FanPost

How can Portland move up to the Lottery?

The Draft Lottery is around the corner, and we will know better what Teams we might be able to trade up with if KP and Co. want to move up into the top half of the draft.  So for this post I am going to be looking at where these teams are sitting now, assuming come draft time they will not move up into the top-3.  The question I have for teams who are drafting in the “late-lottery” (picks 8-14), is ARE they enamored enough with any of those rookie guards likely available at those slots, or would obtaining a small bundle of Portland’s young talent plus moving back 10-14 spaces and drafting a player like Pitt’s Sam Young or Ohio State’s BJ Mullens, or whomever they fancy in that spot?  Will Portland move up?  Who knows, but I wanted to look at the reasonable options that Portland may have to move up.  I have targeted New York’s #8 Pick, Toronto’s #9 Pick, or New Jersey’s #11 Pick.  The question I have for you all are what would be Portland’s best move and can you come up with a  feasible deal that would get Portland up into the late lottery?

 

What Portland has to offer in a “trade-up” scenario:

1.) Portland has PG Sergio Rodriguez who is looking for a new home.  Sergio’s NBA career has only been 3-years, and his stock has fluctuated up and down, but one thing is for sure about Rodriguez and that is that there are definitely teams who run offensive systems that would benefit from Sergio’s spectacular passing and transition.  Sergio is seem by other teams as a definite 2nd unit point man, if not starter material after one or two more years of experience.  Sergio’s contract only has 2009/10 season left on it, worth $1.8M, with a qualifying offer in 2010/11 season of $2.8M.  Very reasonable.  Of the Target teams for Portland to trade up, New York’s Mike D’Antonio system would fit Sergio’s strengths, as would Toronto’s International-flavored roster and game, and New Jersey is completely void of a serviceable back-up PG.

2.) Portland has combo-forward Travis Outlaw who has a decently solid reputation as an athlete and scorer, even though Outlaw has 6 years experience in the NBA, he is still just 25 years old, so other teams still could envision Outlaw getting a little better and a little more consistent.  Travis is an expiring contract for the anticipated off-season of 2010, his remaining year (2009/10) only costs $4M.  Very reasonable.  New York’s Mike D’Antonio’s system would prove to be uber-exciting with a  player of Travis Outlaw’s explosion, New Jersey has Ryan Anderson starting at PF whom Outlaw could easily transplant… I am not sure how well Travis would fit in Toronto however.  One thing is sure, Travis will probably be entering his prime very soon, where his unquestioned athletic ability is teamed with experience and confidence will produce his most consistent numbers.  I believe that Travis is sought after by many teams.

3.) Portland has the option of trading PF Channing Frye is he is moved via a sign-and-trade deal.  For this to happen, Portland must sign Frye to a minimum 3-year deal, however only the first year need be guaranteed.  In essence, Portland would have a third “summer of 2010” expiring contract if they leverage Frye in this way.  Although Portland fans may not value Channings game very much, but to the New York Knicks who loved Frye before departing him to Portland would love him back, or New Jersey who starts Ryan Anderson at PF, Channing Frye’s abilities could shine in the right home, Toronto would find Frye as a rotational player with their big-men styled to stretch defenses… and at only 25 years old, he still hasn’t reached his prime.   

4.) Portland has picks that they can use to entice teams to swap down with them:

2009 Round 1 – Pick #24

2009 Round 2 – Pick #38

2009 Round 2 – Pick #55

2009 Round 2 – Pick #56

2010 Round 2 – (From Chicago)

This is a pretty good lot of picks to leverage a move, even if it is 14 or so spots.  The value of those 2nd Round picks has definitely increased over the past few years with the popularity of draft-and-stashing of International prospects, the fact that 2nd round picks are less than half the price of 1st rounders, they aren’t guaranteed contracts, and 1 out of every 5 2nd rounders over the past 5 drafts are players who have panned out as decent role players or better.  First round odds are more like 1 in 3.  It is clear that teams who have been succeeding over the past decade have successfully landed quality players out of the 2nd round.  San Antonio, Boston, Utah, Los Angeles, Houston, etc. all have key players in their rotation who were value picks from the 2nd Round.

 

Trading up with New York:

2009 Pick 1-8 (PG Stephen Curry or PG Ty Lawson)

PF Jered Jeffries $6.4M

Blazers send this to New York:

2009 Pick 1-24 (SF Sam Young)

PG Sergio Rodriguez $1.8M

PF Channing Frye $4.2M (sign-n-trade 3yr, 1 yr guaranteed)

2009 Pick 2-38

2010 2nd Round Pick (from Chicago)

 

Trading up with Toronto:

2009 Pick 1-9 (PG Stephen Curry or PG Ty Lawson)

PG Marcus Banks $4.4M

C Patrick O’Bryant $1.6M

Blazers send this to Toronto:

2009 Pick 1-24 (SF Sam Young)

PG Sergio Rodriguez $1.8M

PF Channing Frye $4.2M (sign-n-trade 3yr, 1 yr guaranteed)

2009 Pick 2-38

2010 2nd Round Pick (from Chicago)

 

Trading up with New Jersey:

2009 Pick 1-11 (PG Stephen Curry or PG Ty Lawson)

PF Yi Jianlian $3.2M

SF Jarvis Hayes $2.1M

PF Eduardo Najera $3.1M

Blazers send this to New Jersey:

2009 Pick 1-24 (SF Sam Young)

PG Sergio Rodriguez $1.8M

PF Channing Frye $4.2M (sign-n-trade 3yr, 1 yr guaranteed)

PF Travis Outlaw $4.0M

2009 Pick 2-38

2010 2nd Round Pick (from Chicago)

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Blazer's Edge

You must be a member of Blazer's Edge to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Blazer's Edge. You should read them.

Join Blazer's Edge

You must be a member of Blazer's Edge to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Blazer's Edge. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker