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Bayless and Rudy for ?

We now have a 7 day waiting period while the Jazz try to figure out if it's in their best interest to match our offer for Wesley Matthews or use the money for other means.  Just for fun, let's say they don't match (this FanPost is for pure speculation).

With Matthews on the team, I'd argue that Bayless and Rudy are completely expendable.  Rudy requires no explanation; he's gone.  Bayless, on the other hand, isn't going to be our PG of the future and he's too undersized to thrive at the 2.   I know he's our primary backup to Miller, but I'd rather start developing someone new as Miller won't be around forever.

Another issue is that, with Matthews, our roster is set at 14 players.  Personally, I would love to be able to sign both Armon Johnson and Patty Mills.  I see too much potential in both of them to let either go.  However, to be able to sign both, we'd have to make a trade.  We're definitely trading Rudy, but I think we could get a much better deal if we packaged Rudy and Bayless together.

So, my question is, if you could package Rudy and Bayless together for one other player, who would it be?  I'm leaning towards another 4 or another 1 (if it's a player that's more of a "pure PG").  What do you think?

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If both Bayless and Rudy are moved

I think you do it for an upgrade at point guard. If both of them are gone and Miller goes down (I know he’s hasn’t shown it, but it’s the Blazers) I don’t think I would trust Williams, Johnson, or Mills as a full time back up point guard, or as a committee. If both are traded it’s probably part of a bigger package.

by Blazas! on Jul 12, 2010 6:54 PM PDT reply actions  

I think this is a good point.

However, Miller won’t be around forever and I think we need to start developing another PG other than Bayless who can take over in 1-2 years. While Bayless is ahead of Johnson right now, I like Johnson’s potential at the position much more than Bayless’. I guess all in all I feel like Bayless is an awkward fit on the team and I don’t really see a place for him. Maybe I’m just being overly critical on him, though.

"Nicolas! You're the strongest boy in the world!"

by ericking on Jul 12, 2010 7:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

Even if Bayless is never the pure PG we want him to be that does not mean that we do not need him now. He is still a scorer, a threat when Roy is too heavily defended. Though he may not have the court vision and passing ability that we see as ideal, Roy does, and he is our play maker, he is someone that the entire city of Portland trusts with the ball. Do you think he’d give it up to someone in any particular scenario without believing that that player could carry it through to the end? IMO having Blake on your team and having Bayless on your team are the same as long as the ball is in Roy’s hands. Though Bayless’ shot will likely be worth one fewer point.

by JudgeDridge on Jul 12, 2010 9:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

right

I think the matthews signing signals that JBay is out if we can pull the trigger on a bigger deal. I am still banking that the blazers are looking at CP3 still. It just makes too much sense if the initial reporting of New Orleans nearly taking our first offer. Matthews frees up bayless to be included in the deal, that could be the sweetener we need. If Utah matches then that changes. Our two deep with no major trades and no matthews(I assume Rudy is gone one way or another):

Miller/Bayless
Roy/Williams
Batum/Cunningham
Aldridge/Camby
Oden/Pryzbilla

A lot of known flexibility there between Cunningham, Bayless and Camby.

Throw in Babbit, Johnson, mills, pendegraph and probably another big (Juwan would be nice to have on the bench if we do not get injured but he is not likely back).

Adding matthews really shifts that lineup around a bit

"Oh Yeah!" ~ Kool Aid Man

by PDXBuckeye on Jul 12, 2010 10:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

I say we call Ibekwe up.

THANK YOU KEVIN PRITCHARD

Blazers fan since '91

"We are the black void. We are the red steel. We are the white sword. With ball in hand shall we reap the sins of this NBA and cleanse it in the fires of destruction. We are the Trail Blazers. The end has come!"

by rise_stand_resist on Jul 12, 2010 7:01 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

There is nobody that matches their salary worth getting

Unless the trade includes Pryzbilla and maybe Andre its a bad trade

by Kaanyr Vhok on Jul 12, 2010 7:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, definitely true.

