Fernandez v. Batum
This season we were blessed to watch the rookie campaigns of two European players who were not only exciting bearers of future promise, but actually contributed to the Blazers' fantastic performance: Rudy Fernandez and Nicolas Batum.
Rudy became an instant celebrity with his three-point shot, his skilled passing, his occasional burglary on defense, and a genuine flair for playing the game. And let's not forget this high-flying dunk potential! He's open anywhere on the court and he knows how to move without the ball. His confidence and passion are irrepressible and contagious. He's one of the hottest young prospects in the league by popular acclamation.
Nicolas slid into the starting small forward position in the second game of the season and didn't relinquish the spot until the last playoff breaths forced an air of desperation. Where Rudy is instant offense, Nicolas is instant defense. He routinely drew the toughest opponent scorers as his primary assignment. He chased down many an opponent on the break, preventing easy scores. He rebounded. On offense he shot well, if infrequently. He occasionally demonstrated the ability to soar to the rim, breaking down his opponent and the help as well. He's one of the hottest young prospects in the league among professional evaluators.
I can't imagine not being in love with these guys. I can't imagine a Blazer fan who's anything less than overjoyed to have them as part of the team.
Now here are the questions of the day:
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
If you'd like you can add a fourth question: What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
Enjoy! I promise I'll throw in my two cents at the end of the day.
--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)
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1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Nicolas Batum. Easiest question of the offseason. His athleticism and defense are marvelous, and add in a year of seasoning… a SF is born.
I have higher hopes for Rudy, since he’s a much more polished player.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Nicolas Batum. Brandon Roy is the man at shooting guard until 2020. Nic has the potential to be the SF of our title runs, and that’s a little bit more important than the sixth man.
Nic will be our perimeter defender, fast-break wiz, and slasher. Looking at other European three point percentages in rookie years (Peja, Dirk, Manu) we can probably expect some improvement in his shooting as well.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Nicolas Batum.
proud hinrichsheeple
by Cablinasian on Jun 2, 2009 12:06 AM PDT reply actions 4 recs
I agree completely
Batum can grow to be our undisputed starting SF for the years to come, he’s started the whole season already with what, 20 years? true his offensive performance was a little bit low, but his defense was amazing, and he has really good basics to improve from there.
Rudy on the other hand can only aspire to be best 6th man of the league, something he can achieve fairly easily if he keeps improving; he’s not going to get much more minutes, and he’s already playing hot minutes, not garbage ones.
I think Rudy has more chances to leave, but only because B Roy, not because of himself, and anyway I don’t see KP trading him unless there is something he can’t turn off in the table, so he will probably stick to his current minutes, which is not bad, untill he finishes contract, then we will see…
I'll just cut and paste your answers
since that’s how I feel. Rudy is an exciting player and puts female butts into the seats, but he’s going to be stuck behind Roy unless Portland goes to a defense-lite rotation with either Roy or Fernandez at SF.
There were signs that Batum will be able to slash to the basket and that ability is sorely lacking on the current team. If he could even be a third of Pippen at his best with the defense (man and help), the distributing, the scoring and the slashing…man, that would be great.
Well....this saves me from writing out my response to Dave
You said everything I was going to say.
While it appears Rudy still has untapped potential, I’d say more lies within Mr. Batum. And looking at this team’s needs at the 3 (defensive stopper),, to me it;s rather clear that Nic comes out slightly ahead in the LONG TERM.
you said it for me
thanks! – Elgin
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
yup
"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.
But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"
http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html
okay
more excited to see develop next year?: Rudy. I wanna see the Rudy from the olympics. Badly! I remember Totally freaking out watching the spain us game. Watching him put that team on his back for a quarter was just so exciting.
greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? I think Batum Has a much better chance at contributing more. Seeing as he is being groomed to be a starter. And rudy will never start here unless there is an injury or something.
Batum Will have a full offensive Arsenal in a couple of years , given that and his desire to play defense makes him more valuble i think.
can only keep one. Which one is it? Batum.
Officer:Why did you kill your husband ?
Crazy Woman: Because I love too much!
by YikesItsCameron on Jun 2, 2009 12:06 AM PDT reply actions
You're cruel
Would you ask me to choose between my two children? I refuse to pick one of these bright lights over the other. And I wouldn’t CONSIDER trading either of ’em. For shame, Dave!
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
Its Like sophies choice. But with tall sweaty european men.
Officer:Why did you kill your husband ?
Crazy Woman: Because I love too much!
by YikesItsCameron on Jun 2, 2009 12:09 AM PDT up reply actions
It's not like Sophia's Choice at all
She’d take Batum with out thinking twice.
and never go back to kevin kline.
dinasour type of guys choir boys
Yeah!
Oh, here’s one for YOU, Dave. What if the Blazers could be the NBA champs, but only if you were to go into hiding and give up writing for BE, and everybody, including your mother, would believe that you had absconded with the BE poetry prize funds? What would you do then … DAVE? Huh?
Anyway, if it ever comes to KP trading one of them away, they could still both play for the Blazers. Here’s what a typical game night would be like:
Nate: Rudy! What are you doing here? I thought Pritchard traded you! Well, get in there and stir things up. Everybody’s just standing around.
Rudy: Claro que si, Coach. By the way, Senor Pritchard, he trade Batum. You no remember?
[…]
Nate: Nic! Where did you come from? Didn’t you get traded? Well, as long as you’re here, get in there and get us some stops. Our perimeter is like a sieve!
Nic: Certainment, Coach. But, eet could be Fernandez you are sinking of, n’est-ce pas? Monsieur Pritchard, he trade heem, non?
Nate: No, Rudy’s out there playing right now. Wait. Where’d he GO??? Okay, Nic, just give us some good D.
[…]
Nate: You’re back! Nicolas was just telling me you’d been traded!
Rudy: Hmm … I can’t recall, Coach. Mire, looks like Blake need a siesta.
Nate: Okay, okay. I’ll put you in for Nic … What the?? Now, where did HE go?? Okay, Rudy, I’ll sub you in for Steve.
[…]
Nic: I return now, Coach. Zat soiree was so much fun! But, now I have envy to get in ze game.
Nate: Holy cow! I’m going crazy here. Look, you just go ahead and play whenever you feel like it. There’s something I’ve gotta go see Mike Rice about.
Nic: But Coach, zat is Monsieur Schonely over zere.
[…]
"Just kidding"
by CatMan2 on Jun 2, 2009 8:37 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
I would do anything
to help the Blazers win a championship. Yes, even become a villain hermit. As long as I got to watch the championship-winning game on TV, no doubt purchased with the funds I’d absconded with, in my little cave.
—Dave
Will you kidnap LeBron James and hide him in Siberia? I think that would help.
proud hinrichsheeple
by Cablinasian on Jun 2, 2009 10:47 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
+1
for cheesy accents – Elgin
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
i am french
Why do you tink i have dis outraaaagggeous accent!?
"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.
But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"
http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html
1. Batum, Rudy
2. Batum-His potential is too great. He will be the lockdown defender that the Blazers so desperately need. Rudy is in a sticky situation position wise and Nic just seems to fit in with the core players.
3. Batum-Rudy ain’t gonna be defending LeBron for the next 10 years!
Certified blazer.fangirl
nobody will be able to stop LeBron
but Rudy can out-shoot him
Woof
by Charles Barkley McLovin on Jun 2, 2009 12:56 AM PDT up reply actions
Until they stop falling...
and then what are you left with? With Batum you will always have his defense.
Certified blazer.fangirl
Batum
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Batum – Batum
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Batum has the full skill-set to be a great SF. And, he makes all the team players on the floor with him… better.
Rudy is a SG and not a SF. If he improves greatly, Rudy will push Roy for more minutes which may lead to him being traded.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? Batum
Same answer to each question
1. Nic: he’s going to be Tayshaun Prince good
2. Nic: defensive stopper and hopefully much much more on offense and the kid is only 20
3. Nic: We’ve already got a pretty good shooting guard
I can't play favorites.
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Batum because I think he has further to go before he hits his ceiling. People laud his defense, but I think he has shown flashes of some offensive chops. Getting to the right spots. Not needing the ball, but coming up big on the extra pass. I think he has the tools to improve his scoring game, which I why I am more excited for his sophomore year, rather than Rudy, who already has a pretty polished game
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Tougher. I commented earlier about the necessity of having a stopper at the 3 in todays NBA, so Batum wins by a hair. I also agree that Rudy is more likely to be traded.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it?
I would say Rudy, but only if Brandon Roy didn’t exist (which would be sad), so Batum again.
Note: Is anyone else kind of surprised how heavily all these comments are favoring Nicolas? But I guess I actually can play favorites.
4. I would probably give up Batum in a dealfor
Gerald Wallace. But I’d really rather see another year or two of him in PDX, then decide.
Rudy maybe MAYBE for Conley. (I feel like a shower after saying that.)
KP turned that deal down at the TD
Jordan wanted Batum… he even compared him to Pippen.
by kobisportsguy on Jun 4, 2009 3:23 PM PDT up reply actions
easy
1. More excited to see Rudy develop this next year. With Martell back, then we’ll hopefully see Rudy as more of a slasher and driver then just the team’s only spot up shooter by default.
2. Long term, it’s tough, but I see a definite role for Nic that will always be there if he continues to develop. He is a solid defender in a league where there is a shortage of defensive stoppers.
3. If I keep one I’d keep Nic because he’s great value and fills a need for the team. Rudy’s also got way more value in a trade situation. I doubt the blazer management will ever part with Rudy though. He’s a cash cow, fan fav, and the reason millions internationally care about this team. Same reason the Mariners will never trade Ichiro
From a monetary standpoint, you can't equate Rudy Fernandez to Ichrio Suzuki.
