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Spurs Draft Secrets.


I ran across this article on ESPN.com from Ric Bucher.  I thought this was a great article as it lends perspective to draft strategy from a solid franchise.  A few things really stood out to me.  One is that mantra that San Antonio brass followed of "Character not characters", meaning to draft players with high character and intangibles rather than somebody who is more interested in their sponsors and brand.   The other is that franchises don't expect to hit a home run with every pick.  You want to be able to target and draft players who will have productive careers... you don't have to land a star every time... But with this rule, you do need to take full advantage of high lottery picks.

 

Portland has really been focusing on "Character not characters" since the KP era began.  Also, Portland has done a great job in drafting players with high lottery picks (Brandon Roy, LaMarcus Aldridge and Greg Oden) and done a great job at finding solid contributors later in drafts (Sergio Rodriguez, Rudy Fernandez, Nic Batum)... Portland now only really needs to add players who can contribute to team as a role player... of course they could always find that diamond in the rough too.  When you manuever in a draft to grab a player like Jerryd Bayless who is workout warrior gym rat type kid... you know your GM is working to find winners who want to work hard.  At this point, I am completely confident in Kevin Pritchard's team to improve the Blazers this offseason.

 Here is that article:

The San Antonio Spurs are proof that drafting well may be less about consistently identifying great talent than having the patience and persistence to develop whatever great talent you find.

 

 

Despite having had only four of their last 19 draft picks play significant minutes for the franchise, the Spurs are the best drafting team over the past 20 years, according to our analytical assessment. That's because those four draft picks were Tim Duncan (19.29 estimated wins added), Tony Parker (9.45 EWA), Manu Ginobili (6.93 EWA) and Beno Udrih (1.33 EWA), players taken over the widest draft spectrum imaginable -- from Duncan at No. 1 to Ginobili at No. 57. All four players exceeded the expected value of their draft slot. Only Udrih is no longer with the franchise, and that was after three seasons in which he contributed to two championships.

 

 

D. Clarke Evans/Getty ImagesThe Spurs' big three are a product of San Antonio's brilliant approach to the draft.

 

 

"What the Spurs' draft record demonstrates is that you can't hit a home run every time," says David Kahn, the Minnesota Timberwolves' newly hired GM. "And everybody hits one once in a while. What they've avoided is striking out with the bases loaded, as in making a mistake at the top of the draft."

 

 

Only twice in the past 20 years have the Spurs had a lottery pick, and they made good use of both. The Duncan pick in '97 was huge. And in 1989, they grabbed Sean Elliott. His 2.38 EWA didn't fulfill expectations for his draft slot, but it was far better than Pervis Ellison (1.61), who went first to the Kings and Danny Ferry (0.49), who went second to the Clippers. In fact, of the top 10 picks in that forgettable '89 draft, only Glen Rice (who went to Miami at No. 4) met the expected EWA for his slot, and Elliott's career was far more productive than the likes of J.R. Reid, Stacey King, George McCloud and Randy White who followed. In other words, in Elliott's case, a pick that looks like a disappointment based on our methodology still could have been much, much worse.

 

 

Ferry, now GM of the Cavaliers, played and worked under Spurs coach/VP Gregg Popovich before being tapped to run the Cleveland franchise. He credits San Antonio's emphasis of character over characters as a major factor in why their best draft choices have thrived. The Spurs have made incremental, rather than drastic, overhauls of the roster. They've also consistently had a core of no-nonsense veterans, from Terry Cummings to David Robinson to Avery Johnson, to demonstrate the necessary focus and work ethic to incoming rookies.

 

 

"You have to have fertile ground," says Ferry. "You can have great talent, but you put it among rocks and weeds, it's not going to develop. Being 20-something and trying to figure out the league is hard enough. Now you constantly put him in a different style with a different group of players around him, it makes it only harder."

 

 

A glance at top drafting teams over the past two decades reveals a common trait: stability in leadership and philosophy. Popovich and GM RC Buford have both been with the team since 1994, sharing the same slow-growth philosophy. The next-best drafting teams, the Lakers and Suns, are also on a Vatican timetable when it comes to leadership changes. The Lakers' Jerry West was succeeded by his longtime right-hand man, Mitch Kupchak; the Suns' Jerry Colangelo was succeeded by his son, Bryan.

 

 

If the Spurs haven't taken the dip the other two teams have in win-loss records, it's because they've had the same coach, Popovich, for 13 of the past 20 years. That means less guesswork about what kind of player will thrive in their system, which is the exact opposite of what the Clippers, the worst-drafting team, have dealt with.

 

 

"They know what kind of talent works for Pop," says Ferry.

 

 

The Spurs were also one of the first teams to explore and mine overseas talent. Parker was playing in France when San Antonio made him the 28th pick in 2001. Ginobili, who hails from Argentina, was also playing in Europe when the Spurs made him the next-to-last pick in the '99 draft.

 

 

"They were one of the first to see the value of European and South American players for their work ethic and experience from starting to play professionally at an early age," says Kahn. "They weren't alone, but they were on the front tier."

 

 

San Antonio was also patient. Ginobili stayed in Europe three more years, developing his game, before joining the Spurs in 2002 and instantly helping them to a championship.

 

 

For all that, there was some luck involved as well. The Spurs had the second-worst record in 1997 behind Boston but slipped past the Celtics in the lottery for the No. 1 pick to get Duncan. Ginobili was too raw in '99 for anyone to think he'd become one of the all-time top-five foreign players -- "They took a flier on him," says one source -- and the Spurs pursued free agent point guard Jason Kidd in 2003 and planned to deal Parker to make room. Kidd, however, chose to re-sign with New Jersey.

 

 

So, all in all, they've made sensible decisions at the top of the draft and did the necessary homework to get ahead of the curve on a couple of long shots. It's a philosophy that Ferry and Oklahoma City GM Sam Presti, both products of the San Antonio organization, are now implementing.

 

 

Which means San Antonio could have competition for the best draft record over the next 20 years.

 

 

Ric Bucher is a senior writer for ESPN The Magazine and ESPN Insider.


Poll
With the NBA Draft just around the corner and transactions all over the NBA likely to happen around it, HOW CONFIDENT are you that Kevin Pritchard and the Brass are going to improve the Blazers this off-season?
Totally confident that the Blazers will take a big step forward thanks to the off-season work that will be done by KP
81 votes
I believe the Blazers will do some good on draft day, but only increase overall talent incrementally
87 votes
Nuetral
2 votes
Not very confident that the Blazers will be improved after this off-season, they need players that are unatainable
8 votes

178 votes | Poll has closed

2 recs  |  Comment 9 comments

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"Character not characters"

Love that quote.

My favorite teams are the Blazers and any team that is playing the Lakers.

by OCBlazerFan1 on Jun 17, 2009 9:35 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

"They know what kind of talent works for Pop," says Ferry.

Does Kevin Pritchard know what kind of talent “works” for Nate McMillian?

If so, then why draft Sergio?

(hopefully has learned a thing or two, since then)

by two4larue on Jun 17, 2009 10:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Even Gregg Popovich had issues like that when he was an assistant coach in San Antonio during ...

the late-‘80s, as head coach Larry Brown didn’t mesh well with Popovich’s first big European find, Zarko Paspalj, who was out of the league after just one season.

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C0DE0DB1E38F931A25755C0A9639C8B63&pagewanted=all

Back in the late-‘80s, however, Atlanta, Golden State, Portland, and San Antonio were the only teams that really got into scouting foreign players. It’s paid off in the long run, though.

by AK1984 on Jun 18, 2009 1:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You do know

Pritchard was a scout for the Spurs

Draft Cole Aldrich 2010

by jlarose78 on Jun 17, 2009 10:34 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

why yes

I also know Danny Ferry is no longer with the Spurs

RC Buford knows what kind of players that Pop likes, and acquires talent to fit the Spurs system.

We know KP likes winners with superior character and work ethic. (Nothing wrong with that, especially after the J-B era.) But what exactly is the Blazer’s system? Who defines it? And when is their timeline to start “pushing” for a championship? Roy and Nate say “we were born ready”

KP is more like an Ent (“now, let’s not be hasty…”)

by two4larue on Jun 18, 2009 12:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The timeline looks pretty obvious to me.....

….they are ready to start challenging next year, with the understanding that it may take one or two more years to reach the promise land. BRoy said it at the end of the season.

How fast they get there depends on how fast the youngin’s, especially Greg, develop. It doesn’t take a lot of imagination to see that the team is much closer than most of the national media realizes. When you realize that they won 54, with four rookies, with a starter out for the season, and with 8 out of 10 rotation players under 25, they are very close with what they have on the roster right now.

by upper left corner on Jun 18, 2009 7:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Any other team besides houston (and maybe Dallas)…

Lakers: Complete domination at home and possible domination on the road.
Denver: Complete domination the last game and like a sweep.
Orlando: Yeah, we could do that.

"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.

But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html

by ratbastird on Jun 18, 2009 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How fast they get there depends on

What KP does or doesn’t do in the next 30-45 days

Nate was already looking forward to the free agency period, yesterday “once we get through the draft, we’ll know what we need” etc

I think they should already know “what they need” to compete and go deeper into the playoffs, next year

and (most of it) can’t be found in the draft

by two4larue on Jun 18, 2009 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very true but
(most of it) can’t be found in the draft

It can be found during the draft ;)

Offseason:
PG Options: Mike Conley Jr(T)/Jrue Holiday(D)/Rodrigue Beaubois(D)
SG Options: Mickaël Piétrus(T)/Terrence Williams(D)/Paul Harris(D)
Forward Options: Serge Ibaka(T)/Taj Gibson(D)/Ater Majok(D)
C Options: Alexis Ajinca(T)/Bamba Fall(D)

by TheGreatDane17 on Jun 22, 2009 11:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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