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Evolution of a Rumor

    Part of what makes the NBA off season so intriguing is the constant rumor mill that surrounds the draft, free agency and trades in general. While every major sports league faces roster changes, rumors and the like, basketball stands apart from baseball and football (for the most part) in that a single player coming to a team can immediately transform a mediocre team into a contender. The twelve man roster is an intricate puzzle comprised of roles, style, chemistry, system etc. As fans, the fantasy aspect of compiling our own "perfect" rosters is almost as exciting as the games themselves. That is why you see entire websites dedicated to rumors, the pontificating of fantasy trade scenarios and player comparisons. Since this element of the NBA is so addicting to fans, the media cannot help but to fan the flames by publishing rumors based on un-corroborated sources. As we saw around the trade deadline and the draft (many times involving the Blazers) trades would be reported to be on the verge of completion, but  as we would later find out, these same trades had not actually been discussed. Some of this false information was probably floated by an agent, but it seems likely that many of these rumors originated from sloppy or false reporting.

    Today I was almost a party to spreading an entirely false rumor throughout the media, but thanks to corroboration and correct journalism, the rumor was squashed before it was able to threaten anyone's credibility: I was answering the phones at 95.5 the Game when a caller relayed to me that his cousin, who lived in Indiana, had just heard on the local sports station that the Blazers were discussing a deal that would send Rudy and Martell and likely a first to Indiana for Danny Granger. Upon hearing this, my first thought was "please be real!" so I relayed this information to Jay Allen. The first thing he did upon hearing this was call the Pacer's beat reporter, the two major Indianapolis radio stations and someone within the Pacer's organization. All of our sources replied that this move had not been discussed between the two teams, so we just let the story die without any mention of it on the air. In hindsight, it was a pretty mundane occurrence for a major new outlet, but the whole situation opened my eyes to the realities of sports reporting. In today's blog driven, instantaneous sport's news world, I could easily have seen that rumor blown up to the point where people would actually have been disappointed it didn't happen When you work in the sport's media world, especially if you are covering a certain team, you can be led to jump the gun on rumors for two major reasons:

1. You are a fan of a team. In the instance of this imaginary Granger story, my wishful thinking propelled me to want to get this on the air ASAP, as if by putting this information out in the world would increase the likely hood of the deal actually going down. This also applies to the local media wanting to appease the fans. How much more excited would we be about the Blazers (considering it were possible) if Jason Quick reported a rumor that had us going after CP3 or Lebron.

2. Expediency. They don't give out awards for breaking stories in the NBA but it sometimes seems that media outlets feel a certain competitiveness when pursuing rumors or breaking news. This tendency could lead to someone like Sam Smith or others to throw caution to the wind while throwing out trade scenarios.

 

That post went longer than expected. I just wanted to shed some light on the machinery of the NBA rumor mill, and hopefully increase awareness to the possibility that rumors reported by even the most credible organizations could be pure fallacy.

13 recs  |  Comment 31 comments

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Would have been an awesome deal for us. lol

No way that that would be all that we have to give up. He is the Pacers Franchise. He’s as valuable to them as Roy is to us. Interesting perspective on rumors.

by tcwoods on Jul 27, 2009 9:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

great post

The Dude: Hey, careful, man, there's a beverage here!

by cavejunctionblazer on Jul 27, 2009 9:32 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

good analysis of the development of rumours.

Please pass along to CIP that while I find him completely annoying on the morning show, I have found his shows with Dwight Jaynes very entertaining. Must have something to do with his ego being hammered instead of stroked. Or the fact that I can’t stand Canzano so anything else is better by comparison.

by Tyler Durrden on Jul 27, 2009 9:34 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

More GOOD

local radio talent.

"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.

But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html

by ratbastird on Jul 28, 2009 8:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm good, I'm talented, I have a radio

I mean, I’ve got all of your supurletives!

I know less than half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve.

by haildablazer on Jul 28, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

OMG!

We’re getting Danny Granger!

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on Jul 27, 2009 9:56 PM PDT reply actions   4 recs

For Martell and Travis!

When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.

by jscot on Jul 28, 2009 3:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We get stuff like that

fairly often. 90% of it is untrue and I don’t mind not reporting the other 10% until we see it confirmed. It’s more important to be right than hyperactive.

—Dave

by Dave on Jul 27, 2009 10:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

thanks for the input Dave

This was not meant as a slight towards anyone in particular. I mostly wanted to pull back the veil on sports media so people can get a better grasp on how information is received, processed and distributed.

Tony Luftman Is an Animatronic Robot created by Cyberdyne Industries for the purpose of the destruction of the entire human race, no one shall be spared.

by Jiggamant on Jul 27, 2009 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I never dreamt

that it could be insulting.

The tension to me is that sports media are operating under an old assumption in a new world. The standard has always been “Get the story out there first!” The idea was that you’d build a reputation as the go-to place for news. This worked when there were, say, six major outlets among TV, radio, and newspapers in a given town. You’d know where to look if you wanted the early story.

In the new age of media first actually means little or nothing. Everything is repeated so fast and in so many places that you can find any given piece of information anywhere in the world within five minutes of the story being broken. Yes, reputable media outlets (of which we are one) still give credit to the originator but in reality there’s little incentive for anyone to follow the thread back to its origins when you have all the info already at your disposal.

