ESPN Fantasy Basketball Predictions for the Blazers

Very detailed. Nothing too controversial, but still interesting. A few thoughts:

I think the player with the best chance to exceed their projections is Oden.

I found their minute projections especially interesting, with Miller playing 32 minutes per game and Blake playing 20 (with the games played projection, it works out to just barely more than the 48 minutes at PG). They split the SF minutes fairly evenly and kept Rudy's minutes unchanged.

I'm ready for training camp to start!

over 2 years ago PoliSam 7 comments 1 recs |

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thanks

very interesting read on the players

by DephlatorMouse on Sep 26, 2009 8:05 AM PDT reply actions

no problem

Random fact:

If you put their projections together… and do not give any points to Howard, Cunningham, or anyone else, the espn projection has the Blazers scoring 100 points per game (note: to get that number you need to multiple their points per game projection by the percentage of games played). 100 ppg is about what the Blazers scored last year, so they may have been using that as an upper bound in calculating their individual projections. Alternatively, this would indicate that the Blazers would score a few more points per game, if Howard, Cunningham, or anyone else scores even a few points per game.

I’d like to compare these projections to Kevin Pelton’s…

by PoliSam on Sep 26, 2009 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions

Since not every player plays every game,

Adding the points per game stats of the players will not actually get the total points scored by the team.

If you ever hear of someone punching out a girl scout and stealing her Samoas, it was me
- Mortimer

by Clevelander among roses on Sep 26, 2009 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions

(note: to get that number you need to multiple their points per game projection by the percentage of games played)

by PoliSam on Sep 26, 2009 9:46 PM PDT up reply actions

Checkmate

Didn’t absorb that, obviously.

If you ever hear of someone punching out a girl scout and stealing her Samoas, it was me
- Mortimer

by Clevelander among roses on Sep 27, 2009 2:27 AM PDT up reply actions

I don't see Roy's FG% dropping from 48 to 47 with Miller on board

If anything, Andre will make it easier for everyone to improve their shooting percentage

Miller playing 30+ minutes at PG is something I’ve also anticipated. I expect Andre will play in all close/late game situations, his BBIQ is too valuable to leave on the bench

If Outlaw gets only 20 mpg he’s going to (quietly) ask to be traded. This year is too important for him to have to take a step “back” on his PT or shot attempts

I also think Webster will play more than 51 games and average more than 17 mpg, which (along with Miller and Blake’s projected PT) is going to reduce Rudy’s “3pt” role

Bayless will be less of a factor than they’re projecting, unless Blake gets hurt or traded

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Sep 26, 2009 2:55 PM PDT reply actions

Depends on if Roy can continue to drive and get so many shots near the basket

If he develops more into a mid-range and outside shooter to accomodate for Miller, it’s not unreasonable that his high percentages would drop a little.

"I think he can still play" - Kevin Pritchard on Juwan Howard

by Norsktroll on Sep 28, 2009 7:03 AM PDT up reply actions