Canzano wants the Blazers to lock up Oden long-term. Should we be afraid?

we don’t have any rights to him until we tender him an offer.

Never know

Part of current CBA allows the insurance company(companies?) to refuse to cover a small number of players each yr.(Insurance is done on a yearly basis.) Players like Yao,Roy and likely Oden are not covered by the NBA’s Insurance policies. Of course the team could get private insurance,but I’d believe the premiums would be pretty freakin’ high.
And NBA Insurance only kicks in after 41 games are missed,and covers 80% of remaining salary. So if a player had a $10mil contract covered by insurance and he went down before season started,the insurance pay-out would only be $4mil.

Me,I’d offer the 1 yr,see what other teams are offering,and if it climbs above $6mil/yr guaranteed,say thank-you for your efforts,it didn’t work out and good luck.
As a Rockets fan,you cannot keep hoping players w/major injury issues are just going to get better. They don’t. And eventually significant portions of the fan base turn on the player(s) because they keep getting injured.
It really bites because you just know IF WE’RE HEALTHY we have a great team,but “we’re” never healthy and each yr gets just a little more frustrating. Because sure it could happen,but it’s like the odds of winning a lottery,someone eventually does,but all those who made the jackpot huge sure didn’t.

Can we have a measure of lunacy here? Or sanity maybe? Heck, I don’t know.

All your money is invested into 12 stocks.

Your largest investment (Roy) was purchased at the top of the market and then quickly crashed. It may improve somewhat, but will never regain it’s value you purchased it for. No matter what, you will lose money on this investment and cannot sell it off for the next 4 years.

Your 2nd largest investment (Aldridge) was purchased at a high price, but has shown steady improvement and is going to make you some money over the next 4 years. However, this good investment will not make up for the loss the largest investment will give you. You are still at a net negative.

Your 3rd largest investment (Oden) has been a middling investment in terms of purchase price for the past 4 years. However, while this company started off with a lot of promise, it has continually disappointed and is teetering on bankruptcy. You now decide to double down on this investment and contribute more money to this than to many others that have produced far more over the past 4 years. You can’t get out of this one for 4 years. There is small chance this could still pay huge dividends, but in the history of the stock market this has never happened.
 
These 3 investments constitute 50% of your resources.

Any investor would tell you that this is unwise. It smacks of desperation to throw those kind of resources at a wing and prayer. The Blazers will still have to extend Batum and find a point guard to replace Miller. We already have the 8th highest payroll in the NBA. If you do this move with Oden and then extend Batum, we will be near the top for team salaries. If Oden can’t stay healthy, the Blazers will be become the NY Knicks without the attractive city. High payroll, but not very good. NY could afford to do this b/c they can attract players, but we cannot. We would be screwed for a long time.

The evidence shows one thing very clearly but the team’s fans cannot bear to let go, to be proved wrong. The real question is whether Paul Allen and Rich Cho can stand to let go.

On the other hand maybe there is some wierd business calculation, or tax loss calcultion that makes it profitible to sign him to vast amounts of money without much hope of on-court performance. You know like Darius Miles all over again. Then again, maybe the price for Oden’s so-called potential is objectively small for the NBA. That’s where Cho comes in, right?

every big accomplishments have big Risk.

This is music to a casino owner’s ears.

Maybe I am wrong, but is there any evidence that points to Oden staying healthy and contributing enough to earn this kind of a contract? I was under the impression that the evidence is overwhelmingly against it. This feels like hoping you’ll score enough points to win against the Lakers by only shooting half-court hook shots. You could win with this offensive scheme, but the chances are one in a million.

sadly the gamble on oden didn’t pan out, straight up, he has been a bust. I’m saying lets get off the dead horse. im not pulling the escalation of commitment theory out of thin air either. take a business psychology class and you’ll see that the fan base is falling into a very common sinkhole. I understand that keeping him around is a risk you want to take to win a championship, all im saying is: based on what we know about Oden’s history of bad health, do you really think he’s going to stay healthy long enough to make a championship type of impact? last i checked, championship cornerstones play more than 1/4 of their games

glad you have your own opinion and it wasn’t my intention to insult anybody while trying to make a point, as it seems thats how it came across to you.

so im for cut our losses and you’re for ride it out. Ok. agree to disagree on that one. Then how long do you ride him out? how many chances would you give oden if you were Paul allen?

( in your defense: at least he doesn’t have any more knees that need micro-fracture surgery)

than Darius Miles at 6 years and $48 mill.

This a fun game…follow up a bad contract with another “less bad” contract and actually feel better! Let’s call it the “NY Knicks of the 2000’s game.” Now instead of one bad contract you have two. Awesome!