Furthermore in the quest to keep up with the speed of dispersal many once-rock-solid media outlets have taken to throwing out unconfirmed or single-source confirmed rumors, which are then picked up and repeated as if they were fact or near-fact. The wave of a breaking story is almost palpable. It sweeps everything in its path regardless of its validity. It’s hard to orient yourself towards the truth and keep your feet on the ground when you’re being swept away like that. The rare and valuable resource here is not more speed, it’s more dependability and accuracy, which is exactly what many outlets are giving up in their haste to be first.

It’s almost comical to watch this happening. But that’s usually what you get when you’re trying to walk forward with your eyes pointed in reverse.

—Dave

by Dave on Jul 27, 2009 10:35 PM PDT up reply actions   3 recs

this is a thoughtful exchange

Our world is speeding up. This acceleration and pressures makes for a McLuhanistic world where increasingly the medium becomes the message .. or at least drives the message.

And since the same journalists can’t be the ones who break every new story, more sources break stories and gain their fifteen minutes of fame.

by jayfisher on Jul 27, 2009 11:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

You hit the nail on the head Dave. Your post reminded me of something that Colin Cowherd said when he was promoting his new TV show on the Bill Simmons podcast. Now that news is easily disseminated everywhere, there is very little value in being first with a story… the value lies in having interesting insights, points of view, analysis, etc. in regards to said event.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exOxUAntx8I&feature=channel_page

by The Cactus Leaguer on Jul 27, 2009 11:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

or maybe...

being CORRECT about the story.

"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.

But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html

by ratbastird on Jul 28, 2009 8:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure if you were directing this towards me… if so, then yes, being correct is important, but it has no real journalistic value the way it did 20 years ago because the info is instantly disseminated.

In other words, correct = instantly disseminated = no value
Incorrect = quickly debunked = negative value
Interesting insights, analysis, etc. = quickly linked = page hits, cred, etc. = value

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exOxUAntx8I&feature=channel_page

by The Cactus Leaguer on Jul 28, 2009 9:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

are you AC Coleman?

Everything I know about manhood, I learned from southern oregon
Now accessible for R rated comments at thetinfoil@gmail.com

by TheTinfoil on Jul 27, 2009 10:21 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

no

Tony Luftman Is an Animatronic Robot created by Cyberdyne Industries for the purpose of the destruction of the entire human race, no one shall be spared.

by Jiggamant on Jul 28, 2009 12:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How many individuals

are involved in a trade discussion? I’d assume GMs, cap experts, lawyers, scouts, etc. Not that many, though. Maybe 10-15, most bound to secrecy at the risk of losing their jobs. Major events happen at companies that surprise even stock analysts, so it is possible to keep these things mum.

So, it would seem that most EVERY rumor we as fans get is deliberately leaked. I’m curious whether the media is the most efficient tool for getting the word out that player X is on the block. Some internal network of anonymous email lists might suffice.

by Engineering Problem on Jul 27, 2009 11:30 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

How many of KP's actual trades

were rumored in advance?

When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.

by jscot on Jul 28, 2009 3:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good point

I suppose the trade mill is a way to keep interest in a league without a ton a parity…

by Engineering Problem on Jul 28, 2009 3:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good points Jiggamant

Thank you for posting. I enjoyed peering behind the curtain.

by LewisClark on Jul 28, 2009 12:27 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice post, Jig...

I’ve heard a similar rumor that I want to be true, but it likely isn’t…

Bayless and Outlaw

for

Caron “Tough Juice” Butler…

way too good to be true…such is the off-season…lol

Are you a Mexi-CAN or a Mexi-CAN'T?

by raggmopp on Jul 28, 2009 8:56 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I heard if we play our cards right...

our lineup at the start of the season could be:

Chris Paul / Andre Miller
Brandon Roy / Rudy Fernandez
Lebron James
LaMarcus Aldridge
Dwight Howard / Greg Oden

by blazeraider on Jul 28, 2009 11:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Forgot...

Pendergraph and Cunningham are there too

by blazeraider on Jul 28, 2009 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're useless

You forgot to mention Tayshaun Prince getting spot minutes behind Lebron as a defensive stopper.

Clean off your hard drive, and turn in your keys and your mouse at the front desk on your way out.

When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.

by jscot on Jul 28, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What about the Clippers' 2010 first round pick???

You have to mention that.

"HA HA HA HA HA
I'm not laughing, I'm just listing the five ugliest Blazers ever."
- rockingharder

by jamon51 on Jul 28, 2009 6:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

MJ's

coming back for a 3rd behind roy and rudy

"No disrespect to Jeff Blake"

by Eat Politicians on Jul 28, 2009 2:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd like to see

an analysis of the Miller signing “rumor” that became reality. Is there any way to tell the difference?

"HA HA HA HA HA
I'm not laughing, I'm just listing the five ugliest Blazers ever."
- rockingharder

by jamon51 on Jul 28, 2009 6:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Jiggamant can help from his end

from ours we had some inkling that it was coming and the first thing we had that was verifiable we posted. This was about the same time that everyone else went with it as well. There were no big rumors immediately preceding the offer that I was aware of…maybe some mentions that he had been seen around town or around Blazer management but that was it. Miller was under heavy discussion in the media early in the summer but things died down until he was well on his way to being a Blazer.

—Dave

by Dave on Jul 28, 2009 6:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gotcha

I just remember reading a lot of talk about Miller before it became official. In fact:

http://www.blazersedge.com/2009/7/8/942584/signings-and-free-agency-buzz

I guess it wasn’t as hot and heavy as I remember though.

"HA HA HA HA HA
I'm not laughing, I'm just listing the five ugliest Blazers ever."
- rockingharder

by jamon51 on Aug 8, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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