BE + KP2 Podcast Episode 4
Basketball Prospectus's Kevin Pelton and I are back after a one-week hiatus with episode 4 of our newly-christened basketball podcast. Slightly shorter episode this week but we crunched a bunch of content into 46 minutes.
Click through for an episode preview and iTunes download instructions.
This week's episode has a short intro and 3 full segments.
Intro:
The official naming of the podcast.
Briefly reminiscing about collecting basketball cards.
Segment 1:
LaMarcus Aldridge: where does he stand, what's next and is there a better, younger 4 in the NBA?
The evolution of the Power Forward position: has any position changed more over the last decade than the 4?
When and why do 7 foot 4s fall in love with their jumpers?
How does Blake Griffin fit in? A hybrid between throwback and modern 4s? What about Rashard Lewis? Paul Millsap? David Lee?
How Steve Novak helped me win an argument over KP2.
Segment 2:
Inflated scorekeeping: a threat to the sanctity of basketball?
Kevin's experiences keeping score over the years.
Discussing the over-reliance on box scores: How "Groupthink" develops in the post-game locker room hallways and makes its way into game recaps.
Could more advanced box scores be helpful? What would they include?
Segment 3:
A number-crunching post preview: What is the relationship between roster retention and winning percentage? Does winning cause roster retention or does roster retention cause winning?
A look back at 40 years of Blazers rosters: when was there the most turnover? The least? Which 4 Blazers played together the longest? Which 2 players played together the longest?
What makes the last 6 years of Blazers history so remarkable from a winning percentage standpoint? Why is this good news for Kevin Pritchard?
Musical Interludes:
Ahmad - Back in the Day (remix)
Boom Tho - Internet Dominance [first heard over at the ridiculously awesome Ridiculous Upside]
AZ - I'm Back
-------------
Right click and save as to Download BE and KP2 Podcast Episode 004.
The mp3 is 42 megabytes.
Remember there are some mildly pg-13 musical interludes.
-------------
Thanks to prezofdeath we have these easy iTunes setup instructions (takes less than 60 seconds).
- Open Itunes. Select "Advanced" in the menu at the top.
- Click "Subscribe to Podcast..."
- Enter the following code into the box that opens up: http://feeds.fe
edburner.com/th edontoniowingca st - All of our past episodes should load in your podcasts folder. You can then download any/all of the episodes that you would like. Future episodes should then load automatically.
Note: You may need to close/open Itunes for the episodes to appear and the downloads to start. Make sure you're running the latest version of Itunes. If you are having any difficulty, just download using the link posted above. More advanced iTunes functionality coming shortly.
-- Ben (benjamin.golliver@gmail.com)
16 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Great work getting up to speed with the iTunes Ben
I usually find my podcasts by searching for them under a “Power Search” in the iTunes Store. Yours didn’t show up that way for some reason, but the method you describe here worked great.
I’ll be listening to your podcasts shortly.
there’s an approval process that we are in the middle of before the power search thing works. prez is on it. hopefully it will be ready in a few weeks. all praise due to prez.
by Ben Golliver on Aug 28, 2009 10:57 AM PDT up reply actions
Transcription excerpts forthcoming
Work is slow today. I’ll probably just do b-ball related discussions.
I'm thinking
you’re not a baseball fan?
When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!
I love to go to games and I check the scores
In all sports, I hardly ever read anything but the final score and the write up.
Podcast transcript Part I
Because I’m bored.
Intro:
The official naming of the podcast.
BEN: Welcome back to another episode, Episode 4 of the brand newly named "The Dontonio Wingcast" starring myself, Bed from BlazersEdge and Kevin "Super Cool" Pelton. We talked about how we were struggling to name the Podcast and we said that our favorite name was "The Dontonio Wingcast" named after former Blazer and Sonic Dontonio Wingfield. The problem that we had was he ran into some character concerns. I guess he has assaulted some police officers at some point, maybe served a little jail time. I’m not entirely sure on the details. But then in the interim you actually did some research and found out that he has rehabilitated his image, isn’t that right?
KP: Yeah, the most recent story seemed to indicate that he’s coaching some youth basketball teams and trying to help young prospects from his hometown in Georgia from following some of the same path that he did. Obviously the NBA part of it was good, but he had some struggles as he was growing up along the way, as befitting a Blazer in the Bob Whitsitt era. But he seems to have gotten things figured out right now. And Dontonio Wingcast is an awesome name.
