There was a lot of despair in these parts following Game 1 of the Blazers' season. I tried to reassure people that you can determine next to zero from the first week of an NBA season. I said that invariably teams that seem like world-beaters early on end up fading to the lottery, and teams that look pathetic end up making the playoffs. But not only did I fail to convince anyone with my arguments, but their counter-arguments convinced ME that the first few games of the season actually are a reliable forecast of the long season to come.
Which leads me to my conviction that the Blazers are a lock to win the NBA title this season. Why? Namely because, following a convincing Blazer win in Game 2, the team beat last season's Western Conference champs in Game 3. More to the point: in that game, the Blazers beat the team that should have won it all last season. You'll recall that only a flukish play in which two Spurs knocked each other off a series-clinching defensive rebound--causing the ball to bounce to Ray Allen for a wide-open, game-winning three--kept the Spurs from winning the title last season.
What's that you say? The Heat could luck out again and beat the Blazers in Game 6 of the Finals on another fluke play? No way, seeing as they stunk it up in Games 2 & 3 of this season. Remember, the first few games tell all.
I don't know what you're going to do with this info. But I'm heading straight to Vegas to bet my life savings on a Blazer championship in '13-'14. Considering the current betting line, I'll be set for life!