LeBrondage
Over the weekend I read this piece by the chronically underrated Dan Wetzel of Yahoo! Sports. It talked about LeBron James' stony reaction to the Cavs' exit from the Eastern Conference Finals at the hands of the Orlando Magic.
Now, much of the story focused on how happy LeBron was in Cleveland, in particular questioning his confidence in his front office. That's a familiar theme, one answered at least superficially by Tom Withers' AP article today.
However I'm less interested in LeBron's eventual team and more interested in LeBron himself. The root of my interest, I supposed, stems from memories of the early 90's. The Blazers had a fantastic team with Clyde Drexler, Jerome Kersey, Terry Porter...you know all the names by heart. They hammered on everybody in the regular season. In 1990 they got to the NBA Finals but couldn't get past Isiah Thomas and the Pistons. In 1991 it was Magic Johnson in the Western Conference Finals. In 1992 it was Michael Jordan in the NBA Finals once again. Each step of the way the Blazers had a great team with a chance, but a superstar stood in their way. Had Clyde remained healthy and they continued their run it seems extremely likely that Jordan would have remained that roadblock as long as he stayed on the hardwood instead of the outfield grass.
This is my fear with LeBron. I think the Blazers are going to ascend into the league elite. I think that's going to happen soon. I think they'll need a couple seasons yet before we can put them in legitimate Finals territory. A couple years smells an awful lot like LeBron time. Any team he's on has to be considered a threat. Even though he's angry and disheartened now you don't have to stretch very far to see him holding up a trophy someday. Does anyone else have nightmares of Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge walking off the court on the other end, heads down and shaking?
My first question: Who do you think LeBron is? Can he have a Jordan-type effect on the league where once he ascends the podium he's going to kick everybody else down the stairs until he's good and ready to step down? If not, how far short does he fall? Should we be scared of this guy? (Understanding, of course, that there are plenty of more immediate threats to fear first. Just projecting ahead...)
My second question: What do you see happening 3-5 years down the road if and when the Blazers come up against LeBron? Do you foresee any possible solution?
My final question: Assuming LeBron's free agency does give him some measure of mobility, are there any situations which frighten you more than him remaining in Cleveland? What would be the worst-case scenario for the Blazers were they to be Western contenders and have to play against him?
--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)
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LeBron isn't MJ.
And the portland of tomorrow will hopefully different from 1992 Rip City in one way: having a star center manning the middle. Portland didn’t have a Hakeem or a David Rob or a Patrick Ewing down in the middle. Duck, while good, was at best a complementary guy, and he was never going to be the imposing big man that would aggressively stop MJ. If you remember, MJ’s six titles came against teams without imposing centers. Phoenix, Portland, LA, Utah, Seattle, none of these teams had the imposing presence down low. And although MJ had more than his fair share of success against Ewing and the knicks, it was always New York that gave him his biggest challenge in the east, followed by whatever team Alonzo played for. And for better or worse, we never got to see the Dream play against MJ. People say Houston only won 2 titles because MJ left basketball, but as I reconsider that era, I wonder if the 95 rockets, with Drexler and Hakeem, wouldn’t have been good enough to beat a full strength Chicago team with MJ.
Anyway, the question of whether MJ’s most difficult challenges came in the form of elite opposing big men is a mystery. But for LeBron, we have already seen him come up short against Dwight and Orlando. A lot rests on the broad shoulders of #52, but if we are honest with ourselves, we probably wouldn’t win a championship without him being the allstar we hope he becomes. But if he does become that guy, then by golly the sky is really the limit.
So my answer, in a nutshell, is no. I am not concerned about LeBron James. I think the Blazers will win a title, sooner than later.
"B-Roy is the best shooting guard I have played against"
-Ron Artest
If Artest can say it, so can I. Broy>Kobe.
by premthegrem on Jun 1, 2009 1:17 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
The 93-94 Bulls won 55 games without Jordan.
If the Cavs didn’t have Lebron this year I can’t imagine them winning more than 40 games. If he gets a supporting cast even close to Jordan’s I’m not sure anyone has a shot to overtake him.
Although, if Oden develops into a legit super-star everything changes.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 1:29 AM PDT up reply actions
Cavs are a lottery team without LBJ
Without him what are they offensively? What are they defensively? Answer on both sides is not much.
I think that is a bit unrealistic
the thing is, he does so much, sometimes you get the “best seat in the place” play from the players. You end up sitting back and watching instead of moving and playing team ball. Yes he is MVP, but as has been shown before you do not get to the NBA without talent an if Bron was removed you would probably see better ball movement and other players would have to step up.
Of course we were a lotto team last year with a 41 win season for whatever that was worth, but it is not as if they would go from 66 to 16 wins.
"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08
38 wins would have put Cleveland out of the playoffs this season.
It’s believable that number might have been 40, had Cleveland not been beating all the lower-ranked teams into submission all year.
Without LBJ, I could see the remaining team winning 38-40, max, in the East.
yeah with the
LEastern conference top heavy and weak top to bottom, that was about what I figure
"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08
firm believer
that if you replaced LeBron with a lot of other quality SFs the Cavs are still one of the worst teams IN THE LEAGUE. Even with a guy like Granger there I think the Cavs are nearly comparable to Sacto. The Cavs are Lebron. Lebron on a team with some decent offensive weapons is a very very very bad thing. Mo and Delonte are really nothing but beneficiaries of Lebron’s double-teams, or the fact that you can’t cheat off them because Lebron will punish you. If Cleveland makes one good move this offseason and gives him a threatening 2nd scoring option they improve greatly, and if the frontcourt had any sort of talent (or height/weight in Orlando’s case) they are easily in the finals. They lost because nobody could do anything with Dwight.
You saved me the trouble of writing this.
If Greg gets it together, everybody is going to be wondering how the Blazers can ever be defeated.
And, I would add, in what I hope is not sheer blasphemy, that I feel Brandon inspires more confidence than Clyde did. Clyde was tremendously athletic, but Brandon demonstrates an absolute understanding of the game and an ability to do whatever is needed to win.
"Just kidding"
Right. The biggest difference between Roy and Drexler is between the ears.
Roy has it: leadership, higher BBIQ, whatever it is that separates superstars like him from stars like Drexler. Drexler was the kind of weapon a superstar needs alongside him to win rings, as LeBron just found out. It takes both types of players. That’s why I think the Lakers will beat the Magic this year. Kobe has Pau, but Dwight is missing his Drexler.
by MiledAnimal on Jun 1, 2009 9:03 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Tough to say
Lewis/Turk is just as scary a combo as Gasol/Odom, at least based on their play so far in the playoffs.
Plus some skills skills
Roy is a much better outside shooter. That makes him a much more lethal threat.
To the “between the ears” line of thought – the Blazers didn’t do as well when superstardom went to Drexler and Adelman’s head and they started letting him take the last shot. When we had our finals runs, it was always Porter (if we won) who took the last second shot. Roy is clutch in ways Drexler never was.
Drexler was great, but Roy is a better player already, and likely to keep improving.
I was very interested in your could-Hakeem-have-beaten-Jordan hypothesis, so I hit up Basketball Reference dot com to investigate. What I found may not necessarily constitute an answer, but it is interesting none the less.
Here are the Bulls’ regular-season records against the Rockets for every year they won the title:
90-91 Bulls: 0-2 against the Rockets
Point Differential: – 9.0 ppg
91-92 Bulls: 1-1 against Rockets
Point Differential: + 5.5 ppg
92-93 Bulls: 0-2 against Rockets
Point Differential: – 12.5 ppg
95-96 Bulls: 2-0 against Rockets
Point Differential: + 12.5 ppg
96-97 Bulls: 1-1 against Rockets
Point Differential: – 1.0 ppg
97-98 Bulls: 2-0 against Rockets
Point Differential: + 10.5 ppg
Totals: 6-6 Record, + 6.0 ppg
Perhaps somewhat surprisingly, the Bulls performed much better against the all-star laden Rockets teams after Jordan’s return than they did against the earlier iteration. Is this all on Rodman, or is there some other force at work here?
Could the Rockets have taken a title from Jordan in 92-93? They lost in the WCS to the Supersonics in 7 games. Game 7 was an overtime game in which they held Gary Payton to 5 points and 1 assist. Wait, what happened to the 92-93 Rockets?
"Literary Criticism is not bookkeeping." -SB
by nightbluefruit on Jun 1, 2009 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions
It's an interesting question
The only real elite centers that Jordan faced regularly in the playoffs were Ewing and Mourning, who were great players, but hardly the perennial MVP candidates that guys like the Admiral and Hakeem were. He did face Shaq twice early in his career, but the Bulls were 1-1 against the Magic in the playoffs (admittedly with the loss being when Jordan came back midseason in 95), so who knows how they would have fared against Olajuwon in the finals. It would certainly make for a better debate about the merits of the 1984 draft.
What would really be interesting, though, was if MJ hadn’t retired in 98, could the Bulls have beaten the 99 Spurs with Duncan and Robinson?
Pippen in his prime, (Bulls had arguably the two best players in the league at that time).Kukoc was pretty good too
by 8volumesthick on Jun 1, 2009 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions
He could be the worse thing to happen to the Blazers since Kobe and Shaq.
My nightmare is that he somehow joins forces with another juggernaut like Bosh, Wade, CP3, or even Kobe. But what can you do abut it?
The Blazers have to just build the best team possible and hope it all works out. It would be nice we could land another defensive wing like Ariza or Childress. If we met the Cavs in the finals next year who could you possibly stick on Lebron besides Batum?
