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What Separates NBA Players from Non-NBA Players?

This is a question I've been pondering for the last 24 hours in light of the Blazers' pre-draft workouts yesterday. I thought I would toss it out to all of you before I weigh in later today or tomorrow with my thoughts.  

Consider these two groups: NBA players and  fringe professionals.  In the NBA players group, you've got guys that are on rosters and sticking for at least 2 years.  In the fringe group, you've got 10 day contract guys, d leaguers, 2nd round picks that don't stick, summer league filler, European players looking to stick, etc. etc. etc.  All told, it's a fairly large group of guys.

My question is simple... boil it all the way down: what is the single most common attribute that fringe players lack that NBA players have?  

Some early candidates:

  • Height
  • Speed/Quickness
  • A Jumpshot
  • Basketball IQ
  • Competitive Drive

What say you?  Please explain your answer and include relevant examples.

Remember I want ONE attribute... so make up your dang mind!

-- Ben (benjamin.golliver@gmail.com)

0 recs  |  Comment 159 comments |

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Tremendous Upside Potential

formerly fromagnon... I remember back in the day... way back before you young cats were around, back when I ruled the jersey contest... back when it meant something... back when hip-hop was alive

by The Arkitect on May 12, 2009 10:41 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

That's funny.

Sticking up for Travis Outlaw since 2008.

by Kaboomm on May 12, 2009 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Basketball IQ/Decision Making

So many players have similar athletic tools to work with—it comes down to using those tools to make the right play more often than not. I think of Basketball IQ as not only making the right decisions in the team context, but also knowing one’s role well enough to train to fill that role effectively.

by Benjamanic on May 12, 2009 10:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

BBIQ

there are plenty of guys in the league without a jumshot, athleticnes and height. But a great player knows what to do. i think that a coach is more willing to trust a player than knows what to do than a player with the tools that doest have an understanding of the game

bayless leaves over my dead body

by thomasikehara on May 12, 2009 10:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

What?

In response to your fist sentence—Name an NBA player who is short, can’t shoot, and isn’t athletic.

by pualo on May 12, 2009 11:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

There are a couple of players who are short and can't shoot

Mugsy Bogues and Sebastian Telfair both come to mind, but both of them are/were really quick, which must bode well for their overall athletic-ness.

by tingeyga on May 12, 2009 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jacque Vaughn

draft rodrigue beaubois

by Cablinasian on May 12, 2009 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Brevin Knight

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on May 12, 2009 3:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

you cant just pick one ben

not one of these attributes you have listed actually = nba calib. player that ‘stick’

……..

It is a combination of things ranging from the player’s mindset, drive to competitive spirit.

Of course he has to have a jumper all though it’s not necessary (i.e. Sergio ), basketball IQ is completely irrelevent (i.e. #25 ) but can make up for what a player lacks in physical abilities (i.e. Batum). Essentially, I would def. state that there are more “sticking” NBA players that have a limited bbiq and have/will have a decent career.

Speed and quickness are also something that can make a player stick (Monta Ellis) but a decided lack in speed and the antithesis of quickness (i.e. Steve Blake and Yao Ming) can be beneficial and that player can have huge longevity and staying power on a team (sadly) .

Height is something that is a modern requirement. If you want to play center… you better be at least 6’10 but you have to be in bed w/ the league Dwight Howard to be effective. For a small forward or shooting guard you better have height, but really… you better be able to at least be a streaky shooter.

Sophia

Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare

Roses are red
violets in bloom
Sophia’s in love
with Nicholas Batum
-Bow4Meow

by BlazerFan1 on May 12, 2009 10:54 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree...

It is usually a complement of attributes and not just one. I would say that when describing most players, you don’t just mention one attribute unless they are VERY good at it (top 10 in league?).

If you singled out only one it would probably be scoring ability. It seems to have a leg up on others because it is easily noticed in a box score.

‘OK Nic, swag on out on ‘em!’

by clinchmobb on May 12, 2009 11:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I should clarify...

When describing most players, you don’t just mention one attribute unless they are VERY good at it (top 10 in league?) AND that is the only thing they are good at.

‘OK Nic, swag on out on ‘em!’

by clinchmobb on May 12, 2009 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

agree...YOU CAN"T JUST PICK ONE ben

dumb question ……. but I hope YOU knew that ben

by spencerbutte on May 12, 2009 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

would you like my resume?

;)

Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare

Roses are red
violets in bloom
Sophia’s in love
with Nicholas Batum
-Bow4Meow

by BlazerFan1 on May 12, 2009 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

bwahahahah

:)

Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare

Roses are red
violets in bloom
Sophia’s in love
with Nicholas Batum
-Bow4Meow

by BlazerFan1 on May 12, 2009 4:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

my band needs a cutthroat agent

are you available? – Elgin

Brandon Roy: Strengths-remarkably efficient player who appears to effortlessly score and facilitate. Weakness-he’s just a figment of your imagination. - Canis Hoopus

by 22baylor on May 13, 2009 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A niche.

If a guy is all around decent at basketball, but doesn’t excel in any one part of the game, he’s likely to get looked over. If you look at just NBA player that has been in the league for a few years, you’ll see they have SOMETHING that keeps them there. It may be their rebounding, shot blocking, hustle, 3-point shooting, defense, quickness, etc. Doesn’t matter. they have to be great at at least one thing. A great example would be someone like Shane “The no-stats All-Star” Battier. Looking at his numbers tells nothing about him. He’s made his career by studying his opponents and doing his best to keep them from scoring (complimented by decent long range shooting). Another example would be Kevin Love. He’s not the biggest, strongest, or fastest, but he works his butt off and knows the game, thereby giving him a relative rebounding advantage.

"Respect everyone, fear no one." -TP

by Arby on May 12, 2009 10:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I like this one

SOMETHING!

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on May 12, 2009 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's hard to quantify said "thing"

When it’s different for everybody :)

"Respect everyone, fear no one." -TP

by Arby on May 12, 2009 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or someone like Reggie Evans.

Most oafish dude in the league. He rebounds, sets shoulder-separating screens, and plays D.

by Benjamanic on May 12, 2009 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

There was some analysis of Battier discussed here earlier this season

that had a bunch of numbers showing that he was one of the best players in the league.

by MiledAnimal on May 12, 2009 11:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Swagger.

TheTinfoil: Prez, could we please get Fatty on one of these [podcasts]?
annthefan: Fatty would be awesome! Get him on there with Timbo. Now, that's entertainment.
pualo: Nah, Timbo would just talk to himself the whole time.

by prezofdeath on May 12, 2009 10:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

dont

do NOT go there i’ll call the swagger police on you prez.

lol

sophia

Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare

Roses are red
violets in bloom
Sophia’s in love
with Nicholas Batum
-Bow4Meow

by BlazerFan1 on May 12, 2009 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Being better at basketball than the other guys.

If no one else is using it, can I have the Captain Obvious title?

Of all the things that can be expressed in the printed word – love, hate, fear, joy – true humor is the one that is the most difficult of all. Sarcasm, for example, is an art of delicate subtlety. Yet too many people wield it as a bulldozer – loud, smelly, ugly, and destructive – and think they are being funny.

by T Darkstar on May 12, 2009 10:58 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not necessarily. You can't tell me all players in the D-League are worse than some end of bench over the hill veterans

They just don’t get the chance to play. Also the difference between drafted and undrafted players can be marginal – or non existent if the drafted player turns out to be a bust and never makes the NBA or washes out quickly.

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How am I supposed to present short, concise, generic and poorly thought out answers if there are shades of grey?

Of all the things that can be expressed in the printed word – love, hate, fear, joy – true humor is the one that is the most difficult of all. Sarcasm, for example, is an art of delicate subtlety. Yet too many people wield it as a bulldozer – loud, smelly, ugly, and destructive – and think they are being funny.

by T Darkstar on May 12, 2009 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Scoring ability

If you can score against a legit defense (chairs don’t count), I think you’re more likely to get a shot at the NBA. Between 2 prospects I think the guy who is a 10% (random number) better scorer is going to get the spot over the guy who is a 10% better defender all other abilities being equal.

1. It’s easy to identify. Basketball IQ, defense, intangibles, work ethic, etc are all very nice things to have, but most of those are really hard to demonstrate in just a handful of workouts. If you can put the ball in the hoop consistently and hopefully in many ways, you’re more likely to get noticed even if the skill is more common.

2. It’s always useful. There isn’t a team in the league that would turn down a cheap scoring threat off the bench.

3. In a 10 minute or less per game reserve role, how much help is a non scoring threat going to provide. Another guy may have a great BB IQ or play solid defense, but the returns on that are never going to be as great as the guy who can come in and put up 6-8 points.

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on May 12, 2009 10:59 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not true

In the D-League, there are plenty of players that can score. The D-League’s leading scorer this season, Will Conroy, didn’t get an NBA look. Scoring ability is probably the least of qualities that NBA teams look for.

Blogging at RidiculousUpside, where we converse with recently fired mascots.

by Scott Schroeder on May 12, 2009 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree

especially because for a player on the deep bench, their role is to only shoot when they are really open. They need to positively impact the game in other ways than just scoring.

by tingeyga on May 12, 2009 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

good point

I guess I should say something more like scoring efficiently. A high volume shooter that scores a bunch isn’t going to get enough looks to be effective at the end of a bench. But if you can’t put the ball in the hoop, no amount of marginally better BBIQ or rebounding ability than the average D leaguer is going to get you an NBA contract.

As long as we’re only talking about ONE skill that gets you a chance to play in the NBA, it has to be scoring ability. If this was a slightly different question, I would say to my prospects, “Okay, we picked you all out because you have wicked jump shots. What else do you have to show us?” So, I want a guy who can score some points in limited minutes, but then I take the guy who can score and is a pesky defender. But I don’t take the pesky defender who can’t score.

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on May 12, 2009 6:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I whole heartedly agree with you Magnum.

Ability to score! Against bonafide NBA players that is. Not D-Leaguers or summer leaguers. We’re not talking about just shooters here …. we’re talking about those with that innate ability to score.

Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave

Also: COMCAST SUCKS!

by TwoDeep on May 12, 2009 5:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh

So you have to play in the NBA to make an NBA team? Sounds easy enough..

