The Season in Review: Greg Oden
Today we look at the Centerpiece, Greg Oden.
If you haven't read the conversation guidelines for these threads, please take a look before commenting.
Greg Oden's 2008-09 stats follow.
|
Statistic |
2008-2009 |
|
Games Played |
61 |
|
Games Started |
39 |
|
Minutes per Game |
21.5 |
|
Points per Game |
8.9 |
|
FG ATT per Game |
5.8 |
|
Field Goal% |
56.4% |
|
3PT ATT per Game |
0.0 |
|
Three-Point% |
--- |
|
FT ATT per Game |
3.7 |
|
Free Throw% |
63.7% |
|
Off Rebs per Game |
2.8 |
|
Def Rebs per Game |
4.2 |
|
Total Rebs per Game |
7.0 |
|
Assists |
0.5 |
|
Steals |
0.4 |
|
Blocks |
1.1 |
|
Turnovers |
1.4 |
|
Personal Fouls |
3.9 |
|
Effective FG% |
56.4% |
|
True Shooting% |
59.9% |
|
PER |
18.1 |
|
Plus-Minus |
+2.80 |
If you took a straw poll among NBA fans, perhaps even among Blazer fans, asking them to come up with a word to describe Greg Oden's season chances are you'd hear words like, "disappointing" or "uninspiring" or "substandard". I guess perspective has something to do with it. If you're just thinking "first overall pick, once-in-a-franchise center" you'd look at 9 points and 7 rebounds and shrug. And you know what? I'm not even going to bore you with talk about microfracture surgery, a year off, one year of college, etc. I'm simply going to ask you to take a look at those overall numbers...overall rookie numbers.
They aren't bad.
Most of them are downright good, in fact.
If you were to show people those stats blind and say, "Our center did this as a rookie plus he's a legit 7-feet and well-built" most of them would reply, "Looks promising. What do you want for him?"
Can't have him. He's ours.
The number that surprised me the most was the 56.4% overall field goal percentage. Like everybody else in the universe, I would describe Greg's offensive game (charitably) as raw. Peruse your memory and I bet it seems to you like he missed most of the shots he threw up. Not so. That's a real center's percentage there. "But that was mostly off of dunks!" you say. So?!? If he can get his percentage that high by dunking that means he's getting a whole lot of dunks to make up for those baby hooks he kept bricking. A center who dunks that much? That's goooood. Most NBA pivots only dream of being able to throw it down at that rate. It's not only helping his offense, it's helping ours. And barring some kind of permanent injury this is as bad as his offensive game is ever going to be.
Less surprising was his rebounding. 2.8 offensive boards and 4.2 defensive in 21 minutes is phenomenal. We haven't talked much about rebounding percentages, which are a measure of how many rebounds a player gets compared to the total available when he's on the court. Oden's total rebounding rate is 20%, which means he gets his mitts on 1 out of every 5 missed shots. By comparison Joel Przybilla's rebounding percentage this year was 22.8%, Dwight Howard's was 21.8%, and Tim Duncan has never reached 20% in his entire career. Oden's offensive rebounding percentage easily tops all of the players just mentioned. Again: rookie season, somewhat hobbled, somewhat clueless...still produced. Greg's rebounding helped us control the ball and the tempo with more success than we've had in any recent season.
The sore thumb sticking out is so obvious I barely need to mention it. 3.9 fouls in 21.5 minutes is not good. Translate Greg's numbers into a relatively modest 36 minutes and you come up with 15 points, 11.5 rebounds, and 2 blocks per game, which would have been a season worth notice. But he couldn't have done that because he also would have ended up with 6.5 fouls. I'm not a big "per minute" extrapolation guy but they're closer to the truth here than normal because Oden rarely came out of the game for lack of production. Whistles did him in all year.
Greg ended up with a +2.8 PER advantage per 48 minutes against the average of his collective opponents, scoring easy victories in points and rebounds. The team scored significantly better and performed better on the offensive glass when he was on the court. The defense and defensive rebounding were better when he was off the court. Naturally the team committed far more fouls and gave up more free throws when Greg was playing.
When matched up against Yao Ming in the playoffs Oden showed glimpses of his eventual power. He threw his body against Yao and made him work hard. Greg was quick enough to front him and strong enough to keep contact. His improvement from opening night against the L*kers to those playoff moments was pronounced. That more than anything ought to have Blazer fans excited.
This summer Greg needs to work on a couple back-to-the-basket moves on offense. After getting his shot blocked regularly at the beginning of the season he learned how to get the ball over (and through) people with regularity. Now he has to learn how to hit when he does so. Even one reliable post move in addition to the dunk will do wonders for him, much as it opened up Shaq's game. He also needs to work on correct defensive posture. There will be a lot of footwork drills in Greg's future.
But that future is plenty bright. There's zero chance that the Blazers will entertain offers for Greg at this point. Providing his body holds out, he can go as far as his desire takes him. They'll want to have a better idea how far that train runs before they start to figure out alternate routes.
What's your take on Oden's season? Happy? Disappointed? A little of each for different reasons? What do you expect from him next season? How much of a difference-maker will he be in Portland's future?
See more stats at 82Games.com and Basketball-Reference.com.
--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)
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Comparison by extrapolation may give ambigous results...
but Greg’s numbers are comparable to Howard’s rookie year if taken to 32 min avg. I’m really excited to see where Greg is in a year or two. If he just steadily improves, continuing to do what he did this season, the sky is the limit for this team.
I was happy
with Oden’s season. I expected more, but was not disappointed. I believe he will come back next season in excellent shape, better trained, and ready to rumble. He is a hard worker, he proved that rehabbing his knee. I expect him to be leaps and bounds better next season. His rookie stats prove he has what it takes (he compares to Howard and Duncan in their rookie seasons).
Yes, he needs to improve his low post moves. Then the team HAS to get him the ball, and not ignore him when he is in position. This will not only help his confidence, but will also open the game up for the guards and forwards exponentially, as teams realize they can not leave him to double others.
Defense is something that Greg will excel in, but needs tutoring from a high quality big man’s coach. Names have been mentioned in other posts, and many of them would be an asset to the team and a great mentor for Greg. I do feel sorry for opposing teams trying to score in the paint in the not so distant future.
Rebounding is one area, that Oden excels in, now. I fully expect to see him getting Howard or Moses Malone type numbers if not this coming year, then the next. He has a sense for where the ball will come off the rim, and has the size to block out even Yao, and grab the rebound.
The future is looking great, and with Oden anchoring the middle, we should see a parade or two in Downtown Portland with him, Roy and Aldridge leading the way.
Killer instinct. When you have your opponent down, you do not help them up. You step on their throat!!!!!!
by Misplaced Blazermaniac on May 13, 2009 1:04 AM PDT reply actions
uh...
Oden’s rookie year does not come anywhere near comparing to Duncan’s (except for Greg’s rebounding which actually was better than Tim’s). I’m all for optimism regarding Greg, but let’s try to stay somewhat accurate.
My mistake
Was thinking one thing and typing another. Miscommunication between my brain and fingers.
Killer instinct. When you have your opponent down, you do not help them up. You step on their throat!!!!!!
by Misplaced Blazermaniac on May 13, 2009 2:04 AM PDT up reply actions
Greg deserves some degree of credit for being a contributer despite being a mere shadow of the athlete he was in college
I hope he’s able to regain some explosiveness. More important, though, is for him to learn to stop committing stupid fouls. Please learn to defend the pick and roll without bumping a guard as he trys to cut him off— Greg, just go block the shot at the rim— you aren’t quick enough to cut off Aaron Brooks. If Nate is telling him to do this, someone please get Nate to stop.
Watching Oden on offense in the playoffs was pretty tough. He looked so awkward and clumsy. The player at Ohio State was raw, but he was much less awkward. I’m concerned about that. Greg needs to work on his post game a ton this summer.
Overall though, Greg’s offense was more or less as expected— or even better, due to the excellent offensive rebounding. His defense was a substantial disappointment though (suffers here from high expectations, since he was billed as an immediate impact guy on that end of the floor)— he rarely felt like a game changing presence (though he did have his moments) and the great shotblocker I expected never materialized.
This is a crucial summer for Greg. He needs to be in the gym a ton. I think we’ll know fairly early next season whether or not he’s regained more athleticism post-microfracture. Even if he doesn’t get any more back, he can still be a very good NBA center if he can manage to stay on the floor. Fingers crossed for that.
Crucial is an understatement...
This is the most important off season in Oden’s early career. I think it will set the tenor for what type of player we have on our hands. If he works his butt off learning one decent post move, improves conditioning, weight, and flexibility and we see him in pre-season and think “wow, dude worked hard in the off season” we will have the makings of legit superstar (other parts in his game will come with time). This is the first off season he’s had, not injured, knows his teammates, knows the playbook, and knows the coach. Now it’s on him to show this team, this organization and this town what type of work ethic he is going to have.
I’m nervous and excited!!!!!!
Take away Nate's addiction, trade Travis Outlaw.
I want Kirk Hinrich!!!!!
Let's not go there again PUHLEEEEEEEZE!
"...the two are sharing a crazy passion that should create some twinkles when they meet each other again on the court." --Blenzer translating Julien translating Nic talking about Noah and KG.
He's not working on a doctorate
he’s taking a couple of 4 to 6 week summer classes and Bill Bayno will be in Ohio to work out with him. This is a non-story.
"Death is not final," Gita says. "If any man thinks that he slays, and if another thinks that he is slain, neither knows the truth. The Eternal in man cannot kill: the Eternal in man cannot die. The soul in man is neither born nor does it die. Weapons cannot cut it; fire cannot burn it; water cannot drown it.
