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Around SBN: Full Coverage of 2012 Coke 600

Fundamental Issues

An astute comment from reader ORDucktape in the comment section of Saturday's game recap reminded me of something I've wanted to talk about for a while but haven't found the right space for. His comment was essentially this:

These guards lack discipline. How often are their feet set, shoulders square, in rhythm and within their range?

The assessment is accurate. Portland's issues aren't all schematic, talent-based, or planted at the feet of intimidating opponents. The Blazers are falling apart in three fundamental areas which may look insignificant on any given play but which, when aggregated, are costing the Blazers points they dearly need in some of these narrow losses.

We'll start with the area most-mentioned so far and, sadly, least correctable. The Blazers have dribbling issues up and down the roster.

Wesley Matthews doesn't function well off the dribble at all. It's straight ahead or bust for him...sometimes straight ahead and bust.

Other players fare better technically but become single-minded when they put the ball on the floor. They can dribble, they can pass, they can shoot, but they can't keep all three options open at one time. It's akin to texting while driving your car. You can text, you can drive, but when you do both together your focus shifts to one, leaving only the most rudimentary options available for the other. You can send that brilliant message but you better be driving on straight, flat road and nobody better stop in front of you while you're typing. Conversely you can pay attention to the road first but your spell checker better be immaculate.

The players affected by this phenomenon include LaMarcus Aldridge, Gerald Wallace, Craig Smith, and for the most part Raymond Felton and Jamal Crawford. As soon as they put the ball on the floor one of three things is going to happen: they put up a shot, they pick up their dribble and bail out of the play, or disaster ensues. Felton and Crawford earn a "for the most part" because each is capable of making a pass off the dribble but their natural mode is scoring. They look far more at ease and in tune with the game when they're headed towards their own shot than when they're trying to make a play. It's ironic because this is the inverse of the problem the Blazers had with Rudy Fernandez and Sergio Rodriguez. Both had astonishing ability to pass off the dribble but neither was a good decision-maker or scorer. The grass is always greener.

The only main rotation guy not covered so far is Nicolas Batum. He's shown the ability to pass or score on the move. His problems are aggressiveness and timing but he's the best hope on the current roster for a multi-threat player off the bounce.

Portland's second fundamental-level issue is related to the first. They are lousy passers when trying to set up their teammates anywhere outside of dunking range. Portland's outside shooters are inconsistent but some of that isn't their fault. They're not getting the ball where they need in order to fire cleanly. Sometimes they're not seen and the ball comes too late. But even when delivered on time it's seldom right on target.

As a shooter you're taught to be ready for the ball, hands out and soft to receive the pass and flow seamlessly into your shooting motion. The other side of the equation is the passer hitting you in your hands, or at least somewhere near your upper torso so you don't have to reach, recover, then line up to shoot. Portland's shooters are all but required to play Inspector Gadget to catch the ball. Passes go low. Passes sail high. A disturbing number go wide, maybe the worst option of all because then you're off-balance and have to fire without getting centered again. These aren't turnovers but they're costing the Blazers clean looks at the hoop. The shooter has to focus on making the catch, not targeting the rim. By the time he's secured the rock a defender is closing out. He then has to rush the shot to get it up. From 20 feet and beyond that might as well be marked a turnover for anyone but the most amazing snipers in the league. If this happened once or twice you'd chalk it up to human error. But the clean catch and shoot is a rare occurrence nowadays. Portland's passers are not their shooters' friends.

That doesn't excuse ORDuck's point, the third fundamental weakness. Even when they've got time the Trail Blazer gunners don't shoot the same way twice in a row. Feet and body position are awful. Blazers fire with one foot ahead of the other. They fire with their body pointed towards the stands. Their arm angle varies nightly. Pushing the ball instead of shooting is a common sight.

The players feel it's a mental thing, I'm sure...confidence and groove and all that. Coach McMillan and Mike Rice claim the guys are "just missing good shots". Wipe away the mumbo-jumbo and physiology is behind the failure...or at least it's not divorced from it. A quick run-through of the tape, focusing on the misses, should show them.

