TNT's David Aldridge on NBA TV on Thursday regarding the Portland Trail Blazers failure to extend forward Nicolas Batum...
----------------------------
"He was not happy. I can tell you that. They never really got close on the deal. The problem with Portland is that Gerald Wallace is also going to be up. Right now it's going to be difficult to pay both of those guys. By not offering Batum the deal that he was wanting, I think they told him the guy they want to keep, and that's Gerald Wallace."He's still restricted. They can still match on the offer but I think a lot of teams will be lining up to put decent offers on Batum."
------------------------------ Ben Golliver | benjamin.golliver@gmail.com | Twitter
4 months ago
Ben Golliver
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Comments
There was no reason to give Batum the paycheck now
He’ll have to work harder now to prove he’s worth it. If he plays well, he’ll be noticed and will deserve big offer – of which portland can hopefully afford to match.
If he doesn’t step it up, he won’t get big offers and he’ll be paid what he’s worth.
end of story
by blazerblaze on Jan 26, 2012 4:36 PM PST reply actions 9 recs
TRADE DAVID ALDRIDGE
"I was a victim of a series of accidents, as are we all."
by thankyouforblaze on Jan 27, 2012 12:32 AM PST up reply actions
Also consider the cap hold
I haven’t verified this myself, but Hollinger reported that his cap hold is smaller than the contract he’ll likely get, meaning the Blazers will have more cap space by waiting to sign him.
"...it was like he brought his own personal cross-wind to the arena." - Dave
by DC Blazer on Jan 27, 2012 6:23 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
For the 3 days between when he signs an offersheet and the Blazers are required to match.
If Batum is willing to be patient it could work out well, but it’s hardly ideal.
600 N First Ave "like a Pirate's cove".
Should say have the option to match not required.
600 N First Ave "like a Pirate's cove".
his cap hold should be in the 3 million range
which i suppose makes it possible to go out and sign a free agent, while retaining his Bird Rights and using that to go over the cap.
i keep dancing on my own.
by atomiccafe on Jan 27, 2012 9:09 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
it seems like
batums agent must have been asking for too much. seeing as how the blazers are so up on him i would think they’d be ready to offer him a significant contract.
I heard
He was asking for $9-$10 million per year range… Which is laughable
by comptoncory on Jan 26, 2012 4:44 PM PST via mobile reply actions
Im thinking more like 5.5-7 mil
I know the people likes him and all, but I don’t want a scirocco because it “might” have the potential to be a porsche…
LaMarcus Aldridge All-Star 2011-2012.
by Eat Politicians on Jan 26, 2012 10:03 PM PST up reply actions
eh, might as well offer him a full $6 to $7 million.
over the 4 or whatever year span he’ll be worth it, even if he’s not worth it in the first year.
4 year $30 million even sounds reasonable, somewhat along the lines of Wes Money, but I’d love to get him in the mid-20s price range
"I was a victim of a series of accidents, as are we all."
by thankyouforblaze on Jan 27, 2012 12:36 AM PST up reply actions
I doubt it
Spurs have a smart FO, they aren’t going to over pay like that for a young role player.
Just watch...
4 years – 32mil. That is what he will get.
I would think about matching that
but I think it depends on what other options we have in the FA market.
Matthews is widely considered to be on a very good contract
partly due to how it was frontloaded so the payouts are now less, and partly due to his production
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
by sammymohawk on Jan 27, 2012 12:06 PM PST up reply actions
the cap hit is not frontloaded though
so it still impacts flexibility if not the bottom line so much.
i keep dancing on my own.
I wouldnt give him more than 5 million for 3 years.
He makes less than two and wants like 7 more? Thats very greedy considering he isnt as active as wallace on the court. Not as many rebounds or as many points. Batum could never get more than 30. Trade batum get a better center
Formally known as: My_name_a_rudy
by Blaze_that_trail on Jan 26, 2012 6:08 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
yea, i was thinking a 4 year deal,
5 mil, 6 mil, 7 mil, 8mil – maybe with some bonuses included. Maybe a 6 mil, 7 mil, 8 mil, 9 mil respectively.
you think it's reasonable to say that
the blazers prefer wallace for a longer term deal at a higher $ than nic?
a 31 yo player who is on the downside of his career who relies solely on his athleticism to be productive over a 23 year old who is nearly as productive in his given minutes?
yes. it absolutely is asinine. even moreso when you consider where the blazers are in terms of actually contending.
PHILLY!
Its in another thread, I want to say Timmay! put it in there. But hey I may be wrong
Its just what ive been reading on here
baseless speculation
for all we know the blazers low balled him with 5-6 mil offers. that was the smart decision to do for the blazers because this is the only chance they have of getting him for below market rate.
no real rush to offer him big money now.
PHILLY!
Nope, I didn't have any concrete numbers
I was only speculating in that thread. No info on actual numbers.
even if what people are speculating to be the asking price is true
id much rather take nic at 4yrs/40 vs gerald at 4yrs/50
PHILLY!
and thats where people are torn. I would rather have a proven wallace
over nico who I don’t think will reach his potential here, and may never reach it. He hasn’t shown me that consistant fire that a star needs… Today I heard someone compare him to a bruce bowen, as his best potential
The word "Star"
and Nic Batum should stop being used together. The guy is a role player, not a star. He hasn’t shown star potential either.
i just think that's silly
2-3 yrs from now, having to pay gerald 12-13mil is nuts! especially given his injury history.
nic at least will remain a starting caliber player even if he doesn’t improve from his current state.
PHILLY!
by CleBlazer on Jan 26, 2012 9:18 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I really don't think the FO would offer him that much
Wallace is getting old for his style of play. Anything over 9 or 10 would make me cringe a bit. He’ll probably end up traded off anyways.
he's pretty rough on his body though
The guy if flat crazy.
Will also add that the inconsistency we’re seeing from Wallace right now just looks like him getting his conditioning. The guy goes through energy like an 18 wheeler with the throttle stuck wide open. Even some of the layups he’s missing are right in the teeth of the defense with 4 guys around him.