Blogging at RidiculousUpside, where we converse with recently fired mascots.

by Scott Schroeder on May 12, 2009 5:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Ability" to score against NBA'ers ......

Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave

Also: COMCAST SUCKS!

by TwoDeep on May 12, 2009 9:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How do you show that?

You’d have to be playing in the NBA to show that you have the ability score against NBA’ers if you’re discounting the D-League and Summer League…

Blogging at RidiculousUpside, where we converse with recently fired mascots.

by Scott Schroeder on May 12, 2009 11:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

can't pick 1

There are guys like Brent Pettway who can jump out of the gym but can’t do much else and guys like Gerry Macnamara who accomplished huge things in college but just don’t have NBA quickness/hops.

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 11:12 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

The top leapers in pre-draft combine measurement history in order, all with a vert of >= 40 inch

Kenny Gregory – 2001, Tim Bowers – 2004, Nate Robinson – 2004, Vince Carter – 1998, Jamario Moon – 2001, Matt Santangelo – 2000, Speedy Claxton – 2000, Alex Scales – 2000, Jordan Farmar – 2006, Patrick Ewing Jr. – 2008, Dwayne Mitchell – 2006, Ronald Dupree – 2003, Cookie Belcher – 2001, Al Thornton – 2007, Bobby Brown – 2007, Ronnie Brewer – 2006, JR Rider – 1993, O.J. Mayo – 2008, Bryce Taylor – 2008, Troy Bell – 2003, Doug Wrenn – 2003 , Horace Jenkins – 2001, DeMarcus Minor – 2001, Mike Conley Jr – 2007, Nick Young – 2007, Rudy Gay – 2006, Brandon Roy – 2006, Will Bynum – 2005, Derrick Zimmerman – 2003, Matt Barnes – 2002, Michael Hicks – 2001, Will Blalock – 2006, Tracy McGrady – 1997, Eric Gordon – 2008, Derrick Rose – 2008, Deron Washington – 2008, Jason Gardner – 2001 , Sean Lampley – 2001

Only about half of them ever made the NBA, and some washed out quickly. It’s just part of the whole package.

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

but we could probobly do the same sort of analysis for all of these other individual factors

Point is, none of these things (taken by itself) is a good, or even decent, predictor of NBA success.

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love seeing brandon roy on that list

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on May 12, 2009 12:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wow

People really ARE getting more athletic. Almost all of those are from the 2000’s.

Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game

by iDea on May 12, 2009 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

3 in the 90

Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game

by iDea on May 12, 2009 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And all three of them did pretty well for themselves

Vince, T-Mac, and Rider all had pretty good careers. I guess you can say huge hops used to matter more than they used to.

by Twith on May 12, 2009 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's something strange...

There are two former UO shooting guards on that list, and neither of them got a cup of coffee in the league.

by Twith on May 12, 2009 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's also odd seeing some UW and Gonzaga guys, Doug Wrenn and Matt Santangelo, who ...

never had the overall package to be NBA players. For Wrenn, though, many of his issues were due to him being a knucklehead off of the court.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/sports/2008945829_wrenn30.html

No matter how much I knock Travis Outlaw for having the on-court BBIQ of a gnat, he’s at least not a total tool off the hardwood like Wrenn.

by AK1984 on May 12, 2009 4:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

if i had to pick one atribute

that is most important in deciding an nba player it would be height. I know some small players have made it into the league but for every small player there is 10 absolute stiffs that were only drafted because they were 7 feet. Like they always say “u can’t teach height” and height trumphs all in the nba.

"Howard, he know me" Rudy

by phillyduck23 on May 12, 2009 11:19 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Very true...

You can’t teach height and there have been (are) an inordinate amount of worthless seven footers in the league who could barely walk and chew gum. Being so tall obviously gives an advantage you can’t teach (rebounding, shooting close to hoop, post defense, etc.) but you can still overcome with the proper skill set.

But back to the original question of what is the single most common attribute that NBA players have that fringe players don’t? I still think it is a sum of the attributes that a particular player has and it also depends on the situation and what a particular team is looking for at the time.

‘OK Nic, swag on out on ‘em!’

by clinchmobb on May 12, 2009 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd have to say BBIQ

IQ makes up for a lot of shortfalls in other areas.

My favorite teams are the Blazers and any team that is playing the Lakers.

by OCBlazerFan1 on May 12, 2009 11:24 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Stand back everyone, here's the real answer:

The sum of the average of all player attributes plus health and opportunity must be at least as high as the least-valuable player in the league.

Go wild, math geeks.

by MiledAnimal on May 12, 2009 11:34 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

…Aaah! I give up!