The Bhagavad Gita
If Bayno is there, no one has any reason to worry
Bayno is a G, and everyone he touches turns to gold.
I didn’t know he was there, and I wasn’t worried. Now that he’s there Oden will be fine.
Morty
Bayno will be there for part of the time
probably a few weeks. Medina will also travel to Ohio to work on Greg’s physique.
draft rodrigue beaubois
It shouldn't even be relegated as a non-story, it's an anti-story.
As we have seen with Yao, you can’t have 7-footers going at full burn all the time. You will break them eventually. They need to pace themselves and have more downtime just to reduce the extra wear and tear.
Furthermore, his desire to keep pursuing his degree is completely admirable and is a reflection of his intelligence and his work ethic.
People keep trying to paint comparisons between Greg and Shaq, or Dwight Howard, or Tim Duncan. On the academic point alone, I have another comparison: Kareen Adbul-Jabbar.
These are the kinds of personalities we demanded for our team. Let’s not confuse the issue now that people have stars in their eyes over the whole “winning” thing.
by conspirator5 on May 13, 2009 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions
Kevin Durant took summer classes....
and I think he had a decent sophomore year.
It's no more crucuial than any other off season.
Every smart NBA player works to improve his game, his strength and his conditioning, whether it be his second summer or upteenth summer.
Yes, Greg has a lot of work ahead of him. If he only improves in a couple of areas, so be it. Slow and steady for the big guy is fine with me. The difference he made this year was key to Portland winning 54 games. Even a slightly improved Greg Oden should help the Blazers improve on that number next season.
hakkaa päälle !
Don't hurt yourself bending over to look on the bright side, Jake.
“Some degree of credit” “Mere shadow”
Strikes me as pretty harsh under the circumstances. I would break his play down to three areas:
1) REBOUNDS: Oden was exceptional on the boards for a rookie coming back from micro. To be #1 in OR% as a rookie is very impressive. To do it while struggling with rust, conditioning issues, and while coming back from micro is astonishing and deserves accolades.
2) DEFENSE: His defense was a bit disappointing given the huge expectations. Greg needs to work on his footwork and keep his hands up, but that will come. Think back over the season to Greg’s steady stream of fouls, many came as a result of trying to do too much. Greg tries to reach for blocks. He is not going to get the benefit of the doubt on those calls in the NBA. It is obviously a habit, or he would have been able to correct it more easily, but he will figure it out. Greg got no love from the zebras at all. Usually, one or two of his fouls per game were borderline judgement calls. Other players do the same thing and get away with it every day. Greg quickly got a rep, other teams worked at exploiting that rep. Guys would initiate contact and Greg would get the whistle. My guess is that the calls will slowly improve. As Greg becomes a force, and eventually a star, he will get some calls.
3) OFFENSE: This is the part of Greg’s game that will likely take the longest to mature. We are going to be tantalized and frustrated. Greg is going to lay some bricks, travel, and spew turnovers, but we need to give him a steady diet of opportunities. Greg needs two things: reps and confidence. He shows every sign of trying “too hard.” Reps will lead to relaxation. Relaxation will lead to better performance. Better performance will lead to confidence. Confidence will lead to relaxation.
Patience, patience, patience. Big cakes take time to bake. It is possible that Greg will take a big leap this next year; it is also quite possible that he won’t. Even if his improvement is moderate rather than dramatic, it does not mean that his ceiling is any lower, it may just mean that his developmental trajectory is less steep. Big guys often take years to develop, not months.
Jake, I have given you a hard time about your lack of patience with LMA, and I will do the same with GO. Just because they frustrate you doesn’t mean that they are not going to become dominant players. I worry that all this talk about “Greg really needs to work his butt off and come to camp ready to dominate” is setting all of us up for more disappointment. Greg is unlikely to come back a dramatically different player than the guy who cleaned out his locker a couple of weeks ago. He will improve. How much we don’t know. Odds are good that it will be less than we fantasize about. Greg has all the tools to become a dominant big. The only thing that can stop him is injuries or frustration if expectations are too high, and he looses confidence and his passion for the game.
We don’t know how long it will take, but we know Greg is going to be very, very good. If his trajectory is steep, our championship window will open next year. More likely it will take one more year of growth for our guys to be ready to challenge for the very top.
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 8:24 AM PDT up reply actions 17 recs
+1
Greg is great. Love his game. Love his approach. I enjoy being a fan of his and have no problem waiting a few years before he is LCS MVP. I wont even say told ya so when it happens. I hope he relaxes and studies and plays a lot this summer. I hope he comes back in shape, more healed and more comfortable. Everything else will come with time.
Bedge or go home.
+3 You speak with spooned tongue, Kemosabe.
"...the two are sharing a crazy passion that should create some twinkles when they meet each other again on the court." --Blenzer translating Julien translating Nic talking about Noah and KG.
yup.
Footwork and a few fundamentals will do him really well.
"It's better to have a good player with the basketball in late game situations than to have plays." - R. Pitino
"I asked a ref if he could give me a technical foul for thinking bad things about him. He said, of course not. I said, well, I think you stink. And he gave me a technical. You can't trust em."- Jimmy V
Go Blazers!!
Someone forgot
to ACTUALLY rec this otherwise my vote would have turned it green.
Excellent write up Upper Left Corner. I especially liked:
1) REBOUNDS: Oden was exceptional on the boards for a rookie coming back from micro. To be #1 in OR% as a rookie is very impressive. To do it while struggling with rust, conditioning issues, and while coming back from micro is astonishing and deserves accolades.
"Death is not final," Gita says. "If any man thinks that he slays, and if another thinks that he is slain, neither knows the truth. The Eternal in man cannot kill: the Eternal in man cannot die. The soul in man is neither born nor does it die. Weapons cannot cut it; fire cannot burn it; water cannot drown it.
The Bhagavad Gita
I think I was fair
Look at clips of Oden at Ohio State or in that first Summer League. That athlete has yet to suit for the Blazers. Oden has clearly lost a lot of explosiveness. Hopefully he can get it back.
I actually agree with a lot of your points there. Greg was a valuable player for Portland this year and deserves credit as such.
I disagree on one point though— if Greg doesn’t make a big leap next year, it won’t bode well for his chances of being dominant.
I dunno: "that athlete" didn't play against NBA competition
You put the GO of today in a game vs college kids or summer league players, and he’s going to look pretty darn impressive. Has GO’s injury and year off cost him some athleticism? Sure, but he’s still not exactly rooted to the floor. And he’s considerably stronger and more experienced than that youngster whose potential everyone fell in love with.
Those in the know said coming out of Ohio State that GO was raw—even a project. But he had incredible potential, and that hasn’t changed.
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
I'm just talking about jumping ability
Oden’s leaps this past season were nothing like the ones before the surgery.
Leaps wise, he did have some moments
He had some blocks and dunks where he was WAY up there after a flat footed start. It is still there, just not consistently.
To me, that says his conditioning and awkwardness (both caused by a year away from basketball) hold him back, and the leaping ability is still possible.
He got up as high as I’ve ever seen him on a few plays… it’s just they were a few plays, and not every play like before the surgery. But again, I say that is conditioning and lack of body control caused by the year away. The ability is still there within that blessed body.
Mort
I ain't saying it's every time
But he has gotten that high on some plays this season. Just not regularly, like before.
He’s still a very athletic 7 footer, who happens to be out of shape. And awkward. His level of athleticism is still elite after the surgery, and history tells us it’ll improve. IF NOT, he’s still very athletic.
He could show that amazing level of athleticism every time downcourt before the surgery, when he was in good shape. Now, it only showed in glimpses, mostly on select blocks.
It is still there, just not able to be shown consistently for (to me) understandable reasons.
Morty
Nah, I agree with Mort
I kept GO’s summer league games on my DVR to help get me thru the long GO-less season. So I watched the plays in question ad nauseum. The top two spectacular leaps were 1) GO’s ridiculous goal tend at the beginning of his first game; and 2) the play where GO received the ball around the top of the key and proceeded to dunk (btw, that was a travel).
Did GO ever show QUITE that degree of hops during this past season? Perhaps not, but he came close enough on occasion. To me that’s not a real issue. As Mort says, the issue is GO’s need to regain a sufficient level of conditioning post-surgery to be able to leap high and quick on a consistent basis.
He seemed to be starting to get there just before his patellar injury. I expect we’ll see him all the way back at some point next season. Microfracture rehab IS a long, tough road, you know.
But, returning to something I hinted at above: let’s not overromanticize GO’s pre-surgical game. For instance, those dramatic summer league plays I listed consist of a goal-tend and a travel. And he averaged around 8 fouls per game in summer league in limited minutes.
In the case of GO, the best is not in the past: it’s yet to come. Even in college, we only saw the tip of the iceberg.
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
Rec--well-put
Except for the “loosing” confidence part. (Is that when you REALLY lose confidence?) (Or when you let loose your abilty to be confident?)
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
EXPERIENCE
Having played college athletics and many years of recreational sports, I continue to delight in the remarkable value of Experience. It would be a long post if one were to describe the numerous ways in which victory comes to the veteran and his seasoned squad over the much more athletic young challengers. Please BEers, if you have not personally experienced the power of the experienced, the aged even, then consider withholding judgement, and patiently place your hopes in potential.
Greg Oden has the highest potential of anyone his stage. Heart, charachter, touch. The vision and speed will come when he is a senoir, and removed from the major injury he suffered.
