FanPost

The NBA Draft Lottery Is More Than Just Luck

I have a funny feeling that somehow, someway our draft pick from the Nets will get into the top 3 during the May 30th NBA Draft Lottery. The pick has a 7.6% chance for the overall #1 pick and a 25.5% chance for a top three pick. The pick currently sits in the 6th spot for odds of getting the number one pick.

I've always had a hunch that the NBA Draft Lottery was more than just luck. Last year was a great example of this. The final three teams were the Utah Jazz (represented by Kevin O'Connor), the Minnesota Timberwolves (represented by David Kahn) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (represented by Dan Gilbert's son, Nick Gilbert). Nick Gilbert has a nerve disorder called neurofibromatosis. The disorder causes tumors to grow anywhere in his body, at any time.

I knew the Cavs were going to get the number one pick the moment they introduced Nick as Cleveland's representative. I have no problem with Nick and really think he's an inspirational dude. I liked his attitude and the way he carried himself, but it seemed too perfectly scripted for him to be the last one standing.

David Kahn apparently agreed with my hunch. He was quoted as saying, "This league has a habit, and I am just going to say habit, of producing some pretty incredible story lines. Last year it was Abe Pollin's widow and this year it was a 14-year-old boy and the only thinig we have in common is we have both been bar mitzvahed. We were done. I told Kevin (O'Connor): 'We're toast.' This is not happening for us and I was right."

I know, I know ... the Timberwolves had the best odds and the team with the best odds never gets the top pick, but he has a point. The NBA draft lottery is a strange event. The drawing is done before the televised show with ping-pong balls behind closed doors with NBA officials, the representatives, and an accounting firm (Ernst & Young in 2011). Ernst & Young should recognize the inherent risk in this procedure because it still seems pretty easy for David Stern to get his hands involved in the ultimate outcome.

A top 3 pick would definitely help the Brooklyn Nets as they embark on their first year in a new city. A top 3 pick and the possibility of a Dwight Howard trade would make the Nets a great story line in a big market. This would not only help the Nets, but also the NBA.

So, Blazer fans take this as a warning. Don't get your hopes up for 2 lottery picks, it's not going to happen.

When the Nets get their top 3 pick, what will your opinion be?

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