The only thing worth getting back would have to include trade picks, unless it was a young 4 on a rookie contract.

But again, Bayless is like Armon but we’ve put 2 years of development into him. He’s further along now. I think you have to give him at least another year.

You can measure skill and talent with your eyes, but productivity is shown through statistics.

by austinpwnz on Jul 12, 2010 7:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

as far as serviceable backup bayless>>mills or armon

though I want to believe that Patty could kick ass if he had the time. I like his style.

by botanyjames on Jul 12, 2010 7:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

But could he do it in our offense?

You can measure skill and talent with your eyes, but productivity is shown through statistics.

by austinpwnz on Jul 13, 2010 2:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm a Bayless fan

but he isn’t the guy we need. He would fit in much better somewhere else and his value is high.

"I been ridin' the midnight train, got ice water in my veins." -Bob Dylan
"Sasha? That's a sissy name." -Mike Rice

Darren Collison.

by koyote on Jul 13, 2010 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

don't do anything crazy like trade them to miami.

"I've hacked into your brain. You're throwing a party and no one's showing up."

by ignign*kt on Jul 12, 2010 7:23 PM PDT reply actions  

Places Bayless would fit

 I think Bayless would thrive in New York or Phoenix. I’m not sure that NY has anything we want/need but Phx might. I’d take Jared Dudley straight up for Bayless all day long. Although my blood is Blazer Red, all the Sun’s games are on TV down here and Dudley is my fav Sun. He hustles and makes things happen, plays GREAT D and can hit the 3.

by PHXBlazerFan on Jul 12, 2010 8:21 PM PDT reply actions  

Aren't the Suns set at PG with Nash/Dragic?

And Dudley seems to be a pretty important piece.

by ninjasocks on Jul 12, 2010 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

BAYLESS IS NOT A PG

that is fundamentally why he does not really fit here…he is a natural 2 and he should play that position.

Playing guys out of position because they are good but we are staffed at that position (Roy) is not the best way to use and develop talent.

When your roster hits its peak performance is when you have your starters playing at their natural position. Bayless is not and will never be a natural PG. He has the mentality, handle and vision of a 2 ingrained in him since he was a 6th grader. breaking him of those traits is a waste of the talent he used to get into the NBA, let him play to it. that can not happen fulltime as a blazer. That being the case this is not a great fit for him.

"Oh Yeah!" ~ Kool Aid Man

by PDXBuckeye on Jul 12, 2010 10:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless is a SG that defends 1s. Roy is a PG that defends 2s.

If they ever get to play together, they’ll fit very well IMO.

by chemistrymajor on Jul 13, 2010 12:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

And this from a chemistry major

So you’d better listen, because he knows about stuff fitting together well. :-)

by ictoagsn on Jul 13, 2010 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions  

Roy isn't a PG

He’s a 2, that can play the point when he needs to.

"I been ridin' the midnight train, got ice water in my veins." -Bob Dylan
"Sasha? That's a sissy name." -Mike Rice

Darren Collison.

by koyote on Jul 13, 2010 10:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, he's a combo guard.

Combo guards can work at the 1, though, if they can defend the 1.

As has been said, Roy takes a lot of the playmaking duties anyway. And Bayless is definitely improving, including in Ast%. Not to mention, it is possible to ‘learn’ at least some PG skills. Go read Timbo’s bio of Andre Miller from about a year ago.

You can measure skill and talent with your eyes, but productivity is shown through statistics.

by austinpwnz on Jul 13, 2010 2:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Roy's playmaking is either

getting a shot for himself, a spot up 3 guy or LMA on the pick and pop.

If he were a point guard he would be better at getting the ball down to the low post. Neither Roy nor Bayless has shown either the desire (Roy) nor the propensity (Bayless) to do so. Roy even complained when nate was trying to get the team to get the ball to the post more “why do we need to change what worked last year” I think was the quote from Roy last November.