Lebron makes me a little nervous.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 1:19 AM PDT reply actions
nic can get bigger
i don’t think anyone can truly guard lebron but nic if he adds some muscle could become a possible lebron “slower downer.”
also if lebron goes to NY he could very likely be teamed with amare
The Bedger formally known as phillyduck23
by HD on Jun 1, 2009 1:54 AM PDT up reply actions
even still
in this series the problems were with interior D, they could not guard Howard alone, 2x teams came and the ball was passed out to 3pt shooters, simple yet very effective.
Assuming that Oden develops like DH, Amare and Bosh both suck at post D
"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08
Answers regarding LeBron
Jordan couldn’t win it all without several quality teammates either. With comparable experience, James is a more productive player than Jordan. Each distorts and warps reality as it pertains to the game around them. How far he goes depends on Ferry initially, and if they don’t have more talent by June 2010, the GM he ends up playing for next. Jordan won because he was complemented by Pippen, and surrounded by Rodman, Harper, Kerr, Paxson, and other valuable role players.
LeBron has been enough to beat the Blazers by himself the past couple years. But as Oden and the other young talent on the team develops, like in the case of Orlando, LeBron won’t be enough to do it alone (ie with his current supporting cast). However, if he ends up paired with another all-star quality player or two, I think that team will be unbeatable. Most likely scenario – LeBron goes to New York and is joined there by someone like Bosh. Bad news for everyone else. I don’t see it working out with any Western Conference teams, the L*kers already have their superstar, and LeBron isn’t going to play for the Clippers.
by baduk on Jun 1, 2009 1:21 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
One player isn't enough.
James playing out of his mind wasn’t enough just like Jordan needed Pippen. Despite marketing, basketball is still a team game so the best team rather than a collection of the best players usually wins the championship (original Dream Team excepted). I’m not sure who James’ Pippen will be, but it shouldn’t be someone who needs to dominate the ball like Wade, but maybe it’s Bosh. A frontline of James, Bosh and Lee on the Knicks would be pretty darn good.
I hadn't even thought of that.
That would be terrible. Although I’m not convinced Yao will be able to stay healthy considering his lingering feet issues.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 4:26 AM PDT up reply actions
Yeah because Hedo Turkeyglue and Rashard Lewis are AMAZING, right?
lawlz
Blazer Fan
by leeroyjenkins on Jun 1, 2009 8:10 AM PDT up reply actions
Lewis is a matchup nightmare for 90% of the league
And Turk is a guy that can hit the 3, or put the ball on the floor to create a shot, or put the ball on the floor and create shots for his teammates.
Neither or them are Pippen, but they are both better than any of Jordan’s number 3 guys.
I'm not sure why you're dissen' those guys
They are good enough to help beat the Celtics and Cavs this years, and it’s way too early to pencil the L*kers in for a victory over them either. Hedo and Rashard are good players, not great players, but paired up with Howard, Pietrus, Lee, and Alston, they’ve been playing very well as a team, and they have been well coached.
Jordan can make his teammates better
So is Brandon Roy, but Lebron?He is not willing to let his teammates dominate the ball more just like he did in regular season.
I think Mo Williams is so good that he nearly killed every team in reg.
But in the playoff, he just couldn’t get his chance…
Our 2R are basketball geniuses-Roy and Rudy
Lebron averaged 8 dimes a game in the Orlando series.
That’s up from 6.75 in the two previous series.
"Literary Criticism is not bookkeeping." -SB
by nightbluefruit on Jun 1, 2009 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions
The only guy who stepped up for the Cavs was West
No one else was up to the challenge. It’s not that the effort wasn’t there, it’s just that they were playing at the top of their game all year, and didn’t have another notch to take it up to. Their team needs more talent to win a championship.
Allow me to answer your questions poorly and with little evidence
No. LBJ is no Jordan. Yet. To become Michael he needs to forge a body of work that demands the attention of the rest of the league. As it stands now he is being pushed and marketed beyond the limits of his credentials simply because the league needs a champion to push and marked in Jordans image.
3-5 Years away Lebron will be as dependant on his supporting cast as he is now. Just how much further can he elevate his game? Look at MJ again as an example. It took Horace Grant, Scottie Pippen and a host of solid role players to be as dominant as he was. Prior to that it was all potential but no trophy. I believe that the blazers as a franchise are probably better suited right now to deal with Lebron 3-5 years away than anyone else in the league.
The biggest fear would be if he ended up somewhere like…Orlando or Houston. Anywhere with a dominant Big I also think he will be able to slip into the 4 spot more easily as he goes older and looses some speed. LBJ at 30 as a bigger meaner 6-8 power forward will be a super effective machine. If he stays in cleveland and they don’t get lucky in the draft, the rest of the league will breathe a sigh of relief. They are an Ilgauskus foot injury away from the pack.
" Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes, that way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. "
By the end of his career he'll be the superior player
LBJ is doing all of this stuff, putting up historic regular season and then playoff numbers without a decent jump shot or a post up game. Two things he could easily have in the next 5 years. He’s one of the leagues top 5 passers and he led the league last year in assists that went for 3 point shots. The way he’s able to take the ball to the basket is something nobody will ever see again. He puts up ridiculous numbers even with a no-name squad around him. He’s already the greatest player to never win a ring, and he’s 24 years old. I hate the he’s the guy Portland will have to face all these years. IMO in the next 5-10 years it’ll be the greatest ever overall collection of talent (Blazers) versus the greatest ever single player in the NBA.
That sounds about right.
Although, I still think he’s a ways off from Jordan’s level.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 1:38 AM PDT up reply actions
normally I find it hard to disagree with your comments
The way he’s able to take the ball to the basket is something nobody will ever see again
How many times has this been said analogous to many legendary players? The players keep getting better and better and sooner or later their’s going to be some basketball superfreak like Lebron is now who people will be saying “The way he’s able to take the ball to the basket is something nobody will ever see again.”
I AM A PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS SUPPORTER.
Clyde took it to the basket pretty hard.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 7:34 AM PDT up reply actions
There has never been an NBA player with LeBron's combination of strength and speed
He has the body of Karl Malone, the athleticism of a young Jordan and the court vision of Magic. If he ever gets a sidekick anywhere near as good as Pippen, he might win more rings than MJ. Even without a guy like that, its hard to bet against him winning at least 1-2. If he can play at or near his current level for another 10 seasons, he’ll be the greatest of all time.
saying there has never been
is different than saying there will never be. I’m not sure I agree that Lebron has the body of Karl Malone. Yes Lebron is chiseled out of marble and very strong, but he is not a Mailman clone.


Close….but no see-gar
I AM A PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS SUPPORTER.
so...
nobody said at this point their respective careers… check back when Lebron is 33… he still won’t be Karl Malone
I AM A PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS SUPPORTER.
why would he want to be?
He’s pretty close – maybe he thinks he’s close enough, for similar reasons to Oden’s desire to slim down and speed up. – Elgin
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
Greatest player without a ring?
I disagree with that. Charles Barkley is the greatest player without a ring. People don’t realize how good Sir Charles was. He averaged a double double over the course of his entire career. 22.1 ppg with 11.7 rpg.
Also, if LeBron isn’t better than Barkley right now, I don’t see him passing Jordan or even Kobe as far as the greatest single player ever goes.
Yes he is scary. Even more so if he stays in Cleveland.
The Cavs are in a pretty unique situation next year in that they can sign not just one but two maximum salary free agents and still have room for a few nice role playern. Wally Szczerbiak and his albatross contract comes off their cap now. Ben Wallace seems to be mulling retirement, and would be a big expiring contract anyway. Big Z is also expiring. They can either trade those contracts for the player that puts them over the top next year (some argue GM Ferry should have acquired Shaq with one year left on his contract at the deadline as rumored). Or just let them all come off the books and go hunting for free agents.
They can offer LeBron one year more than any other team. Assuming he is one of those 2 free agents, that can become a very very scary team and likely his best option to win one or multiple championships.
There will be a few other teams with cap space in 2010 but not more than 1-2 others with so much, and the Knicks are looking at a roster with worse role players in place. Boston is still solid, but not much longer. Orlando is looking really good now but also painted itself in a corner in terms of surrounding Howard with the best team with that dumb Rashard Lewis monster contract for which they outbid themselves by about $30 million over its lifetime. The Bulls have a chance to retool around Rose, but still a lot of work to do. Same with Detroit and the rest of the Eastern Conference. So LeBron’s chances to dominate the East in many years to come if he stays in Cleveland after testing the market is very good.
I think Dwyane Wade might be mature enough, with the success he already has and recognizing his body won’t hold up with the stress he is under while carrying a team in Miami each year, to take the second fiddle behind LeBron. Imagine that team. Maybe a bit weak in outside shooting, but drawing more fouls than any other combo in the league. Or they add Chris Bosh (I would prefer that if I was LeBron) or Amar’e Stoudemire, and run high screens for LeBron ad nauseam.
Who do you guard on a team with two bona fide superstars that command a double team? His coach puts a solid Mo Williams or Gibson at point guard, and adds a big man in Varejao or promising rookie J.J. Hickson, and that team gives any other squad problems on most nights.
