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Around SBN: VIDEO: Veterans Share Favorite Sports Memories

Game 64 Preview: Trail Blazers versus Heat

Game Time:  4:30 p.m.  TV:  CSNNW and NBATV

No doubt you've heard all about the Heat lately.  They've lost four straight to the Knicks(!), Magic, Spurs, and Bulls.  They've been crying in the locker room.  They've been arguing over precedence.  Got all of that?  Check.

So here's the conversation tonight.

D-Wade:  Hey man, want a Kleenex?

LeBron:  No, I'm good.

D-Wade:  So, Portland tonight.

LeBron:  Yeah.  (sniffles)  What should we do?

D-Wade:  We could weep some more.

LeBron:  Naw...enough of that.  Want to argue about last shots?

D-Wade:  No, we did that last night.

LeBron:  We're kind of stuck in a rut.

D-Wade:  I know.  We need something new to do.

LeBron:  Hmmm...

D-Wade:  What?

LeBron:  Wanna kill the Blazers?

D-Wade:  You mean like hire some hitmen to take them out?

LeBron:  No!  I mean basketball-wise.  You know... (LeBron punches his fist into his palm and makes a grinding motion.)

D-Wade:  Like, totally destroy them?

LeBron:  Exactly.  Total rout.  Laugh it up.  Get all Top 10 highlights on Sportscenter?

D-Wade:  That does sound like fun!

LeBron:  Totally.

D-Wade:  Let's do it!  We shall slay the Blazers with such slaying that there shall be nothing left after they are slain.

(LeBron snickers.)

D-Wade:  What?

LeBron:  Maybe they'll cry in the locker room after.

D-Wade:  Bet on it?

LeBron:  A benjamin per tear?

D-Wade:  You're on.

LeBron:  Hey, should we tell Bosh about this?

D-Wade:  Naw, let him finish his cucumber facial and pedicure first.

LeBron:  Ooooh!  Cucumber facial!  I hear that erases the tear lines!

D-Wade:  Exfoliates too!  I'm totally going for one of those after the slaying.

LeBron:  Lucky!  I have to go shoot a commercial for my Visine endorsement.  "Visine Dryness Relief:  More powerful than six losses to the Bulls!"

Aaannnnnnnnnddd scene.  And that's what's going to happen to the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.  I know people are screaming that the Blazers have a plethora of wing defenders to throw at LBJ and Wade.  That's like saying you have a bunch of big guys to hold the ocean back.  They may be better at holding the ocean back than any ocean-back-holders that ever existed.  The waves are still going to get through.  Miami is also ripe for the old "matchup comparison" fallacy.  "Our power forward edges your power forward, our center and point guards beat yours, and our bench is better so we win!"  Your vintage Trans Am may beat out some other guy's Volvo Station wagon but when the Lamborghini pulls up neither one matters.  Neither LeBron James nor Dwyane Wade have ever had an ounce of respect for the Blazers even when Portland was a better team than they are now.  You may stop them for a quarter but eventually they're going to crush you.  Both players are averaging over 25 ppg and pushing 50% from the field.  Chris Bosh is at 18 per game and 49%.  Those three account for 51 of Miami's 77 shots per game.  That's all that matters.

The Heat field a boatload of veterans around their Gigantic 3:  Erick Dampier, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Mike Miller, Mike Bibby, Eddie House, James Jones.  None of these guys are impressive anymore.  Several of them have been injured and/or have seriously underperformed.  But all of them know how to play and all of them have motivation to make this a "W".

While stacked with skilled and talented players, Portland has shown little ability to take a serious punch and sports maybe two players who, under duress, respond by punching back hard.  The Blazers have nice players but this isn't likely to be a nice game.

Losing streak or no, Miami flashes a +6.7 point differential, a 22-8 home record, the 5th best offensive efficiency in the league, the 4th best shooting efficiency in the league, the 3rd best shooting percentage in the league, the 3rd best free throw rate, and the 9th best three-point shooting percentage.  They're good defensively and on the boards as well.

One of two things is going to happen tonight.  Either the Blazers will play somewhat passively on defense and the Heat will torch them or the Blazers will play aggressively and physically and the referees will whistle approximately 1000 fouls on them.  On offense the Blazers will be sunk unless they go on a three-point tear the likes of which we've never seen.  Miami has bigger players than Orlando did last night and the Blazers never scored more than 24 in a quarter against the Magic.  Miami will pack it in, dare the Blazers to shoot, rebound the misses, and probably watch Wade and LeBron top 24 in a period between them against Portland's switch-help-don't rotate well, can only stop one player at a time defense.   I suppose "Crash" Wallace could bust a hole in them or Nicolas Batum and Andre Miller could score sneaky points against lazy defenders but it's hard for me to imagine Miami throwing another game under these circumstances.  Portland's catching the wrong team at the wrong time.  Even if the Blazers continue their trend of playing up (or down) to the level of the competition it's not likely to be enough.

See if they're worried at all over at Peninsula is Mightier.

Enter tonight's Jersey Contest form here.

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

Comment 233 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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Dave doesn't even have hope

The glass is neither half empty nor half full. Lebron took that glass and drank the water.

by ODEN on a stick on Mar 8, 2011 12:15 AM PST reply actions  

Dave has hope, but...

He must keep it a secret to gain the power of the “no hope” preview. Long time badgers know the uncanny success of the blazers following one of Dave’s “there is no chance the blazers will win” previews. I’m sure that’s what he’s doing here.

by PoliSam on Mar 8, 2011 5:10 AM PST up reply actions  

Jay Hensen?!

The creator of the Muppets works for us!?!?!

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 10:25 AM PST up reply actions  

John Hollinger?

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 10:32 AM PST up reply actions  

John Havliceck?

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 11:44 AM PST up reply actions  

His friends call him Jay

(note: see my signature)

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 1:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Dave, you are a genius

when I read your piece before the game, I was mad

but now that I have had a chance to reflect on how you caused the Blazers to win, I understand your brilliance!

Win the day!

by Blzr fan on Mar 9, 2011 7:28 AM PST up reply actions  

And then threw the water all over Dave...and said...."you are ALL WET now...and what are you going to do about it?"

Had to look at the tool bar to make sure this was BLAZERSEDGE.COM.

In his SLAM DUNK on Talkin Ball Dwight Jaynes predicts the HEAT by 20 tonight. in his SLAM DUNK, Jeff Pendergraff predicted the Blazers win tonight.

Dwight Jaynes also predicted the Blazers would go 1-3 on this road trip…meaning they’d win in Charlotte..I am sure…so he was wrong about Orlando…Jaynes DID know Howard wasn’t going to play.

The logic of the Heat wanting a big old beat down of the NICE GUY NO FIGHT IN THEM BLAZERS…seems to be missing some logic.

So…the Heat will build up THAT much fire and BE ALL UP to beat the GIRLY NICE Blazers and this is going to make them feel all better?

Well it may make LBJ feel better…

I do think the refs will blow their whistles a plenty on the Blazers.

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 9:59 AM PST up reply actions  

yeah expecting the refs to be busy tonight

If anything kills us it will be that and crappy shooting.

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 10:19 AM PST up reply actions  

Dave was so wrong.

 To Dave’s defense the blazers are helter skelter.

by Aunt Bee on Mar 8, 2011 8:02 PM PST up reply actions  

dave

Lick the bags mate. never ever discount the blazers again

by RichChoMan! on Mar 8, 2011 8:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Sickeningly pathetic preview by Dave.

Good luck with your job next year writing for free for Miami. Your a complete joke to seriously post this preview.

FIRE NATE AND BLOW UP THE TEAM! (Save Aldridge and Matthews)

by easythere73 on Mar 8, 2011 1:11 AM PST via mobile reply actions   2 recs

now tell us how you really feel.

