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Game 18 Preview: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Game Time: 7:00 p.m. TV: CSNNW and NBATV

The Memphis Grizzlies roll into town with a suitcase full of recent wins and confidence in hand, having earned (for now) the right to be mentioned in the same breath as Dallas and San Antonio in their division. They've ripped off multiple victories without the services of forward Zach Randolph, down with a knee injury. It's a good day to be a Memphis fan.

Rudy Gay has been the Grizzlies' leading scorer at 19 per game (plus his usual 6 rebounds). The most impressive part of his performances may be his 47% shooting clip. Gone are the days when he'd just fire anything, shooting Memphis out of victories. He'll always be Rudy Gay but he seems more comfortable in his own skin now and the team more comfortable with him doing his thing.

Despite Gay's statistical lead, the heart and soul of this team so far have been point guard Mike Conley and center Marc Gasol. Conley's 13 points and 7 assists look modest but you have to factor his 49% clip from the field, his ability to sink threes (39%), and his 3+ assist-to-turnover ratio. Plus, at least early in the season, he's taken the next step in defending. His 2.5 steals per game look flashy, but he's playing better position defense as well, making him the kind of well-rounded player that basketball aficionados can appreciate. Gasol is following the same pattern at his own position. He averages 15 and 11 on 54% shooting with 2.5 blocks per game and more good defense. These guys can score 20 but they don't have to in order to bring their team the victory.

Former Sixer Mareese Speights starts at power forward. He's getting more minutes and looks than he did in Philadelphia but also playing a little farther away from the basket. That's still an adjustment. His rebounding is as good as ever though. Tony Allen continues to start at shooting guard. He's an efficient, not productive, scorer but a good defender.

The Memphis bench features O.J. Mayo alongside of a bunch of hard workers. Now freed from the burden of being anything but a scorer Mayo is producing the best percentages of his career. Like Gay he seems to have found a comfortable fit and how to be a weapon in this league. Guys like Dante Cunningham, Quincy Pondexter, and Jeremy Pargo aren't going to win games for you but they won't lose them either...a key component of bench play.

In other words, unlike previous years when the Grizzlies would go on weird streaks of a half-dozen victories by scoring 120 per night and giving up 117, this year's record looks legit. Their players have grown and gelled. Randolph's absence may even be a plus in uncovering fully some of the capabilities of their more complete contributors.

Though offense will always get most of the attention in Memphis, the Grizz have made their greatest strides in the defensive department. They've got the 8th most efficient defense in the league, right there with the Blazers and snuggled close to teams like Miami, the Lakers, and Atlanta. That's foreign territory if all you remember is Classic Grizzly play. They're solidly in the middle of the pack in most categories, plenty enough to make their offense tell. They excel at forcing turnovers. They lead the league in steals per game, adding a little zest to their otherwise-standard defensive game. When even Rudy Gay is having the best defensive season of his career, though, you know you're doing something right as a team.

The Grizzlies are in upper-middle-average territory in offensive efficiency and point production. Their secret is simple: they score a ton of points on the break and in the lane. Remember those Toronto and Detroit teams that couldn't score an easy bucket to save their lives? This ain't them. Naturally their shooting percentage is high as well. When pushed away from the bucket they become more average again, but they make up for that with an excellent offensive rebounding attack.

This team isn't showing a ton of obvious weaknesses right now. The occasional 128-point night against the Kings or 64-point outing against the Bulls aside (binary scores FTW!) they're playing steady ball and winning whether they score in the 90's or 100's. Home or not, they'll be a tall order for the Blazers on the second night of a back-to-back. Portland will have to work hard to prevent those easy buckets upon which the Grizzlies thrive. The first two tenets tonight must be rebound and get back on "D". If either of those breaks down Memphis will score enough points around the edges to give them a terrible advantage. Portland can go toe-to-toe with them in terms of production, forced turnovers, and star power. For the most part the Grizzlies' strengths are also Portland's. But the Blazers equaling or exceeding the Grizz in the straight-up categories won't matter if Memphis goes +12 on easies.