Of all the things that can be expressed in the printed word – love, hate, fear, joy – true humor is the one that is the most difficult of all. Sarcasm, for example, is an art of delicate subtlety. Yet too many people wield it as a bulldozer – loud, smelly, ugly, and destructive – and think they are being funny.

by T Darkstar on May 12, 2009 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was trying to buy a car the other day

But my parents wouldn’t cosine the loan.

by Twith on May 12, 2009 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

wah wah wah

7.8 on the lame o meter

TheTinfoil: Prez, could we please get Fatty on one of these [podcasts]?
annthefan: Fatty would be awesome! Get him on there with Timbo. Now, that's entertainment.
pualo: Nah, Timbo would just talk to himself the whole time.

by prezofdeath on May 12, 2009 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

still not as lame as the term ‘lame o meter’.. but you’re getting closer

"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum

by idoltime on May 12, 2009 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

rec'd

TheTinfoil: Prez, could we please get Fatty on one of these [podcasts]?
annthefan: Fatty would be awesome! Get him on there with Timbo. Now, that's entertainment.
pualo: Nah, Timbo would just talk to himself the whole time.

by prezofdeath on May 12, 2009 11:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

does anyone think it is strange

that many mathematical axioms and proofs contain no numbers?

Although, I suppose it’s good that the truth of mathematics isn’t based on an arbitrary numbering/base system. It still seems counter intuitive.

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on May 12, 2009 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is why it is the language to be used when contacting aliens :)

Land was created to provide a place for boats to visit.

by The Pirate on May 12, 2009 3:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

uhhhh

skill?

Best of Senator Clay Davis: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TI4-QyAzY64&feature=related

by cloudydays on May 12, 2009 11:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Like bow staff skills?

I didn't mean to turn you on

by dukedee on May 12, 2009 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Basketball IQ

That can be taught, to a degree. Having a good head will make up for a lot of athletic shortfalls. Considering the audience here, though, (former playground, HS, college players) it’s pretty obvious that any of us would pick BB IQ, as that’s the one decent attribute in the game that we all have. And if we have it and an upcoming college player doesn’t, that means that we could have been a better prospect if WE JUST HAD THE LEGS.

Honestly, I think it’s will and competitive drive along with toughness, which all falls under the larger heading WILL.

by robrun2 on May 12, 2009 12:00 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not necessarily

You could have terrible BBIQ but still be a mad scorer or rebounder. BBIQ is key for passers and defenders, I’m thinking.

Sticking up for Travis Outlaw since 2008.

by Kaboomm on May 12, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Part of BBIQ is knowing one's limitations and working within them.

He’s also talking about marginal, journeyman-type players versus the guys vying unsuccessfully for a roster spot, not perennial rotation players.

by Benjamanic on May 12, 2009 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rebounding is pure BBIQ

That fits under the heading of will and anticipation. The best rebounders work the hardest and know where to go before the ball gets there. That’s sense of the game and of the floor, which defines BBIQ. To being a mad scorer without BBIQ, who really wants that?

by robrun2 on May 12, 2009 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry Ben

but it’s kind of a dumb question. The thing keeping them back is different for every person, and I don’t think there’s any one thing that’s at all predominant.

by pualo on May 12, 2009 12:01 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

A lot of former college players that end up on the playgrounds in the summers just don't have the basketball IQ.

They try to score on 3 people, don’t know what passing is. I think if you are smart and have the talent you have a good shot. If you are a dumb player you aren’t making it to the NBA unless you are 7 feet tall.

by BRoyInThe4th on May 12, 2009 12:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Speed, absolutely.

Mental speed and physical speed. Horsepower. The ability to move a 6’-6", 230 lb body around with the same reaction time, speed and agility as a guy who is 5’-7" and 123 lbs.

The cowards never started
The weak died along the way
Only the strong survived
They were the Trailblazers

by lukeyhere on May 12, 2009 12:06 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Speed in the form of explosiveness

Athleticsim is about your first step and being explosive. … In any sport, if you’re quick and explosive off the start, you’re going to have an advantage. You can train for quickness…but you can only make small changes off a god-given foundation.

I’m looking for the story where a beat writer (was it Quick?) was challenged to a line-grabber type drill by one of the recent Portland Blazer (LaFrentz or Antonio Harvey) and just got absolutely smoked. Our perception of somebody who is a “slow” NBA player is seriously warped. Of course the other attributes are important, and exceptional speed can not make up for being seriously deficient – but if I had to pick one – hands down – it’s speed.

by Mad Matt the Road Warrior on May 12, 2009 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

reminds me of the NFL Combine

When BJ Raji was timed against Rich Eisen in the 40. BJ Smoked him by 6 yards, easy.

Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game

by iDea on May 12, 2009 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The dad of one of my friends played high school basketball against Kurt Rambis

Kurt basically did anything that we wanted on the court because he was so much quicker than anyone else and he had a good handle. Which was really surprising to me because that isn’t the Kurt Rambis that we saw in the NBA.

by tingeyga on May 12, 2009 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

One Word

“Stick-to-it-ive-ness”

D: dogged perseverance; resolute tenacity

This applies to most professional sports. These athletes are often simply more willing than others to stay with the sport instead of pursuing other endeavors. They’re willing to put in longer hours and harder workouts to continue improving where others become complacent or content with their skill level.

All day baby, all day!

by LMA All Day on May 12, 2009 12:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Probably true for most of the stars and perseverant guys

Entering the NBA were some amazingly lazy guys on talent alone.

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder, though...

how many are driven because of something they want to be good at versus something they are already good at or have an aptitude for. How often does somebody’s perseverance overcome limited ability? Why are great artists always painting, sketching, sculpting? Why does an engineer constantly build things in their mind when they look at something? Why have great singers been singing since they were 3 years old? Did they sing really crappy for about twenty years and then get good at it?