Also, as stupid as it sounds talking about the MVP and most stat-stuffing wingman since MJ and Oscar Robertson, LeBron is far from reaching his own potential. TrueHoop had a very interesting debate on the whole Kobe vs. LeBron issue with several bloggers. And while they came to different results regarding who is the best while tending to LeBron or the future, it’s not really debatable that Kobe has the more refined all-around game right now. James has one ultimately developed skill: Scoring around the basket in bunches. And another one that distinguishes him from most other superstars: Being a great passer and unselfish enough to give it up to a teammate in a better position. LeBron’s footwork is not refined yet (and he has duck feet anyway). He about never posts up with his back to the basket, which should be a very powerful addition to his game considering his size and strength advantage to almost all small forwards in the league. His mid-range and three point shot is not really good (his coaches asked Dirk Nowitzki’s personal mentor long ago to help him with that, to no avail). He only began to really focus on defense this year, which was also the year when he started thinking about how to adapt his training to keep his body healthy for the long term beginning with Yoga and better nutrition. And so on.
And if you bank on him declining rapidly with vanishing athleticism, forget it. At some time he will lose a step and can’t rely so much anymore on his superior quickness and hops. Big deal. He has the body of a modern power forward, and can just switch over to that position in his thirties if he develops just a bit of a post play.
So yes, while the era of LeBron has been delayed a second time now, he will be a force to be reckoned with for the next decade. And I expect him and his teammates to stand between the Blazers and a title at least once.
by Norsktroll on Jun 1, 2009 1:35 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Guess we better trade for Bosh now
The reality is, unless Miami just has a horrible year this year, it’s hard to see Wade coming to that realization about his body holding up within a year, which will mean he most likely re-signs with Miami. Plus, Miami’s an awesome NBA city to be in, especially without an income tax, and given that he has a chance to be the most iconic heat player ever (admittedly not saying much), I can’t really see him leaving, and buy the end of this next extension, he’ll be 32 or so, and it’ll be far more of a “Drexler to Houston” move than a “Shaq to Los Angeles” move if he teams up with LeBron, wherever he is. It’s not something that terrifies me, but not a combo I’d like to see in the playoffs, either.
Bosh, on the other hand, has no apparent connection to Toronto, which isn’t a real “destination” NBA city, and is already grumbling about leaving. His situation, more than anything reminds me of Gasol’s last year (minus the long term contract). He’s being paid to do a job he can’t do (lead a team), but he’s the perfect second banana right now. He can score when he has to, and seems to be willing to do all the dirty defensive work (as witnessed by this summer), and that’s all LeBron really needs (a better coach than Mike Brown would be nice, too).
Although, another name that never gets mentioned in the 2010 class that I think would frighten me almost as much as Bosh is Joe Johnson. I don’t think it’s completely out of the question that he gets tired of shouldering the load for a mediocre Hawks team by the end of next year. He’s a great defensive player, especially if he doesn’t have to carry the load offensively, and can do everything that the Cavs were missing. I don’t think it’d make nearly as big a splash as any of the guys you mentioned, but I think he might be a better pick up than Amare for them.
Why would we trade for Bosh?
He’s a guy who scores 4 more points with 3 more boards a game than LaMarcus who is two years older and has three more years in the league. Also, he’s the primary scorer on his team, so his numbers likely go down if he plays here, where he would be the number two guy and have to share rebounds with Pryzbilla and Oden.
Both is a little better than Aldridge right now, but he’s also more expensive and older.
wait why does that even matter
when he’ll sign with our team anyways? no j.k but yeah ive thought about that too many times. hopefully he never matures or he bolts to a team with a worse roster situation
I think our worst nightmare is LeBron joining Houston
A team that already is a bad match-up for the Blazers suddenly becomes a nightmare. As noted above, we have very few people who can adequately defend LeBron. Throw in Yao, Ron Artest, and Shane Battier, and you have one of the most elite defensive teams in recent memory. The four pronged attack of James, Yao, Artest, and McGrady would also provide continuous offensive production regardless of who is on the bench. The powerful inside out attack would bowl over all but the most disciplined team defensive efforts.
"Cathartic? I didn't go to college, I don't know what cathartic means."
Kobe Bryant
Mhm, not a team that often gets talked about in connection with the summer of 2010. But it should.
http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/rockets.jsp
They have Morey, and enough cap space to fit another max player besides Yao. Although T-Mac and Artest would have to be off the cap then.
Probably Scola, too
who, even at age 31, should be worth something in the $5-6 million range at least. Lowry, also, would probably be looking at something in the $3-4 million range, so if they want to sign LeBron, T-Mac would almost definitely be gone, and they’ll have to lose a minimum of two of the Artest-Scola-Lowry trio. Still intimidating to think of a team with LBJ and Yao, but at least they’d be wafer-thin at other positions, especially with essentially the entire rest of their their roster would be on expiring deals and due for either small raises (Battier, Hayes) or large raises (Brooks and Landry) the year after that.
It might be that Alexander isn’t quite willing to pony up that kind of money long term with an impending lockout. At least, that’s what I tell myself to convince myself that this won’t happen.
It all Depends on Oden
The equation is now simple: With Oden at his potential, the Blazers will be very tough to beat. Should he prove merely above average, the team will have trouble reaching the finals.
by Bandwagon Fan since 1972 on Jun 1, 2009 2:05 AM PDT reply actions
James and Yao wouldn't work
They would dominate but they wouldn’t be able to pay James thank goodness.
1. Lebron is the best player in raw skill in the entire league he may be not as refined as Kobe but most of his significant stats are much better then Kobe. Kobe is not a real competitor to LEbron’s talent he is right there with Lebron in jersey sales so that is how the league markets him. I don’t fear him the way I feared Jordan, with Jordan everytime a game was on the line it seemed he would hit the shot with Lebron I don’t get a big dread. Lebron could develop me feeling this dread about him but let us hope that never happens. I have more trust in Brandon making the plays down the stretch then Lebron, I also am an positive and believe that the Blazers would have more talent and assemble a better team then Cleveland
2. In 3-5 years I see Lebron in cleveland, Lebron isn’t going to kill us with out a team If he has some really good team mates they would have a shot at taking us down. It really comes down to will the Blazers be a team that can turn it on in the Playoffs. Oden is the REAL KEY.
3. Worst case is he goes to LA, I don’t see that happening financially or egotistically. Kobe and Lebron wouldn’t work because they both wouldn’t want the other on their team in the same way that Shaq and Kobe didn’t work, its a no go to start.
Houston would scare me as well, cause then they would have a real offensive and Yao would be free to get easy shots set up be Lebron that team would beat us Unless Oden was Odin, or in Basketball terms better then WIlt when compared to the rest of the league
"Knowledge will get you from A to B. Creativity will get you anywhere." Einstein
Worst case scenario: LeBron to LAL
I’m not sure how this happens in 2010 if Kobe doesn’t early terminate this year, but if it did it would certainly be the worst case scenario for the Blazers: LBJ with Gasol, Bynum, Ariza, and some other pieces that probably wouldn’t be too bad.
I don’t see LeBron going to Houston or any other western conference team besides LA. In the east I think NY and maybe Boston or Orlando are the only places outside of Cleveland he would play.
put a body on 'em
I agree
If Kobe doesn’t win it all this year or next, he’s going to be threatening to walk. LBJ wants to win it all, and even if he can’t get a max contract because they don’t have the cap space, he could decide endorsements are worth it, and go to LA. for a couple years, then re-sign for max.
LeBron, Kobe, Pau, and Bynum for 2-3 years, even after Kobe retires they would be extremely difficult to beat.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
I don't see Lebron ever getting a Scottie Pippen next to him or every having the outside shot to get
him on Jordan’s level. Dwight showed that a defensive presence in the lane is enough to stop him.
Blazers will be fine, Lebron is not a threat. A few years from now is Brandon Roy time.
Why won't he get a Pippen?
In 2010 he could go anywhere. He could just head out to LA if he wanted and play with Pau, Kobe and Bynum. He could sign with the Heat and play with Wade. Assuming he wants to win I don’t see why he couldn’t find his wingman, maybe even two or three wingmen.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 4:32 AM PDT up reply actions
LA has no money
as has been detailed by Timbo over at SS&R, LA’s cap situation is one of the worst in the league. They’d need to not re-sign Odom, Ariza, and pray that Kobe opts out and signs a deal for less than half of what he’s currently making in order to sign him. Not something I’d put in the realm of possibility.
He could still sign with them.
The amount of endorsement money he would make by living in LA might offset the salary cut he would have to take. Also, I’m sure the Cavs would rather do a sign and trade then let James just walk. If he wanted to go to the Lakers, and I’m not saying he does, I’m sure he could make it happen.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 7:28 AM PDT up reply actions
He would make more endorsement money in NY
And looking at LA’s roster, who would they want in an S&T instead of just the cap space. Gasol’s the only real option, and you’d have to think they’d have better deals on the table than a 29 year old PF who’s proven he can’t really lead a team.
Also, how much more endorsement money could LeBron realistically make? He’s already estimated to make nearly 150% as much as the second place guy on the endorsement rankings. Is it really realistic that moving to LA could increase that figure by another $10 million+? He’d have to make more than double what any other player makes in endorsements to make up the salary gap, and when you’re at the top, marginal dollars are a lot harder to find.
I think so.
He’s already making 150% as much as the second place guy on the endorsement rankings and he plays in a city no one really cares about. If he can make that much in Cleveland I’m sure he can make more in NY or LA. Plus, even a small increase in the percent of his endorsement dollars is going to be a whole lot of money overall.
