At this point of the offseason, I think you can either write about draft strategy according to what you WANT to happen or what you THINK will happen. I guess I'm just gonna try to write what makes sense.
Bayless seems to have a lot of support from the team right now and it appears the organization is invested in him. It wouldn't be a stretch to assume that he will be the backup pg (not that he will be awarded the position, he still has to earn it this summer) next season behind Blake, regardless of where Sergio is playing basketball. Speaking of Blake, KP didn't think twice about picking up the team's option on his contract and given that KP admitted to literally crying the first time he traded Blake to Milwaukie I would be absolutely shocked if he gets traded this offseason. He's limited for sure, but his numbers are solid and his contract is appropriate. Sometimes I think the need for a super PG gets overblown anyway. The bottom line is, you need really good players. Doesn't matter what position they play. If your SF or PF (randomly selected positions) are superstars, you can win championships surrounding them with role players. Its about the player, not the position.
Anyway, you could trade assets to move up in the draft for a guy like Stephen Curry (a jumpshooting tweener guard) or I suppose you could go after that mythical "veteran PG." I mentioned Stephen Curry because there has been some rumored interest but it could be any number of rookie PG's. The point is, it doesn't look like the team is going to trade Bayless. Or Blake. Drafting a rookie PG for Nate to NOT play doesn't make much sense right now. Now I could maybe see them shipping out one of those guys for an all star caliber PG (maybe on the tail end of his career) but I just don't see another team making that type of deal. What would be realistic would be going after a player like Rafer Alston who is playing in an NBA Finals right now. His numbers won't jump out at you but he's an experienced guard who will be AVAILABLE at the end of the season (given Jameer Nelson's return). So picking up a player of his caliber sounds reasonable but is it realistic given our current PG situation?
I'm not going to spend a whole lot of time talking about the 2, 3, and 5 spots. I'll just say this, we have 3 serviceable SF's right now. We don't know what Martell is going to give us coming off that serious an injury, we don't know how much growth Batum is going to have from year 1 to 2, and we don't know if Travis will ever decide to show up to camp in shape, learn to rebound, and play TEAM defense. But the bottom line is, the SF is not a position of weakness. Between all 3 of those question marks, I'd be surprised if none of them panned out. and I'm not gonna bother talking about depth on a 2 headed center monster and a SG who plays 40+ minutes a game.
We're down to the PF position. LA seems to be right on track as far as player development and he's already a borderline allstar who is playing 30+ minutes a night. I don't think there are too many people in Portland who think Channing is going to be around next year and as much as I would like Shav to have a shot at some of those leftover minutes, I just don't think its in the cards. So you can either draft a back up or you can go find one. You look at KP's record and tell me what you think he's going to do given those 2 choices? This is a draft stocked with quality PG prospects but very light on big men. It may take some assets to move up but Sergio, Travis, cash and future first rounders are all easily expendable at this point and should be enough to move up in a relatively weak draft to get the player KP has surely targeted since 1995. I'm not sure who to draft, just what to draft. I think if you look at what we need (rebounding, mental and physical toughness, smart defender, ability to score in the low post) you can identify a few prospects.