BEN: It’s a great name. That was never the whole bag and it appeals to our nerdy NW basketball roots. And now that he’s rehabilitated, we’re about second chances here. I mean we’re gonna give Michael Beasley a 14th chance once he gets out of rehab and we’re obviously willing to give Dontonio Wingfield a few extra chances, so by naming our Podcast after him we’re standing fully in support of his youth basketball coaching movement and we also hope that maybe he’ll come on at some point and tell us about his experiences.
KP: As I mentioned earlier on G-Chat, I have a bunch of Sonics basketball cards on my desk here at work that were compiled by a former coworker of mine and now two of us in the Seattle Storm offices have split them up, and there are at least three or four Dontonio Wingfield Sonics cards on my desk. So that’s pretty sweet given the name of the Podcast I think.
Briefly reminiscing about collecting basketball cards.
Segment 1:
LaMarcus Aldridge: where does he stand, what’s next and is there a better, younger 4 in the NBA? The evolution of the Power Forward position: has any position changed more over the last decade than the 4?
BEN: We’re still waiting for this LaMarcus Aldridge extension to go down. It’s probably gonna happen in the next four weeks I guess. But it kind of raises the same question that got raised when Brandon got his extension, which is "What’s next for LaMarcus?" I wrote a little bit about it… and the overarching theme of the LaMarcus piece was he needs to get more assertive and there are a lot of different ways he can get more assertive and aggressive, and I think that’s a natural thing as he grows older. So when we were looking at the comparables for LaMarcus, and even though some people still say he has a ceiling that he can still reach that may even be higher than Brandon’s ceiling, when you look at his comparables you don’t necessarily see tall same-type players do you?
KP: No, he’s very young and that helps out his comparable players, because age is such a major factor in that. But his rebounding holds him back a little, so it’s the finesse guys that show up on that list. I think David West is high on there, Vin Baker with all the negative connotations that come with that – that aside, before he had all the trouble off the court, Vin Baker was a great All Star player, especially his first year in Seattle, and I think that’s kind of the mold that you see in the numbers is guys that relied on the mid-range jumpshot but can also score in the post and aren’t terrific rebounders. And Baker was an All Star, David West has been an All Star the last couple of years. So I guess that sets the template for where I see LaMarcus Aldridge.
BEN: And this was something I touched on briefly at the end of that post, but that second half of last season where the Blazers were running off all those big victories, I think LaMarcus had me sort of swearing profanity in amazement at what he was doing more often than any other player. Brandon’s the kind of player who takes your breath away because he’s so smooth and so natural and so gifted, but LaMarcus is the type of player who just makes you swear out loud, "Wow that was really something." And I think that’s promising for next season and what should hopefully be his first All Star season. One other statement from that post that people latched onto was that I said there wasn’t a younger, better power forward playing basketball right now than LaMarcus Aldridge. Would you agree with that?
KP: Well I think the way you phrased that was there’s not anybody who’s accomplished more and is younger is a good way to put it. Because there are guys who are younger and have more potential. I think Blake Griffin is someone who could come in and be a very good power forward from day one at the age of 21, but in terms of guys who have done more in the league and are younger than LaMarcus, you look at that list and I don’t think anyone has so far accomplished more. If you’re going to put them over him I think it’s mostly on the basis of potential, don’t you think?
BEN: The only other person I can see for a legitimate argument for being younger and better is Josh Smith, but Josh Smith has all these positives and ridiculous statistical nights. But you have some huge holes too: his outside game, sometimes his head’s not always in it, he misses fast break dunks during NBA games. He’s a phenomenal player, one of my favorite players, but he has all these things that make you think this guy’s never gonna win a title. He just has that red flag about it, and he’s the only person who’s in the discussion. The way Henry kind of changed the question when I was talking with him about this, he asked overall who’s the best young power forward? And I guess Chris Bosh is just leaps and bounds above everyone else. He’s only a year older than LaMarcus which is amazing to me. But besides Chris Bosh it’s LaMarcus, Josh Smith, and then a pretty big gap. Anthony Randolph gets brought up here. I think there’s a big difference between LaMarcus and Randolph at this point, especially in terms of what they’ve already produced. Maybe not in terms of potential but definitely but definitely numbers.
KP: A guy like Randolph is where Aldridge was a couple years ago, where you’ve seen the flashes and certainly he’s put up some good numbers in limited minutes. But he hasn’t shown what LaMarcus showed in the second half of last season that was the big difference that was the consistency night-in, night-out where you know you’re going to get that kind of production from him.