He will hit his stride this season and our 3/4 will be nigh unstoppable.
And I have such a suspicion.
But on the other hand I have the impression that Nate has a big impact in the choice of players either via draft or through the FA. And he wants proven players.
Maybe Nate is the one who prefers GW.
That’s why Chad Buchanan or any inexperienced GM would not have success here.
The GM has to be a strong personality, a proven professional, who did not be afraid to oppose McMillan.The coach can afford to watch only short term.The GM must think long term.
Nate needs to go. He is getting his way too often.
First getting rid of Miller and now Wallace over Batum. Like Wallace but also like Batum. And am really missing Miller. Wish Felton was better.
I think it's reasonable to say that the FO sees it that way
But there’s also the component that DC Blazer brought up at the top of the comments: Nic’s cap hold is smaller than his likely contract amount, so it makes some sense to just wait and maximize space, then match whatever offer sheet he gets.
But PA wants to win now, and Wallace gets you a lot closer right now than Batum does.
Phase 1: Collect underpants
Phase 2: ???
Phase 3: Profit!
Big fan of Nic's
but his agent asking for 9 mil a year is a complete joke. Who does he think he is?
Gallo
is on the All-Star ballot. Batum is on the bench.
All 5 of our starters were in there.
Can’t say that about many teams. Why aren’t we as good as I want us to be??!
I don't always root for an NBA franchise, but when I do, I prefer the Portland Trail Blazers.
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jan 26, 2012 5:33 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
It might be that we are not as good as we used to be.
We got rid of Dre because he was older, couldn’t shoot threes and couldn’t, or wouldn’t zip up the floor in a flash. We got a younger PG, that could zip, but finds out that he out runs everybody else on the floor and has to wait until his team mates gets into position to set up. Wow, that really helped, but it seems as we are still running against the shot clock as we shoot most of the time. or one and done because our young PG isn’t as good at passing as the old geezer was. Further more, our young zippy PG can’t make half of the inside shots that the old geezer could and he has yet to set up LMA for consistent scoring.
Dre’s biggest liability was that he wasn’t sound on his long range shooting and the opponents could sag off of him and protect the paint. Has that changed much with our young zippy guard?
That, IMO, is why we are not as good as we all want the Blazers to be. Of course it is also the usage of some of our other talent.
hg
And they are both better than Batum.
Hence why they got that much.
If some team wants to offer 10+ mil per year just based on potential, I guess bye bye Nic.
The cake was a lie.
afflalo does nothing better than batum
and he is 3 years older. gimme a break.
and gallo’s breakout year this year consists of him putting up 17/5. nic is at 11/4, and he plays ten fewer minutes per game. only thing gallo does more valuable than nic is he gets his own shot more. but the difference between the two is not what people like to think it is.
PHILLY!
One of the bigger misnomers is that players get better with age.
Much better indicator is years in the league. Case like Aldridge where you see a big jump as late as fifth year in the league is very rare. Hence why I said before the season started, this is likely make or break year for Batum.
Also, Gallinari has been good for quite a while now. He’s been one of the most efficient offensive wing player for quite a while and now even his defense is getting better. There’s a reason why he was the centerpiece of Knick’s package for Melo.
As for Afflalo, I can think of at least one skill that he’s better than Batum. (3 point shooting) I’d also make the argument that his defense is better even though stats like DWS says otherwise since Afflalo always matched up with opponent’s best perimeter player.
The cake was a lie.
and you could certainly say the same about Batum
I would. I mean, behing Wallace, he’s never going to get time especially with Nate’s stubborn ways. I’d think right now would be perfect. Wallace has a sprained finger, start Batum, let’s see what he’s got when you don’t just throw him in the corner and forget about him. He should be posting up all the time and yet Nate’s got him sitting in the corner just watching.
Really? It’s just ridiculous. No reason he can’t be a bigger part of the team and Nate is partially to blame for it, as well as Batum’s easy going style, that doesn’t help him here in PDX. I feel for him and honestly I think this could bite PDX in the rear end. I could see them losing both Batum and Wallace if they don’t manage this right.
Oh, what’s that? Oh, yeah, that’s right, no GM to steer the ship off the rocks. Typical Portland FO. Nothing more, nothing less. You can hardline the NBAPA, but you can’t hardline individual players without losing them.
Did Portland really just open the door to get “WESLEY MATTHEWED”?
Get busy livin', or get busy dyin'. -the shawshank redemption.
Do you have statistical evidence for that?
I’ve seen that assertion being made quite a bit but haven’t seen the evidence.
I’ve always assumed (admittedly without any hard evidence of my own) that players come into their prime (and hence the height of their powers) around age 27. Which wouldn’t make Aldridge’s emergence that unusual.
I’ve always felt that players who emerge early, a la Lebron et. al., are the exception rather than the rule. They just get made into the rule because they command so much attention.
I could totally have this wrong but haven’t seen anything to convince me yet. It just seems like common sense.
Look up statistical history of straight from high school players.
Or Euros that came to NBA at early age. You will find that the assertion holds true for most.
The cake was a lie.
Relative to the total number of players in the NBA
…that’s a pretty small sample size.
It's actually plenty big, given the n > 20.
Compared to the population of NBA players playing around the time period where high schoolers and young Euros got drafted into the league, the sample size should be plenty big for a 95% CI. Of course, that depends on how you set up the hypothesis testing and how small you want your CI, but in general your r just has to be > 2 to show correlation.
The cake was a lie.
It is the same thing over and over
Why pay more then the street value, match the street value when that time comes. If Utah tries for revenge and pays the highest price imaginable, then they may have to eat the contract, that is the price all teams has to watch out for.
As said, why make a big offer, before we know what he is valued at on the market. Of course if Nate keeps his playing time down then opponents won’t see the true value. That is my feelings on the matter.
hg
and Afflalo can hit a shot
"I was a victim of a series of accidents, as are we all."
by thankyouforblaze on Jan 26, 2012 6:01 PM PST up reply actions
The most he makes in any year of his contract is 7.7 which is a player option for the last year.
