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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Comparables Analysis

Dale Zanine-US PRESSWIRE

Ed.: bumped to front page

Name Height Inches no Shoes Height Inches w/shoes Weight Body Fat Hand Length Hand Width Wingspan Inches Reach in Inches No Step Vert Reach in Inches Max Vert Reach in inches No Step Vert Max Vert Bench Agility Sprint
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 76.75 77.75 204 6.5% 8.5 9 80.25 100.5 130 135 29 34.5 10.6 3.12

Name Weight > than standard (in lbs) Body Fat < than Standard (as a % of BF) Reach > than standard (in inches) Wingspan > than standard (in inches) Vertical > than standard (in inches) Speed > than standard (in sec) Agility > than standard (in sec) # additional bench reps than expected
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope -2 -0.22% -1.35 -0.57 0.19 0.21 0.74
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is well proportioned height to weight. He would not be described as long, as bioth his reach and wingspan grade out as below average. He is a good athlete, both quick and agile, and a little better than average as a leaper.

Below are the top 20 Comp seasons to Kentavious Caldwell-Pope at age 18 and 19. The 4th column is only statistical similarity, and does not include any combine measurements.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Sophomore Season - age 19
Player Age Conference Statistical Similarity
James Anderson 19 Big-12 94.9%
Klay Thompson 19 Pacific 12 93.6%
Bradley Beal 18 Southeastern 94.5%
Matt Carroll 22 Big East 95.1%
Ray Allen 19 Big East 92.9%
Wayne Ellington 20 Atlantic Coast 92.8%
Keith Bogans 20 Southeastern 92.2%
Klay Thompson 20 Pacific 12 92.9%
Iman Shumpert 20 Atlantic Coast 92.3%
Wesley Person 19 Southeastern 92.8%
Allan Houston 20 Southeastern 92.9%
Daequan Cook 19 Big Ten 89.2%
Gordon Hayward 19 Atlantic 10 93.2%
James Anderson 20 Big-12 92.9%
Jeremy Lamb 19 Big East 94.0%
Jordan Hamilton 20 Big-12 94.5%
Bryant Stith 19 Atlantic Coast 91.7%
Keith Bogans 22 Southeastern 93.0%
Reece Gaines 21 Big East 93.0%
Wesley Person 20 Southeastern 92.2%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Freshman season age 18
Player Age Conference Statistical Similarity
Keith Bogans 19 Southeastern 93.7%
Daequan Cook 19 Big Ten 92.2%
Keith Bogans 21 Southeastern 94.8%
Klay Thompson 18 Pacific 12 93.3%
James Anderson 18 Big-12 94.0%
Terrence Williams 18 Big East 93.0%
Xavier Henry 18 Big-12 94.7%
Laron Profit 19 Atlantic Coast 93.5%
Bradley Beal 18 Southeastern 93.0%
Malcolm Lee 19 Pacific 12 91.6%
Rodney Carney 19 Conference USA 94.9%
Eddie Jones 20 Atlantic 10 95.6%
Jrue Holiday 18 Pacific 12 90.4%
Rodney Carney 18 Conference USA 93.5%
Wesley Person 19 Southeastern 93.3%
Kim English 21 Southeastern 93.2%
Rodney Carney 20 Conference USA 94.5%
Wayne Ellington 19 Atlantic Coast 92.6%
Malcolm Lee 20 Pacific 12 91.9%
Keith Bogans 20 Southeastern 92.2%
Very Best Case Comps Ray Allen, Allen Houston 5%
Likely Best Case Bradley Beal, Eddie Jones 10%
Most Likely Wesley Person, Klay Thompson, Iman Shumpert, Gordon Hayward 73%
Likely Worst Case James Anderson, Laron Profit 10%
Absolute Worst Case Reece Gaines 3%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a nice contrast to Victor Oladipo. He has a couple of really nice "very best case" comps in Ray Allen and Allen Houston, and some nice "likely best case" comps in Eddie Jones, and Bradley Beal. On the bottom end there a very low probability that he will be a bust (just 3%). His group of likely comps is large, with a large number of really solid pro's who could end up as "likely best case". I don't believe Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has the same upside as Victor Oladipo, but his bust rate will be much smaller, and in all likelyhood he will have a long and solid career.