We gravitate towards our talents, and I suspect it would be highly unlikely for us to never discover our talents and thus seek to further them.

The cowards never started
The weak died along the way
Only the strong survived
They were the Trailblazers

by lukeyhere on May 12, 2009 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

While we do gravitate towards our talents

there is still a large element of work involved with becoming great at something. Gladwell’s most recent book is largely about the question of innate talent and hard work. He brings up multiple studies that suggest that to become an expert in something, really anything, takes about 10,000 of practice. This number seems pretty consistent between being an expert cellist, computer programmer, or Scrabble player.

While there is a measure of physical gifts in sports that hard work will never be able to replicate (i.e. being tall, not having T-Rex arms), the truely great basketball players put a lot of effort into getting the most out of their bodies.

by tingeyga on May 12, 2009 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Something...

The margin is so thin I often wonder: if I was playing ball at the gym and a couple lower-tier NBA players showed up with a couple of upper-tier d-leaguers. Would I even be able to tell who the NBA players were?

by hobbseltigre on May 12, 2009 12:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't think so.

If you were listening to smart people talk, you probably couldn’t tell who had an IQ of 150 and who had 145, either.

by pualo on May 12, 2009 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The ability to adapt to their role

I think the hardest thing for 90% of the players that come into this league is that they are no longer the star. All their lives they have been the best and all of the sudden they aren’t. That is an extremely difficult transition to make. Most guys are used to being the bigger, stronger, faster player and then they aren’t and they have to fill a different role to make it in “The League” Sometimes it means working harder then they ever have, sometimes its an ego check, sometimes it’s developing skills that they didn’t use before, sometimes its studying extra hard to learn the game that was seemingly so natural before, but whatever it is, there are tons of guys with equal or even greater talent not in NBA because they could not or would not adjust. Most of the time I think it is because they all have aspirations to be a star in the NBA and when they get here they can’t let that go, coach asks them to fill a role position and they just can’t get over the fact that they think they should shoot that big shot or make that critical drive, I mean they have all their lives. It all about making the adjustment.

Our society believes in "Policital Correctness" in other words we tear down the best of our society and make them live according to the lowest common denominator. It won't be long until Harrison Bergeron is declaring himself emperor!

by ablazrfool on May 12, 2009 12:18 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I have to say love for the game is most important

I’d set aside athletic ability, because no one can choose their height or things like that.

A true love for the game is going to make other areas of your game better. The desire to improve is going to give you another VERY important quality – a work ethic.

The love of the game and good work ethic are going to allow players with at least decent physical ability get better in other important areas:
BBIQ, shooting, fundamentals, strength/quickness

If you are not outstanding in any 1 skill, the love of the game is going to allow you to accept your role better and do what it takes to win for the team/game.

Dear Diary, JACKPOT!!!!!!!!!!

by Evander holyfield on May 12, 2009 12:19 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Mental processing speed (has to be 4.0v or better, with at least 3-gig of ram)

The ability to make good decisions quickly. Think of the amount of time you have to reach to a rotating defense. Shoot, pass or dribble? Which one, and where to. What distinguishes NBA players from non-NBA players is that they can evaluate these decision and react with lightning speed in a fraction of a second.

"I've learned one thing, and that's to quit worrying about stupid things. You have four years to be irresponsible here. Relax. Work is for people with jobs. You'll never remember class time, but you'll remember time you wasted hanging out with your friends. So, stay out late. Go out on a Tuesday with your friends when you have a paper due Wednesday. Spend money you don't have. Drink 'till sunrise. The work never ends, but college does" - Tom Petty

by Work?nah... on May 12, 2009 12:33 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

A red ass.

That is what I learned from bedge.

I like the whole team.

by RenoBlazerFan on May 12, 2009 12:34 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Determination Ben.

I can be good at anything I try to do. I can be GREAT at anything I want to do.

I think it’s the same with these guy’s, unfourtuantly there are the few that are just blessed with the ability to do what they do, (I’m thinkin starberry here) but all and all, it’s their determination that gets em to the nba, it’d be their attitude that keeps em there.

mind you there are the few that just are just blessed with a body/skill.

lebron, maubury….etc.

the jordans, and kevin durants though…..alot of hard work.

The Faith don't panic, the faith freaks out burns out farms and torchs small villages in the name of The Faith.

by faith on May 12, 2009 1:05 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

they just need a chance...

think of guys like Ben Wallace, who went un-drafted. It’s not like he couldn’t play, he just needed someone to give him the opportunity to play (and in his correct position). He’s listed at 6’9… maybe with shoes on. Few thought he could play cuz he’s really the size of a sf but without the speed. But we all know how that worked out.

and if you don’t: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ben_Wallace

It’s kind of like Sergio. We all know he is an NBA caliber player…. but for some reason it’s not all coming together here in Portland. Well that reason is Nate McMillan that he needs to be able to play HIS way and not be told that he needs to be doing this or that. He’s just not going to get that kind opportunity here. And if this is all his NBA career is, it’s going to be looked at as a failure. He needs to be sent somewhere he can run and play totally free. Then he’ll become the player that sticks.