Players do have good nights. Batum's form has been solid the last few games. But inevitably the Blazers start missing jumpers and inevitably their form is disintegrating as they do so. That's no accident.

People often ask for areas in which they can critique the coaching. This is one of the most valid. No doubt these basics are part of every player's personal preparation...a given. You assume that a guy who takes a job as an engineer won't all of a sudden have trouble with addition and subtraction. It's embarrassing. It shouldn't need to be brought up. This is something you remind rookies and drill into the offensively-challenged. A player is supposed to notice form breaking the same way he notices his fly is unzipped and just fix it.

On the other hand, sometimes you don't notice your fly is unzipped. A tap on the shoulder is warranted in those situations. More to the point, when everybody starts walking around with open zippers and their underoos (or worse) showing it's time to say something. Outside perspective makes the problem clear, especially when you're in denial. ("This can't happen to me. I'm a pro!") This is precisely what a coach is for.

As we said, the dribbling thing can't be corrected. You either have the ability and instinct to multi-task like that or you don't. No amount of coaching will turn Gerald Wallace into Rudy Fernandez. Trying would only result in hesitation and turnovers...precisely the behavior we see from Crawford when he gets in his own head about being a true point guard instead of playing his game.

Passing on target and shooting with reasonable form, on the other hand, can be worked upon. We've seen these guys make their passes on target. We've seen them go up with true form and bury jumpers. They are capable, they're just not doing it. You won't get 100% perfection no matter how you address it but 75% is better than 40%. The difference between wins and losses often boils down to 3-5 points. Getting back to good fundamentals, earning that 30-40% improvement on these little things, will earn the Blazers a shot at those points.

Being talented isn't enough. Playing harder isn't the only answer. In order to succeed you also have to get the details right.

--Dave (blazersub@gmail.com)

Comment 65 comments  |  6 recs  | 

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“You assume that a guy who takes a job as an engineer won’t all of a sudden have trouble with addition and subtraction. It’s embarrassing. It shouldn’t need to be brought up.”

we can still win........

by RastaMonsta on Feb 12, 2012 10:53 PM PST reply actions  

exactly,

getting rid of him was a terrible move. Besides the fact that miller is an absolute baller and much better than felton what makes the trade especially stupid is that this style of basketball we’re looking to play this season suits him perfectly.

by quizmaster on Feb 13, 2012 12:19 AM PST up reply actions  

Coach Nate: I just want to say one word to you. Just one word.
Felton: Yes, sir.
Coach Nate: Are you listening?
Felton: Yes, I am.
Coach Nate: Passing.
Felton: Exactly how do you mean?

(apologies to The Graduate)

Who's that tromping across my bedge?

by Troll Blazer on Feb 13, 2012 10:05 AM PST up reply actions  

Great as always.
That doesn’t excuse ORDuck’s point, the third fundamental weakness. Even when they’ve got time the Trail Blazer gunners don’t shoot the same way twice in a row. Feet and body position are awful. Blazers fire with one foot ahead of the other. They fire with their body pointed towards the stands. Their arm angle varies nightly. Pushing the ball instead of shooting is a common sight.

This is why I wanted Mark Price as our shooting coach instead of Dickau !

"We gotta get this $#!^ together guys!" - Phil

by 420Phenom on Feb 12, 2012 11:22 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Price is working with Orlando right now isn't he?

He was one of the all-time great shooters, and a phenomenal offensive player. I really don’t know how good of a shooting coach he is; love to find out. Bring him.

Of course that move just makes too much sense; like having Oden work with Hakeem, or hiring a good training staff; don’t see it happening.

by Wotan on Feb 13, 2012 3:01 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah he is,

We should be able to steal him away though :\

"We gotta get this $#!^ together guys!" - Phil

by 420Phenom on Feb 13, 2012 8:02 AM PST up reply actions  

I don't know...I think the Magic had about a gazillion made 3s in their game against us..

but hey..we have DIckau…never hire someone who excels when we can hire someone we KNOW…no matter what kind of job they do…Blazer FO motto.

by Natsthecat on Feb 13, 2012 9:09 AM PST up reply actions  

Looks like Orlando made 15 from deep in their win over Philly tonight; going 15 for 25.