If we are going to have an Asset like Oden on the floor, then we need somebody that can run the floor and get the ball down low. Neither Bayless nor Roy bring that, bottom line. Which is fine for Roy as he is our 2 guard, it sucks when your PG can’t do it.

"Oh Yeah!" ~ Kool Aid Man

by PDXBuckeye on Jul 13, 2010 10:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well said

I think I could count the number of times Roy threw an effective entry pass or hit the roll man on a P&R last season on one hand. It’s one thing to be able to find guys off of drives when the defense is collapsing (which Brandon does extremely well) and a completely different thing to generate shots effectively for others within the offense or find and hit an open man when the defense isn’t scrambling to react to you, and Roy is simply not good at the latter two.

Brandon himself alluded to this when interviewed in training camp last year about Andre, mentioning how Andre saw and made passes that Brandon didn’t see or would never throw. It’s those plays that get easy buckets for Greg/LA/Nic and allow you to run an offense without wearing your playmaker into the ground, and Brandon simply hasn’t shown much of an ability to make them.

#52

by Royster on Jul 14, 2010 8:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

When I watch Bayless play he seems to play better at the 1

Outside of the San Antonio game where Roy was injured and much of the playoffs Bayless is more comfortable at the 1.

by Kaanyr Vhok on Jul 13, 2010 9:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

Rudy will go, Bayless stays.

Just because Bayless has been here two years doesn’t mean his potential has been realized. He is 21 years old . . . less than a year older than Willaims and Johnson (also 21yo), and virtually the same age as Mills. He has has shown significant improvement and his ceiling remains unknown. You cannot give up on him in favor of any player (not named John Wall) who has yet to play a meaningful minute in the NBA. Like it or not, Bayless is Portland’s point guard of the future until someone outperforms him on the basketball court. He’s not going anywhere unless a superstar point guard talent comes back in return. I will not be surprised if he is starting ahead of, or instead of, Miller by the end of 2010-11 . . . because the price for Chis Paul is too high. (try Oden, Batum and Bayless).

by chemistrymajor on Jul 12, 2010 8:21 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Beasley/Sessions for 'Dre/Rudy?

Depends on how you value ’Dre but it might make sense for both squads. (I think Sessions/B-Easy might make more sense for New Orleans than ’Dre/Rudy in a CP3 deal.)

Watch a fight for everyone! @

www.soulhonky.com

by SoulHonky on Jul 13, 2010 12:19 AM PDT reply actions  

NO has West and Collison.

They need shooters on the wing and a center that can play with Okafor or West at the 4.

by chemistrymajor on Jul 13, 2010 12:26 AM PDT reply actions  

They love Collison and Thornton down there.

Not sure how interested they’d be in either Rudy or Bayless. I do think that they have to deal West (since he can opt out and will likely hightail it out of N’Awlins) but it would probably take more than Rudy/Bayless to make that happen.

Watch a fight for everyone! @

www.soulhonky.com

by SoulHonky on Jul 13, 2010 12:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless and Rudy will net you a very good player

I think Bayless played his value higher because of his consistent play during this past seasons playoffs. I think Rudy doesn’t want to play here any more cause that’s not what he wants to do. He wants to be a star and he will always be living Roy’s shadow being here. I think we should try for CP3. Dre, bayless, rudy and prysbilla would be a very good trade for the blazers. Maybe even trading away one of the players they have stashed in Europe. I think they need to do something soon.