I’m not saying he will end up in LA, but it could happen. But yeah, NY is probably a better bet.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 7:47 AM PDT up reply actions
You're all forgetting that whatever team LeBron goes to
would have to give up significant assets back to Cleveland. For example, if he came to the Blazers, Cleveland would want Roy and Oden at least. The Lakers could not add LeBron the way they added Pau. As for the Knicks, what do they have that the Cavs would want? I think LeBron stays in Cleveland and gets a star to play with him next summer.
The Knicks, on the other hand
could just sign him outright after next summer, which the Lakers can’t. I don’t remember LA giving Orlando any assets for Shaq.
The Lakers have no realistic way to get the cap space without throwing away next season by not resigning Odom and Ariza, and even then, they’d still need Kobe to opt out this offseason and take a deal worth much less than he currently makes for the Lakers to have that kind of cap space.
Jordan didn't have an outside shot
He had a good midrange shot, but he didn’t shoot that many 3s and he wasn’t that effective when he shot them.
Over the period in which Jordan won all his titles, he shot 1383 3’s and hit on 35% of them. If you compare this to Steve Kerr over the same time period (823, 43%), you’ll see that Jordan—through his career apex, was actually a more than willing and competent distance shooter.
Now, to be fair, he struggled mightily in his early career (regularly shooting under 20% from 3) and his late career. But what I take from this is that there is an established example of an elite player vastly improving his distance game in order to take his overall skills to another level. If Lebron can pull off the same trick, look out.
"Literary Criticism is not bookkeeping." -SB
by nightbluefruit on Jun 1, 2009 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions
Those 6 years
Were also his best years as a 3 point shooter. Even then he only shot 35% and took less than 3 a game, which isn’t awful, but isn’t what I’d call good either. (For his career he was just under 32% and averaged less than 2 attempts per game.)
Lebron shot 34% this year from behind the arc, which rivals what Jordan shot in that 6 year period. Lebron also did this while shooting 4.7 a game.
Not sure I can properly hype Jordan’s 35% and ignore LBJs 34%. For his careeir LBJ is only at 32.8%, but Jordan is 32.7% on his career and Lebron should increase his over time.
this is just proof
that statistics can lie. I couldn’t even count the number of dagger three’s MJ made. He was a threat from everywhere. And to the extent he wasn’t “as effective” from one place on the floor, he just went to a different place.
I’ll grant that the three wasn’t MJ’s center piece (he wasn’t Ray Allen), but it certainly wasn’t a weakness. I watched over 1,000 MJ Bulls games (not kidding or exaggerating the number) and never once did a team “let Jordan take that.”
If they did, he would have considered it a personal affront and disemboweled them.
Dagger 3s
I’d bet my life that Jordan missed more “dagger 3s” than he made. In fact, he probably make about 33-35% of his dagger 3s throughout his career. People remember the quantity of amazing shots that are made, but not the quantity taken.
It’s just like the fallacy that Kobe is the guy you’d want down by 1 with 10 seconds left. He simply isn’t. I don’t know how one could say that statistics can lie in this situation, since Kobe makes these shots less often than almost any other major player.
In 10 years people will still remember Lebron’s 3 to win game 2 when they talk about his clutchness. They will not remember all the 3s and FTs that Lebron missed in the 4th quarter of this series.
I'll agree on Kobe
But not MJ. Sure, a lot of his misses would have been daggers had they gone in. But you’re discounting all those games he affected positively. and by “all those” I’m talking about an obscene number of games.
No one’s 100%, but can you seriously imagine a coach in the waning minutes of a close game telling his players to lay off Jordan and let him take the J? (So to your central assertion, “missed more than he made,” it’s basketball. Even the best ever missed more than he made.)
MJ had a great fg%. Can you imagine a guard today making 55% of his shots over a whole season as MJ did once? Before the hand checking rule?
Now all three of those paragraphs are slightly different things. But in totality, be they “daggers” (which by definition are made shots, so it’s hard to imagine “missed daggers”), shots for the game, or shot % over time (including 3pt% over time) one simply has to want to see MJ look bad for him to look bad.
The guy could shoot. Give me one guy in the history of the league to take a game winner, and I’ll take MJ. With BRoy waiting for the kick out if MJ has to pass out. ;-)
We agree then
I’d love MJ shooting for me at the buzzer for the exact reason you said. The guy had an insane FG% for a non center. I’d wager that MJ won most of his games from the 15ish foot area, which is where he was a ridiculous shooter anyway. However, if we’re talking about a 3 pointer to win a game, I’d much rather have a good 3 point shooting trying to win it/tie it for me than MJ. Give me Reggie or even Rudy in that case.
another thing LBJ will need eventually
A coach that can effective utilize him within a system with role players.
"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum
More Important: Do You CARE if LeBron is in "our" Way?
Let me take a subset of your question.
I think it’s entirely possible that LeBron may end up “standing in the way” of a title just like Jordan did in those Blazer years.
Here’s the thing though: I don’t care.
I wouldn’t trade those Blazer years for anything. I loved those players. Looking back, I wouldn’t have changed anything (except that Cliff Robinson fast break pass off of his chest.) I loved it all.
There are two things I’m thinking:
1) One: I don’t need a title necessarily. I just need a team that legitimately threatens for a title and plays basketball I can be proud of and be passionate about.
2) Two: I love team basketball. That’s why I get excited about our Euro players (plus, I think it’s cool to have a Euro following). I greatly prefer the teams with underrated players working together to create beautiful basketball rather than the superstar surrounded by role players. In short: I am the perfect “Moneyball” fan, which fits perfectly with Portland.
I ge the feeling from people—including this article—that “A Title” is some kind of ascension to Valhalla and forever after the heavens rain milk honey.
Not me… I just want to be fan. Give me Bibby’s Kings over the Lakers. Give me the 90s Blazers over Jordan. Give me even the Phoenix suns wtih Barkley and that Eliot Perry kid over Jordan.
The title isn’t everything. Not even close. It’s just an end point that allows us to relate to the game. Give me instead good basketball. I don’t need LeBron for that. And his presence shouldn’t hinder it.
Buck Williams for the hall of fame
by Phizbin on Jun 1, 2009 6:54 AM PDT reply actions 4 recs
Yup, enjoyable team basketball is everything
and it should prevail over a superstar’s team.
pistons-fakers ’03 anyone?
"We really don't reference the rulebook." ~Joe Borgia, NBA VP of referee operations, to Henry Abbot regarding the calling (or lack thereof) of traveling.
Those 2 points
describe me too. And I’d add a third one or maybe modify your 1st to say “threatens for a title” for several years. I would be totally bummed if I were a Celtics fan. One and done is devastating. Which is not to say they won’t be in the hunt next season, but at the time of KG’s acquisition there was talk about them mortgaging the future for one shot at the championship. With 7 players over 30 they are going to have to expect injury issues. I’d rather have a team that “almost made it” for years running rather than one championship and then not even make it to the conference finals. For me (and this is where I differ from many people) there is no shame in being 2nd ; it’s still better than 28 other teams. Silver medals may not shine as brightly as gold, but dang, they’re medals!
Good point w/ the Celtics
Ainge supposedly did a great job. He bought a title in the most efficient way possible. Celtics hang another one in the rafters.
But hang it all, that just doesn’t look like much FUN to me. I don’t WANT a title that comes in that fashion. How do you, as a Celtics fan, even regard that team as yours when all the players spawned elsewhere?
Buck Williams for the hall of fame
by Phizbin on Jun 1, 2009 10:34 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
its all about a championship in the NBA
I think pretty much every Celtics fan would do it all over again.
I agree up to a point, but I want another championship banner, too.
If this team weren’t getting it done, I’d be okay with rolling the dice on a major trade if it resulted in a title.
I'd like the Blazers to win one
in my lifetime so that I have a means of comparison (title year versus good basketball non-title years). Then I’ll let you know which one I value more.
SOME PEOPLE ARE LIKE SLINKIES. NOT REALLY GOOD FOR ANYTHING BUT THEY BRING A SMILE TO YOUR FACE WHEN PUSHED DOWN THE STAIRS.
I don't worry about the future.
Most certainly about things I have zero control over.
And unlike a lot of people, I do not take it for granted that Portland will win championships. Nor do I rate the team and my enjoyment of them based on them winning a championship. If following the Blazers in the early 90’s should have taught us anything, it is that you can have a very good team worthy of giving your heart to without them ever gaining that title.
So I’m not going to worry about James possibly standing in the way of a Portland championship. I’m just going to enjoy the journey.
hakkaa päälle !
I'm with you
That being said, I really really want to be the city that gets a parade for once in my life…
Proud member of Duck nation!
for #2 The Brooklyn Nets
If they can give Vince Carter away to someone they should have plenty of room for Bosh and James while retaining Harris and Lopez. That team should take home a few rings. RE: #1, I don’t see LeBron having the same effect as Jordan. There are many ways to knock our young team off track, and it could be LeBron a couple of years, but we’ll get ours.
wanderlust
Worst case, he signs with a team in our division. (Oklahoma City)
Oklahoma City has a nice core of young talent. If Lebron signed with OKC we’d have trouble winning the division and getting past them in the Western Conference playoffs. Best case is that he stays in the East.
On the plus side there
I think “Global Icon” and “Oklahoma City” are the two most mutually exclusive terms in the NBA.
It makes me happy...
that there is no possible way Lebron will ever sign with OKC.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on Jun 1, 2009 7:42 AM PDT up reply actions
OKC won't happen
They already have an All-Star small forward in Kevin Durant.
"Cathartic? I didn't go to college, I don't know what cathartic means."
