Season in Statistics: Defense
Here's our continuing look at the season just past in statistics. This post covers the defensive side of the ball.
It's important to remember to switch your thinking a little bit when looking at these stats. First of all, remember this is defense so the word "ALLOWED" should be after most of these headings. It's cumbersome to put it in so I'm going to let you do it mentally. Also keep in mind that unless you're talking about inherently defensive stats like blocks or steals, a negative number in the Net Change is good. In other words the "-2.1" in Points in the Paint means we allowed 2.1 fewer points in the paint this year, which is a positive development despite the negative sign in front of the number.
Also keep in mind Portland's pace was slow compared to most of the league, so value the numbers accordingly. Part of why the Blazers ranked 4th in points allowed, for instance, is because they played so slowly compared to much of the league. Fewer trips up and down mean fewer attempts and thus fewer points.
| Statistic | 2008-2009 | Rank | 2007-2008 | Net Change |
| Points per Game | 94.1 | 4th | 96.3 | -2.2 |
| Points in Paint* | 38.1 | 11th* | 40.2 | -2.1 |
| Fastbreak Points* | 9.9 | 1st* | 12.4 | -2.5 |
| Field Goal ATT | 76.9 | 2nd | 80.7 | -3.8 |
| Field Goal Makes | 35.4 | 7th | 36.4 | -1.0 |
| Field Goal % | 46.0% | 17th | 45.1% | +0.9% |
| Three-Point ATT | 15.9 | 5th | 18.3 | -2.4 |
| Three-Point Makes | 5.9 | 7th | 6.5 | -0.6 |
| Three-Point % | 37.1% | 18th | 35.6% | +1.5% |
| Free Throws ATT | 21.7 | 4th | 22.3 | -0.6 |
| Free Throws Made | 17.4 | 6th | 17.1 | +0.3 |
| Effective FG% | 50% | 14th | 49% | +1% |
| Turnovers Forced | 13.2 | 24th | 12.5 | +0.7 |
| Steals | 6.7 | 25th | 5.5 | +1.2 |
| Blocks | 4.9 | 13th | 4.4 | +0.5 |
| Defensive Efficiency | 104.5 | 10th | 105.1 | -0.6 |
*Stats with an asterisk were only available with the six playoff games included. As thus they do not match up precisely one-to-one with the rest of the stats presented, which only include the regular season. However they're close enough to give you the idea. The decimal points and ranks may be a tiny bit off since the Houston games were factored in, but the overall trend is still visible in the numbers.
An obvious trend emerges from even a casual trip through the numbers. The gaudy defensive rankings for the Blazers all come in categories affected severely by pace. When you look at the percentage stats, which indicate stopping power rather than sheer number of attempts, the Blazers come in at a relatively mediocre level. The Blazers allowed teams to shoot better overall, from the three-point arc, and in effective field goal percentage this year than they did last year. The overall scoring went down because opponents got so many fewer attempts. It ended up being a net plus for the team scoring-wise but it's a difficult strategy to pursue for a couple of reasons. First, how do you get better? You can't keep slowing the pace further and further. Second, a team which is able to control tempo on you is going to expose you. Most of the good teams in the league can do exactly that.
This year saw improvement in the opportunistic stats, steals, blocks, and turnovers forced. The raw numbers are still low because of pace but if you measure the number of steals, blocks, and forced turnovers compared to the number of overall possessions the Blazers actually drift into mediocre territory instead of looking anemic. They're in the lower teens in steals, the upper teens in turnovers forced, and top ten in blocks. For a team that's been downright bad in those categories for years, this is good news.
Any way you look at it, fewer fast break points and fewer points in the paint are a positive for Portland. Both were fertile fields for disaster in the Blazers' down years.
This still feels and reads like a defense that is compensating rather than changing the course of games. However cracking the top third of the league in overall efficiency means you're compensating fairly well. We saw the Blazers choose to defend certain types of shots at the expense of others this season, which is a huge improvement over not being able to defend any kind of shot at all. However the defense won't become contention-worthy until we do less poison picking and instead refuse to have anything shoved down our throats altogether. (Or at least get closer to that ideal.)
What were your impressions of the Blazer defense this season? What do you make of the stats? What's already good and what needs to improve? How many of those improvements do you think will happen naturally and how many require more direct action, either changing strategy or personnel?
Comment to your heart's content below.