The media fervor surrounding this kid makes me cringe. The talking heads lack experience when making disparaging remarks about this gifted and grounded man.
by renaissant on May 13, 2009 1:07 AM PDT reply actions 2 recs
Makes you think that next year will be a little easier for him
with the media’s bright lights not shining on him quite as much. There will be a new draft, a new class of rookies and EVERYONE’S eyes will be on Blake Griffin, not that big ogre of a bust Greg Oden. I think that without that pressure too, Greg will be able to loosen up and enjoy the season a little more. I don’t think it is a coincidence that the gradual return of goofy Greg coincided with his improvement on the court.
Can I get a headband? One for my peeps, one for the fans in the really cheap seats, one for my momma, one for the mayor, and if you wanna get down with the players, YOU GOTTA GET A HEADBAND!
by peseme16 on May 13, 2009 8:03 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Agreed
+1 (I actually rec’d it too!)
"Death is not final," Gita says. "If any man thinks that he slays, and if another thinks that he is slain, neither knows the truth. The Eternal in man cannot kill: the Eternal in man cannot die. The soul in man is neither born nor does it die. Weapons cannot cut it; fire cannot burn it; water cannot drown it.
The Bhagavad Gita
I was fascinated by Oden this year.
Couldn’t keep my eyes off him. Whenever he had to go out of the game I was upset. I am glad he finally saw the court this year even though his minutes were limited. Would be completely content to see Greg do just one thing and that is learn to move his feet, and limit his fouls. Everything else, like offense and rebounding will naturally improve just by him staying on the court. A couple back to the basket moves are gravy and will come all on their own…
Even though this team does need to run more plays for GO next year. I don’t want teams to slack off him because they know he wont be getting the ball. Got to get the big fellow involved more.
Couldn't keep my eyes off of him either
Every time he stepped on the floor something was going to happen. It could be a thunderous dunk or a bricked hook shot from 4 feet away. Either way I had to watch.
Magneto was right
MEMO TO KP-GET BIRDZILLA!
Oden Glimpses
I loved seeing them. I lived for them. I would rewind them and watch them again and again. Knowing that Greg will only improve, the league knows this big fella is a beast with training wheels on right now, they hope the training wheels don’t come off. Because Greg will unleash terror around the rim.
That’s how his moments, which were far more frequent than most may admit, conjure up expectations of the grandiose euphoric nature.
Greg just needs experience, teaching, and opportunities. The most important thing for someone to teach Nate and him is for him to not body penetrators (guards) and go for the block from behind; rather than denying the lane, deny the shot.
"rather than denying the lane, deny the shot"
Well-put
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
Yes absolutely
the two players that drew my eyes like magnets were Oden and Bayless. As this thread is about Oden let me just say I couldn’t keep my eyes off him and was disappointed every time he had to go to the bench even if it was for well deserved rest. I agree with ECFIVESTER that he is a beast on training wheels. And that the league knows this (I mean NBA teams not Sith-lord Stern).
The stat’s boys and those who wanted insta-domination never seem to take into account how other teams would key their offense into taking Oden out of the game as fast as possible. If Przybilla was such a huge upgrade as some around here think why would so many NBA coaching staff’s disagree and work to get Oden on the bench. Were he some kind of liability (other then foul shots produced) then teams would not try and get him on the bench but would instead attack another player.
"Death is not final," Gita says. "If any man thinks that he slays, and if another thinks that he is slain, neither knows the truth. The Eternal in man cannot kill: the Eternal in man cannot die. The soul in man is neither born nor does it die. Weapons cannot cut it; fire cannot burn it; water cannot drown it.
The Bhagavad Gita
Agreed
Bayless and Oden were both eye magnets for me.
You are also right that other teams worked at gettiong GO into foul trouble. Over time the calls will get better.
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions
The only way I can say I'm disapointed is because Jason Quick said........
that Oden would make the all-star team and be rookie of the year. These were the reports coming out of camp but we only saw the reason why someone would make theses claims in glimpses during the season.
I believe that he can be a dominant force. As bad as he was at times he still commanded so much attention and gave the Blazers an impact player. I find myself watching him the whole time he is on the court.
His jump hook looks awkward but he can still get it off when he learns how to get himself free. I imagine him being able to make that with consistency
The sky is the limit for Greg but it will be up to him to determine how high the sky is for him. (oh, and the other players could look to give him the rock more)
OHHHHH Brandon! Do it, do it, do it til your satisfied!!!!!! - Wheels
"We ran the football. We could run it all day long, and again that's what we do." -Mike Bellotti, 65 - 38
While I kept my expectations somewhat reasonable
I fear that I was influenced by Jason Quick’s reports in training camp. He had me thinking Oden was going to be less of a “rookie” than he turned out to be. Oh well.
SOME PEOPLE ARE LIKE SLINKIES. NOT REALLY GOOD FOR ANYTHING BUT THEY BRING A SMILE TO YOUR FACE WHEN PUSHED DOWN THE STAIRS.
Shouldn't your disappointment
lie with Jason Quick’s bad scouting abilities and/or writing abilities? I mean does the media never have any responsibility in anything? We aren’t talking about pure objectivism here clearly Quick’s writing is extremely subjective. I was disappointed for Oden and the team but Quick’s opinion did not influence me other then making me mad at Quick for building Oden up and then promptly tearing him down.
"Death is not final," Gita says. "If any man thinks that he slays, and if another thinks that he is slain, neither knows the truth. The Eternal in man cannot kill: the Eternal in man cannot die. The soul in man is neither born nor does it die. Weapons cannot cut it; fire cannot burn it; water cannot drown it.
The Bhagavad Gita
by Idog1976 on May 13, 2009 3:21 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I guess I was disappointed with both Quick and Oden,,
But your right, I was given major expectations from JQ so he is the reason I so disappointed with Oden at times. JQ also said that Bayless was going to lead the team in dunks this year lol! He must have seen Oden doing great things in training camp to make such bold statements though, which makes me think that the pressure might have got to Greg. I think he just needs some of Brandon and LMA’s swag.
I still feel that Greg could have had a much better rookie year but at the same time I understand why he had the one he did. I remain extremely optimistic for Greg because I’ve witnessed his flashes of brilliance that lead me to believe that he just needs to get his mental game together and become more consistent. Hopefully he can play 32 min/game next year and become a part of the offense.
Hopefully Quick steps his game up too, but unlikely.
OHHHHH Brandon! Do it, do it, do it til your satisfied!!!!!! - Wheels
"We ran the football. We could run it all day long, and again that's what we do." -Mike Bellotti, 65 - 38
But your right, I was given major expectations from JQ so he is the reason I so disappointed with Oden at times
I can’t remember one story where Quick had a unique, insightful, accurate commentary about a player. It’s simply not his specialty.
This is the same guy who voted for Deron Williams over Brandon Roy for All-NBA second team.
Judging players has never been one of Quick’s strengths. I rarely take player judgments seriously from either him or Mike Barrett (who’s always a Blazer cheerleader so he’s partial).
Just a thought to consider when reading Quick’s player evaluations in the future. I’d say to complain to the Oregonian, but they’d probably be thrilled because it means he wrote something that elicited a response from a reader.
Quick is one of the best beat writers out there
follow pretty much any other team’s coverage and it’ll become pretty apparent. his inside the locker room series was fantastic.
Yellow Mamba FTW!
Let's be fair to quick
He said that he was basing all that hype off of people who are around basketball players all the time who said that this kid was going to be special.
it’s not like he just made it up.
Yellow Mamba FTW!
While I would agree that Greg needs to work on his game this offseason (probably more so than anyone else on this team)
he should not be overzealous. If instead of Greg coming off his rookie year with a lot to prove, he was a superstar 4th or 5th year player when he had the microfracture surgery, I suspect that our desire that he go to the gym hard every day this summer would be much diminished. What I am trying to say is that we need to temper our expectations regarding how much Greg pushes himself physically. I would rather he limit his gym activity to conditioning and shooting drills as opposed to strength (he is plenty strong already). I’d rather have a healthy, athletic Greg Oden who maybe still hasn’t worked on post game as opposed to the 2nd coming of Olajuwon who is stuck on the bench with another injury or due to a setback in his recovery.
To be totally honest, Dave, I am salivating for next season. I know the buildup about his offseason training will rise to epic proportions, hyping up the start of the 09-10 season. It seems like both nationally and locally, the major storylines of the blazers have shifted away from being Oden-centric. We still devote a lot of time and energy discussing this guy, but it wasn’t as crazy as it was at the beginning of last year, so I guess he got his wish. I can’t wait to find out if he takes the league by storm next year, like he was expected to do ever since he was drafted.
"B-Roy is the best shooting guard I have played against"
-Ron Artest
If Artest can say it, so can I. Broy>Kobe.
9 and 7 is fine with me 1 year after microfracture
I think a slightly slimmed down with 90-95% of his old explosiveness is going to be a sight next year. I think the combination of the two things I listed, plus basketball continuity over the summer will alleviate most of Greg’s problems, namely, foul rate, basketball endurance, general awkwardness and rust. He’s still going to be raw on the offensive end, but he’ll be our legitimate starting center next season.
I think 12, 10, 1.5 is the baseline for next season. I think he’ll struggle a little bit early as he gets (re)used to playing against full sized NBA guys after the summer of just training, but I don’t think it’ll take long before we think it’s odd when Greg gets in foul trouble and isn’t putting up a double double.
"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"
12/10/1.5 in 25 minutes a game would be plenty good for a second year center.
Especially considering that he will still be the teams 3rd scoring option at best.
See, the rest of the world seems to think that Oden is a bust if he doesn’t go 25/15/3 a game in a couple of years. We need to be smart enough to realize that at the pace we play, and with Roy and LMA, Oden isn’t ever going to avergage 25 a game. I’d be fine with 17-18/12-13/2-3 with a very high FG percentage. If he can average these numbers in 2 years we’ll be fine.
yay
"There are a few teams you have to watch out for in the fourth quarter."
