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The Three Young Guys


OK, here's the last gasp before we start getting hardcore into the draft.  (Notice:  GM selection for the Blazersedge mock draft will begin tomorrow.  Be on your toes if you want to participate.)  As we've wandered through the team needs and trade possibilities we've bumped up against this issue many a time until finally now we're flat-out addressing it.

Let's assume for the sake of the conversation that the Blazers desire to make at least one reasonably-sized move this summer to acquire some prime-veteran talent with an eye towards filling a starting role.  Throw in any reasonable name you want...it really doesn't matter.  Let's also assume that as fond as we are of Travis and Steve and a couple other guys who are easy trade speculation fodder, that alone isn't going to get it done.  Our trading partner for the Guy We Really Want is coming back hardcore.  "We need Travis or Steve or one of those other guys, sure, but we want one of your three young players with promising talent in addition."

The three guys in question are Rudy Fernandez, Nicolas Batum, and Jerryd Bayless.  The Blazers are going to be keeping two of them but one goes into the trade.

Questions:

1.  Which one of the three do you think the Blazers would be most willing to part with and why?

2.  Which one of the three would YOU be most willing to part with and why?

3.  If your answer to both those questions is an absolutely firm, unbreakable "NONE OF THEM!!!" then tell us why...remembering that the premise of the question is that the Blazers want one veteran starter to add.  In other words give us a reason beyond, "The Blazers don't need a veteran."  Give us things intrinsic to each player that makes each absolutely indispensible no matter what the team wants otherwise.

This is somewhat similar to the "Batum vs. Fernandez" conversation we had a few weeks ago but it's different in a key way:  this is not hypothetical.  We're not comparing them just against each other.  This is for real, considering all of the factors involved with these players, the team, and their trade value.

With the pulse taken here, I believe our early off-season main page trade talk is completed until more solid rumors come out.  But I'm thinking this very question will play a key part in the trade buzz that surrounds the team this summer.

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

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Comments

Display:

This one's a toughy

I really don’t like to think about this….

Here are some reasons to keep each one (keep in mind, I’m sure there are more reasons than I’m listing for each):

Rudy Fernandez: Already productive offensively; can handle pressure situations (AKA clutch); provides some sort of veteran-ness because he’s played in Europe for a while; raises the sexiness level of the Blazers 5 notches.

Nic Batum: Lock-down defense especially on the perimeter; decent 3-point shooter who will only get better; can run the floor for fast breaks AND erase some on the other end; tremendous potential… he’s only 19!

Jerryd Bayless: Good work ethic; brings intensity to the game; can jump through the rough; can create his own shot; athletic.

My reasoning for who the Blazers would give up and who I would give up are the same: Rudy would go(really it’s just a toss-up) because I’m not so sure his ceiling is as high as the other two. I could be completely wrong, but comparing his averages in Europe to the NBA, there wasn’t much of a difference. Granted, that alone is evidence that he improved, as the NBA is much more competetive than Europe. Also, he is older than Batum or Bayless and thus might be closer to peaking. Even though his production right now is better than the other two (offensively), I don’t think his max will be as high as theirs. So basically, I’m just banking on potential (yes, I’m one of those guys).

by SugarMoses on Jun 15, 2009 12:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I pretty much agree with SM, I'll just add a few things

I’m on the Bayless train. I think it is more likely than not that he’ll be a good to great starter. He just needs another year or so with consistent playing time. I’ve mentioned it before, but he used to be a great jump shooter. His shot needed to be retooled a bit, and it was in limbo this year. I’m confident that will be fixed in short order. Once that is taken care of, all he really needs is consistent passes (pick and roll) to Greg, and he’s all the PG we need.

Batum has all kinds of potential to be the small forward we all want. I think it’s been covered ad nauseum here on BE.

Rudy is fantastic. I love the guy, and he’s fun to watch. He’s a productive player on offense. I also think he’s pretty close to his ceiling, and I don’t think he’s ever going to be much of a defender.

Of these three guys, Rudy has the highest trade value right now. He also plays at the position we need least, thanks to Brandon. Bayless will also work well in a small, 3 guard rotation with Brandon and another PG. Nic and Martell can also back up the SG position.

2 hot 2 stop it

by dan_the_man on Jun 15, 2009 1:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

well said...

I think what you said about Bayless is spot on… he’s gonna get there… it’s not a question of if but of when. All these “trade Bayless” people are gonna be eating their words, there’s just no doubt about it (IMO).

And I think what you said about Rudy’s trade value’s important too. He almost certainly has the highest trade value… at least on paper. So that’s another thing to factor in.

And for the record… if Rudy is only a season or two from his ceiling, he can probably make a good name for himself as being that sharpshooter who either starts or comes of the bench and just brings that spark that he has. And occasionaly he’ll have a top 10 dunk on Sports Center.

by SugarMoses on Jun 15, 2009 3:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

trading the Spanish Armada

If Rudy is the first to go, which team(s) would like both Spaniards? Perhaps Toronto could add to their collection. I vaguely remember that they received their largest ovations in NYC and Washington D.C.; what a p.r. success for either of those teams!

by kacee on Jun 15, 2009 9:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Washington could be okay if they stayed healthy

Arenas/Rudy/Butler/Jamison is a pretty solid 4some. The problem is that everyone not named Rudy is injured half the time.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Its hard for me to answer this

I would say for 1 and 2 the one least likely to go is Batum for what he could become in the future as a premium defensive stopper.

That leave Bayless and Rudy which I think the answer for 1 and I know the answer for 2 is Bayless, BUT I feel it will be harder to get something really good for Bayless (although not incredebly difficult) and really easy to get something pretty darn good for Rudy (depending on the situation). Also Roy makes Rudy expendable. Bayless is also expendable but if we trade both Blake and Sergio he suddenly is much less expendable (also with Bayless and Webster both able to cut into open backup SG minutes left by Rudy). This is hard for me to say as Rudy is probably my second or third favorite current Blazer (Roy is clear 1st, LMA sometimes is my 2nd, Sometimes it’s Rudy).

"Sometimes I catch myself watching him and he's shooting floaters all-net. And just to watch how he's talking trash. I loved it. I loved every minute of it. Rudy's a competitor." - Brandon Roy

by Trail Ducker on Jun 15, 2009 12:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

NONE OF THEM!!!

And my reasoning:

Rudy: His swagger. I think he’s something special and I don’t want to see him in another uniform. He’s like a new toy that I haven’t gotten to play with nearly enough yet.

Batum: I believe he has the potential to become one of the most prolific defenders in the NBA and will sooner than later bring more to the team than any veterans we could get.

Bayless: Apparently KP is sold on him completey, absolutely enamored wth him. ’Nuff said.

Disclaimer: Poster reserves the right to withdraw this comment if including one of these guys in a trade brings us either Chris Paul, LeBron James, Dwight Howard, Dwane Wade, K*be Bryant, or Deron Williams.

"The Edge... there is no honest way to explain it because the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over."

by GonzoFan on Jun 15, 2009 12:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

you could base it on the fact that the Blazers had a positive net PER at SF

even though they were starting a 19-yr old international rookie. That positive net PER comes in spite of relatively low offensive production, and was good enough to rank 7th out of all NBA teams.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

due to Brandon Roy’s incredible thirteen minutes per game he played at small forward.

proud hinrichsheeple

by Cablinasian on Jun 15, 2009 11:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just my personal opinion.

You cool with that?

"The Edge... there is no honest way to explain it because the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over."

by GonzoFan on Jun 15, 2009 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think it really depends on the position we are trading for.

1. Bayless if we are getting a PG, Batum if we are getting a SF. Rudy would seem like a bad option unless the Blazers plan was to move Webster to SG. Roy doesn’t play nearly the whole game like LMA can, so we definately don’t want to ruin the minutes behind Roy with another rookie. Since PG is the most important position to improve in my opinion, I say that Bayless would be the most likely to be traded. Bring in a better PG and don’t weaken the position by getting rid of JBay.

Without thinking any deeper, I think the Blazers value their international players at a higher level as improving their international fanbase is one of their clear goals. Rudy & Batum are therefore more valuable to the Blazers than Bayless again. Not to mention Rudy & Batum have shown off amazing rookie seasons, while Bayless has been disappointing.

2. None of them. I could put Bayless here for some of the reasons above, but good PGs take a few years to season in most cases. Bayless may be the most important Blazer of the three in a few years.

For me, it is the culture thing. These guys are hard workers and they have a professional attitude. They also love the game. I don’t want some prima dona ‘read star power’ player over these guys. I also hear what Ben has to say about Bayless, and I take it seriously. If Ben, a guy who spends some serious time watching these guys, says that Bayless is something special beyond what we are seeing, I’m going to assume he isn’t just in it because he loves Bayless’s shoes.

Realisticly, I don’t think there is anyone out there that we could get that I would prefer over these three guys.

by staylost on Jun 15, 2009 12:59 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Completely situational for me.

It completely depends on who/what we would be getting in return. I dont see the point in trading away any of our young potential stars for an over priced aging vet ala Hinrich/Prince/Turkey/etc. While I think those guys are definite upgrades over what we have at their positions now in two or three years they wont be. I like Hinrich, but if we are not getting him from the Bulls in a lopsided/salary dump trade I like him a lot less.

If by some KP miracle we were going secure an elite (and I mean top-tier/all star/Chris Paul type PG) then I would be most willing to let go of Bayless as we would need him the least if we bring in some all-star point. Bayless may be the best of the group in a few years but as of right now he is more expendable than Batum or Rudy in my eyes.

Really I cant think of any realistic options out there that I would be okay giving up any of them. The only way I could see moving any of the three would be in a blockbuster deal that would bring a top 10-15 player to Portland which I dont see happening. So I guess my answer is none of them.

by TheSportsPsychologist on Jun 15, 2009 1:10 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Depends on when our championship window starts.

If it’s next year I would move Bayless for playoff experience. If it’s any time after next year I would move Rudy.

by TPforprez on Jun 15, 2009 1:15 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

My best guess

Rudy is the most expendable of the three listed. He is an off-guard, which is the position currently held by our best player. While Batum and Bayless both lack the polish that Fernandez does, they both fill long term needs more than Rudy does.
As for who I feel is most likely to be traded, I think its a toss-up between Bayless and Rudy. Rudy’s current trade value is probably higher than Bayless’, however if there is a team that is looking for someone to groom to replace an aging veteran, or a team that really wants to fast break, then Bayless could probably be had for an established veteran that fills a need.
For my own tastes, I’d be most willing to part with Rudy, for some of the same reasons I listed in the first paragraph. I would feel bad about moving Rudy just one year after convincing him to leave millions on the table in Europe to come to the NBA, but I’m just not ready to give up on Bayless or Batum just yet.

"Smile! You're on a poster!!" - Mike Rice

by lefty6283 on Jun 15, 2009 1:27 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

This is my reasoning

But you beat me to it. I love Rudy, but he plays the 2.

by parkinglotj on Jun 15, 2009 8:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

NONE OF THEM!!

