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Draft Prospect Board (Final Version)

This board does not attempt to predict who the Blazers will select, who will be the best professional or who is the best player today.  This board aims to answer the question "Who would I be least surprised to see drafted by the Blazers this year, regardless of pick?"  This board only ranks players that have worked out in Portland.

Here's version 3.0. Here's version 2.0. The full methodology for this ranking is included in version 1.0.  

After Friday's, Monday's and Tuesday's workouts we see just 2 new players on the board (both from Tuesday's workouts) but we do have a new name at #1.

Draft Prospect Board v4.0, 06/25//09

            Player -- Projected NBA Position -- Current Team -- Previous Rank

  1. Ty Lawson -- 1 -- UNC -- first time on board
  2. Jeff Pendergraph -- 4 -- Arizona State -- #1
  3. Darren Collison -- 1 -- UCLA -- #2
  4. Omri Casspi -- 3 -- Israel -- #3 
  5. Nando De Colo -- 1 -- France -- first time on board
  6. Wayne Elllington -- 2 -- UNC -- #4 
  7. Danny Green -- 2 -- UNC -- #5  
  8. Tyler Hansbrough -- 4 -- UNC -- #6
  9. Chris Johnson -- 4 -- LSU -- #7
  10. DeMarre Carroll -- 4 -- Missouri -- #9

Thoughts

Ty Lawson -- For the full rundown on Ty, read The Ty Lawson Report. Yesterday's trade with the Mavericks may make it slightly easier for Kevin Pritchard to maneuver within range to grab Lawson, depending on how the late lottery picks shake out and who's looking to trade down.

Nando_medium 

Nando De Colo -- Nando was said to have had a good workout in Portland but was not able to keep up with Lawson when they were matched up together.  In that group of five players, though, he was considered the #2 target above Paul Delaney, Taylor Griffin and Goran Suton (as should be expected).  Nando just turned 22 and is drawing interest because of his superior height (6'5") and ability to score the rock. He's also had 3 full seasons of experience in the French A league.  

His shot looked solid if not perfectly smooth during the open media session and he seemed to fit right in with his American counterparts: there were a number of small exchanges between De Colo, Lawson and Delaney. That doesn't say a whole lot but is evidence that he's probably mentally ready for the transition to the NBA.  Some of the international prospects have been noticeably more tentative and aloof than De Colo.  

Here's Chad Buchanan's take on De Colo, via Casey.

   "Creative kind of combo guard. Played a lot off the ball with Cholet over in France. Was a teammate of Rodrigue Beaubois. Saw him over in the Eurocamp, Mike, Jason and I did and Coach Bayno. Very creative. He's got some flair to his game. He's got good size. Probably going to have to be a point at our level. He needs to get stronger, but he's got a really good feel for the game and can make some plays for other people around him, which is appealing, especially for a guy his size.

Does he have to come over this year or can he be stashed?

"I think he gets drafted. I don't know, depending on what you want from him, if you feel like he's ready or not. I would say physically he's probably not quite ready, but basketball feel, IQ, skill level, he's probably pretty close. It's just going to depend on what you want from him. If you've got a spot for him maybe you consider bringing him over. But most teams would probably leave him overseas, if I had to guess."    

De Colo finds himself relatively high on this board because he's a mid-to-late second round target that can be held in Europe. He's kind of slight in frame and I'm not sure how much he will fill out. That could end up preventing him from really shining in the NBA.  Despite being much taller than Lawson, I'm not sure how successfully De Colo could match up with a taller, buillish guards like Tyreke Evans, especially given questions about his lateral foot speed.

All of that said, and all things being considered, De Colo is a solid NBA prospect.  If the Blazers continue to move their second round picks, however, the likelihood that he gets drafted to Portland decreases exponentially. 

DeMarre Carroll -- I flipped Carroll back over Dante Cunningham because it seems like questions about his health have been put to bed.  Really, the pack of 3/4s clustered between 20 and 40 are very hard to get a read on.  Carroll's stock has risen a bit and that actually could make him less likely to be a target for the Blazers as he might not be available early in the second round. I don't think it's particularly likely he ends up here.

Omri Casspi -- Casspi's name has been creating a lot of buzz behind the scenes over the last 24 hours. Sources believe he was the main impetus for the Blazers moving up to the #22 spot because Sacramento has significant interest in him at #23.  He projects really well statistically in Hollinger's Euro Rater and Kevin Pelton's EuroLeague Translations. The comparison names Pelton came up with were: Tim Thomas, Dirk Nowitski, Marvin Williams, Rudy Gay and Joe Johnson.  Not a bad group at all. Casspi's attitude has been praised so you've got to think Tim Thomas with a better attitude is pretty good if you're drafting late in this draft, especially considering Casspi just turned 21 this week.  I've heard the Nets, Bulls, and Spurs also have some level of interest in Casspi. I'm getting conflicting reports of the Blazers' own interest in Casspi as some believe they would pick him at #22 to use in a trade.  Of course it's no guarantee that the Blazers stay at #22.

