FanPost

Has Brandon Roy's Career Plateaued?

That doesn't seem like a very popular question around Portland. But, what do you think? Is he what he is, or will he hit another level?

Of course, there are a lot of ways this could be measured-- Number of clutch shots, regular stats, and combined stats (like the PER).

To me, it never felt like he was as on this season as he was the two years prior.

Over the past 4 years, his 3 primary stat averages looked like this:

06-07 -- Games Played 57 -- PPG 16.8 -- APG 4.0 -- RPG 4.4

07-08 -- Games Played 74 -- PPG 19.1 -- APG 5.8 -- RPG 4.7

08-09 -- Games Played 78 -- PPG 22.6 -- APG 5.1 -- RPG 4.7

09-10 -- Games Played 65 -- PPG 21.5 -- APG 4.7 -- RPG 4.4

(Note- His PPG was good enough for 12th in the league)

His stats went down in every major category from last season.

He's about to be entering his big contract. If he averages 22, 5, and 4.7 over the next 5 seasons, would that be enough to justify his big contract? How high should our expectations be?

Staying healthy for a full season would also be huge. He's missing an average of 13.5 games per season, and this season it came at the worst time possible. Did it cost us the 1st round of the playoffs? Maybe. A healthy Roy throughout that series would have undoubtedly made a difference. At least Bayless got to benefit from the experience; adding to the team's depth and/or his trade value.

What do we as fans expect to see from Roy in the next 1 to 5 seasons? 

Kobe made a 6 PPG leap going into his 5th year. Will Brandon ever have a jump like that? Will he ever have a 28 PPG season, or is he just not that kind of player?

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