Don’t trade young talent for aging veterens for short term results. . Batum, Rudy, Bayless, could all be better than Hinrich, Prince, or any older guy that takes their place. At this point in their careers, I value their potential over a veteren. We know what Outlaw can do (I like him and want to keep him), as well as Sergio, Frye. We should trade the players we have had for several years, but not the ones with untapped skills, until we see what they can do first.

by blazerbill on Jun 15, 2009 1:43 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

You have now added Bayless

You previously had the same questions comparing Batum & Rudy

1. I am more excited to see how Rudy blossoms next season because right now Rudy has the more exciting game and the better short-term prospects. Batum has some great tools but Rudy is closer to being a great player.

2. Down the road, as long as Batum keeps his confidence and develops more aggressiveness, particularly attacking the rim on offense, I think Batum has all the tools to fill a huge hole: defensive stopper on the wing. I think he’ll blend in with anyone we decide to start next to him. Rudy will too offensively but I think the Blazers will have enough offensive players to get by. It’s a tough call, but Batum by a nose.

3. For the same reasons…Batum.

—Dave

I say Bayless is expendable if a better PG is the target player for the trade.

by spencerbutte on Jun 15, 2009 1:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

My take

1. I think the Blazers would be most willing to part with Rudy. Many BE members have pointed out that Rudy is sort of stuck between a rock and a hard place. Being behind Brandon Roy on the depth chart isn’t a good place for a player of his value and even though 3 guard lineups work in short stretches we can’t hope to make that a 30 minute a game feature. Furthermore, because of his high value (cheap contract for production), but easy to find primary skill set (3 pointers, his other skills aren’t as common, but they aren’t his main contribution) I think Blazer management would move Rudy if the right deal came along. We certainly wouldn’t be able to get as good of a replacement value wise (production for the money), but we could pick up a 3 point specialist to replace 75% of what we get with Rudy.

I think the Blazers see Bayless with more value in his potential than in his worth in a trade. He could develop into a good starting PG that compliments Roy. It’s worth waiting around for. Bayless isn’t going to bring much value back in a trade at least not the kind of value that nets us a starting PG to replace Blake or a starting SF that is clearly better than Webster/Batum/Outlaw.

The same thing goes for Batum with the added plus that he has consistently demonstrated the skill set we want at the 3 spot. Batum’s worth to the Blazers is much higher than his trade value (just like Bayless) and it makes sense to keep him. Both Batum and Bayless don’t have to worry about playing behind our best player either.

2. If this is a basketball decision I go with what I said in number 1. If it’s a “which guys would I rather have in a Blazer uniform due to pure emotional homerism” decision I go with Batum and Rudy. It’s not Bayless’ fault he didn’t get as much playing time as the other two, but I am just more attached to those guys.

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on Jun 15, 2009 2:02 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The premise assumes rough equivalency of the three ...

therefore, Bayless’s value ascends to that of Batum and Fernandez and he should be traded. Portland has two great needs. One is solid PG backup play, which either a new veteran could provide or, if he’s supplanted by one, Blake could provide. Batum’s high ceiling and Webster’s probable recovery makes the team deep at SF. The only other apparent need is muscle & gonads at PF. If he will accept the role, Rudy could be the Blazers key sixth man for the foreseeable future. Bayless may have a high ceiling, but that’s less certain than for the other two. If other teams evaluate him of equal value to Batum and Fernandez, I say cash him in now. That’s both the Blazer’s and my view.

And that’s the truth.

by Trutherlizer on Jun 15, 2009 2:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

if Bayless's value were as high as Rudy's or Nic's

he probably would be just as productive. I’d hazard a guess (and wager my house on it) that Bayless has no where near the trade value of the other two. That isn’t a knock on Bayless’s potential, but those other two were key players right off the bat, and Bayless looked horrible shooting the J. Give Bayless a J, and I would adjust my opinion accordingly.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He was a good shooter in High School, a good shooter at UA, a good shooter in summer league.....

…..my guess is that he will be a good shooter in the NBA. Many of the coaches and the media said he was good in practice.

Why the problems in the game? My guess is that he was trying too hard and thinking too much. He is trying to learn PG decision-making. It is not surprising that this messed with his shot. Give him regular minutes, and he will relax, and you will be rewarded. It isn’t a sure deal, but it is a very good bet.

by upper left corner on Jun 15, 2009 8:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

First Time Doing This

….so here goes.

I think the answer to both questions is the one I like the least, and that’s Rudy Fernandez. Rudy offers the fire and intensity that comes from playing high profile basketball for years, and he can get the Rose Garden going like no other. However, I feel that if we do keep him, he will never be able to be anything but Roy’s backup. Bayless and Batum both offer enormous potential, but there isn’t the absolute clarity at the 1 or the 3 that we have at the 2.

Bayless has the absurd agility, the “ludicrous speed” setting and the ability to get to the rim that are all becoming must-have traits in NBA point guards. Steve Blake, for all that he is done for this team, is a borderline starter in the NBA, and I don’t really see him being able to help guide the team to anything beyond the first or second round. Bayless seems to have the intangible fierceness, ambition, and unflagging desire to win that will get a team through a slump in a key, late-game playoff cold streak, and that’s why I see him as a starter a few years down the line.

Batum needs to bulk up, but he has the footwork, the frame and the mindset to be a lockdown defender; even more so than he is already. The offense will come with time. He’s definitely not there yet, but he has All-Star potential at the very least, and he’s still very early in his development. Batum was, in his rookie year, a starter. End of story. Sure, he got his 12-15 minutes a night and let Outlaw come off the bench and do his thing. BUT, at the end of the day, he was still the starter.

SO, what we have are two probable starters, and one player who will always be second banana to the heart and soul of this team. And that’s why, as much as it pains me….Rudy Fernandez is the answer to both questions 1 and 2. Rudy has enormous value after this season, and if you put him in a package with Steve or Trout, you know we’d be getting a high-caliber player in return. Trading Rudy and some combination of the players stacked up at the 1 and the 3 gets you the veteran starter to complement Brandon, and hopefully facilitates the development of our remaining young talent.

Cheers.

by emc503 on Jun 15, 2009 2:44 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

good job - do it again please

rec for “ludicrous speed” setting. Douglas Adams RIP – Elgin

VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.

by 22baylor on Jun 15, 2009 9:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rudy for (consistent, veteran offensive threat)

Rudy is one of my favorite blazers but i we could get a lot out of him and still keep our highly talented young developing stars.

Why? He wants to be a starter and i don’t really see him improving his game to a higher level. Besides alley-oops and open 3 point shots Rudy’s defensive presence and ball handling skills are below par. Package him with one of the players mentioned with a little bank and we should have a stellar player being added to our roster.

by dew0lfe on Jun 15, 2009 2:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not that I've heard.

People are trying to drag out reasons beyond the obvious one (Roy at the SG) to get Rudy traded for the guy they like.

It appears Rudy is winning at this losers contest, but the joke continues to be on Bayless. People don’t want to trade him because he’s not worth much…

by staylost on Jun 15, 2009 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rudy?

I find it hard to believe that this team would ever trade Rudy. Weren’t one of the largest goal of the new organization to take the Blazers global? Why would we trade our one European star if one of our goals is to take our image global? Besides he’s WAY more loved over-seas that here, and he’s quite loved here. Trading Rudy just doesn’t make sense to me on a lot of levels. If anything I’d see the Blazers dropping a couple of younger American prospects to pick up some more European or Asian talent.

"I've learned one thing, and that's to quit worrying about stupid things. You have four years to be irresponsible here. Relax. Work is for people with jobs. You'll never remember class time, but you'll remember time you wasted hanging out with your friends. So, stay out late. Go out on a Tuesday with your friends when you have a paper due Wednesday. Spend money you don't have. Drink 'till sunrise. The work never ends, but college does" - Tom Petty

by Work?nah... on Jun 15, 2009 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bulls Fan Wondering

Ive taken a liking to rudy’s game, and the bulls may need a sg this upcoming season with the ben gordon situation. Would you guys be willing to take something like Hinrich, Salmons, This years 16th pick, and next years 1st rounder for Rudy and Blake?

Portland
Hinrich/Bayless
Brandon Roy/Salmons/Webster
Batum/Outlaw/Salmons
Aldridge/pick number 16 (blair?)
Oden/Pryz

if salmons is not needed you could have any player not named Rose, Deng, or Noah

On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, majoyenrac, Bullshooter and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light!

by piccolomair on Jun 15, 2009 3:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I would do it in a heartbeat.

Hinrich + Salmons+ 16th pick(Blair) pretty much rounds out the Blazers roster for the next 6 years or longer. I think that would put us into contention for a title immediately and it wouldn’t be a bad deal for the Bulls either.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 7:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd do it if...

We still had some sort of deal on the table for Outlaw/Sergio. There isn’t enough playing time to go around at SG/SF even if we got rid of Rudy.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 8:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

True.

I thought about that too.

I think having the 16th and 24th pick + Outlaw/Sergio/Webster/Bayless/Blake gives you a lot of leverage and flexibility on draft day. I have no idea what you could do with that, but I’m sure KP would do something magical.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 8:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well Blake woulda been dealt to bulls

So take him off and replace him with Salmons who we could easily trade if we kept Webster around to play some backup 2.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 8:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes.

That’s like the most trade assets ever.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 8:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, the tough part is trading them up

Obviously you can’t just say “Here take Outlaw, Sergio, Webster, Salmons, Bayless, and 2 draft picks, now give us CP3”

Too bad about that too :-(

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 9:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

if only...

although sometimes i think people think like that

by GreatOden'sRaven on Jun 15, 2009 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think like that a lot.

Then I wake up.
Then I remember that we could have had him for Martell Webster.
Then I cry.

by MiledAnimal on Jun 15, 2009 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, I would do this trade

thanks for stopping by! Please visit us often. – Elgin

VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.

by 22baylor on Jun 15, 2009 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

sure, and I've got some great land for you too!

No way the Bulls will deal 2 potential starters like this. Pie in the sky couldn’t taste any better.

by kacee on Jun 15, 2009 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Potential starters?

If they have Gordon and Rose, that equates to ZERO potential starters.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

For the Bulls,

Hinrich was the starter until injury/Rose this season, and I would bet he would start on most teams. Salmons was starting at SF after the trade deadline with Gordon/Rose/Thomas/Noah. Salmons also started for Sacramento, but I realize that’s not saying much.

by kacee on Jun 15, 2009 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Salmons started

 cuz deng got injured btw. If the bulls resign ben gordon, the starters would be Rose, Gordon, Deng, Tyrus, Noah.

On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, majoyenrac, Bullshooter and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light!

by piccolomair on Jun 18, 2009 12:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would do that pretty quickly I must say

and then I would try and flip Salmons and Outlaw for another bruiser at PF and draft picks

by GreatOden'sRaven on Jun 15, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

1) Rudy 2) Bayless

My reasons for this are: Rudy plays the same position as Roy and may not be a long term Blazer as they haven’t proved to have exceptional chemistry on the court. He needs 30 minutes a game and that may not happen if Brandon becomes less productive with him on the floor. I don’t necessarily agree to all this, but I think that’s the general gist. And I think that KP gushes over Bayless and believes he is the answer.
I am less sure of Bayless being a player that can run an offense next to Roy than I am of the other two and their respective positions. We know much more about the other two players, I feel. Not as much of a question mark as BAyless. However, I do beleive KP knows what kind of player Bayless will become, and that is the future pg of the Blazers, next to Roy.

by Dudehere on Jun 15, 2009 3:19 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

1. Bayless and 2. Rudy

This is assuming we could find a team enamored with Bayless at the same level of trade value as Rudy.

