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"Taking Care of Business" - 4/10 UPDATE (We Beat LA (again) Edition)

 

FOR ALL YOU NAYSAYERS OUT THERE, DREAM of 54 (my prediction from midseason) is STILL ALIVE!!!

PORTLAND WINS!  PORTLAND WINS!!!

Other than that, everything held to form the last couple days:

 

CURRENT STANDINGS:

2. DENVER 53-27
3. HOUSTON (TB over SA) 52-28
4. PORTLAND 51-28
5. SAN ANTONIO 51-28
6. NO (TB over DAL)  48-31
7. DALLAS 48-31
8. UTAH 47-32

 

                                    * * *

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS:

2. DENVER 54-28
3. SAN ANTONIO 54-28
4. PORTLAND 54-28
5. HOUSTON 53-29
6. DALLAS 50-32
7. NEW ORLEANS 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 SO FAR SO GOOD

Just handle your business boys, and the future looks rosy, just need to win out and have either Houston or San Antonio lose one to get homecourt, and a loss by BOTH Houston and San Antonio gives Portland the THREE SEED.  I said THREE SEED!!!

Here's how the possibilities shake out:

   

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if San Antonio drops ONE game somewhere, and all else holds steady:

2. DENVER (tiebreaker v. POR) 54-28
3. PORTLAND  54-28
4. SAN ANTONIO (division winner)  53-29
5. HOUSTON 53-29
6. DALLAS 50-32
7. NO 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 

 

 

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if all else holds steady:

2. DENVER (tiebreaker v. SA/POR) 54-28
3. SAN ANTONIO (division winner) 54-28
4. PORTLAND 54-28
5. HOUSTON 53-29
6. DALLAS 50-32
7. NO 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 

 

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if San Antonio drops ONE game somewhere, and Houston wins its remaining EXPECTED LOSS game (vs. Dallas):

2. DENVER (tiebreaker v. POR) 54-28
3. HOUSTON (division winner)  54-28
4. PORTLAND   54-28
5. SAN ANTONIO 53-29
6. NO 49-33
7. DALLAS 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 

 

 

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if Portland loses ONE game, all else holds steady:

2. DENVER (tiebreaker v. SA) 54-28
3. SAN ANTONIO (division winner) 54-28
4. HOUSTON (tiebreaker v. POR) 53-29
5. PORTLAND 53-29
6. DALLAS 50-32
7. NO 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 

 

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if Portland, Houston and San Antonio all drop a game (with both San Antonio's and Houston's losses being inside their division, or both outside their division, or if Houston's loss is out of division, while San Antonio's is in the division):

2. DENVER 54-28
3. HOUSTON (TB over SA) 53-29
4. PORTLAND 53-29
5. SAN ANTONIO 53-29
6. DALLAS 50-32
7. NO 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 

 

 

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if Portland, Houston and San Antonio all drop a game (with San Antonio's loss being outside its Division, while Houston's loss is in the division):

2. DENVER 54-28
3. SAN ANTONIO (TB over both) 53-29
4. HOUSTON (TB over POR) 53-29
5. PORTLAND 53-29
6. DALLAS 50-32
7. NO 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 

 

PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if Portland loses ONE game, and San Antonio drops TWO games somewhere (plausible with the emotional blow of MANU out for the season and Duncan hobbled?):

2. DENVER 54-28
3. HOUSTON (division winner) 53-29
4. PORTLAND 53-29
5. SAN ANTONIO 52-30
6. DALLAS 50-32
7. NO 49-33
8. UTAH 48-34

 

 

 

THIS JUST IN:

LA can't win in Portland.

Now, let's just hope Portland "takes care of business" in LA.

Unless something changes with a division loss by Houston and an out-of division loss by San Antonio, Houston holds the tiebreaker over SA based on respective records vs. Western playoff teams.  That means that the win last night, if everything were to end today, pushed Portland from number 5 to number 4.  The only way Portland loses out on homecourt, then is:

1) if it falls behind both Houston and San Antonio,

2) if San Antonio wins the division and Portland and Houston end up tied behind SA, or

3) If San Antonio ends up tied for the division with Houston, but Houston loses another division game while San Antonio does not, then San Antonio wins the division via this first division tiebreaker and Houston wins the 4 seed by virtue of its tiebreaker over Portland.