Resident Smartass.
and my residency is Blazersedge.com

by Devyn on Mar 8, 2011 2:01 AM PST up reply actions  

No, he had it correct the first time with "your".

You’re means “you are”………….Good luck with you are job next year….." is grammatically incorrect and doesn’t make sense.

During the 9 months Gerald’s mother was pregnant with him, she averaged a double-double.

by 64-18 on Mar 8, 2011 3:06 AM PST up reply actions  

Nevermind, I thought you were referring to the first "your".

Editorial error on my part lol.

During the 9 months Gerald’s mother was pregnant with him, she averaged a double-double.

by 64-18 on Mar 8, 2011 3:08 AM PST up reply actions  

easythere73 is a monument to our failed education system

How does it feel to be a monument, easythere73?

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
- Charles Darwin

by Love on Mar 8, 2011 7:34 AM PST up reply actions  

They don't teach 'em these days like they did in days of yore.

BTW, I think Dave did a great job of anti-jinxing the Blazers.

I hold it true, whate'er befall;
I feel it, when I sorrow most;
'Tis better to have loved and lost
Than never to have loved at all.
--Alfred Lord Tennyson

by CatMan2 on Mar 8, 2011 8:17 AM PST up reply actions  

stuff

 extraneous solutions
 was referring to "Your a complete joke to seriously post this preview. "

just sayin.

by BatumRaider on Mar 8, 2011 1:50 PM PST up reply actions  

I would expect better from Dave than to let Wade and James make him write this preview with his tail between his legs.

We’ll see what goes down when the game is actually played. LaMarcus, Andre, Gerald and Co. might have something to say about that.

During the 9 months Gerald’s mother was pregnant with him, she averaged a double-double.

by 64-18 on Mar 8, 2011 1:22 AM PST reply actions  

Ya a little more faith would be nice.

I think this will be a much closer game than you think. They are not light years ahead of us as a team by any means. We actually play much better as a team. Shut down two guys and we’re good. This is the most pessimistic preview I have ever read.

by NorthWest Connection on Mar 8, 2011 1:38 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

yep, shut down two guys

two of the top 5 players in the NBA. who historically have killed us. james averages more points against the blazers than any team in the NBA.

maybe dave is just try to balance out some of the mis-guided homerism of us posters

by bluthbanana on Mar 8, 2011 10:42 AM PST up reply actions  

I think he was just saying

that this is the wrong time to catch this team with two of the top 3 players in the nba sore, focused, and needing a win.

by skott75 on Mar 8, 2011 1:45 AM PST reply actions  

I agree

People are too sensitive here on BE

by Michael Baller on Mar 8, 2011 1:50 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

it's not sensitivity..... its passion.....and maybe a little naivete :D

Even when we had a lineup of telfair webster miles and randolph back in the day we always thought that we were invincible and so very close to contending for a championship. Die hard fans through and through. Why be rational?

by notoriousj on Mar 8, 2011 4:32 AM PST up reply actions  

True..I think Dave kind of gives the Heat a bit TOO much credit and the Blazers..

not enough.
Truly, if this post is FOR REAL and not just a ploy to push luck to the Blazers side of things…I kind of have to wonder if Dave has been hanging out with Dwight Jaynes recently.

Jaynes DOES say he is not a fan…he’s a journalist.

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 10:10 AM PST up reply actions  

yep...

it should be an interesting game tonight. to say the least. I think I’m not the only one when I say, “I’M NERVOUS!”

Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company.

by jenstcy on Mar 8, 2011 7:49 AM PST up reply actions  

but are you as nervous as the BLAZERS?

I heard Nate say the players were in the locker room with sweaty palms and shaking knees and fluttering hearts at the thought of playing against the mighty HEAT.

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 10:13 AM PST up reply actions  

Also, this preview smacks heavily of catering toward

juju, voodoo, the flying spaghetti monster, karma, etc.

At least the upside is that, win or lose, we are on sportscenter tonight.

I

by joelor on Mar 8, 2011 8:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Wrong team at the wrong time? How do you figure?

There’s never a “good” time to play the Miami Heat… Regardless of their struggles they are still a very good team capable of handily defeating anyone in the league. That said, I’ll take my chances with any team on a four-game losing streak, as opposed to one on a four-game winning streak, any day of the week.

Streaks of any length in either direction (winning or losing) happen because of momentum, upward OR downward; positive OR negative. A team like Miami should not be expected to lose THREE games in a row, let alone four, but NO team is immune to having its confidence shaken by a string of losses, not even Miami.

Winning builds confidence, especially in a team that’s expected to win anyway. Losing shakes it up. Will the Blazers win tomorrow? Will they even play a competitive game? I can’t answer that, but I have no reason to believe our chances for success will be HURT by the fact that the Heat have lost four straight games.

by looster401 on Mar 8, 2011 1:50 AM PST reply actions  

It's not the losing streak that makes the timing bad...

It’s that, for the last two days, LBJ and D-Wade have been the laughing-stock of the sporting world. They are gonna be out for blood.

by vanceanthony on Mar 8, 2011 4:14 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

and we're on a back-to-back

that somehow was made unnecessarily tough last night with horrendous shooting.

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 9:06 AM PST up reply actions  

and they are going to prove

they can beat the BLAZERS? Maybe this will make them miss all of the FREE THROWS they are going to get tonight….adrenaline is supposed to be really bad for making free throws.

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 10:15 AM PST up reply actions  

And MY point was...

…that there were already plenty of people laughing after the LAST game the Heat lost. One would have thought that LeBron and DWade have been out for blood in the game against the Bulls too, but what they produced was another unspectacular showing and a another loss. I’m sure the Heat are plenty annoyed with themselves and the rotten press they’re getting. Will that make them play better tonight? Not necessarily.

by looster401 on Mar 8, 2011 10:16 AM PST up reply actions  

but did Eric

Spoelstra come out and say the PLAYERS were in the locker room CRYING after the loss to San Antonio???

I kind of think maybe Spoelstra’s comment,,,, more than the loss will be yanking the Heat’s chain more than anything….
Heat: “we’re not crying, baby faced, woosy pantsed, girly men!!! We’ll show THEM…!!!”

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 10:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Ridiculous preview,

This is a Blazers site correct? Good job completly disregarding how both of these teams have been playing lately.

by greg6582 on Mar 8, 2011 1:51 AM PST reply actions   2 recs

im a little irked at the preview as well

dave makes it sound like the apocalypse and that there is absolutely no reason to even bother watching tomorrow. very VERY depressing :( regardless……im still watching and i still believe we can win

by notoriousj on Mar 8, 2011 4:28 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Heat are fueled by Lebron tears

and the tank is full at the moment, I think the Blazer’s are in trouble. It ain’t pessimistic its realistic.

Give me #52

by undutchable on Mar 8, 2011 1:53 AM PST reply actions  

As much as I hope Dave is wrong

I would be lying if I said that I wasn’t thinking the same thing before I stopped by to read the preview. Spoelstra threw some guys under the bus (when he could’ve just said the team is upset) and has the entire media and fanbase laughing and cracking jokes at them. Since when has any team decided to just lay down and take that kinda crap, especially a team with Lebron and D-Wade. The timing of this game is definitely not to our advantage. Let’s hope our 3 point shooting gets a little better, and our defense continues to shine, and let’s hope Wallace finally has a spectacular offensive showing to compliment an Aldridge slaughter fest. We can do this.

by blazerbeliever on Mar 8, 2011 2:07 AM PST reply actions  

It's not that we think the Heat are gonna lay down

It’s just that maybe the Heat really don’t have the fortitude to carry through with all the anger and hunger for victory that they supposedly have now.

