The Trail Blazers Have To Prove It
Lots of buzz about last night's moves is traveling the interwebs today. I'd like to address a couple issues that I'm seeing brought up repeatedly.
Regarding the optimism surrounding Nolan Smith, he may well be the guy. Seeing him play in the league is the only way to tell for sure. But there's plenty of reason to demand that he produce on the floor before being designated as the answer even in a low-level reserve role. There's also plenty of reason to roll your eyes at this pick. I've taken the liberty of tracking Portland's first-round acquisitions--drafted organically or acquired in a draft-day move--since 2004, the first year the Blazers had a lottery selection. Here is the list:
2004
- Sebastian Telfair PG not with team, still in league, low-level journeyman
- Viktor Khryapa SF out of league
- Sergei Monia SF out of league
2005
- Martell Webster SF not with team, still in league, journeyman
- Jarrett Jack PG, not with team, still in league, journeyman
2006
- LaMarcus Aldridge PF still with team, near All-Star
- Brandon Roy SG still with team, All-NBA but chronically injured
- Sergio Rodriguez PG out of league
- Joel Freeland PF has not come to league
2007
- Greg Oden C still with team, chronically injured
- Petteri Koponen PG not with team, has not come to league
2008
- Jerryd Bayless PG not with team, still in league, modest production, possibly developing
- Nicolas Batum SF still with team, modest production, possibly developing
- Rudy Fernandez SG not with team, still in league, very modest production
2009
- Victor Klaver F has not come to league
2010
- Luke Babbitt F barely played rookie season
- Elliot Williams PG injured and has not played
Since 2004 11 of Portland's 17 first-round acquisitions have not panned out, either having not come to the league yet or not making an impact while in Portland. (Come to think of it, not making an impact much of anywhere.) Of the remaining 6:
- 2 are last year's rookies who have barely played and probably should be included in the non-impact category, bringing the total to 13 of 17.
- 2 are Brandon Roy and Greg Oden, dealing with massive injury issues
- 1 is Nicolas Batum, a partial success story
- 1 is LaMarcus Aldridge, a full success story
Between 2004 and 2010 the Blazers burned 6 first-round opportunities on point guards, comprising more than a third of their overall first-round picks. Of those 6, only Elliot Williams remains with the team. The acquisition of Nolan Smith and Raymond Felton may indicate what the Blazers think of Williams' chances to make an impact. Right now you'd have to say 6 of 6 have busted. This certainly colors the Smith pick. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me 6 times and I'm going to wait and see on the 7th.
Even leaving aside the injury problems (which may or may not have been foreseeable) and the point-guard fetish, the overall draft record doesn't engender much hope. Every year has brought the same song and dance we hear this year. "We got better. These are the guys." Meanwhile 13 of 17 guys and every point guard the team has brought in have disappointed. The Blazers can count exactly 1 inarguable triumph amongst in those 17 draft picks. No team in any league can prosper with that kind of track record. This is a grim story and this year's draft did nothing to reverse that trend.
Second, regarding the Felton trade. You already have Jason Quick of The Oregonian proclaiming that the team got better with this move and Joe Freeman leading his story with:
The Trail Blazers seemingly never-ending search for a long-term answer at point guard has finally come to an end.
There's no doubt these perceptions are accurate from the Trail Blazers' point of view. It's what they believe and love everyone else to believe too. Some counter-points:
- The Blazers need shooting but the guy can't shoot all that well, looking good only in comparison to Miller who was awful.
- The guy excels at pick and roll and running, neither of which are major parts of Portland's arsenal.
- The Blazers don't even have a big guy who sets picks, let alone prospers rolling off of them.
- He's not an appreciably better defender than Andre Miller was and Miller wasn't that good.
- Felton has been at best an average point guard everywhere he's been with the exception of a 54-game tour in Mike D'Antoni's stat-inflating system.
- His offense is in no-man's-land. He needs to score to be effective but he's not a good enough scorer to carry a team. Neither is he a catch-and-shoot, off-ball guy. He needs the ball in his hands. In the absence of a second backcourt scorer he's not enough. With a dominant backcourt scorer he's too much.
- The point guard of the future who's going to make this team so much better has one year remaining on his contract, meaning he's in position to extort the team into paying prime money for an average-level player simply because they have no alternatives. Or he could just leave. Either way, they're going to get a lockout-shortened season of play out of him and that's the only surety about this "future".
I'm not saying that Felton can't work out here. Again, maybe he is the guy. But a ton of things have to be shown before that proclamation can be made. There are just as many reasons to think it won't happen as to think it will. This doesn't look like a brilliant move. It doesn't smell like a brilliant move. There's no reason to proclaim it a brilliant move until it's demonstrated to be.
These moves do not herald the beginning of a new era. This is a shot--probably a long shot--at trying to correct the old one. The problem is, neither one of these moves has the kind of gravity to do it. Smith probably doesn't have the tools. Felton hasn't revolutionized any of the teams he's been with so far. The same worries and issues the Blazers had before the draft yesterday they still have today. Not much has changed except the names on the jerseys and another first-round pick spent rolling the dice on a point guard, making 7 of the last 18 if you're counting. If the Blazers want us to buy in to the idea that they're really getting better we need to see it on the court from these players. These moves have to work in order for them to be justified. Otherwise Blazer fans can prepare themselves for another season on the same treadmill: lots of effort, no forward progress.
--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)
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Blazers had a horrible draft day yesterday, end of story
by Blazingatrail24 on Jun 24, 2011 2:42 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
how can you make that determination less than 24 hours after the draft?
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
He can make a preliminary judgment
If he ends up eating his words, so be it. I happen to agre.e Nolan was an uber safe pick, and a complete waste considering Faried was still on the board, and we lost out on Jordan Hamilton only to get a slight upgrade and youth at point. That’s it.
"Every day was a good day at UCLA." -Coach John Wooden
Look, I was a Faried fan
and I’m not looking for another knock down drag out debate, but the notion that we are better scouts than Chad Buchanan is absolutely ludicrous
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
by sammymohawk on Jun 24, 2011 4:06 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
First no one has said that. ever
second. Are you trying to say we shouldn’t question his decisions, because he gets paid to make them?
no
I’m saying we’re not better scouts than him, so maybe we should give Nolan Smith a chance prior to etching his NBA tombstone. I have a feeling that we passed on Faried as part of the Felton deal, and I for one am very glad to have Felton. We don’t know how any of these guys will turn out. We cry about a weak draft for months and then lament losing the #26 pick???
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
For the record...
I think Nolan Smith is a fine basketball player and will be a complement to Portland’s roster, but he will never assume the full time starting PG roll. Could he have been had with the #26 pick – absolutely. Could Portland have done nothing but trade Fernandez for the #26 Pick and be better off – absolutely.
They could have had Faried and Smith and been in a much stronger position than dumping Miller & Fernandez for Felton. The decision to make this trade is just another disappointment in a long string of bad decisions the Blazers have made over the last several years. Every year it gets harder and harder to root for this organization (The players sure, but the organization…not so much). Starting to realize what the fans in Minnesota feel like every year.
Consider – in a weak draft, Nolan Smith was projected to go in the 2nd round while in a marginally stronger draft Elliot Williams went #22, and Elliot Williams will likely never start at PG full time on an NBA team.
As was said above – the team did nothing to address the needs they had, unless you count having a younger PG as being their no. 1 need. While actually improving the PG spot as being a secondary need.
The next few weeks we’ll see highlight reels of Felton & Smith, and press releases and stories on how wonderful these 2 guys are — but come February, unless Roy and Oden are still in the mix and still healthy (along with Camby) – the team will be struggling to retain position in the western conference.
by Jimbob91577 on Jun 24, 2011 5:15 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
I think we are better off going forward with Felton
Could Portland have done nothing but trade Fernandez for the #26 Pick and be better off – absolutely.
We have a core of good young players that can grow together. This is Lamarcus Aldridge’s team for better or worse. I’m not gonna have the debate all over again, we have a clear difference of opinion regarding the draft and the trade and the needs that existed and the needs that were filled and the needs that still need to be addressed and will be.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
What are the reasons Elliot Williams went #22 vs Nolan Smith@ 21
in a weak draft?
Was Nolan Smith projected to go in the 2nd round because he is a little bit older? Went to 4 yrs of college? Not as athletic?
Soooo many point guards in the draft?
I think people need to look at REASONS for teams picking players and where players are ranked/picked before just making a blanket statement.
The longer guys spend in college
the more their games get picked apart. Nowadays you are better off being a one and done or some unknown Euro.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
"Every year it gets harder and harder to root for this organization"
I hear ya Jimbob. Unforseeable stuff happens, I think I can handle that. But carefully thought out self destruction is pretty disheartening. I really hate poor decisions. We had some good ones: Aldridge, Roy, Crash, Andre, Camby, but the bad ones do sting.
The thing is, I am coming to the conclusion that the hub of the mess is coach McMillan, which includes his significant influence on who is on the Blazers roster.
I don’t expect things to really get better until he finally gets dumped. And I am tired of waiting.
by Berkeley on Jun 24, 2011 9:17 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
this is how I feel about the fitness/training staff.
I wouldn’t be surprised to learn that Bobby Medina is related to Paul Allen.
by Natsthecat on Jun 24, 2011 9:22 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I don't consider
Wes Matthew, Chris Johnson, Gerald Wallace, and Raymond Felton terrible decisions at all.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Hmm, there's enough hubris in me to think I could do a better job than many paid scouts.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
you're an outlier in this commentariat
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I think a poll of Bedge readers could blow the doors off the currnent management,
whoever that actually is.
do you really overestimate your skills?
I think you follow college basketball very closely and know quite a bit. It seems like you could easily do a good job as a scout. Apply for the job in Portland. I’m sure you would stand up well to Allen…According to Barrett, Allen likes someone who is opinionated.
The most critical and contentious people
are the ones who can’t stand it when anyone else is critical.
Yeah, Elliot Williams is nothing more than the next James "Hollywood" Robinson/Ronald "Flip" Murray.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Well....since that failed (flailed?) at getting the PGOTF thru the draft
it is good that they are trying something else
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
Here ya go..
….just a little pin prick………it’s working, good.
You can observe a lot just by watching.
-- Yogi Berra
by Rick C in Tigard on Jun 24, 2011 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Seriously!
Someone please give Dave a hug, or buy him a couple beers.
"Coach said to always be careful around Greg, because Greg costs a lot and even the slightest amount of basketball can damage him." -- The Onion
when compared to the rest of the league, id say the blazers are just below average at the draft
Also, how many draft picks actually stick in the league for more than their rookie contract?
i like it here, there, everywhere.
That was my thought too...
So I did some research. Only 19% of first round picks end up making it in the NBA as solid starter. Not surprisingly, the percentages go way up as you get closer to the top of each draft. But 19%?!?! So if you are saying that 13 out of 17 have dissapointed, that means that 4 of the 17 have not. I’d go beyond that and say that only 3 have not – Oden still hasn’t done much for this team and until he does, I’d have to say he’s a dissapointment. But still, that’s almost 18%….even not counting Oden and over 22% if you do count him. I’d say Portland’s pretty much on par with the rest of the league. And in fairness, Portland’s made some pretty good trades and acquisitions lately…Matthews, Miller, Wallace, Camby. One of those deals (Matthews) was still unproven and criticized by many, including many on this board, as being grossly overpaid. Not many people say that any more. The other 3 were proven veterans that a blind monkey could have picked to help the team. But all in all, I think the Blazers are doing okay with talent evaluation. Could be better for sure though.
by BlazerNation on Jun 24, 2011 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
I agree with you and thanks for the data on the draft picks. Rec.
Dave’s article is pretty pessimistic in my opinion.
Perhaps he is trying the old “opposite” thing again….if not…so be it.
Personally I think Felton will be fine as long as the coaching is decent and the players can stay healthy.
If I hear “well the Blazers did so well CONSIDERING THE AMOUNT OF ADVERSITY THIS TEAM HAS FACED THIS SEASON WITH ALL OF THE INJURIES”…one more season, I will throw up.
i think Felton's a little better than the post gives him credit for
honestly, for what we gave up, I don’t mind the deal that much. All we gave up was Miller – who we also, at best, had for one more year (we probably weren’t going to re-sign him at age 35), and turned him into 26-year old starting PG. We can debate Felton’s merits, but he has shown he can be a starting PG in the NBA. Also remember, he was rally good running pick-and-roll with Amare Stoudemire, he should at least be somewhat successful with LA.
We didn’t have to give up Batum or our pick to make that happen, so in all I don’t think it was a bad deal for us
Would I have taken Nolan Smith with the pick? Probably not, but he also wasn’t a terrible pick.
Here’s to hoping Oden comes back strong – at that point this would still resemble a pretty good team
by rip_city_swagger on Jun 24, 2011 1:20 PM PDT reply actions
i think we also gave up Faried, Rudy, and the #26 pick
by DefenderOfPants on Jun 24, 2011 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions
just Rudy and take Smith instead of Faried if that is true
we didn’t give up Rudy and the #26
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Yes we did
Rudy went to Dallas for the 26th pick, then we included that pick for Felton. Rudy for the 26th pick is a deal that likely would have been done whether Dre was traded or not. We traded Miller, Rudy, Petteri and the 26th pick for Felton as well as possibly passing on Faried. We overpaid…
\oo///
We traded Rudy to Dallas for the #26
who sent the pick to Denver. We never had the #26. It was part of the Felton deal. It cost us Rudy.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
We traded Rudy and Petteri. At no point did we possess both Rudy and the 26, so we couldn’t trade the both.
i keep dancing on my own.
Yes ..we traded Rudy and the rights to Kopenen for the 26th and passed the pick to Denver
So in essence we traded Dre, Rudy and the rights to Petteri for Felton
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Chad said the Blazers liked Smith a little better then Faried
And many posters has said Faried was a one trick pony, so we only paid Rudy, Petteri, and 26 pick for Felton. Rudy wasn’t playing well and it was said just yesterday Rudy wasn’t worth a pick by himself because he isn’t producing. Petteri wasn’t coming to Portland as a PG anyway, because somebody said their sister could dribble better then he could and Petteri was starting to squawk about being held a hostage. So in actuality Felton cost us Dre Which is a wash, as being Felton and Dre are about the same level of play, just different types and one is younger, also the 26 pick which we can live with.
hg
A one trick pony who averaged 14 reb per game
"Coach said to always be careful around Greg, because Greg costs a lot and even the slightest amount of basketball can damage him." -- The Onion
didn't we?