Maybe we can get him, if the price is right….yes…yes, I did just say that; couldn’t resist.

by Wotan on Feb 16, 2012 4:21 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, it's the shooting coach's fault....

Why can’t the Blazers just get good players! If they can’t get a decent point guard, then I think it’s time to tear this thing down and start rebuilding this summer… and fast before LA starts to get old.

by mjr428 on Feb 13, 2012 9:33 AM PST up reply actions  

I remember that 1993 Allstar 3 point shoot out well.

Craig Hodges was the previous 3X champion and Mark Price went on to win it the next year as well. Maybe they should hire Porter:

1993 – Winner: Mark Price, Cleveland Cavaliers
ROUND PLAYER SCORE
Finals Mark Price 18
Terry Porter 17
Semifinals Mark Price 21
Terry Porter 17
Craig Hodges 16
Dana Barros 15
First Round Mark Price 19
Terry Porter 16
Dana Barros 15
Craig Hodges 14
Reggie Miller 14
Kenny Smith 12
B.J. Armstrong 11
Dan Majerle 10

by XBlazerfan on Feb 13, 2012 7:36 AM PST up reply actions  

Who is the current shooting coach? All I can recall is this.

"You're standing in my sunlight, please move." —Diogenes to Alexander the Great

by pixelpusher on Feb 12, 2012 11:48 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

I don't know that they ever replaced Townsend

"Luke is our go-to Chalupa man," Matthews said. "Designated."

by Vorlauf on Feb 13, 2012 8:40 AM PST up reply actions  

This was my first thought too.

I remember thinking when they let him go, “Didn’t several recent players have their best 3-point shooting percentage here?”

And I’ve been wincing a lot lately watching Wesley Matthews’ whole body rotate counterclockwise on his long jumpers… Time to bring Townsend back.

by dz_pdx on Feb 13, 2012 9:20 AM PST up reply actions  

The Blazers would benefit someone who can drive and kick out.

Someone who will collapse the defense. Maybe Monta Ellis or Stephen Curry. Someone like this makes everyone better

by tyeforshee on Feb 12, 2012 11:55 PM PST reply actions  

Yes!

I’ve always thought Ellis would be awesome!

by Theory2002 on Feb 13, 2012 12:08 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Ellis would just take all the shot just like Crawford but he’ll probably make more.

by kevin_lvp on Feb 13, 2012 12:25 AM PST reply actions  

I think Ellis is clearly a more capable passer and scorer than Crawford

Also when Curry was out Ellis assist numbers were dramatically higher. I believe Ellis should be a point guard in this league. Most point guards these days are major scoring options for their team.

by tyeforshee on Feb 13, 2012 12:36 AM PST up reply actions  

Monta Ellis is a chucker.

A high-end, top-of-the-line chucker, but a chucker nonetheless.

Trading for Ellis would sink the Blazers deeper into the quicksand that is mediocrity.

by AK1984 on Feb 13, 2012 4:29 AM PST up reply actions  

This team desperately needs a shot creator and facilitator on the wing.

Heck, it needs two of them.

Neither Nicolas Batum nor Wesley Matthews are the answer, either, as they both have bad handles — as Nic’s dribble is too high, while Wesley’s slow first step and lack of lateral speed make him stiff at driving to the hoop — furthermore, they both have fuzzy court vision.

Too bad Portland didn’t make a move for Andre Iguodala when the opportunity presented itself. Now, the 76ers have sped past the stalled Blazers; plus, Iggy’s been awarded with a hard-earned, much-deserved All-Star bid.

by AK1984 on Feb 13, 2012 4:45 AM PST reply actions   2 recs

We were rumored in the Iggy discussions, along with a lot of other teams

Iggy didn’t go anywhere because Philly knew better,

Phase 1: Collect underpants
Phase 2: ???
Phase 3: Profit!

by HailOden! on Feb 13, 2012 1:46 PM PST up reply actions  

"Iggy didn’t go anywhere because Philly knew better"

Are we sure that’s the reason? Part of me thinks he’s still in Philly ’cause no team put up a reasonable offer for him.