There are all kinds of great players, they just have to be put in situations that allow them to play their game.

by Death Star Drive-By on May 12, 2009 1:21 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

you can add

Frye, Bayless, and even Outlaw to that list if you want. I think all 4 of those players could do a lot more on other teams.

by bad karma on May 12, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure about Outlaw

I think he gets A LOT of chances on this team. And he comes through sometimes… but eh…. I don’t know, I’m not that sold on him.

Frye and Bayless for sure though.

by Death Star Drive-By on May 12, 2009 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

In New York

Outlaw would avg 23 pts a game. And his D wouldn’t look so bad because nobody plays D in NY.

by bad karma on May 12, 2009 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Outlaw is at his peak

He may be able to average 20 somewhere else as a starter, but that’s just due to extra minutes.

by robrun2 on May 12, 2009 6:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

don't think this question is set up right

one could make arguments for decision making and work ethic, but I don’t really think either of those entirely distinguish these groups.

The real answer is the potential for the full package. You get guys who are fast and athletic but too short… or guys that can shoot and thats it.

The problem is that there are obviously plenty of NBA players (often not getting time in a rotation) that fall into this same thing. Obviously.. someone believed a guy like Morrison would make a decent baller but is there any reason to believe he won’t become a fringe player when his rookie contract is up?

"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum

by idoltime on May 12, 2009 1:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think every NBA player has a significant ego

There is no way you can work hard enough to get into the NBA without a significant ego. People complain that the money and fame of professional sports turns people into jerks, but I think a lot of guys wouldn’t be there in the first place if they WEREN’T jerks. It takes strange kinds of motivation to get in the gym for 5 hours per day, something that a lot of nice, normal, “Beta Males” don’t have.

by Twith on May 12, 2009 1:30 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

But I guess on that note...

A lot of D-Leaguers probably have the requisite ego, so I didn’t really answer the question. I think God-given ego strongly separates professional athletes from accountants and doctors and ditch-diggers.

by Twith on May 12, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The difference between D-league and NBA

a lot of times comes down to where the kid went to school. If you have two similar kids, same position, and close in athletic ability, but one kid went to Portland State, and the other went to Memphis, I think the kid from Memphis gets the contract before the Portland State kid.

by bad karma on May 12, 2009 1:40 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

totally disagree

The Pros draft talent.

Scottie Pippen, Terry Porter, Rodney Stuckey (and, on the flip side) were not hindered by not going to a big basketball school.

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

For Sure

the players you list are All Star caliber players. I am talking about the difference between players that are #15 on a teams depth chart, and career D leaguers.

by bad karma on May 12, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Both didn't exactly have dream NBA careers

Udoka was already with the Blazers in 2000 – for ten days.

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 1:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ime backs me up on this

If Ime went to Duke, he would have been compared to Battier. Ime would have gotten on an NBA roster right away. But if I am not mistaken, Ime had to put in some work and get noticed before sticking in the NBA.

by bad karma on May 12, 2009 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah, you are right

not the best example.

I still don’t think where you went to school plays any part whatsoever in a team’s decision about who their 15th man will be.

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why?

   I would think going to a major program for 4 years, and winning a championship or two would go a long ways with GMs in the league. Again, if a kid is droppin 75 pts a game, I don’t care where he is going to school. But I will argue a SF scoring 11 pts a game at Kansas will get a better look at the NBA than SF scoring14 pts at PSU.

by bad karma on May 12, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

well obviously

the Kansas kid is facing much better competition for one thing.

During training camp last year, do you think Shavlik Randolph’s being a Dukie helped him get the 15th spot on the Blazer roster over Steven Hill? I don’t. I don’t even think it came up as a relevant discussion point.

I mean, Portland traded 2 time NCAA champ Taurean Green for Von Wafer from Florida State. Then Wafer got his big break while Green is now playing overseas.

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Green puts up better numbers in Spain than Petteri in Italy

One was a first round pick who we still own the rights to, the other a second round pick who was cast off (but could eventually be back in the league).

The margin of error is small, and it’s not always completely fair who makes the NBA.

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

the players you list are All Star caliber players

I can’t comment about Pippen (I can’t remember his projections), but Porter was not seen as an All-Star caliber talent when drafted. Lots of analysts wondered what Portland was thinking.

The school is still out on Stuckey, of course.

by Timmay! on May 12, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Could be

My current favorite D-League player Othyus Jeffers bounced around like crazy due to family issues. He will likely be in the league next year (Memphis?), but it wasn’t the easy route.

http://www.ridiculousupside.com/2009/5/11/871639/d-league-player-profiles-othyus

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I still like "opportunity" as a key criteria

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Von Wafer agrees with you.

So do folks like Mario Chalmers and Jordan Farmar.

by Timmay! on May 12, 2009 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love that you love O

Blogging at RidiculousUpside, where we converse with recently fired mascots.

by Scott Schroeder on May 12, 2009 3:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

From Othyus Jeffers scouting report, he seems like a young Ruben Patterson.

http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Othyus-Jeffers-5618/

I wish Jeffers the best of luck at cracking a NBA roster, but I don’t think it’ll be here.

by AK1984 on May 12, 2009 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

BBIQ and Competitive Drive

can be a killer (in a good way) combination to getting someone with not as many physical skills into the NBA. The COmpetitive Drive allows a player to fully leverage the BBIQ. It shows a work ethic of seeking to improve in all aspects of the game.