Financially, Suzuki is way more valuable to the Seattle M’s than Fernandez is to the Portland Trail Blazers.
speaking of ichiro
is it a 25 game hitting streak now?
bayless leaves over my dead body
sign mike bibby
by thomasikehara on Jun 2, 2009 7:10 AM PDT up reply actions
It comes down to
Japan loving baseball a whole lot more than Spain loves basketball.
Rudy’s marketability <<<< Ichiro’s marketability <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Yao’s marketability
The issue being
that there have been plenty of Japanese players since Ichiro to come over here and have at least some amount of success: Matsui, Daisuke, et al. Ichiro isn’t the only standard bearer for the Japanese in MLB, whereas Yao is the only entry point for Chinese players into the NBA (Wang Zhi Zhi and Yi not withstanding), so when Yao is gone, I’d imagine a fair amount of the Chinese fan base leaves, too, unless someone else steps up (I can’t say I’m too confident in Sun Yue, though).
Yet the Mariners don't make a ton of $ off of marketing Ichiro in Japan.
I believe (could be wrong on this) that MLB shares the revenue from the Japanese broadcasts of Mariners baseball. They have picked up a couple of minor stadium advertising deals, but that;s pretty much it.
The NBA at its worst is much more of a global marketing machine than MLB is at its best.
So strictly from a monetary standpoint of cash coming into their respective NW teams, I do not believe Ichiro and the Mariners are that much ahead of the Blazers than the Blazers and Rudy.
Ichiro has dome some TV in Japan after signing with the Mariners……..as has Rudy since being on the Blazers.
by antediluvian on Jun 3, 2009 10:48 AM PDT up reply actions
I'd argue that Ichiro Suzuki has a way bigger impact domestically than Rudy Fernandez.
http://blogs.king5.com/sports/2008/07/mariners-leaving-komo-for-kiro.html
Suzuki’s Japanese-American fan base is multiple times larger than Fernandez’s Spanish-American fan base. Between local television deals, ticket sales, merchandising, and many other factors, I wholeheartedly think Suzuki makes more of an impact on the Mariners than Fernandez does for the Trail Blazers.
You are absolutely right.
Somehow I got it into my head we were only talking about in ther overseas markets. And when I look at your posts, you never made that distinction. So….in regards to everything I said up above……nevermind. :-)
come on AK198...
my original point was not to compare dollar amounts or impact between the two, but rather to illustrate Rudy’s unseen international impact. He is more valuable then say..Travis, because of marketability. This is a benefit that the blazers will seek to exploit as much as they can. Plus the ladies love him too.
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
In the short term I am more excited about Rudy. I think the Blazers can do a lot more to get him involved in the game, and I think Batum will find minutes harder to come by next season with the return of Webster.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Long term, I think that Batum is going to be the more important Blazer. He has the potential to be a lock-down defender, which is something the Blazers currently lack. He also fits better with Roy than Rudy does.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Nicolas Batum.
Rudy all the way
He has the tools to become the Blazers most dangerous weapon on offense. A quickshooting, athletic player who can be an emotional leader and dominate opposing players with his swagger and steal their girlfriends with his smile. Next year Rudy won’t have his mid-season slump and continue shooting at a high rate and could potentially be the leading scorer off the bench. I think he is more valuable to the Blazers organization and perfectly fits their time fram for a championship run. His ‘clutchness’ and ability to hit big shots, which every playoff game comes down to, will make him more valuable to the team.
Woof
by Charles Barkley McLovin on Jun 2, 2009 12:55 AM PDT reply actions
I'm more excited to see Batum develop because I don't think we've yet seen him completely comfortable in this league
also, I would keep Batum because like others have said, sorry Rudy we already got Brandon.
I went to the malls and I balled too hard
'Oh my god, is that a Black Card?'
I turned around and replied, why yes but I prefer the term
African American Express
Batum or Rudy?
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Batum if because of his defense and if he becomes a well rounded players he has the right body to make this team great. Immediate hopes would go to Batum because he already has good defense and he could develop a good offense fairly quickly I would hope. His body might take a few years to develop but the quicker he gets going the quicker we start dominating. Rudy is already good and I think he rightfully won the Blazers rookie of the year, he can spread the floor and
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Again as has been mentioned Rudy isn’t in the right position SG so Batum has the more chance to contribute then Rudy. The Rudy 3 percentage if it goes to 45% + he and he continues to shoot a large number I would feel he could really open the offense up even more for the bigs, but he would have to reach a really high number for his offensive numbers to out weigh batums defensive presence.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Batum hasn’t shown as much as Rudy has so I would have to choose Batum for potential and Rudy for what he has given us. MMMMM good fudge.
If you’d like you can add a fourth question: What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
For Rudy I would take Rubio, CP3, deron williams and devin harris obviously these trades would involve other players as well
"Knowledge will get you from A to B. Creativity will get you anywhere." Einstein
TRIPLE
Triple
Triple
- Elginelginelgin
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
The answer to the first three questions are easy for me.
1. Nicolas Batum
2. Nicolas Batum
3. Nicolas Batum
Now, for the fourth question, here’s a previous comment of mine.
“After the July moratorium, re-sign Raef LaFrentz to a three-year, $16.65 million contract (i.e., $5.55 annually) — with only the first season including a guaranteed salary — and trade him in conjuction with LaMarcus Aldridge and Rudy Fernandez to the Toronto Raptors for Chris Bosh.”
Regarding Rudy Fernandez, I’d happily trade him elsewhere for the acquisition of a true #2 superstar to pair with Brandon Roy. If Roy, Chris Bosh, and the developing Greg Oden were the Portland Trail Blazers’ core — so long as Bosh agreed to sign a contract extension immediately after the proposed deal went down — then this team would be legitimate championship contenders.
I'd do that deal
if Portland can also swap Rodriguez for Calderon. No way would Toronto do it, but Portland could throw in a couple of second round picks.
A Bosh deal like that popped into my head yesterday
I’d do it for sure.
Rudy is terrific, but that means he’s great trade bait.
Sticking up for Travis Outlaw since 2008 and Steve Blake since last week..
Why do you think Predator is such an upgrade over Lamarcus
that he’s worth giving up so much to get? Give me a few stats in your analysis, please.
alright, I’ll bite.
It’s about rebounding and shooting efficiency. 15.4%-12.5% difference in rebounding, 56.9% (in an off year for Bosh)-52.9% in true-shooting percentage
Honestly, LMA could be Bosh if he developed a better handle and quick first step to the basket. That’s why Bosh has a higher TS%… he draws free throws by attacking off of the dribble.
proud hinrichsheeple
Rebounding difference take into account Oden/Joel as LMA's competition?
Either way, 4% TS difference is up there. LMA could probably erase it if they would just take the pick and pop out of the playbook… or at least move it to a 15 foot pick and pop instead of 19.
his RB% has been pretty similar all three years of his career.
He needs to draw fouls shots. That’s the simple answer to how he becomes an all-star.
proud hinrichsheeple
Well he has had to contend with Przybilla for all 3
Billa went completely off the hook this year in terms of rebounding %, but he’s never been shabby. Has Bosh ever had a good rebounder to compete with? (Not saying he hasn’t, just dunno.)
O'Neal, Marion were not bad
But no – nothing close to Joel and Greg.
"What's so interesting is that this team took on a dynamic that was very special. I don't think we as a group, in terms of management, coaches and players, realize what we did as a young team. We broke all the metrics. We broke all the molds. Our challenge is can we continue to do that. As young of a team with 54 wins, no issues off the court, phenomenal chemistry." - Kevin Pritchard
Thanks Cab. I take it you and AK feel
that LaMarcus is not likely to develop a better handle and get to the hole more often, either.
How would you compare LaMarcus and Predator defensively?
you didn't ask me, but I view them as relative equals on that end of the floor, with an edge to Bosh on the strength of D-rebounding (which I consider part of defense)
Heh? I think LMA could get a better handle… I’m not positive, but there is a good chance given his work ethic.
proud hinrichsheeple
Isn't that a deal you do
AFTER you already have your free agent in place. Or rather, isn’t this a deal you make near the trade deadline, or at least Decemberish? You do that deal now, it cuts into your cap space, and you end up with just Bosh. You do the deal after you’ve already signed (Sessions, Bass, Ariza… etc) and now you have that last extra asset you needed. The Bosh trade before last trade deadline or before we’re able to use our free agent money would be a mistake, even before considering the merits of Bosh vs Aldridge + Rudy.
Raef LaFrentz's Bird rights > a modicum of cap space, end of story.
Of course, I’m an advocate of not renonoucing LaFrentz’s Bird rights and thereby being over the salary cap after the July moratorium. As far as I’m concerned, a sign-and-trade involving LaFrentz is likely a whole lot more valuable than cap space at this juncture.
I’m not Tom Penn, though,
So after we get the free agent this year (Sessions, Ariza, Bass)
we use our bird rights on Raef to trade for Bosh, much like Keith Van Horn was used?
I think by holding onto Raef’s rights, we’d forfeit our cap space due to his monster cap hold.
proud hinrichsheeple
Instead of cap space, the team would have its mid-level ...
exception, bi-annual exception, and trade exception — which would all need to be renounced to get under the salary cap after the July moratorium — besides, those are worth roughly the same in value.
Batum, Batum, Batum
Rudy is quite clearly the better, more polished player right now. Nicolas has the potential to be a first rate defender and I believe he can be a strong offensive player as well— a two way star in the mold of Tayshaun Prince. Potential is exciting.