Rudy went to Dallas, and Dallas sent the #26 to Denver.
by DefenderOfPants on Jun 24, 2011 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Yes we did. Gave up Rudy for the 26th then gave away the 26th.
I see two transactions there.
Being a Blazer fan is not exactly healthy.
by dpnim on Jun 24, 2011 1:51 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
that's not what I'm saying
it’s not like we gave up two assets…Rudy—→#26———>+ Dre = Felton
not Rudy + #26 + Dre = Felton
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
At one point or another we possesed Dre, Rudy, and the 26th pick in the draft, all of which we gave away to get Felton
I dont quite understand your logic here, but its semantics and mostly irrelevant anyway…
\oo///
We started with Dre and Rudy
we ended with Felton. The fact that Dallas sent the #26 to Denver does not make it an asset we lost in the deal…it was simply Rudy.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
This is true
I don’t see why people are confused. We never had Rudy and the 26th pick.
Imagine if we had then traded the 26th pick back for Rudy
then traded Rudy for the 25th pick, then traded the 25th pick for Felton. We would have given up two first round draft picks and two Rudys!
Disclaimer: everything I know about basketball I learned on Blazersedge.
perhaps the better way to look at it
is that Dallas traded us the #26 for Rudy, and then we included that with Dre for Felton.
Either way, we got robbed.
either way
we started with Dre + Rudy and ended with Felton. I don’t think we got robbed at all.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Felton isn't even as good as Dre
He might get better, but he’s not as good right now. His contract isn’t better, and his fit with the rest of the team isn’t any better.
we disagree on just about every single point
so we’ll just see what happens
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Yeah
With Felton being a FA next season, and with Denver assuredly letting him walk, we could have had Felton next year through Free Agency. In fact, we could probably have him for less money as he was going to be the backup this year to Lawson.
We’re going to be held hostage to Felton if he performs this season because he’s unrestricted.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
That it will seem like a lame trade if we only have him for one year
and if he performs well, we’ll end up overpaying him because we won’t have any cap space to get someone else on the FA market. That’s what I assume he means.
how are we going to pay a free agent like Felton?
We can pay him if he’s already our guy, assuming the CBA shakes out as expected
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Thats a huge assumption
in this labor dispute. Then if you use MLE on Felton what about Batum and Oden. granted Im not sure how that plays out and whether they’re subject to the same rules, but it would be a damn waste to use MLE on an average PG.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
I'm done debating with you sir
I’ll let others take it from here. The point I’m making is sound. If he’s a FA, cap space prevents us. If he’s ours, we can go over the cap. I don’t expect a hard cap, and if there is teams will have a period to adjust.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I see it as we had Dre and Rudy.
then we traded Rudy for the 26 pick then we had Dre and the 26th pick. then we traded Dre and the 26 pick for Felton. Anyway you look at it cost us Rudy and Dre for Felton, because that is what we are missing.
hg
Felton isnt all-star material, but we didn't give up any of our core to acquire him.
Our only bullets were a past his prime PG that has never led his team anywhere, a shooting guard that didn’t have a spot or a shot and the #21 pick in a weak draft. The fact that we didn’t turn that into an all-star PG can’t be a big surprise. I would have gone with Faried at #21 but I recognize that there are similar type players available as free agents. That pick could well turn out to be the right move.
by 52therim on Jun 24, 2011 1:24 PM PDT via mobile reply actions 2 recs
My thoughts too
My initial feeling was a letdown because of all the other rumors – Felton was at the bottom of the list. Of course none of the other names were realistic, unless the Blazers wanted to give up a core member – and not even then likely.
Also if they take Faried instead of Smith – the attitides/analysis would be a 180 degrees opposite.
Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital. ~Aaron Levenstein
+1
If we’d taken Faried instead of Smith…that is my biggest complaint…
by ClydeTheGlyde on Jun 24, 2011 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions
mine too
We now have about 8 or 9 guards on the roster and about 5 bigs. Even that number is assuming you count the perennially injured Oden and consider Wallace a power forward. Faried would have filled a need that has existed since before we passed on Blair. I cant stand watching another season where guys like Juwan Howard, Sean Marks, and Earl Barron are getting meaningful minutes throughout the season. I’d rather scrape the sewer for a journeyman pg and take the young power forward with Dajuan Blair written all over him than sign another useless body like Marks into a rotation spot.
I have nothing against Smith and I hope he is as good as the blazers brass thinks he is because we are still pathetically thin and brittle around the hoop.
\oo///
Yeah
Part of the complaint here is that we think the Front Office is nuts for going after yet another combo guard. Nolan Smith has a poor assist/TO ratio, and is not a pure PG. Yet, he’s 6’1 3/4 without shoes and average athletically, so it will be hard for him to create offense at the 2.
Faried should have been the choice, if for no other reason than he was a NEED player and cheap. Now, unless we take a scrap heap FA big man, we’ll have to pay through the nose with a bad cap space situation.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
fortunately
I’m pretty sure we can talk Nolan Smith into playing basketball with shoes on.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
Thats what you got out of that comment?
that we’ll be fine since basketball players wear shoes?
We'll be fine because he's a baller
let’s stop tearing him down just because we’re pissed about Faried
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Good point
I was pissed yesterday but watched a nolan highlight reel and he’s got mad potential. Keep in mind he had better averages that the #1 pick in the draft and held the starting position longer than him for most of the season on a very good Dukie team.
"Coach said to always be careful around Greg, because Greg costs a lot and even the slightest amount of basketball can damage him." -- The Onion
it's pointless (see what I did there)
to throw out Nolan Smith’s height without shoes, unless you’re just trolling for reasons to dislike him.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
I mention that because true height
Is measured WITHOUT shoes on. Ergo, Smith isnt that tall. Ergo, he’ll have a tough time creating his own shot in the NBA without strong athleticism at the 2 spot.
So we probably have to bank on his playing the 1, even though thats not his natural spot.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Dwight Howard is 6’9" without shoes. Greg Oden is 6’11". Derrick Rose is 6’1.5". Those are not their commonly known heights.
i keep dancing on my own.
Smith is an undersized 2
whatever height he’s measured at
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Smith is a PG in the NBA
book it
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Think Chalmers/Collison style
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
At worst, he's a productive combo guard like George Hill.
For whatever reason, several people won’t give Nolan Smith credit for having a high floor and a low bust potential.
Will Smith ever become a All-Star? Nope, of course not. Nevertheless, the dude is almost assured of being a solid rotation player — whether it’s as an average starting point guard or solid backup combo guard — and Portland needs a guy like that on its roster.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Ha-ha, I didn't notice that 'til you pointed it out.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Book it - right
I’ll stick to what the experts have to say about it. Smith may be a decent player; Smith may even be a PG, but if he is, it’s because he worked damn hard and changed his game to become an NBA PG. As it stands, he isn’t one. He’s a tweener combo guard RIGHT NOW.
i hope it happens.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
you never know..hard work and intelligence can go a long way
in the NBA.
Just look at Matthews for one…solid rotation player…and he wasn’t drafted AT ALL.
I just think you are underestimating his PG ability
again, think Chalmers
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
John Wall and Derrick Rose would have been an undersized 2s
playing with Irving. Smith might not pan out. I’m not a big fan but in the NBA he is a PG. House or Ben Gordon are undersized 2s. Smith is not in the mold.
I have issues with both too
Like I said, if Felton was signed for 3 or 4 years at reasonable money, the trade actually makes sense. With Felton UFA next season, it made more sense to wait and take Faried at #21 then Nolan Smith at #26 with the Rudy trade.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Furthermore,
Who really thinks Nate will open up the floodgates to make the best use of Felton’s talents? Felton is REALLY nothing special in a half court oriented offense, as demonstrated by his whole career totals. At least Miller was a good fast break guard when he was allowed to run, yet excelled in a half court offensive sets too. He could have spaced the floor better with a more prolific shot, but that never stopped LMA from becoming what should have been All Star material (not to mention that spectacular 30 game stretch).
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
I am not all that worried about resigning Felton
I imagine the new CBA will similar advantages for teams to retain players on their roster(like bird rights). If he plays well and becomes our guy for the next several years, the fans are going to win him over, and Paul Allen is going to cut the check. If we lose him, it will be because there were problems on or off the court and then we will really find ourselves in a pickle…
\oo///
The issue is Raymond Felton's contract is only two years in length, so he wouldn't have ...
have full Bird rights under this CBA and is unlikely to under the next one. Upon completing a two-year contract, a player only has Early Bird rights.
http://members.cox.net/lmcoon/salarycap.htm#Q19
But anyway, I’m not sold on Felton as anything more than a short-term stopgap. Maybe that’s because I’m high on Nolan Smith, but he’s the first so-called PGOTF that I consider to be the real deal. It takes a lot for me to be optimistic about someone, which is noted by my negative feelings in the past toward Sergio Rodriguez, Jerryd Bayless, Elliot Williams, et al.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
which in some weird way makes me trust your opinion on this guy more.
You don’t get all gooey about most players. In fact, you do seem fairly hard on many of them.
So I hope you are right about Smith.
I think Felton could be good if Nate McMillan could coach how to run a pick and roll. It seems he cannot, or hasn’t in the past.
I wish Rick Carlisle coached here…and that someone like Mark Cuban (passionate yet trusts STAFF to do their jobs) owned the team..and that the team had the Suns or OKC’s fitness/training staff methods…or for all I know..Dallas’s methods.
I can just about guarantee most teams have a better fitness/training staff than the Blazers.
Cannot wait to see if Rudy improves his shot with either better 3 pt shooting coaching or trainers who make him work on his core strength..as Norstroll wisely suggested.
As do I, for I bet Portland could've come away with Kenneth Faried at #21 and Nolan Smith at #26.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
yes, which is part of the frustration,
the other part being that it did not happen that way probably because of an over emphasis on trading Dre for Felton, when I feel that Dre was better for this team in the short run, and that change could have been made later. Why? Probably to please horses heinie Nate, as opposed to the players who I think loved playing with Dre. Major blunder.
Why knock Kenneth Faried? He'll come right in and be a dominating force on the glass in the NBA.
I love Nolan Smith, but that doesn’t mean I don’t still love Faried. Denver got an outstanding role player in Faried, so credit to the Nuggets. Denver did a fine job in securing Jordan Hamilton, who should be a replacement for free agent J.R. Smith.
Quite frankly, the Nuggets have a bright future — especially if it makes the fiscally prudent move to waive Andre Miller, so as to give Ty Lawson total control over the point guard position — and may very well win the Northwest Division next season. Re-signing Nene is must, though.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I think Miller will stay. Karl loves him and Miller said he is fine with coming off the bench.
I agree, Denver did very well. The lack of a real/experienced GM was glaring in that #26 deal. I think Portland could have had both.
Denver wasn’t in love with Felton.
Whoever is the GM in Denver is doing a good job..first with the Melo trade and now this….
Yeah, Denver's front office has done an outstanding job retooling these past few months.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Hey, I am not knocking Faried. I said others said he was a one trick pony and others could do better.
hg
Sorry, my bad.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I agree that is does seem like, going clear back to Whitsett, that the Blazers
don’t really have a vision of what they want to put on the court and how the pieces ought to fit together, unlike say, San Antonio or OKC, or Dallas.
They just seem to think that talent can be lashed together and the the magic will happen.
Rudy is a classic example. I refuse to believe he’s an awful basketball player, he has a pre blazers body of work that says he isn’t. But he was never used the way he should have been, and it was preordained, he was never going to be playing behind Roy. By the time he got his chance he was already done with Nate;’s system.
Batum seems to be similarly out in the weeds. We now have a point guard whose strengths don’t apparently fit the skill set of the team’s best player. I dunno. I would rather have watched the kids grow up together than this mish mash.
Not feeling overly positive right now. Each draft, you can make an argument that it makes sense, but when you look at the teams body of work, not so much.
yeah...
Rudy Fernandes is a superstar in Spain for a reason.
by DefenderOfPants on Jun 24, 2011 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions
you cant balme any system for missing shots
Rudy was given two golden opportunities in the last two palyoff years to be the man and he failed miserably…his only good year was his rookie year where he lived up to any expectation the team had of him
He also failed that year when Nate put him in the starting line-up instead of NIc
for offensive output and he couldn’t produce.
hg
At least you didn't say "Sergio Ramirez".
Hehe. Somebody posted that and it cracked me up for some reason…
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions
Yeah
I wont shed a tear for Fernandez, whose ship had sailed by mid-season. You just wont last long as a 2 guard when you can’t hit shots. It was definitely time to part ways. I thought the Blazers getting a first round pick was actually quite brilliant. Alas, we didnt keep it.
I wonder how Hamilton is going to do. Most mock drafts had him going in the mid teens, and he was consistently labelled one of the drafts best shooters. And we REALLY could have used another good shooter.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
let the Diebler
shoot his way into your heart.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
I luv Kiebler
I always raided the cookie jar as a kid.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Jordan Hamilton will be a good player, as well as allow Denver to part ways with J.R. Smith.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
because
the competition is weaker overall and the style of play is different and more suited to Rudy’s strengths?
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
Well yeah, maybe. But the point is, whatever is strengths were, they weren't go stand in a corner and shoot
threes in the few minutes you can scrounge as a backup 2 and an out of position 3.
I’m not arguing that Rudy is an all star, I’m pointing out that drafting him is an example of acquiring apparent talent without a good plan as to how he fits.
it's possible
but, by the rationale, every player from Spain would be bad in the NBA. and we know that isn’t true.
i just think that the last year and a half was an aberration. yeah, he could benefit from getting stronger, but he was able to shoot the three well enough his entire rookie year.
by DefenderOfPants on Jun 24, 2011 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions
I'm inclined to think
the rookie year was the abberation, but I’ll be happy for Rudy to prove me wrong.
When he’s not playing against Portland, that is.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
is the reason...
that they had all of four players in the nba this year? or that he’s cute and suave, with flair?
by williamswonder on Jun 24, 2011 3:21 PM PDT up reply actions
I totally agree...
…that with any draft picks…moves or trades ultimately they get defined by results. So proclamations of BOTH success yesterday or failure are premature. But as a fan? I can understand both obtaining Felton and drafting Nolan Smith…and if I’m ultimately dealing with the undefined and unknowable? I’m probably going to filter it through the optimism of a fan of the team…
But yes…the Trail Blazers…and these new Blazers…will have to prove it…but I see no advantage in shadowing the potential success or failure of either Felton or Smith with the spectre’s of past….