BEN: And Anthony Randolph you don’t know if he’s gonna be crying or have a towel over his head or what you’re gonna get from him. So Anthony Randolph aside, the other young guys. One of them the Blazers chased was Paul Milsap. And I think Aldridge has to be over Paul Milsap at this point. He has to be over Blake Griffin, one of the names that you mentioned. But I think that could change as early as the end of this season or maybe two years, just based on Griffin’s game. And Griffin’s interesting because do you see him as sort of a throwback power forward with some modern accoutrements that you might expect from someone more agile like LaMarcus or someone with more range, but at the same time he’s still a banger, he’s still real good around the rim, he has a great nose for the ball. He’s almost like a hybrid of the old style plus the modern face the basket forward.
KP: His game is definitely that throwback aspect. He’s got size, he’s got strength, he’s got explosiveness in his moves around the rim. When he worked out for the Clippers and they brought all the media in during the NBA finals, apparently it went well generally but it was just a disaster when he started shooting 15 to 20 foot jumpshots. He showed a lot of improvement in that regard in the summer league and I think eventually he can become a pretty good mid-range jumpshooter. To an extent he’s so good doing the other stuff that you almost don’t want him doing that. And that’s something you talked about with LaMarcus in that post, which is the pick-and-pop, 20 foot game is fine but we don’t need you shooting 3-pointers with this team.
When and why do 7 foot 4s fall in love with their jumpers? How does Blake Griffin fit in? A hybrid between throwback and modern 4s? What about Rashard Lewis? Paul Millsap? David Lee?
BEN: Yeah, and I don’t understand why these 7-footers fall in love with their jumpers. It’s one the weirdest developments in modern times with these big guys. And I think it actually gets entrenched probably in freshman year in high school with some of these guys before their growth spurts. They’re super talented, super athletic players, and they’re farther out from their basket so they have to start working on their 3-point shooting so they can get on the court, and they’re playing basically face the basket the entire time. Then they shoot up 6 inches and all of a sudden they have to do this back-to-the-basket game and that’s a lot of hard work. And they’ve got to rebound on both ends and that’s not much fun. So they think well Dirk can do it, if Dirk can stand outside and shoot 3-pointers and I’m still pretty coordinated, I can do it too.
It’s a really strange phenomenon, the young power forwards today. It’s like you have a large group these days, guys like LaMarcus, Randolph, who are way more confident facing the basket. And then you have another group – I don’t want to call them fat guys but they’re sort of fat guys – guys like Al Jefferson, Kevin Love, or even Josh Smith, a high school player up your way, who they almost get pushed to the 5 or they get pushed right underneath the basket, at least in the younger levels, and they’re basically there just to clean the boards and do nothing else. From where it was 15 years ago where you had power forwards that could do a little more offensively but still play tough defense, it seems like the power forward position has really stratosphied where either you’re a face-up guy or all you do is rebound and you’re just a hustle guy. And there’s no in-between. Maybe the future in-between is gonna be Blake Griffin, but other than him who’s in between on that spectrum?
KP: Well don’t you think LaMarcus is in between? I think that’s a challenge. It’s really hard to be good at both of those things. I remember thinking that about Kevin Durant when he was at Texas, how hard it was gonna be for him in the NBA to continue doing what he was doing as kind of a post-up player in college and also a 3-point threat. And low and behold he really struggled with that his first season, he spent too much time on the perimeter, the Sonics never gave him the ball in the post that year, and that was part of why he took a little longer to develop into that offensive force that people thought he was going to do. He showed more of it last year.
Rashard Lewis was another interesting example we had in Seattle. There was one year where basically the Sonics decided to make Rashard a post-up player. Every game he was getting a couple looks in the post and he not coincidentally had his worst 3-point percentage since he became a starter that season because all of his focus was directed at becoming a post player. And then ultimately we saw it pay off down the line where he became a much more versatile player because he could take small players in the post or go out on the perimeter and shoot 3-pointers. And then he went to Orlando and became the league’s leading 3-point shooter. So I don’t know exactly what the moral of that story is, but it’s hard to do both of those things very well.
BEN: Well which camp do you fall in, because I think it’s pretty clear which camp I fall in. The stuff that’s making me jump up and mutter swear words with LaMarcus is when he’s working inside hard, getting to the basket, dunking on people’s faces, yelling at the other team’s bench, grabbing rebounds with his elbows out, doing all those tough guy things. I’m not getting too excited when he hits 20 foot jumpers. And I’m definitely not getting too excited when Rashard Lewis is canning 3-pointer after 3-pointer and he’s supposed to be their power forward. I don’t know if that’s just the internationalization of the game but I’m just not crazy about seeing power forwards do that.
