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Draft Prospect Board, Version 2.0

In case you missed the first edition of the Draft Prospect Board, here's a summary...

The following draft board ranks the players who have worked out for the Blazers in Portland only. This board takes into account a number of things...

  • My impressions of the players given the limited amount of time I am able to see them play/shoot combined with their off-court demeanor
  • Statements made by Chad Buchanan, Nate McMillan and Kevin Pritchard and other workout attendees (team employees and/or media)
  • Player rankings provided by Draft Express and Chad Ford  
  • Positional needs: If two prospects are equal but play different positions, tie goes to the position where the Blazers lack depth.  
  • Second Round Bias: The Blazers currently have 1 first round pick and 4 second round picks so it's mathematically likelier that we'll see second round prospects on next year's roster than first round prospects.

This board is not an attempt to predict who the Blazers will select, who will be the best professional or who is the best player today.  

Instead, this board aims to answer the question "Who would I be least surprised to see drafted by the Blazers this year, regardless of pick?"  

Draft Prospect Board v2.0, 06/16/09

            Player -- Projected NBA Position -- Current Team -- Previous Rank

  1. Omri Casspi -- 3 -- Israel -- #1 
  2. Wayne Elllington -- 2 -- UNC -- #2 
  3. Chris Johnson -- 4 -- LSU -- #3
  4. Danny Green -- 2 -- UNC -- #4
  5. DeMarre Carroll -- 4 -- Missouri  -- #5 
  6. Marcus Thornton -- 2 -- LSU -- first time on board 
  7. Jerel McNeal -- 1 -- Marquette -- #8
  8. Jeff Adrien -- 4 -- Connecticut -- #9
  9. Jonas Jerebko -- 3 -- Sweden -- first time on board 
  10. Jermaine Taylor -- 2 -- Central Florida -- first time on board

Thoughts

The top five positions on the board remain unchanged although I went back and forth for quite awhile deciding exactly where Marcus Thornton fits. Today's three new additions are Thornton, Jonas Jerebko and Jermaine TaylorClick here to read summaries of their games and their workouts.

I slot Thornton below both Ellington and Green on this board because the team seemed slightly more impressed by Ellington's refined, catch-and-shoot game and Green's defense and size.  I think they liked Thornton too but he is more of a scorer rather than a pure shooter and the team seems to be leaning towards shooters. It's somewhat difficult to envision the team drafting an undersized scorer like Thornton unless it comes down to "Best Player Available" and they simply can't pass him up. Thornton's high skill level likely gives the Blazers only once chance to draft him and I think there will be other players available at #24 that they would prefer.

Jerebko slots into the #9 position because of his defensive skills, physicality and because if you stretched Petteri Koponen like silly putty he would look like Jerebko.  His inability to hit from distance is a red flag in my opinion and that's what separates him from a guy like Casspi (who has shot mechanic issues himself, as I discussed previously, but at least he can make uncontested jumpers) for the Blazers. I think Jerebko is probably off the board by the time the Blazers pick for the second time and I have a hard time seeing them using the #24 pick on him.  

Jermaine Taylor winds up at the #10 position despite being ranked higher than Jerel McNeal on most draft boards because Taylor, like Thornton, is a tweener (most naturally an undersized 2) known more for his versatile scoring game.  McNeal offers better defense and ball-handling and would seem to have a better chance keeping up with NBA point guards. It's hard to see the Blazers using an early second round pick on Taylor. It's somewhat easier to see them using a late second on McNeal.

In any case, the last two paragraphs are somewhat moot because Jerebko and Taylor will find themselves dropped off this board after tomorrow's workout, which feature big(ish) names like Tyler Hansbrough, Darren Collison and Jeff Pendergraph. 

Dropped off previous board because they withdrew from draft 

  • Greivis Vasquez  -- 1 -- Maryland -- #6
  • Damion James  -- 3/4 -- Texas -- #7

Bumped off Board

  • Jeremy Pargo -- 1 -- Gonzaga -- #10

-- Ben (benjamin.golliver@gmail.com)

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Outside thoughts on the internationals

We certainly don’t need a 3, but both guys could be stashed, so I can see some interest in Omri and Jonas. I’ve read opinions that Omri is a bit of a prima donna and not necessarily a great team guy. On the other hand, Jerebko impressed at the Reebok camp with rebounding, defense and hussle, all things we need more of at the SF position.

