BRI Reduction: What could it mean?

A really good analysis of how a BRI reduction would affect teams. Just a few notables from the article:

- A 50/50 split would reduce the cap $58 mill, to $50 mill and luxury tax line from $70 mill, to $61 mill.

- The Boston Celtics would be luxury tax payers despite having only 7 players under contract.

- The Lakers would be $31 mill over the luxury tax line

- The Blazers (who currently have the 3rd highest payroll, though they have 13 players under contract so that is skewed a bit) would be over the luxury tax line by $14 mill.

I believe we will see a lot of players cut with an amnesty clause. Especially since we are going to see a higher luxury tax penalty. If you do the math at a simple 2 to 1 luxury tax (not the steeper graduated tax as has been proposed by the owners) and apply that to Brandon's contract of about $15 mill next year, using the amnesty on Roy's contract could save the Blazers $43 mill next year (That is $43 mill savings for just ONE year). And then remember, Roy's salary increases season to season, so that tax could potentially get steeper each season. This greatly increases the chances that the Blazers will use the amnesty clause on Roy.

7 months ago JasonT 5 comments 0 recs |

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it reduces the contracts as well so everything will be the same

by Daddygr33nJeans on Oct 17, 2011 4:09 PM PDT reply actions

also what do you think the chances that the Blazers try to renegotiate Roy's contract

by Daddygr33nJeans on Oct 17, 2011 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions

Re-negotiations weren't possible under the previous CBA

We’ll have to wait and see what the rules are under the new one.

by Storyteller on Oct 17, 2011 5:22 PM PDT up reply actions

Actually, no

The owners wanted a rollback of existing contracts to better fit into a reduced cap, but the players said absolutely not, so the owners dropped it.

by Storyteller on Oct 17, 2011 5:21 PM PDT up reply actions

this seems like a flawed article

the author is simply trying to apply ratios of the new CBA to those of the old CBA

What I read in reports is that the owner’s proposal was going to have one threshold that would act as both the salary cap and the luxury tax threshold. Furthermore, that threshold/cap was going to be closer to the previous tax line then the previous cap

and you assumptions about the amnesty clause don’t match the owners’ reported proposal. Any player waived by an amnesty provision would have the total balance of his contract pro-rated over a time period twice that of the years left on his contract

in other words, If Roy was waived, the 66 million due on his contracts would be paid in approximately 8.25 million installments over an 8 year period

by moldorf on Oct 17, 2011 5:21 PM PDT reply actions