A mature team (eg, one without Lebron James) would be able to rise to the occasion and answer its critics.

But the Heat are not a mature team. Their frustration and desparation to win are gonna translate into sloppy play – maybe even overconfident play – and we are gonna eat their lunch.

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
- Charles Darwin

by Love on Mar 8, 2011 7:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Look Dave is right, he isnt about to sugar coat it for anyone

Miami needs a win more than ever, and considering they are playing at home. I find it hard to believe that Blazers can match their offense.

That said however we did take them to overtime in Portland, but that was in Portland.

by tyeforshee on Mar 8, 2011 2:21 AM PST reply actions  

Easily the most pessimistic post I've ever read by Dave

Probably the most accurate, too.

LMA coming off a game in which he should have scored 42, but only scored 24, and did almost no rebounding. (When you are 7 feet tall, you should be able to get 7-8 rpg by accident!) He just hasn’t seemed like the same aggressive, confident LMA 2.0 since Roy & Camby came back and Wallace arrived.

Will Roy play? Has he been officially cleared to play in back-to-backs? If he does, who will he guard? D-Wade? Seriously?

Maybe Wallace and Batum can help to slow down Lebron, but nobody stops him.

Miller might have a good night, as that is the one position where it appears the Blazers have an advantage.

Some games, Portland plays very tough against good opponents. Other times, they play like they’ve already conceded the game. No one would blame them if they choose the latter.

I’ll be watching this game through one eye, half afraid to look, half eager to see how Portland matches up.

by hercher on Mar 8, 2011 2:39 AM PST reply actions  

Roy will play about 15 minutes

If he were in late in the fourth, he would guard Mike Miller, when Miami goes with a small lineup. Matthews will cover Wade and Wallace will cover LeBron. I don’t expect him to be in the game late so Batum probably guards Mike Miller. I would say Batum guards LeBron or Wade but Wallace and Matthews are a little better defensively.

by JTDBlazers23 on Mar 8, 2011 2:45 AM PST up reply actions  

Miami has been struggling to close out games

Their confidence has to be shaken. That’s why Portland needs to keep it tight until late and grab the lead late and steal the win. Portland being on the road won’t ever have a big lead but just needs to keep it tight and Miami will blow it. Miami has struggled to finish games, if it’s tight and they have to execute to beat the Blazers, I like Portland’s chances. Miami will have it in the back of their mind that they can’t finish and will play tentatively and nervous.

Obviously Portland has a huge advantage at PF and has to use it a ton. Chris Bosh cannot play LaMarcus Aldridge one on one. LaMarcus will abuse him every single time, just as he would abuse any Heat post defender. He’s too athletic, quick and just plain too good for the Heat to handle. They need to get him the ball often, he will able to get guys like Roy, Miller, Fernandez, Wallace, Batum and Matthews wide open looks at threes or shots deep in the paint when they cut to the basket, once the Heat are forced to double team LaMarcus.

Gerald Wallace will help make things tougher on LeBron and will definitely help the Blazers defend him much better. Gerald and LeBron have had some great battles the last couple years and he makes LeBron make tough shots. If the Blazers make sure LeBron and Wade don’t get many easy baskets in transition and make them make tough shots, you gotta love Portland’s chances. The reason Miami has been losing is they haven’t been given transition opportunities in the second half. Portland has to bring the game to grind it out, physical ball game. Miami doesn’t like playing like that.

If Portland can slow down Miami and make them play a grind it out performance and can shoot say 45% or so from three, they will win the game. This is a game where Miami comes in struggling, Portland can take this game if they want it bad enough. They will show how badly they want it.

by JTDBlazers23 on Mar 8, 2011 2:42 AM PST reply actions  

I should have read yours first

Wrote some of the same things below. I totally agree if the Blazers can keep it close they will come out with the win. Must make 3s tonight.

by Drexler101 on Mar 8, 2011 7:10 AM PST up reply actions  

lebron has totally destroyed us the last 3-4 years

just once, i’d like to see him come out lackadaisical against us like he does against some other teams.

for some reason or the other, he’s always super-motivated to play us.

PHILLY!

by CleBlazer on Mar 8, 2011 3:03 AM PST reply actions  

in fact

have we EVER beaten Lebron James before?…….I cant remember

by notoriousj on Mar 8, 2011 4:23 AM PST up reply actions  

ya

in roy’s rookie year, i believe. i think we swept em.

PHILLY!

by CleBlazer on Mar 8, 2011 7:54 AM PST up reply actions  

dang dave talk about a debbie downer :(

I did find this quote interesting tho…

Neither LeBron James nor Dwyane Wade have ever had an ounce of respect for the Blazers even when Portland was a better team than they are now

i’d prolly argue the fact that this is the most talented team we’ve had since the 2001 season. Neither Lebron or D-wade were playing us then so how can that be possible? Our record may be worse now than it was 2 years ago…but IMHO our overall talent is definitely stronger

by notoriousj on Mar 8, 2011 4:18 AM PST reply actions   3 recs

I agree notorious

that this is the most talented team the Blazers have rolled out since Lebron/Wade have been in the league. And I think Dave’s preview stinks. Yes Miami will be motivated, but should’nt they be motivated EVERY game? I think the fact that they are not playing the best ball right now is an advantage for Portland more than motivation for them to play better. Miami has not lost the last 4 games due to a lack of effort, rather poor execution and poor play. I think this is actually a great time to be playing the Heat, and think the blazers have a decent chance of pulling out another win.

by batuuuum on Mar 8, 2011 7:45 AM PST up reply actions  

In 6 games going head to head (including 1 game when Bosh is with Miami)

the head-to-head stats are as follows:

Aldridge: 20 points, 9.8 rebounds, 2.7 assists
Bosh: 25 points, 9 rebounds, 1.0 assists

So yeah, Bosh has scored more but Aldridge has put up good numbers regardless.

"Ain't nothin' in this world for free."

by Arby on Mar 8, 2011 10:38 AM PST up reply actions  

interesting game.

it seems like it should be a bad loss as it is practically a must win for the heat.

but then again, that’s why they play the games. if the blazers keep it tight till the end, it could be an opportunity to kick them while they’re down.

my head says that dave is right, but my heart says that the heat could have something else to cry about tonight.

by SaveOden on Mar 8, 2011 4:28 AM PST reply actions  

I agree

We do better at the UNDERDOG role then we are supposed to win role.

Of course Dave’s blog would be easy to write, anybody in the USA that follows BB, would predict a Miami win, but to throw the whole Blazer Nation under the bus to brag about how good the MIAMI HEAT is while writing for The BE is a trifle harsh. Before the game starts no matter how great the Heat is or how rotten Dave thinks the Blazers are the score is still 0-0.

We have never beaten James, but he has had the refs to thank for much of that. That part of the preview of 100 fouls called in favor of James I agree with.

I don’t disagree with Miami being the favorite to win, who would, but I don’t agree with a complete sell out of Portland chances either.

Maybe Dave is just wanting the Blazers to prove him wrong as in reversed psychology.

hg

by BBK on Mar 8, 2011 8:00 AM PST up reply actions  

We have beaten James before

I think we swept the Cavs in his rookie year. And it isn’t the refs that makes him beat us. It’s the fact that he is the best talent in the NBA.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:02 AM PST up reply actions  

He is 6'8 and 250 pounds

Yes, that help him a lot. But he also plays a lot like Rajon Rondo with a greater shooting range. Seriously, he is the size of Karl Malone and can handle and distribute the ball as well as most All-Star point guards.

A lot of people hate him (I am not in that camp…though I do find his preening annoying). But he is the best player in the NBA and really has been for probably the past 3-4 years.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:13 AM PST up reply actions  

Depends on how you quantify

He is nowhere near the most skilled NBA player. If you quantify by athleticism there are new guys that are probably at least as athletic.

If you go by basketball IQ Lebron isn’t even close to some of the elite there. If you go by character the guy needs to grow up a little.

Lebron = physical beast + swagger along with some solid passing skill

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 9:15 AM PST up reply actions  

Mmmmkay...

I get that people want to knock Lebron down a peg because he always seems to torch us. But he is the best combination of skill and raw physical ability. Better?

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 10:30 AM PST up reply actions  

Still don't agree lol

but yeah that’s better. We haven’t even brought leadership into the equation though. Stupid intangibles!

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 10:35 AM PST up reply actions  

If you could start an NBA team

And you had the first pick in a fantasy draft of everyone, who would you take? The only argument I could see would be Dwight Howard above James because talented centers are harder to come by.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 11:12 AM PST up reply actions  

I would probably take Rose and maybe even Dirk before James too

and that even ignoring that I think James is a headcase.

Just off the top of my head. I’d even take Kobe as he has a much more complete game. Age would be a factor there though so you would have to be in contender mode.

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 12:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Yikes.

Dirk? Rose? Kobe?! We are very clearly on very different wavelengths.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Rose is the only guy I'd even consider

and mostly because of my dislike for lebron’s ego/attitude…but kobe and dirk wouldn’t be in the conversation for me. I think due to age you look at Durant and Rose as the second tier behind Lebron, who’s combination of size, skill, and athleticism is simply undeniable.

"If I had a dime for every basket I made today, you'd still suck!" - from the book 'John Dies @ the End'

by sammymohawk on Mar 8, 2011 1:14 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

he might be taking a page out of the sports guy's playbook.

dave could be trying to pull off a reverse jinx here – very tricky maneuver.

by SaveOden on Mar 8, 2011 8:27 AM PST up reply actions  

Dave, you're a sellout

You’re just upset it’s not a home game so you could ask LeBron to marry you.

I'm not really a suns fan; had to infiltrate their site re: playoff refs

by SunzFan4Ever on Mar 8, 2011 5:21 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

same sex marriage is illegal in Oregon

Dave & his lovely bride, Lebron James, would have to move to Massachusetts or something.

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
- Charles Darwin

by Love on Mar 8, 2011 7:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Are you sure Lebron would be the bride?

Brandon Roy is The Man Your Man Could Smell Like

by Rogue Blazer on Mar 8, 2011 7:50 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah dude, Lebron would be the bride

Ain’t no bigger sissy in the world than Lebron. Not only that, but he’d look better in a white dress than Dave.

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
- Charles Darwin

by Love on Mar 8, 2011 8:04 AM PST up reply actions  

So are you confident that Portland will win this game?

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:05 AM PST up reply actions  

It is now 11 pm. Hindsight is... blah blah blah...

But, to answer your question, Why, yes. Yes I am confident. Or rather, I WAS confident. Now the game is over and my confidence turns out to have been warranted.

And can’t we get over this notion that Lebron is an awesome b’ball player?

Lebron is very skilled, and he is a great athlete for a man his size and strength. But his character flaws will always doom him to being a second-tier player. Not an all-time great.

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
- Charles Darwin

by Love on Mar 8, 2011 11:01 PM PST up reply actions  

so are you saying that

Lebron’s character defects will limit his potential in the same way that BRoy’s bum knees have put a ceiling on his stardom?

Win the day!

by Blzr fan on Mar 9, 2011 7:32 AM PST up reply actions  

perfect

Night o change the starting lineup. Batum is no match for lebrons size so wallace should get the start tonight and keep starting.

by PortlandReign81 on Mar 8, 2011 6:16 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

So...you're saying the Blazers don't have a chance?

You’re probably right.

On the other hand, maybe the Blazers have them right where they want them.

by LaughingJon on Mar 8, 2011 6:34 AM PST reply actions  

Blazers just need to keep it close

Miami has a horrid record in close games. Blazers just need to hang around and see what they can do in the fourth. Miami is looking for blood after cry-gate. They will be the media center of the sports world tonight.

by Drexler101 on Mar 8, 2011 6:46 AM PST reply actions  

Nice block

Now I am all jacked up way too early. Still 9:31 min till game time.

by Drexler101 on Mar 8, 2011 6:59 AM PST up reply actions  

Ha!

Harry Bosch: "Everybody counts....or nobody counts."

by 92wastheyear on Mar 8, 2011 7:00 AM PST up reply actions  

Is this preview a joke? Like some type of reverse jinx attempt? If it is, well done.

Anyway, I didn’t like this game because Miami is way overdue for a win, but they are not going to crush the Blazers.

They don’t have a bench. Their front line is weak, and our 3 point shooters are due for a good night. I think Portland can win this game. I think Wallce’s defense is going to be the main difference in this game,

I do think it’s a good call on the refs calling us for a million fouls if we do fight back. Stern can’t let Portland push the crybaby Lebron around.

by BRoyInThe4th on Mar 8, 2011 7:13 AM PST reply actions  

This is the most depressing game preview I've ever read

and I’m assuming its a joke. The heat can be beaten (say the last 4 teams they have played). Fans believe in their teams, and I’m a fan. Go Blazers! I’ll be huddled next to the radio rooting for you. With tissues if necessary.

by jjones6 on Mar 8, 2011 7:22 AM PST reply actions  

funny stuff

And I mean both the preview and the reactions :)

Very nice summary of the key flaws on this Blazer team. If there was any one team to expose those flaws – Miami would be it.

Portland doesn’t exploit mismatches, and allows mismatches to be created against it – and does absolutely nothing particularly well.

The one thing the Blazers need to make it all better has been glaringly absent – good three point shooting. That is the one skill the Blazers could ‘magically’ harness for one game to burn the Heat.

If the Blazers had any pick and roll skill whatsoever (other than Rudy/LMA) – they might have more than one chance to be competitive.

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 7:41 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

Hey now!

Portland is actually exceptional at two things: FT% and steals. I believe top 3 in both.

I only take my petz to Bunfeeld Pet Oz-pitzal!

by torridjoe on Mar 8, 2011 9:46 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

that's nice

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 9:52 AM PST up reply actions  

also contradictory

to the idea that they do “absolutely nothing particularly well.”

:)

I only take my petz to Bunfeeld Pet Oz-pitzal!

by torridjoe on Mar 8, 2011 2:26 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I just want to add that I think Patty getting some serious burn this game would be a great thing. He hits his open 3's, and I just

envision him tearing Bibby apart.

A guard like Bibby couldn’t stay infront of Patty to save his life. Nate really needs to use Patty this game. I know he can get into the lane and will find shooters like Rudy or Nic open.

by BRoyInThe4th on Mar 8, 2011 7:43 AM PST reply actions  

one fix:
He hits his open 3’s

^lately

I love Patty though!

wha??

by Hipster Olympic Team! on Mar 8, 2011 7:45 AM PST up reply actions  

Patty has been a bit of a revelation lately

Now, if only the Blazers could make every shot he takes a right angle three – Patty would be golden.

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 8:06 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Rudy will be able to tease the Heat.

He can say…“.I may be slight, I may get all homesick…but you won’t see ME crying in the locker room…LBJ!!!”

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 10:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Blazers by 5.

B Roy for 24 points and 5 assists. Wesley Matthews scoops up what’s left of Mike Bibby’s will to compete and dunks it. Marcus Camby uses his razor sharp elbow to skewer Eric Dampier through his cheap-shot fouling gut. Dwayne Wade tries so hard to dunk his femurs launch from out of his knee sockets. Patty and Rudy each pick up one of Wade’s oozing lower legs, salute one another, then proceed to play “we are the champion” as though using Wade’s legs as guitars. Shot clock explodes. Lebron and Spoelstra’s faces melt ala Raiders Of The Lost Ark. Credits roll. All 2000 die hard Miami fans saunter out of the arena under a starless night.