But the first 4 years he makes 7.5 each year
by FPS NorthWest on Jan 26, 2012 6:06 PM PST up reply actions
where is this coming from?
storyteller has it as:
7.5, 8.05, 8.6, 9.15, 9.7
and no player or team options. http://www.storytellerscontracts.info/resources/11-12salaries.htm
PHILLY!
Hmmm interesting...
I got it from rotoworld
by FPS NorthWest on Jan 26, 2012 6:31 PM PST up reply actions
Jared Dudley got half that
And is roughly as good. Maybe not as high-value, but good.
Phase 1: Collect underpants
Phase 2: ???
Phase 3: Profit!
Jared Dudley is a solid comparison.
Come on, let's all hug it out.
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jan 26, 2012 8:37 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
not really
he scores less, rebounds less, shoots a worse percentage from the field, from 3, and from FT and plays 5 more mins than Nic.
oh and he’s 3 years older and has never showed the potential that nic has.
PHILLY!
Kind of unbelievable how quick people are to marginalize Batum
Almost as unbelievable as some of the comparisons they will come up with. Dudley??? Hah.
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 8:47 PM PST up reply actions
Dudley – http://www.nba.com/playerfile/jared_dudley/
Batum – http://www.nba.com/playerfile/nicolas_batum/
career stats are pretty freakin similar.
Superficial at best
Batum has been more efficient at a higher usage rate with far superior defense at a younger age.
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 9:02 PM PST up reply actions
Batum's
advanced defensive stats disagree with you. But you don’t seem to care about facts…more about emotions.
Speaking of evidence
How do you reconcile Batum’s 107 career DRtng with Dudley’s 110 career DRtng?
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 9:16 PM PST up reply actions
Lower is better with DRtng
600 N First Ave "like a Pirate's cove".
And...stooping to ad hominem attacks will get you in trouble
just warning you – been there – done that. Doesn’t end well.
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 9:17 PM PST up reply actions
Did I
stoop to an ad hominem attack? If I did my bad.
Don't look at me AR... I know certain posters just like to attack others
It seems like everything I post Cleblazer likes to bash anythign i say on, so i just got used to it
Celblazer
seems to be an emotional blazer fan. Its rough when you try to debate with that type. Luckily this is just a blog and you can ignore/stop reading/close the page at any time when you stop having fun.
haha pretty much... Its hard to debate something with certain fans that love a player no matter what
But that seems to be a normal for blazer fans. Very bi polar, and fall in love with their players. Its why we have over paid for so many players such as Miles.
What do advanced D statistics say re: Nico?
actually asking as I don’t have them. To the eye, Nico’s defense has looked a little…off and on this season and even last.
Its been posted on a lot of other threads... if i remember right they put him in the bottom 5% of the league
But i can’t promise thats what it was.. need to find someone who knows where to find it
ill see if i can find a free
way to look at them. I was looking at them last year and I’m pretty sure he had a – effect on average defensively. Though I agree to the eye he has looked pretty good.
I'm not having any luck finding any free links
anyone subscribe to these sites and can help us out?
both stats and synergy ranks him as pretty near the bottom of defenders.
And has for a couple of years now.
I also don’t see him as a very impactful defender, although I don’t know why the stats and synergy ranks him quite as low— to my eyes, his issue is more like non-participation as opposed to actual mistakes or breakdowns. I’d say somewhere in the broad middle of wing players — not terrible but not good. But there’s something in the numbers that maybe I’m just not seeing.
by howlingfantods on Jan 27, 2012 9:25 AM PST up reply actions
Dudley isn't as flashy
but he fills his role efficiently, which is perfect off the bench. It’s better to have a solid, bargain role player than it is to vastly overpay a guy who can’t dribble and will never be a star.
Come on, let's all hug it out.
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jan 27, 2012 12:05 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
Yup, Dudley on his deal is a better value than Nic at $8 million
Phase 1: Collect underpants
Phase 2: ???
Phase 3: Profit!
Batum's blocks are great but
the rest of his D is overrated.
Come on, let's all hug it out.
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jan 27, 2012 12:07 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
They play similar roles at this point, that's all
Nic has more upside, putting him more in Gallo’s territory than Dudley’s. But it’s hard to put a price tag on upside.
Phase 1: Collect underpants
Phase 2: ???
Phase 3: Profit!
Hopefully much ado about nothing.
However, if Batum does slip away because we stupidly gave him the impression that we were more committed to a 30 year old slasher whose primary skill set is dependent on springy legs and recklessness and will likely diminish quickly over the next few years… well, that’s jackassery.
couldn't agree more
If the Blazers are that stupid, then they deserve to lose them both. Hearing Chad talk about makes you think that players are just lining up to come here to the glorious NW. We’ll have plenty of flexibility when we’re rockin the draft again. Good lord, I hope it doesn’t come down to that.
Get busy livin', or get busy dyin'. -the shawshank redemption.
If Wallace opts out of his player option we'd pretty much have to match any offers for Batum...
I smell poison pill regardless…
#7
he is opting out becuase the blazers right now can only offer an aditional two years
but if he opts out then they can offer him a 4-5 year contract. He only wants one more contract. Its not a matter of him wanting to leave, its a matter of years on his final contract
if nic walks anad stays nothing but a roll player I won't be pissed
It will be a situation either way where Hindsight is 20/20. I don’t think nico will ever develop in our system. He may elsewhere but not in ours.
and Nic is?
we change our system for a role player? Lol
that can't even create his own shot?
Yeah I’m amazed at that too. I’m not even sure the system is the problem. Most people are freaking out about minutes…which is valid.
Get Nico 30 minutes and it’s probably all fine. To freak out about it after every game though seems a bit…inflexible.
I still believe Nate is a pretty solid coach.
