Projections after 3/31
by jscot on Mar 31, 2009 11:24 PM PDT
Email
PrintProjection explanation in my Sched Ahead Threads.
Projections
| 1 | L.A. | 64.5 |
| 2 | Denver | 53.9 |
| 3 | S.A. | 53.0 |
| 4 | Houston | 52.4 |
| 5 | Portland | 51.9 |
| 6 | N.O. | 50.7 |
| 7 | Utah | 49.0 |
| 8 | Dallas | 47.9 |
| 9 | Phoenix | 44.5 |
No April Fool -- we are a very, very good team.
No April Fool -- lack of playoff experience is not going to be a major issue, because we are getting used to playoff-type pressure and handling it well.
No April Fool -- we start April one game behind the Spurs and Rockets, and only 1 1/2 games out of the #2 seed, in a season where our starting SF has missed the entire year, our starting PG was down for a key stretch of games, and Oden has missed a bucketful of games as well.
Good things that happened yesterday:
- Turn out the lights on Utah's chances of finishing ahead of us -- not happening. Top six seed nailed down.
- We are now 20 games over .500. Two years ago, we finished 20 games under .500.
- We were facing a tired team and we didn't give them a chance, we put them to the sword from the start.
- Greg Oden scored a point a minute, got a rebound every minute and a half, and blocked a shot every six minutes. If we can cut the fouls and extrapolate that production to, oh, maybe 30 mpg, I think I could live with that for a while. Like, say, maybe 15 years.
- We sent another message to playoff opponents not to expect a win in Portland.
- HA! And HAHAHA!!! Nice game in Texas last night. Ha, ha! A win in either place in Texas now gives us a reasonable shot at a top 3 seed.
- We got a reminder not to take OKC lightly.
- N.O. is likely to face a tougher game in the last game of the season -- now there is a good chance that final game in S.A. will matter very much to the Spurs.
- HA! And HAHAHA!!! Nice game in Charlotte last night. Ha, ha! If someone else knocks us out of the playoffs, I hope the L@kers make it to the Finals -- and meet Charlotte, who by some miracle make the playoffs and go all the way through to the Finals. Then, L.A. could have the embarrassment of losing the Finals to a team with a losing record. There must be some voodoo expert in Charlotte who has their number. Tonight, on a back to back, the L@kers could lose their third straight, matching our longest streak this season.
- L.A.'s loss increases the chance that their last few games could be dead games for them -- behind Cleveland, ahead of Orlando/Boston. That could help us when they come to town, but also help Denver when they go there, and Utah in the last game of the season. Very likely, they will badly want to beat us and Denver, though.
Credit to the Knicks for coming back and making Denver earn it. Has to be hard to do that at altitude on a back to back. Credit to the Kings -- they stole that one from you. But we appreciate the effort, and you burned up some of their luck -- maybe it will fail them in their next game. Credit to the Timberwolves for something or other, but I can't really think of anything right now. It's funny, I said it wouldn't be surprised if we got a gift, but it came in the most unlikely place.
Is there any life left in Phoenix, or did the Kings kick it out of them? A Suns win tonight would delay our "qualified for the playoffs" celebration -- and every Blazer fan who understands seedings hopes they win anyway. Losses in Phoenix tonight and L.A. on Friday (both very possible), combined with a Portland win in OKC (possible but not easy), would put us ahead of the Rockets when we arrive on Sunday.
Also watch Hornets at Clippers. It's a back to back for the Hornets, and their depth is really hurting right now with all the injuries. West, Paul, and Butler all played very long minutes in Sacramento. Chandler and Stojavic are still out. A N.O. loss would be no shock in this one at all. Lose this, and you can stick a fork in them -- they are done as far as a high seed is concerned.
One more "No April Fools". This may be the last projections update this year. Over the next month I'll be working 6 days a week, 12-14 hours a day. That may continue for 3 months. This happens from time to time, and then I get bucketloads of free time when the project is done. But until then, it is brutal. I may pop back on Sundays, but unlikely to happen any other days.
It's been fun.
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Comments
Hey these have been great. We appreciate the time you put into it.
Good luck on that crazy work schedule.