by HeavyF on Jul 13, 2010 1:49 AM PDT reply actions  

Big Trades Not Likely

I don’t happen to believe that Chris Paul is currently on the table. New Orleans played around with it, but then walked away, and there’s no reason to believe that they’re going back there at this time. As far as Bayless and Rudy netting a very good player, it’s irrelevant unless that player is better at a targetted position than what we have. I don’t buy the Hinrich, Sessions options as being what some think, and neither, apparently, does the rest of the league. Neither Dre nor Pryz are good trade bait right now as well. Dre, because he’s simply a filler for a few years for any team – including Portland, and Pryz because no one will give up much for him until he plays and shows that the injury hasn’t affected his game. Right now, both are valuable primarily because of their contracts. In any case, most conversations at the PG slot “assume” that one of two players – Harris or Paul are actually in play. And, right now, that doesn’t seem very likely. Other than that, my take is that we wait – play the team we have, and then, try again prior to the trade deadline. Paul might come back to the table at that time if the NO ownership issue clears up, and if Paul starts making more noise because he doesn’t think NO will ever be in a position to be a contender. The best thing to happen to Portland could well be NO getting thru 1/2 the season and showing that they don’t really have the horses. At that point, they might look at rebuilding.

Portland has some pieces – but in the end, only a couple of teams have the PG’s we would really like – and incremental upgrades won’t help much.

by Eben Calder on Jul 13, 2010 5:54 AM PDT reply actions  

no one.

Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. - 'The Sports Guy' Bill Simmons

by doublezeroduck on Jul 13, 2010 6:14 AM PDT reply actions  

Consolidation trade...

If we’re talking about a consolidation trade, where Portland sends out JUST Rudy and JBay to bring back ONLY ONE player, there isn’t a ton that meets the criteria. Here’s a list… One thing I have ruled out are deals that work salary-wise, but there’s no way the other team does it (like Steph Curry, Russell Westbrook, any trade with Utah since they now hate us). I also am assuming that this deal is because Matthews is coming to Portland, so we don’t really want a SG back.

Cleveland – Daniel Gibson, Delonte West
Dallas – Edjuardo Najera
Denver – Chris Anderson
Golden State – Brandan Wright
Minnesota – Corey Brewer, Johnny Flynn, Ramon Sessions
New Jersey – Kris Humphries
New Orleans – Chris Pa… I mean, Julian Wright
New York – Danilo Gallinari
Oklahoma City – Jeff Green
Orlando – Brandon Bass, Mickael Pietrus if you include Pendergraph
Philadelphia – Thaddeus Young
Phoenix – Grant Hill (Dudley doesn’t work)
Sacramento – Carl Landry
Washington – Andray Blatche, Al Thornton

So right off the top, I don’t think C.Anderson, C.Brewer, Sessions, Humphries, Gallinari, J. Green, Pietrus, T. Young, Hill, Landry, or Thornton could be had for these two. And I don’t think we would want West, Najera, B.Wright or Blatche. So we’re looking at Daniel Gibson, Johnny Flynn, Julian Wright, Danilo Gallinari or Brandon Bass. Gallinari is probably worth more, but NY seems to really like Rudy and yes, I think Bayless would do well there. Still, I’m not sold that is realistic, and then there would be the “who starts” debate between he and Nic.

Out of those, I like Daniel Gibson and Brandon Bass. Gibson can’t run an offense, but could rain threes if Brandon handles the ball in the half court. Or if he is in the second unit with a better ball handler. Not great, but… Bass is tough and rebounds well. Doesn’t do much else. Off the bench, he could fit next to Camby or Aldridge if one of them is at the 5, but doesn’t work
next to Greg or Joel, so his usefulness is limited.

All in all, I think the value of these two is clearly best when matched with at least one expiring contract. Portland should still take back less players than they send out, but these two together doesn’t net us anything worth doing IMO.

by Rodney Gustafson on Jul 13, 2010 10:05 AM PDT reply actions  

Nice analysis

Which brings to light how unlikely it is that Bayless & Rudy (by themselves) will be traded for another player. I think the most likely scenario is trading Rudy for a draft pick (either Knicks or Bulls). It’s not sexy, but it’s the easiest path to making the roster fit together.

by zbrum on Jul 13, 2010 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pietrus

I’d take serious consideration to sign him next offseason if we lose Matthews/Rudy in trade scenarios.