"Yeah, but Portland definitely is not one of them."
-New Orleans Hornets broadcasters at the end of the third quarter with the Hornets leading 74-59. Portland later ends up winning 97-89.
"They don't mind him shooting that shot at all. Rudy Fernandez is not that great of a 3pt shooter."
-New Orleans Hornets broadcasters right after a Rudy Fernandez missed 3pter. Rudy Fernandez finished the game with three 3pters on six attempts.
GO had a good rookie season, and he's certain to improve (barring injury)
I remain mystified that even some folks who should know better (like Charles Barkley) can’t see what this guy is going to turn into. He’s a 21-year-old monster-in-the-making. All the ingredients are there. All GO needs is time and training.
Having said all that, I DO hope that GO takes full advantage of this off-season to work on his game and his conditioning. Going home for awhile seems the right move to clear his head and recharge his batteries. But I hope GO doesn’t linger back in Ohio.
BTW, I agree with the Courtside guys that Steve Johnson might be an ideal guy to work with GO. He certainly impressed me during the recent Blazers broadcast when he demonstrated post moves to Michael Holton. Johnson lives locally, and as a player he was strong in the areas GO needs work. Plus he seems to have a compatible temperment. (By contrast, Alonzo Mourning—another potential coach who’s been mentioned—seems to me to be too intense to gel with GO.)
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
Greg Oden, the next Robert Parish (or someone of that second tier of superstars)
The only other rookie with more than 500 points, 400 rebounds, and 65 blocks in under 1400 minutes played. Since 1946. And he ended up in the HOF, 4x NBA champion, 9x NBA All-Star.
And Parish also had initial foul problems that he got under control: Starting out with 5.8 per 36 minutes, he slowly got that down (5.3, 4.5, 4.2, 4.9, 3.3, and then it hovered around 3 for the rest of his long career) while playing more and more minutes. It’s disappointing that Greg had this problem keeping him from getting more playing time, but that is entirely fixable with speed coming back and awareness improving (that year observing the game from the sidelines didn’t amount to much, huh).
Parish started 2 years later in his career, so he won’t show up in Kevin Pelton’s similarity scores yet, but I’m convinced the two are pretty similar. There could turn out to be better comparisons, maybe Greg will be more similar to a Patrick Ewing eventually. But there is no way around this: This man will be special. And he needs to be, as KP1 said. He is the guy that can lead the Blazers from a 50+ win team to the next level especially when it goes hard in the playoffs and you need to get easy baskets inside.
The elephant in the room: We need to get a Greg back in the fall who burns to play competitive basketball. Who has fun on and off the court. That for me is a bigger unknown than any injury concerns regarding his knees. I hope an injury-free offseason can help him to get his mojo back and focus him on the things to come with a positive outlook.
"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle
by Norsktroll on May 13, 2009 6:04 AM PDT reply actions 5 recs
+1
One thing about Greg’s foul problems: he needs to
a) NOT hip-check driving guards (you really think the ref’s not going to see that?)
b) NOT bring his hands down on defense (as Mike Rice has repeated over and over) — go up and swat that shot at the top, not when it’s still in the guy’s hands.
Otherwise, I really like him, and I think he is on the way to getting his “mojo” back as Norsk said above.
"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach
Yao and Shaq are constantly butt checking
an the refs don’t usually call it although they see it well enough. That’s just superstar refereeing. What bugs me is the offensive fouls they call when a little guard or DF is on him. Tht’s “bad” officiating.
There's that too
But really, Greg could help his cause a lot.
"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach
I usually agree with you, Norsktroll
But I grew up in the Bay Area and watched Parish at the beginning of his career (with the Warriors). And I don’t think this is a strong comparison. Parish was skinny, not muscular, and offensively he was a jumpshooter.
Even Ewing, while physically similar to Greg, isn’t a great comparison (beyond the stats) because Ewing fell in love with that long, fade-away baseline jump shot. He could hit it, but what a waste of a great defender & rebounder.
One thing I agree with you about, though. Like Parish, GO will get over his early foul problems. He’ll also get called less for travelling. However, it’s important to note that Parish only stopped getting called for travelling and borderline fouls the day he got traded to the Boston Celtics. Funny how that worked. His game didn’t change one iota: just the way he got treated by the zebras.
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
And all this time I chalked-up the Parish trade
to Golden State management having their heads up their butts as usual.
Well, there was that too.
The killer was that the Warriors also gave up the pick that became Kevin McHale. I’m too lazy to look it up, but as I recall, the deal ended up being Parish & McHale for Joe “Barely Cares” Carroll.
Deal of the century—until the Warriors picked Chris Washburn at #3, that is. Or when they fell all over themselves to get Michael Ray Richardson (“the next Magic Johnson”).
Heads up their butts? That may be too kind.
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
The problem with GO is there will be a need to keep a second center around that can start for extended time.
I don’t think Greg is ever going to be a 78 games a year guy. He just doesn’t have the health to do it. He can be a great asset at 30 minutes a game, but never a 40 minute guy.
The question I think is his contract. When his rookie deal expires how much will he cost? If it is low enough I can see Greg being a valuable piece, if it’s too high he’s going to be that guy that kills you when he is hurt.
He needs to work on mobility and defensive awareness, he’s not a sick athlete he’s going to have to make the best of what he’s got. Other than that if he can rebound and dunk the ball he is a good center. I like P-zilla for his rebounding and defense, but he would kill to dunk as much as Oden.
Sure he can score goals, but can he cook?
Not a sick Athlete???
Greg had phenominal abilities at his pre-draft workouts. He was even faster than “Durant.” That’s with Greg being 7’ and over 270lbs and he’s outrunning a 6’9" twig who may weigh 210 wet.
Greg can jump. Incase you missed some of those amazing blocks where he would display his ability to sky and swat someone’s prayer into the bleachers.
Kevin Pritchard raves about Greg’s athleticism. Greg was just coming off micro-facture surgey, rookie seaon, after not playing an entire year of basketball.
I wouldn’t even put money that Joel can even perform a drop-step close to the quickness Greg does, much less has anywhere near a post-move to use besides lay-ups and dunks. Which isn’t saying much for Joel considering he’s been in the league for 6 years. So he pretty much is what he is, and he’s not ever going to have one or be an offensive prescence someone needs to account for, like Greg already is.
Oden WAS a great athlete.
The player on the floor for the Blazers wasn’t all that athletic. There’s still hope Oden can regain that freakish athleticism, but who knows?
I think that's exactly what's holding him back
don’t get me wrong, I love Przybilla, and he’s been huge for us, but it was pretty tiring to keep seeing the coaching staff obviously telling Greg, “Just go play, and don’t worry about fouls, we’re still okay if you’re in foul trouble because we have Joel”, so there was such a huge safety net that Greg didn’t need to try to avoid fouls.
I understand the idea of wanting him to play hard, but what Oden needed more than anything this year was court time, and that was severely hampered because no one really thought much of it if he got in foul trouble. If there was a more of a tangible detriment to the team from Oden being in foul trouble, then I think both him and the coaches would have worked harder to keep him out of it, which could have prevented a lot of these stupid “bust” labels from the media.
Greg NEEDS to be a 35 mpg guy. I like Joel, but Greg gives us so much more offensively that we need his presence in there for that extra time. As we saw with Houston, our jump shooting offense isn’t exactly immune to getting completely shut down. I know people like to say that Houston was a top defensive team, but to win a title, we’re going to have to beat those teams, and it probably would have been at least as ugly if we would have played any of the top three east teams as well.
Simply put, when we’re trotting out a starting line up with three guys who are completely unable to generate any offense on their own, unless one of the other two is Tim Duncan, it’s not going to work. Greg is going to need to start, and both him and the coaches are going to have to keep him out of fouling positions for us to succeed long term.
Joel outplayed him
No point in punishing Joel because Greg needs more court time. Joel has earned those minutes. It’s not like Joel got any favors when he was a rookie.
"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach
It's not about favors
it’s about whether or not we win a ring. Joel cannot and will not take us to the the Championship. Indeed the best hope this team has of raising the Larry O’Brien trophy is if Oden lives up to expectations. If he is not in foul trouble he MUST play a majority of the minutes at the 5 as his development is the absolute cornerstone of this team. Fatty can rant about Roy being the Franchise and I don’t disagree, however, Roy alone will not win us a ring anymore then Oden alone will. They both together much reach their respective ceilings for us to win a ring. Przybilla is a wonderful guy and a great back up but he CANNOT be our starter next year if we want to succeed in the long run.
"Death is not final," Gita says. "If any man thinks that he slays, and if another thinks that he is slain, neither knows the truth. The Eternal in man cannot kill: the Eternal in man cannot die. The soul in man is neither born nor does it die. Weapons cannot cut it; fire cannot burn it; water cannot drown it.
The Bhagavad Gita
I respectfully disagree
I think Przy could be. It’s not like he was the reason this team didn’t win 60 games, nor was he the reason this team struggled against the Rockets. He could easily start for a championship team with the right pieces around him.
With that said, I’d rather that Greg improves and earns the job, because he has the potential to not just be a piece of the puzzle but to be a game-changer.
"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach
by jamon51 on May 17, 2009 1:05 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Expectations
were rediculous on Oden this season. I think the manchild handled his debut quite well. The refs treated him like a rookie, the team babied him with every little bump and bruise he got. Greg should be featured alot more in the future, it was good to see him play within the team concept, and those glimpses of what he will become.