KP: Well are you crazy about going to the NBA finals? Because the Magic did that with Rashard Lewis. If you look at the finals the last few years, there’s always these key guys who make an impact in the playoffs. There’s these undersized power forwards who can defend reasonably and can shoot the three. Lewis last year, but also Lamar Odem for the Lakers. He’s not quite Lewis’s range but he fits that mold. James Posey playing the 4 for the Celtics in the 2008 finals. Robert Horry year after year. James Posey in Miami the year before. You can come up with so many examples of these guys that become incredibly valuable in the post season because spacing on the floor is so important and if you can stick four guys who can shoot the 3 around one guy in the post, or three guys who can shoot the 3 around two guys who can run the pick-and-roll at the top of the key which is the other thing Orlando has done so well the last couple of years, that becomes really hard to defend.
BEN: That’s a good point. So here’s my trick question for you. Now that you’ve made the convincing argument for all these versatile shoot-first 4’s, how come your top two free agents on your list for the summer were Paul Milsap and David Lee – not guys I would necessarily want shooting 3 point shots, guys who are more traditional?
KP: First off, Milsap’s agent told everyone in Portland he can shoot 3’s and Jerry Sloan just won’t let him.
BEN: Of course I remember that and he’s what, 1 for 11 for the season? Or 1 for 11 for his career?
KP: I think you can take it too far. I heard people say that Leon Poe wouldn’t be a good pick-up for Cleveland because he can’t shoot it all, but all he does is shoot 55% from the field and rebound like crazy. It’s all a balance, and you can’t go too far to one end of the extreme or the other, but Millsap and Lee are really good at what they do. But I also thought that if Lamar Odem were a 25-year-old power forward – a lot of having them as the top two free agents on the market. If Lamar Odem was their age and being the type of player who can stretch the floor he would have been the guy, because he has the ability to do a lot of things those guys do – and also the ability to shoot on top of that.
How Steve Novak helped me win an argument over KP2.
KP: I think where this debate started between the two of us is we were talking about where has been the biggest positional change in last 15 or 20 years in the NBA, and you argued power forward because of the evolution of the ability to shoot. And I disagreed at first and threw out point guard because of what’s happened just in the past decade with the rules reinterpretation helping quick guys. But then as I’ve been working on some stuff and thinking about it, I’ve come around to your point of view. You’ve sold me on this because I was writing about Steve Novak the other day of all people. And he’s virtually identical to Brad Lowhouse and Matt Bollard, these guys who we have their basketball cards in our basements, these 6’-11" big men who could not rebound at all and all they did was shoot 3 pointers. And back in the day these guys were considered just freaks of nature because what 6’-11" guy would want to spend all their time around the 3 point line. But nowadays they’d fit right in with everybody else.
by jiminut on Aug 28, 2009 12:49 PM PDT reply actions 7 recs
Lovin' the recs
Here’s Segment 3. I gave up early on Segment 2 since it’s less Blazer specific. Props to my inspiration, two4larue
Segment 3:
BEN: … This was inspired by a post Dave wrote a few days ago where he was asking which Blazers are going to be on the team three years from now. The big problem facing the Blazers is they have all these young talented Blazers who are looking to get pretty large contracts in the next couple years. And that’ll lead to some really difficult decisions for Kevin Pritchard. Although he could potentially pay all these players it would go way over the luxury tax line, so it’s probably unlikely that all the players who Blazers fans want to see stay, will stay…. Most people seem to think that there is going to be a pretty large percentage of the team staying.
So I looked back at last year’s team. One of the things that’s been lost in the shuffle of this offseason as the Blazers made runs at different players like Hedo and Millsap, is that this has been a quiet offseason for the Blazers. With the addition of Andre Miller, the addition of Dante Cunningham, the addition of Jeff Pendergraff shortly, and only the subtraction of Sergio and Channing and a few of the end of the bench guys, otherwise it’s been a straightforward summer with a huge percentage of the guys coming back from last season. So that seemed unusual. Teams don’t always keep their top 8 or 9 guys in tact from year to year. Guys go in and out. Every team deals with that. Look at the L*kers, they lost Ariza, the Magic lost Hedo, they lost Courtney Lee. Basically every contending team lost guys and brought in guys. The Blazers are sort of the exception this year.