Kobe Bryant
It seems like having a designated stopper at the 2/3
is a must in today’s league, to try to keep the Lebrons of the world in check. Pietrus did it in the last series, Battier and Artest served us up our worst possible playoff matchup. It seems that this is as good a case as any for keeping Batum and giving him the support he needs to develop his overall game. Judging from how well he did on guys like K*be during his rookie season, with a little more muscle that wingspan could be devastating on D. Not saying the is a cure for Lebron, I just throw fewer things at the TV when he has to make shots with a hand (or two) in his grill.
LeBron to PDX?
Sacrilege maybe. But if we were to be so scared of LeBron, why wouldn’t the Blazers get after him themselves in a S&T?
Do the unthinkable – Roy, Outlaw, Przy, Blake, picks, cash, the kitchen sink for LeBron.
Cavs have Blake, Mo Will, Delonte, Roy, Wally, Outlaw, Verajao, Przy, Ilgauskus.
And Portland gets to look at Bayless, Rudy, Martell, Batum, LeBron, LMA and Oden…
I guess the question there would be, is Roy and that package enough for LeBron? Ferry would demand Oden in return. Roy AND Oden for LeBron? God that would be painful and missing the point for us. A chance to pair up LeBron and Oden would be the prize here, throw in LaMarcus Aldridge and it wouldn’t really matter who else was along for the ride.
But I digress. LeBron to Portland is highly unlikely, but maybe, just maybe more likely than LeBron to say OKC for example…
I don't think Lebron = Jordan. Lebron couldn't even beat Orlando. Maybe we should be more scared of Dwight Howard.
And please God no Lebron to Portland. His ego would clog the entire city.
Blazer Fan
I mean really? Orlando just smoked Cleveland and Kobe is clearly still as or more dangerous...and it's a Lebron thread?
Blazer Fan
by leeroyjenkins on Jun 1, 2009 8:11 AM PDT up reply actions
Should the Drexler Blazers
have been more worried about Magic than Jordan? After all, in 88 and 89, Magic went to the finals while Jordan couldn’t get by the Pistons, despite putting up silly playoff numbers. Never mind the fact that Jordan was only 25 and Magic was 29.
LeBron is the same age as Roy, and arguably just had the single most impressive statistical playoff performance in history. Kobe is 30 and has had a great playoffs, but he’s not getting any younger. In the long term, LeBron is far more dangerous to us than Kobe.
Kobe has a better team
When times are tough, someone else on the Lakers has stepped up for them. When times are tough for CLE, its #23 or no one…
Proud member of Duck nation!
Lebron is 24.
Twenty Four. He has improved every year he has been in the league and he is still 3-5 years away from hitting his prime. He is one scary dude….
RUDY > MJ
Lebron is a great player
But I also think that the league has developed over the past decade. Gone are the days when the good teams had 2 good players. It seems like every team has 2 and the good ones have 3, sometimes 4.
Role players are becoming better and that lessens the impact of 1 superstar. Unless ’Bron changes teams or upgrades the Cleveland roster, I do not see him beating Roy, LA, Oden and ….
LeBron can win as many titles as MJ if the cards falls right
But he has to have great players alongside him. I mean Pippen, Rodman, etc., all great players, Jordan couldn’t do it alone either…
Proud member of Duck nation!
Yeah
If you replaced Wally with a guy like Lewis (who to me is probably in the 25-40 range) I think Cleveland beats the Magic without too much trouble. (I’m assuming that Lewis is cloned and still plays for the Magic as well.)
And yes, I am saying Mo is not top 40
Mo easily beats out Davis West for the worst All-Star of the decade.
'90s Blazers are only modest predictors for this team
Potential-wise this Blazers team is vastly different than the 90s Blazers — whether they realize their potential is the ride that we as fans get to travel on, for the next many years.
I count 2 stars on the 90s team — Clyde and Terry. We had good players in Buck, Duck, Jerome and Cliffy — but every time Jerome shot the ball from 10 ft out, you were praying it went in. And Buck was underrated, but every big game, you prayed he wouldn’t get in foul trouble against the likes of Karl Malone. Beyond our 6th man, we had the thinnest bench to speak off — you were always wondering what you would get, and you were hoping that they would remain competitive. The starters played heavy minutes (which effects performance in the 4th quarter). They had no half-court offense to speak of. Our best back-to-the-basket post player was Clyde. And outside of TP, our long-range shooting was abysmal. Put it all together, and the 90s team far exceeded their combined talent levels, they won with heart, hustle, grit, team cohesion and defense. Thats why we loved that team.
Talent-potential, this team is vastly superior. BRoy is already an All Star. LMA and Oden have the potential to also be All Stars. Rudy’s facets are still being polished. Batums story is still being written. We have the deepest bench in the league. Our long range game is a threat. Should the talent materialize, we will have a formidable inside-outside game. I would even go so far to say that BRoy is (will be) a better 4th quarter player than Clyde. These are young kids with a lot of character. We’re waiting for the team cohesion, the hustle, the defense to come together. This team has as much character, and vastly more talent.
The 90s team came close despite great opposition. If this team materializes — even great opposition will not stop it. LeBron’s team(s) will be focusing on how to beat the Blazers, as much as the other way around. It will be the team to beat. When was the last time the Blazers were truly the top team in the league? Maybe 91; and then the L@kers got in the way!!! Arrgh.
[Aside: bet the bulls would have imploded, if MJ got past the Pistons in 91 only to lose to the Blazers in the finals. Probably would have been a Blazers dynasty, and MJ would still be MJ great, but ring-less like Sir Charles. Instead…. Maybe in some alternate reality…].
good analysis
"The problem with tweeners is that sometimes they’re exactly what you need to plug the hole and sometimes they are the hole."
-LaughingJon
your alternate reality
Is incredibly strange. The Bulls beat LA three straight games (3, 4, & 5) at LA to take the title. In other words, after dropping a home game, they whomped Magic’s Lakers. It wasn’t close. Then they beat the Blazers the next year. Then Barkley’s ‘unbeatable’ Suns team in ’93.
I think the Bulls would have beaten the Blazers in 91, and even if they didn’t, it would have been seen as another step in the ladder. At that time, the CW was that a team had to get to the Finals and lose before they could win a title. (Everyone was saying exactly that during the 91 Finals when the Lakers had the “finals experience” and the Bulls didn’t.) So I don’t think there would have been any implosion.
Also, and not just to tweak everyone, the Bulls were clearly the second best team in the league behind the Pistons when Detroit repeated in 89-90. And in 90, I think the Bulls were the best team, period. That ECF had the home team winning every game, with blowout Chicago wins and nail-biter Piston wins. (Except game 7, which went to Detroit in a competitive game, but one that didn’t come down to the last few possessions.)
This is all conjecture, and hopefully all in fun.
Magics L@kers were on the way out. They were the underdogs against the Blazers in the WCF, we had some lousy games and lost. It was great heartbreak. Note that the Lakers went 43-39 and 39-43 in the next two seasons. The L@kers had no chance against the Bulls.
The Blazers in 91, though, had the leagues best record at 63-19 (Bulls were close at (61-21), and Portland beat Chicago both times they met during the regular season; 125/112 at home, and 109/101 at Chicago. The Blazers matched up great against the Bulls.
And you’re right, that the CW was that a team had to get to the Finals and lose before they could win a title. The Blazers were that team, they had got to the finals in 89-90 and lost. They had compiled the best record in their league, and the Bulls had not yet earned superstar status. [The L@kers were not that team, experience was not given a chance, when the team was that old.
If, and this is a big if, the Bulls had lost the Finals, after struggling for years just to get there, how much finger pointing would have taken place in the locker rooms? How much demand for change would there have been? And there would be no swagger in 91-92. Again, all conjecture.
Great reply.
I’m not going to rip on the ‘91 Blazers at all. But given the disparity in the quality of the two conferences at the time (which has since been flipped big time) I think the Bulls’ record in 91 was more impressive. I honestly had not remembered that the Bulls had dropped both games to Portland that year. That’s interesting to say the least. But I can say the Bulls dominated LA.
And I think the Bulls had achieved Superstar Status as soon as MJ’s third year. The three following years, 87-88, 88-89, and 89-90 were an ascension in which the Bulls got a metric s—t-load of attention nationally. The epic battles against Detroit (89, 90, & 91) were viewed by much of the country (not portland, obviously) as de-facto championships.
[As an aside, love discussing pre-internet teams.] That year – in 90-91, the Bulls won twice in the regular season in Detroit. Once that happened, the Bulls were sold on their team concept. That mental hurdle (if you’ll allow me to call the Pistons linebacking corps “a mental hurdle” rather than say “the ugliest, most violent, dirtiest set of thugs to ever find success in the NBA”) was all the team needed. After that, it was like watching destiny unfold.
The Bulls respected Portland in the 92 Finals. They showed respect to everyone they played by preparing and putting forth their best efforts with regularity. No team can be that good for that long without that respect. But from Chicago’s point of view, the Blazers were not a significant “concern” 90-92. They built their team to beat Detroit. Once the Bulls slayed that Dragon, the Pistons were never the same. They had been surpassed. They were gone for good.
And I gotta say, after the slaying of that dragon, one that was spelled S-W-E-E-P, I don’t think the Bulls would have lost to anybody. Crushing the Lakers was like the epilogue in many ways. The momentum was too much. At that point of that year, the Bulls were as good and focused as any team I’ve ever watched. In the last two rounds of that year, the Bulls went 8-1. I don’t think they ever did that again. Even in 96, after sweeping the first three rounds, the Sonics caught them twice in the Finals.