"Mother Nature started this fight, I think it's about time we ended it!"
by Krang on Jun 24, 2011 1:26 PM PDT reply actions 8 recs
Rec
"You can pretty much flip a coin to see which Portland team will show up: the dark-horse world-beaters or the mixed-up eggbeaters" - Dave
by conspirator5 on Jun 24, 2011 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions
Small correction...
The guy excels at pick and roll and running,
neither of which are major parts ofboth of which have been notably absent from Portland’s arsenal.
Doers & Makers > Movers & Shakers
by Adam Randall on Jun 24, 2011 1:27 PM PDT reply actions 2 recs
Right. Because B Roy always prefered to wave off the pick and iso,
and defenders would just go under the pick on Andre and leave him wide open.
Those are the only play makers Portland has had the last few seasons and neither run pick and rolls.
Well, Felton is skilled at running the play. The only thing missing is the coaches and Lamarcus getting on board. Surely, Lamarcus can set a proper pick, and—as one of the lengthiest, athletic, and skilled bigs in the league—be an excellent recipient after rolling.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Why does Felton shoot so poorly
If he’s so good at running the P&R?
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
He shot the ball well when he was with the Knicks and Cats
Where have you heard that he is a poor shooter?
Do you call
A 41% career shooter with the Cats good? I dont
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Its not bad for a volume distance shooter
His last year with the Cats and time with the Knicks and Nuggets ranged from ok to very good. Thats more recent so I see him as a good shooter.
by Kaanyr Vhok on Jun 25, 2011 12:04 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
That's absolutely true
But how many players have we had that excel in running the pick and roll? The only one I can think of is rudy, and then only recently. Aldridge doesn’t exactly set the hardest picks, but when running the pick and pop you actually need to let him go to give you space for the shot.
I actually think Felton’s PnR ability may actually be more beneficial to LMA than Miller’s alley-oops.
Portland could coast along with their superior talent and stay right with us. Now that Portland woke up, the hammer cometh down.
Bayless > Daffy Duck after 3 cans of rockstar
by Batumshakalaka on Jun 24, 2011 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions
I'm with this. Amare and Felton had good chemistry last year, hopefully that develops
between Felton and LMA as well.
Kevin Durant won me over when he went Rocky IV on Russia this summer.
by blazeraddict on Jun 24, 2011 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Get ready for the best 88 games ever!
This years 88 games will far surpass the previous two years 88 game seasons, I can feel it.
The Felton acqusition has zero sizzle to it, the best you can say right now is that if he doesn’t wow the Blazers, you can let him go next year…and be right back where we have been since Damon left.
he's adding in a 6 game first round exit
I’m gonna go on a limb and say we win a playoff series with Felton as our PG
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
by sammymohawk on Jun 24, 2011 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Oh I thought he was an overzealous Batum fan
Disclaimer: everything I know about basketball I learned on Blazersedge.
Then I remembered
There are no overzealous Batum fans, only properlyzealous Batum fans.
Disclaimer: everything I know about basketball I learned on Blazersedge.
by pualo on Jun 24, 2011 2:46 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
It's an up-tempo roster now, so it's on Nate to change his offensive philosophy.
He changed it THIS season in terms of actual plays run. He has always payed lip service to getting out and running. Last night he said Felton would run “pick and rolls”, I can only assume with Lamarcus.
In light of all that, this next season has three big questions:
*Can Nate change his possession squeezing ways enough to allow this roster to flourish?
*Can Nate and his staff coach and game plan an offense that contains a proper pick and roll?
*Can LMA learn said play?
Obviously, Oden and Felton have contract issues that need to be resolved moving forward. But as a group on the court, I think this team has a chance to be pretty damn good and Lamarcus has a chance to become a truly legit all star.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 1:29 PM PDT reply actions
I don't know why anyone questions whether LA will be great in a pick & roll offense
Most of his offense prior to this year came from pick & pop plays run with Roy, so we know he can set a high screen. This year, he added the roll dunk with Andre (gonna miss those lobs). So, when you ask ‘Can LMA learn said play?’ the answer is already an emphatic ‘Yes!’
If LMA's gotta learn some PnR screens and whatnot,
There’s no reason Felton can’t learn the lob.
LA: “Hey, Ray…Look for me by the hoop, yeah?”
RF: “Sure thing, big fella.”
And there it is.
I think us fans deserve a modest 5-10 Aldridge dunk-via-lob per game.
Q: "Why are the Heat losing?"
'Dre: "That's for them to figure out. We did our job."
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jun 24, 2011 2:17 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Felton can throw lobs
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
he can take some lessons from Camby
Marcus: You take the basketball and—here’s the trick—throw it up near the hoop where LA can get it.
RF/AJ/Pattycakes/Nolan/WesMath/Nico: Ohhhhhhhh…
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
Maybe 'Dre was such a good lob passer
because he was actually shooting the ball so poorly that LA had to grab it and stuff it.
Food for thought.
And now I’m hungry.
Q: "Why are the Heat losing?"
'Dre: "That's for them to figure out. We did our job."
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jun 24, 2011 2:25 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Coaches dictate pace, so forget about an up-tempo offense.
Every off-season for the past few years, I’ve had to go over this again and again and again. It’s a tiring song and dance.
Now, the one odd thing about Nate McMillan is that he seems to lack self-awareness about his aversion to up-tempo basketball — while more alert, perceptive individuals like Jeff Van Gundy, Mike Fratello, and Doug Collins readily admit that they prefer methodical, slow-paced basketball over some run-and-gun slopfest — so I can see why many fans get confused and think things will change under “Sarge” as it pertains to pace.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
This is how I look at it.
We gave a 35 year old ironman with little years left and a specialist who never was a specialist for a legit 26 year old point who has a decent three shot and many years left.
Miller + Rudy for Felton. I Love it.
I didn’t add any of the draft picks by Portland, Denver, or Dallas or that guy who was being held hostage because in a few years they will all be forgotten.
by SacredG on Jun 24, 2011 1:32 PM PDT reply actions 3 recs
No one was saying the Blazers moves were "brilliant".
They basically swapped PG’s with Felton being younger and a modestly better shooter.
Rudy burned his bridges with management and his role was never well defined here.
They did not give up any major pieces.
Without context of other teams draft successes, how big the Blazers failures in the draft compared to the league is unknown.
Given that this draft was pretty weak, I think the Blazers made a decent move to get younger while still getting veteran experience at the point. I like that Felton’s contract has only one year left. It gives the Blazers time to evaluate him without long term risk.
To Alcohol: The cause of, and solution to, all of life's problems!
by flyduckfly on Jun 24, 2011 1:33 PM PDT reply actions 3 recs
that's a stellar list!
and it only tells half the story. think of all of the point guards we didn’t draft.
…or, don’t.
by DefenderOfPants on Jun 24, 2011 1:35 PM PDT reply actions
where did they really swing and miss?
Telfair should have been Al Jefferson. Martell should have been CP3 or DWill. Oden…will still be a beast (hands over ears screaming LaLaLa) and 2010 was a nightmare that we might wake up from if either guy can show life. The other picks were late round fliers, nothing more.
by 52therim on Jun 24, 2011 1:35 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
i think you already answered your question
by DefenderOfPants on Jun 24, 2011 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions
I think he wanted too lol
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Telfair
is a 6’0" guard…..how was he ever going to be the next Al Jefferson?
That;s why they play the games
WTF Dave of course the Blazers have to prove it on the court. We won’t know whether these new players will work out until they actually play some games. Be patient Blazer fans.
But clearly, before the draft everyone identified point guard as the problem. Miller was too old and Patty Mills too awful.
Not sure they could have done any better than Felton and Smith. Bringing up past draft failures is interesting but proves nothing.
Past performance does not predict future performance. The ideas and geniuses responsible for past drafts are gone. Let’s see how Chad does.
by koberball on Jun 24, 2011 1:38 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I believe the saying is
Past performance is the best indicator of future performance. And its true.
speak for yourself
But clearly, before the draft everyone identified point guard as the problem. Miller was too old and Patty Mills too awful.
I thought Dre was solid. So did Denver, apparently.
Tell me this: as our starters, between Dre and Camby, who looks like they have less gas in the tank and closer to retirement?
And then what sounds better, seeing Patty play significant minutes at the point, or Earl Barron and Chris Johnson playing significant minutes at center? Not to mention we could/would have had Nolan Smith anyway if we really thought he was the future backup PG.
How about Wallace flat out saying he doesn’t like playing the 4? We do not have a legit backup 4 on the roster at all.
by superfly05 on Jun 24, 2011 3:00 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Sure...when they have Lawson ahead of him on the depth chart
I thought Dre was solid. So did Denver, apparently.
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions
Miller will make a great teacher for Lawson.
From the bench. Hope Miller’s okay with that.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
Blazersedge.com || New to Blazersedge?
Actions -> Rec and Flag. Blazersedge works right when you use these two things.
What happens if he throws a fit about it?
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 3:29 PM PDT up reply actions
Somebody will have to die.
Or perhaps something less severe.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
Blazersedge.com || New to Blazersedge?
Actions -> Rec and Flag. Blazersedge works right when you use these two things.
I was really just wondering if opinions would change about Dre's so-called professionalism
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 3:35 PM PDT up reply actions
Miller is a good teammate and good guy
He’s not a mentor. That’s not in his DNA. He’ll support Lawson and from all accounts says he’s fine with coming off the bench. But he’s not going to be a good teacher for Lawson, much less a great one.
just as well right?
there’s no indication that playing under a supermentor makes you a better player. Goran Dragic wants to know where he can pick up his MVP ;-)
i keep dancing on my own.
You got it.
Besides, a player’s job isn’t to be a mentor. Nope, his job is to be a player.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Really?
I remember reports of miller talking to lots of the younger guys when he first got here. Mainly about subtlies. I think it is a reason he is so high in the NBA in number of lobs. he teaches players to spin or backdoor at appropriate moments for example
Roy Bashing~ "Blakes gone...Brandon is next alphabetically " ;-}
by Hermistonmelons on Jun 25, 2011 8:56 AM PDT up reply actions
If Denver's front office is smart, it'll waive Andre Miller.
No matter the on-court implications, it’s the right move financially.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Batum is an inarguable success of a draft pick
and it’s spelled Claver
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I seem to recall that the signing of miller was criticized at first as well.
I don’t think anyone can say how good or bad Felton will be until the season starts in January. For all you know the guy could flourish next to strong players in Portland playing for sold out crowds. Or he could be a bust, either way to say one way or the other is ridiculous and will only cause problems the same way it did when people jumped on andre two years ago. Give Felton a chance and then pass judgement.
by PortlandPhil on Jun 24, 2011 1:45 PM PDT via mobile reply actions 1 recs
Dave
While I agree that this is not really a new era, but an attempt to correct the old era, what do you think the team could have done (or should have done) to usher in a new era? Would Jameer Nelson or Tony Parker have ushered in a new era? Outside of trading everyone not named LaMarcus, I just don’t see what you think the team should have done.
I'm not saying they shouldn't have done this
I’m saying the burden of proof is on them, especially when these moves look eerily similar to moves they’ve tried before (drafting point guards, getting Miller before Felton) that they’ve since given up on.
—Dave
Quite right
I’m optimistic about the trade and the choice of Smith, but the only thing that matters is what is produced on the court.
Exactly.
Nelson and Parker weren’t available anyways.
I’d add Udrih to your list though. That dude can shoot.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions
I dont get why Beno got moved from sac town
he was a baller
The tensions are so high because the stakes are so low!
I don't get anything that Sac did, frankly.
Their trade doesn’t even make sense as a salary dump, since Salmons has a longer contract than Udrih. But hey, they got the Jimmer!
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
Me either
I was under the assumption they wanted an actual pg next to Evans, if they wanted a shooter, Udrih was doing pretty well I thought. That’s why I thought Miller+ for the #7 would work.
Portland could coast along with their superior talent and stay right with us. Now that Portland woke up, the hammer cometh down.
Bayless > Daffy Duck after 3 cans of rockstar
by Batumshakalaka on Jun 24, 2011 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions
That franchise is living month-to-month. Jimmer is a big name.
I think they tried to appeal to next season’s ticket holders, rather than build the best team possible long-term. Can’t blame em’ for being desperate, I guess…
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 2:40 PM PDT up reply actions
Where is AK1984's take on Smith? I'm curious,
as he likes Smith.
We all know Sammymohawk is good with the pick as well.;)
Speculation persists that the Blazers passed on Faried as a wink wink / nudge nudge portion of the Andre/Felton swap. Interesting theory but I doubt we’ll ever know for sure.
Basically, Smith is a solid backup. Will he better than Jackson, Norris Cole, etc.? That’s tough to say. Dude can play some D though. He’s a winner too. That makes him a ‘Nate’ guy IMO, so at least he’ll get some minutes.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 1:46 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I always welcome a Dukie : )
and heck, I even like the Tarheel we picked up
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
although I was surprised by the pick and people know I had argued for Faried prior to the draft
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Those watching the "Courtside" draft program
were treated to a speechless Barrett (for a few seconds).
Hehe. Those dudes were stunned. They simply had no idea what the heck was going on.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions
This^
How can we have a Tarheel and a Dukie on the same team? Chemistry be damned I suppose.
What are the odds, right?
Hahaha.
Wait. Cho is gone. I guess we’ll never know the odds…
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions
I'll be interested to see how Armon develops this summer
and the ensuing battle for backup PG to Ramone Felton(With the loss of Rudy, calling him Ramone just feels right).
Get it done... Paul.
Ramone!
That sounds gritty.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions
My guess is Armon Johnson begins next season with a new team.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I hope not.
I’m pretty confident he can be a better starting towel waver then patty
Get it done... Paul.
I'm definitely pro-Smith.
I guess this is the time for me to throw my hat in the PGOTF ring, which many of y’all have done in the past with Sebastian Telfair and Jarrett Jack — who were before my time, as I was a Sonics fan back then — as well as Sergio Rodriguez, Jerryd Bayless, and even Armon Johnson.
For once, I won’t be a hater of the anointed PGOTF — which was most abundantly clear when I was the top anti-Bayless force a couple of years ago — so this’ll be an interesting change of pace.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Actually rooting for players is a fun experience
hah! I do like Felton/Smith as a present/future duo.
Get it done... Paul.