I agreed. I think nate has done all he can do here
I respect his coaching, but I also think nate needs to go else where for us to move forward. If you got rid of nate and kept batum, then I think he could do well here. But as long as those two are together I dont see nico reaching his “potential” that every talks about. How much improvement have we really seen from Nico in 4 years? if you ask me all his improvement has come from international play and from playing in france, not much during the nba.
the "no replacement" trap is what leads to all this overpaying in the first place
Gerald Wallace could possibly be re-signed cheaper than Nic. Also, two of the Nuggets stuck in China (J.R. and Wilson Chandler) could give you decent minutes at the 3 and are free agents (JR UFA, Wilson RFA). Several teams including the Spurs (Danny Green) and the Cavs (Alonzo Gee) have gotten good minutes out of SFs from the D-League just this year, and there are always more down there. So it’s dumb to pay someone 10m/yr just because there’s not available replacement in the NBA. Team just has to look harder. Of course none of these guys would probably be as good as Batum, but could be serviceable for 10% of the price. And that’s not even mentioning the possibility of sign and trading Nic for a draft pick and packaging picks to move up and take someone like Michael Kidd-Gilchrist.
i keep dancing on my own.
Wilson Chandler would be nice...
hadn’t thought of him. He’ll probably get similar money though as Batum, maybe more? I’m not saying pay anyone 10m/yr. I’d rather see Wallace in a short term contract (3 yrs/24-26m?) or Batum in a longer contract (4-5 yrs/30-38m?) but not both…It makes the most sense to trade Wallace now for something of value, start Nic for the remainder of the season, then make the determination on where to go at the 3 spot in the offseason. The only problem I have with that is getting rid of Wallace as I think he is hungry to do some damage in the playoffs…
#7
but yeah
you look at the market and who has space, there aren’t enough free agent dollars to give all those guys that much $$$. And if Denver does decide to bring back Chandler, that probably frees up one of their other wings to be had cheap in a trade, etc… I’d bring back Nic for Matthews money (7m/yr) but otherwise look elsewhere.
i keep dancing on my own.
I think they hit the mark above
if we wait to sign anyone till next season none of our players with bird rights are held against our cap. This way we can go out and spend money on FAs to get us up to the cap and then offer our birds right players money that puts us over the cap. Really is the smartest way to deal with it to make sure we have the best chance and getting the best team possible next season.
well, their cap holds count
only case where this actually saves any cap space is with Nicolas because his cap hold will be small. Gerald’s cap hold will be big if he opts out, as will Jamal’s.
i keep dancing on my own.
we haven't thought about the idea... What if Jamal continues to play really poorly all year
Would he play his second year and try to play better next year to raise his value back up?
I just can't bring myself to worry about this situation at the moment
Plenty of games to play, and it’ll be back this Summer.
by Timmay! on Jan 26, 2012 5:11 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
This.
Let’s go back to arguing about the more pertinent issues. Back-ups at the 1 (and starters, for that matter), shifting jCraw to the 2 for good, a legit backup for Camby, finding Nico more minutes, etc.
Plenty of time to worry about retaining Bat88m down the line.
I don't always root for an NBA franchise, but when I do, I prefer the Portland Trail Blazers.
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jan 26, 2012 5:29 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
That's true.
It’s still fun to assess the situation now, but realistically, it’s best to wait.
Phase 1: Collect underpants
Phase 2: ???
Phase 3: Profit!
I posted something similar on the last Batum thread.
Honestly, if both sides couldn’t come to a mutually amiable agreement then there is no sense in worrying about it during the season. I don’t think the Blazers should overpay for a player like Nic. I like him, but I, by no means, think he a real difference maker. Knowing nothing about the actual negotiations themselves, I don’t think there is anything to say but that both sides are taking their time and making the most informed situation they can. That’s good for the Blazers and it’s good for Batum.
Well considering it was front page material...
it is pertinent to talk about. Worry, no. Discuss, yes…
#7
Funny Wheels said the opposite
Wheels was on the game in the 1 or 2 oclock hour and said just the opposite, that this is the place Nic wants to continue playing.
Everyone’s speculating.
Even me: Did you hear Batum converted to Scientology and now needs that healthy extension money to rise up the ranks?
I don't always root for an NBA franchise, but when I do, I prefer the Portland Trail Blazers.
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jan 26, 2012 5:32 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
Did you hear Batum
is holding out for PA’s yacht?
Johnson, Johnson, Smith, Smith, Thomas, Williams, and Babbitt: the Blazer's law firm.
That yacht is a curse!
Always going to Antarctica, it’s probably more
ice-cold than jCraw. There’s got to be some outlandish, magical correlation.
I don't always root for an NBA franchise, but when I do, I prefer the Portland Trail Blazers.
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jan 26, 2012 5:47 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
He also wants a lifetime supply
of Jumbacos.
Johnson, Johnson, Smith, Smith, Thomas, Williams, and Babbitt: the Blazer's law firm.
$7 million/year
A displaced Sonics fan that has somehow emerged as a Blazers fan (and loves it).
by anitachampionship on Jan 26, 2012 5:28 PM PST reply actions
There’s little room for Batum to play up to his potential with Wallace on this team. And Wallace is clearly a better player right now on a team which is trying to finally make it to the second round of the playoffs for the first time in years. Paul Allen wants to win now. Perhaps not a championship but he wants to see some playoff success. Wallace gives the team a better shot starting at the 3 than Batum does. Simple as that. So, as others have said, the Blazers are likely focusing on Wallace first wihle they tried their hardest to lowball Batum in the meantime, hoping he’d accept backup money.
I’m a big fan of Batum but it all makes sense to me and I don’t feel bad for him at all. You can say he’s still young at 24, but his offensive game in particular has been slow to come along in the few seasons he’s had. Some nights he brings it. Some nights he looks hesitant. Wallace is just more consistent and in the NBA it’s all about consistency.
"It feels good to give the fans Taco Bell."
- Luke Babbitt, 1/23/2012
I don't want to argue, but....
I’m guessing you aren’t’ watching any away games? Just a hunch.
Get busy livin', or get busy dyin'. -the shawshank redemption.
I'm starting to think the idea of Wallace being clearly better than Batum is a myth.
