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Blake v. Hinrich pt. 24: The Contracts

I know, I know there is probably a more appropriate thread already created - but I can't find it and I just have to vent about the same response I hear everytime Captain Kirk is mentioned.  It's goes something like this:

 "Sure, Hinrich might be a little bit better - but he gets paid more than twice as much as Blake and his $10M contract would be a burden."

According to Storyteller site, Hinrich makes $9.5M for the upcoming season, $9M for 10-11, and $8M in 11-12.  Blake's $4M contract expires after the upcoming season.  What happens then? If Blake is as others have suggested 80% of the player that Hinrich is; he's not going to settle for the chicken scratch that he previously made.  Even if you assume a "nice guy" discount a three-year contract of $5-$6M/ annually would be on the low end.  Right?  Or wrong? (take the poll, below)

Much focus is on what to do with the cap & upgrading if you can with a SF that can also play back-up PF (see links to recent discussions on: Gerald Wallace, Lamar Odom, Marvin Williams, Shane Battier, Shawn Marion) , but unless Devin Harris falls into your lap the Blazers second move should be to pull the trigger on the Hinrich-Blake/Outlaw swap rumored to be available so that Chicago can make their play for Wade in 2010.

Poll
Who would you rather have on the roster in 2011-2012? (assume that Bayless is with the Blazers, in the final year of his rookie scale)
Kirk Hinrich, (AGE 31) $8M (last year)
173 votes
Steve Blake, (AGE 32) $6M (two more years)
43 votes
The comparison is unfair - Blake would settle for less $ or # of years
34 votes

250 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 71 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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I LOVE Kirk's contract.

He’s paid too much right now, but by the end it’s very reasonable for a starting PG. He could be a great trade asset when his contract is in the last year.

"These are dreams that we have." --Rudolfo Fernandez

by bfan on Jul 7, 2009 2:28 PM PDT reply actions  

I am firmly in the camp

to get Hinrich, but that has nothing to do with Blake’s salary. Blake has been great for this team, but my one hope is that the Blazers can upgarde to Hinrich next season. If nothing else happens except a trade including Outlaw and or Blake to the Bulls and bringing Hinrich here, then this off-season is a success and I feel the Blazers will be a better team next year.

by usmcr3049 on Jul 7, 2009 2:30 PM PDT reply actions   2 recs

+1

That’s all I’m asking for. That’s all anybody should be asking for. Offseason would be a definite success.

I don’t understand why the Blazers wouldn’t take a shot at Odom, and after that, Marvin Williams, but I’m willing to disregard all that for a PG upgrade. Which, unfortunately, doesn’t seem to be near the top of the agenda.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Jul 7, 2009 2:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

The less I hear about using the caproom to upgrade at PG - the more I believe the Hinrich deal is pending

We lose $1.9M in capspace should we swap Blake & Outlaw for Hinrich. If we do it before a free agent signing or lopsided deal, we lose that flexibility – if we do it after – it’s within the allowed limits of both teams being at or over the cap.

by Mad Matt the Road Warrior on Jul 7, 2009 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

you sir....

get a rec…

The Bedger formally known as ????????

by Rudiculous on Jul 7, 2009 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Why does everyone assume Outlaw/Blake for Hinrich can be done anytime we want to?

Is Hinrich an upgrade? Yes
Would I do that deal? Yes
Is it available? I’m skeptical.

My gut tells me the Bulls want one of our young trio. at that price, this upgrade is not enough to warrant the cost in my opinion.

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Jul 7, 2009 2:35 PM PDT reply actions  

Outlaw and Blake

are UFAs next year. Bringing them in will give them flexibility, if released, for next summers FA market. They would suffer a bit this year but I’m sure they realized that after letting Ben Gordon go.

by dpnim on Jul 7, 2009 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

C.R.E.A.M.

Money dictates all that surrounds me. CREAM!

Blazers Prophecy.
3-5 championships in next decade.
You heard it here first.

by mjm6783 on Jul 7, 2009 4:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

KP probably could’ve done a Blake or Outlaw + RLEC for Hinrich + ? deal back in February. (when is patience not a virtue?)

