.2 3.4 8.9 0.071 Rodney Williams 12.7 102.9 107.8 5.7 5.0 10.7 0.080 Sergey Karasev 12.2 105.2 119.7 4.5 2.8 7.6 0.063 Livio Jean-Charles 12.2 106.2 110.7 5.5 4.2 9.8 0.093 Solomon Hill 12.3 105.8 109.4 5.1 4.9 10.0 0.085 Joan Sastre 11.9 113.3 111.7 5.6 3.7 9.4 0.084 Carrick Felix 11.6 104.4 108.7 3.5 4.9 8.2 0.065 C.J. Leslie 12.5 102.7 105.5 2.3 4.3 6.6 0.064 Tony Snell 11.4 102.2 114.2 2.9 3.9 7.3 0.067 Oleksandr Lypovyy 10.5 95.3 112.9 2.8 2.9 6.2 0.061

 Average of top 80 4.0% 7.4% 41.7% 25.6% 21.3% 5.86 6.88 Name All Star Very Good NBA player Average NBA Player Below Average Washout Aggregate weighted Comp Score Aggregate weighted comp Std. Dev. Otto Porter 5% 8% 34% 28% 25% 5.97 7.78 Anthony Bennett 0% 11% 56% 21% 13% 7.66 5.50 Deshaun Thomas 14% 7% 58% 14% 10% 10.47 8.58 Reggie Bullock 0% 1% 73% 21% 5% 8.25 3.58 Andre Roberson 0% 14% 68% 15% 3% 9.59 3.31 Jamaal Franklin 5% 5% 34% 21% 35% 4.69 8.13 Glen Rice Jr. 3% 2% 68% 10% 18% 7.34 6.41 James Ennis 0% 10% 61% 14% 15% 7.53 5.74 Shabazz Muhammad 6% 4% 48% 24% 18% 7.28 7.15 Rodney Williams 8% 4% 52% 22% 15% 7.97 7.27 Sergey Karasev 8% 3% 23% 32% 35% 4.41 8.52 Livio Jean-Charles 0% 4% 49% 19% 28% 5.16 6.66 Solomon Hill 0% 6% 63% 14% 18% 6.97 5.94 Joan Sastre 0% 5% 34% 33% 28% 4.47 6.39 Carrick Felix 0% 3% 49% 26% 23% 5.44 6.10 C.J. Leslie 0% 1% 59% 11% 30% 5.00 6.77 Tony Snell 0% 8% 49% 26% 18% 6.44 5.85 Oleksandr Lypovyy 0% 0% 33% 35% 33% 3.38 6.22