If I can only keep 1, I would trade Rudy— who plays the same position as the Blazers’ best player and has enough value that he could plausibly help fetch the Blazers a player to put them over the top.
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Next year I’m more excited to see what new skill Batum adds to his game. The higher immediate hopes are for Rudy, but that’s just because I expected a lot of him right away, and got a lot from him right away.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Right now I’d have to go with Rudy Fernandez. He’s quite simply the better player. Potential is a very dangerous thing, as a lot of us can attest to. Rudy already is one of the 50 best perimeter players in the league, and last year he was just a rookie. Add in the that Roy can play either wing position, and plays especially well when on the court with Rudy, and you have a dynamic force waiting to go (hopefully Rudy can continue to be the 6th man).
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
You keep Rudy because you know what you have, and it’s pretty extensive all the skills and abilities he brings to a basketball court. Batum might someday be the better player, but you can’t take it to the bank like you can with Rudy. Batum is awesome, but even long term, I just don’t see him shutting down LBJ which we’re at some point going to need to do.
4. What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
For Rudy it’s very simple. I need to get a franchise point guard. There are 8 that I’d use Rudy in a package to get. (CP3, Deron Williams, Rajon Rondo, Tony Parker, Devin Harris, Derrick Rose, Ricky Rubio, John Wall’s rights)…
For Batum I’d have to make sure I’d acquired Trevor Ariza or some like player (elite young defensive minded SF), and I’d basically want the same sort of point guard.
Very good argument
I started the thread thinking as Batum being my answer. However, you have made a compelling case for Rudy.
What it comes down to for me, is that while we’ve seen the value of potential and are excited by Batum, we’ve also seen the potential flop (Telfair, the russians, etc)
So my thought is that we need to wait until at least the trade deadline, if not next summer to make a move with either of them.
However, if a deal comes around that would get a us a significant upgrade at starting PG, then I think we’d have to do it, whether it involved Batum or Rudy.
I agree with your thoughts
Plus while everyone is eschewing Batum’s “potential”, Rudy has a ton of untapped potential as well and is already more polished. I think you have to go with what is proven at this point.
"I saw him in the face" Sergio's quote on the latest alley-oop to Rudy.
by blazermaniac32 on Jun 2, 2009 6:41 AM PDT up reply actions
I want to be cautious with Batum
He had a much better than expected rookie season. In fact, he reminds me of Sergio’s rookie year. No one expected anything his rookie year. He can out and performed very well in stretches. However he was inconsistent and had relatively few great outings. The demise is that he may not build upon this better than expected season and if so he will take the Sergio path, still great potential but no the consistent player we want. The Most important aspect that I’d like to see Batum develope is solid ball handling (dribbling). What really set Pippen apart was his ability to play point forward (same for Turkoglu). That skill would be the difference between a Pippen or a Prince. Both are great but one is a hall of famer.
With that being said, that ball handling is also Rudy’s biggest weakness too. Rudy needs to lear to effective dive into the paint in the NBA with the ball in his hands. That shouldn’t be too much to ask. Rudy has shown us much more than Batum at this point but he also had much higher expectations (potential ROY). If forced to keep only one player, I’d keep Batum only becuase we need that role more than we need Rudy’s role. However, by the end of their rookie contracts we will know the answer for sure as for who will best live up to potential expectations. I’d put my money that both will be long term Blazers.
sorry for the typos
I really need to spell check before I post.
error 1. second sentence: He "came " out annd performed
error 2. in my runon sentence: still great potential but "not " the consistent
error 3. 2nd paragraph 2nd sentence: Rudy needs to “learn” to “effectively drive” into the paint
I agree with all this 100%
Except I think I might gouge out my eyes if I saw Ariza donning the Red & Black…
I like Rudy a little more, but Batum has me interested more with his potential. This
guy reminds me of Scottie Pippen, and I said that before Mike Rice did.
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
I think Rudy needs to become the thrid scorer for us next year. Nic will always bring his defence and good play put I think for next year to be a success, Rudy needs to become a more reliable offensive threat.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Nicky… starting small forward forever. I agree he just looks like he could be a Scottie Pippen type player… our best perimeter defender and someone who makes the rest of the team better.
Rudy is possibly destined to be our sixth man as long as Roy is healthy. I think they’ll both be key players but Nic’s starting so he gets the vote.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
I think Nic.
1, because he plays a problem area for us which Rudy doesn’t.
2, Rudy (I think) has better value around the league.
3, Rudy might want a larger role on the team which might not be possible.
4. What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
As other have said before… they would have to bring back a borderline all-star point guard.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
by Milky_Joe on Jun 2, 2009 3:51 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I am more excited to see Rudy develop this year, as he has the chance to become a really dynamic scorer. but think that if I had to choose only one it would be Batum. The kid is money, a true baller already, and only 20. He has a chance to become truly great. Michael Jordan himself, unprovoked by any question asked, said he thinks Nic is going to be special, and that he reminds him if a young Scottie Pippen.
Batum.
1. I’m excited to see Rudy develop, but I’m much more excited to see Batum develop. I feel that Batum could end up being the more complete player in the end, plus I love his defense.
2. I think that both will be major contributers, but I think Batum will contribute more. He’s a guy that you can stick on the opponents best player and really cause problems for them.
3. I’d keep Batum. I like Rudy too, but defense is something that we can use even more than offense.
4. It would take a trade for an all star to pry either of these guys away from Portland though if I were the GM.
I'm amazed.
There’s an awful lot of debate on the sidebar about how to fit Rudy into the rotation, so I was expecting to see a lot of Rudy fans shine through in this thread. To see a majority choosing Batum is pretty interesting. as11osu has a good point though, that Rudy’s value is that he is proven (at least somewhat) and that Batum’s value is still mostly potential.
Except for defense
If Cleveland has Batum, they win the Orlando series & beat the Lakers in the Finals. Thats how much a great defender can have on a game.
Being a great defender in the NBA at 19 is unheard of, for the most part. Just a little something to think about. The great thing is, his frame has a lot of room for additional muscle. I just hope he can, unlike Tayshaun Prince
PIPPEN: "No. As a kid, you just play for the opportunity to play some more, for getting that one shot. Once you get there, the hard work doesn’t stop. It’s just the beginning.
Offseason:
(T)Mike Conley Jr
(T)Reggie Evans
(D)Taj Gibson
(D)Kevin Seraphin
(D)Jerel McNeal/Lester Hudson
by TheGreatDane17 on Jun 2, 2009 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions
Ehh that's quite an assumption to make
If you put Batum in at SF Cleveland still has NO ONE to relieve Lebron of his offensive duties.
He would have been able to handle Turkoglu
While LeBron can stay glued to Lewis.
Offseason:
(T)Mike Conley Jr
(T)Reggie Evans
(D)Taj Gibson
(D)Kevin Seraphin
(D)Jerel McNeal/Lester Hudson
by TheGreatDane17 on Jun 2, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Batum doesn't play over West or Varejao
He mighta grabbed some time off the bench, but not enough to be a series changer.
great topic
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Rudy on both counts. I really feel like Rudy can be a lot more than just a spot up 3 point shooter, and I’m hoping to see him used more at times (when BRoy’s out) as a playmaker and ballhandler on pick and rolls. Rudy is more ready now than Batum, and should contribute more next season, thus I have higher immediate hopes for him.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Batum. For a couple of reaons. One is obviously position. Rudy plays the same position as our all-NBA guard. It’s always going to be a challenge to find ways to get both of them on the court for big minutes. Batum on the other hand is a clear ‘3’ for now (maybe down the road he could e a ‘4’ in a small lineup for stints. Batum’s length, defensive ability, and developing skill set will be a perfect long-term fit for this team.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Batum. For mostly the same reasons as (2). He plays a position of more need, and I believe his overall ceiling is both higher than Rudy’s AND of a better fit for the team needs.
If you’d like you can add a fourth question: What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
I wouldn’t trade BOTH unless we are getting back a young all star at SF or PG. However, I would be willing to package one or the other of them in a trade that brings back a clear upgrade at the PG spot who will fit our window.
How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009
The only guys I trade both for
at least in terms of semi-realistic targets (i.e. no CP3, DWill, Rose, et al) would probably be Iguodala. I’d think hard about Devin Harris, though.
The answers
1) I am really excited to see Rudy develop a mid-range shot. He was devastating from three point land and the rim, but his opponents figured out that he wasn’t getting it done from mid-range. If he can make a modest improvement in the mid-range game, he will solidify the second unit and provide more consistency to it.
2) Long term, I think that Batum will stick. We need defensive minded players and he will fill that role brilliantly.
3) This was probably the easiest question of them all: Nicolas Fernandez is my pick. He is a 6-8 monster with an incredible wingspan and a flare for the dramatic. He can play some serious D when he is not knocking down corner threes. Unfortunately, his mixed Spanish/French accent is simply too much for the ladies to resist and he is constantly getting kidnapped and/or mauled by them. He lasts only three years in the league before he retires to a monastery so that he can finally live in peace.
by da34shadow on Jun 2, 2009 6:58 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Batum across the board
Mostly because I’m lazy. I’d rather watch Rudy play because he’s more exciting but I’m more excited about watching Batum develop because I think he’s got more growth potential. Rudy is closer to being a finished product.
Another aspect that makes Batum so compelling is that he already does those things (defense, never being out of position, etc.) that take some players years to learn and some players never learn, and he’s shown the ability to be a force on offense with the occasional 3ptr, drive to the hoop, etc. You get the feeling it’s only a matter of time before he completes the package by becoming a serious scoring option.
