Today's Poll: March Record
by Ben Golliver on Mar 1, 2010 8:30 AM PST
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PrintWell, I failed pretty hard this year in remembering to do these monthly prediction polls. The last one was in December. Yes, December. Before Greg Oden, Joel Przybilla and Brandon Roy all missed extended stretches and before, even, the unforgettable 2010 Shavlik Randolph Reunion Tour. My bad.
December wasn't as bad as it probably should have been (9-6), January was brutal (7-8) and February was slightly better (7-6). March, as it often does, promises new hope. The Blazers will play just 13 games in 31 days. Here's the full breakdown (bold home)...
@Grizzlies, Pacers, @Nuggets, Kings, @Warriors, @Kings, Raptors, Wizards, @Suns, Mavericks, @Hornets, @Thunder, Knicks
Here's a calendar version and the current playoff standings for your reference.
Enough talk. Time to vote. List your vote in the comments, discuss any and all predictions for the month and feel free to pose any questions you might have about the upcoming schedule or opponents.
-- Ben Golliver | benjamin.golliver@gmail.com | Twitter
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Master Plan
We clone Batum and Roy, then both versions will play 48 Minutes a game with LMA and Oden rotating at the 5. We will be 98 – 0 every year
the best part is
the clones will get paid the league minimum, and be happy about it
Awesomeness (ô'səm-nes)
1. n. Something that inspires awe
2. n. Nicolas Batum
by thomasikehara on Mar 1, 2010 4:51 PM PST up reply actions
9-4
Given the competition and relative stroll the schedule takes through the month. Have to have a winning record this month though, because April has some really tough games in it.
"I was surprised, I was listening to the coach on the bench and behind me, she touches me and says, ‘Rudy, I love you. Nice to meet you. Good game.’ - Rudy
by The Mallorcan Rocket on Mar 1, 2010 8:36 AM PST via mobile reply actions
I think we are going to have a great month.
Optimistically speaking we’ve had some big leads the last couple of months and that shows that we are really capable of dominating teams. Of course on the other hand we’ve blown some of those big leads in spectacular fashion…
Given how many big leads we’ve blown in the second half of games this year is there anybody out there that can link popcornmachine.net’s game flow data to see every team’s average lead during games versus the actual end-result scoring margin and use that to see which teams have bigger average leads during games versus scoring margin. Maybe that’ll give us a clue as to how much we are or aren’t blowing dominant leads in games compared to other teams.
Also potential
for a 5 game win streak when we play Kings, Warriors, Kings, Raptors, Wizards. Go Blazers!
8 wins
5 of 6 home games, and 3 of 7 away games. 43-32 at the end of the month, with 7 games left.
I hope for better, I think we could do as well as 10 wins with some lucky breaks, but I’m not counting on good luck any more this season.
The Dallas game will be interesting. It’s the 3rd in four nights and 4th in 6 for them, while we have three days off. They’ll be really wanting to take us down to send a message, in case they face us in the playoffs, after we swept both games in Dallas. Toronto is the only other home game we should be in any danger of losing, and we should be able to handle them. They play the night before at Golden State.
I rate the Dallas game as about 50-50, give Toronto about a 25% chance of beating us, and give the others 10% or less, which basically works out to 5 wins, on probabilities, but I rate 6 wins as more likely than 4.
If we can bury New Orleans before we play there, that would improve our chances of a win there. No one who predicts four road wins out of that schedule is being wildly optimistic, I’d figure every game but the Denver one we’ve got at least a 25% chance of winning.
We should march through the Pacers, Kings, Warriors, Kings, Wizards, and Knicks to pick up six wins as a starting point on the month, but odds are very high we drop one of those games, perhaps at Sacramento or Golden State, and I wouldn’t put it past this team to lose two of those and then make it up with a high quality road win against a playoff team. That’s just the way this season has been.
Give Blake the MLE in 2010!
Farewell to #2 and #25, good luck to you!
#10 #52 -- #5 #7 & #88 are back!
Depends
If we play like we’ve been playing, probably only 7 or 8. Optimistically, we could probably pick up 10.
i would say 8-9 wins max.
If we play 500 ball in March we wont be playing in may
by Trade4Bosh on Mar 1, 2010 12:27 PM PST via mobile reply actions
I really wanted to say 10.
But picked 9.
Clarence, It's better to have a gun and not need it, then need a gun and not have it.
Predictions
@Grizzlies (W) – The Grizz are playing weakly nowadays… a hot blazer team can wreck them.
Pacers (W) – Pacers at home. Easy call.
@Nuggets (L) We’re playing well, but not enough to take down the Nuggets. Sorry.
Kings (W) Kings at home, should be a no brainer.
@Warriors (W) Camby and LMA dwarf the Warriors. Rebounds.
@Kings (W) The Kings are about .500 at home. Contain Evans and its ours.
Raptors (W) Assuming they still have no Bosh. Home court advantage is nice though, could push us through even with Bosh on the court.
Wizards (W) Home against the team who lost their 4 best players, then lost their next best to injury.
@Suns (L) The Suns still have Amare, and it’s serving them well. We won’t win another in Phoenix
Mavericks (W) We match up well. Batum needs to do his work again.
@Hornets (L) Chris Paul is back, and probably fully reintegrated. Watch out.
@Thunder (W) They’re not the best Home team, lets face it. We match up well. If we contain Durant then its a piece of cake. Big “If” though. Could go either way.
Knicks (W) Playing badly as of late. I think they realized they’re not a playoff team.
Result: Best Case Scenario is we have 10 Wins. 11 if we find a way to stop Durant.
I'm gonna be the only A-hole that owns a Nic Batum jersey that doesn't live in France. Awesome.
This team is not worse than the same time last year
And the schedule is really advantageous, unlike the last two months. And the team is coming together a little. I went for it and said 11-plus.
Seperating it into should win, 50-50, and loses I have 8
Wins: Pacers, Kings, @Warriors, Raptors, Wizards, Knicks
50-50: @Grizzlies, @Kings, @Hornets, @Thunder
Loses: @Nugets, @Suns, Mavericks
If they split the 50-50s that’s 8. They’ll probably lose a win and win a loss, but they still average out so I see 8 or 9.
"Maybe we can't stroll to the music of the lute. We must march to the sound of drums." -Captain Kirk
10-3
OK, I’m being wildly optimistic and I’m cheating because they already beat the Grizz, but the only games where the other teams will be favored are @Nuggs, @Suns, @Thunder.
When we traded for Camby and Roy came back, I remembered something that Mychal Thompson said back when he had his radio show here… he said it takes about two weeks for a new player to get integrated into a new team.
Not only did we have to get Camby into the mix, but we also had to deal with the fact that Roy and Miller had not yet really figured out how to play together. After this road trip (4-1 with the only blemish being a tough loss in OT to Chicago) and the emergence of Batum, it’s safe to say we’re getting past the Jekyll and Hyde stage with this team.
So… I think we’re ready to make a nice run here in March. 10-3, book it.
2010-11 dream lineup: Oden/LMA/Batum/Roy/Dre; Okafor/Freeland/Cunningham/Webster/JB/Pendy/Mills.
by The Cactus Leaguer on Mar 1, 2010 9:03 PM PST reply actions
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