"These moves do not herald the beginning of a new era. "
Dave, I feel like you’re asking for too much from a weak starting position
The Blazers held the #21 pick in a weak draft. Their major trade assets are Andre Miller, Wesley Matthews, and Nicolas Batum; and it’s not clear they are really interested in parting with either of the last two players.
How can you expect anyone to take that limited list of assets and usher in a new era of Blazer basketball?
I don't
Read the Freeman quote again. What does that suggest to you about the impact of these moves? It is WAY premature to be making that kind of claim, if indeed that kind of claim can ever be made for these moves.
—Dave
Okay, you've got a fair point
The local media, forever cheerleaders of the Blazer cause, continue to wear rose-colored glasses. The Mikes were even more homerish than usual on their radio coverage.
When I look at what the Blazers had to work with, I’m pretty happy with what was achieved on draft day. The Blazers still have most of the problems they had before draft night, but I think that was going to be true without divine intervention.
I would say your projection of another treadmill season is on point. For better or worse, these Blazers are defined by Roy, Aldridge, and Oden…and unfortunately, it looks like “for worse” right now.
by Agenda42 on Jun 24, 2011 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
This
is exactly what I’ve been trying to say. Anyone who claims this draft & trade was really good or really bad is missing the point, I think. It just wasn’t that big of a deal. And of Roy, LaMarcus & Oden, I’m afraid our future really just rests on Oden almost exclusively.
I agree that Oden remains the X-factor
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Despite the Trailblazers terrible draft history
We are a much better team now then we were 5 years ago. Look at Nate McMillan’s first year in Portland, the 2006 roster(Basketballreference) VS Our projected 2012 roster(RealGM). This roster is significantly better, full of young quick athletes who by all accounts are model citizens.
The Felton trade brought in a guy who is not only 8 years younger, but he has experience with our other recent acquisition, Gerald Wallace – That should not be discounted. This team needs a starting center. A consistent, healthy veteran pivotman like Emeka Okefor to play next to LaMarcus Aldridge(Keeping Aldridge on 4’s & Wallace on 3’s). Some would call us the Portland Bobcats but those teams didn’t have LA & Wesley next to Okefor/Wallace/Felton. If we managed to grab Okefor for say Camby + Batum or Oden I’d probably pull the trigger.
With that said, we would then be even less deep. Relying heavily on the likes of Diebler and Babbitt. Though just like the Heat, I think our core of Felton/Matthews/Wallace/Aldridge/Okefor(Laying it out like this, it looks like we could very well have the best starting lineup in the west) is good enough to attract quality veterans down the road.
Get it done... Paul.
Nobody, but nobody
hits 1.000 in the NBA Draft. Not the Spurs, not the Lakers, not the Sonics, not the heat. Not even the Blazers.
I was just looking thru the Sonic/Thunder 1st rounders from that time period
Not much better than ours. The fact remains …were it not for health issues, we would be right there in the West finals or beyond
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Roy was available due to health issues
you can’t call it a good pick then waive away the deteriorating knees that everybody else knew were deteriorating because of health issues.
i keep dancing on my own.
I think all the bad teams that passed up Roy
Would prefer the dominance/production he brought, then to still be in the lottery right now. #7 shouldn’t be slighted for what he did for this franchise, at least he got paid handsomely(Roy says thank you PAM) for his shortened career despite being destroyed by injuries. I hope he gets into coaching & eventually takes over for Nate in 20 years :)
Get it done... Paul.
Agreed...I doubt that Minnesota enjoyed the last 3 years as much as we did
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 8:22 PM PDT up reply actions
I agree with this but you can’t take credit for the pick then say “oh, we were unlucky with injuries.”
i keep dancing on my own.
Were injury concerns the main reason teams passed on Roy?
I thought it was mostly folks saying that he had a low ceiling…not much upside. I assure you that I don’t recall that there was much chatter about his history of knee problems.
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 25, 2011 6:11 AM PDT up reply actions
Low Cieling?
Sounds like what is being said about Smith right now
Roy Bashing~ "Blakes gone...Brandon is next alphabetically " ;-}
by Hermistonmelons on Jun 25, 2011 8:58 AM PDT up reply actions
from DX pre-2006 draft
From DraftExpress.com http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Brandon-Roy-343/#ixzz1QJjBL7dm
i keep dancing on my own.
We have done a damn good job the last couple of years
trading & consolidating assets for better talent(albeit leading to our current lack of depth, better to have 8 quality players then 15 mediocre shmucks.)
Get it done... Paul.
Felton-Matthews-Batum-Wallace-Aldridge
sure looks different to me than building around Roy-Aldridge-Oden
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
didn't mean to post that
was an incomplete thought…oh well
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
thats a solid line up
would destroy on defense
The tensions are so high because the stakes are so low!
I agree
And all are between 22-28 yrs old
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I do expect there to be a lot of small ball next season, with LMA at the 5 and Crash at the 4.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I like the trade.
I do however think we should have grabbed faried at 21. The same people complaining now would be complaining if we would have kept miller, stating that we did nothing. This place is becoming a downer since yesterday. Dave especially. Can you blame them for going after another PG when all we have is A. johnson and mills as backups? If we address the back-up PF spot this doesn’t look bad.
by RipCity Survivor on Jun 24, 2011 1:52 PM PDT reply actions
I think we will.
I believe Glen Davis will be headed to Portland before the start of next season.
Sounds good to me.
How would Portland do that?
by JeffePortland on Jun 24, 2011 5:15 PM PDT up reply actions
No, I want nothing to do with that sloth.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Yeah, and he's a whiner...
Just a big baby.
Q: "Why are the Heat losing?"
'Dre: "That's for them to figure out. We did our job."
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jun 24, 2011 7:33 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Troy Murphy is the absolute worst post defender in the NBA.
My advice to Murphy would be for him to retire, because he’s finished.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Wow
Hey if I thought Houston would let Hayes walk then it would be Hayes but you got to take what you can get.
by Kaanyr Vhok on Jun 24, 2011 11:58 PM PDT up reply actions
Chuck Hayes is an unrestricted free agent, so I hope Portland looks into signing him.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Too pessimistic.
Felton was all they could get for Miller without giving up Batum or Wallace. I’d would have seriously considered other offers that included Batum, but the Blazers thought that was too much. I could criticize or argue with that, but that was the decision FOR NOW. Interestingly, Chad said that the Blazers might OVER-value Batum last night, which probably means they couldn’t get as much for him as they wanted or hoped. Reality is probably setting in around the league about Batum and his value has dropped as his shooting dropped off this year.
Felton is on a trial next year. If he does well and fits well we will have to burn the MLE (assuming it exists in the new CBA) to keep him next summer. But if he doesn’t fit then he walks just like Miller would have walked away at 36 years old next summer. So it’s a one year tryout because we didn’t want to part with Batum or Wallace yet and hoped to solve the PG problem without using either to do it.
Smith was drafted as a backup or possible replacement for Felton. I think it was a very good move. It Felton works out we may have got a good back up. If Felton doesn’t work out then Smith may get a shot to compete for that the spot if he has a really good rookie year. Did you really want Patty or AJ in that role? Both will be gone next year if Roy isn’t gone with an amnesty clause.
Faried is an undersized PF rebounder with no offensive game. Only a handful of those guys ever last in the NBA. Smith has just a good a shot at lasting in the NBA and fills a need we have. We will deal with the backup 4-5 spot with the MLE and get a veteran that we know can play.
For a team that only had a #21 draft pick in a terrible draft class, I think we did well dealing an aging PG that would walk away next year anyway and Rudy (who was only worth a 2nd round pick and we needed to get rid of) for a 26 year-old PG who might become our PGotF and quite possibly a serviceable backup PG (or better in the future).
"You're not too smart, are you? I like that in a man." - Matty Walker in Body Heat (1981)
by BlazerFanSince1970 on Jun 24, 2011 1:55 PM PDT reply actions 5 recs
I totally agree.
Nothing sexy happened, but nothing sexy was really all that possible anyways. Faried would have been a better pick than Smith IMO, but we shouldn’t act like the world just ended because we couldn’t acquire an undersized backup 4. I think Blazer fans are letting years of frustration color their perception of what was a prudent, overall productive draft.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
But originally we were going to swap picks with Denver.
Which Denver would have gotten Faried anyway, so we just picked Denver’s pick and they picked ours.
hg
Rudy Fernandez
Very modest production.
What?
"Tommy: Did you hear I finally graduated?
Richard Hayden: Yeah, and just a shade under a decade too. All right. "
VERY modest production lol
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Are you saying he's not modest about his production?
Disclaimer: everything I know about basketball I learned on Blazersedge.
he is not modest about his very modest production
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Place your bets now
Who will end up as the backup PG next season. Nolan Smith, Elliot Williams, Armon Johnson, or Patty Mils?
I thought Rudy would be the perfect 6th man. Come back Ruuudy!
Nate will use a primary four guard rotation
of Wes, Raymond, B Roy, and Smith, with some Batum thrown in at 2. “PG” role will be blurred on the second unit,
with Elliot, Armon, Patty competing for one or two roster spots, and that coveted bench warming insurance guard role. Elliot and Patty have the inside track as 1st round pick and boss’ fav, with Armon being the intriguing dark horse and likeliest to actually pan out long term as an effective backup NBA PG.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions
haha
1-1-1-1-2
“Get the ball in the post Elliott!!! Let Batum go to work on the block against Garnett!”
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Wait. I didn't mean 4 guards all at once!
Although, we should never put it past Nate…
Hah.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions
Luke Babbit's haircut.
A lifelong Sonics fan rooting for the Blazers until Seattle gets a team again.
by anitachampionship on Jun 24, 2011 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions
Patty won't be on the team.
After the way the draft went I will be very surprised if the Blazers re-sign Patty Mills.
Who's that tromping across my bedge?
by Troll Blazer on Jun 24, 2011 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions
I'd bet Patty gets another shot.
PA’s got his back, and he can hit the three.
Armon’s toast.
Q: "Why are the Heat losing?"
'Dre: "That's for them to figure out. We did our job."
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jun 24, 2011 7:39 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Me, too.
I bet Patty Mills is tendered the QO and eventually signs it, while Armon Johnson is either traded or released sometime during training camp.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Yeah, and now that Rudy's gone
they’re gonna look for that “spark off the bench” (SOTB?), and realize what they’ve done. Enter: Patty Mills.
Q: "Why are the Heat losing?"
'Dre: "That's for them to figure out. We did our job."
by Oh. Em. Gee. on Jun 24, 2011 8:01 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 1 recs
I hope you are also correct.
Who's that tromping across my bedge?
by Troll Blazer on Jun 24, 2011 9:03 PM PDT up reply actions
i would be in favor of that.
if they believe nolan will be a legit backup this year, keep patty as the 3rd point guard.
that said, if nolan smith isn’t going to be a much better backup than milss or armon were last year, i hope they look at picking up a veteran backup pg.
I hope you are right.
Who's that tromping across my bedge?
by Troll Blazer on Jun 24, 2011 9:02 PM PDT up reply actions
Smith is already better than Armon and Patty.
I’ll go with him.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Nolan Smith is better than those other three guys put together.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Nolen,
Elliot will be back up 2gd if an amnesty clause is in the new contract with the CBA, and maybe anyway depending on what BRoy can do. Armon will still be a third stringer because he is stuck on himself and is a left handed JBay. I feel, Patty is going to be dropped by June first of this year.
hg
Portland's going to miss all of those easy points ALM provided.
I’m not saying Roy is going to be much of a factor with Portland going forward – but if he is, it’ll be interesting to see if he can play with such a ball dominant PG in Raymond. Although Raymond can spread the floor more for Brandon to work down on the block.
Although Faried was going to be the safer pick, Smith has more potential to be a game changer, IMO. But he’s bigger gamble.
Rudy should finally live up to his potential in Dallas. He’ll be more comfortable with Carlisle’s system than he was with Nate’s.
The biggest loser in all of this is Aldridge. He just watched 100 lob passes go out the door, yesterday.
Treat people well because Karma can hit you at any second.
Felton had Amare absolutely rolling this season
and Gerald Wallace did just fine with him. I think LMA will be ok.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
good to hear. i wondered how Amare did with him.
there was another poster on this site that said Amare struggled with him.
Treat people well because Karma can hit you at any second.
i watched them play some.
it was a nice combo, imo. they basically ran a lot of nash/amare pick and rolls with felton plaing nash. felton looked to score a fair amount, but he made a lot of nice passes and kept the defense honest.
i like felton’s swagger / intensity. i think it will be good for the team.
Somebody said
That Smith and BRoy would work great together in the second unit as Smith is a better Steve type PG. and Raymond would work better with Wesley. What do you think.
Others can learn to pass the alley-opp, heck just let any of our outside shooters try making a shot, just make sure they miss on LMA’s side of the basket. since the miss most of their shots from outside anyway. Actually, I think GW, and Batum could easily do it, I do not know about Felton, but why not?
hg
Come on Dave
No team shoots anywhere close to 50% when it comes to drafting. You don’t think the hornets wouldn’t still be looking for a PG in the draft had they not lucked into getting him when they did? Every team has pieces it’s constantly trying to get, obviously we have holes much like every other team. I think the problem lies in how we acknowledge who it is we have our eyes on in the draft. I wish we just kept that information to ourselves. Instead we acknowledge just how much we like a kid, and everyone on the planet knows it. A retired farmer in Iowa knew just how interested in Faried we were, its a shame really. I like chris Johnson anyway, we have enough non shooters on this team. I’m in favor on continuing my support on Oden anyway, with Camby and Chris Johnson and LA we really can be a better team. We can space the floor better now with Felton, more speed, Its not that Nate doesn’t want to run… do you go to the games? He was constantly trying to get players to move the ball up the floor quicker. Now we have space enough on the roster to allow roy and batum to be the primary backups at the 2/3. Felton and Smith at the Point with Roy as a backup. Wallace is still our starter but can help at the 4 when we need him. It again comes down to Oden! I’m excited about this team… not sure exactly how you envisioned us moving our pieces without giving up much more than an ‘not getting any younger Andre’ and a ’never really showed up Rudy"
I struggle sitting on my hands... don't you?
Picking low, picking high
Like all teams, the higher the picks the more likely to get good players. The Blazers have had two problems, making the playoffs (picking low first round) and not having a superstar to build around. San Antonio picks low, but builds around Duncan and before that Robinson. They also have more stability around the coach and GM- a big issue for the Blazers. When the Blazers have drafted high, they’ve been about 50/50.