Rudy will be traded in 1 or 2 years
1) the immediate hopes are for him, I hope he takes a lot of money shots and buzzer beaters so next year he will have a very high trade value. He’s very intertaining to watch but when I think of the value he has, I think we can have a top player for him.
But I can’t wait to see Batum play penetration too.
2) Long term is Batum. He already has defense and the shoot, he’ll get muscles, play penenetration and play a slight different role thant the guy shooting 3s when he’s open. Rudy is already older so he’s closer to what he’ll be in long term.
3) I keep Batum because Rudy has a high trade value and he’ll probably want to leave soon too. And when we get a wierdo PG, we won’t need Rudy’s creativity as much. Just trade Rudy when he has the best trading value he can get in the short term.
Specifically for our team
1. Nic. Rudy will have a better career on another team but Nic has the potential to fit in as a swingman mate to our best player better than Rudy does with his defensive abilities. He just needs to work on his confidence on his weakside corner threes.
I think Rudy has Kevin Martin upside – someone who can score 20+ppg but doesn’t do much besides scoring. But would we trade for Kevin Martin when we already have Roy? I don’t think so.
2. Nic again, for much the same reason. I see him as a Raja Bell type defender and 3 point threat. His offense actually has a lot more potential than the Bells and Bowens of the world but I’d be happy with even their lesser amount.
Rudy has great shotmaking but he doesn’t really offer anything else- no rebounding, iffy defense. I want Roy paired up with someone who can take the harder defensive assignments at the wings, and Rudy’s not that guy. Look how Denver struggled having no one able to keep a hand in Kobe’s face. That’s what we look like with Rudy and Roy on the wings.
3. Nic. Rudy is trade fodder in my book.
Btw, I should mention
that as high as I am on Nic, I think a lineup of a bayless/roy/nic/lma/greg has too little toughness to win a title. I agree with the TNT guys who talk a lot about toughness and how much it helps to have some toughness from your bigger guys — greg/lma/nic would be the frontline farthest from tough in the league.
by howlingfantods on Jun 2, 2009 7:44 AM PDT up reply actions
Really tired of all the "tough" talk
Guys need to be mentally tough, and they need to rise to meet the physical challenge, but I think “toughness” is over-hyped. Young guys get tougher as they gain experience and mature physically. A lot of the concern about whether or not the Blazers are tough enough, is nothing more than impatience. Our guys need experience and the confidence that comes from having success in a wide variety of situations.
Greg, LMA, and Nic have lots of length and athleticism. All will get stronger as they continue to mature, learn the tricks of the trade, and get increasing respect from the zebras.
by upper left corner on Jun 2, 2009 8:14 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Oden's not tough?
Huh? He doesn’t pound his chest, but he doesn’t get out LBJs way. Nic plays through injuries, doesn’t get phased or out of sorts with physicality. LMA swats KG in the back of the head, doesn’t lose his composure. Maybe he’s not bowling people over, but bowling people over isn’t toughness. It’s an offensive foul. Maybe he doesn’t have the mass at this point to box out bigger guys, but he could very well get it.
There’s evidence that each of the guys you mentioned are very tough. Yes, LMA gets labeled soft all the time, but he kind of shows he won’t be that way for long by bristling at the comment each time he hears it. He’s making strides going inside.
I guess tough means beating people up, pushing them around. That’s new. Tough never used to mean that.
I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich
Tough means not wilting whenever you get pushed around by the celts.
Our guys ain’t tough. We also wilted against the physical interior play of Houston. Oden might be big but he ain’t tough. Thrilla ain’t as big and he’s a hell of a lot tougher.
by howlingfantods on Jun 2, 2009 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions
How did we wilt against their interior play?
For most of the series we were the team that took it inside more.
Hm, we seem to be remembering things very very differently.
Not sure where to find stats for points in the paint, but here’s KP2 talking about the decisive Game 3 win, where he reiterates that Houston owned the paint to go ahead by 2 to 1. He doesn’t really talk about ownership over the paint in his other recaps…
We also got pwned on the boards in that series.
by howlingfantods on Jun 2, 2009 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions
I believe I said most
We outscored Houston in the paint in game 1 and still got pretty handily crushed.
And considering our own guys
admitted they have a problem with teams pushing them around and admitted being physically intimidated by the Celts, I think this whole run to defend our guys’ toughness is laughable.
by howlingfantods on Jun 2, 2009 10:10 AM PDT up reply actions
Ummmm........they were intimidated by the Celts in the first game.
The second game, not so much. Do you not remember LMA slapping KG upside the head?
Or Oden bumping King James out of the way later in the season?
The toughness is coming. You don’t see it from a bunch of kids (AKA The 2008-2009 Blazers), but as they continue to mature, I think we’ll see more and more of it.
Even in game 1 I don't think we were that intimidated
We played them even for a half, then Boston went on that insane 20-0 or whatever run. If that run had come at the beginning maybe I could buy it as being purely a psychological thing (see season opener or game 1 in playoffs.) Instead, we played tough, and then Boston got a run to go way ahead. Maybe the guys lost their will to fight 10-12 points into the run, but even a 10-12 to nothing run can cost you a game, and it happens to teams all the time.
I was doing OK until I read #3
at which point I screeched and said unprintable things about Dave.
I love watching the way Rudy moves without the ball. It’s something we haven’t seen for a long time. Dave used the word “flair” – which is also a trait we haven’t seen for awhile. Flair & grace combined – I love to see him finish off the alley oop , There’s just so much to love about Rudy.
However, there is that small problem of minutes. I’d guess he’s not going to be happy playing behind Roy for too much longer.
I know there was hope that Brandon could become our PG and Rudy be promoted to starter, but that’s not going to happen. I remember when KP and others went over to Spain to watch him play they commented that they were surprised to see he had some real PG skills. Now that would be ideal, if Rudy could up his PG skills it would solve three problems – that logjam, the PG problem, and his future.
Because of his flash and dash, Rudy will probably always be worth more than Nic in a trade. I’d hate to see him go in the next couple of years, but if Brandon’s body holds up I think at that point Rudy will go. But I’m just not convinced Brandon can keep playing the minutes he is – especially if he is selected for the US Team and has to play at a high level all summer. (Which means we can’t trade Rudy too soon.)
But bottom line has to be : Nic.
by jorga on Jun 2, 2009 7:44 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Defense wins Championships: oldest cliche in sports and still true.
Rudy has skills and a flair for the game, but he doesn’t have the body or extreme athleticism to ever be a great defender.
Batum is limited and raw at the offensive end, but he has the physical gifts and attitude to become a dominant defender. Watching him on Kobe during the Lakers last visit to Portland was a thing of beauty. At age twenty, to be able to stifle one of the most skilled offensive players to ever play the game was totally extraordinary. Batum is going to grow on the offensive end, we don’t know how much, but I expect at least Prince level skill. I hope for even more. Batum shows good court awareness, he could become a point forward type player.
In my mind, after the big three comes Batum. I flat out would not trade him for anything less than an established young super-star, which basically means I wouldn’t trade him because no one would value his future as much as I do.
Rudy is an extremely skilled player with a quick release and a great stroke. He has potential to become a Reggie Miller type assassin. To me he will become a very good sixth man, an instant energy and top scorer off the bench. My only problem with Rudy is that I don’t think he will ever be an adequate defender at either the one or the three, which limits our options in terms of how we use him. The other issue with Rudy is whether or not he figures out how to get his own shot. Right now, not so much. I hope he works on his handle and I hope he gets in the weight room.
I would consider trading Rudy for a top flight veteran PG. It would simplify things. Martell, Batum, and Bayless all have potential as guys who could play minutes as the back-up SG, depending on the situation and the match-ups. Roy would play all his minutes at the 2, which would create more room to develop Nic and Martell at SF. Trading Rudy with Sergio would probably improve the value of both. I wouldn’t make such a trade lightly, because I think Rudy is special, and I think bench scoring is important, but for the right PG, I would definitely give it serious consideration.
by upper left corner on Jun 2, 2009 7:52 AM PDT reply actions
Timeframe is important here....
Ahhhh jorga, you beat me to the punch… oh well, here’s what I had anyway :-)
I think my answers change depending on whether we’re talking about the next year or two or 3+ years. For the immediate future, I think Rudy’s the answer to all 3. He’s quite simply better right now. And I do think this year we will see big strides defensively and in creating his own shots now that he’s familiar with the NBA environment. We need his firepower, and until we’re sure about the PG and Webster, and Nic get’s some offense we cannot afford to trade away Rudy’s offense. AND A lot can happen in a few years – having an injury insurance policy for Roy in Rudy at least through his rookie contract term is a good thing.
That said, I agree that playing behind Roy forever is probably not going to appeal to Rudy long term. By the time that becomes a pressing issue we will have a better feel for our unanswered questions and Nic will have shown us what he’s got (which I’m sure is near All Star skills).
So bottom line for me if I had to choose today – Rudy. And not just because he’s hot….
Toughest question I've seen on here yet?
Rudy in my opinion will be alot better next season because he will have some rest over the summer, the guy played like a year and a half non stop.
Batum has rediculous upside, we all know he is going to be a defensive stopper. Batum showed signs of having a pretty good offensive game at times also last season. Is Rudy at some point going to want more of the spotlight? Was Batum playing above his capabilities last season?
I give the nod to Batum only because Portland has fire power, and we really need to amp up the D to advance in the playoffs at some point.
I try to help with everything," Fernandez said. "If the coach says go rebound, I go rebound. I work for the team.