"Every time Troutlaw touches the ball, I pop an anti-anxiety pill."
Most wins in the Rose Garden since it opened
What a great season to be a season ticket holder.
Karma
+1
The most hated Blazer is like the least hottest supermodel - Sabonis4Ever
by Philthyanimal on Apr 1, 2009 12:08 AM PDT up reply actions
just got back from the game and this shout out is just for you jscot:
WOoot WooOOT WOOOOOOOT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I want the Blazers to win a title...and help the children
If It takes that long just to become ruler of Scotland
You need to pick up the pace
by southern oregon on Mar 31, 2009 11:38 PM PDT reply actions
These projections have been outstanding. I look at them EVERYDAY!
Where are you from southern oregon? I’m from roseburg.
Just sassing Jscott
I read and enjoy it every day,I am in Williams,SW of Grants Pass
by southern oregon on Apr 1, 2009 5:30 PM PDT up reply actions
have a bottle of wine for me, jscot
don’t worry, we’ll hold down the fort for the playoffs.
Give the man his "M"!!!
by you'vegottomakeyourfreethrows on Mar 31, 2009 11:40 PM PDT reply actions
Well, Scot
your service to the Bedge has been invaluable.
It’s exciting, seeing the team peak at the right moment. Firing on all cylinders. Even Jerryd looked great tonight, albeit in garbage time. I love this team.
Thank you, KP, for not making a trade.
draft dejuan blair
I predict
without the aid of statistics, ;) that JScot won’t go more than three days down this end of season stretch without posting here!
LOL
If I do, it’s going to be incredibly brief.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
You will do it as soon as there is some suprising game that takes place
And we love you for it
There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.
by 123_G.O._RipCity on Mar 31, 2009 11:56 PM PDT up reply actions
Kudos to the Blazers for a great season so far...
And kudos to you Jscot for all your contributions this season
Great game tonight
Lets hope the good guys finnish strong
There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.
by 123_G.O._RipCity on Mar 31, 2009 11:54 PM PDT reply actions
Pulling for Koponen in your last sentence? :)
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
Hope you get those loads of bucks and free time ;)
Sergio + Rudy = 16
Sergio + Bayless = 16
Batum 8+8=16
Bucks?
Theory #1 — Alfredo thinks I work hunting male deer.
Theory #2 — Alfredo thinks I’m American and working for U.S. dollars.
Theory #3 — Alfredo thinks I’m going to be moving to America and exchanging the pounds I earn for U.S. dollars.
Theory #4 — Alfredo thinks everyone who speaks English earns “bucks”.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
I like to think I played a little the Amlmortimer1 there.
Because everybody knows that Spain is a province of Mexico and Scotland a New York poor district.
Sergio + Rudy = 16
Sergio + Bayless = 16
Batum 8+8=16
by amlmart1 on Apr 1, 2009 2:32 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Close
Scotland is an Irish Ghetto
"You're welcome friend
I love you."
- Tom "Dragline" inHawaii
by 92wastheyear on Apr 1, 2009 10:42 AM PDT up reply actions
I could take the other
but them’s fighting words. :)
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
lol
I had to guess what country would yank your chain the most
"You're welcome friend
I love you."
- Tom "Dragline" inHawaii
In that case
you should have said English.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
READY FOR LAKERS AND PLAYOFFS NOW
The most hated Blazer is like the least hottest supermodel - Sabonis4Ever
what if we got a raja bell for our team?
who would be down and what would u give up?
is he worth it to shut down kb?
i like raja
we don’t have to be thinking trades this off season, but signings.
The most hated Blazer is like the least hottest supermodel - Sabonis4Ever
by Philthyanimal on Apr 1, 2009 12:16 AM PDT up reply actions
Just enjoy this season for now with the guys we have, mate
Sometimes, you need to just dance with the girl you came with. Especially if she’s nice to watch and she knows how to make you feel good.
That’s this team right now. Nice to watch, and it’s feeling good.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
by jscot on Apr 1, 2009 12:26 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
yea im really happy with our team
im just thinking hypotheticaly, would rajas D be worth pretty much having to get rid of Rudy? I dont think you could have both guys on this team behind brandon/ unless u want brandon or rudy playing point with blake as a backup. I love rudy and I think in principle you cant trade this guy not only cause what he gives us now and his future potential, but also for his charisma.