After that, the Bulls had Indiana in division, with Reggie Miller being perhaps the biggest thorn in the side of the Bulls for the decade. trivia: the Pacers were the only team to beat the 95-96 team twice, benefiting from a generous call to beat the Bulls in the final Bulls home game to prevent them from going 40-1 and tying the C’s record. The Pacers were also the only team to take the Bulls to a seventh game in any of the six title years. (ECF 98) [fact check, maybe New York in 93?]
And then the Knicks. Pat Riley tried to recreate the Piston model in New York and physically just beat MJ up for 48 minutes. This was thought to be the only way to take him out. They were dirty and mean. It was good vs. evil for the whole country to see. The Bulls were significantly more focused on the Knicks. They played four straight years in the playoffs.
But the Blazers? I might be risking a ban here, but it’s not like the Bulls wiped their brow and said “phew” when the West went to LA instead of Portland. It was an upset, yes. But the Bulls would have just as soon taken the West’s best team (portland) and not flinched.
Now that I’ve probably made myself a number of enemies…
Stats dont support dismissal of 91 Blazers
But given the disparity in the quality of the two conferences at the time (which has since been flipped big time) I think the Bulls’ record in 91 was more impressive.
Using this logic the 91 Blazers record against the EC would paint a different picture. 91 Blazers went 36 and 5 against the EC. They only lost 5 times against the EC, thats home and away. Think that is pretty darn near domination of the stronger EC. [The Blazers had 14 of their 19 losses against the WC]. The Bulls, who as we discussed already lost twice to the Blazers, probably did more than wipe their brow and say “phew”.
MJ had already lost 3 times in the first round, before losing 3 more times to the Pistons. That was 6 years of losing. Beat the supposedly tougher EC, and then lose to the Blazers in the finals; and that would have been 7 years with no ring. ’91 was a major turning point. After the Bulls won in 91, its a different story…
Aaah well, all in the past. Here’s to hoping for some good rivalries to come.
That's amazing
I didn’t know the Blazers only lost five times against the East. That’s unbelievably good. (even though they didn’t play the East 41 times, I’m sure you meant 25-5 or something like that. How many east teams were there in 91? Was that when we had 29 teams?- still quite impressive.)
I’m just saying that from Chicago’s perspective, they were neither focused on Portland nor intimidated by anyone. I can recall the feeling of that time well enough to assert that. Maybe it was unfounded cockiness, but I can pretty much guarantee that the Bulls weren’t scared of Portland. The entire focus of everyone around the Bulls was on what they were doing/had just done. Which was the Pistons.
Imagine if we (Blazers) were eliminated by the Lakers three straight years, twice in the WCF and then swept them the next. And then a fan of an EC team says, “but I bet you were really concerned over what happened in the East, right? You were probably really worried about [eg Boston]!” Years later, thinking of that sweep against the Lakers, there’s no way you’d remember being concerned about what happened in the other conference. And to that Boston fan, you’d probably think something along the lines of “we were in the process of sweeping the Lakers and were on top of the world. Boston was the farthest thing from our mind.”
I guess it’s unknowable, but I seriously doubt the premise that the Bulls would have faltered in later years if they had lost in the Finals in 91. They were so focused and so hungry. I have never seen another team that had those characteristics in such excess.
But that devolves into my “why I think Michael Jordan is insane” theory that very few people want to hear about.
The answer to the challenge presented is Nicholas Batum.
Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave
Also: COMCAST SUCKS!
We can only hope so
He still has to bulk up quite a bit, smart defense alone won’t be enough to stop some of the most athletic forwards. Melo has reportedly become even stronger than LeBron, then there is Artest, Lewis, …
Batum
Even if Batum develops into a Pippen-esque defender, we’d still need more than that to stop LeBron from hogging titles. One person cannot stop him. It’s going to take either mismanagement by whatever team signs him or an opposition with multiple Olympic Team quality players.
LeBron's weaknesses
LeBron has to score at +50% FG and +35% 3FG to be good enough to beat good team frequently. The reason for this is how he plays. In my opinion, he spends way too much time standing with the ball in his hands (often 10-12 seconds per possession) before making his move. This lack of ball movement is stifling to the team, and doesn’t encourage player movement either. There is a reason that in the Orlando series the bench put up such great numbers as 5 points.
Statistically, it may look good when a play consistently is putting up 30-40 points, but basketball is a team game. LeBron may be more physically impressive, and may be making more “impossible to defend” shots as each year passes, but that doesn’t make up for the deficiencies of his game.
Tracy McGrady, Vince Carter, and Chris Webber are examples of flashy players that haven’t made it over the hump when considered to be the best or near the best in the league and “unguardable.” Honestly, after watching the Eastern Conference Finals the thought occurred to me that LeBron may never win a championship. Good teams – teams with good team defense, rebounding, and ball and player movement that can hit their shots can beat any team that LeBron leads. His game actually reminded me a lot of Zach Randolph in how he swallows up the ball for such a huge part of the possession that the team cohesion falls apart.
Consider the difficulties Mo Williams and Daniel Gibson had in consistently hitting their shots. Shooters need to get involved in the flow of the game. LeBron makes his own flow and without getting the ball more in the hands of other players they will struggle to consistently shoot at a good percentage. The contention that putting great players alongside LeBron will make him unstoppable I don’t buy into. LeBron doesn’t make players around him better, except maybe the cold-blooded stationary 3-point shooter (rather than the streaky 3-point shooter like J.R. Smith, Daniel Gibson, etc.). Players with midrange games, good shots off the curl (Rip Hamilton), and give and go games aren’t going to flourish at a higher efficiency around LeBron.
In this vein, I am not worried about what team LeBron goes to because the more scorers he has on his team, the more his lack of efficiency will become evident. I am not sure that there is a better team out there for LeBron. Maybe LeBron will find a way to get a championship, but I think this has more to do with his competition not playing up to championship level. In the Eastern Conference, I think it is more likely that a 1 or 2 seed can fly easily into the second round, get some rest, and play a worn down 3-6 seed. We all saw how easily the Cavs swept their way into the Eastern Conference Finals this year. I think LeBron’s path to the finals gets much more difficult on a Western Conference team, not that I really want LeBron in the West. In my opinion, LeBron’s best chances for success lies with Cleveland, Milwaukie, Utah, and Atlanta in that order. Every other team that could take him on would lose so much by taking him on that it isn’t worth it.
I think the Blazers have the talent, potential, and style of play to beat the Cavs or a LeBron-led team in the near future. Dealing with that team in yellow and purple is a much greater pressing problem.
Chris Dudley for three!
I thought about Lebron in Utah as well
Mostly because of comments that Lebron would never go to OKC; Utah might me the only less desirable location. What if Utah made a sign and trade deal with Clevelend giving up Boozer, Kirelenko plus change. Lebron plus Dwill and Okur would be a solid group.
If you were LeBron
And you could go wherever you would like, and you’ll get a max contract, and you weren’t married, and you have no desire to have legitimate children in the near future, and liked to drink with loose, black women, would you go to Utah?
Nuf said.
Stranger things have happened.
But that’s just my thoughts on where basketball success is most likely for him. I fully predict that he’ll end up in New York or New Jersey if he does leave Cleveland.
Chris Dudley for three!
personally, I can't imagine why ANYONE
would want to live in SLC.
If I were coming out in the draft and had leverage, I’d tell the Jazz to not select me. I’d rather go play in a Euro-league than have to live in Salt Lake.
Thankfully, my life is not determined by drafts and I can live anywhere I want.
hence, Portland!
I don't see a whole lot of difference there
between Utah and Cleveland, as far as “supporting cast” goes.
LeBron takes the ball out of DWill’s hands too. – Elgin
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
You read my mind...
Great post Dave. You have read my mind actually. About a year ago, I had this very conversation with some friends. LBJ is on the verge of taking this league over. He is still a spoiled immatrue brat with no humility, but that will eventually pass with time. Even if he never gets a ‘Pippen" on his team, he will still most likely win titles and stand in our way. Remember, he is going to get beter. Not necessarily physically, but mentally. The answer? Get at least 2 big SF’s who can be very physical and make LBJ work very, very hard. There is no easy answer. I just hope he stays in Cleveland, I dont want him on the West coast for sure.
by ItsMrHarris2u on Jun 1, 2009 9:44 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Every time I see the hope for the Blazers' future titles
There looms the dark cloud of LeBron. I’m seriously pinning my hopes on some Russian Billionaire offering LeBron $300M a year to go play in Europe. It could happen! Heck, Michael had to leave the game for a couple of years to give someone else a chance to win a title (and that was over an eight year stretch.)
LeBron’s ceiling of potential is higher than MJ. He’s not there yet, and I kinda hope he never gets there, but it’s within realistic possibilities that we’re all playing for second best to whatever team has LeBron. For a very long time.
This Post tapped into my LeBron phobia big time.
If you can’t beat him, sign him. Run the 2-3-4 of Brandon, LeBron & LA. Poof! All concerns about our point guard D vanish. All worries over Greg (the will he or won’t he develop into a star center) vanish. In all seriousness, KP has got to at least get us in the LeBron sweepstakes. Buy a ticket. Try.
CW says LeBron wants marketing potential, a team with a great dedication to winning, and the chance to have that structure together for a long time. We’re aces on the last two qualifications.