I think Brandon Roy is a prime example of this. So many NBA “experts” had him tabbed as someone that had pretty much already reached his potential when he was drafted. He was considered to not have much upside. Yet his BBIQ and Competitive Drive have shown that there is still much more growth to come.

by antediluvian on May 12, 2009 1:43 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Athleticism

Although I think athleticism is overrated in the NBA, this is the single attribute that separates NBA players from non-NBA players. No question.

"...we have so many experts who think that you have to play defense, you have to rebound, you have to be a possession coach, you have to execute. I just laugh. Explosive offense is not as intimidating as dominant defense. But it is scary when you don't know how to stop someone." - George Karl, Nuggets coach

by jamon51 on May 12, 2009 2:05 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

skeelz

I have not yet begun to defile myself.

by EngineerScotty on May 12, 2009 2:21 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

On the margins, most important factor

I like Ben’s question. Gotta think about it logically.

1) Ben is asking about what one factor most distinguishes players that make it to those that do not quite make it. He’s asking a question about marginal differences. The players that do not quite make it are mostly quite skilled and quite athletic. He’s not asking why he didn’t make the NBA but Shaq did. He’s asking why Maarty Luenen and Bryce Taylor didn’t make it while Aaron Brooks did. Different factors can be important in differentiating ordinary people from NBA super-stars than factors that matter on the margin. This does not mean that some type of athletic ability is not the distinguishing characteristic; it just means we need to be careful.

2) To say that there isn’t just one thing, misses the point. It is entirely possible for there to be one attribute that predicts “making it” better than other attributes even if there are several attributes that predict making it.

3) To simplify the analysis a bit, I am going to assume that Ben asked the question about who makes and who does not make it within positions. So, we are comparing Bryce Taylor to Aaron Affalo. Aaron Brooks to Tarueen Green, etc.

4) The question is basically meaningless unless we impose constraints on the type of factor or attribute that we can accept as an answer. “Greater basketball potential” is the obvious winner if anything goes. Similarly, a broad variable like “athletic ability” can only be fairly compared to a similarly broad constructs like “basketball intelligence” or “basketball skill.” More generally, it’s a lot less messy to answer the question if given a group of attributes to choose from, rather than picking one out of the air.

5) Bare in mind the comparison that Ben made: between guys in the league and guys on short contracts, in the D-league or Europe. To me, this eliminates drive as the most important factor. Similarly, I would probably have a different answer if the comparison was between the drafted and undrafted. If the comparison was drafted to undrafted, I think agility would be the best predictor (holding position constant / comparing players within position).

Okay, I talked myself into going with Basketball skill, but really I have no idea! In addition, having thought about it for a while, I can now see why people complained about the question, because the question really needs to be refined a lot to be answered empirically.

by PoliSam on May 12, 2009 2:33 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The missing attribute is - Synergy

Any high-level basketball player (and compared to the general populace, anyone who is riding on a Basketball scholarship or earns a place on a team without one is high-level) is going to already have a mix of mental and physical attributes necessary to compete against some of the best.

When you start talking about the NBA however, you’re now talking about the best of the best. How does ANY employer distinguish between a pool of candidates that are all excellent in general terms? They do it by seeking perfection, or at least their own personal defenition of perfection for the job roles they are trying to fill.

That means you can have great mental and physical attributes, but if they do not synergistically combine in the way that the job roles require, you are not going to get picked.

For example, let’s say that you have great post moves, lateral quickness, and are as strong as an ox. On the downside, your three-ball stinks and you’re a weak passer. That describes a lot of bigs in the paint. Unfortunately for you, you are 5’11". No NBA career for you!

Seems like a lot of the guys who are on the outside looking in on the NBA are in the position of missing “that one thing.” What that one missing this is depends on how they sort vs. the various positional roles.

by conspirator5 on May 12, 2009 2:48 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

As an extension to that idea...

I would argue that guys who get into the league “the hard way” were probably missing “one things” that can be gained through time, practice and experience, and had enough extra “competetive drive” to gain those missing attributes while living on dog food.

by conspirator5 on May 12, 2009 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Unless I missed it...

I can’t believe that nobody has said “length,” yet!

And I say that half jokingly. I can just picutre Jay Bilas at the NBA draft absolutely gushing over a player’s “TREMENDOUS length!”

by '03CouveCoug on May 12, 2009 3:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

freakish athleticism is always funny to hear after the 46th time.

TheTinfoil: Prez, could we please get Fatty on one of these [podcasts]?
annthefan: Fatty would be awesome! Get him on there with Timbo. Now, that's entertainment.
pualo: Nah, Timbo would just talk to himself the whole time.

by prezofdeath on May 12, 2009 3:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Intangibles"

Rated on a scale of 1 to 5

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 3:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, and "Motor"

"Officiating has to be a science, not an art" - Rick Carlisle

by Norsktroll on May 12, 2009 3:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"long and bouncy"

is a favorite phrase of Jay’s.