All things considered, it wouldn't be worth it to trade for Raja Bell.
Also, with regards to Rudy Fernandez, you hit the nail on the head. It’d be dumb to trade him away due to “what he gives [Portland] now and his future potential.”
Ummmm, I don't think the trading period starts for a little bit yet...
Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...
What if she won't help you reach the climax?
In the NBA, winning it all is the one and only pinnacle.
learn to appreciate tantric basketball
"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"
by Magnum on Apr 1, 2009 2:52 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Brilliant
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
Yes, yes and yes again.
As ruler of the world, you need to have that tatooed on the foreheads of a lot of folks.
hakkaa päälle !
side note
I think its time to stop saying our starting SF has been hurt. Last year’s version of Martell would be the 3rd best SF on this team. That doesn’t necessarily mean a healthy Martell this year would be our 3rd best SF, but its no longer clear to me that Martell would mean any additional wins for us (there are games he could have helped, for sure, but there are also games where not having Nic on the court could have hurt us).
Martell has his work cut out for him if he wants to be in next year’s rotation, let alone start. This lost season could be crippling to his Blazer career with Batum’s emergence. That’s not to say Martell can’t be the opening day SF next year, but he has to be substantially better than he’s ever been before in order to merit it.
yes
this March version of Batum is good, but he was awful for long stretches in the early parts of the season. It’s taken him a while to adjust. Martell would have been better in the first half.
draft dejuan blair
Nic has had, on the whole, a better season (on both ends) than Martell has ever had
At age 20, Batum is already better than Martell was at 21 or Travis is at 24 (once we take D into account). Nic is the SF of the future for this team, unless Martell comes back as a changed man next year and makes a huge jump. To be determined is whether Martell and Travis can be long term rotation guys here— there’s probobly only room for 1 of them.
Well, these comments make me feel justified in my desire to trade Martell Webster, Travis ...
Outlaw, and Sergio Rodriguez to the Minnesota T’wolves for Mike Miller come draft day. I, however, am clearly on a never-ending quest to bring Miller and Kirk Hinrich aboard the Trail Blazer ship, as well as select a rugged, hard-nosed power forward in the 2009 NBA Draft (e.g., DeJuan Blair) and sign Rasho Nesterovic to a two-year contract this off-season by using the bi-annual exception.
You too must hang out smoking pot all day.
The Blazers just destroyed an opposing playoff team and you want to talk about trades to improve the team.
I’m betting if Jennifer Lopez or Beyounce Knowles were to walk up to you and ask you for a date, you both would tell them their ass is too big and they could use singing lessons.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Apr 1, 2009 8:04 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
so the Blazers are perfect and can't be improved?
the Blazers are super fun to watch right now, but I still happen to enjoy talking trades.
Just now I´m more ready to talk about to transplant my organs.
Sergio + Rudy = 16
Sergio + Bayless = 16
Batum 8+8=16
by amlmart1 on Apr 1, 2009 8:48 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
There's a time to cast your eyes around
and a time to enjoy what you’ve got. The guy who is on the Internet looking for pictures of someone else when he’s got a beautiful wife saying, “Come to bed,” is an idiot.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
To each his own
But the day we blew out the hated Jazz to effectively lock down a playoff seed higher than them, don’t look for a lot of rosterbation partners.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
by jscot on Apr 1, 2009 9:13 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
While I agree that the idea of a figurative circle jerk isn't appealing ...
to the senses, I’m a guy who’s staunchly opposed to the governmental institution of marriage; therefore, the thought of having a wife ask me hit her up in the bedroom is a foreign concept to me. Now, if you switch wife with casual partner, then we may have something here. Of course, I also believe you can always upgrade in that department, too, so your analogy just hit the skids and ran into a brick wall.
by AK1984 on Apr 1, 2009 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
Dude
Marriage was around long before the U.S. Government, and a lot of people have found it to be a pretty good thing. Pretty clueless comment here.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
not everything that's been around a long time is good
Pretty clueless comment here
Hear comes Rodriguez, no look to FerNANDEZ - WHAT A PLAY!!?!! HOW did they Pull That Off - FERNANDEZ THE STEAL - GOOD IF IT GOES -AAAAAAAAAAAAAAOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH!!!!!!1111!!!!!!!!! - Kevin Harlan
Of course not
But it isn’t a governmental institution. It preceded your government and ours. If the government doesn’t recognize it, it will still happen, and millions of people will still choose it.