If not then I would say they are equal

Nic is the defensive SF this team was looking for a year ago. He is insanely young and still needs to prove himself more. But talent on defense is going to do nothing but improve as he learns veteran skills.

Bayless has proved very little in real games. Rex will grow into a better player with his determination. However the person who is setting all the work out records was Sergio and his improvement on this team has been marginal. If the team commits to him and he in someway earns the minutes to develop next year I could see him growing. But I worry that if management treats him like they did this year he could end up being Sergio 2.0 . He will never be a pure point but I hope he at least fits in and doesn’t become the third 2 gaurd.

Rudy, Small,defense was poor, poor penetration shown his rookie year. Great shooting, athletic near 40 inch vertical, smart, good anticipation and seems to have a way of making big plays down the stretch, he is now seasoned and a lot of Europeans improve there second year in the league. I would hold on to him for at least another year so that we don’t lose a potentially very special player. He plays great with Roy Offense efficiency really high with the two of them. Defense for him should improve especially if he can get more strength.

"Knowledge will get you from A to B. Creativity will get you anywhere." Einstein

by Garden of ODEN on Jun 15, 2009 4:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I hesitate in all options...

I would love to stand pat. However, in order to compete for a title next year, I doubt we can do that. With that being said, I would have to say that the talent we would need to be recieving would have to be superb for me to be willing to reliquish any of them. Why?

Rudy: You can’t deny his impact all last season. Rookie Record Holder for 3’s Made in a season? I sure didn’t see that coming. His swagger is something that everyone talks about, and rightfully so. He’s exciting, and he knows it. So, he when he starts heating up, he lets us know it. His basketball I.Q. is off the charts. Very rarely did I see him firing up ill advised shots. Defensively, he had some lapses. But, throughout the series with Houston, I watched he and Von Wafer chase each other all over the court, and make each other work for each and every shot they got. Wafer tended to light the Blazers up when Rudy wasn’t around. Coincidence? I doubt it.

Nicolas: As far as I’m concerned, he is untouchable. I am thoroughly convinced that he is going to be an all-Defense player some day, our version of Shane Battier. The guy who plays solid defense every game, and a clutch shooter. The only difference is that Nic can run, and doesn’t have to be a vocal leader at times. I wouldn’t trade him for anyone. Period. Not even LeBron.

Jerryd: The one man who I’m not as high on as everyone else. Yes, he does seem to have all the tools needed to compete, and excel in the NBA. Why then did he not play as much as Sergio? Is he not a practice player? I doubt this. I think we may be overrating him. As far as I’m concerned, he’s unproven. Yeah, he could score against D-Leaguers. He was good in college. But he has yet to show me that he is the one. In this respect I would be willing to trade him rather than the others, especially if it would mean we could obtain another point guard, and keep Steve at the same time. However, even though he is, in my mind, the most tradeable of our young guys I still wouldn’t deal him. The potential upside of him is astounding. He has the body of a beast. I only question his mental drive. All that would take is playing time, which from what everyone has been saying, is something he will be getting all next year.

As you have been posting about possible trades, and people whom we may obtain, I have grown more partial to the idea of Kirk Hinrich. Chicago may be willing to part with him for dirt cheap. They’re loaded with solid guards (Salmons, Gordon, Rose) and they might only want one solid player, and then expiring contracts, with a late pick that they could store in Europe. I would love to see him come over, and not limit the growth of Bayless. He would offer us a guy who can swing between the 1 and 2, and possibly lighten the workload of Brandon.

All in all, I look forward to the draft, because I have a feeling that is when we’re making most of our moves. We’ll see what happens, because I doubt any of us have any real say in what goes down in the war room. The only thing I fear from all these trade situations is a Pyrrhic victory. We become a championship contender for 1 or 2 years, but as the people we traded develop into great players (Which I believe they will), we slowly fade back into mediocrity and first round exits. That is my fear.

by Jeremiah S on Jun 15, 2009 4:15 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Look at the stats

Or the commentary of everyone in the NBA who watches him play.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 8:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bayless

Bayless is clearly the one of the three that is easiest to give up, and it has virtually nothing to do with his attitude, skill, or development.

Batum is valuable because of his defensive sense, as so many key scorers in the league play SF, and he can (or we hope, will) defend them well. He is versatile on offense, and young with enough ability to start now, and a potentially very high ceiling.

Rudy is valuable because he’s a shooter. As he gets more comfortable slashing and driving, his value goes up. As Oden improves, Rudy gets more open looks, and when he hits them, he speads the floor for easier post work. He seems ok with not starting, and is a terrific way to spell BRoy, or pair with him for an offensive boost.

This leaves Bayless, more a victim of his role than anything else. He’s not a shooter (not yet anyway), and he’s not a pass first point guard. He’s not solidified even a back-up role, and he’s unlikely to be happy with few or no minutes for another year while his draft-classmates build experience, albeit mostly on lousy teams. His best skills replicate BRoy’s, not compliment them. He’s a shorter, more aggressive driving Martell Webster, without the sharpshooter range. Potential? Yeah, but how many tweener size guards have developed into top level stars? If he were 6’8" with a workable 3 point shot, I’d take the attitude and aggression and physical toughness in a heartbeat over Rudy.

by skyman375 on Jun 15, 2009 5:26 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The answer to this question in that way that Dave has presented it

is Bayless. There is one reason and one reason alone to give up a significant young talent for a decent veteran starter. You want to win now. If “you want to win now” is the premise of this question, which it seems to be (as it’s the only reason to do a move like this in the first place), you have to look at what you’re currently getting from these guys.

Obviously Rudy Fernandez is the best of the three players right now. His offensive contribution is pretty close to Aldridge’s for second on the entire team. A team that just so happens to be amongst the most efficient teams in the league at putting points on the board (in large part to Rudy). Rudy is a great fit next to Roy when the situation calls for it, and brings lots of energy and activity as a near perfect 6th man type of player. He’s 24 years old right now, and it should be a cakewalk to keep him until he’s 30 if we choose to do so (the heart of his playing career).

Nicolas Batum, like Rudy, is already contributing in a major way to this team. He, in his role, is a great defensive fit next to Roy, as he’s able to contain almost all of the quicker and longer perimeter players in the league that Roy tends to have most of his problems with. Batum in a season that was supposed to be one big uneventful learning session turned into a trial by fire situation. He very much lived up to the challenge. His 3 point shooting, specifically from the corner, where efficient players live was already at a far higher rate than anyone had any reason to expect. The fact he was able to accomplish that, and not look completely lost on the offensive end is a credit to him, and his BBIQ. When talking about Tayshaun this week, it’s pretty clear that aside from the actual experience and basketball reps Batum’s overall defensive abilities will mirror, if not surpass what Tayshaun has achieved on that end of the court for the last half decade. There is every reason to believe that he’ll be our defensive stopper of the foreseeable future.

Bayless, at least in this scenario that Dave has brought up, is the odd man out. It’s not his fault as much as it was the other two exceeding expectations and being NBA dependable and efficient from day one. Bayless plays the more important position, but considering that he’s on the way out you have to assume you’ve just acquired your veteran PG of the future in this trade. Bayless isn’t ready for the NBA yet, as was proven over and over again with his play last year. At the very least you have to project 2 to 3 years out for him to be a viable starter at point guard, and even then, it’s just a “maybe” or a “could be”. His lackluster defense and shooting and general feel for the point guard position simply don’t work on this team right now. If you give him the 20 minutes he requires to develop, you’re hurting the rest of the teams development right along with him, and for a team looking to make headway this year (because that was the task Dave has set for us), you simply can’t have him and his wild and inconsistent play cost this team games. If this were to come to pass and the team fails to get out of the first round again, your coaches head is on the chopping block. It’s too vital a year to stall.

by as11osu on Jun 15, 2009 5:54 AM PDT reply actions   3 recs

WHAT WHAT????!!

“It’s pretty clear that aside from the actual experience and basketball reps Batum’s overall defensive abilities will mirror, if not surpass what Tayshaun has achieved on that end of the court for the last half decade.”

WHAT????

You guys are freaking dreaming

Blazer Fan

by leeroyjenkins on Jun 15, 2009 6:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It might not happen, but it's not a dream

Go watch Prince when he was 19 and compare him to Batum when he was 19.

If both improve at the same rate, Batum will pass Prince. Naturally, not everyone improves at the same rate, so we don’t know yet if Batum will be better than TP.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 8:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

      Infatuation & drooling are a problem here among Batumians.
He played well in limited minutes, but the future extrapolation is
a little ifffffy ! Limited offensive game and has trouble with the
strong athletic SF’s, ie Ron Ron, Carmelo, etc.
     I’m sure he will continue to improve, but . . .

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jun 15, 2009 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thank you for saying most of what I wanted to say.

Now I don’t have to take the time to type it all myself.

εἴγε καὶ ἐνδυσάμενοι οὐ γυμνοὶ εὑρεθησόμεθα.

Blazersedge.com || New to Blazers' Edge?

by T Darkstar on Jun 15, 2009 8:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree

Also – am I the only one who worries about injuries to Brandon? Brandon works really hard at taking care of himself, but 82 games + playoffs is a lot and we’ve been lucky that he’s been major injury free. He goes down to an injury that takes him out more than a week or two and we are screwed. Rudy is our best hedge against that. I understand everyones reasoning about Rudy playing behind Roy and that not working long term, but I don’t think we’re there yet. Next year maybe, especially if we don’t get deep in the playoffs. But winning has a way of making people happy and I don’t think we trade a player like Rudy right now.

For me, Bayless is the expendable one….

by blazergrl on Jun 15, 2009 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

You aren't the only one.

I’m saying Bayless would be the guy to go too, but think about an offense where someone other than LMA helped Roy out. If we have Bayless, Roy’s on court time would be less rigorous. Someone else could sacrifice their body every other play allowing Roy to have more for defense, 4th quarter, and long career.

This makes having a Bayless and having a Rudy valuable for Roy’s future. (A Batum too, so that Roy can guard even woosier players.)

by staylost on Jun 15, 2009 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bayless/Batum--assuming Roy can go SF

I was highly influenced by a popular post a while back that broke down the game statistically (apologies to whomever it was—it was a great post and I’d credit if I could remember). It implied that Roy was a massive, huge success at SF… as much or more than SG.

So here I am. If we can get a good PG, I’m ready to push Roy down to SF and put Rudy at SG. They can learn to play together. As much slack as we give Oden for his rookie year I think we need to give some Rudy for his transition to the NBA and his rookie year here. I think he could take the Massive Leap Forward next year.

So if we can package up Bayless with Outlaw/Martell/Sergio, etc for a PG that can take advantage of scoring opportunities that having Rudy and Roy on the floor at the same time, I think you do it. I see that as having both more immediate and long-term benefit than having to wait and wait and wait

and wait

to groom Bayless. Batum I love but if Roy took SF, he’s down to back-up minutes (maybe as combo SG/SF off bench but would that be best use for him?).

Buck Williams for the hall of fame

by Phizbin on Jun 15, 2009 6:38 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Best player available

Like most posters I want to say none of the above, but working within the confines of the question… My answers for 1 & 2 are the same:Bayless.

I understand the reasoning of Rudy playing the same position as Roy but this situation is similar to the draft in that all three are young, unproven players who are expected to improve. In the draft the Blazer’s philosophy is to take the best player available and from what I’ve seen on the court Bayless comes in 3rd place in that race.

In addition to that, of the three skill sets (as enumerated by the posters above) I think his skill set is more easily replaced than the other two.

by LaughingJon on Jun 15, 2009 6:39 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Defesnive potential and intensity aren't easily replaced.

 Three point shooting is.

Ten players, two baskets, 13,000 people, one basketball. And we will decide what is done with that one basketball.

by The Pirate on Jun 15, 2009 6:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

From what I saw there is no lack of intensity on Rudy's part -

though I suppose he could work on his scowl. At this point each of these players are fairly one dimensional with the hope that the rest of their play fleshes out.

I’d argue that proven 3 pt shooting is not easier to replace than defensive potential because potential is ethereal. Heck, a person could argue that Rudy has great defensive potential but it remains to be seen if he’ll actualize it.

by LaughingJon on Jun 15, 2009 7:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thing is

Batum has already realized a lot of his defensive talents & showcased it multiple times against some of the best in the NBA.

Offseason:
PG Options: Mike Conley(T)/Rodrigue Beaubois(D)
SG Options: Mickaël Piétrus(T)
PF Options: Ronnie Turiaf(T) - Damion James(D), Taj Gibson(D), Kevin Seraphin(D)
C Options: Alexis Ajinca(T)

The French Invasion !

by TheGreatDane17 on Jun 16, 2009 9:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Out of those three, I would part with Batum

His offense is pretty nonexistant and his defense is overrated. Everyone assumes he’s going to improve, but I’m unconvinced. He’s pretty passive. Also we have two other forwards who are as good or better in Outlaw and Marty.

I just think Bayless and Rudy have a lot more potential and we need PG and SG a lot more than another mediocre forward.

Blazer Fan

by leeroyjenkins on Jun 15, 2009 6:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Reading the responses, Batum is one of those guys Portlanders love to overrate

Still don’t see any evidence to back up the commonly-held assertion (by Portlanders only, mind you) that Batum is an amazing defender.

Blazer Fan

by leeroyjenkins on Jun 15, 2009 6:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well I think Martell is overrated

Problem is with him hurt and Nic very young we can prove neither.

by Norsktroll on Jun 15, 2009 7:23 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Only Portlanders?

I’ve not seen any national analyst who says that Batum is a bad defender. I’d love to see some quotes if they did though.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 8:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's not amazing, but he's good.

He’s amazing for his age though.

by pualo on Jun 15, 2009 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did you watch the last game against the Lakers

I though Batum did an outstanding job on Kobe. KOBE. If we want to beat the Lakers, Batum is going to be a huge asset. Remember Kobe get all frustrated and then saying how much he wanted the Blazers in the playoffs. Next year he is likely to get his wish, and I think there is a decent chance he will live to regret his bravado.

Nic isn’t there yet, but that game showed exceptional promise.

by upper left corner on Jun 15, 2009 8:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bucher mentioned Batum would be one of the next wave of great defenders in the Simmons podcast pre-playoffs.

proud hinrichsheeple

by Cablinasian on Jun 15, 2009 11:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you mean SHOULD or WILL?

It obviously should be Bayless, because he’s a short SG and we have two good ones ahead of him. And if KP really meant his famous “Jarrett Jack on steroids” analogy for Bayless, then he realizes this. But I have an awful feeling he’s as blinded by Bayless’s non-PG virtues as our former GM was by Telfair’s.

by meru on Jun 15, 2009 6:52 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Telfair is a pass first point guard.

Bayless ranks in the exact same spot as Parker. I think the problem is one of efficiency more than the style of play.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 8:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good, that's perfect . . .

    for a running mate to BRoy. We need a strong, athletic and aggressive combo
guard who can attack the basket off the double of Roy, Smooth or GO. Bayless
can bring the ball up the court (80%), guard the PG, and spot up for the 18’ or
attack the basket off the rotation. In addition, with his aggressive demeanor, he
will push the ball up the court when opportunities present. It goes with Nate’s
score early or score late. BRex showed a tremendous ability in snatches to attack
and according to my UA ex-roomie his pullup jumper is his other strength. I’m sure
he will get the jumper going with minutes and confidence gained. Let’s face it, he
didn’t get consistant minutes as a rookie, and like GO needs time to grow and learn.
The physical gifts, drive and work ethic are already in place !!

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jun 15, 2009 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's what I am hoping for....

When Bayless puts the penetration together with the pull-up J he is going to be very tough to defend. Then when he learns how to use the threat of his scoring to set up his team-mates he will become a very effective PG.

by upper left corner on Jun 15, 2009 8:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

When Bayless puts the penetration together with the pull-up J he is going to be very tough to defend.

Here’s a name from the past…Kevin Johnson

KJ was a very tough cover…and still was considered a “PG”

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 9:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

was KJ considered anything else?

Horny was the 2 if I recall. What other position could KJ play being 4’6"?

Question: If you could live forever, would you and why?
Answer: "I would not live forever, because we should not live forever, because if we were supposed to live forever, then we would live forever, but we cannot live forever, which is why I would not live forever,"
--Miss Alabama in the 1994 Miss USA contest.

by bow4meow on Jun 16, 2009 5:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on whom we get back

The consensus seems to be we want to get either Hinrich or Conley for next season, and we want to get a backup PF. It is plausible we can get the backup PF from free agency (McDyess, Smith, Andersen are all available) or the draft (we ought to be able to move up), so PG is the biggest issue.

We hope we can get Hinrich for cap space + Blake or Rodriguez, but if Gordon leaves for greener pastures, they might very well demand Rudy as the price instead. I really want us to keep Rudy, because it means our offense doesn’t fall so far off the cliff when Roy isn’t on the floor, but I think I’d still trade Rudy straight-up for Hinrich. We can always find a competent backup SG.

If we want Conley instead, chances are the Grizzlies would be more likely to demand Bayless as at least part of the trade, because they already have their SG (Mayo) and SF (Gay) for the future. Depending on whomelse is in the deal I’d consder Bayless for Conley.

If you wanted to pursue bigger fish, like Devin Harris or Tony Parker, I’’d consider including Nick in a deal, but it has to be a pretty big fish.

by jaywalker on Jun 15, 2009 7:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I like Hinrich

but I wouldn’t trade Rudy for Hinrich

“If you wanted to pursue bigger fish, like Devin Harris or Tony Parker, I’’d consider including…” Rudy in that deal

That’s about it. I don’t see the need to deal Batum or Bayless at this point of their careers. KP can get what the team needs by trading Sergio, Travis, cap-space and draft picks

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 7:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't expect agreement

1. Which one of the three do you think the Blazers would be most willing to part with and why? Bayless. KP would be most willing to deal JB because his worth:trade value ratio is the most lopsided of the three. Bayless might have potential but aside from playing against summer league scrubs and one nice game against a lowly Nets team, JB’s value isn’t on what he’s brought its on what he has the potential to bring.

2. Which one of the three would YOU be most willing to part with and why? Bayless. i’m just not that impressed. I don’t believe more PT is going to iron out his game. His game is chiefly about getting to the rim for easy buckets, which he could get away with in college, and that’s because he is a bricklayer from anything considered mid-range or beyond. He is a 2 guard (sort of) in a PGs body.
Rudy and Batum definitely have skills and don’t have to be forced to play outside their natural abilities. I promise to be the first guy on BlazersEdge to say I was wrong if Bayless hangs around and proves me wrong. Mark my words people.

I AM A PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS SUPPORTER.

by bow4meow on Jun 15, 2009 7:02 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed, it's Rex.

But I would base this not on what he’s shown so far, but on the fact the Blazers have already traded a guy who had some strong similarities to Bayless — Jarrett Jack. Granted, Jarrett wasn’t as athletic as Bayless, but the ability to get to the basket and finish was there. Jarrett had also developed at least a semi-reliable outside shot. Basically, Jarrett did what Bayless is supposed to do, and the Blazers traded him. Is it possible that you can almost always find a guy, 6’2" or so, with those skills in the top 15 draft positions? If so, he is easily the most replaceable.

However, I’m intrigued to see what Bayless will become with some stead playing time and another year of seasoning. He just might prove to be better than Jack.

"Just kidding"

by CatMan2 on Jun 15, 2009 8:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno. Tony Parker doesn’t pass exceptionally well… or shoot that well… and he’s a pretty darn special player, simply by the virtue of blazing speed and getting to the rim.

proud hinrichsheeple

by Cablinasian on Jun 15, 2009 11:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Parker is a special player

Bayless in no Tony Parker. If Bayless becomes anything remoting Parker I’ll eat my words, like I said.

Question: If you could live forever, would you and why?
Answer: "I would not live forever, because we should not live forever, because if we were supposed to live forever, then we would live forever, but we cannot live forever, which is why I would not live forever,"
--Miss Alabama in the 1994 Miss USA contest.

by bow4meow on Jun 16, 2009 5:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It depends on the position

Regardless of if these players are really available, and that I think the Blazers will trade none of those three guys this summer, here it goes.

We acquire a top small forward who still has some years ahead of him like Danny Granger (26), Gerald Wallace (27 at the start of next season), Luol Deng (24, I don’t want him):

1. Batum 2. Batum

A top point guard, like Tony Parker (27), Mike Conley (21, debatable who the Blazers prefer):

1. Bayless 2. Bayless

Rudy would move if in the deal for a positional replacement we need comes along another good shooting guard. Say the Bulls are fed up with both and wanted to give us Deng and Ben Gordon in a two-sided sign and trade for Travis, Martell, Rudy, Raef expiring (still a yucky deal). Or perhaps more realistic two of the young guys if Indiana says we want Rudy and Nic, you can have Rush back with Granger. There are combinations imaginable where it could make sense to move Rudy (say in a purely theoretical deal with Joel where Brook Lopez and a bad contract comes back). It doesn’t make sense to move him for an even better veteran shooting guard stuck behind Roy.

Why? If we acquire a great positional replacement who we can reasonably assume to start for his remaining prime, we can risk giving up the guy who would be stuck behind him and never fully develop anyway. Keeping him would only make sense if we acquire a crusty old veteran on the cheap who will be here for 2 to max 3 years and then move on or to the backup spot (e.g. Miller/Hinrich as a mentor to Bayless).

I know this has little to do with intrinsic value. But it doesn’t help if we have the maybe intrinsically more valuable Batum rot for the remainder of his contract and beyond that behind a player who commands 30-35 minutes a la Aldridge, since the team need he might address in the future once he has developed is solved.

by Norsktroll on Jun 15, 2009 7:14 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

i'm gonna pull a leroyjenkins and give this one a "huh??"

Conley is a top point guard? You would hypothesize that Conley is potentially more preferred by the Blazers than Parker? I must seriously resist the urge not to get snarky and sarcastic here, but….