Great piece.
Well-researched. I’ve been waiting to see it laid out like this.
I feel like I’ve had an inflated perception of the Blazers’ draft success because of the excitement inherent in the KP era. Now that the chips are down, very few players of that era remain.
Specifically, this organization’s failure to develop a PG is shameful, especially when they have a former PG for a head coach (although maybe that is the problem). Luckily, there haven’t been any stars-in-waiting that Portland has shipped (unless Bayless continues to improve). All the same an at least we didn’t totally screw up mentality is not going cut it.
Doers & Makers > Movers & Shakers
Downer Dave article
I think you underestimate Felton. Hes good, and he brings things to the table (like the pick and role, its a positive addition not something that will be wasted like this article seems to state). Miller rode the bench in the finals times where Felton will now be dominating. I think this was a good move.
The tensions are so high because the stakes are so low!
I hope Felton will be helping out
but I doubt he’ll be dominating.
by JeffePortland on Jun 24, 2011 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions
We have good in one hand, and bad in the other hand.
either way we got what we got and only time will tell. Until then we are all just guessing.
hg
THIS JUST IN!!!!
Channing Frye to the Miami Heat for Lebron James, Tim Hardaway, and some Applebees coupons. It is yet to be determined if Tim Hardaway is throwing his killer crossover into the deal.
A lifelong Sonics fan rooting for the Blazers until Seattle gets a team again.
by anitachampionship on Jun 24, 2011 2:10 PM PDT reply actions
Buy 2 entrees, get 1 free.
A lifelong Sonics fan rooting for the Blazers until Seattle gets a team again.
by anitachampionship on Jun 24, 2011 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions
Pass
Maybe if it was buy 1 entree get 10 free, but otherwise…. pass
So people are saying the Felton swap was contingent on us not grabbing Faried
My question is, could we have just said screw the swap, take faried keep dre fir this season and try and get Felton next year in FA?
I don't give a damn for a man that can only spell a word one way.
Mark Twain
Read more: http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/m/mark_twain_4.html#ixzz1IE4sPu16
by Tyler Durrden on Jun 24, 2011 2:13 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
^this.. Tyler--we're on the same page :)
A lifelong Sonics fan rooting for the Blazers until Seattle gets a team again.
by anitachampionship on Jun 24, 2011 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions
and I still would have dumped Rudy to create more playing time for guys like Batum, last year's rookies...
A lifelong Sonics fan rooting for the Blazers until Seattle gets a team again.
by anitachampionship on Jun 24, 2011 2:16 PM PDT up reply actions
doubtful
As a decent starting PG in his prime, Felton will sign for more than the MLE. Not a whole lot more, but he would have been out of Portland’s price range. Undersized but defensively-minded backup power forwards, on the other hand, are much more likely to be had at that price.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
this is well addressed in the monster thread below
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
That's what I get for posting from my phone
I don't give a damn for a man that can only spell a word one way.
Mark Twain
Read more: http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/m/mark_twain_4.html#ixzz1IE4sPu16
by Tyler Durrden on Jun 24, 2011 4:03 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Most people don't have a huge beef with
the Felton trade. The MAJOR beef is with the horrendous Nolan Smith pick. Even if he does turn out to be a contributor, we could have drafted him in the second round. He is NOT a player you draft 20 spots early because you might lose out on him. He isn’t a high ceiling gamble pick. For the weeks prior to the draft, I worried Faried would go prior to our pick and they would draft yet another “combo” guard. Instead, we drafted one anyhow with Faried on the board. Maybe there was a deal with Denver to not draft Faried – fine. Then go with someone with potential like Marshawn Brooks, Justin Harper, etc. Nolan Smith? Average or worse at everything; exceptional at nothing? That late in the first round you gamble, not settle for a sure journeyman, and undersized one at that.
Hypocrites
“Nolan Smith? Average or worse at everything.” Hilarious. Over the years, BEdgers constantly talk about doubting/hating “one & done” players, “flashy” players, “unproven” players, players without a well-coached background, players with attitude problems. Let’s see… Nolan Smith was chosen National Player of the Year by NBC, Yahoo, and FOX; was ACC Player of the Year; MVP of the ACC tourney; won a National Championship; universally called smart & hard working; coached 4 years by the highest-regarded coach in all college athletics. I do not know what his stats will be, but perhaps the rest of you want more Ngombos or something.
by section309 on Jun 24, 2011 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
Have to agree with one thing for sure
when either Quick or Freeman start over-homerizing my stink-o-meter goes up.
So did we just give the 57th pick to the wolves? HOOPSHYPE SAID the guy lied about his age…very disapointed in our draft but Nolan Smith could really turn out to be a stud,but again we should have addressed our bigs situation…
DId Hoopshype really come up with that story
or did they just link to someone else’s work?
My sense is that the league is trying to figure out how to deal with the situation. Dallas picked what appears to be an inellgible player, who was eventually supposed to go to Minnesota via Portland. And I have no idea how it’s all going to play out.
Ideally, Portland would still send the rights to #57 to the Wolves for the agreed upon compensation.
Just to point out something
The point guard of the future who’s going to make this team so much better has one year remaining on his contract, meaning he’s in position to extort the team into paying prime money for an average-level player simply because they have no alternatives.
Depending on the rules of the new CBA, this is probably not going to happen. It certainly couldn’t happen under the current CBA.
Felton, under the current CBA, would only have Early Bird Rights next summer. As such, the most that an over-the-cap Blazers team could offer him would be the Average Player Salary in the 1st year of a new contract.
If Felton sticks, he won’t be overpaid. He might leave for more money elsewhere. But he won’t make $10+ million with the Blazers, at least not right away.
Don’t get me wrong, I think the trade was a good deal. But I’m a little scared about his pending free agent status.
This is some information that I had been wondering about.
But hadn’t got around to looking it up.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
Blazersedge.com || New to Blazersedge?
Actions -> Rec and Flag. Blazersedge works right when you use these two things.
Biggest fact to jump out at me?
The Blazers apparently get like three first round picks per year.
Disclaimer: everything I know about basketball I learned on Blazersedge.
dave, your negativity is jumping off the page.
this isn’t like you, i guess most of the fanbase is upset right now. seems like a big overreaction going on here.
sorry dave.
i can’t speak for how you actually feel, but the tone of your last couple of posts is very negative – usually you have a very objective voice.
that said, thanks for keeping us up to date and the thoughtful commentary.
go blazers!
Being negative and objective aren't mutually exclusive.
If available evidence points to a bad situation and you point it out, what’s wrong with that?
Exactly, while I've often found that they go hand in hand.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I have too
While others believe that it is mandatory that they go hand and hand
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 8:03 PM PDT up reply actions
More like disappointed
but really, for what? not taking faried or getting felton or both?
I love BlazersEdge
But Dave seems to have a little negativity in his writing quite often. I’m not saying I could do what he does though, I’m just saying..
I think negativity is important
when negative things happen.
not all of us think negative things have happened
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
by sammymohawk on Jun 24, 2011 5:50 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
There's nothing wrong with someone being negative, though.
Even though I like the Nolan Smith pick, I nevertheless expect the Portland Trail Blazers will only win 40-some games next season and once again get ousted in the first round of the playoffs.
It also bothers me that the front office is still hanging onto Nicolas Batum, whose value is on the downswing. I, too, am against heading into next season with Marcus Camby, who broke down a ton last season and could go completely kaput in the following months.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
understand.
i agree that negativity is okay, i was just making a comment that i’m not used to reading so much negative emotion in dave’s posts. his writing makes him sound really disappointed – maybe he (along with a lot of us) had his heart set on something huge that would have changed the course of the team.
or maybe i’m just reading too much into the posts. i mean no disrespect to our fearless leader.
camby/batum
that’s a really nice package that the team will still be able to shop around for a really great player. i don’t think the draft was necessarily an indication that they’re hanging onto those guys. perhaps the right deal wasn’t out there that was worth including them so they made the move to get younger at pg without giving up the store.
we’ll see!
I think the analysis is incomplete without knowing the success ratio of the 29 other teams over that same period
I don’t think Portland is a great drafting team, but there are only a handful of teams who are and the rest of the league stinks. It’s a shame that the team isn’t good at drafting, but neither is the rest of the league.
#52
The best teams
Arent great drafters, theyre great traders.
Great piece Dave
The problem with this years draft is we gave up too much for Felton. We could have had Felton, Faried AND Hamilton or whomever we wanted at 26 – like Nolan Smith. I believe Denver did not want Felton back for next year and just bullied our inexperienced and anxious front office.
by LicketyBrindleDowntheMiddle on Jun 24, 2011 2:35 PM PDT reply actions
I think this might be close to the truth
Denver might have gotten more than their share by threatening to take Nolan Smith at 22, and Buchanan bit on the head fake. Still, while I like Faried, you can get an experienced vet similar to him (Chuck Hayes, say) in Free Agency, so he’s not an irreplaceable talent. Ultimately if the Blazers want to gamble with Nolan Smith instead, I don’t think it’s a huge deal. We have a big need at backup big, but we had a big need at backup point too.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
Your last point is the absolute truth.
It’s much better to back up Lamarcus with some Wallace/Chris Johnson minutes than it is to try and piece together Felton’s backup minutes with unreliable guys or two guards. That said…Smith is far from proven at point guard. With he and B Roy getting PG minutes the second unit may very well be a lethargic sight to behold.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions
GIGANTIC AMEN!
A lousy shouting team needs good rebounding. Camby wants/ deserves a championship! Why are we gonna make him kill himself all regular season (granted he’s oft injured and visibly old). I want to see Chris Johnson a lot!
They earned one
Hamilton has a relatively high ceiling (there are some warts to his game, but he’s a skilled 3 who fits what Denver is building – I think his best case is a Danny Granger type SF), Faried is a hustler who rebounds like a maniac, they held on to Lawson, and Dre can be a decent trade asset or reserve for them.
Kevin Durant won me over when he went Rocky IV on Russia this summer.
by blazeraddict on Jun 24, 2011 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions
They should give themselves an A.
Not only did they acquire a tough PG in Andre who can mentor Ty Lawson until he is ready to be a starter, they also toughened up an already tough team with Faried. Jordan Hamilton is no slouch either, he can flat out score, and for a guy who can play the SG/SF position, he is a terrific rebounder. He’s going to replace JR Smith in the lineup for them in the near future.
Ty Lawson is already the starting point guard, as well as already a superior player to Andre Miller.
If anything, I bet Josh Kroenke and Masai Ujiri will do the right thing by waiving Miller in the coming days.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I doubt that happens
Karl loves Miller and his production is well worth the money. It would be a great situation for Denver to have a contrast coming off the PG position – not to mention a great backup should either get hurt. Miller instantly becomes the best reserve PG in the NBA by a mile. They should keep him without question, and I bet they will unless Miller insists on being the starter somewhere.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Karl will do his best to try to bring Miller back for the rebuild
but the Gm has the last say & Miller is better off playing for a contender anyways.
Get it done... Paul.
If money wasnt an issue
I would definitely keep Miller for this year, make Lawson the starter and have Mille rplay significant minutes in backup, There may also be times Lawson & Miller could be on the court together against smaller lineups. Miller is still more than productive and can spell Lawson for periods of time where he might get worn out running around at 100 MPH like he always does. Also a perfect insurance policy due to injury.
This would set the stage for Denver to offer Miller a 2 year/$9M extension as the backup after next year. All this assumes Miller accepts the backup role, but if he does, its an ideal situation for Denver.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
As they should
That Lawson/Miller backcourt is going to be outstanding, as Karl change plug in whoever depending upon the circumstances of the game. They are loaded with young talent, and added more with Faried and hamilton. They already have Galinari and Wilson Chandler and Nene. All they need is a proven go-to guy. they did extremely well last night.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Yeah, I'd give Denver an A.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
So.......for eight years of drafting.......
We have Nic and LA to show ……….that’s right up there with weatherman %!
We must endeavor to persevere.
Not quite
Remember that several of those players were traded and other assets were received.
For example, trading Bayless helped the Blazers to get Gerald Wallace.
true, but...
bayless was traded for the #19 pick in a weak draft after being drafted #11 in 2008.
my own feeling is that any time you are traded for a lower pick than you were drafted at while you are still a young player, you’re kind of a bust. the value of a player should go up after a few years in the league. they could have easily traded the #11 pick in 2008 for the #19 pick in 2011 and skipped the jerryd bayless part of acquiring gerald wallace.
the only other player i can think of on that list that helped us get an asset that we have is viktor khryapa who was a throw in on the tyrus thomas for lamarcus aldridge deal.
Injuries are a mother
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I think a lot of the pessimism/negativty about the draft/trades isn't necessarily
geared toward the pieces acquired in Felton and Smith, but the seeming lack of direction this team has. Two days ago, this was a fringe playoff team in the West. The same can be said today. I think these guys will play hard, finish in the 7-10 range in the conference, and lose in the first round if they make the playoffs – not any material difference from last year. In a lot of ways Portland is in the worst spot you can be in the NBA – not a contender, but not in a future oriented building phase either. Instead, it’s a mid-tier squad that will play hard, give the fans some moments to cheer about, but at the end of the day, is not anywhere near being in the hunt. There’s only one franchise in the West that hasn’t been out of the first round in the last 10 years, and that streak is only getting longer after next season.
Kevin Durant won me over when he went Rocky IV on Russia this summer.
what did people expect to happen?
someone to give us a superstar without gutting our roster?
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Happens every day!
I read Blazersedge.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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"Two days ago, this was a fringe playoff team in the West. The same can be said today."
This 100% true.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
great day to be a blazer
we’re not gonna win 1 championship, not 2, not 3,4,5,or 6. we will win 7
by Kosta0027 on Jun 24, 2011 2:45 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
Paul Allen, please step back and away
cant help but think cho might’ve navigated us through a little smarter…
Hmmm.
Yesterday’s draft looked more like a Nate draft to me. I’d guess Paul would have picked a guard project with more upside at #21 like Jackson or Jenkins. Smith looks like a Nate guy, through and through.
/s
by Hipster Olympic Team! on Jun 24, 2011 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions
In this year's draft, I'd say a Paul Allen type point guard late in round #1 would've been Norris Cole.
Or, if Allen was calling the shots with the 51st pick, Isaiah Thomas would’ve probably been on his radar.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I liked the trade by Charlotte, but not the draft itself.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Now that was a good write up
Thanks for the information.