It’s a “pretty clueless comment” because millions upon millions of people have found marriage to be a wonderful thing, and someone who has never been in a good marriage is cluelessly dissing it.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
Okay, it clearly seems that you don't quite fully grasp ...
my true position on this issue. As a result, I suggest that you should read through my comment that’s just a notch below this one here.
That’ll give you a better understanding of my perspective.
Got it
I was responding to what you actually said.
Governments have recognized (not instituted) marriage because of the belief that it contributes to a stable society, not because of the endorsement of any one religion or any religion at all. Christians, Jews, Muslims, and atheists freely choose marriage.
You might agree or disagree with the positive evaluation of marriage’s societal benefits, but it has nothing to do with establishment of religion.
No time to give a thoughtful response further, sorry. Take care.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
It's about the Establishment Clause of the First Amendment; ...
ergo, marriage must be abolished as a governmental institution.
Instead, privately operated churches — which, by the way, should be taxed like any other owned property — ought to wed folks who wish to get married in a ceremony that’s entirely unaffiliated with the government at federal, state, or local levels.
The United States Constitution is superior to any religious creed.
I've never understood how one can own something
and yet another person can have the right to compell them to pay them for the right of ownership. Property taxes imply that the land isn’t actually yours, but the government has loaned it to you.
But I agree with your perspective on ending government interventionism in many areas of private – or what should be – private life.
"She turned me into a newt!
A newt?
...I got better."
I, too, agree that property taxes shouldn't exist in any ...
form; however, the pragmatist in me realizes that such an enormously drastic change in American government isn’t a practical idea.
Indeed, libertarian minarchism is a pipe dream.
As a result, it’s my goal to make it an even playing field for everyone regarding property taxes; therefore, established places of worship surely shouldn’t receive an exemption from paying municipalities in that manner.
You are possibly misinterpreting the Establishment Clause.
The intent of the founders was to prevent a situation similar to what happened in English history, where at one time or another, Catholics and Protestants were persecuted and prevented from holding government positions or participating in legal transactions based solely on which Church they belonged to. The English government “established” that one had to belong to the “Church” in order to do these things.
The writers of the Constitution never intended for government or civil society to be devoid of God or religious participation.
hakkaa päälle !
As a strict constructionist, I view the United States ...
Constitution in an unambiguous, straightforward manner. That, therefore, makes it apparent that the Establishment Clause clearly implies American civics should be wholly separated from spirituality, religious beliefs, et cetera.
Ergo, marriage should be abolished as a governmental institution.
In turn, that religious tradition should be handled solely by the different churches, synagogues, mosques, and other faith-based establishments throughout the country — which ought to be treated equally to any other private entity and/or business — while the government thereby keeps itself out of its citizens’ private lives in this matter.
It’s a simple concept, really.
Strangely, the pre-eminent strict constructionist scholars of our country disagree with you
What are your credentials?
Kermit on the inbounds play, inbounds....BATES at the horn, HE SCORES!! HE SCORES!!!! And they are all over Billy Ray Bates! My, oh my!!!
For reference, you should read a comment of ...
mine from an late last year. It’s linked below here.
I state my views on jurisprudence in greater detail.
There was a time when I used to fantasize about ...
… ways in which Portland could have landed the Dwayne Wade pick in the Brian Grant – Shawn Kemp deal, or somehow finagled trading the Telfair pick with Zach Randolph and a couple future picks to Orlando for the Dwight Howard pick.
Then, when Pritchard landed Roy and Aldridge, I started thinking that maybe we might have just gotten the equivalent to Wade and Howard. Now, in year 3 of our dynamic duo, we are seeing that just maybe we have.