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 9:22 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...

Conley is an up and coming PG and has shown that he could become a top PG. He’s definitely not there yet.

Basically, he’s Bayless, except we KNOW that he can succeed and hit his shots.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't see how you couldn't...

We are hoping for Bayless to become what Conley has already shown he is becoming.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right now people expect the Blazers PG should offensively be an off-guard shooter first and a penetrator second

That would fit the style of players like Conley or Curry or Hinrich. Not so much the style of Bayless or Session or Miller. What if the latter is what they want?

Basically two schools of thought: Roy initiates the offense, and everyone else in the backcourt stands around waiting for the kickout (Blake, Rudy, Webster/Outlaw). Spread the floor. This can work very well, but is risky if Roy gets covered very well and the outside shooters don’t hit.

The other one would be two players who can attack the basket and initiate the offense. This is how Portland played with Drexler and Porter, and Chicago played with Jordan and Pippen. Two players who can create their own shots to keep the defense on their toes, and then still an inside presence and an outside shooter waiting for the pass.

I’m not saying Bayless is Porter/Pippen. I’m also not saying one is right and one is wrong, and that of course a PG should also be able to shoot at least a mid-range jumper consistently. It’s just a question of which style the Blazers want to play in the future. Right now a lot of people seem to think it’s outside shooting. I’m not so sure that is qualification #1.

by Norsktroll on Jun 15, 2009 10:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think putting Conley in either category would be wrong

he’s the guy that’s very good at both of these skills. He’s the triple threat we need at the position, proficient at shooting, driving, dishing etc.

by as11osu on Jun 15, 2009 10:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most good players have traits of both

Bayless will also develop a better shot. But right now, I expect Sessions and him to be in another league in terms of getting to the line and finishing around the rim. In fact Sessions was better than Harris in that regard last season.

by Norsktroll on Jun 15, 2009 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What was Conley's rep after his rookie season?

He was viewed by most as a disappointment and a bust by many. His outside shooting was lousy.

What happened? He got a coach who trusted him a third of the way into his sophomore season and blossomed. There is a very good chance the Bayless who has better size and strength as well as better athleticism is going to do the same.

by upper left corner on Jun 15, 2009 8:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

your only missing PG aspect is the running game

The Blazers could benefit from more Bayless-attack-the-basket transition offense, so long as he only forces the advantage and is willing to give it up when he doesn’t have it.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Point guards, and Nate

I was hoping I’d get a chance to share this observation, before I forgot about it

I think Vance and Allen were talking about Steve Nash this afternoon, and how Nash and (former PHX coach) Terry Porter didn’t see eye to eye about how the offense should be run. And this reminded me of the Conley conversation I’ve had with as11osu, lately. Vance said something like “Nash was frustrated re: Porter’s offensive style in Phoenix, and you want to bring him to Portland to play under Nate?”

Nash is a veteran. A two-time MVP. Still he had trouble with a coach who emphasizes defense and a slow tempo. So I think you all had better think ver-ry carefully about how Conley would perform as a Blazer. You can’t expect Nate to give him free rein like Hollins did during the second half of last season. First of all, it’s not in Nate’s character to sit back and let a young PG make mistakes. Second, the stakes are a lot higher in Portland than they were in Memphis.

As Nate would say “if the play isn’t there, don’t force it.” A disgruntled Conley could be the unintended result, not the flashy/confident MCJ that everyone saw last spring

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 7:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

and like Conley, Bayless will need time.

Conley and Bayless have some interesting measurables, side by side. Bayless is bigger (and weighed 24 lbs more pre-draft: 199 to 175). In spite of being heavier, Bayless was quicker (agility) and faster (3/4 court).

However, Conley could jump higher and bench more pre-draft, plus had a wider wingspan by 2" despite being 2" shorter. In spite of that wingspan advantage, Bayless has a 2.5" standing reach advantage. Also, I don’t think anyone would still believe Conley can jump higher or bench more, now. Bayless is a workout freak.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Time?

Okay, Bayless has 1 more season to impress then. And don’t give me that Conley got minutes stuff because Bayless could have if he’d a beaten out Sergio.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sergio vs. Bayless - 2008-09

The primary reason Sergio played more than BRex are . . .
1. Sergio was in his third year. He had been in practice and
    worked / knew the offense. Nate likes PG’s who work his plan
    and get the offense in gear. Sergio still stuggled at times, but
    had improved in running the offense and understanding the
    defensive schemes.
2. Rudy was the newest addition and already had a comfort level and
    understanding playing with Serio. Language, style of games, etc.
3. Sergio had a good camp and Bayless pushed him to work harder
    on defense and his game. I was at the 2008 Fanfest and Sergio and
    BRex were going at each other.
4. Bayless was a 19 year rookie, trying to adapt to playing PG in the NBA
    with a whole new scheme. He also was playing alongside Outlaw and
    Rudy who were going to take most of the shots. Therefore he struggled
    to move away from being a shoot first PG. Sergio was the better fit due to
    being a pass first PG and having played in and knowing the system.
POINT – Bayless will be much better this coming season after a year in the
    league. He has watched and learned the system to a degree and just needs
    minutes to progress. Most NBA players make their big jump between the rookie
    and sophmore years. Look at Conley !!

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jun 15, 2009 12:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Rudy was the newest addition and already had a comfort level and

understanding playing with Serio. Language, style of games, etc"

This is why I was surprised that when Blake went down Nate chose to start Sergio alongside Roy (mis-matched guard combo, by everyone’s estimation) instead of starting Jerry and keeping the Spanish Air-mada together, coming in off the bench

I think you gave the reason “why” in your first point, and the team still won most of their games while Steve was out. But at the time I thought that Nate missed a golden opportunity for Bayless to get some experience “teaming up” with Brandon

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 7:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well said.

In addition, Sergio likely questions his own ability to beat out Bayless this season. Why do you think he asked to leave? Sergio is in a contract year, and can’t run the risk of being bumped to the bench by Bayless. This is conjecture, but it is logical conjecture.

by upper left corner on Jun 15, 2009 8:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wasn't Bayless a workout freak before the combine, too?

And Conley still was more physically impressive then. It’s not like MCJ has been sitting on the couch for the last two years scarfing down snickers.

As far as how meaningless the agility and sprint measurements are: Rudy and Rashad McCants tested as quicker than Wade and Aaron Brooks, and David Lee tested quicker than Russell Westbrook.

by Royster on Jun 15, 2009 11:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

not sure how you get "more physicall impressive then" out of their respective pre-draft

measurements. Neither were dominant across the board. However, there is no comparison between the two, right now. Nobody writes articles about the size of Conley’s calf muscles.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Significantly better vertical,

longer wingspan, stronger. I’d say that qualifies as more physically impressive.

by Royster on Jun 15, 2009 9:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

1. Rudy because of Roy

2. Bayless to keep the international flava- FLAV

wanderlust

by gatajohn on Jun 15, 2009 7:15 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The ugly truth of it is

is that while all of these guys are/could be good, each has a skillset that’s pretty readily replaceable within the draft, even without trading up.

Need a defensive specialist swingman who has a limited but potentially solid offensive game? Step forward, Danny Green, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute last year, too.

Need a quick PG/combo guard who can put the ball on the floor and get to the rim? Hello, Jeff Teague. Or any one of Aaron Brooks, Jordan Farmar, et al previously.

Need a sharpshooting backup SG with a high basketball IQ and a quick release? Congratulations, Wayne Ellington.

I’d rather have all our guys because they’ve at least proven something in the league as opposed to anyone of these late first rounders, but I’d be pretty confident any of those guys could step in and fill the same role.

As far as the two questions in Dave’s post, the answer for me to both would probably be Bayless. Not that I don’t think he can be good, but as has been pointed out, he had less to do with the team’s success this year than either of the other two guys. Not knocking on the guy, he just couldn’t make it on the court.

Of course, realistically, it seems to add any major piece, that Rudy will have to be going the other way, which I’d be grudgingly okay with. A rotation of Ellington, Roy, Nic, and a healthy Webster at the wings could replicate most of what Rudy gives us currently. Still, if I’m getting a PG, I don’t keep both of Blake and Bayless around, and if I’m getting an SF, I don’t keep Nic and Webster around, so if a huge piece were to be acquired, it would really depend on where that piece played before I made a final decision.

by Royster on Jun 15, 2009 7:20 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree with most

however, if we plan on (as we do) making the playoffs from here on out, playoff time = Rudy time. No player in the draft, particularly late 1st rounders, brings his experience and big shot bob mentality. I think Rudy brings the magic. He did a bit in the playoffs this year, and I would bet he’s significantly better in the playoffs next year. I want that guy on my team…particularly in the playoffs, which is when it counts.

by Dudehere on Jun 15, 2009 7:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

History repeats itself!

First time comment , but this is the Drazen Petrovic situation revisited. I think the outcome is the same, trade Rudy, as he is a really good complimentary player at a position where we do not have enough minutes to suit him. The minutes could be used in a better way, by acquiring a veteran player to fill more modest backup role and better balance the 2-3 positions on the team. PG will be sorted out in the process.

by Dustinsdad on Jun 15, 2009 7:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I hear that

but please, let’s trade him to an Eastern conference team where he won’t hurt us as much, and let’s get a potential All Star in trade for him. – Elgin

VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.

by 22baylor on Jun 15, 2009 10:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

There's no rush

I’ve made the Petro comparison several times, it’s so obvious (if you were around, back then) to see the parallels, and the PT scenario playing out, again.

I don’t think Rudy is in as big of a hurry to be a starter as Drazen was in 1990, though. And even though Portland is an up-and-coming team, they aren’t a championshiip-level team yet, like Clyde’s Blazers were. My timeline is 18-24 months before Rudy’s PT situation reaches critical mass. By then, Rudy should have major trade value and KP will be able to fill just about remaining roster need by flipping Fernandez

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 8:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

History repeats itself update!

Only in that he needs to be traded not ultimately meeting Drazens untimely demize, no offense intended if anyone took any!

by Dustinsdad on Jun 15, 2009 7:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

If we trade Outlaw + Blake + Rudy

then Rudy is the main point of the trade, not just the promising talent with few value. We better have a good player for that package because it would be really sad to lose Rudy.

I don’t think they want to trade Bayless, because he’s a future good PG and if we get a young PG instead of him it will be the same problem, slow to start for about the same skills. Bayless is replacable but losing him would be losing time in my opinion. They’ll want to keep Blake starter and Bayless bench for this year.
Batum is the personnal development project of Monty Williams (not sure it’s him) so he won’t be traded.
Rudy is valuable because he’s fun to watch and he can attracts people to the arena. I’m sure teams would want him to fill their audience. Filling your arena is a good way for a team to get money.

If the blazers want to the big star deal then let’s trade Rudy. We can only lose 2 buzzer shooters (outlaw and rudy) to get a star. If it’s just a small adjustments trade then let’s keep him for 1 or more years and then we’ll trade him for a superstar.