But after Hinrich had that great playoff series against Boston (and then Ben Gordon signed with Detroit) Chicago’s asking price bumped up a notch or two

According to Bucher, the Bulls are talking to the Jazz about Boozer. This makes me wonder who would be heading Utah’s way? Coach Sloan probably sees a lot of “himself” in Cap’n Kirk (since Jerry was a hard-nosed defensive PG for the Bulls, back in the day) Hinrich could play alongside D-Will, no prob…and wouldn’t that just rankle Blazer fans?

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Jul 7, 2009 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

Jerry was a hard-nosed defensive PG for the Bulls

should’ve read “defensive SG”

Norm van Lier was the Bull’s PG. They played the Blazer’s extremely tough in the “best of 3” first round series back in ‘77. Chicago finished that season on a 17-3 run and would’ve knocked the Blazers out of the playoffs, if Portland didn’t have the home court advantage…

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Jul 7, 2009 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

You know

You know when you are in a losing argument when you have to make up numbers to support your argument.

Fact: Steve Blake’s contract will expire next year. There’s no assurance that he will get an extension let alone for $6 million/year.

by Balian on Jul 7, 2009 2:41 PM PDT reply actions  

But he will get a contract

I understand that not taking Hinrich would mean we have next summer to pick a new PG but we might not be able to with “the extensions” kicking in. This is obviously a good move for both teams. Almost too good……

"Tough times don't last. Tough people do."
-Chauncey Billups

by Kelsoballa on Jul 7, 2009 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

It is a good point

Blake is our starting PG, if they choose to not bring in another, then after this year our starting PG will be a UFA, who knows if he will resign with the Blazers. Next summer could be a big FA bidding war, and a player like Blake could earn a $6 Million salary easily if he has another year like last years.

BTW: Half of speculation is “making up numbers” so don’t knock it too much, otherwise the offseason in the NBA would be very very boring.

by usmcr3049 on Jul 7, 2009 3:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Furthermore

Hinrich will be paid 8.83 million a year for the next three. That’s his average annual pay. People keep suggesting the front load of his contract somehow makes it cheaper. Hinrich is overpaid, a relic of the recent greed frenzy in the NBA. Hinrich’s name should be mentioned in the same breath as “MLE” type money. If we couldn’t/wouldn’t give more that 8 million for Hedo then what makes anyone think we’ll give more for Hinrich. That’s just heaping ass on top of dumb. For that kind of money we can go after Caron Butler who is twice the baller than Hinrich.

by oregonslee on Jul 7, 2009 5:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Butler would take twice the assets as well

Butler for Rudy, Batum, Bayless, 1st rnd pick, and cash may do it though.

by bad karma on Jul 7, 2009 8:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree

but I think we could get shot for saying so.

by bad karma on Jul 7, 2009 9:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well, if you do that deal you've got an awesome starting lineup

Blake
Roy
Butler
LMA
Oden

And a bench of Joel Przybilla and Martell Webster (plus the rookies)

and about 2 mil in capspace, left over

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Jul 7, 2009 11:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Kirk vs Blake

Blakes #‘s: PPG 11 – AST 5 – STL 1.0 – TO 1.6 – REB 2.5 – 3% 42.7
Kirks #’s: PPG 9.9 – AST 3.9 – STL 1.3 – TO 1.7 – REB 2.4 – 40.8

He does have a little better steal average so ya lets do it.

by Yahooguy on Jul 7, 2009 2:48 PM PDT reply actions  

Open shots per game...

Blake 5
Hinrich 1

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Jul 7, 2009 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

Seriously?

Looking at raw numbers?

That’s like bringing a rubber band to a gun fight.

by Arby on Jul 7, 2009 3:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

What about MPG?

That’s an important factor in dissecting your numbers.

by dpnim on Jul 7, 2009 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Also, I remember Kirk

was slightly injured this year, playing backup (or off guard) and not having a career year (a la Blake).