by AK1984 on Feb 13, 2012 11:32 PM PST up reply actions  

IMO, it does very little good to point fingers

the article to me is about making everybody on the team responsible for their own actions and their own game. Sure it would be easier to blame player x or trade player x for player y, or we should not have traded player z for he was better. Can Felton actually say it is Jamal’s fault. Of course not he knows his shooting woes, he hired a personal shooting coach to teach him the fundamentals again, or teach him to pay attention to detail.
Otherwise, just take care of what each and every player has control of and that is his actions and play and by paying attention to details is one way to do that.

hg

by BBK on Feb 13, 2012 4:54 AM PST reply actions  

The article points to coaching!

These things fall directly on Nate Mcmillan. But to be fair. Nate has not had much time to coach this year.

by kjironman1 on Feb 13, 2012 6:11 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah no kidding.

Practice? What’s a practice!? There just isn’t time to hold a full blown practice.

"Luke is our go-to Chalupa man," Matthews said. "Designated."

by Vorlauf on Feb 13, 2012 8:44 AM PST up reply actions  

reading this I cant help but think Steve Nash

Title windows are so brief…

by mandoman10 on Feb 13, 2012 6:05 AM PST via iPhone app reply actions   1 recs

You think we're in the window?............

We’re laying on the pavement , yelling……… I was pushed!

We must endeavor to persevere.

by Supercourse on Feb 13, 2012 7:22 AM PST up reply actions   2 recs

Good article Dave!

These are all very good assesments. And i agree that an improvement in the little things would equate to some wins in all these close games. Just 10% more shots would equal 8 more points and we all know where that would put us.

by kjironman1 on Feb 13, 2012 6:09 AM PST reply actions  

We are the definition of a .500 team

Just like any team they have potential to be better, I just dont see the improvements coming as per Daves assesments.
I love the blazers and always will but it is disheartening knowing we have no GM and a lot to work on.
Sorry Chad.

by DonttrashCrash on Feb 13, 2012 6:36 AM PST reply actions  

Good Article it only makes me want more though.

Given the limitations of these players why don’t they call plays that play to their strengths or is that impossible?

by XBlazerfan on Feb 13, 2012 7:44 AM PST reply actions  

When putting a ball into the basket isn't a strength what plays should they be calling?

Other than “put it in LA’s hands!”

"Luke is our go-to Chalupa man," Matthews said. "Designated."

by Vorlauf on Feb 13, 2012 8:46 AM PST up reply actions  

Lumping Crawford into this mix is wrong headed

Crawford is being asked to simultaneously play point guard and be his volume-shooting self, all the while, creating his own shot. He played significantly (from what little I saw) off the ball with the Hawks. He’s, by nature, a chucker and is not great at getting to the rim. So, he fires from 15 – 20 with a hand in his face a lot of the time. His form looks good though (exception taken for that shot at the end of the 2nd OT in Dallas). He’s also a better passer than either Felton or Matthews.

As for the other shooters…Aldridge looks good every single time. Batum is consistent. Thomas is money and does it the same almost every time. I like what I’ve seen when Elliot Williams shoots the ball…but I’ve admittedly only seen him shoot something like 5 treys.

So, while the analysis is spot on, I just think the entire post could have been boiled down to a discussion of Felton and Matthews collective lack of performance.

Maybe Jose Calderon is available.

by Clandestine Johnson on Feb 13, 2012 7:47 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

Calderon played lights out yesterday

That bad call by Scott Foster was tragic.

"Luke is our go-to Chalupa man," Matthews said. "Designated."

by Vorlauf on Feb 13, 2012 8:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Ummmm...

“shot” selection, right? ;-)

Co-host of "BlazersU", every Thursday afternoon at 3pm, on kpsu.org and 98.1 on the PSU campus.
http://kpsu.org/shows/blazers_u

by Milkbomb on Feb 13, 2012 9:39 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Dave, great analysis...