Average Adjusted Stat Line for Target Player
Season Shooting Statistics Totals
FG FGA FG% 2P 2PA 2P% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% TS% eFG%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 1 224 533 42.0% 148 328 45.0% 76 205 37.0% 86 111 76.4% 52.0% 49.1%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2 313 758 41.3% 209 470 44.5% 105 287 36.3% 142 177 79.7% 51.8% 48.2%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 289 690 41.8% 186 411 45.1% 103 279 36.7% 145 183 78.8% 53.0% 49.2%
3 Year Average 280 672 41.7% 184 410 44.9% 96 261 36.6% 127 161 78.5% 52.3% 48.8%
Season Accumulation Stats Totals
ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV A/TO PF PTS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 1 50 167 215 101 50 15 77 1.32 134 609
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2 56 208 259 148 75 21 103 1.46 162 874
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 51 204 250 130 76 17 93 1.41 138 824
3 Year Average 53 195 244 129 68 18 92 1.41 146 783
Season Shooting Statistics per 36 Minutes
FG FGA FG% 2P 2PA 2P% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% TS% eFG%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 1 5.16 12.30 42.0% 3.41 7.57 45.0% 1.75 4.73 37.0% 1.97 2.57 76.4% 52.0% 49.1%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2 5.37 13.03 41.3% 3.60 8.09 44.5% 1.78 4.92 36.3% 2.41 3.02 79.6% 51.8% 48.1%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 5.36 12.82 41.8% 3.44 7.63 45.1% 1.91 5.19 36.8% 2.67 3.38 78.7% 53.0% 49.3%
3 Year Average 5.3 12.8 41.7% 3.5 7.8 44.9% 1.8 5.0 36.7% 2.4 3.0 78.4% 52.3% 48.8%
Season Accumulation Stats per 36 Minutes
ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV A/TO PF PTS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 1 1.16 3.84 4.95 2.32 1.15 0.34 1.77 1.32 3.08 14.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2 0.96 3.55 4.43 2.56 1.29 0.36 1.75 1.47 2.78 14.96
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 0.95 3.78 4.64 2.40 1.42 0.32 1.72 1.41 2.57 15.27
3 Year Average 1.0 3.7 4.6 2.4 1.3 0.3 1.7 1.41 2.8 14.8
Season Usage Stats
ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 1 3.5% 11.9% 7.6% 10.1% 1.6% 0.7% 11.4% 19.9%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2 2.9% 11.5% 7.1% 10.6% 1.8% 0.7% 10.4% 20.6%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 3.0% 12.1% 7.4% 10.8% 2.0% 0.7% 10.4% 20.6%
3 Year Average 3.1% 11.8% 7.3% 10.5% 1.8% 0.7% 10.7% 20.4%
Season Advanced Measurements
PER ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS WS/48
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 1 12.34 102.2 104.7 1.08 0.77 1.84 0.052
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2 12.82 103.2 103.2 1.79 1.76 3.45 0.070
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 14.07 105.9 102.5 2.47 1.94 4.31 0.096
3 Year Average 13.12 103.9 103.4 5.3 4.5 9.60 0.074
Overall for his first 3 NBA seasons Kentavious Caldwell-Pope grades out as a below average NBA player, but by his third year he would become a league average. That indicates that for years 23-31 he will be a better than league average player. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's ORtg and DRtg by his 3rd year indicates that he would be a good NBA defender, and just average to maybe a little below average offensively. His stat line is driven by two stats, usage rate and 3 pointers. He will shoot a lot from deep, and he looks to be about average as a 3 point shooter, and will have a high usage rate. This indicates to me that if he can push his TS% from 52.3% to 54%+ then he has a chance to become his better case comps. If he can't improve his TS% or it it declines much at all, and he maintains his usage rate then he becomes that dreaded high usage, low efficiency guard. That would place him in the Jamal Crawford category, a player with a 0.70 WS/48, and who spends the majority of his career golfing during playoff time. I believe he will be able to improve his TS% some and that puts him a nice grouping with his best comps, plus Gordon Hayward, Klay Thompson, Wesley Person etc.
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