""If I'm playing this game to get media and attention, I shouldn't be here," Aldridge said. "I'm here to play basketball, and do what I can do to help this team win."
His stare became blank. It was apparent he was back in that place, on the Rose Garden's logo, picking up Aaron Brooks as the crowd nervously roared.
this is a real interesting comparison.
They really are opposites in so many ways. Rudy has flair and excitement, Batum is a silent but smooth player. Rudy revels in the limelight where Batum appears to be satistfied deferring. I think that last point is very important. When there is a big situation-like a game we’ve been looking forward to and we need buckets, Rudy is amazing. He lives for challenges. Lakers, Houston, Team USA—whatever you throw it him he’s going to work his butt off and keep the game close.
Like everyone’s said, though, Batum fills more of a need so on this team, he’s more important.
So, to answer the questions:
1a. more excited to see improve?
Batum. I want to see him take control of the offense a little bit, both creating and knocking the trey down at a higher clip.
1b. higher immediate hopes:?
Rudy. He’s more experienced and now he has his NBA legs under him.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Batum JUST BECAUSE HE PLAYS SMALL FORWARD BETTER.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Batum. Rudy provides insta-offense but as we saw in the playoffs, many people can (wafer anyone?). He is a more common skill set than Batum even if he’s head and shoulders above the competition (literally when sergio has the rock).
4. What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?Neither are tradable TODAY. Assuming they stay on their trajectories, it would take bayless not panning out and still having problems at the PG in 2 years for me to consider trading Rudy. Batum would likely still be untouchable.
5. (added by me) How can we best maximize both of these assets?
Play them with Roy in a 3 guard lineup. In the fast break, Rudy is an excellent playmaker. In the half court, Roy is pretty good i hear. When Roy’s tired, Batum could pull a Pippen and bring the rock up. Great, but what about defense? On defense, you play matchups. Rudy or Batum takes on the smaller PGs and Batum or Roy takes bigger ones (Roy did good on Brooks and Batum did as good as anyone on Parker last year).
The only problem is this overworks Roy. He expends more energy through tougher defensive matchups (small forwards instead of SGs) and bringing up the ball on occasion. On the other hand, though, he gets two heady young guys playing alongside him who can take over when he wants a break.
Please, for the love of all that is holy, please stop using the following: "Book it.", "FTW", "Epic" & "Fail".
...no seriously--stop.
hummmm...
I’ll take a 78 tuned 350 nova over a stock 2010 impala almost any day of the week if given just them 2 options. I like my impala, but gosh darn it… it’s just lacking in the dependible part…..(as far as zoom zoom goes)
But that Nova being all souped up and all…. it’s hitting 60 after 4.2 seconds… soooo….
I’ll take Rudy and say thank you very much.
The Faith don't panic, the faith freaks out, burns out farms, and torchs small villages in the name of The Faith.
Batum
Batum fills a glaring need on defense and he’s going to score some too. He’s our Battier.
Rudy is one of our most tradeable pieces and he isn’t too essential to this particular team. I’d be shopping him around if it brought in a key player that we do need. Then I’d give him a really nice ovation when he comes back to Portland with his new team.
Sticking up for Travis Outlaw since 2008 and Steve Blake since last week..
Nic will be better than Battier on the offensive end....
…..how much better is a question. I suspect by quite a lot. Before he is done, Batum may get to Pippen territory. I’m not presumptuous to say he will, but I think it is possible.
by upper left corner on Jun 2, 2009 8:39 AM PDT up reply actions
I agree -- Batum will be Battier plus.
Sticking up for Travis Outlaw since 2008 and Steve Blake since last week..
1. More excited to see develop next year: Both the same. In terms of playing time I’m more interested to see if Nic can keep his starting spot, which would tell me a lot about his future with the team.
Higher immediate hopes: Rudy, since he has the experience of a veteran and just needs to translate it to the NBA, and showed great signs in the playoffs to become a valid third scoring option next to Roy and LMA.
2. Greater chance to contribute long-term: Nic, if only because our small forward situation is undefined, we are bad on defense, and Rudy is playing behind Roy – although I think the argument he needs to be traded since he will never see more than 30 minutes is bunk. Rudy can become some combination of Kevin Martin/Manu Ginobili/J.R.Smith here even in the shadow of Roy. At that time his trade value would be infinitely higher, and I can’t see how it will go down significantly from where it’s now. Nic has a good chance to be a combination of Tayshaun Prince and Rudy Gay (with better defense), which is something we don’t have. Since he is also pretty smart, studious and eager to improve by all accounts from Quick, KP and the coaches, his ceiling seems very high.
3. That’s why I would keep Nic
4. But I would question KP’s sanity if he trades either one for anything less than a sure starting star coming back in the deal right now. In NBA dimensions they are dirt-cheap draft steals who fill important roles and there is absolutely no need to trade them already foreseeing some “he will be too big of a star” point in the future. Overvalued? Maybe in the eyes of opposing fans, not for what the Blazers would need back to make a difference. At the moment, Rudy should have the higher trade value.
5. Who is sexier: Mhm, Rudy (at least in terms of his looks, maybe not his well-defined body. Sorry Sophia.)
I'd agree on #4
If Granger were available, I’d give them both up in a heartbeat.
Of course we Blazer fans overvalue them. No question. We’re biased.
Agreed
There’s no need to trade either player right now. They don’t cost anything, and they have plenty of time on their contracts. Right now, we as fans, want a trade, but the value we can get for either player should increase over the next couple of years…then we can make a trade to fill an identified hole.
The only reason to trade either player this summer is because we’ll get a good starting player back.
My Take
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Surprisingly enough, on part a) I say Rudy. I want to see whether he can show more of the all-rounded game we know he has. I feel like he’s a little bit shackled in this offense for whatever reason. Solely utilizing him as a spot up shooter from three point range seems like a waste of his talents to me.
Part b) falls to Rudy as well. He’s going to provide a more dynamic influence for the Blazers in the near future.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Nicholas Batum without question. I find it difficult to see Fernandez remaining a bench player behind Roy in the long term and the Blazers would get more value from a trade in a need position I believe than retaining him. It would also be the honorable thing to do for Rudy if he’s not getting the touches he needs.
Batum has the Tayshaun Prince-like physical attributes to be a long-term top-tier role player or borderline All-Star. He seems to possess much of the same calmness as well. I hope he has the same level of intelligence that Prince clearly demonstrates. He could well be our starting SF for years to come or a fabulous two-way super sub should a trade bring a high quality three to the team.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Batum, largely because I can’t see Roy and Fernandez working out a situation where they can comfortably take the floor together for long stretches. If there is confidence in a three guard set – which might happen should Oden become a low post scorer – or Brandon ends up playing at the point (which I don’t favour) then all bets are off.
Wife, is that you?
She’s a kiwi but generally frowns at the amount of time I spend on this site, and becomes the mad kiwi when she see’s me on it.
Not unless...
I’ve had the gender reassignment surgery I’ve been dreaming of!
Nah mate, but I am a New Zealander in Beaverton. I had no idea there were any more of us here. We’re an endangered species. :-P
Good on you for surviving the walk from NZ (knowing that kiwi's are flightless birds)
And good on you for choosing the be a Blazer’s fan. My wife’s been here since ‘83 though she’s about to become a US citizen in a couple of weeks because of the estate tax laws. We’re in Canby so that makes at least two in the area. I think she’s trying to recreate NZ here a little as we run the house plumbing from our rainwater tanks, raise a few sheep and grow kiwi fruit.
Would the kiwi spelling for Blazers be Blasers?
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Rudy. I think he could average around 16 points a game off the bench, and considering the internet age, have a chance to make one fluke allstar game in the next 5 years. He has a lot more offense waiting to come out, and if Travis goes, we might see him being the guy that takes every last quarter shot and creates at the end of possessions.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Batum. He fills a greater need of individual defender from positions 1-3.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it?
Batum. Like everyone else has said, Rudy is behind Roy.
4. What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
I’m not a huge fan of trade speculation. So I’ll just say Brook Lopez, because he could back up the 4 and 5.
dinasour type of guys choir boys
geez Dave
Worst questions ever! How can you make me choose between these two? I should report you the authorities for cruel and unusual speculation.
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
I have no idea how to answer these question about the two Blazers who excite me the most. For this one, I’d say Rudy. I think that him taking another leap in his abilities this coming year is more clearly necessary for his long term future. The Blazers will need to be able to play him and Brandon together a lot if they are going to keep him, and the question of who will play what position will largely be answered by Rudy’s growth on defense, ball handling/distribution, and creating off the dribble. Batum progress will be cool, no doubt, but I feel less concerned about his fit and the short term growth here as he already did more in rookie year 1 than I originally thought we would see from two years.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Evil, evil bloggerman. Both of these guys have a lot of capacity to contribute to the Blazers long-term. I think Batum will develop into something really special and be a huge factor in one of the Blazers biggest weaknesses (defense). Then again, Rudy is already the type of special amazing difference making type of player that does both the flashy and the fundamental.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Such a cruel question, Dave. I don’t like you very much right now for forcing this question before I have to know the answer – creating a false either/or when I love both as much as anyone on this team! I guess I go with Nic for defensive reason. But I’m crying just thinking about this.
4. What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
A lot. Today? It would take an amazing (so amazing) PG or SF between 22 and 28; like, the type that most reasonably minded folk would consider untouchable. Monikers beyond CP3 and LBJ escape me now; I’m sure there are at least another 2-4 I might consider here. But I can’t quite figure out who they would be; these two are high on my list – most of the time i consider my untouchable tiers as 1.roy, 2. oden & lma, 3. rudy & batum. And the distance between 2nd & 3rd tier is slight.