The sad part is the blazers would be far less interesting to watch without Rudy Fernandez. So I’d like to keep Rudy for as long as possible. I wouldn’t want the Blazers to trade Batum either, if they do I would stop watching the Blazers. I wouldn’t mind if they traded Bayless but like I said it would be a waste of time, and a waste of value too because nobody knows what he can do.

by chuky on Jun 15, 2009 8:06 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Everyone loves his pretty face, but it's Rudy that has to go

There’s no long term fit for Rudy: Brandon Roy is a shooting guard. He can play some point, he can play some forward, but he is a shooting guard. Rudy is also a shooting guard. He has some versilitility like Brandon, but when it comes down to it he is a shooting guard. They can play alongside each other, but it just doesnt really work. Brandon needs defensive minded players around him at the guard and forward positions, so he can use the majority of his energy on the offensive end. When they are out there together in the backcourt they pack an offensive punch, but neither can really guard quick point guards. When they are out there as the 2 and 3, Rudy is not big enough to guard small forwards so Brandon has to take the beating down there and he already takes more of a beating that we want. They definitly have their differences, but when it comes down to it, they really play the same position. They are also the same age. We can bring in a vet in his last 20s at the point or forward and once that player is ready to hang it up Bayless and Batum will be primed to step right in. As long a Brandon is on the team we dont have room for Rudy.

Rudy has serious trade value: If we dont have room for Rudy we should get rid of him now while he hot (and ladies im not talking about his looks). Other teams want him. Other teams need him. He hasnt come close to reaching his potential. If we want to bring in a solid starter at point or small forward Rudy is the key. I know that once we trade him and he has room to step into the starting shoot guard role he’ll probably playing against Brandon at the All-Star game. He’ll be good and thats why we need to use him to get something just as good back, but at a different position that we can fully utilize.

Rudy has the talent, but we don’t have the minutes for him, so lets get a player who can fill a need for us. This is a NBA business, not middle school. We can keep him around because he has a pretty face. He might be popular, but thats not whats best for the team. Use Rudy to fill one of the Blazers needs and lets go get a championship.

-The Q4

by UWRoyBoy on Jun 15, 2009 8:20 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Whee

1. Which one of the three do you think the Blazers would be most willing to part with and why?

Bayless. I’m going on the assumption that Blazers make a deal for a PG. If we got a younger guy, I’d much rather see a veteran backup in Blake than Bayless. If we got a guy who is 28-30, I would still rather see Him/Blake than Bayless. Yeah, in 5 years we’d need a new PG, but that’s also 5 years that we have time to search.

2. Which one of the three would YOU be most willing to part with and why?

Same. If we get a PG from a team they will no doubt want one back. I guess that could be Sergio, but it could also be Bayless.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 8:36 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I like all three guys, and don't want to trade any of them

but if you have to trade one, make it Batum.
He’s the worst interviewee out of the three.

dinasour type of guys choir boys

by mittsabishy on Jun 15, 2009 8:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Rudy/Roy

Roy and Rudy can coexist on the assumption that Roy can spend some time at the SF spot with Rudy at the SG. (Again, this has proven to be a ridiculously good lineup.)

The only problem with this is that it requires getting rid of both Outlaw and Webster or Outlaw and Batum and right now I don’t think Webster has that much trade value and I don’t think we are going to trade Batum.

Roy/Rudy 18/30
Batum/Roy 30/18

This works well if you only have these 3. The problem is, you have to plan for injury and have a 4th guy who is guy who can play. That’s where a guy who can play the 3 or 4 becomes valuable, but… Outlaw just isn’t that guy.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 8:43 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

NOT BATUM!

Batum is going to be solid at small forward for a long time, and he’s going to be the anchor of the whole defense, and he’s high value for low salary, and we lucked out to get him when we did.

Bayless: Definitely trade him IF you’re getting the for-sure point guard of the future. But if not, make it Rudy.

I think Rudy has the most value around the league and he is the least essential to the Blazers. I’m guessing the team is most likely to trade him.

Sticking up for Travis Outlaw since 2008 and Steve Blake since two weeks ago.

by Kaboomm on Jun 15, 2009 8:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Very concise way of presenting a pretty complete analysis.

Batum is a high ceiling player at a position of great need and is a potentially perfect fit: perimeter defender, efficient three baller, and hopefully eventually a quality slasher and passer.

Bayless has a ton of potential and may be a very good fit, but he is less of a sure deal than Batum, IMO. If we can get a good young, proven starter who has already achieved the potential that Bayless may achieve, then Bayless would become redundant. I am not talking an aging star or a moderate upgrade Hinrich, I am talking a full blown young star. Realistically, I don’t think such a player is available.

Therefore, I think standing largely pat, or trading Rudy is more likely. Rudy has more current trade value and may have a lower ceiling. Unless you get a very good starting PG, I don’t see making this trade.

by upper left corner on Jun 15, 2009 9:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Smart teams talk up the value of their players

1. I think the Blazers are most likely to trade Bayless. He’s demonstrated the least value so far through his play, but the shine from last summer league’s MVP likely hasn’t faded on him entirely with GMs, and he’s young. Batum has demonstrated value to the team, and will be ok even if he only plays 10 minutes a game this year because of the minute crunch. Rudy won’t be traded because Kevin Pritchard made a commitment to him when Rudy agreed to come over from Spain, and KP doesn’t back out of that kind of promise to players (Blake will not be traded without his blessing for that same reason).
2. As I don’t think Bayless will be an NBA point guard, and the team doesn’t need help at the shooting guard position at the moment, he would be player I’d be most comfortable trading. Batum would also be ok, and frankly Rudy could go too, if the right deal came along. None of these guys are untouchable. Roy, Aldridge, and Oden are untouchable.

by baduk on Jun 15, 2009 8:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

KP doesn’t back out of that kind of promise to players (Blake will not be traded without his blessing for that same reason)

I get what you’re saying, I’ve even made similar observations, myself (like “it would be cold-blooded of KP if he dealt Webster right after Martell signed his extension, especially while he’s hurt” etc) KP has fostered a family culture and it’s paid big dividends.

But don’t you think KP has made “promises” to previous Blazers, like Fred Jones and Jarrett Jack? Do you think Sergio is content with how his Blazer career has transpired? KP dealt Blake once, and regretted it, but asof this writing Blake has no guaranteed contract past the upcoming season.

Promises in business only are as good as long as the player helps the team win ballgames. If a better deal comes along, and Rudy or Steve are the right “piece” to make the trade “fit” all of the parameters….guess what? KP will say at the press conference “this was the hardest decision I’ve ever made, and it’s nothing against Steve or Rudy because they’ve done everything we’ve asked of them , but we felt that it was in the best interests of the franchise to make this deal…”

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: don’t get married to these players. “It’s not personal, it’s just business” and KP will break a “promise” in a heartbeat if it means he’ll be that much closer to delivering a championship to Paul Allen, and the city of Portland

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 8:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does it make sense to raise fan expectations only to disappoint?

I don’t think so, There may be a tendency to talk up your players in general, and there may be an incentive to talk up your players to national media, but why would you single out a player to local media if you are planning to trade a guy away? All you do is inflate the expectations of your fan base and convince them that you didn’t get enough value in return.

You said “I don’t think Bayless will be an NBA PG”. He is already and NBA PG. You are what you can guard, he guards PGs. His utilization rate of .20 is not unusually high for a PG with his penetration and open court skills, very similar to Tony Parker. During the one stretch of decent and semi-consistent minutes he received he averaged 4.0 assists per game on 20 minutes of PT. His assist rate per minute during that stretch was higher than Blake’s.

I’m not saying he is a better distributor than Blake at this point, but the idea that “Bayless will never be a PG” makes no sense to me. You may not like his style of play, ot that you don’t think he is a good fit, but saying he is not a PG and will never be a PG seems like a gross overstatement.

by upper left corner on Jun 16, 2009 6:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's my take

1. Rudy. I think he’s somewhat redundant behind Brandon and the Blazers have to be wondering where these two fit together long term.

2. Rudy. I’d be more willing to trade Rudy than the other two mostly for the reasons I outlined above; he’s playing the same position as our all-nba shooting guard. People can talk about trying to make Roy a 1 and/or a 3 all they want, but the fact remains that shooting guard is still his natural position.

As for Bayless and Batum, I’m a huge believer in Bayless and I think his attack the rim style is going to be a more dangerous compliment than Rudy’s jumpshot, and Batum is untouchable since I see him being a lynchpin to the defense on the wing for years to come.

by nikolokolus on Jun 15, 2009 8:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Good questions, though it's hard to say for all of them.

1. This is a tough one. I think its been made pretty clear by their refusal to include him in other deals that Batum is not going anywhere. The Blazers think they have a winner there. That puts it between Rudy and Bayless. I really think these two players are equally coveted by the front office. However, both players were rookies last season. As rookies, one got significantly more playing time than the other. For that reason alone, I think Bayless would be the one most likely to be traded. However, any trade that took place involving players in this group would be different, so the player who the Blazers most covet would definitely change.

2. This is another tough question personally. However, I think the answer is very similar. I think Batum is the SF of the future for this team. I see his offensive game starting to round out and start to approach his defensive level. When that happens, he’ll be the kinda player that you need to win a championship. Now, I don’t REALLY wanna trade either Rudy or Bayless. However, if it came down to it, I just think Bayless is a little more expendable. I think you can more readily get a player of his effectiveness than you can get a player like Rudy. But I’d still rather not trade any of them.

3. I would certainly trade any one of these players if the right deal came along. I’m sorry, but you can’t be too attached to the players on your team if winning a title is the ultimate goal. The team we saw last year is not coming back in its entirety next year. The team that ends the season next year will not be the exact same in the following year. These things happen. All you can hope for is that when the Blazers trade big assets like these three, that they get something comparable, or preferably better, in return so that the Blazers will be in a better position to win a championship.

Yes! Yes! In the face!

by LeafHawk on Jun 15, 2009 9:22 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

The answer is easy

Jerryd Bayless is the only player of those who is not able to play the spot that blazers want him to. He will never be a true point because he want’s to shoot first ,pass second.
You cant teach that.

by wegotjs on Jun 15, 2009 9:29 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

What is wrong with a scoring point guard?

as long as he can defend other points, shoot 3’s, and not turn the ball over? If you want Stockton, Nash or Magic, you are not going to get him. I invoke the name of Devon Harris.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 9:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He was also on the Mavericks.

I think they made it to the finals or something like that.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They weren't underacheiving.

Wade had arguably the greatest finals performances in the history of the NBA. I don’t think you can pin that on Harris.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 10:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dallas was still a favorite to win

And then there is the next year…

Wade was simply amazing, but so was Lebron in the ECF and he still lost to a team that had 3 good starters.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They were a favorite to win before D-Wade decided to become Michael Jordan for 4 games

If you’re comparing the 2009 Magic to the 2006 Mavericks, the Magic were the best defensive team in the league this year, the Mavs were 11th in defensive efficiency in 2006.

It seems like you’re blaming Devin Harris for the Mavs shortcomings, when in reality it had more to do with how Avery Johnson constantly switched his lineups and never stuck with what won him games.

That Steve Nash is exactly the same as Kirk Hinrich, but worse.
by NBA Observer on Apr 8, 2009 12:23 PM CDT

by Ozzie Montana on Jun 15, 2009 10:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Golden State was a terrible matchup.