Aldridge and Roy, combined with Webster, Blake and Pryzbilla, with Travis as sixth man, is a pretty nice team. A playoff caliber team, if not a sure bet to win a conference final or NBA title. Add to it the 4 rookies of this year and it’s pretty hard to keep looking around thinking you can make it better. After awhile, you put away childish dreams and learn to live in and appreciate the real world. And right now, the real world is every bit as good as any fantasy world. At least if you are a Blazer fan.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Apr 1, 2009 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
Perfectly put...
You too must hang out smoking pot all day.
The Blazers just destroyed an opposing playoff team and you want to talk about trades to improve the team.
Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...
No...
I smoke pot all day and I love this team as is. Please, don’t associate all “pot-smokers” with Jsnake.
And no one calls it pot anymore, so next time use a more creative word, such as: Chronic, bud, buddha or ganja.
*Please take everything I say sarcastically, since that’s how it’s intended.
Then I rose, wiping the blunts ash from my clothes
Then froze only to blow the herb smoke through my nose
our euphy for it is Green Pants
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Apr 1, 2009 11:17 AM PDT up reply actions
herbie, (think "love bud") weezy,(think "movin on up") trees,
broccoli, gold, (this one is particularly obscure and regional, and in reference to the quality and when the price of an ounce of gold and an ounce of “local lights” were comparable) flowers, incense, nuggets, nodules’, butt glue, dizzy, kind, medicinal, Canada (in reference to mass produced low grades) et cetera
I mostly used weezy and gold myself, as they are both quite rare
Hear comes Rodriguez, no look to FerNANDEZ - WHAT A PLAY!!?!! HOW did they Pull That Off - FERNANDEZ THE STEAL - GOOD IF IT GOES -AAAAAAAAAAAAAAOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH!!!!!!1111!!!!!!!!! - Kevin Harlan
Terms like gold, top shelf (in reference to liquor) Canada, and medicinal, are also descriptive, indicating quality of product. Terms like locals, humbolts, or indo, have been so overused as to no longer offer anything further then knowing it will probably be green and constitute a minor infraction in the north west.
Hear comes Rodriguez, no look to FerNANDEZ - WHAT A PLAY!!?!! HOW did they Pull That Off - FERNANDEZ THE STEAL - GOOD IF IT GOES -AAAAAAAAAAAAAAOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH!!!!!!1111!!!!!!!!! - Kevin Harlan
This little outburst was inspired by Jade.
I like that term, its green and valuable, (can literally be used as currency) also beautiful.
Hear comes Rodriguez, no look to FerNANDEZ - WHAT A PLAY!!?!! HOW did they Pull That Off - FERNANDEZ THE STEAL - GOOD IF IT GOES -AAAAAAAAAAAAAAOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH!!!!!!1111!!!!!!!!! - Kevin Harlan
I like to do "The Pot" myself
...things go well I might be showing my O face...O...O...O...you know what I'm talking about.
Have a friend who smoked a few years ago and called it Green Gold.
Probably not applicable anymore though.
"She turned me into a newt!
A newt?
...I got better."
woooa, this is totally freaking me out right now
mmmmm, Any'Tizers...
None of those words are creative
Those have all been around since I was in grade school. Lazy pot smokers can’t even think up new slangs, pfffft.
Creativity is over rated ...
…. when it comes to finding new names to the same old thing.
Much like people trying to show how clever they are by coming up with short hand nicknames for people.
hakkaa päälle !
Y'know, I'd probably say that exact line if I came across Jennifer Lopez.
Then again, Lopez did do a fantastic job in Selena and is loaded financially.
Mike Miller?
really? Hasn’t he been having a terrible season? And don’t we want only heartthrobs on this team? His hair doesn’t cut it.
"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"
Mike Miller v. Travis Outlaw.