BOOK IT.

wha??

by Hipster Olympic Team! on Mar 8, 2011 7:44 AM PST reply actions   4 recs

Ha! Awesome!

And remarkably realistic and accurate.

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
- Charles Darwin

by Love on Mar 8, 2011 8:05 AM PST up reply actions  

I'd love to see Roy have a big game

But aren’t his minutes limited to 15 on the 2nd game of a back to back?
Not that Nate cares about this if Roy is looking good… But I can see Brandon getting just five minutes in the first half so that Nate has him for 10 in the second half.

Other than that, REC for awesomeness…. :)

by Rodney Gustafson on Mar 8, 2011 8:10 AM PST up reply actions  

Patty and Rudy each pick up one of Wade’s oozing lower legs, salute one another, then proceed to play "we are the champion" as though using Wade’s legs as guitars.

Nice, ^

LET'S PLAY SOME DAMN DEFENSE!!!!!!!!!!

by Batum Shakalaka on Mar 8, 2011 7:48 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

Lebron is going to sob uncontrollably after this game

I mean he is going to wail and gnash his teeth just like they did in the Old Testament.

His entire body is going to quiver and heave and tears will come streaming down his cheeks. Despairing groans and gasps and unintelligible utterances will indicate the depths of his pain.

Not even his Mommy is going to be able to comfort him. And I don’t care because he deserves it. He is a pretentious, superficial jackass.

Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
- Charles Darwin

by Love on Mar 8, 2011 7:54 AM PST reply actions  

This is a fine piece of writing Dave.

If you think that Dave truly believes the Blazers have no chance you probably haven’t been paying attention.

Vegas has the Blazers as 8.5 point dogs and +355 moneyline. That’s a beatdown waiting to happen. Maybe LeBron will get some chalk in his eyes.

by PDXTai on Mar 8, 2011 7:55 AM PST reply actions  

I don't see us winning

I bet we actually do jump out to a first half lead, but then blow it in the third, and then it’s a classic “can’t get over the hump” game the rest of the way.

I’d like our chances better if LMA 2.0 would come back. I miss him.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:00 AM PST reply actions  

LMA 2.0 is still here

Just really hard to see him under the double and triple team blanket.

The Blazers could throw that blanket off by putting LMA in motion off the ball and keeping him in motion – but that isn’t McMillan’s style.

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 8:11 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Actually I you are on the right track, but totally right

Portland actually does a pretty good job of rotating the ball and finding a shooter after teams double LMA. The problem is that nobody is hitting outside shots, and so there is no reason to stop double-teaming LMA.

It would be nice to get a pick-and-roll game going with Rudy/Andre/Roy and LMA, and I bet we will see a lot more of that next season.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:15 AM PST up reply actions  

good three point shooting is the one thing that would enable Mac's post offense

It’s possible, but not likely. Thing is, I find it hard not to believe this team should be a very good 3-pt squad.

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 8:22 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Batum, Rudy, and Matthews

They should all be hitting at least half of those open looks. That would open up the offense in so many ways.

I will also say this- a lot of people are saying Batum should start over Wallace because he stretches the floor. Is Batum really stretching the floor? Guys aren’t even really respecting his deep shot. If they did they wouldn’t double LMA so quickly so often. So, like most things I will turn this into a “Start Wallace” rant.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:24 AM PST up reply actions  

3-point shooting isn't the only way to beat the double team

uninhibited slashing can work too – if the Blazers move the ball fast enough….

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 9:06 AM PST up reply actions  

Yes, exactly.

When they’re on, they’re on, and it opens up the middle for LMA. It seems like everybody’s been off since the All Star break, but Nate is committing to the game plan. If they shoot sub-30% from deep on 20+ attempts, there will be a lot of ugly nights. But if they heat up and build confidence going in to the playoffs, they can beat anybody. I assume that’s Nate’s plan: shoot through the slump and get hot going in to the playoffs.

by fart on Mar 8, 2011 8:27 AM PST up reply actions  

they do need to keep shooting

because they need to find out if this group is going to develop as necessary to be competitive.

The only significant change forthcoming on the Blazers is Oden, or maybe a different PG. That means this squad has to generate the 3-point shooting it needs to be competitive.

Roy, Mathews, Batum and Rudy need to be it….

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 9:08 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm curious about Dave's two players he considers resilient

I have a feeling that might be a hotly debated subject all by itself. I would nominate Roy and … and … hmm… Wallace??

Roy is the only player on this team that has excelled as a warrior in the playoffs – and in spite of his gimp, still seems like the one guy that would welcome the challenge. LMA might be there this season. Miller is a tough guy – but resilience is about performance under pressure – not forearms in the back.

Based on recent comments – I think Blazer management would nominate Mathews and Wallace. I dunno – maybe.

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 8:02 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

What about Andre?

Before Gerald arrived, he was the toughest Blazer, just ask Blake Griffin.

by vanceanthony on Mar 8, 2011 9:15 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

in a fight, I'd take Andre

but he disappeared and disappointed in the playoffs

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 9:51 AM PST up reply actions  

I am sure Dave means Roy and Wallace.

He loves Roy and Wallace is known for toughness…

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 11:09 AM PST up reply actions  

It's hard to know how the the Blazers will handle the Heat.

So many questions about what lays ahead for Portland in the Post-Sean Marks era.

Treat people well because Karma can hit you at any second.

by Net Ranger on Mar 8, 2011 8:05 AM PST reply actions  

Sometimes it's hard to go on as a Blazer fan, knowing Marks is no longer a part of the team.

Thankfully Jarron is helping to fill the gaping hole….
And really what is the story with Jarron? Standford? Really? Is he just the Laziest player in the league or what?
Seems like he has the physical attributes that would make him a decent player.

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 11:11 AM PST up reply actions  

That’s showing a bit too much emotion and hilarity for a conversation involving the personalityless D. Wade.

by JakeN1985 on Mar 8, 2011 8:11 AM PST reply actions  

I'm with Dave

I don’t have high expectations for this game. There’s too much in Miami’s favor right now, especially considering what’s happened in the past week. They have superstars, they’re at home, and they’re embarrassed. Even granting them a few gimmes from the refs (hate to say it, but you expect that when you play LeBron OR Wade, right?), the Blazers are talented enough to beat anybody in the league on a good night…they just aren’t that good THIS year. That could change rapidly, now that they’re mostly healthy and Brandon is getting his legs back, but you gotta play the numbers on this one.

The team that’s played mostly great basketball all year is more likely to break a four game slump than the middling team that has not shot the ball well in weeks is to suddenly get hot on the road.

by fart on Mar 8, 2011 8:13 AM PST reply actions  

Well that was depressing.

I think Dave might be joking, but who knows. While it’s true that the Heat will probably win, the Blazers still have a chance. Any team can beat any other team on a given night, regardless of records, and I don’t see why the Blazers can’t do it tonight.

I’m just excited to watch Aldridge dominate Bosh inside.

"Nicolas! You're the strongest boy in the world!"

by ericking on Mar 8, 2011 8:17 AM PST reply actions  

What about an adverse reaction to Spoelstra???

I’ve heard some media talk about how Spoelstra stating that some of the guys were “crying in the locker room” was throwing those guys under the bus, and that he has since backtracked somewhat on those statements, saying instead that they were glassy eyed…

So if there is a chance that the Miami players actually want Riley to coach them to post-season success, would this be the point where they get offended that Spoelstra told the media they were crying and tune him out? Would they underperform even if just for another game or two to get him fired?