Plus… wasn’t Dallas better with Harris? If you thought they were underachieving with him then what exactly are they doing without him?

He is (in my opinion) the best role playing point guard in the league. Borderline superstar, probably not the best first option, but he’s still dynamite on both ends of the court.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 10:20 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I knew you were a Mavs fan.

For a second I thought you were saying Harris was an underachiever and it just confused me. It all makes perfect sense now.

Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .

by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 15, 2009 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't like the Mavs and I still agree that the title wouldn't have been possible

without the ‘blowing on Wade is a foul’ rule. Weakest playoff series I’ve ever seen.

by staylost on Jun 15, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Classic no-brainer.

Bayless of course as outside of summer league he has shown almost nothing. The other two have.

Problem is that we wouldn’t get as much from him as either of the other two.

Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave

Also: COMCAST SUCKS!

by TwoDeep on Jun 15, 2009 9:33 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

1. None and 2. None

Three players, three positions. Need assessment goes PG first, SF second, backup SG somewhere behind third center.

However, the Blazers have fiscal realities just like anyone else. This seriously affects the kind of player they would target in a trade. Do I see the Blazers going after a Devon Harris or Calderon? Not really. Hinrich, for all my bitching that he is an insufficient upgrade over Blake, would be the far more likely and palatable trade target.

PG on this team simply has to take care of the ball, defend 1’s, and shoot 3’s. Bayless has the tools necessary for all three, but probably won’t be real effective for two or three seasons. Instead, his value will be his ability to attack the basket and draw fouls. The Blazers do not have a lot of those types on the roster.

Batum is part of the solution, not part of the problem. He can make meaningful contributions right now while continuing to develop his game. I’ve argued this before, and I’ll argue it again, but Webster being added back to the SF mix creates a really nice platoon at that position.

Rudy is too versatile, too skilled, and brings too much moxy to give up for a bag of peanuts. He will develop into a player needing starter minutes, but trading him this season would be pulling the cake from the oven before it has finished baking. Rudy is a skill player with athleticism, and you simply can never have enough of that.

Ask this same question at the end of next season, and I think the obvious answer will be Rudy, because his trade value will greatly enhanced, and because the Blazers will be unable to give him the playing time he will deserve.

Harking back to my thesis statement (that the Blazers have to practice fiscal responsibility), the answer to the question is that there are no viable trade targets worth any of these three (i.e., no one available that would be a better complimentary player to Roy, Aldridge, and Oden).

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 9:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Here's my opinion

We keep hearing that the Blazers had multiple offers at the deadline that included Batum and none of them went through. I believe that this is a strong enough statement from the FO that they are planning on making Batum part of the long term plan.

First I must state that I’m a huge Bayless homer…. I don’t see Bayless going just for his work ethic. The part of his game that really hindered his playing wasn’t just his court vision, but his jump shot. It managed to look uglier then Sergios for the most part. With this off season I expect that we’ll see a dramatic improvement from last season. I’m not saying he’s going to be shooting 50% or anything but probably right around 43% or so. Plus his off season work with Oden has to help the on-court chemistry between the two of them.

That leaves Rudy. Rudy didn’t come to the NBA to be a back-up. With the Blazers he just isn’t going to get a opportunity to start. 1,2,3 years down the road it doesn’t matter, he is still going to be coming off the bench. I love what Rudy brings to this team, but there just will not be enough minutes out there to satisfy him.

by OSUSpoon on Jun 15, 2009 9:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely
We keep hearing that the Blazers had multiple offers at the deadline that included Batum and none of them went through. I believe that this is a strong enough statement from the FO that they are planning on making Batum part of the long term plan.

Your opinion on Rudy is based on his first season in the league. As great as he is, he has enormous potential still like putting the ball on the floor, creating his own shot and defense. I say he’s going to improve in all of these. So , who does he take minutes from? Martell , Travis, Batum, Roy ?? He’s going to fit. He’s a more reliable spark off the bench at this point than Travis is , IMHO.

S

The Princess of Blazersedge

by BlazerFan1 on Jun 15, 2009 9:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Word

Keep Rudy and let him become the new third option/first option off the bench. He’ll do it WAY more efficiently that Outlaw and unlike Outlaw, he will also be able to include others in his attack.

Hyping Outlaw as our third scoring guy is a null point IMO. Oden and Rudy should both see their scoring averages rise in their second years, and both could easily average 14ppg. 22, 19, 14, and 14 is just fine for your top 4 scoring guys, especially on a team as slow as us.

by Zaig on Jun 15, 2009 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Batum leaves over my dead body.

He isn’t likely to be moved and neither is Fernandez or Bayless. Travis is more likely to be moved.

This isn’t even a difficult questions.

S

The Princess of Blazersedge

by BlazerFan1 on Jun 15, 2009 9:43 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

I also think that trading Bayless at this stage of the game is

directly contrary to what the FO has been preaching, “long term” , “bake the cake” blah blah.. he isn’t going to be moved this summer.

I frankly think nothing major will happen this offseason.
S

The Princess of Blazersedge

by BlazerFan1 on Jun 15, 2009 9:47 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree. If Sergio leaves as expected and Rudy were traded,

we’d be paper-thin at backup PG and nonexistent at backup SG — though you’d have to think KP would get replacements as part of those or other deals.

No other team is likely to give us what we would want for Nic, Rudy, or Jerryd, so they stay and the cake bakes.

My favorite cake is chocolate with vanilla frosting. Homemade (including the frosting) from scratch. Which reminds me, Father’s Day is coming up…

by MiledAnimal on Jun 15, 2009 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

BRoy is not an iron man

He will miss games and everyone gets injured. Having Rudy on the team is a huge insurance policy and can mean the difference between keeping seed in playoffs and barely making it in next year.

by Sonic Boom on Jun 15, 2009 9:52 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

this is easy:

Bayless is the first to go, providing the “big trade” is for a point guard and Blake stays as backup. Otherwise, Rudy is the first to go; as much as I enjoy watching him play, I fear he will always be a (small) role player on this team because he’ll play behind BROY and his defensive liabilities. Batum is the keeper!

by kacee on Jun 15, 2009 9:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The correct answer: You don't trade ANY of those 3 young guys...

Veterans? We don’t need no steenking veterans?

This team has been internally constructed. Now they’re on the doorstep and for some reason some people are hot and bothered to smash down the framework with a bulldozer going Whitsett for an aging mercenary.

WRONG!!!

Frye — gone.

Use Travis to get up in the draft to get Blair. And if you can’t do that, keep him and chase Brandon Bass etc. in free agency.

We have veteran leadership already: Roy, Blake, Pryzzy…..

"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal

by timbo on Jun 15, 2009 9:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, But We Need a Veteran Role Player

The playoffs showed that we need someone who can get in and play physical down low come playoff time.

We are no longer casting a team for the regular season, folks. We are making the far more difficult leap to Contender. The needs are different.

I lover Brandon Roy, but the playoffs showed that he needs help. As great as Aldridge is, he is not the physical presence in the paint we need to dig out these rebounds when we need it with singular focus. Maybe he’s too young to be hungry, but a player who knows this is their last chance to a ring is going to play like it is.

by Anim8rguy on Jun 15, 2009 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep, as KP said

“There’s no question we have to get tougher. We found out the playoffs are a freakin’ battle. You have to be able to withstand seven games and go at guys that are physical and tough and be able to go toe to toe with them.”

http://blog.oregonlive.com/behindblazersbeat/2009/06/blazers_looking_for_some_grit.html

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

NONE

i say trade blake, outlaw, and webster to clips for thorton and baron davis baron davis is a nice veteran who could teach bayless a lot and he will retire soon so bayless would take over and webster he has been injured he really hasnt had a good season batum is a good defender and will be good rudy is clutch and we need to keep the 3 point shooter and trade sergio to get up in the draft maybe for a ty lawson to be a back up point guard or even tyler hansbrough or a back up PF no blair he is to small jordan hill would be nice as well im a hansbrough fan though

by whitethunder07 on Jun 15, 2009 10:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bayless...

1) Bayless
2) Bayless

Don’t get me wrong, I really like Bayless and if he can develop into a pg guard then he will be good. The problem is, I don’t know if he will ever develop into a pg and that being said he is the most likely to go. I especially think that Bayless would go if the trade involved getting a point guard back.

Red Hot and Rolling

by BlazerFan88 on Jun 15, 2009 10:02 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

TRADE

blake outlaw webster for thorton and baron davis

sergio and 24th pick to get up in draft for hansbrough

by whitethunder07 on Jun 15, 2009 10:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes, I agree completely

Well said. I would like to keep all 3, but if 1 had to go, it would be Bayless. He has the talent, and the work ethic, but it will take 2-3 years of development. I would prefer to keep him and let him take Sergio’s minutes, unless we can trade him for an established starting PG.

  

by blazerbill on Jun 15, 2009 10:18 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

None

If you held a gun to my head, then I would say Bayless, because I feel he is the easiest to replace with all the young point guards in the league. Nic is untouchable in my opinion. I understand why a lot of people would pick Rudy, but I can’t imagine any trade involving Rudy that would make us that much better without being a ridiculously lopsided trade in our favor (Chris Paul). I’m not sold on the Tayshaun idea, because I have a lot of confidence in our small forwards, especially now that we now how effective Roy was at the position last year. Rudy’s value is sky high right now, but he fits in extremely well for us as a super sub. Whatever we have to do to keep him.

"Sasha? That's a sissy name." -Mike Rice

by koyote on Jun 15, 2009 10:20 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bayless

He had his chance when Blake was hurt and it was not impressive.
He did play 3 good games ish in the season but I don’t think it enough to show much more potential.

by kdn on Jun 15, 2009 10:58 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

This is really only 1 option

Bayless should go. Gone, bye-bye, see ya, don’t let the door hit you. For the life of me, I do not see what the excitement about him ever was? We are a team laden with scorers WHO ACTUALLY CAN SCORE!!!!

We have no need for a “shoot first” point guard WHO CANNOT SHOOT!!!! Having a couple of nice dunks a year does not make up the other 99% of his playing time. He’s undersized in a small position — and I don’t care about his leap.

There is a very good chance that Rudy Fernandez may be a Larry Bird. He can do a little of everything, he’s as fierce a competitor as there is on this team, he is one of our best passers, has great vision, and he forces other players to be aware of where he is on offense as well as defense.

Battum, I’m not so excited about, although in the few games were he attacked the rim he showed sparks of what he can do. Still, he’s got the physique and size of a basketball player — maybe the next Marcus Camby if he patrols the rim a little better.

Bayless is completely out of the league with the rest. Time and time again I have seen that you cannot change a score first point guard no matter what you do. I say Bayless is off this team within 2 years, and out of the league in no more than 4.

by Anim8rguy on Jun 15, 2009 10:59 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

classic extremism

when you don’t like a guy, you REALLY don’t like a guy. And when you like a guy, you really “lover” him.

1) Bayless is not undersized. Shooting PG’s win championships more often than “pure” point guards (Nash rings = 0; Kidd rings = 0; Stockton rings = 0). Whether or not Bayless can shoot has not been demonstrated (sample size; sample size; sample size)

2) I like Rudy’s game too. Just not to the point of Bird comparisons. Ever. Especially considering they have very little in common physically (other than the skin color coincidence, but even then I think Rudy has a bit more tone) and Bird played a different position. I think that matters.

