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Who Will End The Season With The Blazers?

Plenty of talk happens over what players Portland should attempt to acquire, or what players people would like to see gone.

But there are certain realities to a basketball team that make certain trades difficult, or others very easy, that might not otherwise be considered. A move that may seem lateral ends up being a huge steal, or a team gets rid of someone simply to not lose out on their value.

Right now, as Dave has mentioned before, I see no scenario where Portland has Outlaw after the trade deadline. Travis will want more than the MLE, and someone will it to him. He's a 6'10" player with crazy athleticism who's been in the NBA 6 years but is still only 24, knows how to score and can play multiple positions. Obviously his defense is suspect, but someone out there will be willing to open their checkbook to give him minutes.

The problem with that is quite simply that Portland will not, under almost any rotation, be looking to get huge production out of a combo forward, especially of the Travis mold. If we win a ring, it's because Oden and LMA come to play with Roy, and while having a good bench is important, both Rudy and Travis will want touches, minutes and money off the bench, and a team can realistically only keep one.

I am quite certain that KP will look at the situation and decide to cash in on Outlaw while he can and choose to bank on paying Fernandez, with the option to bring Claver and Freeland over later. KP will simply never be able to get any more for Outlaw than he could now.

In addition to being a type of player many teams seek, Outlaw is an expiring contract, meaning if you don't like how he fits, you have no financial obligation to keep him. Mark my words, KP will be fielding bids from several teams who will be chasing after Outlaw at the deadline, and he'll have to luxury of choosing which he likes best.

The downside (or maybe an additional upside depending on your perspective) is that to get the kind of piece KP is interested in getting, Blake will likely leave with Outlaw. Blake and Outlaw together represent a $9.6 million contract that you can trade to the Blazers and not have to pay after June. To put that in perspective, that's about one sixth of the salary cap.

Any team that's interested in trading a championship piece for Outlaw is looking for:

  1. Youth
  2. Flexibility
  3. Cap Savings

This tells me that Blake is nearly the ideal piece to pair with Outlaw in a trade. A team receiving Outlaw and Blake could save nearly $10 million in salaries by cutting both, could sign Outlaw and save $4 million with Blake, or could sign both. Throw in a draft pick if necessary, and in this one trade any team could add some significant talent, consistency and youth to their team, all while saving money.

So who would be interested in such a deal? I'm not nearly as sure about where they'll go as that they'll go. Houston comes to mind as a team that needs offense, youth and flexibility.

But I don't expect to be seeing Outlaw or Blake in Blazer uniforms after the trade deadline. I wouldn't put it past KP to try and sign Blake for a third time after he inevitably gets cut at the end of the season, but for the rest of the year I don't expect to see him.

So, what say you? Who do you think will be gone before the season ends?

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KP has said

and shown that he’s not big on mid-season trades.

by fat27 on Aug 27, 2009 12:10 AM PDT reply actions  

I...

think that the blazer roster is fine as is. there is always going to be possible trade scenarios that could improve the team on paper, but i dont think the blazers need to do anything else. the blazers can win as is, development and time is all this young team needs. dc can and will be able ot eventually fill the role at power forward and travis will do just fine there for now. just leave it alone, dont fix what isnt broken and 54 wins is not broken. and oden missed over 21 games.

by jpaulson on Aug 27, 2009 12:50 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Sombody give this man a collar...

…he’s preachin’ the truth.

"The Edge... there is no honest way to explain it because the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over."

by GonzoFan on Aug 27, 2009 9:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

BlazerFanSince1970...

…ftw!

"The Edge... there is no honest way to explain it because the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over."

by GonzoFan on Aug 27, 2009 9:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

We need Travis

Travis is part of our championship equation this year.

Maybe next year he’ll be traded. But this year he earns a ring with the rest of the Blazers. And probably he’ll win a few crucial games for us this year. After all, the dude is unguardable when he’s in his groove.

If you think education is expensive, try ignorance.

Even a dog knows the difference between being stumbled over and being kicked.

by Love on Aug 27, 2009 5:51 AM PDT reply actions  

who ends the season with the blazers?

the fans.

"There are a few teams you have to watch out for in the fourth quarter."
"Yeah, but Portland definitely is not one of them."

-New Orleans Hornets broadcasters at the end of the third quarter with the Hornets leading 74-59. Portland later ends up winning 97-89.

"They don't mind him shooting that shot at all. Rudy Fernandez is not that great of a 3pt shooter."

-New Orleans Hornets broadcasters right after a Rudy Fernandez missed 3pter. Rudy Fernandez finished the game with three 3pters on six attempts.

by Tofu Anonymous on Aug 27, 2009 6:52 AM PDT reply actions  

the season ends?

i think it all depends on the teams record at that point and whats offered. of course if cle offers lebron or no offers paul kp does the trade no questions asked. and i would hope he would take rubio but knowing that all of those all unreasonable i could see him holding on to everyone if they look like a top 2 WC team

fire nate before its too late

by pipgras on Aug 27, 2009 8:35 AM PDT reply actions  

Deja Vu...

No offense but this seems a little too familiar.

I too am of the school that the team is fine the way it is. Trade talk is inevitable during the dog days of summer. The reality is the team is much improved now over last year for reasons that have been said many times… better than I could say them. It may at some point become necessary to move Travis or someone else just so we don’t lose a valuable player without getting anything back but that time is not yet here…IMO.

I said this in jpaulsons earlier post (a very good one I might add) that I am against trading Steve even though many seem to think it is the way to go. Bayless is not ready to be the second PG for us and I can’t see how anyone could think he is. Besides Steve Blake is a big part of what this team has become…and did much to get us here.

by Ilikeemall on Aug 27, 2009 4:42 PM PDT reply actions  

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