At the beginning of the season I sort of thought that was the case. I gave Wallace’s disappointing performance in last year’s playoffs a pass, but frankly, if he keeps up this road vs. home pattern, he’s coming off a bit overrated. I want consistency and efficiency. It’s not happening with G. Wall and that’s the maddening conundrum right now. Wallace is given the past benefit of the doubt (when he’s clearly struggling) at the expense of Nic Batum’s minutes/development. Maybe Nic doesn’t need further development, but seeing as he has been in the league long enough, this should be the year to see what he’s really capable of with solid contributor’s minutes, not promising rookie’s minutes. But, as it stands, Wallace is in the way, which begs the question—do the Blazers feel they can win it now? I guess yes as that would be my only conclusion to why Nate would prefer a struggling veteran whom he’s biased to (in terms of output) than a guy who can bring some consistency and better shooting.
Look at Gerald’s numbers this season game by game. If Nate were to play Batum the same number of minutes in a starting role, can you reasonably say that he’d match his effort both defensively and offensively? There’s no way. As much as I appreciate Nic’s game he is 70-80% the player that Gerald is right now.
"It feels good to give the fans Taco Bell."
- Luke Babbitt, 1/23/2012
seriously
Wallace is absolutely terrible on the road. He is all energy. that is not the type guy you give bucks to when age hits. Shooters get better with age, not hustle guys. But nate like hustle. Batum is a quality player now and far more consitant then half the starters on the blazers. Matthews? Felton? Crawford? Wallace after the hot start? You telling me these guys have outplayed Batum?
can we agree they all have been inconsistant?
One game wallace is a stud, the next crawford is, then mathews is, and finally batum has a good game. Theres no real way to sit there and say ones consistantly been better then the others.
My biggest question about batum is this is the 4th year in the league for him. How has he changed his game in those 4 years? he has become a more consistant shooter yes. But to me his style still reminds me of his first 3 years. very passive, 1 out of ever 5 games he decides to cut to the basket. Doesn’t really have any 1 on 1 moves. His game consist of standing in the corner, catch and shoot off screens, and occassionally cutting to the basket and receiving a pass at the rim. Other than that he hasn’t shown the ability to create his own shot, and he hasn’t seemed to develop into that sort of player either. I guess i just haven’t seen much year to year development in him. Everyone said coming into this year after his impressive time at Nancy he would be more aggressive, however over half the games he just seems to disappear. What happened to that “development” we all heard about.
his rebounding has been much more aggressive for one
For me I guess I don’t understand the fascination with him being a one-on-one shot creator. That’s not Batum’s value and it’s not the reason you’d keep him around. Outside of the post Gerald Wallace isn’t any more of a one-on-one shot creator than Batum is anyway
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
do you expect Wallace to be terrible on the road all season?
There’s nothing in his extensive career that can support that. Not even last year’s splits link
Crash gets the benefit of his own career to back him up. More than likely his trouble is a combination of conditioning, the poor shooting that’s plaguing most of the league and a messed up finger on his shooting hand.
He’s been a 15+ and 7+ guy since 2005 for crying out loud. He deserved his All-star spot .
I understand everyone wants Nico to succeed. By all means give the guy at least 30 minutes but it’s hard to watch Gerald Wallace take fire over it. He’s very probably the 2nd best player we have and some even argued the best when the season started.
by poorwebguy on Jan 27, 2012 3:29 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
truth
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
GW and consistency ?!
Rather there are two mutually exclusive concepts.
Love Batum. Not 9m+ love.
Hell, the FO might even be willing to pay that much, but you gotta prove to them that 9m is what it’s going to take to keep him. And that is accomplished by letting him see some offer sheets from elsewhere in the league.
In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice they're not.
There's that 9m+ MYTH again
Every few posts someone sticks in a number as if it’s fact.
Post your source!
by spencerbutte on Jan 26, 2012 10:54 PM PST up reply actions
Waiting to extend Batum gives the FO more options negotiating everyone else's deal this summer.
I bet that’s 90% of why no agreement yesterday.
I'd rather have Batum moving forward than GW.
I guarantee he gets the money he wants. It’s high, but it didn’t sound crushing. The Blazers have given out far worse deal than that before.
Watch it be just like Travis.
Maybe someone does step up and give him a big wad of cash, along with the expectation that he earn it.
The only way you can mention Nico and Trout in the same sentance
is if you’re discussing jacked-up hairlines.
I don't always root for an NBA franchise, but when I do, I prefer the Portland Trail Blazers.
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jan 26, 2012 6:50 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
I don't think Nic is gonna fall apart like Travis.
Travis never was any good, he had more negatives than positives. I never understood the love for him.
Nic can do a lot and is still improving his game
The truth
The truth is that the front office said to Batum’s agent “You think your guy should get paid out of this world? He has the rest of the season to prove up.”
Let’s not make more of this than there is. Batum’s agent decided he thinks Batum will be worth more at the end of the year than right now. Let’s just look forward to some contract-year inspired play from the flying Frenchman.
by Oden Mad, Oden Smash! on Jan 26, 2012 7:19 PM PST via mobile reply actions
"The truth is that the front office said...."
Post your source!
Don’t try to state your opinion as fact.
by spencerbutte on Jan 26, 2012 10:58 PM PST up reply actions
Batum has this thing we call potential,
to improve, but also to stay the same or even regress. This ballclub needs toughness,defense, ballhandling and shooting. Batum’s only got one and a half of those, in my opinion (shooting and defense when he feels like it). He pulls too many disappearing acts. I question his intestinal fortitude, his ability to overcome whatever dislikes he has about rotations or offcourt issues (and I’m giving him a pass about his mother’s immigration harrassment, as we all should) and get his head in the game.
Chorlotte’s FO and particularly Larry Brown took a lot of flac for letting Felton go to New York. People said Larry Brown stifled him and D’antoni set him free. Well, Charlotte’s looking smarter now. My point is that beyond the huge problem of our unbalanced roster, and Nate’s rotations, maybe Batum just isn’t starter material on an elite team. The FO apparently didn’t think so when it signed Wallace. I think a lot of people are forgetting that the new CBA is going to force even mega rich owners like PA to think harder about signing role players. Stars will still get their money but the pie is smaller now for the likes of Batum. He and his agent are going to find that out next summer.
by thaisteve on Jan 26, 2012 7:35 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
Kool, my very first rec!
