FanPost

The lottery results throughout history do not reflect each team's chances of actually winning it


The current lottery system has been in place since the 1994 draft. Since that time the #1 seed won the #1 spot only twice (11.1%), the #2 spot 7 times (38.9%), and the #3 spot 6 times (33.3%). The #2 seed won the #1 spot 3 times (16.7%), the #2 spot 1 time (5.6%), and the #3 spot 3 times (16.7%). THe #3 seed won the #1 spot 4 times (22.2%), the #2 spot 1 time (5.6%), and the #3 spot twice (11.1%). The #3 and #5 seeds won the first spot more than any other seed. The #6 seed (which is the Blazers's first pick) won the first spot twice (11.1%) as well as the second spot twice. The 11th seed never made it into the top 3 although the #14 seed did make the #3 spot back in 1999. Although the #5 seed won the #1 spot 4 times, the #4 seed never got it even once. With that said, although the #1 seed has a 25% chance of winning the #1 spot, I am convinced they will land second or third. I think the #1 spot will go to either the 2nd, 3rd, or 5th seeded team (washington, Cleveland, or Sacramento). I read somewhere that the previous years lottery winner cant win the second year in a row. I might be mistaken though but if that is the case then that could raise Charlotte's chances abit more. This info stood out to me. With all confidence I say we will get the #6 and #11 spots. Feel free to share your thoughts below.

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