Player Efficiency Rating: Outlaw 15.1 > Miller 13.5 …
True Shooting Percentage: Miller 59.3% > Outlaw 54.0% …
Effective-Field Goal Percentage on Jumpers: 51.6% > Outlaw 47.9% …
Fouls Drawn Per Field-Goal Attempt: Outlaw 10.4% > Miller 9.8% …
Total Rebound Percentage: Miller 11.7 > Outlaw 9.4 …
Assist Percentage: Miller 20.4 > Outlaw 6.5 …
Assists to Turnover Ratio: Miller 2.1 > Outlaw 0.9 …
Net On-Court/Off-Court Points Per 100 Possessions: Miller -1.1 > Outlaw -5.1 …
Net Points Allowed Per 100 Possessions: Outlaw +1.5 > Miller +2.2 …
Net Effective Field-Goal Percentage Allowed: Outlaw -2.0% > Miller +1.6% …
It’s an ostensible wash between the two men.
Miller, however, is a better fit at small forward than Outlaw, while the ballclub should also bring in a banger at the backup power forward spot. Thus, Outlaw is an expendable piece.
File this for future reference, after the last playoff game is over.
Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...
When timbo joins the crowd
of “spare us trade talk, enjoy this team” advocates, you know we’re playing well.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
by jscot on Apr 1, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
Well, you're the one who recenetly projected another summer in the lottery.
If nothing else, I’m steadfast in my beliefs and aruge my stances with conviction.
Although I occasionally admit to being wrong on issues, I never waffle or flip-flop without concrete evidence that disproves me.
Stay Steadfast
BUT WHAY THE HECK DO YOU KEEP BRINGING THIS CRAP UP?
AK1984+AIRNOV=HANDWRINGERS FOR LIFE
Do you ever get sick of brining this crap up?
by keepfryealive on Apr 1, 2009 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions
I get more sick of reading
Do you ever get sick of brining this crap up?
then I do tolerably intelligent trade propositions. Somehow “Handwringing” seems to fit both ways hear, and I think, maybe one a little more then the other…
Hear comes Rodriguez, no look to FerNANDEZ - WHAT A PLAY!!?!! HOW did they Pull That Off - FERNANDEZ THE STEAL - GOOD IF IT GOES -AAAAAAAAAAAAAAOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH!!!!!!1111!!!!!!!!! - Kevin Harlan
That's funny
Tolerably intelligent. But not inteligent enough to post trade talk in a trade drawer.
Instead it’s yeah, I predicted 51 games, of course blahblah balh let me vomit out some Kirk Hinrich or Deng or some other trade that has nothing to do with how many wins this team will get this year. It’s absurd that you can’t even get through a prediction post without a throw Outlaw under the bus talk. Or Blake, or ….
I find it absolutely hillarious. I tend to think that someone would get sick of posting the same irrelevant thoughts day after day, hour after hour in every single post they comment on.
The point is. Can we simply enjoy this playoff experience and make an actually educated (or inteligent) trade discussion after seeing what this team has when it all matters? IN THE PLAYOFFS.
Making an inteligent trade discussion is pretty irrelevant being that only Blake and Joel have any playoff experience.
by keepfryealive on Apr 1, 2009 5:06 PM PDT up reply actions
that's just it,
it’s NOT irrelevant, and some people enjoy it. And it’s not every post, just frequent.
But I do think you have the guy that runs this site on your side, I remember reading a while back that we should simply refrain from trade talks till the post, post season, as it can tend to light short fuses, as you so kindly demonstrate.
A friend that I occasionally watch the games with, (his flat screen>>>mine) will sit and talk for ever about how good this team will be in the future. He believes that we don’t need to make any roster changes, just continue to grow together and get older. He wants to keep everybody thats currently on the roster, and was pissed when we lost Diago. He’s seriously quite compelling, and I tend to agree with him, but maintain just enough reserve to indulge in the occasional AK post. I don’t buy all, if even very many, of his ideas, as I think I hold a slightly higher value on chemistry, but recognize his offerings as intelligent, at least concerning trade talk, and comparative to posters trade offerings. Really I’m just sayin, that I don’t want to make changes, but I don’t mid someone with a little talent playing with the numbers.
Again, moot point though, since Dave sais no trade talks.
