NBA Lockout: In-Depth Solutions to Get Back in Business
Ever since the lockout started looming, players, owners, management, and fans everywhere have been asking me to write up a solution for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement....
Well OK maybe not but I am going to anyway. I see both sides of this issue, the players don't force the owners to spend their money. At the same time, at least the players are making money, while a lot of the owners are losing it. All NBA teams should be able to turn a profit. Players will make less money, it is only a matter of how that is achieved and how much less they make.
Here are 10 steps for a new CBA that is fair for both sides.:
1. Bring player share of revenues down to 50% from 57%
Player salaries are currently based off this 57% number, which is the percentage of Basketball Related Income that players are entitled to. This is how they get the salary cap. All expenses included other employees, advertising etc. come out of the other 43%.
This is the root issue. A 50-50 split seems fair to me.
2. A Harder Soft Cap
The owners want a hard cap, the players want none of that. My solution: A harder soft cap. I am not sure of the best plan the achieve this, but here is one idea.
Under the revenue change, the new salary cap would be about $51 million. Teams that go over the $65 mil would have to pay a luxury tax. Once they go over $75 mil, they would lose all salary exceptions save Bird-rights, signing their rookies, and minimum scale contracts. That would help to both level the playing field, and to save the owners from themselves.
3. Salary Rollbacks
The players won't be too happy about this, but it is necessary. To save teams money and give them flexibility under the new rules, current salaries would have to be cut. I would cut them on a sliding scale taking more money from those who make more but in a way which would keep someone who makes more now from making less under the new system. It would average somewhere between 12-15% of current salaries.
There is some merit to the argument that star players are making the NBA and teams way more than they're paid. That is true, but it is the same for almost everyone else too. We make our companies more than they pay us, that is how business works. The star players, on top of their still-good salaries, will be making millions off endorsements anyway.
4. Fewer Guaranteed Years
Many teams get screwed (or do it to themselves) with a big contract for a player who ends up injured or just disappointing. Under the new system, teams can re-sign their players for six years still, but the last year would be fully non-guaranteed and the fifth year would only be half guaranteed.Signing players from other teams would be the same except for one less year.
This would protect a teams from a lot of the damage done to teams by the Eddy Curry's and Gilbert Arenas's of the league.
5. Smaller Salary Increases
Right now base salaries can increase by 8% per-year or 10.5% if you are re-signing. This is how Joe Johnson's salary balloons up to $25 mil in 2016 (when he won't even be very good). A more manageable increase, closer to what most people might expect would be better. Something like 3% and 5.5%.
6. Revamped Exceptions
The sign-and-trade exception is one that may not last. I would propose to keep this, but change the rules a bit. Teams would still be able to do sign-and-trades, but the player would still be only eligible for the fewer years and smaller increases he would get from signing with a new team.
The Mid-Level exception would stay, but since it is equal to the average salary of an NBA player, it would be smaller.
7. Revenue Sharing
Some may say it is communistic to make teams like the Knicks share their revenues with teams like the Bobcats. I think it would be perfectly fair for the away team to get some portion of the revenue generated. Fans aren't going to pay to see the Knicks shooting around by themselves. Something like a 70-30 split seems fair to me. This isn't really in the CBA, it is something the owners would have to work out.
8. Amnesty Provision
There would be amnesty this time similar to last time with except would take the waived players salary off for cap AND tax purposes.
9. No HUGE Systematic Changes
While this would change the landscape a lot, none of these are really major systematic changes. A couple of things they should stay away from: A low hard-cap and a "franchise tag".
The hard-cap would really hurt players a lot and they wouldn't go along with it. This proposal should have enough safeguards for owners. I think that the "franchise tag" that has been talked about would not work, and would probably not be fair to players. Although I don't like what the Heat did and don't want to see more of that, players are already stuck with the team that drafted them for at least five years if they team desires. There would also be financial benefits to staying with your team, as outlined.