 

RESULTS:

Star-divide

 

 

KEY REMAINING GAMES BOLDED BELOW

 

DENVER

(current:  53-27)  (projected:  54-28)

(2 seed)

  • Mon, Apr 13 Sacramento W (NEED TO BE A SAC. FAN!!!)
  • Wed, Apr 15 at Portland L

HOUSTON

(current:  52-28)  (projected:  53-29) 

(3 seed)

  • Mon, Apr 13 New Orleans W (lost to them once already)
  • Wed, Apr 15 at Dallas L (EXPECTED loss)

PORTLAND

(current:  51-28)  (projected:  54-28)

(4 seed)

  • Sat, Apr 11 at LA Clippers W (trap game - Clips won once in RG)
  • Mon, Apr 13 Oklahoma City W
  • Wed, Apr 15 Denver W (Denver may rest guys if they clinch)

SAN ANTONIO

(current:  51-28)  (projected:  54-28) 

(5 seed)

  • Sun, Apr 12 at Sacramento W (SAC played 'em tight earlier)
  • Mon, Apr 13 at Golden State W  (2d of back to back)
  • Wed, Apr 15 New Orleans W  (already lost to NO TWICE)

NEW ORLEANS

(current:  48-31)  (projected:  49-33)

(6 seed)

  • Sun, Apr 12 Dallas W
  • Mon, Apr 13 at Houston L (beat them ONCE already)
  • Wed, Apr 15 at San Antonio L (beat them TWICE already)

DALLAS

(current:  48-31)  (projected:  50-32) 

(7 seed)

  • Sun, Apr 12 at New Orleans L
  • Mon, Apr 13 Minnesota W 
  • Wed, Apr 15 Houston W

UTAH

(current:  47-32)  (projected:  49-33) 

(8 seed)

  • Sat, Apr 11 Golden State W
  • Mon, Apr 13 LA Clippers W
  • Tue, Apr 14 at LA Lakers L

If Portland wins out, the 4 spot is ours.  Simple enough, right?

That said, we are HUGE New Orleans fans at this point, as they cannot catch Portland, unless Portland loses out, which AIN'T happenin'.  On the other hand, New Orleans plays both Houston and San Antonio, and has had some success against those clubs.  NO Winning its game vs. San Antonio would help Portland a lot, as it means Portland would have homecourt in the first round, even if it drops a game.  NO wins vs. BOTH SA and Houston (unlikely), and I'll take Chris Paul out to dinner.

Wish list now?  New Orleans beats San Antonio or BOTH of the Texas teams, and Sacramento SOMEHOW, SOME WAY, by SOME MIRACLE. beats Denver on Monday, setting up a showdown for the Division on Wednesday if Portland wins its next two games.  Hey, stranger things have ALREADY happened!

8 recs  |  Comment 24 comments

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takin' care a dat bizniss

3 more to go…

PLAYOFFS... sounds good, don't it?

by SabonisBonus on Apr 10, 2009 10:54 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

We can do it!

"Every time Troutlaw touches the ball, I pop an anti-anxiety pill."

by DaNoose on Apr 10, 2009 11:06 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

ja ja...

we can do eeetttt!!!

Set course for NBA Playoffs......Engage! -Captain McMillan USS Trailblazer

"man, Rudy can ball" - roner77

"his bbiq is at jedi-level" - prezofdeath

by mjsmith3 on Apr 10, 2009 11:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

question

in the “PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS if San Antonio drops ONE game somewhere, and Houston wins its remaining EXPECTED LOSS game (vs. Dallas):” you aren’t taking a win away from Dallas compared to the scenarios where Houston supposedly loses to them

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Apr 10, 2009 11:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Was there a question there?

I see your point, though, and I fixed it.

When I said we have to be New Orleans fans, you obviously REALLY took it to heart!!!

Kermit on the inbounds play, inbounds....
BATES at the horn, HE SCORES!! HE SCORES!!!!

And they are all over Billy Ray Bates! My, oh my!!!

by blazer91 on Apr 10, 2009 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A measly 3000 comments

In a game thread? Where are the Blazer Fans when you need them?

by southern oregon on Apr 10, 2009 11:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Well to be fair...

…a lot of them were at the game…

Portland Trail Blazers, Future World Champions 2010-2021.

by Majikj0n on Apr 10, 2009 11:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Getting closer and closer

Again, your prediction of 54 looks better and better.

by Dwad on Apr 10, 2009 11:19 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey!! Where's the projection for...

if San Antonio loses a shoe in Boston with its laces undone; Houston wins a pair of sunglasses and Denver loses Carmelo’s headband?