Blake’s career year </= Mediocre Hinrich year

by dpnim on Jul 7, 2009 3:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Be sure to compare minutes

Blake 31.7
Kirk 26.3

5 extra minutes per game. Kirk’s adjusted stats at 31.7 minutes:
PPG 11.9 – AST 4.7 – STL 1.56 – TO 2.05 – REB 2.89

Add to this that the main idea behind acquiring Kirk is to upgrade defensively

by TrailBlazer4Life on Jul 7, 2009 3:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

If you look at it that way, it's the same person...

except with one more turn over.
Okay, and better defense…

by jenstcy on Jul 7, 2009 4:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

I do think we need a better point guard then Blake though

Last season, Blake was 28th in PPG, 23rd in AST, 27th in steals, and 9th in 3% for point guards. Thats not good enough in my books.

by Yahooguy on Jul 7, 2009 2:59 PM PDT reply actions  

Blake's contract may not go up in 2010-2011

I know I’ve mentioned in the past that the difference between Steve and Kirk’s salaries will decrease over time, because as Hinrich’s contract descends 500k/year Blakes next deal “should” ascend in value

But something I read the other day makes me wonder. The author was talking about the recent FA signings with “the economy the way it is” and said something to the effect “the best players will still get max deals, but the 2nd tier players could be facing pay cuts”

Even if Blake continues to start and perform at a similar level as he did last year, if you were a GM would you offer him a 3 year/17.5 mil extension that increases from 5 to 6 mil over the same time period? I get the feeling that he’s going to get 4 mil/year if he’s lucky, and he may have to “take less” when the time comes.

As much as he’s done for the Blazers, and as much as Nate/KP love him to death, I don’t think they will reward him with a substantial raise, either. (I could be wrong.) I also think that Steve is the kind of guy who would be willing to accept less money to stay in Portland, as long as he has a significant role with the team

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Jul 7, 2009 3:04 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Thanks - I was looking for insightful thoughts just like this one!

I re-read my post and it may turn some people off as it sounds like I’m just trying to convince them to one side of the argument, so I appreciate posts like yours. (rec’d) I assume you voted in the 3rd category?

by Mad Matt the Road Warrior on Jul 7, 2009 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

KIRK HINRICH IS A BACKUP POINT GUARD (afa talent)

Everyone’s deal about Blake is yea, he could be the best back-up point guard in the league. Let’s all take a wild stab at who the other person in the running is…. Hinrich.

Does anyone get excited when they think of Hinrich?
Does anyone think, oh yea he’s totally the answer?
Or do you think dang that guys dependable?

He can’t hit the tre, which is totally perfect for our system (sarc).

In a game without hand-checking, how much defense can a PG Defender™ play?
Especially one who is slow, and is only getting slower?
(yay! he’s the perfect answer for Deron Fisher, and Jason Kidd, who burn us every year? No its the fast pg’s who burn us and whatever you say about Captain Kirk, he’s nowhere near fast enough to stay in front of any of those pg’s)

Ron Artest, and Ariza are getting paid way less than 10 mil a season, and Kirk is getting that 10 mil, if you were to pick of the 3 guys who would you take, even at equal money?

Let’s look at his attributes and what we know about him:

Good: plays defense.
Bad: Not fast enough to stay in front of the pg’s we are concerned with.

Good: is a distributor.
Bad: can’t stretch the floor or push a fast break.

Bad: Large Money Contract.
Bad: It lasts until 2011-2012.
Bad: He’s 31.
Bad: Contrary to popular belief people lose athleticism as the get older.
Bad: He’s already not a good athlete.
Bad: Good defenders need to be athletic to stay in front of their man.

Good: We’ve heard him discussed enough that we know exactly what we are getting with him.

JAWESOME!!

by TheOdenator on Jul 7, 2009 3:18 PM PDT reply actions  

Yes, the idea of Hinrich excites me

also,

He can hit the three, he can defend the point guards that burn us and his contract is going down every year.

Which is why I propose Bayless & Outlaw for Hinrich.

Truth never was or can be propagated by fire and sword - Albert Gallatin

by Zaron5551 on Jul 7, 2009 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

I’ve been saying for 6 months that a Kirk/Steve backcourt would be “championship caliber”

But would Chicago agree to Bayless & Outlaw+capspace for Hinrich?

Doubtful. They don’t need Travis and Jerryd is unproven potential at this point.

What the Bulls need is a “real” PF, that’s why they’re talking to the Jazz about Boozer per www.twitter.com/RicBucher

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Jul 7, 2009 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Alright please explain to me why then

Every fast PG we’ve had troubles with scored more than their average against Chicago this year?
Only one fast PG, (Nash) scored under his average:

Tony Parker
Aaron Brooks
Chris Paul
Rajon Rondo
JJ BAREA!
Kept Steve Nash in check though!!!!

Scroll down to the games against Chicago. They are all listed, and all but Nash posted above average scores on a so-called defensive PG. He didn’t even defend to the mean of the NBA.

JAWESOME!!

by TheOdenator on Jul 7, 2009 3:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

and since defense is his supposed calling card.

Can we please stop talking about his so-called defensive prowess?

JAWESOME!!

by TheOdenator on Jul 7, 2009 3:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

He guards the best wing on the court.

Against Boston he guarded Pierce, Allen and Rondo. There’s a good chance that he would be guarding Ginobli and not Parker. Obviously box score stats don’t tell the whole story. How many of those points were scored with Kirk on the bench? Was he injured? Was the team defense as a whole particularly bad on those occasions?

His defensive prowess has been well documented. Denying it is a little like denying the moon landing.

“Kirk Hinrich (-6.09) re-established himself as one of the league’s better defenders in the backcourt after missing some time with an injury, though you wish he wouldn’t leave his feet quite so much.”-Hollinger.
"He’s on the ball. He’s a good pick-and-roll defender. He can guard point and shooting guards and some small forwards. So he gives you versatility and experience. Those are valuable things."-Vinny Del Negro
"We first have to stop Kirk Hinrich. He just can’t keep coming in and hurting us and giving them a spark. We shut Kirk Hinrich down and we can close out the series.-Kendrick Perkins"
“I’m going to tell you exactly what I think about him, OK? I think he’s one of the top defenders in the game, in the league. He reminds me of Jerry Sloan, he reminds me of Michael Cooper. And just like the Chicago Bulls whined about Dwyane, who was getting too many free throws, a great defender like Kirk Hinrich gets away with more.” “He’s into you, he’s relentless. He has a reputation as a tough defender and he gets away with more.”-Pat Riley

by Nick Van Excellent on Jul 7, 2009 7:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

you do realize missed all of the season through december, i think

also the starting point guard in Chicago is someone named Derrick Rose, Hinrich played back up

Truth never was or can be propagated by fire and sword - Albert Gallatin

by Zaron5551 on Jul 7, 2009 3:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Uhh, Derrick Rose?

Hinrich played a few backup minutes at PG, but spent the most of his time at the 2 guard.

by Arby on Jul 7, 2009 4:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Because Derrick Rose sucks at defense

The Chicago Bulls.....the more profitable Los Angeles Clippers.

by Ozzie Montana on Jul 7, 2009 9:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Is Rondo a quick pg?

b/c watching Hinrich defend him in the playoffs I was impressed.

Does anyone get excited when they think of Hinrich?

YES I DO!

Does anyone think, oh yea he’s totally the answer?
YES I DO!
Or do you think dang that guys dependable?
YES I DO!

He can’t hit the tre, which is totally perfect for our system

um…40.8% from 3 last year, 38% for his career, ya he can hit the 3.

In a game without hand-checking, how much defense can a PG Defender™ play?
Especially one who is slow, and is only getting slower?

Before we get into “how much defense can a PG Defender play?” Hinrich is in his prime, he is 28 years old, we are not talking about J. Kidd here or some other 37 year old ball player.
As for defense, Hirich or a player of his defensive abilities can do a much better job defensively against quicker point guards just by directing their opponents movements with good positioning. Forcing him into other defenders, forcing him left when he perfers to go right, etc…No one is going to completely contain a talented quick pg, but you can do better then what Blake has been able to do.