I try to help with everything," Fernandez said. "If the coach says go rebound, I go rebound. I work for the team.
""If I'm playing this game to get media and attention, I shouldn't be here," Aldridge said. "I'm here to play basketball, and do what I can do to help this team win."
His stare became blank. It was apparent he was back in that place, on the Rose Garden's logo, picking up Aaron Brooks as the crowd nervously roared.
If ...
Greg is not featured more then Portland doesn’t deserve to keep him or develop him and Nate is constructing the biggest blunder of his coaching career.
I think Greg had an OK year
What most peolple are responding to is his ungraceful form of play without only a minute flash here and there. Yes, yes and yes on all the injury, rookie, blah, blah reasons stuff, but in the end he didn’t “look” good out there, even though his numbers were serviceable. It’s hard to imagine the improvement everyone seems to think is inevitable without an improvement of how they “look” on the floor.
All i know is if you have the best offensive rebounding center in the league
and you play the slowest paced offense in the league, and shoot a ton o’ jumpshots, you might want to hold on to him.
Must... ...not... ...like... ...the... ...Nuggets....
(Reposted from junk drawer a few days ago)
When Greg played 24+ minutes this season, he averaged 13.2 and 10.1. When that number is upped to 30+, the averages were 16.7 and 11.8.
It’s pretty obvious that Greg was 15 pounds overweight, had none of his OSU athleticism, and lacked a reliable semblance of a post move…. Still, when he wasn’t in foul trouble, he was a very, very good center.
Look at other centers in their rookie years. Przybilla was a complete and utter bust in his first few years, only finding redemption in Portland after his rookie contract.
Greg’s numbers were fine. I want him to develop a rudimentary post game, regain athleticism, and trim down. It’ll help his longevity.
draft rodrigue beaubois
by Cablinasian on May 13, 2009 7:50 AM PDT reply actions 7 recs
Spot on
this should be green. Succinct and exactly right.
"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach
Greg will have a great year next year
The bottom line is when he played the Blazers were a different and more formidable team. All the team needed was for him to play more.
So much of perception is based on preconceptions. We expected an amazing, polished player when he was drafted, not a rusty youngster coming off injury. Many of the comments about Oden are based on those expectations.
Let’s bear in mind that we Blazer fans have little experience on how to be a fan of a #1 draft pick.
Those things Oden needs to physically work on are well documented and real. Still, a large part of the discussion this last year has been on his mental state and how he needs to relax, get comfortable, just play his game, be Gregarious Greg again. It’s for that reason I have no concerns about him going back to school this summer. Being the #1 pick he’s in a unique position and needs to do unique things to get his mind right, let the past year’s play stew and mentally replay them away from the glare of the fanbase.
He’ll get his mind-work and his physical work in and come back very strong next year.
Spanish Main: The point of departure for enormous wealth in the form of gold, silver, gems, spices, hardwoods, hides, alley-oops, assists and three pointers.
Continued patience is advised
I agree with most of your points. Greg’s presence was a huge bonus for the team. In some ways, I think the team will only go as far as fast as Greg develops.
Having said that, I also believe that expectations need to be realistic. The expectations this year were not. The media was crazy, the fans were crazy, and it all seemed to weigh heavily on Greg. I agree that a mental health break is in order for the young man. I hope Greg has some fun this summer and a chance to process all that occurred this last season. Hopefully his competitive spirit and determination will rise to the surface over the summer.
I take heart knowing that his buddy, Mike Conley struggled a bit as a rookie and then found his footing last season under Hollins. Hopefully, Greg sees that experience and takes heart from it. As long as Greg does not get discouraged, every thing will be fine.
As fans, I think we need to continue to have realistic expectations. All of the talk about “Greg needs to work his butt off this summer” has me a bit concerned that over-inflated expectations will rise again. Greg will improve. How much we don’t know, but even if his improvement is moderate rather than dramatic, it does not mean that he will not eventually become dominant. It just may take more time. The biggest danger is for Greg to get discouraged and loss confidence in his own potential. Realistic expectations and a lot of patience are advised.
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 8:49 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
My hope for Greg and this team
Obviously, like the rest of us, I hope he works on his footwork. In the post, he looks off balance 77% of the time.
But really, I hope we don’t rely on dumping it into the post and watching Greg play, it’s just not his game, never has been. The team needs to work on ways to throw lobs to Greg, get the ball to him on the P n’ R and watch for him as he cuts across the lane. We can’t continue to plop him on the block and watch him throw up that off balance jump hook.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
I disagree. He has the potential of being the number one offensive option on a team but it won't happen
under Blazers. How is he going to improve offensively if he doesn’t get any touches in the post? Even if he’s not the number one option on the team he needs to develop his post game and the players should quit ignoring when he establishes post position. Of course he’s going to throw a brick here and there but that’s how you learn, through repetition.
Nate called it early in the season
Slow down on the bulk-up! There is a reason that NBA players don’t use steroids,( not saying that he did ) but his body changed, he slowed down and lost a great deal of quickness, which was a big part of the foul problem. The switches on defence that left him at the top of the key covering a gaurd were hard to watch. I’m not sure if that was on Nate, but that was a foul every time.
2-4 the who
The bigger part of Oden's foul trouble was him trying to play D with his hands
and not his feet.
Watch what Joel does, he backs up into the lane, arms high in the air and doesn’t go for the block until the driver releases the shot. Even if he doesn’t get it, he still alters the shot making it much tougher.
And, like someone already pointed out, for Przy’s first few years he was considered a bust, then he arrived in Portland and got tutored by Theo Ratliff and Mo. End result? One of the best defensive pivots in the game.
I know less than half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve.
by haildablazer on May 13, 2009 9:02 AM PDT up reply actions
The reason you think NBA players don't use steroids
is that the NBA’s testing policy is a joke. Steroids can be used to get more cut up… they are not always used for bulking up.
You might want to watch some of the Orlando
series if you think Steroids aren’t in the NBA or watch LeBron move that kind of mass with that kind of speed. Just for comparison sake put in some mid 1980’s or earlier basketball film. I am absolutely without reservation certain that Steroids are commonly used in the NBA along with Growth Hormone and the other similar substances. To think anything else means you didn’t watch the game in the 1980’s
"Death is not final," Gita says. "If any man thinks that he slays, and if another thinks that he is slain, neither knows the truth. The Eternal in man cannot kill: the Eternal in man cannot die. The soul in man is neither born nor does it die. Weapons cannot cut it; fire cannot burn it; water cannot drown it.
The Bhagavad Gita
Or, you could just realize that the amount of athletic training and physical fitness
Has increased by like 1,000 since the 1980s.
That Steve Nash is exactly the same as Kirk Hinrich, but worse.
by NBA Observer on Apr 8, 2009 12:23 PM CDT
by Ozzie Montana on May 13, 2009 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions
Nah--that's what was said about baseball players before the truth came out
I’m not certain that LeBron, Dwight Howard, Cory Magette, and all the other physical specimens inhabiting the NBA these days are artificially enhanced. But it’s naive to discount the possibility.
If I had to place a bet, I’d say the NBA is NOT immune to what’s been happening in other sports for the past decade. I wish the league would institute a serious testing program. But that would require a commissioner with integrity.
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
Congrats for having the "huevos" to say that the emporer has no clothing.
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 7:27 PM PDT up reply actions
Seriously: when have you seen physiques like these before?
Outside of comic books and pro wrestling rings, that is?
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
It's easy to get clean if you know when you are tested - and there are little training/off-season tests in the NBA
I know how it works in track and field and other endurance sports. A hundred times stricter procedures, and they still catch people (last winter two famous Russian biathletes). I know the NFL does nothing to find PEDs (just urine tests in a lab that is not independent and only a few games suspension if caught, that is so 1980s). The NBA does little more. And once the MLB started looking it got ugly. I would have to agree with Idog, it’s the next scandal waiting to happen as soon as someone looks.
"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle
I don't know why they just don't let everyone take them
Just regulate it. Sports are better when everyone is pumped up on drugs, including the audience.
I would certainly be interested in his well educated opinion
But it might not be ethical for him to comment
by southern oregon on May 13, 2009 4:25 PM PDT up reply actions
Its obvious that Shav has been doing juice
But the vegetable kind is good for you
by southern oregon on May 13, 2009 7:08 PM PDT up reply actions
my take on steroids in general? Or GO's bulk and it's effect on his quickness?
I’d be kinda surprised if steroids were absent – - they seem to be everywhere in athletics where micro-scrutiny isn’t utilized…LeBron’s body changes over the years are …interesting..I posted some before and after pictures on here duringg the season that were …interesting…facial features looked different….head size …eyebrow ridges…proper testing procedures would eliminate speculation like this – - and eliminate some of the temptation for the guys to use too..
elite athletes generally have high testosterone levels to begin with…as well as high muscle density, low body fat, above average response to training, super high “drive” and work ethic…so we may just be witnessing the response to that…BUT..wouldn’t it follow that if they were NOT present, the plyers assoc and the league would happi;ly agree to test like crazy? Just to shine a bright light on their clean sport? …
As for GO, I never really watched him B4 this season so I don’t know how much extra muscle he was carrying vs the past and if that was a detriment to his quickness or his vertical…most often in Bball too much added bulk has its biggest effect on flexbility and fluidity and messes up jumpshots – - it can limit the ability for someone to get their arms straight up over ther heads…
as for Greg & Steroids he seems way too smart for anything like that
""Look. I can touch the rim on my tippy toes.. " – Greg Oden
by LetsBlaze on May 13, 2009 8:20 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Thanks for responding. The reason I've heard as to why NBA players
supposedly don’t use steroids is that they don’t want to bulk-up, they need quickness. Well, more strength means more quickness, right? More strength helps you drive the lane, hold position, jump higher, etc. I don’t see why steroids would not be awfully tempting to NBA athletes.