Bumped off Board

  • Dante Cunningham -- 4 -- Villanova -- #8
  • Marcus Thornton -- 2 -- LSU --  #10
-- Ben (benjamin.golliver@gmail.com)

0 recs  |  Comment 18 comments |

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not at 22

KP will have to trade up above 20 (Utah) to get TH

I’d much rather have DeJuan Blair

by two4larue on Jun 25, 2009 8:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A deal for Hansbrough is possible, but the 22 isn't enough juice to get him.

I still think it’s a deal with the Nets at 11 and Blair that we’re looking at.

"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal

by timbo on Jun 25, 2009 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tyler H has a Matt Harpring upside

let the Jazz have him. I want Blair, who has a Larry Johnson upside

by two4larue on Jun 25, 2009 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We don't need upside

We need someone who can play now.

by tominhawaii on Jun 25, 2009 11:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

then

draft dejuan blair

ready to bang now, with a bigger upside than TH

by two4larue on Jun 25, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Like I told you the other day, it depends on the backup

Would you trade up in this draft for for Joel or Rudy?

They’re technically backups

DeJuan Blair would backup LMA, but he’s got game, similar to Joel and Rudy in quality.

DB would be a much better option than Outlaw, especially in the playoffs

by two4larue on Jun 25, 2009 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Should any small forward be on the list?

I’m not convinced the Blazers are trading Outlaw (not until they are confident in Webster’s return). That means Casspi is not really a target. However, if they do pick Cass – Outlaw is as good as gone (or he is part of a trade, or…)

I think Hansbrough is too low (I like Ellington, but Hansbrough would be better value right now due to playing time opportunity). I also think round 2 is relevant, and players like Jon Brockman should be on that list.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 25, 2009 8:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Well, Ben's criteria is
“Who would I be least surprised to see drafted by the Blazers this year, regardless of pick?”

Right now Omri Casspi should be #1, assuming KP stays at 22. (Then he’d trade Casspi to some other GM)

Maybe, Ben’s criteria should’ve been “Who would I be least surprised to see drafted and kept by the Blazers this year, regardless of pick?”

Much harder to predict that, at this point. (Pendergraph, probably. Hopefully not Lawson)

by two4larue on Jun 25, 2009 9:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Unless we are mind readers

SF is the most stacked position on the team – making it the least likely position to be addressed in the draft

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 25, 2009 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes, but read Ben's criteria again
"Who would I be least surprised to see drafted by the Blazers this year, regardless of pick?"

KP could draft Casspi for someone else. It’s still “technically” a Blazer draft choice. Just like the last few years where KP has drafted other guys and traded them for Roy, Batum, etc

Draft and KEEP is another story, and we agree…SF is not a position of immediate need

by two4larue on Jun 25, 2009 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know how much this board helps...

We know already, by virtue of the 24 -→ 22 trade that KP is trying to draft Omri Casspi.

We also know that this is part of something bigger.

I reckon we could say that they like Jeff Pendergraph a lot and will absolutely nail him if he comes clear at the 33. That’s no better than a 50-50.

Lawson is probably swell also — but why would they be spending so much to move up 2 slots with the 24 if he was the quarry? That’s not a big enough move to get him.

Ellington would be a shocking pick for the Blazers for themselves at 22; he is gone at 33.

Are they really chasing Hansbrough? Or is it not more likely that some big deal is in the works for Blair with New Jersey at the 11?

Danny Green is a reasonable guess for the 38, or Carroll if he’s still around at that point. Pendergraph won’t be.

More questions than answers…

"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal

by timbo on Jun 25, 2009 8:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I dont think they spent a lot

to move up 2 spots

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Jun 25, 2009 10:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hansbrough = #8 ????
Hansbrough might be the most familiar name on the board but he slots in below a number of players, including 2 of his college teammates, because of the likelihood that he is gone by pick 24 and the price it would take for the Blazers to move up and grab him. Do you really trade up for a backup power forward in this draft if you’re as conscious about cap flexibility as the Blazers seem to be?

Blazers now at 22 and DraftExpress has us picking him there.

He is a better fit for our needs than any player you have 1 thru 7

by spencerbutte on Jun 25, 2009 2:53 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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