And as for marketing, I don’t assume he needs a big market. He transcends that concern. No matter where he is, people will watch that team. His commercials will still get made and played. Nike’s not going to lower his deal because he’s not in a big market. He’s also “In America” for the purposes of world-wide fame. The fans in China and Europe don’t care Sacramento from New York from Fargo. The games are televised all the same.
Show him the plane. Show him everything we’ve got. Let him see that while the Cavs are trying to put a team around him that could win titles, we have that team ready made. Sign here and win right now and for the foreseeable future. Several teams could offer him that. But New York can’t. The Lakers can offer him a brief stint with Kobe, but that wouldn’t last as long as a PDX dynasty.
So I’d say we’re better candidates than NY or LA, leaving… the rest of the league. And then, there’s still only a handful of teams. Us, Orlando, Houston. Who else? We’re in better shape than Atlanta and Miami (and that assumes they can resign Wade.) One could speculate down the list, especially if some team has the pipe dream of signing LeBron AND Wade, but that’s going to be difficult for everyone, unless the players decide to make it easy.
by sagcat on Jun 1, 2009 9:47 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I certainly don’t want to play devil’s advocate for Lebron James, but I hear a lot of people saying that Howard’s presence in the lane shut him down. Not the case. Not at all:
James’ Average Output in Magic Series:
48% FGA
27% 3PA
8.4 RPG
8 APG
1.7 SPG
1.7 BPG
38.5 PPG
38, 8, and 8 is somebody getting shut down by a presence in the paint? What would he have done if Howard wasn’t there?
There is no paint defender who is going to stop James, not even the fantasmatic version of Greg Oden that exists in our minds. If Lebron had gotten any kind of consistent output from his teammates there would have been no series. It was Orlando’s perimeter defense (and the sudden shooting slump the Cavs went into) that advanced the Magic.
If Lebron gets any reliable second option—someone who can create his own shot and create opportunities for Lebron—the man will be unstoppable.
"Literary Criticism is not bookkeeping." -SB
by nightbluefruit on Jun 1, 2009 9:49 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
The Cavs were also surprisingly mediocre on defense in this series. Coach Brown should really consider handing his trophy to SVG.
They certainly struggled to stop Howard, which everyone from ESPN to Faux Sports have grasped, but in addition their rotations on the perimeter were slow, and they seemed to forget how to put a hand in someone’s face.
I always though Brown’s COY award was a joke. Worst plays out of timeouts in the league, worst 4th quarter offensive sets in history.
Alright, a bit hyperbolic, but still.
"Literary Criticism is not bookkeeping." -SB
by nightbluefruit on Jun 1, 2009 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions
yeah
I still say Nate. I think they just don’t like him.
"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.
But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"
http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html
Orlando is constructed specifically to destroy defenses like Cleveland's.
Cleveland is great at defending the paint and forcing teams to rely on long jumpers, a solid defensive approach against most other teams. A terrrrrrible defensive approach against Orlando.
And yet Mike Brown never adjusted how Cleveland normally plays defense, even while they were consistently playing into Orlando’s hands. Shockingly bad coaching.
by howlingfantods on Jun 1, 2009 10:54 AM PDT up reply actions
That should be a good sign for us?
We’re not the Magic from long range right now, but if Oden can become even a shadow of Howard we could play a similar style against the Cavs. Rudy/Roy/Webster/Batum/Blake/Outlaw could easily match Orlando’s outside shooting with slightly better looks.
This is similar to the point that has been my main contention
for most of my personnel-related posts for the past six months, to whit:
The Blazers are a deep team. What they are not right now is a very talented team, at least the type of talent level that’s typical for a title contender.
Title teams tend to have some combination of one of the top couple of players in the league plus another top 10’ish guy (kobe-shaq, mj-pipp, wade-shaq, magic-kareem, bird-parish), or three guys averaging around top 10 (duncan-manu-parker), or three guys averaging around top 20 on a team with unusually fantastic defense (kg-pp-allen).
Roy’s already #7 but probably never going to be the top 2 or 3 type of player who’s always in the MVP discussion. LMA has top 20 potential but given his development over his past couple of years, I only expect him to be top 40 or 50.
So unless Oden becomes a top 5 type player, we just don’t have enough for anything other than a dark horse, Billups-Hamilton-Wallaces type of playoff run. Definitely nothing to hang our dreams of dynasty on.
And frankly, I just don’t see it in Oden. I think he maxes out at Andrew Bogut/Emeka Okafor level unglamorous top 7 or 8 center and top 30 or 40 type player; a quality defender and rebounder that no one anyone ever mentions come MVP talk, and that makes it into all-star games based on team record and lack of other good options not because he puts up numbers that are automatic for all-stars.
I think unless we get a major star somehow (strike gold in the draft, or make some kind of trade, or free agency or something), we’re looking kind of likely to repeat our early 90s jaunt of being a terrific regular season team that never quite makes it over the hump.
by howlingfantods on Jun 1, 2009 10:19 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
It wasn't that long ago
where we didn’t think he’d ever be a top 7 player.
I now think Roy is even better than that and disagree. He chooses to be a team player, which makes him even better if Aldridge and Oden can step up, because he’ll fit. I have no doubt Roy can put up Wade numbers if he wants or needs to. He simply chooses to play the team game.
I also disagree on Aldridge. Big men take time and there are flashes where he’s unstoppable. I’d like to see whether he explodes this year or not and then I’ll pass judgment. I admit I was disappointed with this year. I thought he should have been better.
Oden. Tough call for me. He’s stronger than those guys you’ve mentioned and can power through. he’s also UGLY out there, but greatly improved as the season went on. He’s another guy that I’d like to watch next year before judging. I think you’ll be able to tell super-star, from all star, from what you described by next year. If he’s still struggling, then I’ll agree with you.
The other difference I see with this team, is that it’s a driven team. They work out hard, they believe in themselves, and they don’t quit. How many other teams around the league are like that? how much talent is wasted on teams with players that don’t try? I think this is the final difference that puts the Blazers over the top.
Time will tell. I’m going to hope you’re wrong and I’m not on this. I hope you don’t mind. Looking at the players without any growth taking place, I think you’re 100% right. I just think some more growth and next year will show that things change.
"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.
But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"
http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html
Hey, I have no problem with folks who are a little more optimistic about our guys than I am
as long as you’re not the GM of the team. You’re not KP, right?
Roy might become top MVP candidate type, but that doesn’t seem to be his game, he just naturally doesn’t seem to be the type of guy who puts up those kinds of numbers.
Plus, keep in mind that as a 4 year college guy, he’s already pretty close to his expected peak years as a wing- he’s turning 25 in a month, and in fact he’s a little older than LBJ, almost a year and a half older than DHo, a year older than CP3, and only a couple of months younger than Bosh and Carmelo. I think we all think of those guys as getting pretty close to their peaks right? Same with Roy — I expect that list to get somewhat better in the next couple of years but not orders of magnitude better, they’re all going to be 25 to 26 next season, and we expect players of that age to be pretty much done baking.
by howlingfantods on Jun 1, 2009 3:16 PM PDT up reply actions
I almost agree with you 100%
This team needs one of the top three point guards in the league in order to be a dynasty. I don’t think they need that to eek out one title, however, if the timing is right. Both the Lakers and the Cavs have shown that they are beatable, so the Blazers have a chance even if they only make steady improvements. Once LeBron finds the right situation, though, it’s going to take a team of All Stars to stop him.
very well stated
I’m curious what you think of Orlando’s run. I don’t put Turk or Lewis in the top 20, but they do have a top 5 player and they do play outstanding defense— would you put them in the category of last year’s Celtics or more in the darkhorse category?
I might end up eating my words
but I don’t really think Orlando’s a contender. They’re trying to do the Hakeem in 94 thing (guy in the middle surrounded with 3 point shooters), which was already a very flukey path to a title, but doing it with DHo, who’s no Hakeem. I think Orlando lucked out with KG’s injury and Mike Brown’s poor coaching to get to the title series, but that the Lakers would have to have a major injury to lose.
by howlingfantods on Jun 1, 2009 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions
Teams who take 3s win
This has been proven pretty concretely this year. Also, teams with dominant big men win. This has been proven for decades.
Now, players can go cold on their 3s and big men can be beaten. But not calling a team that could be the best in the NBA a contender is pretty risky. I’m not saying that the Lakers won’t win, but I wouldn’t say that Orlando isn’t a contender, even if they lose the series. (Unless it’s 4-0 in ugly fashion.)
Like I said, I might end up eating my words.
I just have trouble getting the picture of Big Baby, Eddie House, and Brian Scalabrine taking them to 7 games out of my head.
by howlingfantods on Jun 1, 2009 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions
Love your post, but don't agree with everything
First of all, I think it’s interesting that you paired Bird-Chief, with no mention of McHale. as someone who hates Kevin McHale, it’s not that I mind, but I do find it odd. =-)
On LA, I think he’s got more room to grow than you do. Or maybe I think he’s developed more over the past couple of years. I think he can become a notable defender and rebounder and never lose that sweet jumper. He’s already on his way with the D and boards. I don’t think top 20 player is an unreasonable goal. If he tops out at the 40-50 best player range, it would be a major disappointment for me.
I agree with your assessment on Oden, though I don’t think that’s a bad result. I think he can develop into a top five center and frequent all-star. And I just don’t see how that’s anything but a huge positive. I think anyone expecting him to turn into Shaq is being unreasonable. Certainly, both of our Oden projections are good enough that I can see winning titles with him down the road.