I’m honored, sir.
Well, I like you.
I feel like Babbitt the Chalupa hero.
Nailed it.
To add to team needs(which ball handling is HUGE), the Blazers need someone who can create their own shot. But I digress…
I feel like fans are really bad at singling out certain players for things when others are just as guilty. For instance, I read somewhere as i scrolled down this page that Wallace is inconsistent and disappears on the road and I think I saw over rated, but the same applies for Nic. Not saying Wallace doesn’t come and go with his intensity, but he isn’t the only one.
IMO, I hope we don’t re-sign Wallace. On the other hand I hope we don’t over pay for Nic. It’ll be a tough spot to be in possibly losing both of our players at the 3, but i’d rather take that chance then pay either of those player 9 or 10 mil +.
by FPS NorthWest on Jan 26, 2012 9:53 PM PST up reply actions
in 19 games this year, Batum has been over 30 minutes just 4 times
in those 4 games:
49% FT, 50% (11 of 22) 3p%, 5 FTA/game, 6.8 rebs, 1.5 ast, 0.8 stl, 1.0 blks, 19.0 pts.
While other players of similar talent and potential in their 3rd to 5th years in the league are seeing starter-quality minutes and consistent playing time with established roles, and thus having an opportunity to prove themselves, Batum has essentially seen his playing time, role, and ability to carve out a place for himself on this team and in this league wither on the vine. He is averaging a paltry 24 minutes per game, down almost 25% from last year and lowest since his rookie year.
Hard to expect him to continue to improve and develop in that scenario.
"But if Ding Dongs and prime rib were the path to NBA pivot stardom we'd all be wearing the uniform." -Dave
by douglast on Jan 26, 2012 7:58 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
I'm not usually big on getting into the blame game here
But while I don’t disagree with you (numbers are numbers after all!), where does the fault lie? Is this Nate’s fault for reducing his minutes? Is this the team’s fault for bringing in another SF when Batum was already in the position? Or is this Batum’s fault for not taking his game to the next level to show he deserves the role?
There’s no hidden message in my options there. I really don’t have an answer. Wonder if it’s a bit of a less-than-perfect storm that created the scenario we’re in.
Dude, I can't believe you didn't include the training staff in the blame game
If either of these guys was injured, we wouldn’t be having this debate about minutes. For all I know, we might be tempting the injury gods with all of this chatter.
is that becuase the only games he was playing really well are the ones nate played him over 30
What i mean is in his first 20 mins if he was playing like garbage then nate didn’t let him get to 30 mins, and if he did then those stats you gave would be alot less. Just saying theres reasons why those numbers are high.
This just isn't true
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 8:52 PM PST up reply actions
Proof?
you make a lot of statements with nothing to back them.
Prove that statement
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 9:02 PM PST up reply actions
Somebody doesn't like to be disagreed with
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 9:08 PM PST up reply actions
I actually like to be disagreed with
if I am given support as to why you think the way you do. Its interesting when people think differently and interesting to find out why. When there is no reason why however, its just annoying.
What you saying is if he played over 30 mins then he will put up these great numbers
What about those games that he goes 1-6 in 20 mins? or 0 for 15 mins. If you played him over 30 mins in those games, and he only scores 5 points, it woudl bring those stats down. But if he only stays in over 30 mins when he plays well (which has been inconsistant) then of course those numbers in those 4 games will look better.
The untrue parts
Your assertion that McMillan gives Batum minutes based on production is a false premise (gamelog evidence to the contrary).
The idea that Batum doesn’t produce with more minutes is also false – and easily verifiable by looking at his production vs. usage.
Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.
by blacknoiseNW on Jan 26, 2012 9:15 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
its pointless arguing this point any more... we have different views obviously. I can make stats that prove my points, and you can make them that prove yours
so no more arguing a pointless point.
I meant I can go through his stats and pick only ones that favor my case and make an argument
Its really not that hard
I completely agree with douglast and blacknoisenw
With the opportunity, Nic is already a 15 ppg 6 rpg player, and don’t point me to last year and think that’s proof that he’s not. Because it’s not imo. Committing to Wallace longterm at more money while letting Nic walk seems like the opposite of prudent to me. If we were closer to a championship than maybe, but to shrink the window of opportunity and keep the older, more injury prone player at more money would be pretty upsetting to me.
If that happens I don’t think our FO is being honest with themselves about how good our roster is. That or they just want tickets sold and seats filled and don’t really want to win a championship.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
by sammymohawk on Jan 26, 2012 10:49 PM PST via mobile up reply actions 1 recs
how do you get 15/6... hypothetically he could be that on good days with more mins, but he hasn't proven that
Currently he is a 11/4 guy.
I'm just guessing
but its probably adjusted numbers.
I don't deal in adjusted numbers, I deal with real numbers, or number/min you played
not numbers you may put up
go ahead and extrapolate his numbers from this season to the minutes he played last year
give him consistency with his role, the opportunity, and real responsibility…that’s what Nic needs
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
He needs to be with a different coach
That is truly what i believe. I don’t think hes a horrible player, i think hes really inconsistant right now, and I’m not convinced that under nate he will ever grow. That is based on the fact I haven’t seen much improvement the last two years in him while in portland. The most improvement comes when he is playing for other coaches over seas it seems.
he just needs minutes, opportunity, and responsibility
Nate can give it to him…Nic is ready to take the next step as evidenced by many of the statistics posted on here. For him, at 17+ PER, to be getting 25 mpg is unacceptable to me.
I don’t know if it’s had to do with this negotiation or what, but use him or lose him. I prefer use him. If you can get something solid in return for Crash then I’d love to open that starting SF spot for Nic.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Is it true that if you don't use it
you lose it?
by AR-15 on Jan 27, 2012 11:45 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
love it
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
by sammymohawk on Jan 27, 2012 12:05 PM PST up reply actions
I dunno, it seems more like a small sample size bias
If you lower the filter to even 28 minutes, capturing his next two highest games, his shooting essentially drops to his season averages (43% FG, 38% 3P%). His points and rebounds remain above his averages, but while being too lazy to calculate the per minute numbers, I wouldn’t think they’re vastly different than his season totals. Better sure, just not eye-poppingly.
