Hollinger Likes Houston's Chances
"The road teams that were ahead in point differential after two games went on to win the series 11 of 20 times, and in only two of the 20 cases were they eliminated before Game 7; in both of those cases, they were playing against Michael Jordan.
So good news, Rockets fans: Based on NBA history, there's about a 90 percent chance that, at worst, your team will be playing a seventh game in Portland, and there's a better-than-even chance that Houston will win the series."
In short, few road teams have accumulated as good a point differential in games 1 and 2 as Houston has. While this series remains wide open (witness that 9 of the 20 home teams outscored in the 1st two games went on to win the series-- Portland will try to be the 10th), the odds are strongly against Portland winning the series before 7 games. If it ends in 5 or 6, Houston is almost certain to be on top.
Also, in his Insider gems today, Hollinger gave a few thoughts on the kid, Jeremy Tyler, skipping his Senior year of HS to play professionally-- and reminds us that Ricky Rubio has been a pro since age 14.