So, I’d probably move one down and the other up some.

by hoopla-pdx on Jun 16, 2009 6:01 PM PDT reply actions  

one other thing i didn’t mention is that jonas is 2 years older than casspi which is a factor in my ranking. if you can’t shoot the rock by 22 i don’t think the blazers have a place for you at the 3 right now.

by Ben Golliver on Jun 16, 2009 7:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

This one will make you feel better about Jerebko's touch...

SHOOTING THE 3-BALL AT EUROCAMP

"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal

by timbo on Jun 16, 2009 6:21 PM PDT reply actions  

that's because of the agents

They’re not gonna let the guys who are supposed to be chosen in the teens to work out for the team that’s slotted 24th

which is really dumb, since KP has shown he’ll range as far north on the board as he has to, to draft the guy he wants

by two4larue on Jun 16, 2009 8:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm still convinced KP is trading up. The question is whether he's targeting a rucker 4 or a PG...

If he is going for for Blair, he needs to get #11 or #12, because Indiana has him at #13. Blair is the best glass-eater in the draft, I think.

I have no idea who he is after if he is chasing a PG.

I’d be perfectly happy to snare Ellington at 24.

"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal

by timbo on Jun 16, 2009 10:10 PM PDT reply actions  

Jerel McNeal -- 1 ?????

Ben, you have him listed as a Point Guard? No one else does.

Is that a typo?

by spencerbutte on Jun 16, 2009 10:45 PM PDT reply actions  

That's a nice job Ben.

You’d better save this post ‘cuz I wouldn’t be surprised to see it’s on the mark.

Me, I’m only hoping -- hoping, hoping hoping that we trade up to a much higher position to grab Stephen Curry. But his stock seems to keep rising, so it is becoming more unlikely that we will be able to give what it takes to snag this special talent. Still, we have as many young trading chips as anyone in the game. I haven’t given up yet.

Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave

Also: COMCAST SUCKS!

by TwoDeep on Jun 16, 2009 10:52 PM PDT reply actions  

I meant to mention ....

I don’t follow college basketball prospects that closely, but when I saw Curry two years ago in the 2008 NCAA tournament, I was totally enthralled with his many abilities. Very, very special.

Curry a Blazer? Along with BRpy and Aldridge and Oden? I think I’m just dreamin’. I’m sure there is little chance of it happening.

Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave

Also: COMCAST SUCKS!

by TwoDeep on Jun 16, 2009 11:00 PM PDT reply actions  

if KP wants him, he could have him.

proud hinrichsheeple

by Cablinasian on Jun 17, 2009 12:09 AM PDT up reply actions  

Curry would be a very good fit next to Roy

excellent sharp shooter, Good all round skills like Roy. Trade segio, Frye, #24, to NY for Curry. Then pick up Carlos Boozer for back up PF. Even his name sounds tough.

by blazerbill on Jun 17, 2009 1:32 AM PDT reply actions  

Utah is high on Hansbrough to replace Boozer.

Boozer is 28 yrs old, he will be fine with being a back up. Or we could just get Hansbrough. I see him playing like Turkoglu, hard nose, hussle, generalist guy.

by blazerbill on Jun 17, 2009 1:41 AM PDT reply actions  

Bayless or Curry, who is a better fit?

Looking at the physical measurements:
 

Height = Bayless 6’-3" , Curry 6’-2" . Wingspan= Bayless 6’-3-1/2" , Curry 6’-3-1/2". No step vert= Bayless 31", Curry 29.5" . Max. vert.= Bayless 38", Curry 35.5".

Agility = Bayless 11.26 s, Curry 11.05 s . 3/4 sprint= Bayless 3.07s , Curry 3.28s .

In terms of physical measurements, Bayless has been considered being the better of the two to defend the quicker guards, although Curry beat Bayless in the agility test.

Do we give up on Bayless so soon? He hardly had the chance to prove himself. Yet, Curry is an offensive machine, but considered average in quickness.

I just don’t know…..

by blazerbill on Jun 17, 2009 2:49 AM PDT reply actions  

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