Going to make a Dave Dartboard; such a cruel thing to have to think through in the morning!
"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum
Build around the core
1. Batum to develop more. Rudy expands his role alongside Roy.
2. False choice. They’re both part of the core. Build around it.
3. See number 2.
4. The only way you trade Parker, Ginobli or Duncan is the same answer. Don’t trade from your core. Buld around it. An important argument to consider is whether they’re part of the core. “Big 3+3.”
Not answering the same on all!
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
Rudy/Rudy. Next year I think Rudy will still be the better player. Overall he impacted the game more than Batum this year, and I think next year Batum will still be a defensive specialist without much of an offense. This is fine since Batum is 20 and has plenty of time to develop his offensive game.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Batum. Once his offensive game improves, he’s just going to be an awesome all around guy, who doesn’t NEED the ball to help us win, but if Roy/LMA are having off nights he can easily pick up the scoring slack.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Dave, you’re a bad bad man for this… but Batum. If we didn’t have Brandon Roy this would be an insanely tough choice, but we do have Roy so I gotta go with Batum.
Man, That is a Good Question
I think Rudy has a more immediate impact with the team next year. But Nic fits with us better long term. he could be that stopper SF that most defensive minded teams have, and you always need a player who can matchup well against an elite scorer.
Conversely, Rudy moves without the ball so well! that is another invaluable piece of an effective offense. He could be like Rip Hamilton mixed with Reggie Miller and the passing flash of Jason Kidd. Rudy has the mental ability to anticipate a play well before it happens also.
Long term though i still think Nic will be the more needed player on the team. I say needed because Rudy my be more skilled naturally, but Nic fits in a better spot with our guys. Rudy will forever be trapped behind Brandon, unless we go back to the talk of having Brandon become the future point guard and Rudy can slide into the starting 2 spot. Interesting prospect, but still not optimum.
The answer to this question depends on Martell.
If he makes a full recovery and plays as well as we thought he might at the start of the season, we would have the same situation at small forward that we have at shooting guard, with a backup who deserves starter minutes. The consensus that Nic is the answer for questions 2 and 3 would not be so clear.
by MiledAnimal on Jun 2, 2009 9:25 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Could Martell ultimately play shooting guard?
He was characterized as one when coming into the league, but never really developed the handles to play one in the NBA. That could make Rudy available. If he is the starting/backup small forward, we are crowded, unless Travis goes full time on the backup PF spot or Martell comes back and isn’t nearly as good as people hope. He really is the big unknown in all future plans.
I've been wondering the same thing
If we traded Rudy for a starting PG, Martell could play behind Roy. Bayless might be effective in some situations as a small quick SG as well.
Martell would need to show an ability to put the ball on the floor, and Bayless would need to find his MIA jump shot.
by upper left corner on Jun 2, 2009 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions
I think both Marty and Nic could swing down to SG
if need be. They were usually the ones defending high scoring SGs the past two years anyways. I wouldn’t feel super confident with them there without a better ball handler playing along side them than the other one is (not super confident in a PG/Web/Nic lineup unless they both improve handling but I think we could play limited minutes with that lineup). The crux of the issue isn’t within the backcourt with Roy/Rudy swinging down to PG, but more with the wing spots, where all four guys are capable (deserving, maybe?) of playing 30+ mpg.
This of course is impossible, and unsustainable. Look at the conference finalists, the Magic have Pietrus, Lee, and Turkoglu at the wings with Redick playing spot minutes. The Cavs have Lebron, West, and Wally, with Pavlovic playing sparingly. The Nuggets had Melo, Smith, and Jones with Carter and Kleiza filling up the rest of the minutes. The Lakers really only have Kobe and Ariza, with Vujacic and Walton filling the rest of the spot minutes.
Assuming Martell’s healthy, that’s why moving one of Nic/Rudy wouldn’t be the end of the world for me if it meant bringing in a legit PG. Have 3 out of him, Rudy, Nic and Roy filling up our wing minutes with Bayless making up the balance, Anthony Carter-style (assuming his shot resurfaces from the witness protection program).
Good point
I still have high hopes for Martell. I would expect Nic to start because he is our best defender but would like to see Martell paired with Rudy and Bayless on the second unit. Martell and Rudy would give Bayless two top notch spot up shooters to set up with his ability to drive.
As the season unfolds minutes between Nic and Martell can be adjusted based on production.
by upper left corner on Jun 2, 2009 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions
This is an outstanding debate
Here’s my 2 cents:
1. I think I’d have to say I’m more intrigued by what Batum can do. He’s the younger, more athletic player and I feel he has more room to grown than Rudy does. However, I think initially, Rudy will be a bigger part of this team to start next season.
2. For long term, you have to say Batum simply because at some point Rudy is going to want to be a starter. He’s not a natural SF, but that would be about all he could realistically start at for the Blazers. Batum is a definite SF who already has an entrenched solid role for the team.
3. If I HAD to only keep one (which I’d really rather not do, though I suppose it is inevitable) I would have to keep Nic. You can’t overestimate how good his defense was for a rookie. He’s potentially a shut down defender in a league devoid of them. He’s almost certainly going to be an NBA All-Defense player at some point in his career. I also think that he shoots well enough from three and has a decent enough stroke this early on to potentially be a decent shooter. Once he learns to use his athleticism more effectively, he’ll have a well rounded offensive game, though it will always be overshadowed by his defense. He’s the kind of puzzle piece that championship teams have.
Yes! Yes! In the face!
Its all about Nicolas !
1. Batum.
2. Batum
3.Batum
Offseason:
(T)Mike Conley Jr
(T)Reggie Evans
(D)Taj Gibson
(D)Kevin Seraphin
(D)Jerel McNeal/Lester Hudson
Longtime lurker weighing in
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
(Rudy,Rudy) Unfortunately one of the players we had the highest hopes for last season makes his return next year, I think this will spell playoff type rotations for Batum… (unless Outlaw departs) Martell’s defense has improved… a lot since he arrived. However a 2nd unit featuring Martell and Rudy could be very dynamic. I would imagine with the return of Martell and his perimeter prowess Rudy is able to slash a little more, if he is able to do that it’ll keep defenders honest and open things up for him, seemed a bit like he was painted into a certain role with Nate, and that was stay on the perimeter and space things out.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Rudy, people keep giving Nic the athleticism nod, while to a certain extent I agree, however I think that Rudy has as much upside defensively as Batum does offensively. And I also think that Rudy has a lot of room to grow offensively. Think about how often the Blazers actively looked to get Rudy his shot? Also think about who is the best perimeter player at getting the ball into the post, with the exception of Sergio, I think you can hang that hat on Rudy. post entry would in my opinion be one of the weakest parts of Roy’s game.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
Rudy, because I clearly put a lot more value in Martell returning than anyone else.
I'm a little confused with this semi-blind faith of Webster.
Batum has already put up better overall numbers in one year than in any of Webster’s 3 years.
Batum
2009 PER: 12.92
Webster
2006 PER 11.75
2007 PER 10.02
2008 PER 11.97
Batum has already shown better at a variety of categories:
Rebounding Rate:
Batum 2009: 9.4%
Webster Career Best: 8.5%
True Shooting %
Batum 2009: 55.5%
Webster Career Best: 54.8%
Assist Rates:
Batum 2009: 14.6%
Webster Career Best: 10%
Field Goal %
Batum 2009: 44.6%
Webster Career Best: 42.2%
Block Rates:
Batum 2009: 2.1%
Webster Career Best: 1%
effective field goal%
Batum 2009: 53.2%
Webster Career Best: 51.6%
win shares
Batum 2009: 3.5
Webster Career Best: 3.3
Webster demonstrated a career best 38.8% 3-point shooting last year, which is good, but not enough to make up for the defecit in other areas.
Can someone help me out?
"Respect everyone, fear no one." -TP
Webster did it on mediocre/bad teams where he was forced to score
Batum got to do nothing but take open looks, drives, etc. It’ll be interesting to see how the two compare to each other next year.
Webster was still never the 1st or 2nd scoring option on any of the teams he played on.
2006: 17.5 minutes, 6.6 points (5.7 fg attempts)
2007: 21.5 minutes, 7 points (6 fg attempts)
2008: 28.4 minutes, 10.7 points (8.7 fg attempts)
Primary offensive weapons in 2006: Zach Randolph, Darius Miles, Juan Dixon
Primary offensive weapons in 2007: Zach Randolph, Brandon Roy, Jarret Jack
Primary offensive weapons in 2008: Brandon Roy, LaMarcus Aldridge, Travis Outlaw
The year he would have been probably needed most of those 3 years would be 2006, but only averaged 18 minutes, much like Batum’s 18.4 minutes/game this year.
I’m not buying that argument for a second.
"Respect everyone, fear no one." -TP
Batum took 4.57 shots per game.
Webster took 8.7 shots per game in the year that everyone is saying Batum was better offensively than him. Again, Batum had the luxury of only taking wide open looks. It’s the same reason that Blake has a better 3pt% than Rudy does.
Nobody is arguing that Webster’s rookie year was better than Batum’s. The people arguing that Batum’s third year was better than Webster’s third year are ignoring that Batum got put into a situation that allowed him to play extremely efficient ball.
Agree
Webster hit twice as many 3’s as Batum and was on the floor at crunch time, unlike Nic.
"What's so interesting is that this team took on a dynamic that was very special. I don't think we as a group, in terms of management, coaches and players, realize what we did as a young team. We broke all the metrics. We broke all the molds. Our challenge is can we continue to do that. As young of a team with 54 wins, no issues off the court, phenomenal chemistry." - Kevin Pritchard
And yet, he was still asked to do far more than Nic was
as witnessed by his usage being greater than Nic’s every year he’s been in the league (14 for Nic vs. a career low 16.7 for Webster).