“Wingspan.”
“Pogo stick”

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 3:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I remember Bilas saying this about Webster when the Blazers drafted him::

“He’s so long, he could shake hands with David Stern from the green room.”

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

On a tangent, Bilas angered me during the recently completed college basketball season when he claimed that "any ACC starter could be Ivy League player of the year"

Of course, this claim was made to look stupid by Harvard (tied for 5th place in the Ivy League) defeated Boston College that season.

Bilas also claimed that he himself would have been a two time Ivy League player of the Year. However, during Bilas’ time at Duke there was a player in the Ivy League, who never won player of the year (though he was All-Ivy twice) who would go on to appear in 886 NBA games (that’s 886 more than Bilas appeared in, incidentally).

That player, of course, was none other than this man.

by jksnake99 on May 12, 2009 4:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My vote?

Ridiculous Upside.
Really, and I’ll have a post on this tomorrow morning, is that it all comes down to opportunity.
Small school/big school, drafted/undrafted really can influence their NBA cred. The NBA would rather sign a player with NBA experience rather than a player with more potential.
There are plenty of players outside of the D-League that have all of the skills mentioned, so it just takes an opportunity to let them showcase their talent.

Blogging at RidiculousUpside, where we converse with recently fired mascots.

by Scott Schroeder on May 12, 2009 3:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

rec

Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare

Roses are red
violets in bloom
Sophia’s in love
with Nicholas Batum
-Bow4Meow

by BlazerFan1 on May 12, 2009 4:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Make "it" green

Brandon Roy: Strengths-remarkably efficient player who appears to effortlessly score and facilitate. Weakness-he’s just a figment of your imagination. - Canis Hoopus

by 22baylor on May 13, 2009 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Done.

Blogging at RidiculousUpside, where we converse with recently fired mascots.

by Scott Schroeder on May 13, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i love how ben made this the most

nebulous question as possible just to generate tons of hilarious answers~

like sabonis4ever “it”

sophia

Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare

Roses are red
violets in bloom
Sophia’s in love
with Nicholas Batum
-Bow4Meow

by BlazerFan1 on May 12, 2009 4:21 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

In Baseball, they've shown that the answer is essentially eyesight

All other measurable statistics are identical between the guys on the cusp and the guys who make it. This makes total sense in baseball, since hitting is about picking up small differences in the pitch. Guys like Bonds, Texiera etc. all seem to have 20-10 vision when they enter the league, amazingly.

 I’m less sure for basketball though. Could eyesight matter?

by rmcdougall on May 12, 2009 4:25 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not nearly as much as in baseball

Dave Bing had fuzzy vision due to a childhood accident and then a detached retina while in the league and still had a very nice career.

http://www.nba.com/history/players/bing_bio.html

by tingeyga on May 12, 2009 5:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh man,

I almost forgot. Court vision — being able to see what is transpiring on the court and reacting to it is maybe the biggest. Think Larry Bird, Bill Walton, Magic, Roy, Paul. If you have this along with an ability to score, and you’re kinda of tall, and have quickness, and you’re willing to work hard, you’re in!

Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave

Also: COMCAST SUCKS!

by TwoDeep on May 12, 2009 7:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Considering Representativeness Heuristic...

We tend to recognize a player’s abilities, and predict his potential, based on similar players. SG that works well off screens is “Rip Hamilton” or “Ray Allen”, a lockdown defender that can shoot corner threes is “Bowen” or “Battier”, etc. A PG that can light it up from outside but not much else? “Steve Kerr”, step on down!

The litmus test for any potential NBA draftee is “can this person be the next _______________”. In other words, can a player find an already recognized niche?

Consider Andrea Bargnani and Darko Milicic. Considering how disappointing both have been, it seems it’s baffling how they were selected so high, in front of much better players. Why? Jerry Colangelo and Joe Dumars are pretty reputable GMs. No, you’d have to credit Dirk Novitski for making European jump-shooting bigs all the rage.

Looking at the opposite, how did Roy fall to sixth in the draft? Injuries are a part, and the Pac-10 isn’t known for producing exceptional talent. But more importantly, who do you compare him to? There’s a lot more swingmen that get by on athleticism than there are one that get by on savvy.

I will say this: without a sufficient combination of height and quickness, it generally isn’t happening. Those traits are pretty much immutable, and put almost always cap how successful a player can be, especially on the defensive end. Lightning quick or exceptionally skilled and savvy PGs can get by without much height. “Undersized PF” is no longer such a black mark if they can make up for it in other ways.

Lack of a jump shot or basketball IQ are hardly a barrier. Teams think players can learn these things. And competitive drive is subjective; generally, players don’t get good enough to be drafted unless they are incredibly invested, unless they have otherworldly athleticism, which is enough to get a player drafted by itself.

by PartB on May 13, 2009 5:34 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Marketability and Charisma.

I.E. Do they look good on TV?

"OK, it's going to rain tomorrow. And there is going to be a Greenpeace meeting and hippies are going to be protesting" ~ The Buffet of Goodness on Portland

by Blazer on May 14, 2009 7:18 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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