I love three 3 things in life: Family, Money, and Baseball. In April the order of those three loves reverse...
Dave, your reasoning is faulty
With the 21st pick, what do we really expect? We can hope for a diamond in the rough, a Rajon Rondo, Tony Parker or Nicolas Batum. But that’s not common. We should expect a serviceable role player, but not be surprised if the player doesn’t pan out. The majority of picks this late in the draft don’t work out.
Singling out the Blazers’ draft choices since 2004 as an indicator that history isn’t going to be kind to this year’s draft choice is an example of faulty reasoning. No team draft perfectly. Just to make sure, I went and looked at the draft choices of the Oklahoma City Thunder, a front office that is respected as much as any in the NBA, and a team that has had a similar level of success as the Blazers have had since 2004, ensuring that the draft picks would be similarly slotted.
Guess what? It’s not that pretty either.
2004: Robert Swift — out of league
2005: Johan Petro — out of league
2006: Mouhamed Sene — out of league
2007: Kevin Durant — still with team, all-NBA
2008: Russell Westbrook — still with team, all-NBA
2008: Serge Ibaka — still with team, modest production, possibly developing
2009: James Harden — still with team, modest production, possibly developing
2009: Roddy Beauxbois — not with team, still in league, very modest production
2010: Cole Aldrich — barely played during rookie season
So, if you look at their first-round draft picks since 2004, they haven’t had nearly as many as the Blazers (who like to pick up multiple first-round picks every season), of their nine selections, five are either no longer with the team, or out of the league.
Of the remaining four, two were great picks, all-NBA performers in Durant and Westbrook. The other two, Ibaka and Harden, are possible success stories, on par with Nicolas Batum.
That’s not a glowing track record either.
I also think its unfair to not categorize Brandon Roy as a success story for the Blazers in drafting. He was ROY, all-NBA, three-time All-Star and is coming off one injury plagued season. Perhaps he never gets back to being a productive player, but to write him off and group him with Greg Oden is a slap in the face to Roy.
The Blazers’ draft record has been just fine. The only real blunder they have made since 2004 was drafting Martell Webster. All the other hit-and-misses were either too far down in the draft to judge negatively or a pick that every other GM in the NBA would have made (Greg Oden).
Nolan Smith is a perfectly suitable pick at No. 21. If he works out, great. If he doesn’t, that’s understandable considering he was the 21st pick in the draft.
And you’re being too harsh about Felton. He’s a good point guard who has improved every season in the league. Considering the Blazers had to do something with Andre Miller and they weren’t allowed by Paul Allen to use Nicolas Batum in any trade, they made a spectacular move that at least maintained the status quo at the point guard position (which isn’t bad) while getting a player 9 years younger. How anyone doesn’t see this trade as a win is beyond me.
by Jared Leo Cowley on Jun 24, 2011 3:00 PM PDT reply actions 6 recs
I rather have OKC's track record than ours any day.
Durant and Westbrook are long term All Stars. Ibaka’s production is hardly modest, I would venture that he is either top 1 or 2 in the NBA in blocks per minute. He just needs more experience and time on the floor. Harden is getting better all the time. Beaubois would have been the starting SG in Dallas had he not gotten injured, and Cole Aldrich is a solid player who just needs some time to develop. And you did not mention their acquisition of Jeff Green, which they have astutely parlayed into Kendrick Perkins who is just a monster. But you don’t have to take my word for it, OKC is going to be kicking our butt every year for the next half decade I would expect.
Same could be said of
Oden and Roy…..if not for health issues
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 3:33 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
^^^
Durant and Westbrook are long term All Stars
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 3:33 PM PDT up reply actions
Presti's hit rate is way above average
even if you take out the top five picks.
by nikolokolus on Jun 24, 2011 10:22 PM PDT up reply actions
Look at this stretch
2007: Kevin Durant — still with team, all-NBA
2008: Russell Westbrook — still with team, all-NBA
2008: Serge Ibaka — still with team, modest production, possibly developing
2009: James Harden — still with team, modest production, possibly developing
2009: Roddy Beauxbois — not with team, still in league, very modest production
2010: Cole Aldrich — barely played during rookie season
That’s great drafting. You’re seriously underrating both Ibaka, Harden and the value of Roddy. Cole Aldrich was a great pick up for roster balance purposes.
As long as Westbrook doesn't pull a Shawn Livingston.
I still haven’t watched that video. But those thing happen, and they’ve happened to two of Portland’s high draft picks. And at the time, we thought Aldridge was going to be the fragile one….
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Except one key fact ...
LIvingston and Westbrook both had clean physicals coming out of the combine, neither or Greg nor Roy can claim the same.
Fact is, the Blazers took a (foolish?) risk on both of them and it has come back to haunt them.
by nikolokolus on Jun 24, 2011 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions
Wrong
He’s a good point guard who has improved every season in the league.
felton, 1st 5 seasons, PER:
14.2, 13.5, 13.8, 13.7, 15.2
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Whole lotta lateral there.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Again, I'm ok with felton
But when people make untrue statements, it must be called out
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
because PER is the end all be all for players improving from year to year
Aldridge spun his wheels for multiple seasons before it caught traction with his numbers, doesn’t mean he wasn’t improving
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
He definitely wasn't improving.
He hit a wall for two seasons. It was a problem.
hmm
that’s not what I saw this year
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Really?
Must not have been watching. The first two months of last season was the same ol “lamarcus is soft” story. Its why he wasn’t an all-star after his mom got cancer, he got his act together and actually did start improving.
I was talking about Felton
but let’s talk about LMA. Constantly as people ragged all over him because his #s weren’t improving, I said he is improving, he is adding new moves, he is adding muscle. I got laughed at. He was soft. He had maxed out. Turns out those improvements finally manifested themselves this last season. Players can be improving without jumps in their numbers. Slightly counterintuitive, but not really.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
ah my mistake. I apologize.
But I don’t care if players improve without jumps in their numbers. The jumps in their numbers is where it affects games. you know, measurably.
I agree and disagree
my point this whole time is that Felton will be a good fit with us, that he is a good player, and that the career statistics are not necessarily accurate representations of what he will give us…last season alone is more accurate because that’s who he was most recently, and for all we know he’ll be even better going forward. The notion that players don’t improve without measurable jumps in their numbers is wrong, although you are correct that it’s where the traction of those improvements can be measured. I feel similar about Batum this year. He got more dangerous despite neutral stats. It will catch eventually.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Many times...with young players especially ....
….improvement comes without and increase in numbers….because the improvement is offset by the league’s defenders becoming more familiar with the young player. Essentially young players have to improve just to stay even
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 8:13 PM PDT up reply actions
great point
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
LA flipped the switch big time when Roy got hurt
He had a 2 month stretch where he was a legitimate top 10-15 player in the league. Probably top 5 amongst bigs. I think he made the not so common jump from good to great and simply ran out of gas towards the end of the year due to playing 40+ mpg and carrying the team on his back. He will be better prepared to be the #1 guy this season…
\oo///
It was a win win
Win for Denver, because they were going to lose Felton since he gave them an ultimatum of starting or walking, a Win for Portland because we needed Veterans in their prime with room to grow instead of hanging on at the back-end of a career.
hg
It was the 21st pick, not a lottery pick......
The 21st pick in any draft is a crap shoot. How many mock drafts got it right? At that point in the draft it is a guessing game. How many players make it for 5 years in the NBA who were picked 20th or later vs how many total picks there were in the last 5-10 years. Not many is my guess. Sounds like a lot of fuss over nothing.
More of the same
We go into the 2011-2012 season with the same storyline as the last several years:
“Trailblazers enter the season with a stable of unproven guards and a complete lack of depth in the frontcourt.”
I think we’re stuck in the worst possible place, sitting right at the playoff bubble, with a roster that isn’t good enough or deep enough in the frontcourt to win a series, but too good to go in the tank and earn a high draft pick to bring in a game changer.
I would have to agree with Dave's assessment in this article.
Felton was perhaps a marginal improvement in some areas and a step backward in others. Nolan Smith may turn into the next Terry Porter, but his lack of athletic ability is a bit worrisome to me. Overall the team did not address their most pressing needs and by not doing that, I think they are worse now than they were before. Either way, I don’t see us going anywhere, especially as all the other teams in our division will be better next year.
I disagree.
PG was a pressing need. A very pressing need. Now we didn’t fill that need with top tier talent. But PG is no longer a great worry going into the season.
Sure we still have the pressing need for a bigman. But the good news that I keep repeating is that the owners have proposed keeping the MLE in their latest proposal. And the other news is that there are some free agent big men that are in the MLE range that would help fill that pressing need.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Too expensive for the MLE.
Hayes, Reggie Evans, Fesenko, maybe Kris Humphries. Maybe (ugh) Glen Davis.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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I was making a list, I don't think this is complete, or even in order, or if we would even want to touch them with a ten foot pole.:
Possible bigs in free agency.
Nene, Chandler, Dalembert, D. Jordan – Out of our price range
Kris Humphries, though Nets might go over MLE to keep him.
Chuck Hayes – Undersized, but certainly capable of playing big.
Spencer Hawes – Not exactly what we’re looking for, but probably better than what we’ve got.
Hammed Haddadi – Restricted. Not a lot of upside. But a capable reserve.
Alex Ajinca?
Reggie Evans
Kyrylo Fesenko
Joey Dorsey, restricted
Glen Davis, – Ugh
Nenad Krstic
Dante Cunningham – Restricted
Joel Przybilla
Louis Amundson
Josh McRoberts
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Out of that list, I would be most happy with Joey Dorsey.
We had actually drafted him in the first place I believe. Dorsey isn’t going to cost us a lot, and he is a beast of a rebounder and an intimidating presence on the insde. Both things we desperately need on a team that is as soft as melted marshmallows.
The list is a bit discouraging.
Humphries is the only guy I like as legit rotation big man. Dorsey and Amundson would be good deep roster additions as they will probably come pretty cheap and can actually play a little bit…
\oo///
Thats a pretty ugly list
Dont expect much help with the cast of characters
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
No home runs there.
That’s for sure.
But home run free agents cost more than the MLE. Unless you see something no one else does and take a gamble on Wesley Matthews.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Our rebounding
And soft inside presence are urgent issues for this team. the problem is, they are now guaranteed to not be addressed this off season with anything other than filler. And we dont have Miller expiring contract or Rudy as a sweetener for a trade.
We’re going to get pounded inside again, and LMA will lose steam being overplayed.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
You cant keep most of those guys on the floor
for any length of time because they are an albatross on offense. A healthy Oden is the only answer, and Im not expecting much this year. Then the question becomes: does Oden stick with us after the Qualifying offer year?
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
If PG was a pressing need, whose fault is that? The team should admit that they effed up in drafting
Koponen, Mills, Armon and Elliott Williams and signing Miller in the first place. It just doesn’t seem like these guys know where they are going or what they are doing.
Have seen what the Sonics/Thunder have done trying to get centers??
They finally got this season….thru a trade
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 3:35 PM PDT up reply actions
the team admits that by drafting Smith
and it doesn’t mean Dre wasn’t good for us while he was here. Very admirable job in 2 seasons of work.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
PG was a pressing need. A very pressing need.
Then how come we didnt improve it?
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Because of PER?
Felton is a solid, mid-level PG. And young enough to be with our core. He’s not a home run, but the other option was to let Miller die a Blazer and then go out and pick up someone comparable. This move saves us one MLE exception to be used elsewhere. And gets that PG in our system a year earlier.
Felton is a long term win. And I think retaining him will not be a problem at all. Especially with how the CBA negotiations are going.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Yeah
Exactly because of PER. Thats one of the best statistical methods to prove efficientcy. Felton is, and always has been, meh. So yeah, I would have looked elsewhere, because Felton isnt going to lead us anywhere.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
And that's probably why the argument has gone in circles.
We haven’t seen eye to eye, and that’s fine, it makes for interesting discussion. But the root of it may be the reliance on PER to make the argument. If we were to change the argument to whether PER is the best measurement of a player, I find it likely for the debaters to end up on the same sides as before.
I for one, don’t think PER is a primary statistic for the purposes of argument. It is helpful, to be sure. But not in every instance. And, in my opinion, disqualifies it as a primary judge of who’s better and who’s not. As a tertiary point, sure. But as a primary point, no.
At least this realization may help us know where each other is coming from.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Ok
so forget PER and talk about Felton’s mediocre shot then. Weren’t we trying to get someone who would truly space the floor. That hasnt been accomplished just because he can hit a three at 33%.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Hitting 33% at the 3 pt line is the equivilent of hitting 50% inside it
It isn’t that great of a number but hey….it beats 20%
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 8:25 PM PDT up reply actions
We Get It Dave!..
You don’t like the draft… You think the front office is weak… and you can’t stop writing about it!
I know it’s the off season but this feels a lot like a mainstream, stir up the masses campaign.
Are we going to hear anything positive… or at least neutral… about what may happen going forward. I already get that you think we are doomed and that you hate our draft picks. Maybe we could move on now.
#7... GO BLAZERS!!!
Perhaps it's just me, but I abhor it when people clamor like sheep for others to spew blinded optimism.
Heck, I’m even relatively pleased about this year’s draft — as I’m pro-Smith — but these kind of comments still irritate me to no end.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
by AK1984 on Jun 24, 2011 7:39 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Not to mention
that none of these points are ones I actually made, nor do they reflect my assessment of the picks and the trade.
—Dave
Very well said.
There seems to be a real undercurrent of people wanting to be soothed and massaged around here lately (well everywhere for that matter). Dave calls it as he sees it IMO, kudos to him for having an opinion and for being skeptical about an organization that increasing looks to be run amok.
I for one appreciate the injection of reality into the conversation about the team and its future.
by nikolokolus on Jun 24, 2011 10:30 PM PDT up reply actions
"reality"
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
It's a game...
…and if I took time to tell you every time one of your arrogant…look how smart I am… comments irritated me I wouldn’t have time to comment on anything else…
Calling me a sheep because I hope to come here to read something other than the same beating of the an already dead horse is beneath you. Drafts and the quality of choices prove out over time. There are many examples of seemingly poor selections that turned out to be excellent and visa versa.
Isolating… and decrying… the selections made is emotional and illogical until any other possible moves are in place and the players selected prove what they can do on the court.
Use your intellect to “spew” and “abhor” and even “clamor like sheep” if you like. It may impress some people but I’m not one of them. I’ll comment as I see fit just as you choose to alright kid…
#7... GO BLAZERS!!!