Wouldn’t we be the 2 seed automatically?

by martinezec on Apr 10, 2009 11:20 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Sir, step out of the car please

Have you been drinking tonight?

Kermit on the inbounds play, inbounds....
BATES at the horn, HE SCORES!! HE SCORES!!!!

And they are all over Billy Ray Bates! My, oh my!!!

by blazer91 on Apr 10, 2009 11:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a sir...

I wanted to join the projection fun. It’s almost as interesting as the fourth projection, and almost as long. Almost. Only slightly more convoluted too.

by martinezec on Apr 11, 2009 12:21 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think so...

“If everyone wins out, Portland still gets the 4 spot.”

Replace 4 with 5 and omit “still” and this statement is correct. We end up third in a three way tiebreaker with Houston and San Antonio.

by Blazin' on Apr 10, 2009 11:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Nope

Wrongo.

Thanks to a nifty tiebreaker between San Antonio and Houston, Houston has the edge over San Antonio for the division (higher record against playoff bound west teams), which would be employed if they win out and San Antonio wins out.

As you know, if you’ve been paying any attention (which I’m sure you have), Portland just beat San Antonio to take THAT tiebreaker.

Division title gets decided first…no such thing as a three-way tiebreaker in the instance where San Antonio and Houston are tied for the division and both also tied with a non-division winner. That’s why, when Portland beat SA, and all three teams had the same record, the standings showed Portland in 4th place and SA in 5th, both behind Houston.

Kermit on the inbounds play, inbounds....
BATES at the horn, HE SCORES!! HE SCORES!!!!

And they are all over Billy Ray Bates! My, oh my!!!

by blazer91 on Apr 10, 2009 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought ESPN had us in 5th.

This is good news, then. We do control our own fate as far as Home Court goes.

by Blazin' on Apr 11, 2009 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You WOULD be right

if the statement said any three-way tie means Portland gets the four. That would be wrong, because there is still one scenario (where San Antonio loses out of division, but Houston loses in division, and Portland loses another game) where Portland could still end up with the five, but that looks less and less likely, and was accoutned for above already.

Kermit on the inbounds play, inbounds....
BATES at the horn, HE SCORES!! HE SCORES!!!!

And they are all over Billy Ray Bates! My, oh my!!!

by blazer91 on Apr 10, 2009 11:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

*accounted

Kermit on the inbounds play, inbounds....
BATES at the horn, HE SCORES!! HE SCORES!!!!

And they are all over Billy Ray Bates! My, oh my!!!

by blazer91 on Apr 11, 2009 12:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Blazers need to beat the Clips, that's their toughest remaining game, assuming Denver wusses it out in their last game of the season...

SAS is gonna lose the road back-to-back at Golden State. You heard it here first.

Although Timmy is not as crippled as I thought he was. Still — that’s a really tough matchup for them and they aren’t getting along well with road back to backs…

Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...

by timbo on Apr 11, 2009 4:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The Clips will be tougher than the Nuggets?

Why? because it’s a road game?

It's spelled "PRZYBILLA."
vanillathrillagorillaprzybilla

by RenoBlazerFan on Apr 11, 2009 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No

Denver will probably beat the Kings and won’t have much to play for. Plus, they don’t win at Portland even at full effort. The Clippers on the other hand…..

These are my principles. If you don't like them, I have others. -Groucho Marx

by RDreamer on Apr 11, 2009 4:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Clippers on the other hand…..got their butts handed to them in the 4th quarter!

Blazer's Edge Ambassador to The Dream Shake Blog
LMA Rocks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I <3 LMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
LMA - Putting the POWER in POWER FORWARD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The concussion must have jarred him into "Destroy All Opposition Terminator Mode!" - BlazersOrBust

by LaMarvelous on Apr 12, 2009 1:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

plus the Blazers are on a back to back after an emotionally charged win

last year that would have been a recipe for a pathetic loss. This year, still a possibility, although boy, these last few weeks have been different.

by Section323 on Apr 11, 2009 5:41 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

hey thanks for highlighting the denver/sac town game! I am feeling it! how sick would the 2 seed be!

Hot Blazer Fan wanted!

by davidson777 on Apr 11, 2009 10:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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