I’m not sure. I mostly agree with the fact that Portland has VERY little chance to win this game. But as others have stated, there’s a reason why the play the games instead of just looking on paper to see who should win. I’m curious to see if there is any breakdown in cooperation between players and coach for this Heat team. And to see if some of the tougher Blazers can get inside the currently fragile minds of the Heat players.

by Rodney Gustafson on Mar 8, 2011 8:19 AM PST reply actions  

Bosh, Wade, and James are not the kind of guys to quite on their team or coach

And the rest of the Heat will follow their example. There are several reasons we can win tonight…a Heat mutiny is not one of them.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:22 AM PST reply actions  

Reply fail.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Is this a fan site?

Cause I guess I’m lost. Or did this become a ESPN blog site all the sudden? Love ya Dave, but if you would have wrote something like this before a Blazers, Pistons game or a Bulls game in the early 90’s I would have told you to P!#$ off. I don’t care if you end up being right. I really don’t want to be told, well boy’os its the Heat so we might as well stick our head between our legs and pucker up.

A fans team always has a chance, that’s why they play the games and we cheer for them.

Meh,

I need more coffee.

The Blazers are the 'big brother' in this relationship

The little brother gets a new toy (all star) and the big brother has to go break it.

-----KFBR392

by JCLMA2k11 on Mar 8, 2011 8:34 AM PST reply actions  

A lot of people are hating on Dave right now for giving an honest review

It’s not his job to be a fan. Our odds of winning tonight are slim. We can win, but the odds are slim. Why are people surprised by that Dave concurs with this general statement?

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 8:36 AM PST up reply actions  

It's just that the way he wrote the preview makes it sounds so bleak.

We’ve won 3 in a row and we’re 7-3 over our last 10. It’s not like we’re the Timberwolves or the Cavs. We can beat the Heat. Just because it’s unlikely doesn’t mean it’s impossible.

"Nicolas! You're the strongest boy in the world!"

by ericking on Mar 8, 2011 8:51 AM PST up reply actions  

i wouldn't be so quick to deem this game

as “catching the wrong team at the wrong time.”

i probably don’t give as much credit to miami’s mental fortitude as you do. in my mind, the more pressure the feel from the national media, the more fragile they become. teams that come out and kill you from the offset, because of a bad game before, don’t cry in their locker rooms.

PHILLY!

by CleBlazer on Mar 8, 2011 8:40 AM PST reply actions  

This is rare

but I totally dislike this post by Dave.. remember, the Blazers have beaten some pretty good teams this year, this is by no means a decided loss.

#7

by collectiveshane on Mar 8, 2011 8:41 AM PST reply actions  

matchups, man

this is quite possibly the worst matchup in the league for the Blazers, other than perhaps a Howard-infused Magic squad.

The problem is that the Blazers don’t play good enough defense to take the Heat out of their offensive game – and will be particularly vulnerable to the Heat defense because they don’t shoot the 3 well or have a dominate inside presence.

It’s just a bad combination that plays perfectly to the Heat strengths.

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 9:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Didn't this team just take the Heat to Overtime...before they got Gerald Wallace?

Obviously the Heat are beatable, and the Blazers have been close before. Now with Wallace, they’ve got a player that can really put a body on LeBron, freeing Batum and Matthews to switch on Wade. Bosh appears to be tailor-made for Aldridge, so where do they kill us?

Stealth > Wealth

by 500dogs on Mar 8, 2011 11:24 AM PST up reply actions  

On the road on a back-to-back

And the fact that they are probably very motivated to kill us because everyone is calling them soft now.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 11:30 AM PST up reply actions  

they're not SOFT!

They are just emotional!!! Not afraid to show their feminine side in the locker room.

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 11:41 AM PST up reply actions  

Good on the road?

Respectfully, no. I am unsure of our record on back-to-backs.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 3:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Pretty late reply, but...

This was the 7th straight road win, and last season the Blazers were terrifying on the 2nd of back-to-backs.

Stealth > Wealth

by 500dogs on Mar 9, 2011 12:15 AM PST up reply actions  

if Wallace helps - that's a plus

but the Blazers are vulnerable to dribble penetration and kick out threes. Miami brings that in spades.

Law of Logical Argument
Anything is possible if you don't know what you are talking about.

by blacknoiseNW on Mar 8, 2011 12:31 PM PST up reply actions  

The Heat lack esprit de corps.

The Blazers’ unselfish play (and lucky shooting) will win the game tonight. For further evidence that the Miami “team” is as dysfunctional as would be a Charlie Sheen — Lindsay Lohan marriage, see my latest Fanshot.

I hold it true, whate'er befall;
I feel it, when I sorrow most;
'Tis better to have loved and lost
Than never to have loved at all.
--Alfred Lord Tennyson

by CatMan2 on Mar 8, 2011 8:42 AM PST reply actions  

No Contest

Comments Score:
Blazersedge 93
Peninsula is Mightier 2

by XBlazerfan on Mar 8, 2011 8:59 AM PST reply actions  

Dave, you are no true blazer fan. Now can you finally GTFO!

I have been reading articles from this site everyday for years but never comment because I just like to read what other people think. But come on this is ridiculous. Is anyone else sick of Dave and his negative news posts (which most of them are)? I come to BE to read an insight on the Blazers and Basketball, not a made up conversation between two players or a comparison between a Trans Am and a Lambo. Joke or no joke, this is supposed to be “The ultimate coverage and analysis of the Portland Trail Blazers.”

Hopefully a real Preview is released today.

by htuss on Mar 8, 2011 8:59 AM PST reply actions  

I thought he

put this game in a perfect perspective. Blazers will definitely be the underdogs and Miami has a chip on it’s shoulder and a manhood challenge. Maybe it would be better if you waited and see what happens then use his quotes and have him eat crow

by XBlazerfan on Mar 8, 2011 9:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Tisk Tisk Tisk

What are you talking about? Dave always has great analysis and breakdowns, the mailbag feature is great. Hopefully you can figure out that not only is this a community, but a great resource. And in the future, please leave YOUR negativity at home. Otherwise I’m sure you can find another place to vent your frustrations.

"Experience is that marvelous thing that enables us to recognize a mistake when we make it again" ~ Dupree

by Conraddon on Mar 8, 2011 9:44 AM PST up reply actions  

It's true. I am frustrated

you’re right, I was being negative. I just feel like every time Dave writes an article I know that it is Dave before I recognize who the author is, just based on his unbiased opinion and lack of fan optimism. I wish Mike Rice wrote for BE…

But I woke up this morning excited to maybe get revenge for that overtime loss to the Heat, then I read this column and became frustrated and sad. And for that I am sorry.

by htuss on Mar 8, 2011 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Don't get frustrated

The Blazers are doing well this year. But they’ve not shown any kind of indication of winning this kind of game. If you want revenge on the Heat, or even a win in the first place removing the need for revenge on the Heat, you need Greg Oden back and Brandon Roy pretty healthy. Then we’ll talk titanic matchup of greats and watch-out-Miami.

Anyway, now if the Blazers do pull out the miracle win, you get to celebrate that much harder in the recap thread, right?

—Dave

by Dave on Mar 8, 2011 11:04 AM PST up reply actions  

How have they not shown any indication of winning this game?

The Blazers have won 3 in a row. The Heat have lost 4 in a row. Sure, Miami is due for a win, but that doesn’t mean that a win tonight is guaranteed. Wallace seems to be settling in a little more with the team and he could be the difference maker tonight.