Artest and Ariza play SF, which ofcourse is a totally different position, lets look at other PG’s, Kidd who is 37 is getting a reported $25 million for 3 years, ($8.3m per), Mike Bibby resigned for $18 million over 3 years, ($6m per), Andre Miller is seeking a 2 year deal worth $20 million +, ($10m per). And those are just 3 pg’s who signed this summer, a look at other starting pg’s reveals that Hinrich’s deal is about avg for the position.

Bad: Large Money Contract.
Bad: It lasts until 2011-2012.
Bad: He’s 31.
Bad: Contrary to popular belief people lose athleticism as the get older.
Bad: He’s already not a good athlete.
Bad: Good defenders need to be athletic to stay in front of their man.

1)In the context of other PG’s salaries, Hinrich’s is not large at all.
2)His contract’s length is actually an advantage in the long run, as it goes down to only $8 million in the last year, making him extremely tradeable if need be.
3) He is 28 and in his prime
4) not applicable
5) You can’t be a bad athlete and play the point guard position in the NBA, he is strong, tall for the position, and works his tail off on defense.
6) Good defenders need to be smart and athletic to work within a teams defensive system, just staying in front of your man doesn’t make you a great defender. NBA players are way too good for any one defender to shut down, if you could ask Bowen, Artest, Ariza, or any other “defensive stopper” and they will tell you the same thing, it takes a team working together.

Hinrich is not the end all be all, but he is much more than you are giving him credit for, he is a big upgrade over Blake, and in more ways than just his defense.

by usmcr3049 on Jul 7, 2009 4:44 PM PDT up reply actions   3 recs

Well done and comprehensive rebuttal

The only response: crickets.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Jul 7, 2009 4:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

yep give me a minute.

I just got away from the family/

JAWESOME!!

by TheOdenator on Jul 7, 2009 9:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

OKay here's the truth.

1)In the context of the rest of the league, and how we can spend our cap-space. Hinrich’s contract is huge and long. We could get other players who would change the face of our franchise more, for a lot less. See noted examples.
2) Length is never an advantage that means less flexibility. We would be logged into Hinrich’s salary at a high rate, for a long time. If the salary were shorter, that is always a benefit, so you can make changes in the direction your team is going quicker. And since older point guards don’t get traded very often, instead they get swapped in free agency, it will be just as hard (if not harder) for us to move his contract than it has been for Chicago.
3) 28 and in his prime? And his drop off this year have to do with injuries that have nothing to do with the fact that he is getting older.
4) Once again this contract goes on for a long time. Which means he will be older and will continue to lose the athleticism his defensive “skills” need.
5) That’s my point. He isn’t nearly as fast or as strong as he was, when he was able to assert himself with the handcheck rule. Right now, it is extremely difficult to be an effective PG defender, by giving up two of our strongest offensive players, we need to realize that his defense might not be enough to make up for the obvious shortcomings we are giving up in any trade (proposed Outlaw and Blake).
6) But you need to be able to stay in front of your man to be a good defender. Not being able to stay in front of your man, makes you an abysmal defender, and if you are saying that Kirk can’t do this but can still be an effective defender, that’s simply wrong.

7A)Other players have been able to stay defenders later on in their years, but no PG defenders. There is a reason for this, wing defenders can protect the cuts, Centers can stand in the middle, PFs can work the baseline, but PG defenders need to be active, quick, and smart ot be effective. Kirk is no longer nearly as active and quick as he was when he earned the title of PG defender. And the rules have changed so now a PG defender has to be even more active and quick (Without being able to handcheck).

A PG defender seems to be an impossible title to contain currently. Without the ability to handcheck a pg defender has little ability to force a man into any sort of situation. Correct? And so by wasting money in this type of area, it seems we are acting along the lines of Don Quixote. What we are searching for is no longer there, the rules have changed, and by spending our time searching for a damsel in distress we are wasting our time.

