FanPost

D-Will IS affordable! Portland CAN have it all? See the Numbers.

Now that we well understand Paul Allen's desire for Blazer success sooner rather than later, his longing to see Stars on his Rose Garden court, Trophy in the Case, ask yourself, how would Paul Allen go about it?

In light of PA's historical "use" of GM's, should we not be able to ascertain some directional insight in the hiring of Olshey? That the Blazer mngt has maintained a GM is little more than a figurehead title, then why now and why Olshey ? If you were asked to name one thing that would qualify Neil Olshey for the GM post for Portland, you would answer ................ "brought Chris Paul to the Clippers", yes?? THE most unlikely, and thus most monumental of "gets" that I can think of over decades of NBA free agent signings. Scotty Pippen to the Blazers was way up there too, but, Superstar in his prime C Paul landed in the legendarily most baron of NBA franchises. Can we speculate.......

From Olshey's portfolio the most literal translation of past success to present would net the acquisition of this free-agent pool's only superstar .. Deron Williams. That the Blazers biggest need is a quality PG, and more, the face of a leader who syncs with our allstar LA, this one man stands a target far above the rest. The two are friends since youth too.

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Here's a way to have it all:

Evaluations:

· LMA is legit. Consider his very strong string of performances in 2010-11, playing 46 minutes a night. Consider 2012 allstar status in spite of the obvious team problems.

· Batum is defensive, versatile, efficient, agreeable, young and can score thirty without disrupting the priorities (feeding LA)

· Wesley Matthews is defensive, hellabent to win “scrappy”, BBIQ plus, cultural building block.

· TOGETHER, LA, Nic, Wes are a great nucleus of stability, attitudinal/ethical examples, camaraderie to build with.

  • Tyreke Evans is on a near allstar path, PPG16.5 RPG4.60 APG4.5 EFF+ 15.90 http://www.nba.com/playerfile/tyreke_evans/ 23 years of age, he takes the “intrinsic” out of value that are draft picks. RotY 2011 http://www.nba.com/video/channels/top_plays/2010/03/17/20100309_evans_top10.mov.nba/index.html Sacramento is not extending him this summer. This doesn’t mean they won’t keep him and sign as RFA next summer, but Sac finds he and Cousins not fitting perfectly, and picks are desired when the team location is not secure so Sac trades now.
  • Joel Freeland is a good backup to LMA and can play Center for short spells
  • Chris Kaman is a known value, large 7’ -265, consistent, good team defender, decent rebounder. 2011-12 Statistics PPG 13.1 RPG 7.70 APG 2.1 EFF+ 14.89

Check my numbers with the new Coll Bargain Agreement (CBA): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NBA_salary_cap#Luxury_tax

The 2012 Salary Cap ~= $58 mill, to which we can add the numerous exceptions.

The projected Luxury Tax Threshold ~approx = Cap plus 20% ~= $69.5 mill. Pay one dollar to the League for each dollar by which their payroll exceeds the tax level.

Given Salaries: , Exception , Cap Count

1. Aldridge 13 , 13

2. Batum 9.5 , Restrict FA Cap Hold , 5.5

3. Matthews 6.5 , 6.5

4. N Smith 1.5 , 1.5

5. Babbitt 2 , 2

New Salaries:

6. Freeland 3.5 , Mid Level Exc , 0

7. Kaman 7.5 , 7.5

8. Hickson 3.5 , Bird Rights (in Litigation), 0

9. Przybilla 1.5 , 0

10. Tyreke Evans 5 , 5

11. Jared Cunningham .5 , MLE , 0

12. Deron Williams 16 , 16

$70 Mill , $58.5 mill

Adding 2 mill for contingencies, injured reserves, and PA is happily in the late PO rounds and Contenders for several years with this young yet experienced team with less than $3mill in tax. Would not the PA we know (and love) seem likely to trump his Vulcans and spend the bread for a leavening loaf like this?

Assumptions:

· See the multitude of evidence that D Will is not enamored with Brooklyn. His introductory news conference in NJ. Look at the roster and salary situation for Brooklyn and ask how they could possibly be near as good as Portland. http://hoopshype.com/salaries/dallas.htm

· Look at Dallas’ roster and salary situation and ask how they could possibly be near as good as Portland. Dirk, Terry, Marion, Haywood all ~34.

· Assume D Will sees that other stars in the league are settling for less salary to allow cap for better team and greater chance at success. Or, if necessary, exceed the tax threshold as precedented.

· S Williams Assume to lose his salary SOMEhow? Pay him $3 mill to opt out? Send him also to Sac?

Steps:

1) Trade picks #6, #11 and Elliot Williams for Tyreke Evans

2) The Core (LA, Wes, Nic) meet in Dallas with D Will and win him.

3) Target the Head Coach

4) Favorably compete with OKC NOW!

5) Obtain young center talent to develop. Buy a pick?

Roster:

Starters

D Will, Matthews, Batum, Aldridge, Kaman

Rotation Players

T Evans, Freeland, Perzy

N Smith, Hickson, Babbitt

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