Not really agreeing with the reasoning.
Others have effectively pointed out that no team comes close to batting .1000 with the draft — much more often, they’re at the blazer’s level of accomplishment in that department.
But I also see a straw man here — regardless of the blazer’s track record in the draft (which, as others have astutely pointed out, would be quite good if not for exploding and degenerating knees) it doesn’t make much sense to extrapolate Smith and Felton’s abilities from, say, whether or not Viktor Khryapa is still in the league. Would Kyrie Irving or Kemba Walker be placed under the same lens given Portland’s past draft record had we ended up drafting one of them?
Wait and see. This could be good. Or not.
Our average age just went from 27+
to 24.9
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
we now have a young core of players that can move forward together
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Is that you Chad?
| 23.1 | .647 | .605 | 15.6 | 28.3 | 21.9 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 17.8 | 20.7 | 118 | 100 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | .214 |
It's the truth ain't it?
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Looks very rose coloured to me
sure the core is younger but what’s the point if it’s taking you nowhere?
| 23.1 | .647 | .605 | 15.6 | 28.3 | 21.9 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 17.8 | 20.7 | 118 | 100 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | .214 |
This frustration is stemming from two things
- We had a huge list of cool, interesting, game changing point guards that we were pursuing, and we ended up getting the one on the bottom of the list. Disappointing, but understandable. We didn’t really address any needs with the trade, we just sort of decided that we’d keep the same flaws for next year. Which is fine, because we were pretty good, only getting better.
- But all of that disappointment was compounded by our drafting of YET ANOTHER combo guard that doesn’t pass well, and is only a decent scorer. Like Dave noted, we’ve tried that like 6 times recently and it hasn’t worked out. But we’re going to take another shot at it again.
The second move raises significant doubts about Management’s ability to identify and address problems, and sours the first move. If we would have drafted a big, we would think “Ok, so we addressed our backup 4 need and got younger at PG. Now we just need LMA/Oden/Roy to get a little healthier, and we should be set.” But instead, we take another guard to add to our glut of combo guards, showing no confidence in our existing team, and decided to trade our expiring, veteran presence for a player whose production is almost identical. This makes us think “management has no idea what they’re doing. They continue to pick low-potential guards in hopes that one turns into Chris Paul, but refuse to trust their judgement by parting with the pieces necessary (Batum/Matthews) to land a legitimate game changer at another position. If they couldn’t turn this situation in to another Gerald Wallace – level player, they’ll never be able to.” The continued selection search for the PGOTF through the draft just continues to reassure us that the future is not yet hear, and wont be soon.
And to me, thats really discouraging. I want to think that our owner wants to make the necessary moves to put us in a contending position, but they continue to go back and forth over team direction, and that frustrates me to no end. I just want to be excited about a plan and a vision. And yesterday just asked me to wait another two years before we have one of those.
We had a huge list of cool, interesting, game changing point guards that we were pursuing, and we ended up getting the one on the bottom of the list.
Debatable in the first place (Felton vs. Nelson vs. Harris) and anyone else would have cost more.
But all of that disappointment was compounded by our drafting of YET ANOTHER combo guard that doesn’t pass well, and is only a decent scorer. Like Dave noted, we’ve tried that like 6 times recently and it hasn’t worked out. But we’re going to take another shot at it again
If you guys are wrong about Nolan Smith, in the sense that you have buried him before he’s ever had a chance in the NBA despite that he was a GREAT (not good) player for Duke, I’m going to love that. We are not better scouts than Buchanan is.
The second move raises significant doubts about Management’s ability to identify and address problems, and sours the first move. If we would have drafted a big, we would think "Ok, so we addressed our backup 4 need and got younger at PG.
The frontcourt will be addressed. I’m blown away that we think the #21 pick was a missed opportunity to completely address that hole. Sure, we could have drafted a frontcourt guy that may have worked out…there are plenty of other ways to get that.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Agree on all points.
I’m a bit befuddled by all the Nolan Smith hate. The dude was ACC player of the year, a first team all American and won at least one player of the year award.
It could be that he doesn’t pan out in the NBA — that’s pretty much always the case after about pick #3 in the draft. But it makes absolutely zero sense to bury Smith before he’s played a single minute in the NBA.
by NeverSummer on Jun 24, 2011 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
It seems that most people dont hate Nolan Smith, they just like Faried more.
This becomes even more polarizing when you consider the blazers history with drafting combo/point guards, and the total lack of depth in the frontcourt.
\oo///
True.
But I also think that people get wrapped up in other players as reference points to the detriment of evaluating what’s in front of them. Suddenly a one-dimensional rebounding machine from a middling conference is “Dennis Rodman”, while a player with the track record of Nolan Smith becomes “Jarret Jack” or “Jerryd Bayless”.
by NeverSummer on Jun 24, 2011 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
this is definitely true
but I think we’d take a chuck hayes/joey dorsey type rebounder over a jarret jack or jerryd bayless, too. and it seems reasonable that faried will be at least that.
Backup frontcourt help and point guard help were/are both huge areas of need
It will be interesting to see how this all pans out.
good point
I think its a pretty understandable human reaction though. Its sort of like the saying about how stupidity is doing the same thing over and over again but expecting different results. I cant blame anyone for facepalming a little bit when the blazers select yet another combo guard when the last 50 of them havent panned out.
Nolan Smith is obviously not doomed to mediocre play just because we drafted him, so I am hoping for the best. History tells me not to hold my breath though…
\oo///
Dennis Rodman
Played at SW Oklahoma State. I dont even think that was Division 2. And the rest is history.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Not saying that
Am saying that he might be some variant of Rodman and considering we were 24th in rebounding and about the softest team in the Western Conference, he would have made a sensible choice.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Can't argue with that.
He would have been a sensible choice. I’m just saying that Smith is not a nonsensical choice, given his accomplishments and the team’s needs.
good point.
if you suddenly changed your points of reference to reggie evans and jason terry, it could color your thinking a bit.
Yeah
Our history is TERRIBLE in drafting Nolan Smith types – as Dave pointed out. A lot of people, myself included, are skeptical of this pick because we had other needs are the poor history of success in combo picks.
That said, Nolan Smith is an independent selection of past picks and should be judged on his own merit. however, the fact thats he’s under 6’2 in bare feet, and doesnt handle or pass the ball well enough at the 1 gives me pause. We’ll see. I rather have took Reggie Jackson is we wanted to draft a backup/PGOTF type.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
How tall is he with shoes on?
Since all the other players are measured with their shoes on (unless of course he bought Elton John’s 1970 era shoes off of Ebay)
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 8:31 PM PDT up reply actions
Reggie Jackson
is probably also under 6’2" in bare feet. It’s unclear, as he skipped the combine, but he’s listed at 6’3", and usually people measure basketball players while they are wearing shoes. Unless Reggie wears Vibram Fivefingers to play bball, I guess.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
Usually about 1.5" for shoes
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 9:06 PM PDT up reply actions
Its not that he wont be serviceable
its that we don’t need him to be. We have serviceable.
And we had a chance to fill a legitimate need, and missed it. emphatically.
we have a servicable backup PG?
that’s news to me…I felt it was a major liability every time Dre left the game last year.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
poor word choice.
Our hole at 4 is waay more significant. Also, if we liked, we could have had both Faried and Smith. But we didn’t like, apparently.
and it will be addressed
it is a not a given that a rookie from Morehead State would have come in and solved our frontcourt issues
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Well of course not
but its not a given that a rookie from duke is going to solve the point guard problem, either. so why would you not take a shot at solving the bigger problem?
they are both big problems
I’m fine with rolling the dice at backup PG and addressing the frontcourt with established players
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
well I wouldn't. that list was terrible.
but either way, we could have rolled the dice on both. which makes this more baffling.
that list is just fine
considering LMA-Camby-Johnson. We need two servicable guys. McRoberts and Chuck Hayes for example. I think we’ll be fine.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I think if you want to avoid playing Wallace at the 4 and LA at the 5 for long periods of time
you better get something better than a serviceable big. Not that Faried would have solved that problem, but he is an unknown with upside. We know the list of affordable bigs we can get with the MLE, and none of them are the 3rd guy in a big man rotation(outside of maybe Humphries). Faried at least could have been. You know he is at least going to bring energy and rebounding as those are traits that translate fairly easily and quickly to the NBA, so you can damn near count on him being a serviceable big with the chance to provide more.
\oo///
I'm not sure we plan on avoiding it
I expect to see the following group a fair amount…it’s a sick lineup
Ray-Wes-Nic-Gerald-Aldridge
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I agree on that.
And maybe one of those upper tier free agents can’t get a deal, like Miller couldn’t two years ago when we picked him up.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
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Actions -> Rec and Flag. Blazersedge works right when you use these two things.
That was a different situation
we had more bigs on the roster and a ton of injured bigs…now it’s a clear need following the Przybilla trade . It will be addressed.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
At this point, I believe we have to count on injuries to our bigs
I think it is safe to say that it is a trend in PDX and we should build our roster accordingly…
\oo///
I wanted to give up more
to get a star level point guard. Very badly. We need a player that can make game changing plays from the perimiter. And if that meant trading Batum/Matthews + Oden + Miller + Rudy for someone like Rajon Rondo, Steve Nash Tony Parker or any of those elite level plays, I was completely on board for that.
Also, did you see that list of free agents? its terrifyingly bad. Chuch hayes (yes the 6’6’’ pf) is by far our best option. That should tell you something.
I feel just fine about what's going to happen with the frontcourt
Let’s put all our eggs in the Faried basket! That will solve all of our frontcourt problems! And since he can’t play center, let’s move LMA to the 5 all year when Camby is out!
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I agree cloud
I thought it would have been better to use Batum as trade bait to net a higher impact PG or player. Now with Miller’s expiring contract and Rudy out of the picture, it will be hard to do that. Moving Batum would have hurt, but it would have netted a high value player plus allowed Wallace to slide back to his natural 3 spot. Instead we ended up with an average PG with 1 year left on his contract.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
and what if we move Camby and Batum for a center?
Do you hate that? It’s still out there.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
Nope
that would make lots of things better, actually. But there just aren’t many excellent centers in the game today. there are plenty of point guards. It would be easier to get one of them.
Unfortunately, it's because centers are becoming a thing of the past
and this is becoming a guard league. Young PGs have extreme value. There are a handful of decent younger centers we could target.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
I'd be happy with even Robin Lopez.
"Anybody might guess beforehand that there would be blunders of the ignorant. What nobody could have guessed, what nobody could have dreamed of in a nightmare, what no morbid mortal imagination could ever have dared to imagine, was the mistakes of the well-informed." - G. K. Chesterton, The Common Man
Blazersedge.com || New to Blazersedge?
Actions -> Rec and Flag. Blazersedge works right when you use these two things.
and it's perfectly reasonable that we can get a guy like that
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
We should evaluate that when the time comes
Unfortunately, Paul Allen et al seem to think Batum is the second coming, so it looks like we’re hanging onto him – which is part of the frustration. If this indeed is true, if we are hanging onto batum, drafting Faried would have made even more sense. Batum is not suited at the 4, and we should have Wallace playing his natural position.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Hanging onto Nicolas Batum too long is my big gripe at the moment and something ...
more worthy of debate and discussion than swapping a couple of middling point guards (i.e., Andre Miller & Raymond Felton), drafting Nolan Smith over Kenneth Faried, et cetera.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Yeah
Quite possibly. Batum still might surprise but I’d be inclined to trade him while his value is still high.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
You know....if you always trade guys when their value is high
you never get to keep high value players
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 8:09 PM PDT up reply actions
who are all these star level point guards that are obtainable?
People make it sound like there are so many options out there to choose from and are obtainable. Does the CP3 jokes go around so often people actually believe it? Elite players only get traded for a collection of lesser players only in some conditions (sign and trade, cut salary) because 1 star is worth more than collection of lesser players.
i was on board with that sort of move as well.
however, when i saw that none of those players were moved on draft day, it made me believe that the moves weren’t really on the table. it would have been possible to wait those teams out and see if they wanted to deal those players later, but miller’s contract would have been much less of an asset after the draft.
"We are not better scouts than Buchanan is."
I’ve read this several times. It’s true on the face of it but ultimately an empty argument when discussing the merits of draftees (or anyone else). We are not better scouts than any of the guys who selected picks last night. Yet among those 60 players there will be a few good ones and many busts. Also if this were a meaningful criterion it wouldn’t matter who the Blazers selected. They’d be automatically good and the right fit because guess what? Chad picked them all.
I have great respect for all professional scouts. Their existence does not make evaluation of their moves and players moot. They, themselves, will make (and usually welcome) these kind of judgments more than anyone else.
—Dave
Agreed, I also detest the appeal to authority fallacy.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
So where do you see Smith in two years?
Point? Off? Combo? I know your assessment of him is positive. What does he turn into for this team?
—Dave
He ranges anywhere from a good backup combo like George Hill to an average starting ...
point guard like Darren Collison. Either way, though, Nolan Smith will be a cost-effective and productive rotation player for this team.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
He has some 6th man potential
Collison is not a bad comparison as a senior who was not heralded much and doesn’t have the dramatic upside to become the next Chris Paul, but also had no dramatic weakness in his all-around game yet was working hard and playing hard and being a smart guy. I see a lot of that in Smith too.
My main concern with him would be that he could have similar problems like Rudy on the Blazers: An inability to create separation from defenders to get his own shot. In his case it wouldn’t be due to poor handles, but due to a lack of out-of-this-world athleticism and quickness. He’s mighty athletic compared to most people on the planet and can dunk just fine thank you very much, but he might have problems getting past some of the quickest and biggest defenders on the planet and probably nobody would invite him to a dunk contest like Rudy :-)
However he pans out
whether he can develop into a true PG or not, he will be able to defend. He is probably the most proven rookie defender at the 1 in the draft.
Get it done... Paul.
If he makes it in the NBA it will be point.
He isn’t tall enpough to be a SG nor good enough shooter to be that bench player at the wing.
How he becomes a PG ultimately depends upon where he is in terms of speed and quickness. He will have to see and adjust accordingly. If you can blow by guys you become a Westbrook style PG. If not, it becomes either slight of hand like Andre or a great shooter like Derek who lets the offense flow as he spots up. Maybe he becomes a crafty passer like Stockton. Stockton never had the prototypical speed or size to overcome lack of speed.