Hear comes Rodriguez, no look to FerNANDEZ - WHAT A PLAY!!?!! HOW did they Pull That Off - FERNANDEZ THE STEAL - GOOD IF IT GOES -AAAAAAAAAAAAAAOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH!!!!!!1111!!!!!!!!! - Kevin Harlan
well, I think that the Blazers winning 47 has
disproven timbo’s theory that the Blazers will only win 46 in a pretty concrete way. So to insinuate that timbo’s a flipflopper is sort of silly here.
or at least two better teams: Minnesota and Indy
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Apr 1, 2009 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions
the mike miller obsession is insane
and he was singled out, once again, by a cnn/si writer based in minnesota, as having a terrible year.
ignacio
The Minnesota Timberwolves' coaching staff has misused Mike Miller this season.
In addition, the statistics I provided earlier in this thread are greater than that sportswriter’s subjective opinion. Admittedly, I’m definitely biased on this issue; however, those statistics I just mentioned in this paragraph are an entirely different matter.
Besides, everyone is honestly a homer for a team and/or ceartain players in some fashion; that’s just our nature as human beings. Furthermore, all of us think that we’re smarter than everyone else when it comes to analyzing stuff and making predictions. It may seem like a sort of pompous arrogance; yet, so long as we’re aware of those flaws, it’s not a problem.
All in all, we’re all smug, self-important blowhards in our own ways—and that includes me.
The Spanish Blazers Fan Amlmart1 Committee has awarded you with the Spanish War Cross because of your contributions in Bedge:
Now you can print it, then stick it in your tuxedo and wear it to official events.
Sergio + Rudy = 16
Sergio + Bayless = 16
Batum 8+8=16
by amlmart1 on Apr 1, 2009 2:52 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Wear it with pride jscot
Work hard, and come back and visit us as often as you can. – Elgin
Blazers win BDL 2 on 2 tournament!
Skeets: i’ll close it down now … congrats. you bastards
Thanks for everything jscot
good luck making the “loads of bucks” =D
si usted puede leer esto, el grito.
Thank you jscot.
It has been a pleasure reading your work. I’ll miss it and look forward to your return.
Bedge or go home.
I'll take either
but prefer both.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
These posts are one of the reasons I come here nearly every day.
In fact, the first day I joined, one of your detailed analyses was what convinced me of the quality and intelligence of this site.
Thank you very much for your contributions once again jscot!
"She turned me into a newt!
A newt?
...I got better."
I've already been wrecked
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
Thanks buddy
your schedule updates have been must-read from the first day you started churning them out. Good luck with your project…you’d better have TiVo or you’re gonna be pissed when you miss all our playoff games. Godspeed, senor.
The Michael Ruffin of BlazersEdge, cuz Amlmart said so.
Thanks, all for all the nice words
It’s been a fun season.
I’ll manage to watch most playoff games.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
If making the playoffs weren't already a foregone conclusion...
it would be fun to say how Phoenix would need to win all their remaining games and we would need to lose all our remaining games to be eliminated. Or something like that.
Good work, jscot. You state that you will be working 12-14 hours per day. If my math is correct that still leaves 10-12 hours per day for BEdge, yes?
The cowards never started
The weak died along the way
Only the strong survived
They were the Trailblazers
Since you are going to be so busy ....
…. does that mean that as Assistent Deputy Undersecretary for Miscelleanious Affairs, I get to be Ruler of the World until you get back?
hakkaa päälle !
thanks jscot
great work.
but something tells me you will be back for at least one more small projection before the season ends lol
this has been in some ways my favorite feature of the site
other than perhaps dave’s recounting of wins
ignacio
so strange
I remember commenting about the particular way people refer to being a certain number of games over .500. Someone said that they hoped we would go 82 games over .500.. but 82-0 is not 82 games over .500.. it’s 41 games over .500.
likewise.. we are now 10 games over .500. Wins and loses for a single team are symmetric, thus if ten of our wins turned into loses, we would be a .500 team. There is really no sense in which we are 20 games over .500.
"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum
of course we are
The question is not “How many of our wins would we have to turn into losses to get there?” That’s so, mostly because you can’t magically turn wins into losses.
The question is: “Wow many games would we have to lose to get back to .500?”
In our case, the current answer is 20, thus we are 20 games over .500.
Kermit on the inbounds play, inbounds....BATES at the horn, HE SCORES!! HE SCORES!!!! And they are all over Billy Ray Bates! My, oh my!!!
by blazer91 on Apr 1, 2009 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
exactly
it’s all a matter in which perspective you approach the equation. The perspective outlined by blazer91 happens to be the one that is fairly universally accepted in the sports world, and thus it become the standard.