So I asked you to help me go back and look through the entire Blazers history to see how roster retention ended up interfacing with winning percentage because my first thought and I think what a lot of people assume is that if you’re not sending a lot of players out and you’re not bringing in new players, that probably means you’re pretty darn good and pretty close to where you want to be. I think that’s a mantra that Kevin Pritchard has repeated over the summer, that we like our roster, we like our players…. So why don’t you explain math-wise what we did to look the relationship between retention and winning percentage or team success.
KP: Well, first off, I give you credit because you did all the dirty work… There’s a couple different ways to look at it. One is the percentage of guys year over year that end up still on the roster. The other is a little different, is the average length of tenure on the team for everybody on the roster. For example, in the early early to mid 90’s, the Blazers were no necessarily unique in not turning over their roster each year because some of those end of the bench guys were changing… but they had the core group of Clyde, Porter, Kersey, Duckworth, Williams… That shows up more when you look at the average experience of the team…. So the first way to look at it was the relationship between average experience and the team’s success. And you find that there is a pretty good relationship except for those mid-90’s teams because after the peak of the finals appearances then the record starts filtering down a little each year but at the same time that team was getting more experienced each year until the trade of Drexler to Houston and cleaning house…. So you find a straight line for a while and then it goes down.
The second thing to look at is how much is this getting driven by keeping a successful team together and break up an unsuccessful team, and there you find an even closer relationship, that the players that return the next year tends to be controlled by the winning percentage the previous season. So it seems to me the relationship goes more towards a winning team causes you to keep the team together…
BEN: The Blazers have had a pretty interesting history. They started off as an expansion team so the turnover rates were pretty high when they were getting things together. Obviously the late 70’s was the only title they ever won and the retention rate really starts up at that point because like you were saying… they were trying to keep those guys around. Yet they still had some guys coming in and out for injuries or contract demands the owners didn’t want to meet. But like you said, the most steady time in the franchise’s history is interestingly the early 90’s. And that’s almost the time when the fans were most into the team as well…. And once you get the fans behind them it gets even tougher to trade those guys…. There’s a lot in play… Fan support can drive retention. Even taking Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge, if they don’t get LaMarcus signed people are going to be ticked off. Same thing next year with Oden even if he doesn’t quite live up to expectations, the people expect him to be a Blazer for life and obviously the same thing for Brandon Roy. So it was interesting to see what’s driving retention. Is it the wins, is it the fan support that comes with the wins, is it just dollars and cents of the contracts… and that was the most interesting thing is that Drexler, Kersey, Porter and Duckworth were all teammates for longer period than any other four Blazers in franchise history. Those four guys were together for more seasons than any other players from 1970 until now. And Drexler and Kersey were together more as two players than any other two players throughout the franchise’s history.
So that brings us to today, in that Roy and Aldridge could potentially be the guys that pass Kersey and Drexler because they came in the same year and both looking to sign 4 and 5 year extensions. So we’re actually in a period of history-making in that when it comes to retention it really just comes down to dollars and cents, about who’s going to make the cut.
KP: No matter how successful a team is, there’s always going to be some turnover as you look to get to that next level or what have you, and realistically the most important part of that research related to Dave’s post is no matter what you do, you’re not going to have all of these guys back here in four years. You have to start mentally preparing yourself for the fact that the highest percentage of guys with at least four years of tenure was a group of about six guys in the early 90’s. So you have to start thinking about who are the six guys who are going to be here, and then everyone else, ultimately is going to be a temporary part of the puzzle.
BEN: No doubt, and I think if you have to pick six guys right now people would lock in on four real quick. They’d say, Brandon, LaMarcus, Nic Batum and Greg Oden. So to think of all the rest of the talent on the Blazers roster you have to pick two of those guys who are going to still be there in a couple years that’s pretty crazy to think about. But it’s a historic time of transition in the Blazers history. That’s another thing that popped up when we were looking at the research in terms of winning percentage, is the largest drop over a 3-year period in terms of winning percentage was from 2003 to 2006. In other words, that crater of 2006 was the absolute worst over a 3-year span that the team had done in its entire history. And then the best 3-year span was from 2006 until the present. So talk about statistics being on Kevin Pritchard’s side, he’s presided over the biggest rise in winning percentage over the entire 40 year history of the Blazers… But the idea that that’s going to set even higher expectations going forward is just going to make his life more difficult. If you could keep six guys from this roster right now, would you take all four that I just mentioned?