That being said, one of the strongest, most chiseled guys I ever knew was a friend who simply had that body type. He never worked-out or anything, his body just became that way as a teen. His (fraternal) twin brother wasn’t like that.
That was the myth in track, also
It was assumed that bulky muscles would cost you quickness and flexibility. Then Ben Johnson came along and shattered that belief. He lost no flexibilty with the bulk that steroids gave him, and he GAINED quickness. As you may recall, his main improvement was in his start: post-steroids he was able to jump out of the blocks and attain top speed within a couple of seconds.
In baseball, too, it was once believed that adding muscle was a mistake. Weight lifting would slow you down by causing you to become muscle-bound, or so the received wisdom went. Of course, the past 15 or so years has shown how wrong that thinking was.
In fact, I recall reading that the whole concept of “muscle-boundedness” is a myth. I may have this part wrong, but I believe the story is that Charles Atlas invented the concept to sell his “dynamic tension” training method (he claimed to have gotten his physique by using resistance bands, not free weights).
In any case, the unfortunate fact is that bulky muscles—within reason—don’t necessarily reduce range of motion at all. Not as long as the athlete does his stretching. And strength can enhance, not reduce, quickness.
"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla
It's easier to close your eyes
and pretend it doesn’t happen.
He didn't quite meet my expectation
which surprised me a little because I’m often pessimistic. But his results weren’t super far off from my predictions. He fouled more often than I thought he would. But overall, I was ecstatic about how well the team did when Greg was able to play significant minutes. The Oden affect was pretty hard to deny and bodes well for the future.
SOME PEOPLE ARE LIKE SLINKIES. NOT REALLY GOOD FOR ANYTHING BUT THEY BRING A SMILE TO YOUR FACE WHEN PUSHED DOWN THE STAIRS.
Talented, and explosive (I feel), whose strength causes fear in opposing centers.
But Greg’s passion for the game has always been suspect to me and he’s done nothing so far to allay my fears.
He needs to do what it takes this off season to finally get in cardio-vascular shape. It’s obvious he likes to build up his muscles but he needs to do more than that.
Work hard this summer Greg. We need you in full body and mind to help lead our team to the promised land …. our second championship.
Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave
Also: COMCAST SUCKS!
That is a big question mark as I also noted
I hope an injury-free summer, time away from the media scrutiny, realizing that he had a good first year and can only get better if he works on his strengths and weaknesses will give him his positive energy back that he had even when rehabbing from his surgery.
"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle
Patience
We want him to lead us to the promise land, but it may take time.
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions
I was disappointed
like it was said above, I think J Quick really inflated what I should of expected. Also, the hype, first-pick status, the longing for him to play after his absence last year were part of it too.
I kept going back and forth on this. I really wanted him to succeed. People who just say anyone who wasn’t pleased with Oden this year is just a hater really kill me, because I wanted it just as bad as anyone else.
If I had to lean one way or another, I’d say that while I was hoping for dominance and really was disappointed in that category, it was a successful season. I wouldn’t have said that if it wasn’t for those charts that were posted on BE after we lost to the Rockets that showed how positively GO affected this team. I can’t wait for next year.
Yellow Mamba FTW!
With all due respect,,,,,
……I think your expectations were unrealistic. You expected dominance from a 20/21 year old with a year of rust, micro recovery, conditioning issues, zebra problems, and a world of pressure? Big men are rarely dominant in year one.
If you are disappointed, I would suggest that your disappointment should be directed at yourself for getting sucked into all the media hype.
Greg was dominant on the boards that is phase one. It will happen. Be patient
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 7:36 PM PDT up reply actions
please
greg oden was heralded as the next dominant big man. a ‘once in a decade’ player. he clearly wasn’t that. I’m not prepared to say that having a high offensive rebounding % is enough to say that the season was exactly what I was looking for, and I bet it wasn’t what others were expecting either.
Now, the ORB% gives me hope, and I still believe he’s going to be a great contributor to the team, but I don’t think that you can say he gave us a #1 pick like performance. Was he in the conversation for rookie of the year?
Yellow Mamba FTW!
Correction he certainly isn't that, yet.
Howard is just now becoming really dominant. Oden’s PER was higher than Dwight’s first or second yeat.
by upper left corner on May 14, 2009 11:54 PM PDT up reply actions
As an Odenfanboy, I expect him to average a quadruple double next year
I think it’s reasonable to expect 25 points, 20 rebounds, 15 assists, and 10 blocks a night. One thing I’m really proud of Oden this year, is that he did not foul out of many games if any.
One thing I don’t get is how Dave said Oden’s rebounding rate is better than Joel’s and Howard’s but their number is higher than Oden’s.
Be Realistic
No way Oden averages more than 13 assists and 17 rebounds.
His offensive rebounding rate was better, his defensive is not decreasing the total to 20% which still puts him in elite company
With more minutes on the floor, his rebounding totals should go up accordingly.
"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle
odenlemming
Brandon Roy: Strengths-remarkably efficient player who appears to effortlessly score and facilitate. Weakness-he’s just a figment of your imagination. - Canis Hoopus
I think Greg will be much better next year, for all the reasons mentioned by other posters already,
but he would have fouled out of every game he played if Nate let him play with 5 fouls. Coach rarely did that.
I like the whole team.
by RenoBlazerFan on May 13, 2009 9:12 AM PDT up reply actions
Too bad you can't get 10 fouls.
what’s the word for a 5xdouble?
Cinco-duble?
"It's better to have a good player with the basketball in late game situations than to have plays." - R. Pitino
"I asked a ref if he could give me a technical foul for thinking bad things about him. He said, of course not. I said, well, I think you stink. And he gave me a technical. You can't trust em."- Jimmy V
Go Blazers!!
by DaNoose on May 13, 2009 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Quintuple-double.
Of all the things that can be expressed in the printed word – love, hate, fear, joy – true humor is the one that is the most difficult of all. Sarcasm, for example, is an art of delicate subtlety. Yet too many people wield it as a bulldozer – loud, smelly, ugly, and destructive – and think they are being funny.
Made me smile
Definitely caught your sarcasm this time, Tom.
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions
Easy on the Molakai Express !
Think Triple-Double . . . He’ll never average more that 7-8 assists.
It’s GO TIME !!! GO BLAZERS !!!
It's GO time !
A quick count was 22 games with 5 or 6 fouls of 61 played
Coach generally left him on the bench with 5 so it is the same thing. Then add every playoff game (he was in trouble early in all of them and only stayed under 5 on the two blowouts) and he did disappoint in this area.
However I am not a Greg basher. This will get better.
"What's so interesting is that this team took on a dynamic that was very special. I don't think we as a group, in terms of management, coaches and players, realize what we did as a young team. We broke all the metrics. We broke all the molds. Our challenge is can we continue to do that. As young of a team with 54 wins, no issues off the court, phenomenal chemistry." - Kevin Pritchard
by lee3022 on May 13, 2009 9:38 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Excited Overall
I was only disappointed that he couldn’t/wouldn’t stop fouling guards on switches…JUST GIVE UP THE JUMPER AND CONTEST!!!
But other than that I was happy. If/when he gets the fouling under control it will become VERY obvious as there will be a 10 game stretch where he gets 5+ blocks from teams continuing to attack him for the foul. After that you’ll see a decrease, he’ll be like a shut-down corner stopping points in the paint from even being attempted!
I have also never seen such a physically dominant rebounder, a guy who has size + length + desire. He would own half the paint boxing out 2 men, but be too tired to sprint down court. He really could be something special, and to some extent already is.
I think too much gets made about his offense. I doubt he will ever be a technically sound scorer like Yao, and I’m not sure the shots will be there for him. Just look for him in the pick and roll and lob passes over a cheating defense and I’m happy. It would be great to see post moves start to develop, but I think getting his FT% up is more important to the team right now. Just let Aldridge and Roy carry the load with the occasional Rudy and Blake point explosion.
"I don’t have the first clue who he is talking about, because all I worry about is Jerome." – Jerome James, on comments by coach Nate McMillan about Seattle SuperSonics players being selfish.
Toughen up those hands!
Oden really needs to work on ball security. His terribly weak grip for a big man led to a lot of fumbles and turnovers.
I felt like he got that problem better under control as the season progressed
Initially he brought the ball down way too much and didn’t hold onto it, allowing even tiny guards to slap it out of his big hands. That still happened at the end, but more rarely.
Greg had a TOV% of 16.2 this season (turnovers per 100 possessions). That’s not bad at all. Joel has a higher one at 18.5, Yao Ming has 16, Dwight Howard 15.1. And point guards of course usually have much higher ones. Sergio has 24.7, Kidd 21.8, Nash 20.8, Bayless 19.8
http://www.basketball-reference.com/fc/tiny.cgi?id=cGW3K
"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle
Things Oden and the team need to work on this offseason
Oden:
Conditioning… Not gonna lie, I was excited when Oden spent his year off lifting weights the entire time, but it looks like Oden might be better off playing with a smaller frame. He looks better at 275lbs than at 295lbs and certainly better than the 315lbs that he was at in Training Camp.
Lateral Quickness: Everyone knows that Greg had a problem reacting late on dribble penetration which caused him to rack up a lot of blocking fouls. He does need to work on his defensive positioning so that those blocking fouls become charges.
Post Moves: This isn’t necessary for next season, but if Oden is to become the players that we hope for him to be, he needs to work on his post moves and touch around the rim.