At first I was a little depressed about it, and then I decided to vent a little via a new fan post entitled “is Paul Allen planning to sell the team?”. Your analysis makes me much more concerned about the lack of collective vision and leadership by the Blazers’ brass. Seems to me the way you analyzed the current situation is what a GM should be doing. In that the Blazers don’t have a GM, that in turn makes me wonder just how committed to this team Paul Allen and company are. Why on earth would he not want to have the best GM possible in place unless he 1) is completely stupid or 2) cheap or 3) not planning to be a part of this team for a lot longer and wanting the new ownership to decide who the GM should be? I suppose any combination of these is possible, although quite frankly, I have trouble buying that Allen is stupid or cheap.

by kuhnsmith on Feb 13, 2012 8:38 AM PST reply actions  

Why on earth would he not want to have the best GM possible in place

Option 4 is that he does want the best GM possible (he’s said about as much if I recall) and just doesn’t feel he has been found yet so is treading water with Buchanan.

"Luke is our go-to Chalupa man," Matthews said. "Designated."

by Vorlauf on Feb 13, 2012 8:49 AM PST up reply actions  

From the outside it looks like

The Blazers thought Roy was going to play this yr and be fairly close to the classic Brandon Roy.
If this is correct,the roster starts to make a lot more sense.
Leaving aside any Roy-Miller issues,Felton was a comparable salary-easy to make a trade-who had a much better 3pt shot. He would offer floor balance and when Roy was out,Felton could be teamed w/wings who could run and make threes.
With Wallace,Matthews,Batum you’ve got wings who can run,rebound,defend,shoot threes,just mix and match for what you need. Then in crunch time,Nate was willing to go w/Roy as his PG last yr,so no doubt he would have done so this yr w/the ability to run out a Roy,Matthews,Batum,Wallace,Aldridge line-up.
Hopefully one of the kids would show he could stay on the court as a PG for 6-8 minutes a game.
And if Oden could come back around Feb…the future looked pretty darn good.

And then Roy discovered his knees were done and the Blazers were effed.
Instead of a carefuly balanced wheel revolving around Roy,the Blazers were left w/an assortment of spokes and rims. They could no longer look for a back-up big(or think about a vet PG back-up),but had to go find a can-get-his-own-shot shooter.

I believe this is where the lack of a strong GM hurt the team. There was no voice in the “collective” able to say what if?,and we need to look beyond just this yr.
Nate’s preference for vets who could win now won out.(Regardless of the merits or otherwise of Nate’s coaching,he had a huge say in the construction of the roster.Saying Nate can’t be blamed for the players he has,when he has a large responsibility in choosing them is rather odd.)

by Tisbee on Feb 13, 2012 10:06 AM PST up reply actions   2 recs

What you're saying makes a lot of sense to me!

Personally, I won’t buy that this team is SERIOUS about winning until Allen hires a GM. Period. And I’m not talking about a do nothing yes man, either. Any owner who wants such a person in that kind of a position is___well, you can fill in the blank with a variety of adjectives, none flattering from where I stand.

by kuhnsmith on Feb 13, 2012 10:12 AM PST up reply actions  

It makes sense given they thought Roy was going to be something like his old self, but if the Blazer brass

believed that, they may have well been the only people in North America who believed it.

Regarding the GM, I don’t mind them waiting till summer because there is likely to be more candidates this summer than there are now. I don’t think finding a good GM this time of year is a realistic hope unless less you really reach for an up and comer and get lucky.

by raoulduke on Feb 13, 2012 10:46 AM PST up reply actions  

Right now, I'd be happy with an up and comer coach and and up and comer GM...

maybe a little energy, some fresh ideas, and an ability to relate to the players wouldn’t be such a bad thing!

by kuhnsmith on Feb 13, 2012 11:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Its all ball bearings these days

Its somehwere between chnaging Tim Tebows throwing mechanics and MLB pitchers tweaking their delivery between innings…..unless its in their heads like Wesley and Felton seem to be. I am not sure Blazers can really go game to game the rest of the year.

If its one or two guys, you can deal with that – but htis team is Nic, Felton, Wesley, Jamal, Rhino, Wallace….you dont know what you’re getting game to game with any of them.

by breakerfall on Feb 13, 2012 8:49 AM PST reply actions  

Billy Bean McMillan.