What other good PG defender’s can you think of whose reputation was not built during the time of the handcheck? And what do they have in common? Speed. Pure Speed. Something that some people apparently still think that HInrich has in bunches. Or that somehow despite the fact he can’t stay in front of a man, he can still be a defensive presence.

Look I’ve tried to point to the evidence. Just by repeating that Hinrich is a solid defender, or making excuses for the last season, we are acting as apologist. Why? I have no idea. Because we have made our mind up that this is the case?

He dominates poor PG’s, yes. That is the case. But we beat those teams already. If we are going to add something it needs to help us against the other good teams in the league. And by throwing our third best offensive weapon (Travis) into the offering we had better get a better 3rd option. Which we’re not. Yes he can just a hair worse than Steve Blake. But since we’re giving up Steve Blake and Travis, we’d better be getting something commensurate in return.

We are always point to his vaunted defense. And last year, those numbers were FAIL. A big and complete FAIL, when dealing with fast PGs. If he can’t guard them why are we adding him and his salary to this team?
Because we want to make some moves?
Because people hate Travis?
Oh, because his defensive talent is totally there! Only don’t look at that game, he was hurt, don’t look at that game he surely wasn’t guarding the fast PG (THEN WHY THE HECK DO YOU WANT HIM ON THE TEAM? If he can’t or doesn’t guard them, then he doesn’t SOLVE OUR PROBLEM!)

I’m not saying that everyone should be swayed by this reasoning. Only that just saying he can help us on defense, shouldn’t be a rock to hide under anymore. To help US on defense requires specific skills (read speed). Our biggest achilles heel is the fast PGs, if he wasn’t guarding them in Chicago, then why the heck not? And if he was, they burnt him to Captain Kirk Crisp.

JAWESOME!!

by TheOdenator on Jul 7, 2009 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

"Can't hit the trey"

Blake’s career 3 point percentage is a whooping one point higher than Hinrich’s, which isn’t impressive considering Blake has been a backup for most of his career and his career high percentage has come from playing on the best offense in the NBA, resulting in plenty of open looks.

Hinrich has never played on an above average offense, yet still has a career 38% from the arc.

Defense is not just about man to man defense, it’s about team schemes, proper rotation, fighting through picks, etc. Hinrich is a fantastic team defender, and good enough individually to wear down most PGs.

The Chicago Bulls.....the more profitable Los Angeles Clippers.

by Ozzie Montana on Jul 7, 2009 9:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

I look at the numbers for each player ...

… and from that score, you get maybe a rebound, an assist and perhaps 2 pts more out of Hinrich, if you swap him for Blake, based on past history. However the numbers are impacted by Hinrich starting his career as a starting PG, while Steve Blake has had to work his way into that position. The progression of his numbers are such that there is reason to believe he may still have some room to improve. In other words, it is not carved in stone that the Blazers will get better production out of Hinrich than Blake.

This is the point that everyone says “Hey dumbo, Hinrich is a vastly superior defender than Blake.” Ok, prove it. They are of equivalent size and athleticism. If Hinrich is more hard nosed than Blake, it ain’t by much. It is entirely possible that a good part of Hinrich’s reputation for good defense came from early in his career, before the ban on hand checking started to be enforced.

I won’t argue that Kirk Hinrich might be a bit better PG than Steve Blake. But the edge is not overwhelming (on either end of the court) as some would have us believe. If Portland trades for Hinrich, I don’t see it as a bad move. However I doubt it will result in the large jump in improved team play that so many here seem to believe in.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Jul 7, 2009 3:38 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

exactly

which is why anything more than Outlaw to swap the two is a mistake. And this assumption everyone has that the Outlaw/Blake for deal is there for the taking may be complete fallacy.

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Jul 7, 2009 3:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

All Defense, hmmm

Interesting to me that in the Hollinger piece you use as evidence of his defensive prowess, you did not mention that Hollinger states he leaves his feet too much, and that he gives Andre Miller equal defensive props. I know that the feeling around here is that Hinrich is Bobby Jones reincarnate and that Andre Miller is a sieve so I found that to be rather interesting. To me someone like Andre Miller would be a far better addition since he can get to the hole, can pass, and shoot (just not 3’s too great).

by ebnerblazer on Jul 7, 2009 4:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

very true and my post wasn't intended as proof

but as Hollinger notes, the Bulls were a whopping 6.1 points/100 possessions better on D with Hinrich in last year than when he was out (that’s huge).