 PLAYER RANKINGS #1 - Otto Porter All-Star Luol Deng 5% Very Good NBA Starter Mike Miller, Danilo Gallinari 8% Above Avg to Below Avg Rotation Player Nicolas Batum, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Jared Dudley, Josh Childress, Luc Mbah A Moute, Malik Sealy 34% Below Avg NBA Player Al-Farouq Aminu, Evan Turner, Adam Morrison, Dermarr Johnson, Wesley Johnson, Devin Ebanks 28% Washout Luke Jackson, Jawad Williams, Vincent Yarborough 25% Of all the SF Otto Porter projects to have the highest WS/48, O/D Rtg delta of +8, and a PER of 14. He projects a TS% of 54.6, and an eFG% over 50%. There is nothing in his accumulation stats that cause a concern, and a some very positive indictors. His best case comps are a nice and very diverse mix of players that score, rebound, defend, and pass. The only issue of concern is that 5 of his below average NBA player comps were high draft picks. Obviously those players skills didn't translate into the NBA, and they weigh down Porter's 3 year projected stats. I think Porter will succeed, but there is a 53% chance he will be below average or worse, just like the group of Al-Farouq Aminu, Evan Turner, Adam Morrison, Dermarr Johnson, Wesley Johnson,, and Luke Jackson. That has to concern any NBA GM. #2 - Anthony Bennett All-Star 0% Very Good NBA Starter Danny Granger, Paul Millsap, Kawhi Leonard 11% Above Avg to Below Avg Rotation Player Al Thornton, Brandon Bass, Clarence Weatherspoon, Derrick Williams, Jared Sullinger, Lamond Murray, Ryan Gomes, Terrence Jones, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 56% Below Avg NBA Player Ike Diogu, Mike Sweetney, Draymond Green, Jeff Adrien, Lazar Hayward 21% Washout Damion James, Brandon Hunter, Justin Reed 13% Lets compare and contrast Anthony Bennett and Otto Porter. Bennett is not nearly as an efficient shooter as Otto Porter who has a better FG%, 2PT%, 3PT%, TS%, and eFG%. Bennett projects to be a better rebounder, but also projects to commit more turnovers and personal fouls. Bennett projects to score more but that is driven by a higher usage rate, and as a result Porters ORtg is 6.5 points per 100 possessions better. On the defensive end they are quite similar, as their DRtg is differential is certainly within the margin for error. As far as the comps comparison, Bennett projects as a lower risk player, and both have similar top ends. Granger, Millsap, and Leonard are 3 excellent comps, and Bennett has a nice array of solid league average comps, and this group expresses well Bennett's higher rebounding and usage rates. The difference between the two is quite small, and I chose Porter because of his higher WS/48, better PER, and higher ORtg/DRtg delta. Next I am going to compare and contrast three players, each of which is quite different form the others. #3 - Deshaun Thomas All-Star Vince Carter, Luol Deng, Michael Finley 14% Very Good NBA Starter Michael Redd 7% Above Avg to Below Avg Rotation Player Fred Hoiberg, Chris Mills, Desmond Mason, Calbert Cheaney, Eric Piatkowski, Morris Peterson, Jarvis Hayes, Landry Fields 58% Below Avg NBA Player Sam Young, Quincy Lewis 14% Washout Maurice Ager, Dave Johnson 10% #4 - Reggie Bullock All-Star 0% Very Good NBA Starter Danny Green 1% Above Avg to Below Avg Rotation Player Kyle Korver, Jared Dudley, Gordon Hayward, Chase Budinger, Brandon Rush, John Salmons, Luther Head 73% Below Avg NBA Player Daequan Cook, Darius Miller, Wayne Ellington 21% Washout Luke Jackson 5% #5 - Andre Roberson All-Star 0% Very Good NBA Starter Robert Horry, LaPhonso Ellis 14% Above Avg to Below Avg Rotation Player Jerome Williams, James Posey, Thabo Sefolosha, Desmond Mason, George Lynch, Landry Fields, Scott Burrell, Terrence Jones 68% Below Avg NBA Player Linton Johnson, Quincy Lewis, Roshown McLeod, Tremaine Fowlkes 15% Washout Kasib Powell 3% Name All Star Very Good Player Average NBA Player Below Average Washout Comp Score Comp Std. Dev. Deshaun Thomas 14% 7% 58% 14% 10% 10.47 8.6 Reggie Bullock 0% 1% 73% 21% 5% 8.25 3.6 Andre Roberson 0% 14% 68% 15% 3% 9.59 3.3

 Name FG% 2P% 3P% FT% TS% eFG% Deshaun Thomas 43.1% 45.2% 35.8% 80.4% 51.3% 47.3% Reggie Bullock 43.1% 45.9% 39.3% 76.0% 54.3% 51.6% Andre Roberson 44.5% 47.4% 32.1% 70.0% 50.8% 47.7% Name ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% Deshaun Thomas 4.8% 11.0% 7.8% 9.8% 1.5% 0.8% 9.1% 21.5% Reggie Bullock 3.4% 12.7% 8.3% 10.0% 1.6% 0.7% 10.8% 15.9% Andre Roberson 7.1% 17.9% 12.7% 9.3% 2.1% 1.4% 13.3% 16.1% Name PER ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS WS/48 Deshaun Thomas 14.6 106.9 105.1 8.3 4.0 12.6 0.090 Reggie Bullock 12.2 105.4 101.7 5.0 5.2 9.9 0.087 Andre Roberson 12.7 101.0 89.6 4.3 6.6 10.3 0.090

 Name FG% 2P% 3P% FT% TS% eFG% James Ennis 45.6% 51.5% 36.0% 77.9% 55.7% 52.6% Shabazz Muhammad 41.7% 43.3% 36.7% 78.5% 50.3% 46.5% Name ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% James Ennis 4.2% 12.5% 8.2% 9.3% 1.8% 1.6% 12.4% 16.6% Shabazz Muhammad 4.7% 10.5% 7.7% 8.3% 1.5% 0.8% 10.0% 19.9% Name PER ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS WS/48 James Ennis 13.0 106.5 108.4 4.6 5.3 9.8 0.088 Shabazz Muhammad 13.0 103.4 113.6 5.2 3.4 8.9 0.071

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