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UPDATED 4/10: The Blazer's Edge 2012 Big Draft Board

Update 4/10: With 43% of 230 votes, Thomas Robinson has secured his place in the Blazer's Edge Big Board. The current Big Board is:

  1. Anthony Davis
  2. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
  3. Thomas Robinson

tl;dr version of the below post (for newcomers): We're putting together a Big Board from a BEdge perspective. Vote for who you think is the best player for the Blazers, NOT the most likely or good/realistic option and NOT where you think they'll actually go in the draft.

To keep the post manageable, I'm removing the info on MKG and T-Rob. Info in the new prospects in the poll below:

Damian Lillard, PG, junior out of Weber State, 6'2" 185 lbs

Quick Stats

34.5 mins per game, 27.7 points, 64 TS%, 40.9 3P%, 88.7 FT%, 9.1 FTA, 5.7 rebounds (0.6 Off, 5.1 Def), 4.5 assists (27.1 AST%), 1.7 steals, 2.6 turnovers (10.7 TO%), 2.2 personal fouls, 33.8 PER

DX profile

Sports-Reference page

Damian Lillard-Passing (via swishscout)


Kendall Marshall, PG, sophomore out of University of Kentucky, 6'4" 197 lbs

Quick Stats

33.0 mins per game, 9.0 points, 56 TS%, 2.9 rebounds (0.2 Off, 2.7 Def), 10.7 assists, 1.3 steals, 3.1 turnovers, 1.7 personal fouls, 17.1 PER, 11.00 pure passer rating

Kendall Marshall Highlights - NBA Draft Insider (via nbadraftinsider)


DX profile

Sports-Reference Page

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Update 4/9: After (nearly) 24 hrs of voting with well over 300 votes cast, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist has emerged as the top choice for the #2 spot in the Blazer’s Edge Big Board with a 36% plurality of the vote. Andre Drummond and Thomas Robinson both hovered around a quarter of the vote for a majority of the voting period, and enter in as the favorites for the #3 spot on the Big Board. Can Brad Beal or one of the new entrants break in?

As promised, I’m expanding the poll by adding two new prospects to replace Kidd-Gilchrist in the poll. Read all about ‘em below:

Jared Sullinger, PF/C, sophomore out of Ohio State University, 6’10" and 281 lbs with a 7’1" wingspan

Ncb_u_sullinger11_300_medium

via a.espncdn.com

Quick Stats

30.1 mins per game, 23.1 points, 60 TS%, 12 rebounds (4 Off, 8 Def), 1.6 assists, 1.5 steals, 1.3 blocks, 2.5 turnovers, 3.9 personal fouls, 30.8 PER, 87.7 career defensive rating (#1 in the Big Ten since 1998-99)

DraftExpress http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Jared-Sullinger-5029/playerblog/

Sports-Reference http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/jared-sullinger-1.html

Jared Sullinger-Athleticism (via swishscout)

Harrison Barnes, SG/SF, sophomore out of the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill, 6’9" and 223 lbs with a 6’11" wingspan

109337986_display_image_medium

via cdn.bleacherreport.net

29.2 mins per game, 21.2 points, 53 TS%, 6.5 rebounds (2.4 Off, 4.1 Def), 1.4 assists, 1.3 steals, 2.4 turnovers, 2.2 personal fouls, 21 PER, points per possession on: catch-and-shoot/no dribbles: 1.39 PPP, 1 dribble: 0.86 PPP, 2+ dribbles: 0.64 PPP

DraftExpress http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Harrison-Barnes-5705/playerblog/

Sports-Reference http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/harrison-barnes-1.html

Harrison Barnes - NBA Draft Insider (via nbadraftinsider)

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Alright folks, it is time. Welcome to the semi-official (i.e. completely unofficial) Blazersedge Big Board 2012 NBA Draft.