Watching the Bulls-Celtics series I saw Hinrich play D and frustrate his opponents (from PG Rajon Rondo to SF Paul Pierce) in a way that I cannot ever imagine Blake doing.

by jksnake99 on Jul 7, 2009 6:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

could you imagine

Blake on the best wing players in the west? What would Kobe do to Blake? ……yuk, i just threw up in my mouth.

by bad karma on Jul 7, 2009 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

Go check out some of their matchups.

Blake has played some pretty good defense on Kobe. Even neutralized him a couple of times.

Bryant can get his points against the best defenders in the league, even against double teams. But he’s also the type of player that Blake can defend a bit better, as compared to a super quick smaller PG.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Jul 8, 2009 8:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

Besides,

all Hollinger says is he’s one of the better defenders. And Pelton doesn’t say anything, but give a smiley face.

Oh yea, Hinrich’s a smiley face and nothing for Stevie Blake. He might as well jump off the St Johns bridge.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Jul 7, 2009 4:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

I would like to clear my good name

I did not and will not use smiley faces (sorry Norsk). Here was my reply:

“@Norsktroll Always love Hinrich’s D. Nobody on the Blazers (or most teams) gets into people like he does.”

I picked Hinrich for my All-Defensive First Team in 2006-07 (I think Hollinger might have as well) and wrote this:

“No defender impresses me more in person than Hinrich, who has done an excellent job defending Ray Allen over the last three seasons. Hinrich is better defending bigger players like Allen and in actuality defends twos more than points (so much for that disclaimer above), but he does start at point guard for Chicago. He’s a physical defender who knows all the tricks and exerts a great deal of energy on the defensive end. "

by kpelton on Jul 7, 2009 8:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

that is my mistake

My apologies to Mr. Pelton. I’m not sure how I screwed up that link, but I found a way.

by jksnake99 on Jul 8, 2009 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

If you watched the Bulls-Celtics series, Hinrich's work on Pierce & Rondo

while he was in the game was impressive. He doesn’t need hand checking to defend.

Patty Mills - PG of the future. Book it.

by Blazerholic on Jul 7, 2009 5:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hinrich will put up career numbers

in our system. Just like Blake did.

Come on you gotta listen unto me,
lay off that whiskey and let that cocaine be. ~Johnny Cash

by HurraKane212 on Jul 7, 2009 5:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Regarding Kirk Hinrich and Steve Blake's "athleticism," only one showed up for the combine in 2003.

If that isn’t a telling sign about their colossal differences in innate athletic ability, then I don’t know what is.

Also, it takes just one viewing of Hinrich and Blake to subjectively tell that Hinrich is more mobile laterally, has better footwork, can slash to the basket more frequently due to his quicker first step, et cetera. Hinirch isn’t only a vastly superior defender, but he’s also remarkably more athletic than Blake—there’s no doubt about it whatsoever!

by AK1984 on Jul 7, 2009 5:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

apparently the Blake vs Hinrich

arguement is only about stats. Your hours and hours of actually watching teams other than the Blazers means nothing here.

by bad karma on Jul 7, 2009 8:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

You can't prove defense without seeing it.

That would be like me saying, “You think stop signs are red? OK prove it!”

He’s a better defender because he can guard three positions, as apposed to one. He has better lateral movement which I can clearly see with my eyeballs. He is stronger and doesn’t get pushed around too much by bigger guards. Again, my eyeballs tell me this.

During the playoffs Hinrich has guarded Wade, Rip Himilton, Paul Pierce, and Ray Allen. I think we can agree that Blake probably couldn’t attempt to guard any of those guys for a full game, let alone an entire series. I think that speaks volumes about the difference in defensive strength, speed, etc that Hinrich has over Blake.