Most people Cling to one Paradigm of what a PG is. The reality is there are examples of different types having a great career. What Nolan becomes depends on him putting the work in both in learning the craft and developing the skillsets.
In the back of my mind I wonder something. i have read he was projected to be high first round had he come out last year. I have also read Nate has a relationship with coach K. did Coach K convey that this kid has more than many players he has had? Nate seems more concerned about the Veteran makeup of this team. But he also seems to be a fan of this pick
Roy Bashing~ "Blakes gone...Brandon is next alphabetically " ;-}
by Hermistonmelons on Jun 25, 2011 9:17 AM PDT up reply actions
I was just scanning thru some reactions at SacTown of the Salmons/Jimmer move....
….and found this on the same subject.
Jimmer wasn’t my guy. When I saw that Knight was available at 7 and we had squandered a shot at him to lock in Freddette and add Salmons, I went bat-**** crazy. Totally agreed (still do) with Ziller that the opportunity cost of forgoing a better long term lottery pick for an unreasonably hyped marketing vehicle and a middling retread was way too high. Hornitos shots with my neighbor ensued, PO’d my wife—not my most glorious 5-7 hours on this planet.
But when I woke up to a new day this morning, I had an epiphany: I’m the dumbass who wanted Favors, Turner or Wes Johnson over Cousins last year; the same dufus who dog-cussed Petrie for picking Peja over John Wallace, the same exact moron that thought Tom Hammonds would become the Second Coming of Karl Malone back in the day. In short, I always seem to know a lot less than I think I know. Maybe for once the best approach is to reserve judgment until at least half way through the regular season (whenever that is) and, until then, cautiously defer to those who get paid to make these decisions.
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 25, 2011 7:25 AM PDT up reply actions
I agree with the Epiphany
I am eager to wait and see how this all pans out. Who would of thought LMA was going to develop like he did? Felton and Smith could be something or nothing. Me posting won’t change the true outcome.
Roy Bashing~ "Blakes gone...Brandon is next alphabetically " ;-}
by Hermistonmelons on Jun 25, 2011 9:20 AM PDT up reply actions
we live and we learn. cool post, i definitely identify.
thanks for sharing that.
The point is not to discount the opinions of us common fans
it is to recognize that there may be merit and logic in the choices made by our team of scouts. The negativity, in my opinion, has been over the top in reaction to both Nolan Smith and Raymond Felton. I understand people wanted a homerun, what we got with Felton is not a homerun but that doesn’t make it a bad move by any means. We are building a young, athletic, lengthy, defensive minded team with Lamarcus Aldridge as our spearhead flanked by Wallace, Felton, and Matthews. Roy is TBD. Oden is a ?. Batum and Camby may get moved for a younger starting center…if that happens I absolutely think we can get out of the first round with Felton at the helm.
"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'
can see where you're coming from.
personally, i would have been a lot happier with the draft if they had picked faried over smith and looked to address backup pg in some other way.
that said, i’m just gonna go with it at this point. i don’t know that much about smith. i know that drafting duke players is generally a bad idea – especially higher than they’re projected because they are usually way overrated. but maybe this smith kid is going to be really good.
it seems like he’s only being called a combo guard because at times he’s been the second best point guard on his team but better than any of the shooting guards on the squad. we shall see.
I for one appreciate the injection of critical assessment.
Sometimes it’s important to drink your castor oil … a steady diet of cotton candy and gum-drops doesn’t cut it for me.
by nikolokolus on Jun 24, 2011 10:34 PM PDT up reply actions
Telfair
was a 6’0" guard…….how was he ever going to be the next Al Jefferson?
how tall was he without shoes!
:) sorry zeus!
I think if the Blazers had drafted Faried
everybody would be mildly pleased with this draft. That one pick ruined everything for people.
I’m going to take the (normal) Dave approach — wait and see.
Creator of Projectile project management/invoicing/time tracking system.
We are stuck in Mediocrity and that is a bad place to BE
Just good enough to lose in the 1st rd of the playoffs, not bad enough to get any kind of impact player in the lottery. JUst treading water not going anywhere!!
What would the team look like if we traded all of our talent for 1st rd picks? I would do it. Keep LA, trade the top 6 players for #1 draft picks, prefereably to lottery teams.
The trades would have to be at the beginning of the season
when all of the teams think they are 1 player away from making it to the playoffs. When they don’t know that they will be bad and need the draft pick.
We made the playoffs for 20 years straight with a boatload of 1st round exits
but still managed to make 5 western conference appearances and 2 finals appearances. Additionally someone earlier pointed out that the league average of “keepers” among 1st round picks is about 20%….that tells me that if we are in the lottery for 5years the odds will be that we will get one “keeper” out of the bunch …..that isn’t worth it to me.
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 8:20 PM PDT up reply actions
If the Seattle Mariners win the World Series this year, I'll forget all about missing the postseason ...
these past 10 years. When it’s all said and done, 1 title is unquestionably more enjoyable as a fan than 10 — or 20 — straight playoff failures.
There’s no argument to be had here, either. It’s that cut and dry.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
How much did you pay for your season tix for those 10 years?
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 9:07 PM PDT up reply actions
I spent plenty of time watching in front of the TV.
Again, though, there’s no argument to be had here.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Well....I pay quite a bit of actual money for those tix
and if the team is not competitive …then it isn’t very enjoyable. Also ….those 20 straight playoff appearances got us a lot closer to an NBA title than Golden State’s 17 straight (or whatever it was) lottery appearances did. So that being said …I would rather get into the post season annually and hope to get better by a lucky late 1st round (or 2nd round) pick or by free agency or something
Rod Stewart:"Instead of getting married again, I'm going to find a woman I don't like and just give her a house."
by 92wastheyear on Jun 24, 2011 9:39 PM PDT up reply actions
Sure, it can be a tough hit financially to watch a regular season loser. That's not fun.
Still, losing sucks just as much in the end if the final defeat is in the regular season or in the postseason. The only way to be fully satisfied is by going out on on top, which means taking home the title.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
When you put it that way -
Before yesterday I thought the Blazers were a strong drafting team. Last year seemed a bit of a bust, but other than that the Blazers have been lighting it up! Right?
But now looking over the list of draft picks since 2004, ouch. Lots of Euro St®ash on there and busts.
What is really frustrating
are the players we could have had.
Kept Miller and drafted Smith, what a concept! Groom smith for a year to take Millers place.
Traded Rudy for JoJuan Johnson at #26 – there is the rebounding PF we need.
Keith Benson- a good shooting, shot blocking center with 4 yrs of exp. we could have had if we tried, picked 3 spots before the Blazers at 49. We could have traded for him also.
Three players that would have made a difference.
I know it won't happen, but this is the kind of deal that the team should look to make if its in win-now mode.
http://espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=6ko5l2j
A nine-man rotation of Greg Oden, Nikola Vucevic, LaMarcus Aldridge, Gerald Wallace, Andre Iguodala, Wesley Matthews, Brandon Roy, Raymond Felton, and Nolan Smith would be a solid core.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
that plus the MLE on a respectable big man
someone to hold down the fort while Vucevic gets up to speed and Oden finishes rehab. Otherwise, I’m totally sold. I don’t think the Sixers are, though—they seem to be content to remain a 5-7 seed in the East for the foreseeable future.
"I told him, ‘We will get through this, then shock the world.’ He got a kick out of that,'' Miller said. "We will get through this and shock the world ...''
Honestly, I like Andre Iguodala enough that I'd offer Marcus Camby, Wesley Matthews, and Nicolas ...
Batum for Iguodala, Andres Nocioni, and Nikola Vucevic. Acquiring a legit #2 option like Iguodala and an aptly skilled young center with size like Vucevic would be a huge boon for Portland. If Portland is to win a first-round series next year, then it needs to upgrade its talent base. As it stands, this is a 40-something win team that looks like a 6th/7th/8th seed next season.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
Nah
I wouldnt do that. Trading for AI would decimate our already poor outside shooting. We cant afford to get worse than we already are there. Great fast break player and defender, but poor shooter and inconsistent offensive player.
Henne is the greatest and the Dolphins will go 14-2 this year and win the SB
Dave,
Totally agree with your review. Very glad I did not renew my season ticket. Will be surprised if there is a 11-12 season and amazed if Portland is a factor in the season, if there is one.
Eh, this whole thing is tough
I’m not really sure how to feel about our moves. I was pretty disappointed when we didn’t draft Faried, I was high on him, but either way at the 21st pick it is ultimately pretty inconsequential and I will trust that the Blazers scouting knows more than me on who to pick. As for the Miller-Felton trade, yes it didn’t really give us a kick in the pants that we need to contend, but I believe this was one of those situations where one of those players were just not available. Getting Felton was the next best option, he is younger and has room to improve, and he might have been the best player available. Everyone’s waiting for that franchise changing trade but those don’t happen too often.
I'd assume Dave would not have drafted this Duke product either :)
Stats from his junior season at Duke:
21.3 pts
3.5 rbds
5.3 assists
3.7 to
2.2 steals
.457 FG%
.676 FT%
.383 3PT%
Hint: He was a consensus top 3 or even top 1 pick, got taken #2 in the end behind a really big guy from China.
He looked good in a suit on draft day: http://i.imgur.com/zBbcE.jpg
Drafting him unfortunately would have led to more despair, since he had “injury” issues.
It’s Jay Williams, who was drafted as the PGOTF for Chicago in 2002 but had his career destroyed by an accident.
For comparison, Nolan Smith’s stats from senior season at Duke.
20.6 pts
4.5 rbds
5.1 assists
3.2 to
1.2 steals
.458 FG%
.813 FT%
.350 3PT%
This might help explain some of the appeal of Nolan Smith. I’m not saying they will be the same player, Jay Williams obviously was the better physical athlete, and Smith can’t create the same type of separation and blow-by speed at ease. But he is a very good prospect with a well-rounded game and a high understanding of the game who managed to produce in Duke over 4 years, at last in the shadow of the more talented Kyrie Irving, and at first having to replace some guys with lesser talent (who didn’t make it into the NBA) but trusted by their coach back then.
Hat tip to @ShamSports who came up with this historical comparison for his summer plan for the Bulls. He’d have loved to get Nolan Smith in a back court with and as the back up to Derrick Rose. Maybe the Blazers feared the real Bulls would have too. Or OKC, who went with Reggie Jackson instead. Could they have played their cards better and got another first round asset (Faried or Hamilton or…) by really risking to stand there “empty-handed” with the Denver trade falling through and the same guard rotation Nate had started to obviously distrust? Maybe. In the end, they probably picked Smith a few spots too high, but I can’t really fault them for going and getting their guys this time via trade and via draft.
All in all I’m much happier with this draft day than when they whiffed on drafting Blair although I loved Faried too going into this one. Or last year’s for that matter. Seems like patience has run out for some, or disillusionment has set in now that the careers of Roy and Oden are in doubt. I don’t think it was ever realistic to get the team completely back on championship track on a draft day filled with good rotation players but presumably very low in all-stars, and with an aging PG more valued for his super-expiring contract than his production. The last time such a contract existed with Dampier, Dallas got Tyson Chandler for him. Also not a superstar, but a very very good contributor in the end. With some fitness concerns that had destroyed an early trade of him to a rival (OKC). On a 1 year contract, so they also were in the position of needing him to produce immediately and potentially losing him in free agency. Any similarities to Felton here? We’ll see. It still depends very much on the health of Roy and Oden. I don’t see a realistic way the Blazers could have changed that dependency on draft day.
by Norsktroll on Jun 25, 2011 12:32 AM PDT reply actions 2 recs
When blow By speed isn't there, the great ones develop slight of hand
A baseball anology would be Jamie moyer. Never had a fastball but lived by change of speed.
I beleive Andre is the record holder for Portland for Single points in a game. He never really blew by anyone. but, he left a lot of guys standing flat footed
Roy Bashing~ "Blakes gone...Brandon is next alphabetically " ;-}
by Hermistonmelons on Jun 25, 2011 9:25 AM PDT up reply actions
Damon Stoudamire has the team record w/ 54 points in a single game.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/200501140NOH.html
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."
I agree with Dave's title of this article.
We are really in the wait and see mode. This was supposed to be one of the worst drafts ever so to argue over the 21, 26, 51st picks is a pointless venture. The fact remains that the likehood of either Nolan Smith or Kenneth Faried amounting to anything is rather remote.
But I wanted a non-bias opinion so I asked my wife(who doesn’t follow sports) about the Nolan Smith vs. Kenneth Faried pick. After explaining the whole thing she was baffled as to why people wanted to draft Faried over Smith. Her thought was why draft a sortof big player from a small pond when you have a chance to draft a big player from a big pond.
I was satisfied enough with her answer to decide to give Nolan a chance to prove himself.
I don’t see Smith as the PGOTF and I’m convinced neither do the Blazers. But at least he has the tools to be. Whereas, Faried doesn’t have the tools at this moment to be anything more than a backup 4, not saying he can’t develop. Its just you can only know what is today.
I like the Felton acquisition, not because Raymond is better than Andre, but because the Blazers made a decision and did something. They didn’t loose a lot, neither gaining a lot. It was becoming more and more obvious that Andre, Rudy, and Petteri were not in the Blazers’ future plans. Sure this was a fairly substantial price for a guy who’s got 1 year left on his deal, but I’m still not upset over this. Instead I’m actually relieved that the Rudy soap opera is over and we don’t have to argue whether Andre and Brandon can play together. Maybe we can move on and add the rest of the pieces necessary for a championship run now.
All in all I am content with the dealings of this draft and considering how bad a draft class it was thought we came away from it ok. Now go add a big or 2 Chad.
This Draft is only the start of the Off-season (which could be a long one)
our point guard problems (though I thought they were over-exaggerated, and getting a decent backup would have been enough) have been solved, to some extent. However our biggest problem has really been in the frontcourt, where we desperately need a solid starting-quality center, even if just to serve as a strong rebounder and a defensive post presence to stop little guards from driving to the basket. marcus camby can still rebound, but he has been showing signs of breaking down. oden could provide a presence, but we have to build the roster as if he won’t pan out to make sure we can survive without him. if we manage to grab few big men through free agency (nene, dalembert, big baby, chuck hayes) or perhaps trades then this offseason could turn out pretty sucessful. otherwise, there’s still a lot of work to do.
Joel Freeland won't come over next season, though.
"They say it has no memory. That’s where I want to live the rest of my life. A warm place with no memory."

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