In the past couple of years, BEdgers have formed consensuses around whom the Blazers should take at a particular spot. While our consensuses have rarely been reflected in management's decisions, most of the players we’ve liked a lot have turned into really good players. However, due to the depth in the 2012 draft, and the fact that the Blazer will potentially have two picks, draft analysis for the Blazers is a little more complicated than simply answering the question, "Whom should the Blazers take with the nth pick." Thus, the idea behind the big board is not to mock the 2012 draft, nor to determine whom the Blazers will take with their picks. Rather, the goal of this is to develop essentially a fanbase consensus of appropriate rankings for the 2012 draft class. In accomplishing this, we’ll hopefully get a good feel for which players in this years’ draft class will make the best pros, and give us a sort of guide to pin our hopes on come draft day.

My plan is this: each day, I will make a post which polls BEdge readers on whom they would they would place in a given ranking position. So, for instance, today is Day 1; assuming Anthony Davis occupies the top spot in any and every big board, we’ll be polling for the #2 spot. Whoever wins today’s poll will be ranked #2, and will be replaced in tomorrow’s poll for the #3 spot by a new draft prospect. Simple enough, right? My goal is to make it to at least the 15th spot. Should participation/interest seem higher than I presently expect, I will keep going through the first and second rounds. If participation is low, I will most likely abandon the endeavor.

In the comments section, I encourage you to hash out your personal assessments of individual players, and try to convince others that your pet prospect is better than any other unranked prospect. While you may use any criteria you like to determine your poll selection, I would discourage unnecessary discussion of overall draft strategy, trading picks, who is likely to be available to the Blazers, whom the Blazers are likely to select, etc. The big board, at heart, is just a ranking, and I hope that the discussion will reflect that.

Now, onto the players in today’s poll. I’m including only the top 4 players (after Davis) from DraftExpress’ 2012 Mock Draft, plus an "other" option. I think it’s pretty much a two way race, but extra options can’t hurt. In the future, I’ll make the poll much deeper, but let me know in the comments if you’d like me to add any players to any day's poll. I’m borrowing their heights and weights directly from their DX profiles, so I take no responsibility for their accuracy. If you’ve got better/more recent sources or information for any player’s dimensions, please let us know in the comments. The Quick Stats I’ve provided are per 40 minute/pace adjusted and are intended to highlight the usual stats of interest (points, rebounds, assists, TO’s, etc), PER, and any advanced stats that reflect a particular strength (e.g. MKG’s high free throw attempts per possession and transition percentage) or weakness (e.g. Andre Drummond’s low FT%).

Andre Drummond, C, 18 year old freshman out of the University of Connecticut, 6’10" and 251 lbs

Andre-drummond_medium

via brandononsports.files.wordpress.com

Quick Stats

28.4 mins per game, 14.3 points, 53.8 FG%, 10.8 rebounds (4.7 Off, 5.9 Def), 1.2 steals, 3.8 blocks, 2.2 turnovers, 3.2 personal fouls, 21.8 PER, 29.5 FT%

DraftExpress profile

Sports-Reference stats

Andre Drummond Highlight Mix (via swishscout)

Bradley Beal, SG, 18 year old freshman out of the University of Florida, 6’4" and 201 lbs with a 6'7" wingspan

Gvp103_1300510e_medium

via www.palmbeachpost.com

Quick Stats

34.2 mins per game, 17.4 points, 58 TS%, 7.9 rebounds (1.6 Off, 6.3 Def), 2.6 assists, 1.6 steals, 1.0 blocks, 2.5 turnovers, 2.4 personal fouls, 22.0 PER, shot 47.7 3 pt% on 8.1 Att per game in FIBA U17 tournament as Team USA’s leading scorer

Draft Express profile

Sports-Reference stats

Bradley Beal Highlight Mix (via swishscout)

Draft resources:

DraftExpress (the end-all draft database)

NBADraftInsider YouTube channel (scouting video of a few prospects)

SwishScout YouTube channel (scouting videos and mix-tapes of many prospects)

Sports-Reference (just the stats, ma'am)

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