You don’t have to be the first or second scoring option to be more of an option than Nic was. Webster had the 6th highest usage rating on last year’s team (omitting guys like Sergio, Taurean, etc.). This year, Nic had the 9th highest usage rating on the team (omitting Jerryd, Ike, and Shav).
Basically, there were 8 other guys who were asked to do more offensively than Nic on this year’s team (Roy, LA, Trout, Rudy, Blake, Frye, Sergio) while they were in. There were 5 guys on the team last year asked to do more than Webster (Trout, LA, Roy, Frye, Jack) while they were in.
Fair enough.
I didn’t look at it from that angle. Thanks for the insight.
"Respect everyone, fear no one." -TP
Rudy has more potential imo, I think Blazer fans highly overrate Batum
The people who sing the praises of Batum like he’s the next Lebron James, I would like to hear some factual basis for those proclamations. Mostly I hear active, long arms, young, blah blah blah which describes about 95% of rookies who come into the league. Let’s see some statistical back-up for the ‘shut-down defender’ talk. Nobody else around the league sees Batum this way, I watched 85 Blazer games approx this season and not one opposing player looked scared to go against Nicolas Batum. I also see a lot of assumptions that Batum will develop offensively without much evidence to back it up other than hopeful wishes.
Given what I saw this season, Batum is slightly better on defense while Rudy is ten times the player on offense. Both will probably imrpove however I think it’s a pipe dream to assume that Batum ever becomes a reliable scorer. If you have to pick you should choose Rudy, if for no other reason than the NBA is a league of offense. Batum-types aren’t that hard to find, sorry Blazer fans..
Blazer Fan
Batum was a 19 year old starter
How many of those do you find on playoff teams? THAT is potential!
Btw, that Lebron comment is pretty off base; people treat him like the next Tayshon – not the next LBJ.
No one said he is the next LBJ
But Jordan himself said he see’s Scottie Pippen in him. At 19.
Offseason:
(T)Mike Conley Jr
(T)Reggie Evans
(D)Taj Gibson
(D)Kevin Seraphin
(D)Jerel McNeal/Lester Hudson
by TheGreatDane17 on Jun 2, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions
Rudy vs Nic
I pick Rudy all the way. Rudys is going to be insane next year! I love Nic, but he is this years Ime Udoka. He played hard and will go to a solid team, just like Udoka did. Thats how we do it. Each year we have a guy that is a role player. Nic filled the role but now with Webster healthy, he will get moved. There is no way you move Rudy….unless you are getting Chris Paul! And since that aint gonna happen, I vote keep Rudy, trade Nic!
by cavejunctionblazer on Jun 2, 2009 11:40 AM PDT reply actions
keep rudy peace nic
I just thought of the possibility that they trade Travis and let Nic take his spot………ooooh this gets crazier and crazier! It is intriguing though, Nic as the sixth man, coming in behind Web. Who knows what will happen? Anyways, I love Rudy and Nics game, but Rudy has waaay more immediate impact. Rudy! Rudy! Rudy!
by cavejunctionblazer on Jun 2, 2009 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions
As a long time egregious Rudy homer....
I pick Nic for all of the questions and that pains me. His feel for the game is sooo natural and he fills a need that is more important than the one Rudy would fill. I think you have to take a potential starter at sf over a potential 6th man, even if that 6th man is the cats pajamas. Screw it, I am fudging, I am keeping them both and there is nothing you can do to stop me Dave! muahahahaaha!!!!!!!!!
RUDY > MJ
Batum.
He has already become my 2nd favorite Blazer behind Roy. He shows a basketball headiness that neither Webster or Outlaw. I can also say the same thing for Rudy, so that isn’t a knock on him.
My problem with Rudy is that I find him one-dimensional on offense. He has a lot of trouble putting the ball on the floor and getting to the rim. Most of the time, he gets trapped and has to throw up a floater in the lane, which has a widely variable success rate. I love Rudy’s perimeter shooting, and I think it can improve further as he gets used to the NBA 3-point line, but I have serious doubts as to his mid-range and interior game. His size is not conducive for growth in these areas.
On a side note, I do love his alley-oop lob dunks. They always get me out of my seat.
On the opposite end, I feel he uses his streakiness and quick movements to mask his deficiencies on defense. His feet are always moving, giving the appearance that he’s working hard on defense, but he is routinely blown by on the perimeter. I just don’t feel he’s got the strength to contend with bigger/prototypical guards. Despite that, I love his court vision and anticipation. He routinely cuts off passing lanes and sees plays almost before they happen. I feel Rudy is a much better team defender than an on-man/1-on-1 defender (team defender? I’m not sure of the term for what I just described, but I think you get my point).
I see Batum as having a bigger repertoire on both sides of the floor, or at the very least, the potential for it. As only a kid, he still has time to build up his frame, add some muscle, and develop a go-to post/penetration move. Multiple dunks on bigger, stronger defenders (Pau Gasol, anyone?) support this.
Batum is already the team’s best perimeter defender, can shoot from long range adequately (37% for a 19 year old whom has never used the NBA 3 point line before? I think he’s got no-where else to go but up in this aspect of his game), and shows a basketball IQ that surpasses any of his SF teammates. I hate bringing up BBIQ because it’s become such a buzzword, but I feel like I can count the number of egregious, stupid decisions Batum has made this season on two hands – I can’t say the same for Outlaw.
I very rarely have faith in the development of young players – I’m more of a SHOW ME kind of believer – but Batum is an exception to that rule for me.
"Respect everyone, fear no one." -TP
We have Pippen now we need Rodman.
Offseason:
(T)Mike Conley Jr
(T)Reggie Evans
(D)Taj Gibson
(D)Kevin Seraphin
(D)Jerel McNeal/Lester Hudson
Have you ever played war strategy games?
There´re many different units with different qualities, all of them important. But almost always the most important and unique unit is the one which increases the value of the pieces attached to it. Who do you think makes better his teammates?
Generals are also very important. Who other than Oden do you think can challenge Nate to add a plan C or D, which they´ll need to win a championship?
You can´t win playing war games if you don´t have expirience. Who can add more experience to a team which worst sin is inexperience?
Love Nic though.
Actually modern warfare is won with command and control
Shut down the enemy’s go-to guy and you win the game. Thus Nic becomes a piece more valuable than marvelous fantastic offense machine in Rudy. Experience is a curve that must be developed within a unit as a whole to enable the strongest to cover the weakest and present no vulnerabilities.
Worst sin is inexperience? That would apply to Memphis and Minnesota and OKC as well. But we have already broken out of that tunnel?
Love both though so, unless CP3 comes back (see below), they are both staying.
"What's so interesting is that this team took on a dynamic that was very special. I don't think we as a group, in terms of management, coaches and players, realize what we did as a young team. We broke all the metrics. We broke all the molds. Our challenge is can we continue to do that. As young of a team with 54 wins, no issues off the court, phenomenal chemistry." - Kevin Pritchard
I confess I first chose Rudy because he´s fun to watch, and built the argument later.
They seemed good reasons to me even though ;) Kind of Pygmalion probably.
going with the typical trend
1) Rudy. I agree with some of the posts above. With Webster coming back and his sweet shot, I think that could open up Rudy a bit more. Also, I am quite excited to see how the coaches evolve the offense to take advantage of Rudy’s squirrelly nature. We know he can spot up and hit, plus catch, turn, and drop from a full sprint. But, I am really interested to see if the coaches can fully take advantage of his athleticism. On a side note, has anyone heard anything regarding Rudy’s off-season training? Are they working on his ball-handling and strength-training?
2) Batum. He’s just a kid, yet to come close to potential and he’s already taking the toughest defensive matchups. I wasn’t sure which one I was more excited to see develop until he reminded Pau that, yes indeed, he had dunked on him twice. His shot has a long ways to go, but it surely is not starting from a bad point. He has the desire and as the season progressed he became more aggressive, even with playing with a sore ankle. I’m a fan of Batum.
3) Batum. His bbIQ is impressive for his age, now imagine this with physical presence developed from years of training and playing in the NBA. oooh wee.
3a) aka… fudge… Rudy is a game changer, he has that ability to 5 points in 2 seconds to end a quarter and turn the rose garden in a frenzied mob of high 5s and belly roars… as he learns the system and hopefully how to shake off missing his first two shots, he’ll be amazing and a guy we will say, “can’t believe we traded him”
"On a side note, has anyone heard anything regarding Rudy’s off-season training? Are they working on his ball-handling and strength-training?"
Last Rudy interview I´ve read:
- Should you change your physique to adapt to the NBA?
- I´ve not changed very much, but I´ve demonstrated that you don´t need an extraordinary physique to be able to compete with the best. My coach has not said to me that I should put nor lose weight. Only (he told me I should) take care of myself and keep the same weight.
….
- what must you improve?
- I have to improve in many aspects because no player is perfect and less I´m. It is true that I must improve handle, shot and penetrations by the left side to be more complete.
muchas gracias Sr.
I hope he improves handle, shot, and left-side penetrations. That would be awesome. – Elgin
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
these questions offend me
Insane Troll logic is behind these questions. Anya or Willow? How could I choose. You’re evil, Dave.
But seriously, I don’t think we’re going to be able to keep Rudy long term, and if we traded Batum, I’d be livid. I don’t want to lose Rudy, either, and I’m hoping he can be happy playing a Kukoc kind of role – 30 minutes, go to scoring option, pt down the stretch of big games, etc. He’s got game-changing poise and drive.