10. Hold off One Year
A lot of these rules will take adjustments from teams and especially from players. Steps 1-3 could wait a year and players with contracts would keep their current salaries for the next year. This would give them plenty of time to prepare for their smaller salaries.
What do you think? Would this be a good compromise? What changes would you make?
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My .02
1-A 50/50 split works for me.
2-You can’t have a soft cap AND parity/competitiveness. Youll have what you have now-some owners who are willing to spend and others who aren’t. A hard floor/cap makes every team follow the same rules, spend ~ the same amount. Letting owners exceed the cap is what caused the problem to start with.
3-You can’t have owners signing Joe Johnson to an absurd contract last year and say “Now you’re giving it back”.
4-Owners do need a way to get out of contracts that turn toxic (Eddy Curry, Gilbert Arenas). I don’t want performance clauses, that could ruin the on-court product if someone needs to jack up their scoring to get that extra mil. Health/availability clauses, personal conduct clauses, things like that need to be added. And the player’s association needs to realize it occasionally represents useless people, and not every case is worth defending.
5-Ehh. Once you’re talking millions, I don’t care how big a raise someone gets, it’s too much.
6-“Sign and trade” to me means “a player thinks he can play where he wants, but still make the max”. Players aren’t GMs. If someone wants to go elsewhere, finish your contract and go. Anything that enables debacles like leb/Bosh/Melo needs to be eliminated at all costs.
7-Should be #1, and should be settled before the players agree to anything.
8-There pretty much has to be a full amnesty clause. My only argument with yours is allowing the cut player to re-sign: If the team wants him, and he’s under contract, don’t cut him
9-I like the idea of a franchise tag. Something like that might allow extra guaranteed money etc. the players might want.
10-Ehh, shouldn’t be any need to wait.
One thing I would add, somewhat related to 10: If amnesties happen, almost all teams would end up whatever the cap ends up being. The few that are left shouldn’t be allowed to sign any FAs except for the league minimum, or make trades that would “legally” circumvent the cap, until they are under the cap. Once under, cap it, lock it, and play ball.
almost all teams would end up whatever
Should say
almost all teams would end up UNDER whatever
by GoForthAndDie on Jul 6, 2011 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions
That was worth at least .03
Here is my two cents on your two cents:
2. Things are never going to be completely even (not many will want to play in Portland over say Miami at the same rate) and if some owners want to pay more than they should be able to. This would cut down on that without being too restrictive or too hard on the players.
3. All contracts signed are dependent on a CBA, so they can do that. And it wouldn’t just be on the Joe Johnson’s of the world.
5. Yeah I’d be happy to be making millions without any raises ever. Don’t think the players would agree though. At least smaller ones would be more reasonable.
6. This version of the sign-and-trade would not enable the LeBron/Bosh type fiasco.
8. I don’t see why Amnesty should be different then a buyout, where teams can re-sign after a time period.
9. I dislike the Franchise Tag because players are pretty much locked in for seven years anyway. And not sure that the owners will want something that causes them to spend more money.
10. That will make the players more amicable and give teams time to adjust
Scratch That
8. You are probably right, I guess teams shouldn’t be able to re-sign waived players. I was clouded by the B-Roy situation. I hate to see him performing at a high level for another team.
A Franchise Tag like you mention is probably not out of the question, but under this plan there would already be benefits to staying with your team.
Arbitraion by fiat makes it seem so easy
I think the big sticking points come down to the owners needing to rework the deal amongst themselves before they can honestly negotiate with players. However, the process is flipped the owners are trying to lowball the players as much as possible so as to avoid the elephant in the room (revenue sharing) that a few teams will draw huge profits no matter who suits up, while small market teams can’t get market share to save their lives.
The owners need to have better revenue sharing amongst themselves as part of the new deal
without it the owners will be claiming the system is broken within 5 years.
exactly, you can't build a sturdy building without a solid foundation.