KP: Yeah.
BEN: Which two do you keep in addition to those four.
KP: Well in pure talent Rudy has to be in that group but since he essentially plays the same position as Brandon Roy or at the very least one of Brandon Roy and Nicolas Batum makes him a difficult fit. Przybilla and Blake are probably out because of age. Andre Miller’s out because of age. So it’s not that hard actually. I could make a case for why a lot of guys on the roster wouldn’t be here in four years. I mean, Outlaw, who knows if he’s gonna be around next year. Cunningham and Pendergraff are too young to really think about that sort of thing. I don’t know. I’m not a huge Martell Webster fan, I think he’s gonna get lost in the shuffle behind Rudy and Nic Batum this year, so he could be on the outs depending on whether you could move his contract extension or not.
BEN: There’s always Bayless. (both chuckle)
KP: You get your core and that’s the San Antonio model is you have that core in their case of Parker, Genobli and Duncan, and around it look at how much they’ve changed since they won their championship in 2003. Think about who was there in 2003 when they won the championship – that’s only 7 years ago. That’s a longer period than we’re talking about. Steven Jackson played a key role for that team. Speedy Claxton was big for them off the bench. He’s barely playing basketball anymore.
BEN: Alright, so what we’re basically saying is, we don’t expect a lot of turnover in the very short term but there’s gonna absolutely have to be turnover in the 3-year window just because it’s never not happened in Blazers history. So everyone should look for our research being presented soon. It looks at Blazers history, the relationship in terms of retention, in terms of how many guys are sticking around from the previous season, and winning percentage. As Kevin mentioned we did see that there was a relatively demonstrable relationship between these two things but like you said it was more about the winning leading to the percentage, we’re hypothesizing, rather than the retention leading to the winning.
by jiminut on Aug 28, 2009 3:10 PM PDT reply actions 3 recs
all I can say is
better you than me!
(much better)
When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!
keeping "the core" together
There’s a lot to be said for continuity and young players learning how to gel together. It helps at both ends of the court when everybody is on the same page and they build trust in their non-verbal communication and synergy. Some of the obstacles to keeping the core together are playing time, and how young players want to make money in the prime of their careers. It takes a strong leader and some unselfish teammates to keep “the band” together, even in the best of times.
The ‘77 team was hailed as one of the most cohesive units ever, but as soon as adversity hit (and it became clear that Weinberg and company couldn’t afford to pay Lucas, Hollins, etc) the show closed on the road and a lot of young Blazer fans got their heart’s broken. KP’s done a good job of drafting and acquiring high-quality kids and Brandon Roy is going to keep everyone “in line” so anyone who starts complaining about not getting enough shots or PT instead of making sacrifices to win isn’t going to be around for long. (We’ve already seen this to some degree with Jack and Sergio)
Another factor in who “the keepers” will be is the opponents. Right now the L*kers are king and part of Portland’s roster building strategy should be to put a squad together that can knock ‘em off their perch. Is this the main consideration? Maybe not, but I’ve seen it many times in Blazer history. “We” had to get a center to check Kareem, so we drafted Bowie. We needed a running team to keep up with Magic and “Showtime” so Clyde and Kersey were drafted. You get tired of losing to L*A every year in the playoffs so you assemble a team that can compete with them and hopefully beat them the next time. Then, once you win the west the goal is to beat LeBron or whoever the new “beast” in the east may be.
(You may be thinking “we’re not going to worry about those other guys, we’ll just put our best team together and play our style and let them match-up with us!” This works great if you’re Jack Ramsay and you win it all in your first season as head coach in a new city, but most of the time building a championship roster is a work in progress.)
And that’s why the same 2,3,4 players don’t stay together for 10 years. Injuries happen, expectations change. Somebody gets an offer from another team and KP decides he can’t match it and maintain fiscal responsibility with the payroll (or, the Vulcans step in and say “no more luxury tax dollars, we’ve got to break even!”) Something always comes up…just think, 12 months ago nobody would’ve said that Nic Batum was a member of the “core” but just look at him now!
My advice remains: don’t get married to all the current players. Sure, Roy, LMA and Oden are gonna be around for awhile, and hopefully they’ll stay healthy and win a bunch of rings. But guys like Travis and Rudy will have to continue to “settle” for complimentary roles or find their fame and fortune elsewhere
When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!
Dontonio Wingcast?
Will anyone else ever call the podcast that? Doubt it.

by 




