We’re keeping them both. So says my heart.
Answers before reading comments...
1. Rudy is the player who can contribute most at this point and who I see making a big impact this coming season. He is seasoned in the international game and now has had a year to see how the NBA feels. I think it will be hard to keep him off the court. His 3pt shot should improve even more as he gets stronger and better conditioned for the 82+ game season and his familiarity with Roy, Aldridge, Blake, and Oden (and theirs with him) should help him contribute even more to the team.
2. I think Batum will be the player that has a greater chance to stick around and contribute. He plays a position that is his to grab a hold of while Rudy will always be behind Roy and might have problems blending in. I hope this isn’t the case but Rudy might end up being a piece that has to be moved to make the team better at another position. It is too early to say this is the way to see their situations but it has a good chance of playing out that way. Batum could be the defensive stopper on the perimeter that this team has been searching for…
3. I would have to go with Batum based mainly on the return value of what Rudy might bring back to the team at this point. But I will go out on a limb here and say that Batum will be the better player 5 years from now. He looks pretty darn good at 19 years old. I could really see him becoming a guy who just goes out and plays 30-40 minutes a night and does what ever you need him to do…shut down the other team’s top scorer one night…score 25 points the next…
PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04
The Fan with 88 on his back
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
I would have to say that i am more excited to see Rudy develop next year, some of his best playing time was when he was on the court with sergio, and if portland doesnt fire nate i dont see sergio playing much even if he doesnt go anywhere just do to his issues with nates offense. I also have higher immediate hopes for Rudy, hes a great player and has proven himself on the world level, but now he needs to adjust to the nba game and prove he is a top caliber player again. Why am I the only one that thinks Roy and Rudy can be our PG/SG is there a rule that you have to have a guy playing in the conventional positions every game?
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
Batum will Contribute less stats wise but more. He will be the lock down defender who tips the ball out of passing lanes for Rudy to get his steal and break away dunk. or tip a lose rebound out to Roy. Rudy will do better in almost ever stat catagory but batum will be the glue. With my after nate gets fired lineup of Roy, Rudy, Batum, LA, Oden backed up by Billa, Freeland(the banger every one wants but doesnt talk about), Webster, bayless(hes a sg not a pg), blake. with kaponnen(spelling) and what ever palyer we draft or old vetran who brings nothing to the team but wisdom and a few garbage minutes they will be set
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it? (No fudging!)
I keep Batum, Roy can score 25-35 a night, LA can score 20, hopefully oden will become a 10-20pt a night guy, blake gives you 10 more and thats 65-85 points a night from your starters minus batum rudy and or whoever you trade for. so scoring wont be the problem. portland needs to work on defense for 24 seconds. i dont know if its nate or the players but it seems like the plan is to stop them for 20 seconds then allow a open jump shot. that needs to change.
fire nate before its too late
This is tough!
1. Rudy. I think now that he’s used to the different rules and the endurance test that is the NBA (ACB’s season was a bit lighter in terms of # of games played) he’s going to be ready for next season and it’s gonna be on! I’m really hoping that Batum takes and gets more shots this next season because then he’ll be dangerous!
2. Batum. If he gets more points per game I think overall he’ll contribute more long-term as he’s already awesome on defense. Rudy’s my fave, but he’s not as strong on defense and with Roy and he playing the same position it’ll be harder for him to really make as big of a mark.
3. It kills me to say it, but Batum. Unless Rudy can get enough minutes and opportunities in the next few years he’s not going to be happy and I don’t blame him. It would be like Brandon going over and playing on DKV Joventut with Rudy and not being able to do what he knows he can do because Rudy’s the leader. We’re not there yet and hopefully won’t be for at least 2 more years but it could very well happen. If we want to get to the Championship game we need Rudy and Batum. Besides, I’m not ready to quietly clap at a game every time Rudy does something awesome while playing against us yet, and, yes, I will clap even if he’s not on our team.
1. Which of these two players are you more excited to see develop next year? For whom do you have the higher immediate hopes?
The development curve seems exciting for both players. Offense: Both have to develop into more dimensions on offense, primarily ball handling. Rudy is ahead on experience. Nic is ahead on physical skills and court awareness. On defense Rudy has farther to travel and perhaps not the physical ability to do so. If both were flowers, Rudy is a beautiful red carnation in approaching full bloom and Nic is a deep royal purple rose bud about to bloom. So the answer, for me, is Batum is more exciting to watch develop this year.
Regarding the immediate hopes, Rudy will likely continue to contribute more flair, excitement and statistics and Nic will likely contribute more wins next year. The key to this part is Batum hitting his shots with regularity to be trusted with more crunch time minutes. I believe he will do this. So my hopes are higher for Batum.
2. Which of these players do you give the greater chance to contribute to the Blazers long-term? How, why, and in what capacity?
The long-term contributions revolve around flexibility. KP has said he wants to surround Roy, Greg and LA with shooters. That is why Nic must be more consistent. Last year, 2nd half of the season, Nic played 38 games. He shot over 50% in 20 of those game (52.6%) but he shot under 34% in 15 of those games (39.5%). This feast of famine has to become steady feast. I believe Nate will play some games with both Webster and Batum on the floor. Together:
Batum+ Webster > Artest + BattierTo support this Webster and Batum would collectively average 17 points and 7 rebounds collectively (Artest and Battier 2008-2009 collective per 24 minutes) and play better defense. Webster’s last year and Batum’s first year collective on a 24 minute each basis was 16 points and 7 rebounds. This can improve 2 points and 1 rebound this year to surpass the veterans compared above. Just consistency from both players. And with both on the floor at times with this team can lock down an opponent and dominate defensively. Yes, I agree that Webster has to stay healthy and return to pre-season 2008 form.
3. You can only keep one. Which one is it?
I keep Nicolas for three reasons.
1. Nate is big on defense and Nic will always be better than Rudy. He is quicker laterally, faster, longer wingspan, taller and seems to anticipate better.
2. I believe Nic will excel in shooting with another two years experience and rival Rudy.
3. Rudy will have much higher trade value at this time.
4. What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
Chris Paul. Nobody else can actually mesh with this team and still be a star. This is B-Roy’s team. CP3 shoots well from outside, penetrates at will, hits the open shooter and forces teams to choose their poison. Other stars would seek to take over the team. I think CP3 and B-Roy can work well together. Do I think we can get CP3? Maybe, if a Sonics type situation develops where a new owner wanted to move the Hornets and rebuild cheaply. But not likely.
"What's so interesting is that this team took on a dynamic that was very special. I don't think we as a group, in terms of management, coaches and players, realize what we did as a young team. We broke all the metrics. We broke all the molds. Our challenge is can we continue to do that. As young of a team with 54 wins, no issues off the court, phenomenal chemistry." - Kevin Pritchard
Dave's Answers
1. I am more excited to see how Rudy blossoms next season because right now Rudy has the more exciting game and the better short-term prospects. Batum has some great tools but Rudy is closer to being a great player.
2. Down the road, as long as Batum keeps his confidence and develops more aggressiveness, particularly attacking the rim on offense, I think Batum has all the tools to fill a huge hole: defensive stopper on the wing. I think he’ll blend in with anyone we decide to start next to him. Rudy will too offensively but I think the Blazers will have enough offensive players to get by. It’s a tough call, but Batum by a nose.
3. For the same reasons…Batum.
—Dave
Any thoughts on that final question you posed?
What would it take in return to pry either of these guys from you today?
You made us do it. What would it take for Rudy? What would it take for Batum?
Really good, perhaps near all-star level starters
that you’d be convinced could give you a real shot at the Finals for the next five years.
—Dave
Marvin100's Answers
1. I’m more excited to see Rudy develop next year because I think he’s closer to his ceiling and it will at least be in sight next year.
2. I think Batum is the more useful long-term piece for Portland, because he’s a rare perimeter defender on our team, he’s a very self-effacing player who doesn’t demand a lot of ball, and he’s no where NEAR his ceiling (which is somewhere between Tayshaun and Pippen, at best). I see Batum, in a few years’ time, as a starter or bench player getting 20-30 min. a night, guarding the opponent’s best player between 6’ and 6’9, feasting on the passing lanes, running the break, and quarterbacking the half-court defense.
3. Batum. I’m in this for the long haul and any way I look at it Rudy’s defense is going to be a liability down the road.
I'd take Batum and defense
His offensive game will grow, I’d like to see the blazers run more with Aldridge and Batum on the floor
Overrating Batum
People here are overrating Batum to a very high extent, I think. The next Pippen? Battier-Plus? Really? (And don’t talk about Jordan’s ability to rate talent – the man drafted Kwame Brown, Adam Morrison, Jared Jefferies, and said Tom Gugliotta was the next Larry Bird).
Rudy is the better player now, and he’ll be the better player over his entire career. His offensive skillset and mentality in clutch situations will forever be more valuable than the ability to “defend” top wing players for the first few minutes of each half.
I like Batum a lot. He also fits the Blazers more traditionally than Rudy does. But he’s only a possible answer for Question #3.
Games can be won on the offensive or defensive side. It comes down to who makes the most winning plays. Rudy will make more of them. They may all be on the offensive side, but they count the same.
Tom Gugliotta was an All-Star.
No Larry Bird, perhaps, but a great player until injuries took him down.
Umm...
Batum = Pippen
Rudy = Petrovic
Pippen > Petrovic
Roy + Batum > Roy + Rudy
I’ll take Batum.
Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. - 'The Sports Guy' Bill Simmons

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