I agree he should play more, and there would likely be some sort of associated bump in his production due to not constantly looking over his shoulder, but I think Nic does tend to benefit in this kind of analysis since Nate still will bench him for long stretches if he’s having an absolutely horrendous game, as opposed to GW, LA, or even Ray, who are playing 30 pretty much regardless of how poorly they’re playing.
Not the minutes discussion again
2010-2011
31.5 MPG
12.4 PPG
4.5 RPG
1.5 APG
I still think we should of paid the guy but the problem isn’t his minutes, it’s starting. Off the bench he plays with a shooter/scorer with Crawford and the new found post player Smith. The offense doesn’t revolve around him at all.
This year especially, without Roy in the mix, he would make a great 2nd option for the starting unit and this would be a great time to see what he can really do. Unfortunately, we won’t see that this year and since we didn’t offer him an extension I think we can safely assume that Wallace isn’t going anywhere either.
My first reaction is that Portland is really dumb for not getting a deal done but I know they did the right thing. Too many times
Portland invests too much money in role players that they think will be stars. Batum hasn’t proved anything. Brandon Roy proved something, and so did LaMarcus Aldridge. They proved that even on bad nights they can help this team win.
When Nicolas Batum plays bad he sulks. Not only that but his good games are seldom.
You you can't invest a ton
in role players when you don’t have a true #1 option. LMA could maybe mold into one, but currently he is an Elite #2 option I.E. David West with CP3 as the #1. We need to get a star here before we start over paying role players.
im still on the idea of either trading for Deron this year
or trying to sign him next year.
I know it’s along shot, but it seems the best possibility of getting an elite player anytime soon, without sinking to #1 pick territory. Unlike Carmelo, Paul, LeBron, and Dwight, I hadn’t every really heard much from Williams previously in regards to big market/superteam stuff.
Obviously, New Jersey is going to push hard to get Dwight this year, or even next summer. But if they don’t, then perhaps Deron would rather move on as well.
"But if Ding Dongs and prime rib were the path to NBA pivot stardom we'd all be wearing the uniform." -Dave
I agree
The only issue I have with Derron, is it seems he is the reason Jerry Sloan quit. I don’t know that for sure, but that is my own personal opinion. And i don’t really want that kind of guy on the team. Though I can’t say I wouldn’t be excited finding out he signed with the blazers.
It is a long shot, but I don’t feel like we need to completely write it off like so many seem to think.
People need to give up on Deron W. hes going to the mavs next year.
They cleared their cap for him, and its his home town, plus they are on the list of teams he wants to play for.
Thats where I see him going as well.
But nothing is written in stone.
yeah but we won't be able to offer him any more then those teams can
So i dont see any way we get him. Instead of wasting our time on that, and letting the 2nd teir all stars get plucked away I would rather focus on a guy like Eric Gordon and go after him
I have no issues with that either
Eric Gordon supposedly wants to go to Indiana, but him and LMA as our #1 and #2 options wouldn’t be bad.
yeah it would be nice. Im just worried we will go for a pipe dream
and while we go for that we will lose out on a 2nd tier all star that we could actually get, and then get stuck with no upgrades.
"or trying to sign him next year."
Deron Williams wants nothing to do with podunk Portland.
"I Am Mine"
free agents don't want to come to a mediocre team with no GM, yes.
but don’t rag on our city. heck, it’s bigger than Salt Lake City and much better than the garbage dump that is New Jersey.
But yes, if Deron’s leaving to anywhere in free agency, It’ll be to his hometown team in Dallas with its recent championship pedigree and solid management.
"Wide, girthy. Just like a Rhino. Sometimes my horns are visible."
If it makes you feel better, I'll rip the rural, rustic Salt Lake City. It's a desert I'd desert.
I can bag on the Garden State, too, as it’s a wasteland. New Jersey = New York’s junkyard.
"I Am Mine"
After his experience in Utah, I tend to agree
Plus, he does have a wish list of teams he’d like to go to if NJ doesn’t land Dwight, and I’m pretty certain it’s the usual suspects of major market teams: NY, LA and Dal.
"...it was like he brought his own personal cross-wind to the arena." - Dave
Naw. It's time to be shrewd with role players.
I prefer him to Wallace moving forward, but he’s just not worth 10 million a year.
Come on, let's all hug it out.
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jan 26, 2012 8:46 PM PST via mobile reply actions
yeah it sa money game also
I still like the idea of wallace with either a drafted SF or claver or one of our other euro’s coming in on a rookie contract to back him up.
yeah this
we can’t afford to massively overpay for what Nico’s shown so far. Looks like Nico’s agent is trying to sell the FO on potential again and the FO is saying “ok so prove it”.
If anything maybe this will drive Nic to be more aggressive and maybe even show up Crash.
by poorwebguy on Jan 26, 2012 9:03 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Yes, today.
I don't always root for an NBA franchise, but when I do, I prefer the Portland Trail Blazers.
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jan 27, 2012 8:32 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
This is exactly the kind of situation PA was hinting at in that heavily-screened interview early this season
Establishing a hard line and playing the game. It’s not unreasonable, and in fact it IS reasonable, to wait and see what others are willing to pay for him. Batum hasn’t exactly done much to prove that he’s not just a talented wallflower.
here are some stats and thoughts
Wallace in 10 more minutes a game averages roughly 2 more points and 3 more rebounds. Wallace is going for 13pts to Batums 11. Minutes 34 for Wallace and 24 for Batum. Batum is second to Aldridge in PER. Batums PER is 17.5 to Wallaces 15.3. At per 36mins, Batum is third in scoring behind Aldridge and Crawford – Wallace comes in at 13.9.
Prior to looking at this I thought for sure keep Wallace. They are obviously keeping one or the other – right? It would be ridiculous to have both and then let both go. So they have to keep one of the two, and after looking at the stats I would have to say Batum.