The edge on defense is overwhelming. Hinrch is a top ten defensive PG in this league at least. Blake is top 30 at best. The fact that Hinrich is also slightly better on offense is just the icing on the cake.

by Nick Van Excellent on Jul 7, 2009 7:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

"Prove it"

Watch Bulls games not just from this past season and form your own opinion of Kirk Hinrich.

If all the pundits have their say and Ben Gordon is a defensive sieve, then how does a backcourt of Hinrich and Gordon exist for 3 straight seasons as a top 3 defensive team in the league?

Also, Steve Blake has started plenty of games before this season. He was the starting PG last year, started almost every game as a Nugget, and started 57 games for Portland in 2006. It’s not like he was a career bench-warmer who finally got the shot to succeed. Blake is the same mediocre player who now has incredibly efficient teammates to pass to, and who allow him to get more open looks at the basket.

The Chicago Bulls.....the more profitable Los Angeles Clippers.

by Ozzie Montana on Jul 7, 2009 9:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

Posted this the last time Hinrich was brought up.

If we wanted Deng as well, Chicago could be sitting at $11-14 million in total salary the summer of 2010.

μὴ φοβοῦ, μόνον πίστευε.

Blazersedge.com || New to Blazers' Edge?

by T Darkstar on Jul 7, 2009 3:47 PM PDT reply actions  

I've thought this as well.

For Chicago to be BIG Players next summer, they need to find a way to unload Deng. I’m pretty sure the numbers work for a trade of Blake+Outlaw+capspace for Deng+Hinrich. I’m on the fence on that one. Its hard to say either way, because as fans, we do not know what else is available (Lee, Battier, Prince, Wallace, DH, MWilliams, Sessions, AMiller, etc) and for what cost.

Gimmicks don't make dynasties

by WarEaglePDX on Jul 7, 2009 4:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Deng is the hangup for me.

He’s paid a lot for as often as he’s injured. If he stayed healthy, it might not be that bad a deal.

μὴ φοβοῦ, μόνον πίστευε.

Blazersedge.com || New to Blazers' Edge?

by T Darkstar on Jul 7, 2009 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

That was my RLEC trade suggestion, back in February

Hinrich+Deng for Outlaw+Sergio+RLEC (there may have been other mutations of this, but that was the basic idea)

And I pretty much wrote off KP acquiring Cap’n Kirk after the deadline, because the chance to take Deng’s contract off the Bull’s books (which was probably the main attraction for Chicago in the proposal) had evaporated when KP decided to stand pat.

If the deal had gone down and Deng had still gotten injured it would’ve been a net “negative” for Portland’s W-L record in March-April (no backup to Batum, a lot of Roy playing SF, etc) But they would’ve still made the playoffs and lost in the first round (probably)

And we’d have a whole lot less uncertainty about the roster, right now

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Jul 7, 2009 5:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think the salaries still match

for a financially lopsided trade. I’m thinking Cap Space+Blake+Outlaw still will work. Can we be withint 125% when we used capspace like that?

Gimmicks don't make dynasties

by WarEaglePDX on Jul 7, 2009 8:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bucher said that Portland

may be in the middle of a trade that would send Carlos Boozer to Chicago and HInrich to Portland during a radio interview this afternoon. Ric didn’t say which player might be heading to Utah (Blake?) just that the Blazers would be utilizing some of their capspace to facilitate the deal

Makes sense, the Bulls need a post player and Kirk was telling friends that he was going to Portland back on draft day

When reached 39 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Jul 7, 2009 9:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Kirk, all the way. I loved him when I first saw him in Chicago and still love him.

He had a bad season a year ago, and yes, his numbers are not eye-popping. But anyone who thinks he would not be a huge upgrade over Blake I think must have missed his grit, defense, and fortitude in the Bulls playoff campaigns over the last 3 years. The guy just FEELS better than Blake. You watch him and there’s no doubt that he’s a starting PG in this league, and there’s no doubt that the player he’s guarding gets sick of him REAL quick.

by dario argento on Jul 7, 2009 8:40 PM PDT reply actions  

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