Without some form of revenue sharing agreement amongst owners, then they have nothing but sand to build upon when it comes to league parity. And yet we wonder why the CBA negotiations crumble.
Without a real hard cap, there will likely be no amnesty provision.
Because all it is without a hard cap is a get out of jail free card for teams that signed contracts that are now albatrosses. If a rule significantly changes, then amnesty makes sense, so that teams don’t get hosed for what they couldn’t reasonably expect to be there. But if not (and I didn’t see any in your list that did) then don’t reward stupidity. Your “harder cap” rule doesn’t really change all that much for teams, except eliminate the MLE for teams over 75 million. I don’t think that’s enough of a hardship to warrant an amnesty clause.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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I think so
A lower cap/tax/harder soft cap will cause some teams to have to shed salary and it is a win/win because teams get more flexibility and players still get paid. They would still get punished for stupidity because they would have to pay, they just don’t count on the cap.
The MLE is a big enabler for going way over the cap. This harder soft cap would make it more competitive and keep spending down a little.
But what about teams that have been financially responsible?
They worked hard, made smart moves, brought in the right people, and in one swell foop, are brought right back to the same level competitively as teams that were incredibly careless. Sure, the owner has to pay a price for it, but fielding a competitive team is far more valuable than eating a contract.
Would I love to have an amnesty provision? You bet. Roy’s contract is gignormous given his production. Sure, I’d hate to see him go. I’d hate to lose whatever he has left to give, which may yet be significant. But an amnesty provision would be a huge benefit to the Blazers. And a few other teams (Washington, Orlando, Cleveland) as well. But I don’t think it’s win/win. Because there are owners who stand a lot to lose if some of these teams are bailed out.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Yeah
Maybe it’s a win/win/lose, though the well-managed teams would be rewarded by not having to pay a bunch of money for players who aren’t even playing for them. I guess allowing teams to re-sign their players wouldn’t be a good move. Those teams would also be able to pick up players who were amnestied.
It may favor the Orlando’s of the league more, but it wouldn’t be completely screwing the other teams either
I certainly hope there isn't amnesty if the cap remains soft
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again – amnesty is not about saving teams from poor financial decisions. Amnesty is about aiding teams that could be hurt by fundamental changes in the rules.
In 2005, there was amnesty to provide luxury tax. Why? Because the fundamental rules about the luxury tax changed in the new CBA. Some teams, who operated fairly and cleanly under the previous rules might have been hurt by the new rules. Therefore, an amnesty program was instituted, to offset the potential damage from the rule change.
In 2011, the owners are proposing a fundamental change in the cap from a soft cap to a hard cap. Again, this has the potential to hurt teams that made decisions under the previous set of rules. So it should be no surprise that they are proposing an amnesty program to deal with this situation.
However, if the NBPA gets its way and the soft cap remains in place, (ie, if there is no fundamental rule change), I would argue that any amnesty program would be unfair for the reason that Darkstar mentions.
I don't disagree
But do note that this is a potential compromise between the two sides, not necessarily my ideal agreement. I have heard reports that both sides support “Amnesty” but maybe some owners wouldn’t for the mentioned reasons.
Under the previous CBA the players were guaranteed 57% of revenue
so regardless of what the paper increases of their contracts were, league revenue didn’t increase that much the players didn’t take home that same increase. As long as player salaries are a percentage of league revenue, I don’t understand how a hardcap, or lower the maximum salaries, or maximum raises or tweaking the exceptions are going to cause the owners to decrease the amount of $$ that they give the players. Part of the reason that teams are allegedly losing money is that their non-player expenses have increased so much. As an example of this, think about how many people are employeed by NBA front offices doing statistical analysis that weren’t there 5 years ago; the money to pay them has to come from somewhere.