Batum may actually be in the midst of a break-out season but it just doesnt seem that way for whatever reason. I think the change has happened and he has progressed. Sometimes when your so close to something you cant really see it in focus.
by ELVISJONG on Jan 27, 2012 12:20 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
The only thing that has me wanting to keep Wallace around
is the fact that he completely shuts down Durrant If we end up playing them in the playoffs some time, that could and probably will be the winning factor.
Wallace brings two things Batum doesn't
He’s still a better defender. And perhaps more importantly, he’s a leader other guys follow. Both are probably things Batum can and perhaps will develop over time, but if the Blazers only goal is maximizing their ability to win now, then I still think Wallace gives them more.
"...it was like he brought his own personal cross-wind to the arena." - Dave
a few more observations
Batum has also taken and made more threes then Wallace and Batum is actually the only one on the team shooting the 3 at 40%….the only one – I never see him hit a three, but apparently he shoots them pretty good. He has also scored only 30 less points total then Wallace despite playing over a hundred less minutes. Batum has twice as many blocks as Wallace. And the Blazers only really have 4 shot blockers with the twin dinosaurs of Camby and Thomas being two of the four with Aldridge being the fourth.
Batum is young with experience isnt that what you want to build around?
I say with Deng hurt – you trade Wallace to the Bulls for Asik and CJ Watson.
by ELVISJONG on Jan 27, 2012 12:31 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
oh man I love that trade
doubt Chicago does it though.
"Say his NAME, Portland. Gerald Wallace is...awesome." -Dave, 4/9/11
well...shoot. I'm torn. which probably means it's not terribly lopsided.
"Say his NAME, Portland. Gerald Wallace is...awesome." -Dave, 4/9/11
Honestly I would not be surprised to see Wallace traded this season.
To pave the way for Batum in the future. I just don’t see a scenario where Batum leaves if Wallace does get traded.
Keep one trade one. We don't need two SF's. The Blazers know everything
we know, and part of what they and they know is that we’re not a serious contender with this line-up, and they have a lot of work to do to rebuild a team that was only a year ago structured around an all-star in Roy, a viable second option in Aldridge, and the possibility of Oden. Take Roy and Oden out of the picture, and we’re playing cut and paste with role players to remain entertaining and reasonably competitive – but little else. Allen, Buchanan and Macmillan know this. They certainly aren’t going to advertise it loudly to the public, but they have set up their contracts to enable them to make some significant decisions about their direction over the next year. Keeping or trading Batum or Wallace, or both for that matter, is a decision that needs to fit into this reality. So, don’t fall in love with the roster we have. We didn’t just lose Roy and Oden, we lost the ability to convert them to other players at the value they at one time had for us. That is irreplaceable. A roster of role player’s does not get you another Roy, nor give you a player that matches what we thought Oden would bring.
If this is true, that they have decided that they want Wallace instead of Batum...
I’m going to be very, very upset. Wallace maybe has 1 or 2 more good years left…maybe less. Batum is only 23. That’s like 8 more good years left….I just don’t understand.
Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company.
I don't know how David Aldridge could possibly know what Batum is thinking, but it is hard to argue against his assessment that the Blazers aren't sold on Batum long term.
I think it is probably the wrong move to let Batum go and try to resign Wallace to a longer contract. Wallace is a great player, but his style of play is not conducive to a long career, and he may already be on the downward slide. The Wallace you have now, is going to be as good as it is going to get. The Batum you have now may also be as good as you are going to get, but I doubt that. Batum is young, he seems like a hard worker, and he will continue to improve. Whether or not Batum ever develops into a better player than Wallace is now, I don’t know. But I do believe that the Batum 3 years from now will be better than the Wallace 3 years from now.
for the team it only makes sense to extend for a discount
you’re giving the guy an extra 3/4 season of security, and not asking him to demonstrate his value on the open market by getting an offer sheet. So if Batum isn’t going to give a discount, then there’s no reason to do the deal. In RFA the Blazers still have a big advantage in retaining him, so I don’t see how this means the Blazers don’t value him. And if someone makes him a huge offer in RFA that the Blazers don’t match, good for him! He’ll make a lot a money on a team that values him more. I see no reason why he should be insulted that there’s still a gap.
i keep dancing on my own.
by atomiccafe on Jan 27, 2012 9:32 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
There's no reason to sign anyone to an early extension unless:
1) the player gives you a discount in order to lock him up long term;
2) the player is an obvious superstar, and you want to lock him up as long as you can as early as you can.
(borrowed from a recent Hollinger article, but this should be pretty obvious from the way the rules are structured)
Neither of those things are true here. Batum obviously was striving for fair market value. And he’s no max player superstar.
The team holds all the cards here—Batum will be a restricted free in the summer, but everyone knows that the Blazers will match any reasonable offer, so most likely, no one will offer that much.
Teams are incentivised not to offer mid-tier restricted free agents who their teams will definitely match like Batum a contract since all that accomplishes is to put a cap hold on that team while they’re looking to add bodies. Mostly restricted offers only go out to players who their old team is done with for whatever reason.
So chances are really good that the best offer Batum gets will be below market value. Which we can then match. Easy peasy. I don’t really like Batum at 8 mill per year, but I’d like him better at 6 mill/yr. Would have a lot more trade value too.
It’s also possible that teams will lose their minds and offer huge money. I don’t think that’s too likely in this instance — Batum’s a wing, not a center (who tend to get oversized offers), he plays off the bench and therefore doesn’t have great per game numbers (meaningless to hoopsheads but a PR problem with fanbases). If he gets a 4 yr 48 million offer out of some insane GM, I say “good job and good luck” and shake his hand on his way out the door.
by howlingfantods on Jan 27, 2012 9:36 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
Trade Baum to Utah
Then offer him a toxic contract in the offseason that Utah can’t match
62-4 baby
by thomasikehara on Jan 27, 2012 12:40 PM PST reply actions 2 recs