A month ago, the Blazers beat both San Antonio and Chicago. They also took the Lakers and the Heat into overtime. Although they didn’t win those games, they were still close enough to where those games could have gone either way.

I just don’t understand all the obsession with the Heat. They don’t play team basketball. They take turns playing 1-on-1 and rely on getting fouls called too often. They have no depth and are also exposed inside. While they have two of the best basketball players in the world on their team, they’re still no better than the Bulls, the Celtics, the Lakers, or the Spurs.

You’ve got to at least give the Blazers a chance. Like a wrote in a comment above, any team in the NBA can beat any other team on a given night. Why can’t the Blazers be that team tonight?

"Nicolas! You're the strongest boy in the world!"

by ericking on Mar 8, 2011 11:53 AM PST up reply actions  

Dave said if you contribute to the BE night, he will re-write his game preview.

Well actually he said :

If somebody (or a collection of somebodies) finishes the deal before 3:00 today I’ll even fulfill you guys’ wildest dreams and write a new preview saying how the Blazers are going to crush the now-pathetic and slated-for-doom Heat. Seriously.

so CONTRIBUTE!!! I want to see a different sort of preview!!!

by Natsthecat on Mar 8, 2011 1:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Remember

We came very close to beating them here a couple months ago. We were in front most of the game, Andre had two winning shots inside the paint that would not drop – sending the game into overtime when LBJ went off on Nic and we folded. We really should have beat them here.
I say GW has his best game, and it’s closer than you think, with a win not out of the question.

by Iluvdisteam on Mar 8, 2011 9:19 AM PST reply actions  

This made me laugh so hard I spit coffee all over my screen.... :)

“They may be better at holding the ocean back than any ocean-back-holders that ever existed….” Amazing

"Experience is that marvelous thing that enables us to recognize a mistake when we make it again" ~ Dupree

by Conraddon on Mar 8, 2011 9:22 AM PST reply actions  

Who wants it more?

The Blazers or The Heat? Tough call. I predict a battle.

by jiminut on Mar 8, 2011 9:25 AM PST reply actions  

This is a game an elite team would find hard to win tonight

Miami has been tumbling lately but they’ve had time to rest and re-focus. Blazers are coming off a back-to-back that was made worse than it should have been by missed wide open 3s.

If the Blazers somehow pull this off tonight it will say much about our team. If they don’t there’s no reason to hold it against them.

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 9:28 AM PST reply actions  

One of two things is going to happen tonight. Either the Blazers will play somewhat passively on defense and the Heat will torch them or the Blazers will play aggressively and physically and the referees will whistle approximately 1000 fouls on them.

Or three, the Blazers will play the Heat tough, hang in there for 3-1/2 quarters and watch Miami implode down the stretch

I think I’ll take door #3, Monty. The one Carol Merrill is standing next to

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Mar 8, 2011 9:36 AM PST reply actions   2 recs

That's what we did last time...

Except we were the team that imploded.

by anupam on Mar 8, 2011 10:03 AM PST up reply actions  

And LBJ had 17 in the fourth and overtime.

by Oden Mad, Oden Smash! on Mar 8, 2011 2:18 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

boom goes the dynamite

I like door #3

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Mar 8, 2011 7:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Blazers will crush!

This team is high on drugs—a drug called THE PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS. Lebron’s future children will weep over a picture of his melted, chalk-covered body.

I only take my petz to Bunfeeld Pet Oz-pitzal!

by torridjoe on Mar 8, 2011 10:00 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

Really interesting preview

I’d tend to agree. Lebron has been crushing us for years. Dave is spot-on when he says these guys aren’t afraid of the Blazers. Over the season, it seems like the Heat tighten up and run lousy plays in the last couple minutes (I also think they’ve been statistically unlucky). This does NOT appear to be true against the Blazers – remember last game? The only impressive fourth-quarter effort I can remember this season from the Heat.

Second night of a back to back against a really good team who desperately needs a win. Were I a betting man I’d have the Heat big.

by samuelleejackson on Mar 8, 2011 10:11 AM PST reply actions  

And this is no shame.

When the schedule was drawn up, if you said we’d split on a back-to-back at Miami and Orlando, I’d have been happy. I don’t see any reason to change my reaction now.

by samuelleejackson on Mar 8, 2011 10:13 AM PST up reply actions  

who has more to lose?

There’s another way of looking at this. The Blazers have nothing to lose, and the Heat are in serious danger of falling apart in the last quarter of their season. All the pressure falls on the Heat.

It’s true, almost every player on the Blazers seems to brighten up at the prospect of beating an elite team. Even during the worst slump of this season, they nearly beat the Celtics in the Garden.

If the Blazers get torched, they get to shrug their shoulders and still coast to a two and two road trip (assuming they beat a D-League team in Charlotte).

by acorn on Mar 8, 2011 10:12 AM PST reply actions  

Hmm
almost every player on the Blazers seems to brighten up at the prospect of beating an elite team

And yet, when I look at season results, I see exactly two wins over elite teams for the Blazers (Spurs and Bulls, both at home), with two more arguable elite wins over the Magic (one at home, one with Howard out). Perhaps simply ‘brightening up’ is insufficient to generate wins.

by samuelleejackson on Mar 8, 2011 10:18 AM PST up reply actions  

We saved a lot of our "elite team" games for the final stretch

It’s easier to keep track of the tough games when you cram them all into the last quarter of the season.

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 10:24 AM PST up reply actions  

elite teams

Plus we were getting bored beating the Lakers time after time at the Rose Garden.

by LanceS on Mar 8, 2011 1:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Come on, Dave!

Hoping for a win in the face of overwhelming odds is the heart of being a Blazer fan. It’s what keeps us watching. Even the ESPN AccuScore gives us a 22% chance! That’s like a…. 22% chance or something!

by Ryan_PDX on Mar 8, 2011 10:39 AM PST reply actions  

What does that even mean? a 22% chance?

I mean, I get that out of the 10000 simulations or whatever it is that they do, Portland wins 22% of the time. But what does it mean to go into this game with a 22% chance?

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 11:15 AM PST up reply actions  

So how is a 22% chance different from a 40% chance if it's that dicotomous?

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 11:30 AM PST up reply actions  

A 40% chance is almost twice as likely to happen.

I don’t understand your question… Unless you’re trying to get deeply philosophical or something…

by Gay4Roy on Mar 9, 2011 4:51 PM PST up reply actions  

It means we've got a chance!

Better than buying a lottery ticket?

I’m just saying, I don’t think it’s as bad as Dave makes it out to be. Yeah, they are likely a better team. But this is why they play the games. Anyone can beat anyone else on any given night.

And tonight the Blazers hand it to the Heat (22% of the time, haha)

by Ryan_PDX on Mar 8, 2011 11:32 AM PST up reply actions  

Does anyone else think Dave is just sitting back laughing at all this?

"Jumper-free throw-free throw-alley oop-jumper-post move-oh please stop hurting us LaMarcus!" -Dave 2/14/11

by Kroes32 on Mar 8, 2011 10:41 AM PST reply actions  

This is hilarious

Really liked the matchup fallacy. Well, we’re better at PF and PG so…… Yeah, doesn’t work like that. Still, its not crazy to think we could shoot the lights out, I just doubt it.

by morg on Mar 8, 2011 10:43 AM PST reply actions  

We hang with them for four quarters and watch them slowly collapse like a flan in a cupboard

They have proved four times now they cannot finish games. Let’s make em have to do it again.

Though I expect that if we are physical and play tough defense we will get a Flagrant for breathing on Bosh, a technical for looking at Wade, and an ejection for bodying up LeBron.