The Team:
Perimeter Defense:
While Oden is slow getting into position, a lot of his blocking fouls could be avoided if guards played solid defense on the perimeter. So many times our PG’s could fight through picks leaving Oden defending an opposing PG 22’ from the basket. We need perimeter players to step up their defense to limit the times Oden is defending guards.
Use Oden in the PNR:
I understand that Oden is young and it is important to develop a post game, but it is also important to develop confidence. The team fed Oden the ball in the post despite Oden never really being a back to the basket guy. It is no wonder that he was called for several travels and had problems getting stripped.
Oden is an athletic freak. We should use him like Orlando uses Howard. Throw the ball up near the rim and let the big man go get it and throw it down! Oden looks much better when he gets the ball rolling to the basket as opposed to when he is established on the block. At his size, few people will try drawing fouls when Oden is chugging down the lane with a full head of steam.
Where do your weight numbers come from?
Is this just your conjecture or did you actually read these numbers some where. Greg was listed at 285#, I don’t recall anything about 315#.
by upper left corner on May 13, 2009 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions
when he first came into camp
Quick said on one of the chats that he was a good amount over 300.
draft rodrigue beaubois
by Cablinasian on May 13, 2009 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions
at least that's what I remember
but it was six months ago, so I dunno.
draft rodrigue beaubois
by Cablinasian on May 13, 2009 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions
well for all you odenfanboys out there
1 guy said if they don’t start giving him the ball down low,hey it’s too late for that now.roy is now the go to superstar.and aldridge is seriously figuring out his inside outside game.seriously for oden sake,if he really wants to be featured in this offense.then he seriously better go to a gym,and get some serious coaching.with rudy poving he can score and he’ll only get better on offense.where are oden touches going to come from.also you know pricthard is going to get roy&aldridge some help via draft or trade.so my point is either oden comes to training camp ready to roll,or he’ll be a non factor on offense because the blazers young core offensively is a year better.and folks especially odenfanboy roy&aldridge are becoming monsters to deal with.oden better come ready from day 1 of training camp.because roy and rudy are determined to become champions next season.unlike 95% of you guys in this chatroom.roy and the boys don’t have anytime to wait for potential.
Seriously?
Just Kidding… always good to hear from you, fatty.
by Salem Stephen on May 13, 2009 9:26 AM PDT up reply actions
Thanks for your guest comment. Here is mine: He is Aaron Gray cubed and Joakim Noah squared
Hey guess what, I would prefer the draft combo of Kevin Durant + Brook Lopez over the combo of Greg Oden + Jerryd Bayless at the moment. Hindsight is cheap. But the rest of the league is kidding themselves if they think the latter two players can’t help this team achieve great things. And I would wager most GM’s unlike most fans know that exactly and would like to have Oden, plus would also have taken Oden first if given the opportunity. Durant scores more and could have the better career. So be it. I look forward to Kirk Hinrich lobbing alley-oops to Sam Bowie Jr.
"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle
are you really that confident we'll end up with Hinrich?
draft rodrigue beaubois
by Cablinasian on May 13, 2009 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions
That is predictible
and don’t forget those behind-the-back passes we’ll get from Rubio and those forearm shivers Ron Artest will provide. All your dreams come true.
Now that's a new one.
I broke my knee slapping it so hard.
by tominhawaii on May 13, 2009 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions
Ouch
Maybe GO could give you the number of his microfracture surgeon
by We-B-Dunkin on May 13, 2009 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions
You'll never be the same after that, TiH
But expectations will still be just as high. Good luck.
"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach
Nice responses so far
I like the humor, not getting angry and not taking the comment too seriously. It shows that it’s not worth much and thus not worth getting worked up about. Well played.
—Dave
Yeah good responses.
Its all in good fun. (Maybe the 3rd time around Portland will get it right.)
Well Played
You jet or current especially of water, directed against a part or into a cavity of the body – bag.
Slamin Sammy Olden !!!
Why not get the whole thing out ! Perhaps he’ll only
end up with a broken tibia, not the shattered type !!
It's GO time !
I like this.
10-20 and 3+ blocks per game. I think if he focuses on the 20 rebs, that 10pts will increase on it’s own through put backs and mini breaks.
"It's better to have a good player with the basketball in late game situations than to have plays." - R. Pitino
"I asked a ref if he could give me a technical foul for thinking bad things about him. He said, of course not. I said, well, I think you stink. And he gave me a technical. You can't trust em."- Jimmy V
Go Blazers!!
mini breaks...
micro fracture.
The cowards never started
The weak died along the way
Only the strong survived
They were the Trailblazers
oooh bad choice of words on my part.
"It's better to have a good player with the basketball in late game situations than to have plays." - R. Pitino
"I asked a ref if he could give me a technical foul for thinking bad things about him. He said, of course not. I said, well, I think you stink. And he gave me a technical. You can't trust em."- Jimmy V
Go Blazers!!
This has been my constant refrain . . .
since Day # 1. We don’t need more shot -needers. As most of you
remember, in 07-08 the Blazers were near the bottom of the NBA in
rebounding. Look at the difference in 08-09. Greg will only get better
with experience, minutes and time. I expect with better awareness, team
defensive work and practice, the stupid fouls will drop and his minutes will increase
to 27 -30. We need him to dominate the boards, set BIG picks (& roll)
hit a few jump hooks/up & under (after the fake hook) and intimidate in
the middle. I’m sure he’ll still struggle from time to time with foul trouble,
but that’s how the two headed monster is designed to work. How many teams
would love to have Joel as their “other” center.
I’m realistic, but temper my realism with knowledge of player potential, years
as a player & coach and a lifetime of Blazermaniacal devotion. Additional proof –
55-27 preseason prediction.Just be patient, young grasshoppers, it will happen *.
- Stay healthy GO.
It's GO time !
Maybee
he would be able to keep his arms up if he slimmed those bad boys down a little, sheesh. I think dropping a few pounds would work wonders for his foot work and overall stamina along with his explosiveness which seemed to become an issue later in the season when he sarted getting rejected by the rim. If he could get that mobility and explosiveness back without dropping the weight I would probably break my neck trying to do a backflip or somthing stupid out of pure happyness.
We gon to win de playoffs! -Rudy
by Steve Guttenberg on May 13, 2009 10:56 AM PDT reply actions
Edit
happiness.
We gon to win de playoffs! -Rudy
by Steve Guttenberg on May 13, 2009 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions
hopefully, now that he isn't a rookie
Oden won’t be bent over by the refs anymore
Best of Senator Clay Davis: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TI4-QyAzY64&feature=related
I expected WAAAAAY to much.
but am plesently suprised I’m not furious about not getting what I expected.
He’ll be fine. It’ll just take some time.
The Faith don't panic, the faith freaks out burns out farms and torchs small villages in the name of The Faith.
How much did Greg improve over the season?
I didn’t really get to watch any games this year, so fill me in
Yellow Mamba FTW!
without looking at stats (I'll do that in a second to see if they agree)...
it seemed to me like he made some significant strides from the early season to the all-star break— right around the break, he was getting double doubles on a fairly regular basis. After the injury against Golden State knocked him out for another 10+ games though, he never really got back to getting double-doubles—partly because Joel was playing so well, but partly because Greg never seemed to get that rhythm back.
after looking at stats...
Looks like January and February were indeed his most productive months.
His best stretch of the season was a 5-game run in late January where his points/rebounds were 24/15; 10/8; 18/14; 16/6 and 14/14.
Then again, perhaps his 2nd best stretch came right after he returned from his first injury. In the 3rd/4th/5th/6th games of his career, he went for 11/11; 13/8; 22/10 and 11/10.
I do think that Golden State injury that caused him to miss a month right after the all-star break hurt his production even after he returned.
Curses on that Spagette character !!
Him and his spiked knee armor !!
Down with the body armor ! & down with Olden State !
And DOWN with COINCAST while we are at it !!!!!
It's GO time !
Wow, recovering from microfracture surgery, sprained ankle, and broken patella and
people are still expecting so much? And questioning whether he’ll work hard after all he did in re-hab?
I admit I had much lower expectations post-microfracture surgery than I did post- draft/pre-injury. I wanted him to be healthy and play 30 minutes a game. So, yeah, I wanted more out of Oden this year than we got, but it seems like Oden’s potential is still sky high. Maybe my/our expectations may need to be tempered, but giving a guy flak for all kinds of stuff (actually going back to school, adding pounds of muscle/strength, not playing when injured, etc.) seems totally unwarranted.
Yes, I’d like to see the athletic, explosive Greg Oden to return. Yes, he needs better footwork, a go-to offensive move, and less fouling, but the guy is incredible. During re-hab he did everything the trainers asked and more. Maybe he’s not at his “ideal” weight, but the guy is only 21 and still maturing. The Blazer trainers had him doing all that weight work because he could do it while recovering from the microfracture surgery. Perhaps now he can work on his basketball conditioning without the worry/concern his knee will hold up. While his defensive techniques need to improve, I think he’ll be a lot better defensively simply by being in better conditioning.
I’d still like to see Greg have a big-man mentor other than Lucas, and it would be great if there were a modern-era Pete Newell big man’s camp to attend, but Oden is still an essential element of the Blazers and still has mind-boggling potential.
06-07 Andrew Bynum a good comparison?
A couple of things that I haven’t seen mentioned are that a healthy Pryzbilla gives the luxury of not having to play Greg, and because they were in the playoff seeding race they were not in the position to give extended playing time to Greg. If we had fallen into lottery land, Greg’s minutes and stats probably go up. Anyway, here’s that comparison:
In 05-06, the LAL played to a 45-37 season where they were the West’s 7th seed. Bynum played in 46 games (no starts) for a total of 338 minutes. Chris Mihm and forwards-playing-center got the remainder of the center minutes.