--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)
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This is the biggest question of the offseason for Pritchard
what, exactly, can we do to improve our defense? Roy and Aldridge were mediocre defenders for most of the season. Przybilla was incredible at center, as Oden will hopefully be next year. Batum showed flashes of defensive potential, but suffered from rookie mistakes at times…
Our biggest defensive deficiency was the pick and roll. I still have nightmares of Barea and Bass doing their best Stockton and Malone impression on Christmas day, slicing through the Blazer defense for countless dunks.
I really feel that if we improved the point guard defense, and thus the pick and roll defense, we would be a completely different team. Teams were allowed to run their sets with very little defensive pressure… it’s why I advocate acquiring Kirk Hinrich. Roy and Aldridge are here to stay, and Batum and Oden should be solid defensively for the next ten years. We need point guard defense.
draft dejuan blair
It seemed like we were getting better all year long, but as Cablin mentioned, we were still getting torched by quick point guards.
as far as the houston series went, it was a nightmare having to deal with Yao, as we ended up doubling and that left Houston perimeter shooters even MORE open.
Ultimately, I’d like to see
1) Lamarcus playing better help defense
2) Nic continuing his growth into a lock-down defender
3) Joel keep barking out orders on defense
4) Roy take more of a leadership role on defense like he does on offense, especially when Przy isn’t on the court
5) Oden to not foul away from the ball as much. He needs to pick his spots better.
6) Have Rudy add to his quick hands that get in the passing lanes some quick feet. Less “herding” of players into the middle and more staying in front of them.
7) Outlaw work his butt off on defense 100% of the time instead of playing just enough to not end up on the pine.
8) Bayless to tone down his aggressiveness just a hair. He seems to pick up too many fouls while attacking other PGs when he’s in.
As for Blake, I’m really not sure how much he’s going to change. He’s an older guy and I think his defense is just what you’re always going to see from him. If you don’t like it, find someone else. Steve will always be Steve. WYSIWYG
Sergio has lackluster defense, and after hearing Quick/reading online articles from Marca (the Spanish website he talks to), I honestly don’t know if he’s even going to be around.
For Webster, it will be nice just to have him back in uniform. Hard to evaluate what he can do when we haven’t seen him play in so long.
As far as team defense goes, we basically just need to see more execution. I think Nate and the coaching staff comes up with relatively solid defensive schemes, although it does seem we rely on our zone too much on the road. I could be crazy, but it seems like we pull it out and the home team shoots the lights out on us. There’s nothing that gets the home crowd pumping like a three pointer, as we all know from seeing Rudy at the Rose Garden. You can’t play a loose zone on the road and give up those threes. I’d like to see Nate make the guys play man as much as possible and keep those shooters covered.
Overall though, I liked what I saw this season. I’m trusting that our team will continue its development and we’ll see even more of a matador-style D next year.
acta est fabula plaudite -- Thanks for a great season.
great points
I’d say, from memory, that Webster is an above-average man-on-man defender. Not superb, but pretty solid.
1) Lamarcus playing better help defense
Absolutely. His block rate has gone down since his rookie season. That is disturbing. LaMarcus is quick and has long arms, which should give him tremendous shot-blocking ability. His rotations can be pretty bad.
5) Oden to not foul away from the ball as much. He needs to pick his spots better.
I’m not sure Oden did foul away from the ball much. He had an offensive foul every few games, but almost every foul he committed was either (a) when he was switched onto a guard and (b) when he fouled a penetrator.
draft dejuan blair
LaMarcus' rookie season
the Blazers perimeter defense was just horrible—and with Prz ineffective for most of the year after the (ahem) groin injury, and Jamaal Magloire manning the post, and LMA getting rookie minutes anyway… the fact that he racked up weakside cheapies doesn’t surprise me much.
I have not yet begun to defile myself.
by EngineerScotty on May 4, 2009 9:19 AM PDT up reply actions
I want to see Oden, instead of trying to cut off a guard after a switched pick and roll, just trail the guy and try to block the shot at the rim
don’t bump the guy and commit a foul. if he pulls up for a jumper, so be it.
That seems like a fine idea.
I see guys like Chris Anderson and Lebron do that a lot. If Oden gets some of his hops back the mere thought of him coming at someone from behind should make guys think twice about pulling up. Roy had mentioned he was always concerned about Artest blocking his shot from behind and it messed up his shot. I think Oden could do the same sort of thing.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on May 4, 2009 8:04 AM PDT up reply actions
Actually, opposing PGs haven't really done that well against the Blazers
If you look at 82games.com’s by position stats, the Blazers are #3 in opponent PG points per game and #2 in opponent PG FG%. Where the Blazers struggled was against opposing big men, ranking #13 in opponent center points per game and #20 in opponent center FG%.