Remember when the manager wouldn’t play the personnel that GM Bean wanted?
McMillan is too intransigent in handling veterans. Play Eliot Williams and see if he can play point. Could Williams be any worse than Felton and Crawford, both of whom haven’t seen a dribble or shot they wouldn’t take?

I’d trade Felton for cap space (if anybody would take him). Play Crawford only when Aldridge is out (because when Crawford and Aldridge play together Aldridge is irrelevant anyway). Start Batum over Wallace (or sit Wallace until his finger is better), start Eliot williams over Matthews.

by 7677maniac on Feb 13, 2012 8:57 AM PST reply actions  

Brilliant...

… and very timely. But I do believe that fatigue plays a part in this. And not simply for this season. I’ve thought that the NBA plays too many games in a regular season to offer the sharpest, best basketall on a regular basis. This season’s accelerated schedule makes that problem even worse.

I don’t see this problem as limited to the Blazers specifically but a league-wide issue, though some teams (hello Blazers) seem to be suffering more than others.

Your analysis also goes a long ways to explain why I always felt like it was harder for the Blazers to score a point than other teams: that their “calories expended per point” was in the league’s highest. It’s true and it’s because they’re not doing anything the easy way due to lack of fundamentals.

Buck Williams for the hall of fame

by Phizbin on Feb 13, 2012 9:28 AM PST reply actions  

PG play pretty much dictates how things go for the rest of the team these days.

It is the PG who is supposed to get the ball to the other players, especially the bigs in the block, and the shooters out on the wing in their favorite spots, so that they can comfortably do what they do. Watching Felton play, I just don’t get any sense that he understands the concept of making his teammates better by setting them up for success. He is just dribbling here and there, making lackadaisical passes and even worse, throwing up one brick after another. I’m hoping that he will get better because there really are not any other options for Nate right now. I had thought that Nolan Smith would be good, but he has been tentative at best. I think that the long term goal has to be drafting a PG who can pass and also score in bunches from the outside. Outside of Aldridge and Crawford, none of the current Blazers are good scrorers. They need a PG who can create and score a ton for himself and also set them up for easy baskets, because frankly, that’s all that they can convert. I am advocating for Damian Lillard from Weber State in this years draft. He has been leading or near the lead for points scored in the entire country, and he looks like he knows how to play PG as well. In the short term, if Felton does not improve, it may be time to jettison him for a better alternative. Goran Dragic, Aaron Brooks, even Mo Williams perhaps?

by rhaegar on Feb 13, 2012 10:14 AM PST reply actions  

Yeah, Lillard would be a good pick

I’m not too sure he’ll be much of a pure PG, though. We’re better off trying to improve our impending rebounding problem through the draft, and looking for play-makers in trades and FA.

Phase 1: Collect underpants
Phase 2: ???
Phase 3: Profit!

by HailOden! on Feb 13, 2012 2:00 PM PST up reply actions  

I think there are valid arguments there, but

Right now I see the group as suffering mainly from not being Brandon Roy.

As fans were spoiled for five years seeing a true All-NBA guard play night in and night out. Felton hasn’t looked great, but he also hasn’t looked completely awful, just average. Crawford is playing pretty much par for his own course, and calling Matthews a guard is turning into a joke (he’s a SMALL small forward) It’s hard not to see these guys and unconsciously compare them to the last few years of B-Roy’s sublime ball handling and decision making.

I know less than half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve.

by haildablazer on Feb 13, 2012 11:06 AM PST reply actions  

Even on one leg Roy was superior to every blazer last year getting open for a shot--except now for LA.

LA can get a shot anytime he wants. If LA wanted to he could put up 40 shots a night. No other blazer can do that—consistently.

by 7677maniac on Feb 13, 2012 12:06 PM PST up reply actions  

we need diebler.

A displaced Sonics fan that has somehow emerged as a Blazers fan (and loves it).

by anitachampionship on Feb 13, 2012 11:35 AM PST reply actions  

diebler for shooting coach!

or ray allen.

"Wide, girthy. Just like a Rhino. Sometimes my horns are visible."

by YoniRap on Feb 13, 2012 2:46 PM PST up reply actions  

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