3) As much as I like Batum, I don’t see him mutating into a shot-blocking center with a decent mid-range shot and supplanting Oden (or Prz) as the defensive anchor of the team.

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 11:17 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I have a question!

People keep saying that KP is “enamored” with Jerryd Bayless. How do you guys know this? Are there any recent articles showing KP gushing over Bayless in the last 6 months?

by TrentEdwardsHoF2018 on Jun 15, 2009 11:21 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think Ben did a Q&A with KP

Check the BE archives for the Pritchard interview. Kevin went on for a couple of paragraph’s re: Jerryd’s work ethic and great attitude

by two4larue on Jun 15, 2009 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Supplementary post: Trade for Whom?

Position for Position it is really difficult:

Give up Batum for Whom? Caron Butler?
Give up Bayless for Whom? Devin Harris? Ramon Sessions?
Give up Rudy for Whom? … … … I can’t even think of anyone.

If you don’t go by position, then you have to fill a need. We have enough SF’s, and Outlaw is the odd man out there. We have 2 1/2 SG’s, with Webster being physically a better fit at SF. We have 3 point guards, and Sergio is the odd man out there.

Trading Bayless is the only move that makes any sense from an upgrade from potential to proven veteran while not creating roster complications (Batum for Butler would devalue Webster, etc.)

by blacknoiseNW on Jun 15, 2009 11:28 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't like the logic that Rudy is expendable because he backs up Roy -

Rudy can be our Barbosa, Jason Terry, perennial 6th man candidate, energy and points off the bench. Plus he brings big game experience and puts fans in the seats (which, ultimately puts money into Paul Allen’s pockets and keeps him willing to throw cash at the team). I’d love to see Outlaw’s minutes replaced (whether he’s on the roster or not, preferably not) by more Rudy and a healthy Martell — guys who will actually pass the ball and take smart shots and have some defensive potential.

Batum has way too much potential and low salary to even consider trading.

Bayless is a complete mystery and hasn’t earned any minutes at this point. Best case scenario is that we bring in an upgrade PG to start, let Blake back him up and leave Jerryd on the bench for another year or two until he earns more minutes in practice and spot duty. If he has any trade value, he’s the only one to consider but it would be nice to keep him in house to wait and see what he’s got.

by 2005TelfairJerseyForSale on Jun 15, 2009 11:39 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bayless, but it all depends.

Batum is not to be traded. Period. [And I won’t get into what if he was in a package for a superstar.]
Rudy showed 3’s, free throws, fast break, slashing and using screeens to cause havok … and he’s able to handle the ball and distribute.
That leaves Bayless. If he’s in a package to get Rubio … or if the Blazers actually valued Curry … or in a veteran package upgrading the point … or …

There are scenarios for trading Bayless. Otherwise, don’t. Yes, there are scenarios for trading Batum or Rudy—but fewer.

by HoopsFan on Jun 15, 2009 12:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

rudy = ginobilli (can’t trade)
batum = pippen (can’t trade)
bayless = ?

Bayless would be the most expendable, assuming that the blazers would get a starting PG (blake to bench) or a defensive PG and banger PF. Bayless could end up being a real good player like devin harris, but he may need to be the focus of the offense (like harris does) in order to tap that full potential, and i don’t see the blazers turning the offense from roy to bayless.
i think that rudy’s defense is greatly under-rated. he actually plays pretty solid defense (at least down the stretch), especially weak side, and he is always making the hustle plays (tip a pass, grab a long rebound, etc). his offense is obviously more developed but still has room to grow. talk of him being at his potential is rediculous. batum is untouchable.

by retirecards51 on Jun 15, 2009 1:37 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Depends upon our identity.

A dynamic attacking point guard seems like a good idea, but is that really what Nate/Roy want?

And honestly, I think the Blazers are a little confused on this.

KP likes Bayless, I think. And he fits the bill for this type of point guard, but you can see how his erratic/risk-taking play makes Nate nervous.

I suspect that Paul Allen is pretty attached to Rudy, after all the work he put in to getting him here. But his defense and tendency to want to collaborate and be creative on the floor do not fit well with the coach.

Batum’s strength is defense and as such he is likely to be popular with everyone.

So, by elimination, Batum won’t get traded because he has great potential and the fewest negatives.

Rudy, won’t get traded because the owner loves him even if he does not fit in with the style of play in Portland.

Leaving Jerryd.

by Blazin' on Jun 15, 2009 2:00 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

  1. Bayless. Slashing guards who rely on their athleticism to beat players invariably suffer unless they have a jump shot.
    2. Bayless. Rudy has superstar written all over him, and if my master plan of moving him to 2 and pushing B Roy over to 1 pans out, he is a natural. Nic Batum is going to be something special, and already shows flashes of defensive intelligence beyond his 20 years of age. Really, it’s Bayless by default, because the other two players are so special.

Fire Mark Mason. He's a dork, and he projects that we are ALL dorks
Fire Brian Wheeler. Homers suck.
Trade Trout, or sign someone reliable to soak up his minutes.
....Now I'm done

by SuperDave on Jun 15, 2009 2:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bye bye Bayless...

I think between bayless/batum/rudy the answer is easy and the answer is bayless. Here are three reasons….

1. there are two position on this team that we can get a starter at small foward and point gaurd… at small foward we have three guys in travis, martell, and batum. Batum has proven he can play in this league and with a little mor confidence on offense I think he becomes a star. Martell can shoot and could be good off the bench or starting but was injured all last year so he has to prove himself but assuming the foot is okay we know we have a player there. Outlaw is mr clutch in the fourth quarter in the regular season but stunk in the playoffs and is a polorizing figure to say the least. So you could put Outlaw in this proposed deal… and have two viable canadites at SF and no reall room for a vet. But At point gaurd you got one guy sergio who wants out badly and dosn’t fit Nates system in sergio so he is out. Jerred has yet to show more then potential and has not proved he can play. Blake is probally a bad start but a great bench player meaning that if he is your starting PG you probally aren’t gonna win a title but if he is coming off the bench for you then your PG position is rock solid. So if we could trade travis who isn’t really needed and bayless who isn’t even proven and bring in a starting PG like hinrich or conley or sessions then that makes a ton of sense to me.

2. Rudy Ferndaz will most likly have to be traded sometime down the road but we havn’t reached that point yet. If we ditch outlaw then we are gonna need bench scoring and thats were rudy becomes invaluable because he can score off the bench, and while I hav no doubt he could start for alot of team I don’t think he has played well enough yet that he has to start. I don’t think he yet qualifies in the jason terry/manu ginoble club of guys who come off the bench but could start for an team in the league. So I say maby next year or the year after if rudy is playing so well that he sticks out like a soar thumb on the bench then you move him in other words his value has not reached nearly its peak.

3. If you are gonna bring in a starting PG exspecially if you go with a young guy like conley or sessions or another young PG it makes more sense to trade bayless because it is hard to develope to young points at the same time. Plus blake wouldbe a good mentor to a young PG. Even if you bring in a vet like Hinrich or jason kidd or andre miller or whomever it makes more sense to have blake on the bench because of injuries, judjing by what we saw last year bayless might be able to handle the back up PG minutes but there is really no case to be made that he should be starting and you definitly would not want to be forced in to handing him the riegns should thier be an injury.

So to wrap it up if you could trade Outlaw who is a polarizing figure on your team and bayless who is at best unproven for a starting point gaurd thenI think that is the move you make.

by kwestfan on Jun 15, 2009 2:45 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

1. Rudy. 2. Rudy

I think the Blazers willingness to part with Rudy is in-line with my reasons for parting with Rudy, so I’ll detail point one with reasons why Batum and Bayless are not my answer for item 1:

  • Batum was scouted and pursued and darn near stolen right out of the Spurs’s greedy clutches on the basis that Batum showed great potential to by a TP level SF someday. Thanks to Martell’s injury, Batum got a LOT of burn at the 3 and convinced a couple people (including MJ himself) that Batum’s ceiling looks more like Pippen than Prince, and that he is more NBA ready than anybody had imagined. Given this and the dirt cheap price of his current contract, there is no way we could get equivalent value for him in a deal.
  • Regardless of what you think of Bayless’s physical strengths/weaknesses or his “PG-ness” or anything else, KP has come to his defense again and again, and the overriding theme in all of those defenses is “Jerryd is the hardest working guy ever.” Who else do we know in the NBA who has a near-legendary work ethic? Um, Kobe. Even the Blogfather himself pointed out in specualting on Kobe’s future as a coach that the folks most likely to succeed at ANYTHING independent of their natural talents are those with ridiculous work ethics. So it’s clear that the Blazer’s front office sees Jerryd as having a serious future in the NBA, even if nobody thinks he’s going to be the next Kobe. Maybe he’s NOT our long-term answer at PG. That being said, he will be far, FAR more valuable in the last year of his rookie contract than he is now.

2. So with Rudy, why am I willing to let him go? Many of you have hit on the fact that he is too good to be getting limited minutes behind B-Roy, and would want to leave eventually for lack of playing time. I agree with all this, but I additionally think that Rudy is not a guaranteed keeper even if he does get adequate minutes. He’s been very politic with the city and the fans about how happy he is to be here, the Drexler poster, etc, but let’s be clear. He’d be thrilled to be a L@ker. In fact, he might even harbor fantasies of starting at the 2 once Kobe retires. Once Sergio is gone he doesn’t really have any ties to this city beyond the fact that the fans show love like Euro futbol fans do. That’s nothing to sneeze at. But I think if he had the chance to start for a large market team he’d jump in a heartbeat. So then… if we can’t expect him to remain with the team longer than a good veteran starting to wane… then why not get the veteran?

by conspirator5 on Jun 15, 2009 2:47 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

it would take alot to move any of these three

for Butler i would move bat or rudy along with trout, webster, serg, picks ect… for a young stud pg ( harris and up, not the kirks or ramons of the world) i would move bayless and a similar package to the butler deal. Star pgs and sfs are not coming so we keep all three

"show me a good loser and i'll show you a loser" - coach

by chikndnnr on Jun 15, 2009 10:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

1. Which one of the three do you think the Blazers would be most willing to part with and why?

2. Which one of the three would YOU be most willing to part with and why?

I personally think that Rudy would be the Blazer they’d part with. KP’s infatuation with Bayless extends back to Bayless’ high school days, as reported by Givony of DraftExpress last year. It’s also about current value. Rudy has a very high trade value and would fetch a lot in return. Jerryd’s lackluster year means that we probably wouldn’t get fair value for him.

In my opinion, It has to be Bayless at this point. Rudy and Batum, as evidenced by Pelton’s analysis, were excellent this year. Bayless was below-average. As much as I love his aggressive style and future potential, he did not perform well, with the exception of a seven or eight game stretch when Blake was absent. Will he in the future? I believe so… but it’s an unknown. I’d rather go with the two sure bets that we know are going to be at least solid. Rudy and Roy were an incredible statistical combo. Roy and Batum’s games mesh beautifully. Bayless? We can hope.

proud hinrichsheeple

by Cablinasian on Jun 15, 2009 11:23 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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