That does not mean that Blake/Sergio are better defenders than Przybilla/Oden. I think that the Blazers have just gotten good at providing help D against PGs when they penetrate, but are not as good at providing help D against centers in post-up situations.
The defenders blow by Blake/Sergio/Bayless and Oden/Przy end up having to foul.
acta est fabula plaudite -- Thanks for a great season.
What will Martell's defense do for us next year?
That is the big question for me. The Blazers’ defensive 3-pt % went up this year and all year long there has been much discussion about our weak perimeter defense. We really do need help out there and I don’t see Blake’s or Brandon’s defense improving enough on their own to make the difference we need to see. Nic’s continued development will help, but for solid improvement we either trade for more help or…
Will Martell’s seeming defensive improvements last preseason carry over to make enough impact next year? Here’s hoping so.
I like his size.
He seems a little thicker than Outlaw or Batum. We sure could have used him to guard Artest while still keeping him honest at the other end.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on May 4, 2009 8:06 AM PDT up reply actions
The three areas I’d like to see improve the most are:
(1) A high level perimeter stopper on the wing — either through an acquisition, or if somebody like Batum can develop into one — I think the defense is going to continue having problems until this player is found.
(2) Greg Oden and LaMarcus Aldridge playing better defense away from the rim, and off the ball (more Aldridge there). Both players have to step up their pick and roll defense in a big way.
(3) Some defense off the bench — too much onus on offensive players, especially on the perimeter, off the bench. Their needs to be more grit and defensive ability from the backups.
3 Good Points
Our perimeter defense in general was awful. Look at our main perimeter guys:
1) Roy – good when he needs to be, average overall.
2) Blake – average most of the time, but we all saw the Houston series
3) Outlaw – Plays out of position way too often, bad at perimeter D.
4) Rudy – Looks like a matador, occasional steal is great, but below average overall.
5) Sergio – A horrible perimeter defender, a liability on defense.
The fact that we finished 10th in defensive efficiency blows me away (as Darkstar mentioned we were around 18th 6-7 weeks ago), but all of that credit goes to our outstanding bigs, and our great defensive coaches. Joel is an absolute monster and I think once Oden stays on the court, you will see how much he affects shots. Oden’s D will improve as he learns how not to pick up ticky tack fouls (and the refs stop callling them on him).
I think our perimeter D will improve in the next few years with the guys we have, especially becuase I think Nate is a great defensive coach and he will give it more attaention. Bayless looks to be an above average defender with that amazing lateral quickness. Batum should be a defensive stud in a few years, and is already well above average at perimeter D. Martell should be an improvement over Outlaw, and as I just mentioned, Oden should help make up for the occasional perimeter mistake, even more than he did this year (when Channing Frye is in the game the offense attacks the rim, the more Oden is on the floor, the less Frye is). I bet we see better, more consistent D out of Aldridge and Roy as I think they both showed against Houston that they can play defense when called upon. Hopefully Nate is stressing that to them in the closeout meetings.
Additionally, I thinkwe should target a veteran PG like Andre Miller. He is not a lock down defender, but is an improvement over Blake, and he could hold down the fort untill Bayless is ready to step up. Starting Martell and bringing Batum off the bench would help our bench defense immesnsely, and I think Outlaw and Sergio might be gone which is sad, but improves our bench defense.
This team was 2nd in the NBA in offensive efficiency! If we can get our D in to the top 7-8, we should be able to win 60 games and a playoff series or two. That would be a serious improvement and show that we are heading in the right direction (towards a championship).
I think they were starting to figure this out towards the end of the season.
Of course, there is room for improvement. But at the half way mark of the season, we hovered around 20th for defensive efficiency. To improve to 10th is pretty good, I would think. Let’s hope they get it in their head to try for 1st.
As far as PG defense, who would you say is a good PG defender in this league? I can’t think of anyone of the top of my head. Handchecking rules have made PG defense nearly impossible, especially on quicker point guards. Does anyone else have any ideas who would be considered an elite defender at that position?
Of all the things that can be expressed in the printed word – love, hate, fear, joy – true humor is the one that is the most difficult of all. Sarcasm, for example, is an art of delicate subtlety. Yet too many people wield it as a bulldozer – loud, smelly, ugly, and destructive – and think they are being funny.
the elite defenders
-Rondo is an absolute beast on the defensive end. Long arms… he’s a nightmare to play against.
-Rafer Alston is considered a very good point defender
-Kirk Hinrich is one of the best, able to guard 1-3. He’s guarded everyone from Rondo to Dwyane Wade… his excellent footwork allows him to guard any perimeter player.
-Devin Harris was good until this year, when he focused on leading his team on offense. His defense regressed.
-Chris Paul is a very intense defender, and an incredible thief. The fact that he is effective on defense and is the second best offensive player in the league is pretty incredible.
Westbrook, Chalmers, and Lowry have potential.
The fact that there are so few defenders at the point guard position makes them very valuable. The fact that Kirk Hinrich is probably available is very intriguing. Due to the Bulls’ unwllingness to go over the cap, they will have to choose between Hinrich and Ben Gordon.
draft dejuan blair
What about the bigger point guards?
Billups is a good defender in most situations.
Same with Baron Davis, Jameer Nelson, Andre Miller, and Raymond Felton.
Roy is the best player in the world with the exception of Incarcerated Mike from Queensbridge .
by Nick Van Excellent on May 4, 2009 8:08 AM PDT up reply actions
I'm don't consider Baron, Miller, or Ray to play elite defense
Billups is a little slower than he used to be, but he’s still very good. I’d put him with Rondo and Hinrich.
draft dejuan blair
Now that Portland is showing they are comfortable with Nate's offense ....
…. I think we are going to see increased focus on the defensive end. As already pointed out here, it appeared as if that was already happening during the 2nd have of this season.
hakkaa päälle !
Comfortable?
Houston showed how easy it is to disrupt our offense. Granted, they’re an elite defensive team, but so are some of the teams we’d have to beat on route to a title.
Definitely would like to see a focus on D though.
Coaching
Maybe Nate McMillan needs to bring in an assistant coach to focus on the defense, like Tom Thibodeau in Boston. McMillan’s teams in Seattle were very good offensively, (and did a good job shooting 3’s, which sounds familiar) but were not very good defensively. I always thought that McMillan would end up being a good defensive coach, but an average offensive coach as that was the kind of player he was. It is easy to believe that if you don’t use pace-adjusted statistics. Now I think we need to evaluate McMillan for what he is. He is an elite offensive coach and an excellent developer of young players, but his teams have been consistantly below average defensively. We shouldn’t let McMillan’s abilities as a player cloud our judgements of him as a coach. If we could get a good defensive assistant coach, I think that with the players we have now, the Blazers could be a top 10 defensive team.
Some of the defensive statistics are a bit surprising
The Blazers are giving up fewer points in the paint and fewer 3-point shots than they were last year, instead forcing teams to shoot more of the normally inefficient mid-range shots. The Blazers also appear to be doing a better job of contesting shots, getting more blocks than they did last year. Despite this, opponent eFG% has gone up. Also, opponent FT attempted are down but FT made are up. It appears that other teams are just getting luckier and doing a better job of hitting more difficult shots than they were last year. Is it really possible to for opposing teams to keep up that sort of “luck” for a whole season, or is there some other explanation for why they are shooting better this year?
Here's how we could improve on D
Greg Oden needs to hip-check guards right in front of referees more. That way they get so used to seeing it they don’t call it anymore.
"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach
Yao certainlly gets away with it.
I don’t think he could not hip check a guard going through anymore. Looks pretty engrained.
"The match in Los Angeles is a good opportunity to begin to demonstrate that we want to make war." Rudy Fernández (translated)
We've definitely improved on D...
Think about it. Last year, we zoned up half the time, and got laughed at (rightly so). Use of excessive zones are sign of a Bad Defensive Team (throwing the occasional zone into the mix is another matter).
This year, we spent much of the season debating the finer points of the pick-and-roll, with lots of grousing that we switched or went under way too often, exposing the basket and/or leaving shooters open.
By the end of the season, that was no longer an issue. (Or at least less of one, the gripe-o-sphere had moved on to other reasons why Nate sucked…)
Bottom line—the team is learning. So many people like to discount inexperience, but harp about more abstract qualities such as “toughness”, as if our problem is that we don’t stare and foul hard enough. Much of what goes into toughness, though, is experience.
I have not yet begun to defile myself.

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