That said the changes that I would make are:
1) Better revenue sharing amongst the franchises
2) This better revenue will require a different formula to calculate league revenues as player salaries have to be tied to revenues. Whatever this formula looks like it should end up close to the figure that the players made in their proposal (which would have dropped their % from 57% to 54.3%
3) Keep the exemptions but rebalance their value (i.e. make the mid-level smaller)
4) Tweak the trade rules to make it easier to do trades
Your Points
I agree with all four of your points, except for the revenue share for the players will probably have to be smaller. The mid-level is the average players’ salary so it would be reduced by default. Tweaking trade rules is something I maybe should have mentioned.
What I mean by rebalancing the MLE is to take it from the salary of the average player (i.e. the mean) and change it to the median salary of the league
minimum salaried players would be exempted from this calculation, of course. By my rough calculations using Storytellers data for last year, if you did this the MLE would be worth about $3.4 Million. If you also exempted players on their rookie deals the MLE would be $4.6 Million.
The proposals are well thought out
But the one factor not clearly addressed is competitive balance. So long as NYK and LAL can draw hundreds of millions more than the other teams the field will be improbable for the teams. This is why a hard cap is required.
The NBA is said to be following the script of the NHL in achieving a hard cap. This scenario sounds plausible and we are likely in for a very boring winter. To achieve a decent return on investment there needs to be a shift of about $840M (I know the NBA only demanded $700). The 50% share of BRI is about right to get there. Perhaps you can simply increase the luxury tax to be 500% for every dollar over the hard almost hard cap.
Competitive Balance
I think it would make it more competitive, but without absolutely screwing the more profitable or deeper-pocketed teams. Revenue sharing, the lower luxury tax, and the harder cap would all help level the playing field. Perhaps it would need to be a little harder than this, but I think it makes it a lot closer.
I still like the idea of "percentage based salaries" for players
Max would be something like 25%. League minimum would be something like 1%. This would be based on a hard cap, which would be higher than the current soft cap, probably about what the tax threshold was before.
If that cap number was $65 million, a max player would make $16,250,000 and a minimum salary player would make $650,000.
Teams could have a minimum salary of a certain percentage, say 85%. But 100% would be the top.
What I like about this is that players are locked into a certain percentage of the cap. So when the league does well and revenue increases, players get raises. If the league does poorly and revenue decreases, players salaries decrease. But let’s be honest, even through the tough economics of the last few years, the NBA revenue hasn’t exactly been dropping drastically.
Obviously, length of contracts, how the new hard cap is calculated, etc. are all other issues to be negotiated. I just think the idea of a players contract being linked to a certain percentage of revenue makes a lot of sense. The players do have a certain amount of control over the financial success of the league.
AJB2, I really like many of your ideas here. :)
by Rodney Gustafson on Jul 7, 2011 2:43 PM PDT reply actions
A note on player % of revenue
Under the previous CBA (the one that just expired), you’re right that the players were guaranteed 57% of BRI. However, BRI was not the total amount of revenue. About $600 million of total league revenue was exempt from inclusion in BRI.
So, in actuality, the players % was closer to 50% in 2009-10.
Question
What type of revenues are not BRI and are they significant? I understood that there are other revenues, but perhaps I didn’t articulate it well. It is a bit complicated for the average fan. I don’t know squat about any other league’s salary systems.
According to Larry Coon's FAQ, these are not included in BRI
- 60% of proceeds from arena signage
- 60% of proceeds from luxury suites
- 50-55% of proceeds from arena naming rights
- Proceeds from granting expansion teams
- Fines
- Luxury tax payments
some great ideas
that is all.
Barefoot conducts his seminars on his houseboat in Sausalito. It costs a hundred dollars to find out why we are on this Earth. You also get a sandwich, but I wasn't hungry that day. John Lennon had just been killed and I think I know why we are on this Earth; it's to find out that what you love the most will be taken away from you, probably due to an error in high places rather than by design.
by thankyouforblaze on Jul 8, 2011 10:30 AM PDT reply actions

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