But I agree with your overall theme. I think we need a “Celtics sign Garnett” or “Sixers trade for Moses Malone” kind of deal to put us into title-territory. And I think we have the chips to make that kind of deal. Maybe not this year, but after next year? I can see it happening. The economy is making teams not want to pay for top talent, and there’s always going to be teams that have peaked and are unloading. When the moment strikes, hopefully Pritchard will be there to make it happen.
If you look at PFs who are in that "top 20 NBA players group"
basically all of them were much better players than LMA when they were 23 years old. Not just future HOFers like Duncan and KG but also guys like Dirk, Bosh, Amare, Gasol, etc. It doesn’t mean LMA can’t be a late bloomer, but it does mean its a stretch to hold out hope that he reaches the Bosh/Pau level.
hmm
You make a fair point. Perhaps my “top 20” has more players in it than I intended.
Can you live with him only being as good as say, Horace Grant? I think he’s got a chance to be better than that, but Grant possessed several qualities which made him a championship 4. Professionalism, work ethic, understanding his role on the team, limiting mistakes, & rebounding come to mind. But Grant never had LA’s jump shot or footwork. Grant was never a guy for whom plays were ran.
And as an aside, I’m not really sure about Bosh. Last year, I thought he was going to be a god, but now I dunno. There’s a lot of people that have given me that “he’s going to be a god” feeling that didn’t pan out. Then there’s guys who achieve god status for a couple years then for whatever reason, drop off. Shawn Kemp, Grant Hill, etc. My point is, it’s possible in two years, LMA will be considered Bosh’s superior.
the main thing that made Grant a championship 4 was being on MJ's team
LMA’s a totally different player— much more skilled offensively but not nearly as good a rebounder or defender.
I don’t really see LMA getting much better than he was in April of last year, but I do think he has it in him to play like that for a full season, which would be a big help.
As for Bosh, this year was a major disappointment for him. It might have shown he’s not really a #1 guy. However, he still had a better statistical season than LMA and if Bosh gets in a better situation (ie the #2 guy on a good team), I think he’d go right back to being the outstanding player that was the best big man on the Olympic team. I don’t see LMA surpassing him. Its not impossible, certainly, but I don’t see LMA improving enough or Bosh declining enough.
agreed
I don’t think it’s more likely than not that LA will pass Bosh, but as you said – it’s possible.
And big LOL on Grant’s main quality being “played with MJ.” That’s true. But I do think there’s but for causality there. He was an essential part of those first three teams. Without Grant, I don’t think the Bulls win those. He was pretty solidly the third best player on the team.
The blazers, for instance, have no “third best” player that really sticks out for me that’s comparable to HG. I don’t mean the exact role, but if the question were thrown out “who’s the third best Blazer?” you’d get several different responses. We have young players who could very well develop (as Grant did) to produce in that same way, which is, of course, what we’re all hoping. But right now? We have no "third guy’ like Grant.
Bird-Chief
were already title winners when McHale was a reserve.
I didn’t go into this in my main post but I’d contend that when teams that are already title contenders get a significant extra (like another top 10 guy in McHale or Worthy or insanely productive role players like Rodman), that’s what makes them go from contenders to dynasties and teams that folks talk about in terms of greatest ever.
by howlingfantods on Jun 1, 2009 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions
Excellent points
Again, I agree that for the Blazers to really get to multiple championships status, we’ll have to acquire another big piece.
On those Celtics teams of the 80’s, there were a lot of guys who are HOF’ers or right on the border or at least were all-star types. But there were only 23 teams then, so the talent was more consolidated, and the C’s had more than their share by a lot. Your point on McHale is spot on, but does go against most people’s thoughts on the team make-up. I think it has to do with the ’86 team being as preposterously good as it was.
There seems such desperation in our posts
This will be a long off-season as we wait for Blazer news.
Worse Case
In the Summer of 2010, a super team forms in New York. LeBron, Wade, and Bosh all sign there, and high level role players flock in.
I think that by the end of his career, everyone will agree that he’s a step above MJ.
Lebron on the Cavs
Is not a threat.
Lebron on the Cavs with another all Star player becomes dangerous. Can the Cavs snag Nash, Wade, Amare, Bosh?
The cavs are still mediocre, but give Lebron another weapon and you have a dangerous team. I become nervous about Lebron leaving. I breath a sigh of relief if he stays. I think he’ll need two others to counter the Blazers. Miami with Wade or Chicago with Rose would be my feared destination in the east for him. I don’t see him heading to Toronto.
"Fernandez, to my eyes, is the Blazer who walks that walk most comfortably. A lot of Portland's fans (egged on, dare I say, by their local broadcasters) lament things like how Ron Artest or Yao Ming get to hit Brandon Roy's arms.
But I suspect Fernandez sees all that and thinks: We get to hit arms! Cool!"
http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-135/On-Playoff-Experience.html
It is very, very possible that LeBron will keep the Blazers from winning a title
I have thought about this fairly regularly.
The Blazers need a major jump from Oden and a upgrade at the point in order to challenge. That could happen as soon as next year. It might not be enough though.
Apparently you don't need a great PG to beat the Cavs
Rafer is playing well, but he’s still not exactly great. He’s just knocking down shots. Obviously the big difference between us and Orlando is the difference between Dwight and Oden. If Oden can even be 85-90% of what Dwight is this year (Dwight will get better) than our superior supporting cast should cover the rest.
I generally agree
I don’t think you need a great PG to beat the Cavs necessarily, I just think the Blazers need to upgrade their lineup, and PG seems like the logical place to put that upgrade.
Our hopes are largely on Oden though, which is kind of scary.
Our hopes are largely on Oden though, which is kind of scary.
This is very very true. If Oden becomes a career foul trouble and/or 14/8/1.5 guy, we will definitely need some significant upgrades. If Oden becomes a beastly 19/13/2.5 guy then I think we only need a minor upgrade at the point, if an upgrade at all. Not that I wouldn’t keep looking for one, but I don’t think we’d be sad if we didn’t find one.
Oden's chances to become the latter increase dramatically with a point guard able to find him in the post
Which brings us back to the start: We need a point guard upgrade.
Oden will be 12/10 next year
or better. He would have been that this year if he had figured out how to stay on the court for 22 mpg.
19/13/2.5? On this team, I don’t know if he’ll regularly score like that, but he could. He’ll definitely be 15/12, though.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
I considered lowering it because of the team
But I think our pace will pick up in the next couple of years. Not a ton, but we won’t be dead last in the NBA. Also, once Oden gets quicker I see a lot more offensive rebound putbacks to give him cheap points.
Odds are he’ll find a middle ground of 17/12/2 though, which is still better than all but 2-3 centers in the league.
Bad Case Scenario
LeBron joins Dwight Howard in Orlando.
Not possible, unless they find a taker who is dumb enough to accept Rashard Lewis' gargantuan deal. Or LeBron signs for the MLE.
Either thing is not happening in 2010.
Lebron isn't MJ: He's Magic
No one has had such a singular set of skills in such a huge frame before. Lebron could play any of the five positions, just like Magic.
I think he’s staying in Cleveland. I think Cleveland will get him all the help he needs.
Yes, he will be a major pain in the butt for any team in the Western Conference that thinks they are good enough to win a championship. – Elgin
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
Not quite
Magic was big, in the tall sense, but he wasn’t a physically dominating specimen like LeBron.
OTOH, I doubt LeBron has the size to effectively play the center position.
Both are unnatural freaks, though….
I am Spartacus and I approved this message
by EngineerScotty on Jun 1, 2009 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions
A stretch to give Lebron 5 positions
2-3 are complete cake for him
4 isn’t a problem vs anyone but maybe a Duncan type
1 could be a problem if he had to play it all game. He is human after all.
5 would be a problem against a lot of centers on the defensive end.
We can sidestep this entire issue
By signing LeBron in 2010
These are my principles. If you don't like them, I have others. -Groucho Marx
by RDreamer on Jun 1, 2009 11:32 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Lebron and Amare in NY
It could be that Amare Stoudemire joins D’Antoni in New York this season. Then, if Lebron might seriously consider moving to NY to play with the Knicks. Those two could pose serious problems to the Western Conference.
One other comparison between LeBron and MJ
It took Jordan seven years to win an NBA title (drafted in 84, first title in 91).
LeBron made it to the Finals sooner, but will not be winning one at least until HIS seventh season.
That said—I don’t see a Pippen on the Cavs roster. Mo Williams is a nice complement to LeBron, but he’s not a game-changing defender.
I am Spartacus and I approved this message
Also, MJ was two years older coming into the league
And had won a title at UNC and was MVP of the ’84 Olympic team in Los Angelas.
I am not worried at all
As has been shown in the Magic series, all you need to stop Lebron is a French defensive wingman who can hit 3s to keep the other team honest, and a rebounding, defending, simplistic offensive center to back the French wingman up.
Done deal.
"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08
The most important stat:
2 wins
"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08
Still don't consider that stopping LBJ
He has atrocious teammates. In 2010 that won’t be the case anymore.
Excellent Post
That is why KP has to continue to build & add great players, tough players. We have to be set up to handle LeBron + whoevers team he plays on. Knicks? Nate Robinson, LeBron James + Amar’e + Shaq? Scary.
Offseason:
(T)Mike Conley Jr
(T)Reggie Evans
(D)Taj Gibson
(D)Kevin Seraphin
(D)Jerel McNeal/Lester Hudson
I definitely wanted
the Cavs to win the title this year so maybe he’d leave or there would be less drive in the Blazers window. Now I have to root for the Magic???? Sweet.

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