FanShot

The Blazers Offense is Just Ridiculous

Hopefully this isn't the high point of the season since the Blazers are just putting up some amazing offensive stats. I just feel like jotting down some of those stats before they likely fall closer to league average. The Blazers are 1st in points per game after the Philly game, as most people probably know. They are also 1st in offensive efficiency, which was already true prior to the Philly game. Now the difference between 1st and 2nd (Houston) has only grown to the point where the two teams aren't even on the same tier offensively. The difference between Portland (114.0 points per 100 possessions) and Houston (110.2 ppp) is greater than the difference between Houston and #11 Minnesota (107.0 ppp). So the Blazers after the Philly game are the best 3-point shooting team in the league. They lead the league in 3-point percentage at 41.9%. They also lead the league in 3-point field goals made, despite shooting 68 fewer attempts in the same number of games as second place Houston. Everyone's talk of Portland's 3-point shooting regressing back down to earth probably has some merit, but at the same time Portland intentionally got three of the most prolific 3-point shooters in the league for the past few years (Matthews, Batum, and Wright) without even including 90%+ free-throw shooter Lillard. Despite being best-known for their 3-point shooting this season, the Blazers are not leading the league in eFG% (FG% adjusted for the extra point from 3-point shooting). They are only 6th because of their average ranking (15th) in 2-point percentage. It's a good thing that eFG% is not the best of their Four Factors then (the four statistical categories that explains 95%+ of a team's win total, which is actually eight factors since one calculates it for both offense and defense). The Blazers are 2nd in the league in offensive rebound percentage, grabbing 30% of their misses. So the Blazers shoot well (6th in eFG%), they don't turn the ball over that much (7th in TOV%), and they grab a lot of their misses (2nd in ORB%); the jump-shooting Blazers are also decent at getting to the free throw line (tied for 11th in FTM/FGA). Okay, that last factor kind of cheats since Portland is second in the league in FT%, increasing the FTM portion of the factor. They are still a decent enough 19th in just getting to the free throw line; shooting well enough to improve the team's ranking from 19th to 11th though is a pretty good thing. It's similar to Portland shooting well enough at the 3-point line to improve from 4th in attempts to 1st in makes. So basically, the Blazers are awesome on offense because they are good at everything and elite at a few things. It's kind of a reflection of the Blazers starters. The lowest PER is Lopez at an above average 16.4 and then you have Aldridge at 8th in the league. Some individual offensive stats to wrap it up: Matthews is 1st in the league in Offensive Rating (individual offensive efficiency not accounting for usage) among players who qualify and third in true shooting percentage, Lopez is 7th in ORtg, Lillard is 18th in ORtg (Mr. Low Traditional FG%), Aldridge is 9th in usage rate and 16th in low turnover rate, and Batum is still chugging along at 11th in true shooting percentage and one of the highest assist rates in the league among forwards.

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