Silent Swagger.

by 420Phenom on Jul 13, 2010 2:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wow

I see zero potential in Patty Mills. He’s a somewhat faster, much worse shooting, worse defensively, less experienced, and older version of Bayless.

I really don’t see any reason (other than $$$) to keep Mills over Bayless.

M, period. Fresh, comma.

by manzell on Jul 13, 2010 10:26 AM PDT reply actions  

Mills is a much better shooter then Jerryd, a much better passer too.

Speaking of experience Patty has experience playing against the best & succeeding against them too.

Silent Swagger.

by 420Phenom on Jul 13, 2010 2:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

Stop shopping Bayless

I know this site is full of folks that live and die by the stat lines but Bayless has quite a bit of talent that will never show up in the newspaper statistics.

Bayless is a winner. A fiery winner. Just look into his eyes, you see someone you never want to line up against on a basketball court.

If you want to package someone up with Rudy, package Miller. Get his old-as-dirt, can’t-make-a-jump-shot, no-off-season-training butt outta here. I hear there is a team in Florida that will want them both.

Start Bayless. Yeah, there will probably be a few early season hiccups but starting Bayless will eventually pay off in spades and letting Mills be his back-up will pay off in almost the exact same manner- except with more 3 pointers.

we can still win........

by RastaMonsta on Jul 13, 2010 12:50 PM PDT reply actions  

I agree . . .

I’d give Bayless the keys. If he can’t do the job, we have Williams, Johnson and Mills waiting for their chance and expiring contracts (Prysbilla and/or Miller) that will only increase in value as the trade deadline approaches. I’d take a #1 pick for Rudy.

by chemistrymajor on Jul 13, 2010 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't understand why Bayless or Rudy are obvious trade bait

Rudy, while playing a position that already has a starter and not thinking to kindly to playing reserve minutes, is still a very good value in terms of talent vs cost. I haven’t seen many SGs i’d rather see come off the bench instead of him, so I don’t see why the rush to trade the guy unless someone offers fair trade in return which isn’t likely. His time in Portland is almost certainly numbered, but there’s no reason not to get everything we can out of him on the court before he moves on…. unless we get an offer that makes it worthwhile, but I really don’t see that happening. Both Rudy and Bayless are players that one team or another might ask for in a trade to sweeten the pot, but by themselves you’re not going to get much for them simply because they still haven’t reached their potential and both are playing on pretty small contracts at the moment.

I think Bayless fits this team just fine if he improves defensively. He doesn’t have to be a starter to be a “fit”, and right now he’s probably the best playmaker we have coming off the bench, who’s going to replace that?

by Bryan72076 on Jul 13, 2010 3:04 PM PDT reply actions  

I am a huge rudy fan

but he is not going to perform if he remains here, he demonstrated that after Bayless got Roy’s starts instead of him. He was out of it the rest of the season.

"Oh Yeah!" ~ Kool Aid Man

by PDXBuckeye on Jul 13, 2010 10:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

Would the real Jerryd Bayless please stand up?

Some people think Bayless has to improve his shooting.
Some people think Bayless has to improve his defense.
Some people think Bayless has to improve his passing.
Some people think Bayless has to improve his decision making.

Some people think Bayless is a PG.
Some people think Bayless is a SG.
Some people think Bayless is a combo guard.

Are we all watching the same guy?

by BlazerFanSince1970 on Jul 13, 2010 4:09 PM PDT reply actions  

good question

I watch him and see a 2 guard, almost every assist comes off of a drive and is always back to wing players. That is the MO for a 2 guard. A PG gets his assists through a variety of avenues, low post pass, to the oop, to the wing passing, the the pick n roll.

Almost all of Baylesses come of that drive and pitch..

"Oh Yeah!" ~ Kool Aid Man

by PDXBuckeye on Jul 13, 2010 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

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