Blazers fan since '91

REST IN PEACE MAURICE LUCAS 1952-2010 R.I.P #20

"We're family because of this stupid, stinkin' team." - Dave

by rise_stand_resist on Mar 8, 2011 10:48 AM PST reply actions  

Hey, want to give the Blazers a better chance tonight

via irrepressible karma? Read this and respond:

http://www.blazersedge.com/2011/3/8/2037901/blazersedge-night-last-call-effort-please-read

If somebody (or a collection of somebodies) finishes the deal before 3:00 today I’ll even fulfill you guys’ wildest dreams and write a new preview saying how the Blazers are going to crush the now-pathetic and slated-for-doom Heat. Seriously.

—Dave

by Dave on Mar 8, 2011 10:52 AM PST reply actions  

That would be epic

A Timberwolves style preview FTW!!!

by poorwebguy on Mar 8, 2011 12:11 PM PST up reply actions  

it is funny when folks here attack ESPN columists for writing provocative pieces about the Blazers, arguing that they do that just to increase traffic to their site

And then, when Dave writes something provocative about the Blazers, everyone just takes the bait

Don’t y’all know Dave was just being facetious? Don’t y’all realize that Dave shares our confidence that the Blazers will beat the Heat? Don’t y’all know that, just like the rest of America, Dave is rooting for our team to humble the Heat?

Dave knows the ‘zers are gonna add to the Heat misery tonight. Doesn’t he?

Win the day!

by Blzr fan on Mar 8, 2011 11:36 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

Go Blazers!

I’m guessing a Blazers columnist is a fan like the rest of us and believes in his team. Solid reverse-jinx work Dave.

by jjones6 on Mar 8, 2011 1:36 PM PST up reply actions  

John Canzano

got his hands on Dave’s login info.

by sasquatchman on Mar 8, 2011 11:58 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

Honestly I think his preview was great....

Look how many posts are getting fired up because of what he said. That’s what the team needs, to get fired up and show that heart we know they have. I have no reason to get upset at Dave, his opinions are just that, his opinions and he has never wavered from saying that’s all he is giving on here. We all make mistakes and we all say things that we don;t agree on. When we play certain teams, I think crud it’s them tonight, great here comes a loss but then I also think, wow that would be great if we get a win. For me, that’s tonight. No big deal right, we all have felt that way about our team before. I respect Dave opinion as much as I respect all of your fellow Bedgers (well most). Go Blazers….play with heart!

Sometimes a player's greatest challenge is coming to grips with his role on the team.
-- Scottie Pippen

by BlazerRoddy on Mar 8, 2011 12:49 PM PST reply actions  

game

Oddsmakers put Miami at a 8-8.5 point favorite.

Personally, I think the Blazers actually have a slight edge in this game.

We’ll see.

by LanceS on Mar 8, 2011 1:00 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

“Blazers are coming off a back-to-back that was made worse than it should have been by missed wide open 3s.”

Now they have it out of their system. Expect Rudy, Patty, Nick, and Wesley to light it up.

by LanceS on Mar 8, 2011 1:03 PM PST reply actions  

the bottom line

Now that the blazers have depth, this is really going to be a classic test.

Which is better, a team of 3 superstars plus retirees and D-leaguers.

Or a team chock full of players with average NBA talent.

by LanceS on Mar 8, 2011 1:05 PM PST reply actions  

Dave forgets

one horse must win in a two horse race

The tensions are so high because the stakes are so low!

by tylercomp on Mar 8, 2011 1:08 PM PST reply actions  

But if one horse ran a race yesterday

And the other is rested and is also mad because the other horses are questioning it’s toughness despite being a superior beast, well, you just might wind up with a metaphor that gets dragged out for far too long.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Mar 8, 2011 1:31 PM PST up reply actions  

not if they collide

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Mar 8, 2011 2:47 PM PST up reply actions  

Anyone think we see a different starting line-up today?

I’m not sure when they post the starting line-ups but thought maybe we might see a change.

Sometimes a player's greatest challenge is coming to grips with his role on the team.
-- Scottie Pippen

by BlazerRoddy on Mar 8, 2011 1:27 PM PST reply actions  

I'd start Wallace

but that’s just me.

—Dave

by Dave on Mar 8, 2011 2:39 PM PST up reply actions  

That's the problem

I wish it could be in place of Matthews at this point. But Batum I suppose…at least for this game. I wouldn’t take long to go to the small lineup though if the starting one didn’t get a good jump. I think I’d try to blitz the Heat the way Orlando should have tried to blitz us last night. I’d keep getting fresh guys in there and run their butts off which means Camby time might be limited. The real issue, of course, is keeping the ball out of their hoop and getting rebounds.

—Dave

by Dave on Mar 8, 2011 4:22 PM PST up reply actions  

7 road wins in a row

let’s have a moratorium on starting lineup suggestions, shall we?

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Mar 8, 2011 7:05 PM PST up reply actions  

it's not just you dave!

nate has a great excuse too, he can say that he’s starting wallace to match up with lebron.

by SaveOden on Mar 8, 2011 3:01 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm was thinking that too Dave.

I would like to see him start in front of Camby because that way we have another slasher to the rim and he can rebound well. Andre is gonna be able to post up Chalmers/Bibby so having LMA posting up and also floating out that 18 footer, Wallace will be able to penetrate. Batum and Matthews can be outside threats, sounds like a good start for this game to me.

Sometimes a player's greatest challenge is coming to grips with his role on the team.
-- Scottie Pippen

by BlazerRoddy on Mar 8, 2011 3:23 PM PST up reply actions  

The NBA can't afford to let the Heat lose again.

Even if Portland gets a large lead in this game, let’s say up by 10+ in the 3rd or 4th, there will be enough complaining to sway the game via fouls. The Heat are going to win this unless Portland plays so far out of it’s mind that Lebron and friends won’t be able to milk the system hard enough to win under the radar.

by CoryBauer on Mar 8, 2011 3:13 PM PST reply actions  

Look for ear pieces on the refs and see if Stern gives a signal.....

Sometimes a player's greatest challenge is coming to grips with his role on the team.
-- Scottie Pippen

by BlazerRoddy on Mar 8, 2011 3:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Fact: the Heat will likely shoot a bunch of free throws

Reason: Lebron and Wade are two of the fastest, most athletic and skillful players in the league, and excel at drawing contact. They are almost impossible to officiate. In fact, Lebron and Wade rank 3rd and 6th, respectively, in total fouls drawn this year.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2011_stats.html

This is not about bias. Let’s not be bush league and complain.

by samuelleejackson on Mar 8, 2011 3:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey Dave...

BLAZERS WIN!! BLAZERS WIN!!

This is why you never sell them short.

The Blazers are the 'big brother' in this relationship

The little brother gets a new toy (all star) and the big brother has to go break it.

-----KFBR392

by JCLMA2k11 on Mar 8, 2011 6:57 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

He was absolutely serious.

He said as much earlier in this thread when saying
“The Blazers are doing well this year. But they’ve not shown any kind of indication of winning this kind of game”

by JeffePortland on Mar 8, 2011 10:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Mmmmm....crow

I recommend Sriracha sauce.

"My shoulder is OK. And away we go." -- Nic Batum
"wang-dang diddly wubba SPROING wow-wow" -- Dave

by DonkeyShins on Mar 8, 2011 7:51 PM PST reply actions   2 recs

Yea Dave,

in hindsight, this was an awful preview. But if you were going for reverse jinx, more power to you.

by premthegrem on Mar 8, 2011 9:16 PM PST reply actions  

I think Dave was just stringing us along

Even he knows that the Heat are struggling like chihuahuas pulling a dog sled. He wanted to see the response.

LET'S PLAY SOME DAMN DEFENSE!!!!!!!!!!

by Batum Shakalaka on Mar 8, 2011 10:53 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

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