Read the Memphis point of view at StraightOuttaVancouver.

Enter tonight's Jersey Contest form here.

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

Comment 18 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Won't matter if they go +12 on easies is right. Blazers need to make the lay-ins.

Never seen so many missed point blank shots by an NBA team. LaMarcus needs to throw it down and make sure he scores.

by kjironman1 on Jan 24, 2012 7:05 AM PST reply actions  

Wallace's lay-ups

makes Aldridge’s look like dead eye. He (Wallace) made a difficult close bank shot and got fouled last night for a total shocker. I’m still shaking my head on that one.
I noticed one thing Aldridge is doing that he didn’t do last year but practiced all summer and that is going to his right for an up and under finishing with his left. He IS getting better!

by XBlazerfan on Jan 24, 2012 11:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Rudy Gay

played nearly 44 minutes yesterday. Could be a factor.

by Behemot on Jan 24, 2012 7:44 AM PST reply actions  

NBATV broadcast..

it’s going to be blacked-out, correct??

by hcopeland13 on Jan 24, 2012 8:48 AM PST reply actions  

Blackout, yes

It will be, which means watching the game at the bar for me. . . alas.

by win_heartless on Jan 24, 2012 12:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Portland plays good against good teams and bad agianst bad teams

I am thankful that the Grizzlies are considered a good team and other then home court advantage we are probalby the under dogs. We play that role so much better.

hg

by BBK on Jan 24, 2012 9:03 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

the way this team has been playing....

not going to work in this game. We’ll get run out of our own building.

by poorwebguy on Jan 24, 2012 10:07 AM PST reply actions  

guess we better play better then!

"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'

by sammymohawk on Jan 24, 2012 10:34 AM PST up reply actions  

Dante!!!

"Brandon Roy has done this before."

by sabonis11 on Jan 24, 2012 12:25 PM PST reply actions  

Breaking down the Grizzlies 7 win streak....

only one B2B…Detroit then Sacramento at home

one win against a team over .375 (chicago) Should note that Rose was out due to toe injury.

teams they beat that were on 2nd night of B2B: Knicks (played 76ers), Hornets (played Wolves), Kings (played Spurs)

Grizz definitely look like a good team but their 7 game win streak isn’t near as impressive as our 6 – 0 start. They had plenty of days off and played one above .375 team with no star PG. Will be interesting to see how they do against better teams. They’ve lost to the Spurs, OKCx2, Utah, Chicago and the Lakers. They’ve beat .500+ teams: Chicago (-Rose) and Houston

Chicago (.842) and Knicks (.375) both at home are the two best wins. Knicks were on 2nd night of B2B while Grizz were rested and at home. Next would be Kings (.333) and then GS (.313)

by poorwebguy on Jan 24, 2012 1:10 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Nice work! Thanks for the analysis! rec

Based on your analysis I would say this should be a match-up of 2 teams that are about the same level – more or less. According to ESPN, Points For and Points Against are pretty similar as well.

LET THE LAMONSTER ERA BEGIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by LaMarvelous on Jan 24, 2012 3:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Josh Davis

Don’t forget to mention that the Grizz have Josh Davis. As far as I know he is the only person to have played in the NBA from Salem Oregon. Damn near beat AZ to go to the sweet 16 when he was in college (Wyoming) as well as a two time player of the game during the big dance that year.

by LaRoyDen on Jan 24, 2012 3:21 PM PST reply actions  

Tonight's Blazer killer.....OJ Mayo

I wanted to go with Tony Allen though….

Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company.

by jenstcy on Jan 24, 2012 3:55 PM PST reply actions  

Zach will be tonight's Blazer killer

His MCL will magically heal and allow him to play 1 game. He’ll come back and score 42 on us, then go on IR for the rest of the season. For some reason old Blazers play really passionately against us.

by lickety brindle on Jan 24, 2012 4:57 PM PST up reply actions  

All the blazers have to do tonight

is score more points.
that’s your blazerblaze “key to the game”

by blazerblaze on Jan 24, 2012 5:37 PM PST reply actions  

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