In 07-08, the Portland Trail Blazers played to a 41-41 season where they were the West’s 10th seed. Oden was lost to injury for the entire season. Joel Pryzbilla, Raef LaFrentz, and forwards-playing-center got the remainder of the center minutes.
According to Basketball-reference.com, Bynum is the only LAL listed as a center in 06-07, but the LAL split the center minutes between Bynum and Kwame Brown. The team team finished the year with a 42-40 record and the 7th seed in the West.
In 08-09, Oden competed for center minutes with a healthy Pryzbilla. The team finished with a 54-28 record and the 4th seed in the West.
Oden vs 06-07 Bynum per game #s:
Age: 21 – 19
Games: 61 – 82
Starts: 39 – 53
Minutes: 21.5 – 21.9
FG%: 56.4 – 55.8
FT%: 63.7 – 66.8
Reb: 7.0 – 5.9
Ast: 0.5 – 1.1
Stl: 0.4 – 0.1
Blk: 1.1 – 1.6
TO: 1.4 – 1.4
PF: 3.9 – 3.0
Pts: 8.9 – 7.8
Pretty close!
question: would you swap Oden for Brook Lopez?
Lopez is a bit younger, has much less injury history, knows how to say out of foul trouble, has a well-developed post game and a pretty good mid-range jump shot. He’s also a very good shotblocker (was significantly better than Oden this year). The two players had somewhat similar per-minute stats, but Lopez played way more minutes and they achieved those stats in different ways, obviously.
In college, Oden was by far the better athlete and the more dominant player, but Lopez is way ahead in terms of offensive skill. Oden’s the much better rebounder and the more powerful player though.
If I could guarantee Oden would regain his pre-micro athleticism, it would be a no-brainer to keep Oden… but that seems far from guaranteed.
I’m guessing most people here would keep, Oden, and in the end I think I would also. However, I think New Jersey would rather have Lopez— taking on Oden would be a big gamble when you already have the player who (IMO) should have been rookie of the year.
Discuss.
As said before I would currently take the Brook + Durant combo over the Oden + Bayless combo
Not discounting that what we have can turn out just right, only based on like you said a more sure bet.
As for Brook vs. Oden alone I’m not sure that was attractive. Oden could be on that level as soon as next year again, and change the outcome of a game more than Brook who is more of a Tim Duncan player (and likely not quite as good) who would need a really second good big man besides him to be the most effective. A Lopez + LMA combo could work well offensively switching high-low equally well, but while Lopez is a great shot blocker I’m not so sure they would be a strong defensive tandem.
"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle
we can't judge Oden til next year
microfracture takes two years to recover from. A few months into the season and I’ll have an opinion on it.
draft rodrigue beaubois
It is a fair question right now
But I believe it’s the sort of question that will seem silly after a few years pass, as these sort of questions often are.
Brook Lopez will have a fine career as a good center. Oden will dominate and be one of the best of his generation.
Right now though, Lopez is more effective, for sure, so it’s a fair question.
I don’t see Lopez taking over the game on both ends. I do see Oden doing that.
Morty
Oh
And I think Rod Thorn would trade Lopez for Oden and laugh all the way to the bank. He’s a shrewd GM, after all, and I don’t think basketeering people in the know are all that down on Oden.
Their respective ceilings are of vastly different heights, and I am sure Thorn would take the dude who already is good and could be GREAT. Lopez is good, but I’ll be very surprised if he’s more than just gooder than he is now.
Thorn takes Oden.
Morty
But since that is just a hypothetical that won't happen
I am also sure Thorn is very happy with his selection of Lopez, both for his actual play and the great value he got for where he got him in the draft.
Mordecai
Especially with Oden's injury history .... and mental "funkness".
Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave
Also: COMCAST SUCKS!
I wouldn't.
But I had to think about it.
Of all the things that can be expressed in the printed word – love, hate, fear, joy – true humor is the one that is the most difficult of all. Sarcasm, for example, is an art of delicate subtlety. Yet too many people wield it as a bulldozer – loud, smelly, ugly, and destructive – and think they are being funny.
No
VENTURA: It's drowning. It gives you the complete sensation that you are drowning. It is no good, because you -- I'll put it to you this way, you give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I'll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.
Absolutely not. I wouldn’t make that deal — mainly because while I like Brook Lopez, I do question his overall potential down the road.
- I expect Brook Lopez to have a Zydrunas Ilgauskas type career (hopefully healthier than Big Z!).
- I think Oden can be anywhere from Dikembe Mutombo to possibly becoming the best center in the league (MVP candidate?) … type of career.
For me the difference in potential is far too great to overlook despite Brook’s better start to his career.
Thanks for the straight shot Dave
Once again, this is why I always open B Edge B4 the morning paper.
The Oden Era, Day 692
The real Greg Oden was peeking through this year in one 12 game stretch
before his Golden State injury. In 10 of those 12 games Greg shot over 60% FG. He averaged 24 minutes, 12 points, 4 offensive and 5 defensive rebounds, 1 block and 2 turnovers. jksnake covered this period slightly differently above but I see it as a clear indication of starting to become dominant. Yes his subsequent injury kept him from regaining this dominance except in short spells but I believe the prognosis to return to this next year and more is reasonable.
Greg cannot be compared to most other players at his position for the simple reason that most were not starting as young as Greg or as inexperienced. Only Dwight Howard seems to fit my recall and Greg’s numbers are certainly comparable to Dwight’s at the same age (Dwight’s 3rd year) and better than Dwight’s rookie year.
But it is not all about numbers. It is about heart and KP is a master in evaluating this factor. Greg has done nothing this year to dissuade me from that trust.
He is not likely to be an all-star next year and does not need to be. It is B-Roy’s team and the accolades for other players will come when the Blazers at least play in the finals. Greg is a key cog in an amazing machine. He will be there.
"What's so interesting is that this team took on a dynamic that was very special. I don't think we as a group, in terms of management, coaches and players, realize what we did as a young team. We broke all the metrics. We broke all the molds. Our challenge is can we continue to do that. As young of a team with 54 wins, no issues off the court, phenomenal chemistry." - Kevin Pritchard
I would love it. But I doubt he will ever come close.
Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave
Also: COMCAST SUCKS!
G.O will be fine...
He did what I expected to this season, considering his micro surgery. The only thing I really want to see him change is how hard he seems to be on himself. If he can get to the point where he is back to enjoying the game, and comfortable in his skin, I think he will blossom. In fact, if he is not playing in an All-Star game within the next two or three seasons, I will be suprised.
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace." Jimi Hendrix
by philly420pdxhilo on May 14, 2009 1:44 AM PDT reply actions
I know its unfair to Greg since he's coming off of a major injury
but people like KP2 usually do those comparisons by age, not by NBA experience.
The right things are behind him
In a sense a difficult first season can be used to Greg’s advantage because he can look back at the fouls, mistakes and criticisms and realize that the world didn’t end. Just watching him trying to contain his emotions when it wasn’t going well and knowing he had doubts about himself and his game and now being able to look back and see that he was contributing even then is going to be worth a lot as he goes forward. I’m hoping that he can cultivate these experiences into an attitude where he decides no one is going to stop him. None of this was ever going to happen in his first year, just ask Lebron. Even Roy is only just now seeing it.
I was happy with Greg Oden’s rookie season. A 7/10 type of happiness.
Expectations — I did expect more from him, I thought he’d be around a double double and more of a defensive presence … but his per minute numbers show he has the double double capability if he can just stay on the floor, and the defensive potential is clearly there. So I’m fairly happy with his performance despite it being below my preseason expectations.
Improvements — I think the most important area for Greg to work on this summer is his defense.
I think this Blazers team is a major contender for the title if Oden can become as good as Przybilla defensively, because his rebounding is phenomenal and his offensive game is already quite good. Oden is not a go-to scorer, or a low post scorer, just yet but if you give him 30+ minutes he’ll bag 13-15ppg and shoot a very high percentage. He’s a monster around the rim, has great hands, and requires a lot of defensive attention. The offensive upgrade from Przybilla to Oden is a massive one, even without Oden showing any development next season on that end of the floor.
Now, to the more negative side of why I think the defense is Oden’s biggest priority. I was unimpressed with Oden’s defensive contributions. I thought he was weak on the pick and rolls defense, was flat footed too often on rotations, he picked a number of idiotic fouls (arms not straight up, silly bumps on guards, trying for steals, trying to block the ball while it’s in the hand of the opponent instead of after the release) and I thought all these weak areas made Oden a poor defender overall. He did have his good points, he was very good as a post defender and a good one-on-one defender.
But that gap, between where he is, and where Joel Przybilla is … it’s simply massive. I think the on court off court stats show it best, when they say the Blazers were 10 points better defensively per 100 possessions when Joel was on the court versus Oden.
So, what I want to see most from Oden is defensive improvement. I think if he shows that improvement, he’ll easily average 12 points and 10 boards a night while being a major defensive influence on a game. I think that’s enough to make Portland a top contender right away. I think that Oden, with the defensive improvement, is a top 5 center in the NBA (only behind Dwight, Duncan and Yao).
I think Oden’s defense is the single biggest impact he could offer next season.
The Following Summer — Then Greg should work on developing his low post game.
The Rebounding — The board work was simply phenomenal. It was a joy to watch him clean glass. Both how prolific he was at grabbing caroms, and brilliant he was at keeping the opposition of the glass. It’s a great feeling to have a guy who’s going to be a top 5 rebounder in the NBA for the next dozen years. I was hugely impressed with his rebounding.

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