Not that approaching the equation from idoltime’s perspective is incorrect, because technically that is accurate as well if you come to the math from that point of view. It’s just not the traditiionally accepted methodology of ascribing games over/under .500 in the sports world.
How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009
Additionally ...by that logic
if you are 21-0 you would be 20 games under .500 since .500 is 41 games in an 82 game season. It just doesn’t work that way
"You're welcome friend
I love you."
- Tom "Dragline" inHawaii
Ehh?
I see what you’re saying here. You’re saying that if we had lost 10 games that we won, we’d be at .500 right now. Meaning we’re only 10 games above .500. However, I still disagree with the logic.
Blazer91’s logic is correct in that if you are 20 games over .500, it should take you 20 games to fall back to .500.
To further break it down, by your logic, it takes 82 games to get to 41 games over .500. That is logically flawed since it should only take 41 games to have a chance to get to 41 games over .500.
how is that logically flawed?
Of course you cannot be 41 games over .500 in less than 82 games..
If you win 41 straight games.. you are only 20.5 games over .500. you are 41 games over .000. Your ‘record over .500’ should be based upon what you have done, not what you would need to do in the future..
I get all of these comments.. I get the logic being espoused… if there were 20 more games for us to lose.. we would be at .500.. but I find the only way this approach to ‘games back’ really makes any sense is when you are actually comparing teams with non-symmetric schedules.
The phrase is ‘games over .500’.. not number of hypothetical future games it would take to lose. My assumption on this phrase is that it pertains to the entire record…
for instance.. at the end of year… we are going to have a FINAL RECORD of.. oh lets says 52-30 for ease. By this strange ‘sports world’ logic, we are 22 games over .500 because if they made up 22 more games for us to play and we lost them.. we would be .500..
however.. that’s not what is going to happen.. all we have is 82 games a year. And if we had not won 11 of those games.. we would be where we were last year.
"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum
You may have a point here technically
but I suspect it is as going to be as productive as arguing that the sun doesn’t come up or go down. The conventional method of discussing it is entrenched, and it is simply a point of reference — both methods are logical.
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
yea I guess I'm being picky
I guess this is a pet peeve, and it gets me worse than comma splicing.
"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum
My pet peeve regarding syntax is when people don't know the difference between an ...
independent clause and a dependent clause. On the same token, I’m bothered that many folks don’t use semicolons; it’s a travesty.
I know! I know!
A dependent clause is one that
a) is under the age of 18 and lives at home
or
b) doesn’t have a job and lives off the government (and likely votes Democrat).
hakkaa päälle !
Well, I'd say me, at one time.
Only I wouldn’t use the term leech.
I was on the 15 year college graduation plan and when I was in school I lived at home. I was almost 30 when I moved out for good.
In my favor, I only took 4 1/2 years of actual class time and I lost 2 semesters to two knee injuries, plus 4 years were spent in the Navy. The remaining non-school time was taken up working on various projects for utilities that operated nuclear generation plants. And I paid for all my own tution, books, car, gas, insurance, etc.
I still swear that the reason I was sent out to Oregon for a project was to better insure I wouldn’t keep coming home.
hakkaa päälle !
good luck with the project and thanks for the post
are you a programmer?
I have my P.h.D in unreliable hyperbole.
Analyst who does some programming
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
You have been our own private Hollinger
Hear comes Rodriguez, no look to FerNANDEZ - WHAT A PLAY!!?!! HOW did they Pull That Off - FERNANDEZ THE STEAL - GOOD IF IT GOES -AAAAAAAAAAAAAAOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH!!!!!!1111!!!!!!!!! - Kevin Harlan
Hollinger doesn't have 46 chromosomes?
When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.
I don't think these have been all that great
Pretty underwhelming, really.
But, Jscot seems like an okay guy (in his own way) and it’s good for Blazers Edge if he fulfills his potential.
Even though the spreadsheet did all the work, I still love you Jscot. Have fun doing smelly faced JOB.
Luv,
Uncle Morty Pie
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